Signature products

One flagship read per sport

Homer NukesWho is most likely to go deep today?A home-run probability per batter, computed from free MLB Stats API season totals and the opposing starter's home runs allowed, each regressed toward the league rate.Open →

Football

Endzone VaultWho reaches the end zone?Touchdown allocation across a roster, from participation shares and the drive model. Published as experimental: the team model was rejected on its own preregistered bars.Open →

UFC

Cage ChaosHow does this fight end — and in which round?Three heads over 3,557 held-out fights: winner, method and round. The only model here that beat its baseline on every head it was tested on.Open →

SoccerComing soon

Goal RushWho finds the net today?Not built. No odds feed is ingested for the Premier League and no scorer model has been fitted, so there is nothing to publish. The schedule is live; the product is not.What’s left to build →

BasketballComing soon

Bucket BlitzWho is filling it up tonight?Not built. The NBA surface is a settled archive — the league is out of season and no live board or player model is running.What’s left to build →

2× $100 → $10K challenge completed

Two paper Bank Builder ladders run from $100 to ~$10K, each graded leg-by-leg from official results.Ten winning legs across two ladders — a small sample, and not evidence the approach repeats. Paper-only · educational · not betting advice.

$100 → $10,376$100 → $10,089$18,965 paper profitBank Builder 19–14Full ledger →

Mr. Dub’s Paper Portfolio

Latest settlement · 61 days agoLive today

Paper Portfolio ScientistEvery paper card, every official result, every bankroll move — no wagers placed, not advice.

Paper bankroll · official settlement only

$19,065.40+$18,965.40189.65× on 33 settled bets

$100 on Jun 9, 2026 → $19,065.40 · 20 settled days

19–14official record · 57.58% winSettled through Jul 7 · Sep 6 in progress

Peak bankroll

$20,465.40

all-time high-water mark

Current drawdown

$1,400.00

6.84% off peak

Total ROI

189.65×

33 settled bets · paper only

Win rate

57.58%

19W · 14L

Largest winning day

+$6,752.20

Jun 13, 2026

Largest losing day

−$400.00

Jun 25, 2026

Longest win streak

consecutive wins of 33 settled

Longest losing streak

consecutive losses of 33 settled

Active ladder

—

survival lane

Pending exposure

$250.00

2 product(s) live

Products active today

🏦 🌙

As of

Jul 7

2026-07-07

Today · Sep 6, 2026Settled through Jul 7 · Sep 6 in progress

No active Bank Builder card for today yet — the next qualified card appears after slate generation.

Exposure $250.00 Bank Builder $200.00 Moonshot $50.00 WC $0.00

The methodology, proven

The $100 → $19.5K journey

Two completed $100→$10K Bank Builder ladders banked the crown; today's lane climbs toward the next rung. Tap any rung for the approved card and its official result.

Crown = Σ completed ladders$20,465.4

Road to $10K — original crown ladder5–0 · $10,376.17

Dual Bank Builder Lane A — second $100→$10k5–0 · $10,089.23

Tap any ✓ rung to see the approved card, its legs and the official result. Won rungs roll into the next step; a lost $100 seed stops a lane. Paper-only.

Performance analytics

How the bankroll moved

Bankroll over time, daily P/L, drawdown, product attribution and a calendar heatmap — every series derived from official settlements. No fabricated metrics.

Jun 9Jul 7

20 settled days

Day-by-day timeline

The complete story, newest first. Each day shows the record after settlement, the bankroll move and ROI; expand for every wager, its official result and payout.

Open $19,065.40 → Close $19,065.40Peak $20,465.40Drawdown $1,400.00 · 6.84%Products BB

lane step won · Step 2 · -133$174.23 → $305.57 (rolls)

· Colombia or Draw Double Chance · Switzerland 0-0 Colombia (90', PEN, API-Football)
· Argentina to win Match Result · Argentina 3-2 Egypt (90', FT, API-Football)

Attribution

Every wager, by product

Which flagship generated each settled paper wager — filter by product. Bank Builder is the canonical bankroll; the side lanes are separate flat-stake paper.

Jul 7Colombia or Draw Double Chance + Argentina to win Match Resultwonrolls

Jul 7World Cup Specialslost−$10

Jul 6Spain or Draw Double Chance + Belgium or Draw Double Chancewonrolls

Jul 6Moonshotlost−$25

Jul 5Brazil or Draw Double Chance + England or Draw Double Chancelost−$100

Jul 5Under 2.5 Total Goals + BTTS Yes Both Teams To Scorelost−$100

Jul 5Moonshotlost−$25

Jul 3Egypt or Draw Double Chance + Over 2.5 Total Goalslost−$100

Jul 3Egypt or Draw Double Chance + Argentina to win Match Result + Colombia or Draw Double Chancelost−$100

Jul 2Spain to win Moneyline (90′) + Over 2.5 Total Goals + Switzerland Match Resultwonrolls

Jul 2Moonshotlost−$25

Jul 1England to win Match Result + Belgium or Draw Double Chancewonrolls

Jul 1BTTS No Both Teams To Score + Under 2.5 Total Goalslost−$100

Jul 1Moonshotlost−$25

Jun 28Gabriel Avalos · Over 0.5 Shots Shots + Brian Brobbey · Over 0.5 Shots on Target Shots on Targetlost−$100

Jun 28Daizen Maeda · Over 0.5 Shots Shots + Netherlands or Draw Double Chance + Deniz Undav · Anytime Goalscorer Anytime Goalscorerlost−$100

Jun 27Argentina moneyline_90 + Both teams to score: No bttslost−$100

Jun 27Austria moneyline_90 + Both teams to score: No bttslost−$100

Jun 27World Cup Specialslost−$10

Jun 26Over 3 Total Goals + Both teams to score: Yes bttslost−$100

Jun 26Egypt or Draw double_chance + France moneyline_90wonrolls

Jun 26World Cup Specialslost−$10

Jun 25Dual-lane phase realized losses — 3 stopped-lane $100 seeds (preserved; not part of any completed ladder).lost−$300

Jun 25Japan or Draw double_chance + Over 2.5 Total Goalswonrolls

Jun 25Paraguay or Draw double_chance + Over 3 Total Goalslost−$100

Jun 25World Cup Specialslost−$10

Jun 24Morocco moneyline + Bosnia & Herzegovina moneyline + Scotland/Brazil Over 2.5won+$6,586.66

Jun 23Croatia moneyline + Under 2.5 total goalswon+$2,037.86

Jun 23Moonshotlost−$25

Jun 23World Cup Specialslost−$10

Jun 21Egypt moneyline + Algeria moneylinewon+$863.15

Jun 19USA moneyline + Nick Gonzales Hits+Runs+RBIs Under 2.5won+$403.68

Jun 18Mexico draw no bet + Juan Soto Hits Over 0.5won+$197.88

Jun 13Devin Vassell Rebounds Over 4.5 + Stephon Castle Rebounds Over 4.5won+$6,752.2

Jun 12United States or Paraguay + Luinder Avila Strikeouts Under 3.5won+$2,200.33

Jun 11Mexico + South Korea or Czechiawon+$694.88

Jun 10Stephon Castle Rebounds Over 4.5 + OG Anunoby Pts+Reb+Ast Over 23.5won+$516.91

Jun 9Shohei Ohtani Hits Over 0.5 + Corey Seager Hits Under 1.5won+$111.85

Bank Builder is the canonical bankroll (won steps roll — $0 realized until a ladder banks or stops). Moonshot & World Cup Specials are separate flat-stake paper lanes, settled from official results.

The wider platform · side lanes & today’s plan

Today’s paper portfolio

2026-09-06

$19,065.40

Current paper bankroll

$250.00

Open exposure (at risk)

$18,815.40

Available

$3,205.03

Potential return

$20,465.40

Peak paper bankroll

Bank Builder · Lane Aactive

$100.00 → $223.54+124

$100.00 at risk · open exposure

Seattle Mariners to win-205

Athletics @ Seattle Mariners · Moneyline

Los Angeles Dodgers to win-199

Washington Nationals @ Los Angeles Dodgers · Moneyline

Correlation checked: no shared game with Lane B — the two lanes can advance independently.

Bank Builder · Lane Bactive

$100.00 → $300.00+200

$100.00 at risk · open exposure

Chicago White Sox to win-150

Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox · Moneyline

Toronto Blue Jays to win-125

Toronto Blue Jays @ Kansas City Royals · Moneyline

Correlation checked: no shared game with Lane A — the two lanes can advance independently.

Moonshot · Lane Aactive

$25.00 → $297.27+1089

$25.00 at risk · open exposure

Under 9.5-117

Toronto Blue Jays @ Kansas City Royals · Total Runs

Over 7-118

Athletics @ Seattle Mariners · Total Runs

Over 8.5-112

Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox · Total Runs

Over 8-120

Washington Nationals @ Los Angeles Dodgers · Total Runs

Why it can hit · Mixed knockout anglesA spread of independent knockout angles across the window — different games, different markets, one longshot ticket. Diversified, so no single game script carries it.

Every one of the 4 legs must land — a longshot by design; one miss loses the card.

Moonshot · Lane Bactive

$25.00 → $2,384.22+9437

$25.00 at risk · open exposure

Under 9.5-117

Toronto Blue Jays @ Kansas City Royals · Total Runs

Kansas City Royals +1.5-155

Toronto Blue Jays @ Kansas City Royals · Run Line

Over 7-118

Athletics @ Seattle Mariners · Total Runs

Athletics +1.5-135

Athletics @ Seattle Mariners · Run Line

Over 8.5-112

Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox · Total Runs

Minnesota Twins +1.5-170

Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox · Run Line

Over 8-120

Washington Nationals @ Los Angeles Dodgers · Total Runs

Washington Nationals +1.5-131

Washington Nationals @ Los Angeles Dodgers · Run Line

4 game(s) contribute a result + total pair — same-game legs are correlated; the combined price is a MODEL ESTIMATE (a book prices correlated legs shorter).

Active daily paper portfolio — open exposure is at risk; active bankroll and crown are unchanged until official settlement.

Separate · high-volatility

Moonshot Lane

A separate, higher-volatility paper lane — tracked apart from the core ladder and never blended into its record.

🌙 1 Moonshot card(s) published 2026-08-17 (20 days ago) are awaiting official results.

Settled record 0–7 (2026-06-23 … 2026-07-06) · 1 card(s) left open and ungraded. Does not affect the core Bank Builder record. Paper-only. Full reconciliation →

🌙 Moonshot Lane · lane trackerActive

0–7

Record

$0.00

Exposure

High-upside longshots

Style

A separate, higher-volatility product — not part of the core Dual Bank Builder, and its record never blends into the core. Paper-only.

High RiskMLBPending

Step 1 · cross-slate restart

moonshot-2026-08-17-mlb-a

+742

$25.00 → $210.45projected

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Boston Red SoxGabriel Moreno Over 1.5 Total Bases · Total Bases-123Pending

Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay RaysShane McClanahan Under 4.5 Strikeouts · Strikeouts+101Pending

San Diego Padres @ New York MetsLuis Campusano Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs · Hits + Runs + RBIs+131Pending

Awaiting a qualified higher-volatility card. Nothing is active; current exposure is $0.00.

Open the full Moonshot daily tracker →

Bank Builder →Results →Parlay Center →MLB →

Paper-only educational tracking. No wagers are placed. Mr. Dub is not a sportsbook and this is not financial advice. Canonical money moves only through official settlement; every figure on this page is derived from the settled ledger and reconciles to the $19,065.40 paper bankroll.