Parlay Center · Friday, October 30No qualifying card
Suggested Parlays
Suggested cards at every risk level, each carrying its own settled record. Start from one and customize it, swap any leg you do not like, or switch to Build Your Own. Paper-only — no stake is ever filled in for you.
0Suggested cards
No card today
Last card Sun, Sep 27, 2026 · see Build your own card or the ranked markets on Picks.
The MLB season is over — the 2026 season is over — StatsAPI lists no game left to play on or after 2026-10-30. Cards return when games do.
Why each tier is empty todayThe reason for every risk tier and model suggestion, and the last card in each tier
Risk ladder · paper
Card at each risk level
The model’s highest-scoring card in each price band, one per tier, tracked separately from every money product here. The live record restarted when the selection rules changed; what the previous policy did is shown above rather than carried forward.
Paper stream with its own ledger · never part of the Bank Builder / Moonshot bankroll or the settled product record
Model suggestions · 2026-10-30
Model suggestion — paper only. No sportsbook price, no payout, not a bet. Each leg is the Official Forecast’s own pick, frozen before its game. Its accuracy over a large forward sample is not yet established. Joint probability = product of each leg's official forecast probability, legs from different games only (treated as independent across games). Tier = the published risk band of the model-fair price (1 ÷ joint). No sportsbook price is used.
Low Risk
No suggestion: a mixed card needs legs from two sports; today only Ligue 1 has a leg with a published probability.
Medium Risk
No suggestion: a mixed card needs legs from two sports; today only Ligue 1 has a leg with a published probability.
High Risk
No suggestion: a mixed card needs legs from two sports; today only Ligue 1 has a leg with a published probability.
Longshot
No suggestion: a mixed card needs legs from two sports; today only Ligue 1 has a leg with a published probability.
NBA game winners
NBA-only cards from the official sides, tiered by the published Elo-derived game-winner estimate. One leg per game.
Low Risk
No card: an NBA game-winner card needs 2 games with a published Elo-derived estimate; none has one.
Medium Risk
No card: an NBA game-winner card needs 2 games with a published Elo-derived estimate; none has one.
High Risk
No card: an NBA game-winner card needs 2 games with a published Elo-derived estimate; none has one.
Longshot
No card: an NBA game-winner card needs 3 games with a published Elo-derived estimate; none has one.
Model Performance: the Elo rating’s game-outcome accuracy is not yet established — 71 regular-season games graded so far; the preregistration requires 300 before any accuracy claim. An estimate derived from the Elo team rating — not an independently validated probability, not a simulation result, and not a betting recommendation.
Every suggestion is recorded and graded forward in its own record, separate from the priced paper record. How suggestions are chosen →
Technical detailsForecast sources and the published data file
Every suggested card
Every suggested card behind the ladder above, by sport and risk tier. Enter any stake to see the projected paper return — arithmetic on the odds, not an expectation of profit; nothing here is placed.
No suggested cards for today
The slate was assessed and nothing cleared the card gates. That is the model’s answer for today, not a missing update. Build your own card, or see the ranked markets on Picks.
How our legs have settled — 7 kinds of leg, 4,206 legs
- Over 0.5 Hits1,542 of 2,553 landed (60%) · their prices implied 64% · a flat stake on every one returned −5.5%a substantial sample
- Under 0.5 Hits181 of 446 landed (41%) · their prices implied 45% · a flat stake on every one returned −9.5%a substantial sample
- Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs173 of 362 landed (48%) · their prices implied 51% · a flat stake on every one returned −6.3%a substantial sample
- Over 1.5 Total Bases138 of 354 landed (39%) · their prices implied 45% · a flat stake on every one returned −12.8%a substantial sample
- Under 1.5 Hits180 of 267 landed (67%) · their prices implied 68% · a flat stake on every one returned −1.1%a substantial sample
- Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs93 of 156 landed (60%) · their prices implied 61% · a flat stake on every one returned −3.7%accumulating — read it as a direction, not a verdict
- Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs39 of 68 landed (57%) · their prices implied 58% · a flat stake on every one returned −2.5%far too few to separate from chance
The bar is what landed; the upright mark is what the prices implied. These are the legs our own published cards used since 2026-05-22, settled from official results — one count per leg per day, not per card. They are not a record of the market, and not a forecast of the leg you are looking at.