Moonshot LaneSlate settled
Moonshot Lane
Two independent, high-upside longshot cards published daily — maximum upside, not a ladder. Tracked on their own record / ROI / profit, fully separate from the Bank Builder. Paper-only, settlement-supported.
0Pending1Settled
Paper-only · educational · not betting advice
🌙 The 3-day ladder · $25 → $1,500high volatility by design · no forced cards
Day 1 · LIVE4×
$25 → $100
lock $25 · roll $75
3–5 legs · team markets · no props
Day 2 · unlocks when the prior day wins5×
$75 → $375
lock $75 · roll $300
3–6 legs · team markets · no props
Day 3 · unlocks when the prior day wins5×
$300 → $1,500
completes — everything realizes
3–6 legs · team markets · no props
Profit locks as the ladder climbs: win Day 1 and the $25 seed is banked back immediately — Days 2-3 ride house money ($100 locked before the $1,500 swing; a full run realizes ~$1,600). A losing day costs only what was still rolling. A day with no qualified card is a NO-PLAY, never forced. Settles from official results only.
Today’s structured Moonshot · 2026-07-05
Structured longshot — one result leg + one total-goals leg from every game on the slate, grouped by game. Team markets only (no player props), each the model's own pick, aligned with the game's score lean.
Structured Moonshot+150
Two legs from every game — the model's result pick (moneyline / draw-no-bet / double-chance) paired with its total-goals pick. Team markets only, grouped by game.
$25.00 → $37.62 · 2 legsModel34%ConfLeanVolMedium
Game A🇲🇽Mexicov🏴Englandlean 0–0 draw lean
ResultEngland (DNB)-159
TotalUnder 2.5-186
Why it can hit · Every leg is the model's own pick for its market — favourites hold and the game scripts (0–0 draw lean) play out as leaned.⚠ Why it can miss · 2 correlated legs must ALL land — one upset, one stray goal, or one tight game going the other way loses the ticket.Same-game legs are correlated — the combined price is a MODEL ESTIMATE from multiplying the individual prices; a real book prices correlated legs SHORTER, so treat the payout as optimistic, not a quote.
Aggressive Moonshot+337
The structured pairs plus each game's BTTS pick — more legs, longer price, higher variance. Still team markets only.
$25.00 → $84.35 · 3 legsModel18%ConfSpeculativeVolMedium
Game A🇲🇽Mexicov🏴Englandlean 0–0 draw lean
ResultEngland (DNB)-159
TotalUnder 2.5-186
BTTSBTTS No-134
Why it can hit · Every leg is the model's own pick for its market — favourites hold and the game scripts (0–0 draw lean) play out as leaned.⚠ Why it can miss · 3 correlated legs must ALL land — one upset, one stray goal, or one tight game going the other way loses the ticket.Same-game legs are correlated — the combined price is a MODEL ESTIMATE from multiplying the individual prices; a real book prices correlated legs SHORTER, so treat the payout as optimistic, not a quote.
Paper exposure $25.00 placed · active bankroll $19,265.40 · available $19,040.40 · crown $20,465.40 (historical, unchanged)
History
🌙 Moonshot Lane · daily trackerStopped
High-upside longshots
Style
A separate, higher-volatility product — not part of the core Dual Bank Builder, and its record never blends into the core. Two independent high-upside cards daily · paper-only.
LongshotWorld CupLost ✗
Step 1 · Cross-slate · June 21 + June 22
moonshot-2026-06-21-cross-slate-restart
+1152
$25.00 → $312.99projected
⚽New Zealand vs EgyptBoth teams to score: No · Both Teams To ScoreKickoff 9:00 PM ETOfficial: New Zealand 1-3 Egypt (FT, ESPN/FIFA)-148Miss ✗
🇳🇴Norway vs SenegalNorway · Moneyline (90′)Kickoff 8:00 PM ET+123Pending
⚽Argentina vs AustriaOver 2.5 · Total GoalsKickoff 1:00 PM ET-124Pending
⚽Jordan vs AlgeriaUnder 2.5 · Total GoalsKickoff 11:00 PM ET-117Pending
Settled LOST — NZ/Egypt BTTS No missed (both teams scored). A parlay with a lost leg cannot win; the remaining June 22 legs are moot. Paper-only, separate from the core ladder.
LongshotWorld CupLost ✗
Prior run · June 19
moonshot-2026-06-19-step1-main
+808
$25.00 → $227.01projected
🇲🇦Scotland vs MoroccoMorocco · Moneyline (90′)Official: Scotland 0–1 Morocco FT-162Hit ✓
🇧🇷Brazil vs HaitiVinícius Júnior · Anytime GoalscorerOfficial: scored (official goal, Brazil v Haiti)-120Hit ✓
🇲🇦Scotland vs MoroccoIsmael Saibari · Anytime GoalscorerOfficial: scored (official goal, Scotland v Morocco)+145Hit ✓🇹🇷Turkey vs ParaguayTurkey or Draw · Double ChanceOfficial: Türkiye 0–1 Paraguay FT-400Miss ✗
Prior Moonshot run stopped (June 19) — kept as history, separate from the core ladder.
Moonshot Candidates · 2evaluated pre-event · not activated · $0 exposure
June 23 Moonshot candidates evaluated pre-event from real odds (independent two-game combined prices — no same-game SGP). NOT activated: no exposure placed, record stays separate. Ready to activate while every leg is >30 min pre-event. Paper-only.
LongshotWorld CupCandidate
Moonshot Lane A — grounded cross-game longshot
Two independent June 23 games · team double chance
+1044
$25.00 → $286.00projected
🇬🇭England vs GhanaGhana or Draw · Double ChanceKickoff 4:00 PM ETsettlement-supported · API-Football+340Pending
🇨🇩Colombia vs DR CongoDR Congo or Draw · Double ChanceKickoff 10:00 PM ETsettlement-supported · API-Football+160Pending
Expired — a game has kicked off; not activatable (review only, no exposure).Prepared pre-event from real June 23 odds (independent two-game combined price — no SGP). Not activated: no exposure placed (manual approval flow). Ready to activate while all legs stay >30 min pre-event.
LongshotWorld CupCandidate
Moonshot Lane B — higher-volatility player props
Two independent June 23 games · anytime goalscorer (limited-data, lineups not posted)
+1715
$25.00 → $453.75projected
🇨🇴Colombia vs DR CongoJames Rodriguez · Anytime GoalscorerKickoff 10:00 PM ETsettlement-supported · API-Football+230Pending
🇵🇦Panama vs CroatiaTomas Abdiel Rodriguez Mena · Anytime GoalscorerKickoff 7:00 PM ETsettlement-supported · API-Football+450Pending
Expired — a game has kicked off; not activatable (review only, no exposure).Prepared pre-event from real June 23 odds (independent two-game combined price — no SGP). Not activated: no exposure placed (manual approval flow). Ready to activate while all legs stay >30 min pre-event.
NextAwaiting a qualified higher-volatility card. Nothing is active; current exposure is $0.00.
Daily tracker shows known Moonshot runs only — earlier history before June 19 is not backfilled (no fabricated cards). Settlement-supported by official sources.
