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Educational analyticsNot betting advice · research use only.
GameTime Picks
Results · one day

Sunday, October 4

Game by game

Every forecast graded for this day against the official result, by sport and game. Each sport keeps its own record — they are never added into one percentage. Pushes and voids are never losses.

MLB · 2–2 game calls

Full MLB record →

Model Performance:Winner →Total runs →Run line →

Not in this record, but still graded below: 2 calls paused on the site or not shown before the game.

NFL · 10–4 game winners

Full NFL record →

Model Performance:Winner →

  • ARI @ NYG

    Final · ARI 24 – 36 NYG

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

    CallPickOutcome
    WinnerNYG (home)Win
    Player ranges · 26 of 31 finals landed inside the printed range

    A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

    PlayerStatRangeFinalInside?
    Jeremiyah Love · ARIReceptions0–41Inside
    Jeremiyah Love · ARIReceiving yards0–45-8Outside
    Jeremiyah Love · ARIRushing yards7–6663Inside
    Cam Skattebo · NYGReceptions0–51Inside
    Cam Skattebo · NYGReceiving yards0–558Inside
    Cam Skattebo · NYGRushing yards11–9958Inside
    Trey McBride · ARIReceptions2–107Inside
    Trey McBride · ARIReceiving yards16–10131Inside
    James Conner · ARIReceptions0–3—Not graded
    James Conner · ARIReceiving yards0–38—Not graded
    James Conner · ARIRushing yards4–54—Not graded
    Isaiah Likely · NYGReceptions2–87Inside
    Isaiah Likely · NYGReceiving yards10–8666Inside
    Michael Wilson · ARIReceptions1–77Inside
    Michael Wilson · ARIReceiving yards9–9095Outside
    Trey Benson · ARIReceptions0–3—Not graded
    Trey Benson · ARIReceiving yards0–41—Not graded
    Trey Benson · ARIRushing yards2–44—Not graded
    Malik Nabers · NYGReceptions1–76Inside
    Malik Nabers · NYGReceiving yards8–84112Outside
    Tyler Allgeier · ARIReceptions0–32Inside
    Tyler Allgeier · ARIReceiving yards0–347Inside
    Tyler Allgeier · ARIRushing yards1–3242Outside
    Devin Singletary · NYGReceptions0–3—Not graded
    Devin Singletary · NYGReceiving yards0–35—Not graded
    Devin Singletary · NYGRushing yards1–46—Not graded
    Malachi Fields · NYGReceptions0–42Inside
    Malachi Fields · NYGReceiving yards0–5552Inside
    Kendrick Bourne · ARIReceptions0–5—Not graded
    Kendrick Bourne · ARIReceiving yards0–54—Not graded
    Bam Knight · ARIRushing yards0–26—Not graded
    Najee Harris · NYGRushing yards2–5930Inside
    Marvin Harrison Jr. · ARIReceptions0–31Inside
    Marvin Harrison Jr. · ARIReceiving yards0–4912Inside
    Tyrone Tracy Jr. · NYGRushing yards0–39-1Outside
    Darnell Mooney · NYGReceptions0–40Inside
    Darnell Mooney · NYGReceiving yards0–530Inside
    Theo Johnson · NYGReceptions0–41Inside
    Theo Johnson · NYGReceiving yards0–5111Inside
    Jacoby Brissett · ARIRushing yards0–1918Inside
    Jacoby Brissett · ARIPassing yards119–330166Inside
    Jameis Winston · NYGRushing yards0–220Inside
    Jameis Winston · NYGPassing yards78–270250Inside
  • DAL @ HOU

    Final · DAL 34 – 30 HOU

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

    CallPickOutcome
    WinnerHOU (home)Loss
    Player ranges · 24 of 28 finals landed inside the printed range

    A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

    PlayerStatRangeFinalInside?
    Javonte Williams · DALReceptions0–55Inside
    Javonte Williams · DALReceiving yards0–4821Inside
    Javonte Williams · DALRushing yards12–10562Inside
    David Montgomery · HOURushing yards9–9524Inside
    CeeDee Lamb · DALReceptions2–917Outside
    CeeDee Lamb · DALReceiving yards17–126189Outside
    Nico Collins · HOUReceptions1–67Outside
    Nico Collins · HOUReceiving yards4–82118Outside
    Woody Marks · HOURushing yards5–7722Inside
    George Pickens · DALReceptions2–82Inside
    George Pickens · DALReceiving yards14–10375Inside
    Jake Ferguson · DALReceptions0–53Inside
    Jake Ferguson · DALReceiving yards0–5411Inside
    Ryan Flournoy · DALReceptions1–64Inside
    Ryan Flournoy · DALReceiving yards3–6937Inside
    Tank Dell · HOUReceptions0–3—Not graded
    Tank Dell · HOUReceiving yards0–38—Not graded
    Malik Davis · DALRushing yards1–51—Not graded
    Xavier Hutchinson · HOUReceptions0–53Inside
    Xavier Hutchinson · HOUReceiving yards0–6046Inside
    Jayden Higgins · HOUReceptions0–4—Not graded
    Jayden Higgins · HOUReceiving yards0–53—Not graded
    Dalton Schultz · HOUReceptions1–62Inside
    Dalton Schultz · HOUReceiving yards2–689Inside
    Tyler Goodson · DALRushing yards1–4312Inside
    Foster Moreau · HOUReceptions0–31Inside
    Foster Moreau · HOUReceiving yards0–371Inside
    Jared Wayne · HOUReceptions0–3—Not graded
    Jared Wayne · HOUReceiving yards0–42—Not graded
    Dak Prescott · DALRushing yards0–347Inside
    Dak Prescott · DALPassing yards128–370335Inside
    Kayshon Boutte · HOUReceptions0–33Inside
    Kayshon Boutte · HOUReceiving yards0–3636Inside
    Emari Demercado · DALRushing yards0–33—Not graded
    C.J. Stroud · HOURushing yards0–3712Inside
    C.J. Stroud · HOUPassing yards122–356347Inside
    Davis Mills · HOURushing yards0–25—Not graded
  • GB @ TB

    Final · GB 17 – 14 TB

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

    CallPickOutcome
    WinnerGB (away)Win
    Player ranges · 23 of 30 finals landed inside the printed range

    A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

    PlayerStatRangeFinalInside?
    Christian Watson · GBReceptions1–73Inside
    Christian Watson · GBReceiving yards9–10747Inside
    Bucky Irving · TBReceptions1–60Outside
    Bucky Irving · TBReceiving yards2–590Outside
    Bucky Irving · TBRushing yards15–13361Inside
    Josh Jacobs · GBReceptions0–3—Not graded
    Josh Jacobs · GBReceiving yards0–36—Not graded
    Josh Jacobs · GBRushing yards7–76—Not graded
    Matthew Golden · GBReceptions1–63Inside
    Matthew Golden · GBReceiving yards4–8721Inside
    MarShawn Lloyd · GBRushing yards4–5813Inside
    Emeka Egbuka · TBReceptions1–72Inside
    Emeka Egbuka · TBReceiving yards8–8613Inside
    Tucker Kraft · GBReceptions0–56Outside
    Tucker Kraft · GBReceiving yards0–6142Inside
    Kenny Gainwell · TBReceptions0–42Inside
    Kenny Gainwell · TBReceiving yards0–4322Inside
    Kenny Gainwell · TBRushing yards0–425Inside
    Kaleb Johnson · GBRushing yards2–4642Inside
    Cade Otton · TBReceptions1–64Inside
    Cade Otton · TBReceiving yards5–7837Inside
    Ted Hurst III · TBReceptions0–52Inside
    Ted Hurst III · TBReceiving yards0–6425Inside
    Chris Godwin Jr. · TBReceptions1–56Outside
    Chris Godwin Jr. · TBReceiving yards0–6531Inside
    Skyy Moore · GBReceptions0–31Inside
    Skyy Moore · GBReceiving yards0–38-2Outside
    Chris Brooks · GBRushing yards0–2730Outside
    Luke Musgrave · GBReceptions0–3—Not graded
    Luke Musgrave · GBReceiving yards0–40—Not graded
    Tez Johnson · TBReceptions0–32Inside
    Tez Johnson · TBReceiving yards0–4217Inside
    Sean Tucker · TBRushing yards0–3110Inside
    Jordan Love · GBRushing yards0–13-8Outside
    Jordan Love · GBPassing yards121–365197Inside
  • JAX @ CIN

    Final · JAX 22 – 17 CIN

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

    CallPickOutcome
    WinnerJAX (away)Win
    Player ranges · 18 of 31 finals landed inside the printed range

    A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

    PlayerStatRangeFinalInside?
    Chase Brown · CINReceptions0–511Outside
    Chase Brown · CINReceiving yards0–4871Outside
    Chase Brown · CINRushing yards18–14610Outside
    Ja'Marr Chase · CINReceptions2–93Inside
    Ja'Marr Chase · CINReceiving yards15–10527Inside
    Parker Washington · JAXReceptions2–91Outside
    Parker Washington · JAXReceiving yards19–1257Outside
    Bhayshul Tuten · JAXRushing yards9–11373Inside
    Tee Higgins · CINReceptions1–711Outside
    Tee Higgins · CINReceiving yards9–102157Outside
    Jakobi Meyers · JAXReceptions1–63Inside
    Jakobi Meyers · JAXReceiving yards6–8333Inside
    Brenton Strange · JAXReceptions1–57Outside
    Brenton Strange · JAXReceiving yards1–6995Outside
    Chris Rodriguez Jr. · JAXRushing yards2–6635Inside
    Brian Thomas Jr. · JAXReceptions1–52Inside
    Brian Thomas Jr. · JAXReceiving yards1–7317Inside
    Samaje Perine · CINReceptions0–30Inside
    Samaje Perine · CINReceiving yards0–330Inside
    Samaje Perine · CINRushing yards0–487Inside
    Mike Gesicki · CINReceptions0–53Inside
    Mike Gesicki · CINReceiving yards0–6340Inside
    Ameer Abdullah · JAXRushing yards0–380Inside
    Trevor Lawrence · JAXRushing yards0–410Inside
    Trevor Lawrence · JAXPassing yards119–366227Inside
    Dohnte Meyers · CINReceptions0–37Outside
    Dohnte Meyers · CINReceiving yards0–3882Outside
    Nick Mullens · JAXRushing yards0–26—Not graded
    Joe Burrow · CINRushing yards0–306Inside
    Joe Burrow · CINPassing yards131–371428Outside
    Joe Flacco · CINRushing yards0–19—Not graded
    Erick All Jr. · CINReceptions0–3—Not graded
    Erick All Jr. · CINReceiving yards0–39—Not graded
    Mitchell Tinsley · CINReceptions0–33Inside
    Mitchell Tinsley · CINReceiving yards0–3749Outside
    Drew Sample · CINReceptions0–3—Not graded
    Drew Sample · CINReceiving yards0–34—Not graded
  • LAR @ PHI

    Final · LAR 24 – 20 PHI

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

    CallPickOutcome
    WinnerPHI (home)Loss
    Player ranges · 21 of 27 finals landed inside the printed range

    A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

    PlayerStatRangeFinalInside?
    Puka Nacua · LARReceptions2–99Inside
    Puka Nacua · LARReceiving yards19–127125Inside
    Kyren Williams · LARReceptions0–410Outside
    Kyren Williams · LARReceiving yards0–5067Outside
    Kyren Williams · LARRushing yards14–14280Inside
    Davante Adams · LARReceptions1–74Inside
    Davante Adams · LARReceiving yards14–12132Inside
    Saquon Barkley · PHIReceptions0–31Inside
    Saquon Barkley · PHIReceiving yards0–372Inside
    Saquon Barkley · PHIRushing yards14–1308Outside
    Dontayvion Wicks · PHIReceptions1–63Inside
    Dontayvion Wicks · PHIReceiving yards4–8718Inside
    Blake Corum · LARRushing yards6–9914Inside
    Tyler Higbee · LARReceptions0–55Inside
    Tyler Higbee · LARReceiving yards0–5567Outside
    Jalen Hurts · PHIRushing yards1–5918Inside
    Jalen Hurts · PHIPassing yards111–34293Outside
    Tank Bigsby · PHIRushing yards0–4355Outside
    Makai Lemon · PHIReceptions0–53Inside
    Makai Lemon · PHIReceiving yards0–5327Inside
    Konata Mumpfield · LARReceptions0–31Inside
    Konata Mumpfield · LARReceiving yards0–467Inside
    Colby Parkinson · LARReceptions0–3—Not graded
    Colby Parkinson · LARReceiving yards0–37—Not graded
    Will Shipley · PHIRushing yards0–2323Inside
    Zach Ertz · PHIReceptions0–32Inside
    Zach Ertz · PHIReceiving yards0–3613Inside
    Tanner McKee · PHIRushing yards0–22—Not graded
    Matthew Stafford · LARRushing yards0–2410Inside
    Matthew Stafford · LARPassing yards140–407317Inside
  • NE @ BUF

    Final · NE 29 – 26 BUF

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

    CallPickOutcome
    WinnerBUF (home)Loss
    Player ranges · 32 of 37 finals landed inside the printed range

    A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

    PlayerStatRangeFinalInside?
    James Cook III · BUFReceptions0–32Inside
    James Cook III · BUFReceiving yards0–408Inside
    James Cook III · BUFRushing yards25–18675Inside
    Josh Allen · BUFRushing yards4–824Inside
    Josh Allen · BUFPassing yards128–395253Inside
    DJ Moore · BUFReceptions1–71Inside
    DJ Moore · BUFReceiving yards8–9311Inside
    Rhamondre Stevenson · NEReceptions0–53Inside
    Rhamondre Stevenson · NEReceiving yards0–6127Inside
    Rhamondre Stevenson · NERushing yards5–8247Inside
    TreVeyon Henderson · NERushing yards7–9242Inside
    Dalton Kincaid · BUFReceptions1–71Inside
    Dalton Kincaid · BUFReceiving yards7–1007Inside
    Ty Johnson · BUFReceptions0–42Inside
    Ty Johnson · BUFReceiving yards0–569Inside
    Ty Johnson · BUFRushing yards0–253Inside
    Khalil Shakir · BUFReceptions1–67Outside
    Khalil Shakir · BUFReceiving yards5–7682Outside
    Mack Hollins · NEReceptions1–73Inside
    Mack Hollins · NEReceiving yards8–9553Inside
    Romeo Doubs · NEReceptions0–56Outside
    Romeo Doubs · NEReceiving yards0–7658Inside
    Keon Coleman · BUFReceptions0–46Outside
    Keon Coleman · BUFReceiving yards0–59116Outside
    Hunter Henry · NEReceptions1–55Inside
    Hunter Henry · NEReceiving yards0–6862Inside
    DeMario Douglas · NEReceptions1–52Inside
    DeMario Douglas · NEReceiving yards1–6515Inside
    Dawson Knox · BUFReceptions0–32Inside
    Dawson Knox · BUFReceiving yards0–3713Inside
    Joshua Palmer · BUFReceptions0–31Inside
    Joshua Palmer · BUFReceiving yards0–513Inside
    Drake Maye · NERushing yards1–5754Inside
    Drake Maye · NEPassing yards113–355269Inside
    Corey Kiner · NERushing yards0–400Inside
    Kyle Williams · NEReceptions0–30Inside
    Kyle Williams · NEReceiving yards0–410Inside
    Tyrell Shavers · BUFReceptions0–3—Not graded
    Tyrell Shavers · BUFReceiving yards0–39—Not graded
    Reggie Gilliam · NEReceptions0–3—Not graded
    Reggie Gilliam · NEReceiving yards0–40—Not graded
  • NYJ @ CHI

    Final · NYJ 12 – 23 CHI

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

    CallPickOutcome
    WinnerCHI (home)Win
    Player ranges · 16 of 24 finals landed inside the printed range

    A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

    PlayerStatRangeFinalInside?
    D'Andre Swift · CHIReceptions0–42Inside
    D'Andre Swift · CHIReceiving yards0–4716Inside
    D'Andre Swift · CHIRushing yards15–13858Inside
    Garrett Wilson · NYJReceptions2–93Inside
    Garrett Wilson · NYJReceiving yards16–11227Inside
    Kyle Monangai · CHIRushing yards5–97146Outside
    Luther Burden III · CHIReceptions1–84Inside
    Luther Burden III · CHIReceiving yards9–9463Inside
    Kalif Raymond · CHIReceptions2–82Inside
    Kalif Raymond · CHIReceiving yards11–1016Outside
    Braelon Allen · NYJRushing yards1–5459Outside
    Kenyon Sadiq · NYJReceptions0–50Inside
    Kenyon Sadiq · NYJReceiving yards0–680Inside
    Rome Odunze · CHIReceptions0–56Outside
    Rome Odunze · CHIReceiving yards0–7794Outside
    Colston Loveland · CHIReceptions0–56Outside
    Colston Loveland · CHIReceiving yards0–6057Inside
    Case Keenum · CHIRushing yards0–36—Not graded
    Case Keenum · CHIPassing yards129–372—Not graded
    Isaiah Williams · NYJReceptions0–42Inside
    Isaiah Williams · NYJReceiving yards0–4573Outside
    Jeremy Ruckert · NYJReceptions0–4—Not graded
    Jeremy Ruckert · NYJReceiving yards0–39—Not graded
    Cole Kmet · CHIReceptions0–32Inside
    Cole Kmet · CHIReceiving yards0–3713Inside
    Geno Smith · NYJRushing yards0–390Inside
    Geno Smith · NYJPassing yards129–371119Outside
    Brittain Brown · CHIRushing yards0–25—Not graded
    Kene Nwangwu · NYJRushing yards0–310Inside
  • TEN @ BAL

    Final · TEN 18 – 24 BAL

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

    CallPickOutcome
    WinnerBAL (home)Win
    Player ranges · 30 of 32 finals landed inside the printed range

    A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

    PlayerStatRangeFinalInside?
    Derrick Henry · BALRushing yards23–16473Inside
    Zay Flowers · BALReceptions2–98Inside
    Zay Flowers · BALReceiving yards22–150118Inside
    Tony Pollard · TENReceptions0–42Inside
    Tony Pollard · TENReceiving yards0–402Inside
    Tony Pollard · TENRushing yards15–14448Inside
    Mark Andrews · BALReceptions1–75Inside
    Mark Andrews · BALReceiving yards9–8627Inside
    Carnell Tate · TENReceptions2–99Inside
    Carnell Tate · TENReceiving yards13–98145Outside
    Wan'Dale Robinson · TENReceptions1–73Inside
    Wan'Dale Robinson · TENReceiving yards8–8119Inside
    Rashod Bateman · BALReceptions1–52Inside
    Rashod Bateman · BALReceiving yards1–7246Inside
    Tyjae Spears · TENReceptions0–41Inside
    Tyjae Spears · TENReceiving yards0–47-1Outside
    Tyjae Spears · TENRushing yards1–557Inside
    Lamar Jackson · BALRushing yards1–6420Inside
    Lamar Jackson · BALPassing yards126–406222Inside
    Justice Hill · BALRushing yards0–373Inside
    Elic Ayomanor · TENReceptions0–51Inside
    Elic Ayomanor · TENReceiving yards0–6922Inside
    Ja'Kobi Lane · BALReceptions0–4—Not graded
    Ja'Kobi Lane · BALReceiving yards0–45—Not graded
    Tyler Huntley · BALRushing yards0–4416Inside
    Cam Ward · TENRushing yards0–3827Inside
    Cam Ward · TENPassing yards96–298222Inside
    Gunnar Helm · TENReceptions1–51Inside
    Gunnar Helm · TENReceiving yards1–585Inside
    Chris Moore · BALReceptions0–3—Not graded
    Chris Moore · BALReceiving yards0–41—Not graded
    Nicholas Singleton · TENRushing yards0–392Inside
    Matthew Hibner · BALReceptions0–32Inside
    Matthew Hibner · BALReceiving yards0–3934Inside
    Calvin Ridley · TENReceptions0–41Inside
    Calvin Ridley · TENReceiving yards0–5413Inside
  • MIA @ MIN

    Final · MIA 10 – 15 MIN

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

    CallPickOutcome
    WinnerMIN (home)Win
    Player ranges · 17 of 22 finals landed inside the printed range

    A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

    PlayerStatRangeFinalInside?
    Aaron Jones Sr. · MINReceptions0–54Inside
    Aaron Jones Sr. · MINReceiving yards0–5034Inside
    Aaron Jones Sr. · MINRushing yards13–10694Inside
    Jordan Mason · MINRushing yards6–80—Not graded
    Jordan Addison · MINReceptions1–74Inside
    Jordan Addison · MINReceiving yards7–9252Inside
    Malik Washington · MIAReceptions1–75Inside
    Malik Washington · MIAReceiving yards9–9167Inside
    T.J. Hockenson · MINReceptions1–713Outside
    T.J. Hockenson · MINReceiving yards5–75119Outside
    Ollie Gordon II · MIARushing yards1–49100Outside
    Malik Willis · MIARushing yards2–7511Inside
    Malik Willis · MIAPassing yards116–36785Outside
    Greg Dulcich · MIAReceptions1–6—Not graded
    Greg Dulcich · MIAReceiving yards2–70—Not graded
    Chris Bell · MIAReceptions0–40Inside
    Chris Bell · MIAReceiving yards0–620Inside
    Jaylen Wright · MIARushing yards0–407Inside
    Ryan Miller · MIAReceptions0–30Inside
    Ryan Miller · MIAReceiving yards0–430Inside
    Demond Claiborne · MINRushing yards0–1812Inside
    Carson Wentz · MINRushing yards0–25—Not graded
    Kevin Coleman Jr. · MIAReceptions0–31Inside
    Kevin Coleman Jr. · MIAReceiving yards0–413Inside
    Kyler Murray · MINRushing yards0–2316Inside
    Kyler Murray · MINPassing yards52–205247Outside
    DJ Herman · MIAReceptions0–4—Not graded
    DJ Herman · MIAReceiving yards0–51—Not graded
  • DEN @ SF

    Final · DEN 14 – 24 SF

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

    CallPickOutcome
    WinnerSF (home)Win
    Player ranges · 28 of 33 finals landed inside the printed range

    A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

    PlayerStatRangeFinalInside?
    Christian McCaffrey · SFReceptions1–73Inside
    Christian McCaffrey · SFReceiving yards4–7118Inside
    Christian McCaffrey · SFRushing yards11–11552Inside
    George Kittle · SFReceptions1–74Inside
    George Kittle · SFReceiving yards6–8770Inside
    Mike Evans · SFReceptions1–65Inside
    Mike Evans · SFReceiving yards2–7076Outside
    RJ Harvey · DENReceptions1–610Outside
    RJ Harvey · DENReceiving yards3–6368Outside
    RJ Harvey · DENRushing yards1–5625Inside
    Brandon Aiyuk · SFReceptions0–3—Not graded
    Brandon Aiyuk · SFReceiving yards0–41—Not graded
    J.K. Dobbins · DENRushing yards11–11240Inside
    Jaylen Waddle · DENReceptions1–65Inside
    Jaylen Waddle · DENReceiving yards5–8435Inside
    Deebo Samuel Sr. · SFReceptions0–45Outside
    Deebo Samuel Sr. · SFReceiving yards0–4726Inside
    Deebo Samuel Sr. · SFRushing yards0–2144Outside
    Ricky Pearsall · SFReceptions0–4—Not graded
    Ricky Pearsall · SFReceiving yards0–59—Not graded
    Courtland Sutton · DENReceptions1–51Inside
    Courtland Sutton · DENReceiving yards2–694Inside
    Kaelon Black · SFRushing yards3–7213Inside
    Bo Nix · DENRushing yards1–4310Inside
    Bo Nix · DENPassing yards113–340214Inside
    Pat Bryant · DENReceptions0–43Inside
    Pat Bryant · DENReceiving yards0–5047Inside
    Brock Purdy · SFRushing yards0–5129Inside
    Brock Purdy · SFPassing yards138–415218Inside
    Evan Engram · DENReceptions0–41Inside
    Evan Engram · DENReceiving yards0–446Inside
    Kyle Juszczyk · SFReceptions0–32Inside
    Kyle Juszczyk · SFReceiving yards0–3728Inside
    Marvin Mims Jr. · DENReceptions0–31Inside
    Marvin Mims Jr. · DENReceiving yards0–3610Inside
    Jake Tonges · SFReceptions0–4—Not graded
    Jake Tonges · SFReceiving yards0–49—Not graded
    Troy Franklin · DENReceptions0–3—Not graded
    Troy Franklin · DENReceiving yards0–38—Not graded
    Mac Jones · SFRushing yards0–23—Not graded
    Jarrett Stidham · DENRushing yards0–29—Not graded
    Adam Trautman · DENReceptions0–30Inside
    Adam Trautman · DENReceiving yards0–360Inside
  • KC @ LV

    Final · KC 30 – 27 LV

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

    CallPickOutcome
    WinnerKC (away)Win
    Player ranges · 18 of 28 finals landed inside the printed range

    A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

    PlayerStatRangeFinalInside?
    Kenneth Walker III · KCReceptions1–61Inside
    Kenneth Walker III · KCReceiving yards3–662Outside
    Kenneth Walker III · KCRushing yards27–191177Inside
    Brock Bowers · LVReceptions2–106Inside
    Brock Bowers · LVReceiving yards19–11586Inside
    Ashton Jeanty · LVReceptions1–66Inside
    Ashton Jeanty · LVReceiving yards3–6468Outside
    Ashton Jeanty · LVRushing yards16–11958Inside
    Rashee Rice · KCReceptions2–8—Not graded
    Rashee Rice · KCReceiving yards14–109—Not graded
    Travis Kelce · KCReceptions1–72Inside
    Travis Kelce · KCReceiving yards7–9315Inside
    Tre Tucker · LVReceptions1–64Inside
    Tre Tucker · LVReceiving yards3–8444Inside
    Michael Mayer · LVReceptions1–68Outside
    Michael Mayer · LVReceiving yards1–6282Outside
    Xavier Worthy · KCReceptions1–64Inside
    Xavier Worthy · KCReceiving yards2–6570Outside
    Jalen Nailor · LVReceptions0–4—Not graded
    Jalen Nailor · LVReceiving yards0–49—Not graded
    Cody White · LVReceptions0–32Inside
    Cody White · LVReceiving yards0–3536Outside
    Emmett Johnson · KCRushing yards1–500Outside
    Mike Washington Jr. · LVRushing yards0–5318Inside
    Chris Collier · LVRushing yards0–36—Not graded
    Tyquan Thornton · KCReceptions0–35Outside
    Tyquan Thornton · KCReceiving yards0–52111Outside
    Patrick Mahomes · KCRushing yards0–390Inside
    Patrick Mahomes · KCPassing yards132–391225Inside
    Noah Gray · KCReceptions0–32Inside
    Noah Gray · KCReceiving yards0–4217Inside
    Kirk Cousins · LVRushing yards0–240Inside
    Kirk Cousins · LVPassing yards117–353365Outside
  • LAC @ SEA

    Final · LAC 23 – 30 SEA

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

    CallPickOutcome
    WinnerSEA (home)Win
    Player ranges · 23 of 26 finals landed inside the printed range

    A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

    PlayerStatRangeFinalInside?
    Jaxon Smith-Njigba · SEAReceptions3–125Inside
    Jaxon Smith-Njigba · SEAReceiving yards35–16576Inside
    Omarion Hampton · LACRushing yards11–9945Inside
    Quentin Johnston · LACReceptions1–61Inside
    Quentin Johnston · LACReceiving yards2–7144Inside
    Ladd McConkey · LACReceptions1–60Outside
    Ladd McConkey · LACReceiving yards5–860Outside
    Cooper Kupp · SEAReceptions0–51Inside
    Cooper Kupp · SEAReceiving yards0–6313Inside
    Emanuel Wilson · SEARushing yards7–8981Inside
    Keaton Mitchell · LACRushing yards1–5439Inside
    George Holani · SEARushing yards0–4718Inside
    Rashid Shaheed · SEAReceptions0–41Inside
    Rashid Shaheed · SEAReceiving yards0–5420Inside
    AJ Barner · SEAReceptions0–41Inside
    AJ Barner · SEAReceiving yards0–5312Inside
    Tre' Harris · LACReceptions1–53Inside
    Tre' Harris · LACReceiving yards2–7360Inside
    Trey Lance · LACRushing yards1–49—Not graded
    Oronde Gadsden · LACReceptions0–45Outside
    Oronde Gadsden · LACReceiving yards0–4836Inside
    Kimani Vidal · LACRushing yards0–2725Inside
    Tory Horton · SEAReceptions0–31Inside
    Tory Horton · SEAReceiving yards0–466Inside
    Justin Herbert · LACRushing yards1–4440Inside
    Justin Herbert · LACPassing yards116–356189Inside
    Velus Jones Jr. · SEARushing yards0–38—Not graded
    Sam Darnold · SEAPassing yards88–298168Inside
  • DET @ CAR

    Final · DET 26 – 32 CAR

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

    CallPickOutcome
    WinnerDET (away)Loss
    Player ranges · 21 of 30 finals landed inside the printed range

    A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

    PlayerStatRangeFinalInside?
    Jahmyr Gibbs · DETReceptions1–84Inside
    Jahmyr Gibbs · DETReceiving yards9–8431Inside
    Jahmyr Gibbs · DETRushing yards24–17346Inside
    Amon-Ra St. Brown · DETReceptions3–108Inside
    Amon-Ra St. Brown · DETReceiving yards20–11775Inside
    Chuba Hubbard · CARReceptions0–41Inside
    Chuba Hubbard · CARReceiving yards0–447Inside
    Chuba Hubbard · CARRushing yards13–127122Inside
    Sam LaPorta · DETReceptions1–78Outside
    Sam LaPorta · DETReceiving yards5–8084Outside
    Tetairoa McMillan · CARReceptions1–714Outside
    Tetairoa McMillan · CARReceiving yards9–100192Outside
    Jameson Williams · DETReceptions1–66Inside
    Jameson Williams · DETReceiving yards3–81102Outside
    Darren Waller · CARReceptions0–53Inside
    Darren Waller · CARReceiving yards0–6136Inside
    Justin Jackson · DETRushing yards0–34—Not graded
    Isaac TeSlaa · DETReceptions0–34Outside
    Isaac TeSlaa · DETReceiving yards0–4995Outside
    Tommy Tremble · CARReceptions0–44Inside
    Tommy Tremble · CARReceiving yards0–4812Inside
    AJ Dillon · CARRushing yards0–482Inside
    John Metchie III · CARReceptions0–33Inside
    John Metchie III · CARReceiving yards0–3437Outside
    Sione Vaki · DETRushing yards0–300Inside
    Mitchell Evans · CARReceptions0–31Inside
    Mitchell Evans · CARReceiving yards0–378Inside
    Jared Goff · DETRushing yards0–270Inside
    Jared Goff · DETPassing yards139–394412Outside
    Bryce Young · CARRushing yards0–253Inside
    Bryce Young · CARPassing yards130–380329Inside
  • IND @ WSH

    Final · IND 30 – 13 WSH

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

    CallPickOutcome
    WinnerIND (away)Win
    Player ranges · 17 of 20 finals landed inside the printed range

    A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

    PlayerStatRangeFinalInside?
    Jonathan Taylor · INDReceptions0–51Inside
    Jonathan Taylor · INDReceiving yards0–552Inside
    Stefon Diggs · WSHReceptions1–75Inside
    Stefon Diggs · WSHReceiving yards6–7835Inside
    Terry McLaurin · WSHReceptions1–7—Not graded
    Terry McLaurin · WSHReceiving yards7–90—Not graded
    Austin Ekeler · WSHReceptions0–31Inside
    Austin Ekeler · WSHReceiving yards0–3711Inside
    Tyler Warren · INDReceptions2–85Inside
    Tyler Warren · INDReceiving yards10–8041Inside
    Josh Downs · INDReceptions2–83Inside
    Josh Downs · INDReceiving yards11–9816Inside
    Antonio Williams · WSHReceptions0–43Inside
    Antonio Williams · WSHReceiving yards0–5421Inside
    Jeremy McNichols · WSHReceptions0–3—Not graded
    Jeremy McNichols · WSHReceiving yards0–36—Not graded
    Chig Okonkwo · WSHReceptions0–32Inside
    Chig Okonkwo · WSHReceiving yards0–395Inside
    Treylon Burks · WSHReceptions0–31Inside
    Treylon Burks · WSHReceiving yards0–3747Outside
    Dyami Brown · WSHReceptions0–33Inside
    Dyami Brown · WSHReceiving yards0–3765Outside
    Daniel Jones · INDPassing yards113–338143Inside
    Marcus Mariota · WSHPassing yards76–26446Outside
    John Bates · WSHReceptions0–3—Not graded
    John Bates · WSHReceiving yards0–34—Not graded

Daily Top 5 · frozen before kickoff

Each board is published once, before the day's first kickoff, from public model families only — never chosen after the results, never revised. A board shows fewer than five when fewer players qualify.

Published Sat, Oct 3, 10:44 AM ET · first kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET

NFL · Anytime touchdown · top 5

  1. 1. Derrick Henry BAL v TENScored
    Projection 78.9% to score · no book line captured
    Scored in 3 of his last 3 games on our boards
    Game receipt →
  2. 2. Jahmyr Gibbs DET v CARScored
    Projection 77.1% to score · no book line captured
    Scored in 3 of his last 3 games on our boards
    Game receipt →
  3. 3. Jonathan Taylor IND v WSHScored
    Projection 71.7% to score · no book line captured
    Scored in 2 of his last 3 games on our boards
    Game receipt →
  4. 4. Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA v LACDid not score
    Projection 67.3% to score · no book line captured
    Scored in 3 of his last 3 games on our boards
    Game receipt →
  5. 5. Christian McCaffrey SF v DENScored
    Projection 64.7% to score · no book line captured
    Scored in 2 of his last 3 games on our boards
    Game receipt →

NFL · Receptions · top 5

  1. 1. Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA v LACInside the range · 5
    Projection 7 rec (3–12) · line 7.5
    Last 3 games on our boards: 10 · 9 · 8 rec — above 7.5 in 3 of 3
    Game receipt →
  2. 2. Amon-Ra St. Brown DET v CARInside the range · 8
    Projection 6 rec (3–10) · line 7.5
    Last 3 games on our boards: 4 · 9 · 10 rec — above 7.5 in 2 of 3
    Game receipt →
  3. 3. Trey McBride ARI v NYGInside the range · 7
    Projection 5 rec (2–10) · line 6.5
    Last 3 games on our boards: 9 · 8 · 9 rec — above 6.5 in 3 of 3
    Game receipt →
  4. 4. Brock Bowers LV v KCInside the range · 6
    Projection 5 rec (2–9) · line 6.5
    Last 1 game on our boards: 10 rec — above 6.5 in 1 of 1
    Game receipt →
  5. 5. Zay Flowers BAL v TENWithdrawnInside the range · 8
    Not actionable — listed Questionable before kickoff (as recorded when this board was published, Sat, Oct 3, 10:44 AM ET). Flag added after kickoff from that pre-kickoff evidence. The board itself is unchanged.
    Projection 5 rec (2–9) · line 5.5
    Last 2 games on our boards: 5 · 5 rec — above 5.5 in 0 of 2
    Game receipt →

NFL · Rushing yards · top 5

  1. 1. Kenneth Walker III KC v LVInside the range · 177
    Projection 83 yds (27–191) · line 85.5
    Last 2 games on our boards: 70 · 117 yds — above 85.5 in 1 of 2
    Game receipt →
  2. 2. James Cook III BUF v NEInside the range · 75
    Projection 79 yds (25–186) · line 87.5
    Last 1 game on our boards: 57 yds — above 87.5 in 0 of 1
    Game receipt →
  3. 3. D'Andre Swift CHI v NYJInside the range · 58
    Projection 55 yds (15–138) · line 65.5
    Last 3 games on our boards: 84 · 45 · 124 yds — above 65.5 in 2 of 3
    Game receipt →
  4. 4. Kyren Williams LAR v PHIInside the range · 80
    Projection 55 yds (14–142) · line 58.5
    Last 3 games on our boards: 88 · 85 · 41 yds — above 58.5 in 2 of 3
    Game receipt →
  5. 5. Bucky Irving TB v GBInside the range · 61
    Projection 54 yds (15–133) · line 54.5
    Last 3 games on our boards: 46 · 89 · 45 yds — above 54.5 in 1 of 3
    Game receipt →

NFL · Receiving yards · top 5

  1. 1. Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA v LACInside the range · 76
    Projection 87 yds (34–167) · line 92.5
    Last 3 games on our boards: 128 · 155 · 122 yds — above 92.5 in 3 of 3
    Game receipt →
  2. 2. Zay Flowers BAL v TENWithdrawnInside the range · 118
    Not actionable — listed Questionable before kickoff (as recorded when this board was published, Sat, Oct 3, 10:44 AM ET). Flag added after kickoff from that pre-kickoff evidence. The board itself is unchanged.
    Projection 72 yds (22–148) · line 67.5
    Last 2 games on our boards: 84 · 150 yds — above 67.5 in 2 of 2
    Game receipt →
  3. 3. Amon-Ra St. Brown DET v CARInside the range · 75
    Projection 61 yds (21–120) · line 76.5
    Last 3 games on our boards: 19 · 142 · 67 yds — above 76.5 in 1 of 3
    Game receipt →
  4. 4. Puka Nacua LAR v PHIInside the range · 125
    Projection 61 yds (18–122) · line 78.5
    Last 1 game on our boards: 74 yds — above 78.5 in 0 of 1
    Game receipt →
  5. 5. CeeDee Lamb DAL v HOUOutside the range · 189
    Projection 60 yds (18–125) · line 76.5
    Last 3 games on our boards: 112 · 153 · 44 yds — above 76.5 in 2 of 3
    Game receipt →

Not eligible that day: Passing yards (estimate only).

  • MLB: no qualifying board — Player props are market context only — no MLB prop model has passed its bar, so none can make a board.
  • Premier League: no qualifying board — No player-prop model — Premier League forecasts are match results only.
  • UFC: no qualifying board — No fight-prop model — UFC forecasts are fight winners only.

Product cards settled this day

Every Bank Builder and Moonshot lane, each leg with its official score and grade — the receipts the product records are built from. Source: MLB Stats API official box score (feed/live), joined by gamePk. Paper-only.

  • Bank Builder · lane A

    Lost
    LegOfficialGrade
    Milwaukee Brewers to win · San Diego Padres @ Milwaukee Brewers3-4Won
    Over 7 · Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Dodgers5Lost
  • Bank Builder · lane B

    Lost
    LegOfficialGrade
    Los Angeles Dodgers to win · Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Dodgers3-2Lost
    Over 7 · San Diego Padres @ Milwaukee Brewers7Push
  • Moonshot · lane A

    Lost
    LegOfficialGrade
    San Diego Padres to win · San Diego Padres @ Milwaukee Brewers3-4Lost
    Under 7 · Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Dodgers5Won
  • Moonshot · lane B

    No card placed

    No card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.

Suggested Parlays published this day

The MLB cards as published (one per risk level), each graded from the lab’s settled receipt — the same cards the published record counts. A card not yet settled is pending, never a loss. Paper-only.

  • Low Risk

    No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.

  • Medium Risk

    No card was published — every candidate on today's slate uses a market-context family (Hits, Hits + Runs + RBIs) — the model behind it was demoted and is not a published GameTime projection, so no card is offered.

  • High Risk

    No card was published — every candidate on today's slate uses a market-context family (Hits, Hits + Runs + RBIs) — the model behind it was demoted and is not a published GameTime projection, so no card is offered.

  • Longshot

    No card was published — every candidate on today's slate uses a market-context family (Hits, Hits + Runs + RBIs) — the model behind it was demoted and is not a published GameTime projection, so no card is offered.

Model research · player-prop leans, not public picks

Projection vs actual for every settled prop lean, graded for transparency and model development.

MLB
37.3%
25–42 on 67
Biggest hits
  • MLBMichael Harris IIOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+21.1pp edgeactual 5
  • MLBDustin HarrisOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+20.5pp edgeactual 1
  • MLBMatt OlsonOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+19.1pp edgeactual 2
  • MLBBlake SnellUnder 6.5 Strikeouts+19.0pp edgeactual 5
  • MLBTy FranceOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+17.4pp edgeactual 4
Biggest misses
  • MLBJake CronenworthOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+26.7pp edgeactual 0
  • MLBDrake BaldwinOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+22.5pp edgeactual 0
  • MLBAndy PagesOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+21.4pp edgeactual 0
  • MLBBrice TurangOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+20.6pp edgeactual 0
  • MLBMookie BettsOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+18.9pp edgeactual 0
MLB settled games · projection vs actual
SD @ MIL
13–2538 dec2 void34.2%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Logan HendersonStrikeoutsUnder 6.55.874+7.2%HighWin
Michael KingStrikeoutsUnder 5.54.996+2.3%LowLoss
Jackson ChourioHitsOver 0.51.151+3.4%MediumWin
Fernando Tatis Jr.HitsOver 0.51.170+6.1%HighLoss
William ContrerasHitsOver 0.50.970+3.1%MediumLoss
Brice TurangHitsOver 0.51.170+11.6%HighLoss
Garrett MitchellHitsUnder 0.50.721-2.4%LowLoss
Jackson MerrillHitsOver 0.51.051+7.2%HighWin
Ty FranceHitsOver 0.51.112+10.8%HighWin
Christian YelichHitsOver 0.50.741-0.5%LowWin
Manny MachadoHitsOver 0.50.710-1.9%LowLoss
Cooper PrattHitsOver 0.50.941+8.5%HighWin
Sal FrelickHitsUnder 0.50.561+0.2%LowLoss
Jake BauersHitsOver 0.50.840+6.0%HighLoss
Dustin HarrisHitsOver 0.51.050+15.4%HighLoss
Xander BogaertsHitsOver 0.50.940+12.9%HighLoss
David HamiltonHitsOver 0.50.710+3.4%MediumLoss
Jake CronenworthHitsOver 0.50.940+15.8%HighLoss
Luis CampusanoHitsOver 0.50.751+9.7%HighWin
Ethan SalasHitsOver 0.50.81—+14.2%HighVoid
Jackson ChourioHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.623+15.1%HighWin
Fernando Tatis Jr.Hits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.331+15.6%HighLoss
William ContrerasHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.120+10.5%HighLoss
Brice TurangHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.540+20.6%LowLoss
Garrett MitchellHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.502+1.9%LowWin
Jackson MerrillHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.201+14.8%HighLoss
Jake BauersHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.960+11.7%HighLoss
Manny MachadoHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.801+10.4%HighLoss
Ty FranceHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.224+17.4%HighWin
Christian YelichHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.793+11.5%HighWin
Cooper PrattHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.711+10.7%HighLoss
Sal FrelickHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 1.51.063-3.3%LowLoss
Dustin HarrisHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.52.291+20.5%LowWin
Xander BogaertsHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.950+19.9%HighLoss
David HamiltonHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.240+6.1%HighLoss
Jake CronenworthHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.52.300+26.7%LowLoss
Luis CampusanoHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.482+14.9%HighWin
Ethan SalasHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.71—+19.6%HighVoid
Fernando Tatis Jr.Total BasesOver 1.51.970+15.5%HighLoss
Jackson ChourioTotal BasesOver 1.51.851+13.2%HighLoss
ATL @ LAD
12–1729 dec2 void41.4%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Blake SnellStrikeoutsUnder 6.54.955+19.0%HighWin
Mookie BettsHitsOver 0.51.250+11.6%HighLoss
Shohei OhtaniHitsOver 0.50.881+1.9%LowWin
Drake BaldwinHitsOver 0.51.320+17.8%HighLoss
Ozzie AlbiesHitsUnder 0.50.650-1.1%LowWin
Freddie FreemanHitsOver 0.50.952+5.5%HighWin
Will SmithHitsOver 0.51.070+11.9%HighLoss
Michael Harris IIHitsOver 0.51.213+14.6%HighWin
Andy PagesHitsOver 0.51.080+13.6%HighLoss
Kyle TuckerHitsOver 0.51.011+12.6%HighWin
Matt OlsonHitsOver 0.50.981+12.9%HighWin
Tommy EdmanHitsOver 0.50.780+5.3%HighLoss
Austin RileyHitsOver 0.50.690+5.7%HighLoss
Max MuncyHitsOver 0.50.871+13.8%HighWin
Lane ThomasHitsOver 0.50.470+2.9%MediumLoss
Ha-Seong KimHitsUnder 0.50.27—-1.6%LowVoid
Shohei OhtaniHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.711+4.2%MediumLoss
Mookie BettsHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.570+18.9%HighLoss
Freddie FreemanHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.724+8.7%HighWin
Will SmithHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.090+16.8%HighLoss
Drake BaldwinHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.460+22.5%LowLoss
Ozzie AlbiesHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.340+2.0%LowLoss
Kyle TuckerHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.081+17.8%HighLoss
Matt OlsonHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.132+19.1%HighWin
Michael Harris IIHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.305+21.1%LowWin
Andy PagesHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.330+21.4%LowLoss
Tommy EdmanHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.900+13.7%HighLoss
Austin RileyHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.520+13.2%HighLoss
Max MuncyHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.853+15.6%HighWin
Lane ThomasHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.50.910+6.2%HighLoss
Ha-Seong KimHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.50.78—+9.2%HighVoid
all settled dates
each record stands alone · pushes and voids are never losses · educational use only · not betting advice