UFC
moneyline projections · fight card · validationPrevious event settled · UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje → see Results
UFC V1 publishes moneyline only — win probabilities from real schedule, sportsbook lines, and fighter stats, with a separate validated badge that appears only after a no-leakage backtest. Method, distance, and round props are not offered yet because the current odds feed is moneyline (h2h) only. Educational, paper-only.
UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje is officially settled — its graded card is in Results. The next UFC card's moneyline projections publish here once the schedule, sportsbook lines, and fighter stats refresh. We don't show last event's card as if it were active.
Settled from ESPN MMA scoreboard (site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/mma/ufc/scoreboard, event 600058854, STATUS_FINAL). Winners + ending round/time + scheduled rounds are official from the ESPN MMA feed. Specific finish method (KO/TKO vs submission) is not exposed by the connected feed, so method grading is at the finish-vs-decision level only; KO-vs-submission is needs_review. Expanded model-only props graded for calibration only — no betting P&L. Paper-only educational tracking.
UFC track record
Moneyline picks graded against settled fights — wins and losses both shown. The validated badge appears only after a no-leakage backtest threshold is met.
Settled from ESPN MMA scoreboard (site.api.espn.com/apis/site/v2/sports/mma/ufc/scoreboard, event 600058854, STATUS_FINAL). Winners + ending round/time + scheduled rounds are official from the ESPN MMA feed. Specific finish method (KO/TKO vs submission) is not exposed by the connected feed, so method grading is at the finish-vs-decision level only; KO-vs-submission is needs_review. Expanded model-only props graded for calibration only — no betting P&L. Paper-only educational tracking.
UFC V1 — moneyline only
Educational analytics — not betting advice. The V1 model publishes moneyline only, for real scheduled cards (never futures). Method / distance / round props require a prop-odds provider not yet connected.
- LiveScheduleEvent cards + fighters (free ESPN MMA)
- LiveOddsSportsbook moneyline lines (The Odds API MMA)
- LiveFighter statsRecords, striking, takedowns, finish rates
- LiveResults gradingMoneyline grading vs settled fights
- PendingBacktestCalibration needs ~150 completed clean fights
We don't publish picks from odds or names alone. UFC joins the product the same way MLB did — only after the model is graded against real outcomes and survives a backtest.