Goal Rush
Who finds the net today?
There are no picks on this page, and there will not be until the work below is finished. Not built. No odds feed is ingested for the Premier League and no scorer model has been fitted, so there is nothing to publish. The schedule is live; the product is not.
What exists today
- Fixtures captured380 matches of the 2026-27 season, from a public-domain source
- Season opensAugust 21, 2026
What has to be true before it publishes
9 of 10 stages complete. Every sport on this site passes the same list — the two that publish today did, and this one has not yet. A stage only counts as done when there is a receipt for it.
- Schedule/event discoveryDone
Counts as done when: daily schedule artifact from an approved source, date-correct in ET.
- Team/player identity + assetsDone
Counts as done when: canonical ids resolving through the identity components with fallbacks.
- Required stats/context dataDone
Counts as done when: the model's input fields present for a full slate, no paid call outside budget.
- Market/odds ingestionDone
Counts as done when: credit-guarded ingestion producing de-vigged implied probabilities.
- Model/simulationDone
Counts as done when: a versioned model producing per-event outputs from pregame inputs only.
- Pick qualification policyDone
Counts as done when: a written policy with thresholds, applied by code, with no-play as a first-class outcome.
- Product generationDone
Counts as done when: boards/cards generated by scheduled automation with the product-state contract.
- Publication + freshnessDone
Counts as done when: public surfaces derive freshness from the product's own artifact.
- Official settlementDone
Counts as done when: grading from official results with lineage stamps, quarantine on ambiguity.
- Calibration/validationNot started
Counts as done when: a preregistered backtest against settled results — the MLB bar (Brier vs market), not a smaller one.
Why it is not shipped early
A model that has never been checked against settled results can still produce confident-looking numbers — that is the easy part. Four models on this site were built, measured against a bar set in advance, and rejected for failing it; their write-ups are public. Goal Rush gets the same treatment, which means it appears here when it earns a page, and not before.