NFL Week 1 · regular season
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16 games
Pre-kickoff forecasts, each frozen at its kickoff. Scores derive from the median total and margin, so they always add up.
| Kickoff (ET) | Matchup | Model winner | Projected score | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Sep 9, 8:20 PM ET |  NE at SEA | SEA 61.7% | NE 20 — 26 SEA | 46 (29–63) | View game → |
| Thu, Sep 10, 8:35 PM ET |  SF at LAR | LAR 58.2% | SF 23 — 28 LAR | 51 (34–68) | View game → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET |  ATL at PIT | PIT 59.2% | ATL 20 — 27 PIT | 47 (30–64) | View game → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET |  BAL at IND | IND 50.1% | BAL 24 — 26 IND | 50 (33–67) | View game → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET |  BUF at HOU | HOU 54.0% | BUF 23 — 25 HOU | 48 (31–65) | View game → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET |  CHI at CAR | CHI 49.3% | CHI 23 — 24 CAR | 47 (31–64) | View game → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET |  CLE at JAX | JAX 65.4% | CLE 19 — 27 JAX | 46 (29–62) | View game → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET |  NO at DET | DET 67.0% | NO 19 — 29 DET | 48 (31–65) | View game → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET |  NYJ at TEN | TEN 53.6% | NYJ 23 — 25 TEN | 48 (31–64) | View game → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET |  TB at CIN | CIN 53.3% | TB 24 — 26 CIN | 50 (33–67) | View game → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 4:25 PM ET |  ARI at LAC | LAC 68.2% | ARI 18 — 29 LAC | 47 (30–64) | View game → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 4:25 PM ET |  GB at MIN | MIN 57.3% | GB 20 — 25 MIN | 45 (28–62) | View game → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 4:25 PM ET |  MIA at LV | MIA 51.1% | MIA 23 — 22 LV | 45 (28–62) | View game → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 4:25 PM ET |  WSH at PHI | PHI 65.7% | WSH 19 — 28 PHI | 47 (31–64) | View game → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 8:20 PM ET |  DAL at NYG | DAL 50.0% | DAL 26 — 25 NYG | 51 (35–69) | View game → |
| Mon, Sep 14, 8:15 PM ET |  DEN at KC | DEN 59.9% | DEN 21 — 20 KC | 41 (24–58) | View game → |
Full week
Weekly top boards
One ranking owner; a top-N table is a maximum, not a quota; a statistic that has not cleared its publication standard says so instead of ranking.
Top 5 · Anytime touchdown
- 1
Courtland SuttonMatchupDEN vs KCStartMon 8:15 PM ETprojected activeMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks33.9%Game → - 2
RJ HarveyMatchupDEN vs KCStartMon 8:15 PM ETprojected activeMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks30.1%Game → - 3
Patrick MahomesMatchupKC vs DENStartMon 8:15 PM ETprojected activeMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks27.0%Game → - 4
Brashard SmithMatchupKC vs DENStartMon 8:15 PM ETprojected activeMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks23.2%Game → - 5
Rashee RiceMatchupKC vs DENStartMon 8:15 PM ETprojected activeMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks22.5%Game →
GameTimePicks does not currently publish a sportsbook price for this market, so there is nothing to compare these numbers against yet.
Top 10 · Receptions
- 1Rashee RiceMatchupKC vs DENStartMon 8:15 PM ETprojected activeMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks5 recRange2–8Game →
- 2Courtland SuttonMatchupDEN vs KCStartMon 8:15 PM ETprojected activeMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks3 recRange1–6Game →
- 3
Travis KelceMatchupKC vs DENStartMon 8:15 PM ETprojected activeMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks3 recRange1–7Game → - 4RJ HarveyMatchupDEN vs KCStartMon 8:15 PM ETprojected activeMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks2 recRange0–5Game →
- 5
Troy FranklinMatchupDEN vs KCStartMon 8:15 PM ETprojected activeMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks2 recRange0–5Game → - 6
Marvin Mims Jr.MatchupDEN vs KCStartMon 8:15 PM ETprojected activeMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks2 recRange0–5Game → - 7
Xavier WorthyMatchupKC vs DENStartMon 8:15 PM ETprojected activeMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks2 recRange0–5Game → - 8
Evan EngramMatchupDEN vs KCStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks2 recRange0–4Game → - 9
Pat BryantMatchupDEN vs KCStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks2 recRange0–4Game → - 10Brashard SmithMatchupKC vs DENStartMon 8:15 PM ETprojected activeMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks1 recRange0–3Game →
GameTimePicks does not currently publish a sportsbook price for this market, so there is nothing to compare these numbers against yet.
Top 10 · Rushing yards
Estimate · calibration standard not yet met · Its uncertainty calibration failed the preregistered bar — the range shown may be mis-sized even where the middle is reasonable.
- 1
J.K. DobbinsMatchupDEN vs KCStartMon 8:15 PM ETprojected activeMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks46 ydsestimateRange16–94Game → - 2RJ HarveyMatchupDEN vs KCStartMon 8:15 PM ETprojected activeMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks27 ydsestimateRange7–61Game →
- 3
Bo NixMatchupDEN vs KCStartMon 8:15 PM ETprojected activeMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks16 ydsestimateRange1–46Game → - 4Patrick MahomesMatchupKC vs DENStartMon 8:15 PM ETprojected activeMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks9 ydsestimateRange0–39Game →
- 5Brashard SmithMatchupKC vs DENStartMon 8:15 PM ETprojected activeMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks6 ydsestimateRange0–29Game →
- 6
Jarrett StidhamMatchupDEN vs KCStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks1 ydsestimateRange0–19Game →
GameTimePicks does not currently publish a sportsbook price for this market, so there is nothing to compare these numbers against yet.
Top 10 · Receiving yards
- 1Rashee RiceMatchupKC vs DENStartMon 8:15 PM ETprojected activeMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks47 ydsRange12–100Game →
- 2Travis KelceMatchupKC vs DENStartMon 8:15 PM ETprojected activeMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks34 ydsRange7–80Game →
- 3Courtland SuttonMatchupDEN vs KCStartMon 8:15 PM ETprojected activeMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks32 ydsRange4–77Game →
- 4Xavier WorthyMatchupKC vs DENStartMon 8:15 PM ETprojected activeMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks23 ydsRange0–63Game →
- 5Troy FranklinMatchupDEN vs KCStartMon 8:15 PM ETprojected activeMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks21 ydsRange0–60Game →
- 6RJ HarveyMatchupDEN vs KCStartMon 8:15 PM ETprojected activeMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks19 ydsRange0–55Game →
- 7Marvin Mims Jr.MatchupDEN vs KCStartMon 8:15 PM ETprojected activeMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks19 ydsRange0–59Game →
- 8Evan EngramMatchupDEN vs KCStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks16 ydsRange0–51Game →
- 9Pat BryantMatchupDEN vs KCStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks15 ydsRange0–51Game →
- 10
Noah GrayMatchupKC vs DENStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks11 ydsRange0–43Game →
GameTimePicks does not currently publish a sportsbook price for this market, so there is nothing to compare these numbers against yet.
Top 10 · Passing yards
Estimate · calibration standard not yet met · On held-out 2025 a simple rolling recent-form baseline predicted passing yards better than this model — read the line as a rough indication, not a validated forecast.
- 1Patrick MahomesMatchupKC vs DENStartMon 8:15 PM ETprojected activeMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks167 ydsestimateRange55–286Game →
- 2Bo NixMatchupDEN vs KCStartMon 8:15 PM ETprojected activeMarketMarket unavailableModelGameTimePicks161 ydsestimateRange56–270Game →
GameTimePicks does not currently publish a sportsbook price for this market, so there is nothing to compare these numbers against yet.
Board stamp · frozen full-week edition