Skip to main content
Educational analyticsNot betting advice · research use only.
GameTime Picks
Results · one day

Sunday, October 11

Game by game

Every forecast graded for this day against the official result, by sport and game. Each sport keeps its own record — they are never added into one percentage. Pushes and voids are never losses.

MLB · 1–1 game calls

Full MLB record →

Model Performance:Winner →Total runs →Run line →

Not in this record, but still graded below: 1 call paused on the site or not shown before the game.

NFL · 8–4 · 1 void game winners

Full NFL record →

Model Performance:Winner →

  • BAL @ ATL

    Final · BAL 30 – 23 ATL

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

    CallPickOutcome
    WinnerBAL (away)Win
    Player ranges · 29 of 30 finals landed inside the printed range

    A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

    PlayerStatRangeFinalInside?
    Derrick Henry · BALReceptions0–31Inside
    Derrick Henry · BALReceiving yards0–3518Inside
    Derrick Henry · BALRushing yards30–122102Inside
    Bijan Robinson · ATLReceptions1–84Inside
    Bijan Robinson · ATLReceiving yards7–7632Inside
    Bijan Robinson · ATLRushing yards31–13886Inside
    Brian Robinson Jr. · ATLRushing yards6–6716Inside
    Zay Flowers · BALReceptions2–128Inside
    Zay Flowers · BALReceiving yards27–15853Inside
    Mark Andrews · BALReceptions1–94Inside
    Mark Andrews · BALReceiving yards9–8428Inside
    Drake London · ATLReceptions2–117Inside
    Drake London · ATLReceiving yards26–153118Inside
    Rashod Bateman · BALReceptions0–55Inside
    Rashod Bateman · BALReceiving yards0–6862Inside
    Jahan Dotson · ATLReceptions0–52Inside
    Jahan Dotson · ATLReceiving yards0–6754Inside
    Justice Hill · BALReceptions0–32Inside
    Justice Hill · BALReceiving yards0–355Inside
    Justice Hill · BALRushing yards0–2773Outside
    Kyle Pitts Sr. · ATLReceptions0–55Inside
    Kyle Pitts Sr. · ATLReceiving yards0–6542Inside
    Tyler Huntley · BALRushing yards0–3320Inside
    Chris Moore · BALReceptions0–3—Not graded
    Chris Moore · BALReceiving yards0–41—Not graded
    Matt Hibner · BALReceptions0–3—Not graded
    Matt Hibner · BALReceiving yards0–43—Not graded
    Austin Hooper · ATLReceptions0–3—Not graded
    Austin Hooper · ATLReceiving yards0–42—Not graded
    Olamide Zaccheaus · ATLReceptions0–30Inside
    Olamide Zaccheaus · ATLReceiving yards0–360Inside
    Devontez Walker · BALReceptions0–32Inside
    Zachariah Branch · ATLReceptions0–32Inside
    Zachariah Branch · ATLReceiving yards0–3715Inside
    Michael Penix Jr. · ATLRushing yards0–158Inside
    Michael Penix Jr. · ATLPassing yards122–390240Inside
  • PHI @ JAX

    Final · PHI 17 – 19 JAX

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

    CallPickOutcome
    WinnerPHI (away)Loss
    Player ranges · 28 of 31 finals landed inside the printed range

    A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

    PlayerStatRangeFinalInside?
    Bhayshul Tuten · JAXReceptions0–32Inside
    Bhayshul Tuten · JAXReceiving yards0–3724Inside
    Bhayshul Tuten · JAXRushing yards17–9572Inside
    Parker Washington · JAXReceptions1–96Inside
    Parker Washington · JAXReceiving yards12–107124Outside
    Dallas Goedert · PHIReceptions1–76Inside
    Dallas Goedert · PHIReceiving yards2–7138Inside
    Jakobi Meyers · JAXReceptions1–72Inside
    Jakobi Meyers · JAXReceiving yards6–8537Inside
    Brenton Strange · JAXReceptions1–87Inside
    Brenton Strange · JAXReceiving yards8–9268Inside
    Dontayvion Wicks · PHIReceptions1–75Inside
    Dontayvion Wicks · PHIReceiving yards3–8063Inside
    Chris Rodriguez Jr. · JAXRushing yards2–525Inside
    Brian Thomas Jr. · JAXReceptions0–50Inside
    Brian Thomas Jr. · JAXReceiving yards0–660Inside
    Makai Lemon · PHIReceptions1–75Inside
    Makai Lemon · PHIReceiving yards0–5943Inside
    Darius Cooper · PHIReceptions0–42Inside
    Darius Cooper · PHIReceiving yards0–4771Outside
    Zach Ertz · PHIReceptions0–50Inside
    Zach Ertz · PHIReceiving yards0–460Inside
    Jalen Hurts · PHIRushing yards1–502Inside
    Jalen Hurts · PHIPassing yards100–317220Inside
    Will Shipley · PHIReceptions0–31Inside
    Will Shipley · PHIRushing yards0–286Inside
    Josh Cameron · JAXReceptions0–33Inside
    Josh Cameron · JAXReceiving yards0–4143Outside
    Trevor Lawrence · JAXRushing yards0–3125Inside
    Trevor Lawrence · JAXPassing yards121–374331Inside
    Ameer Abdullah · JAXRushing yards0–230Inside
    Nick Mullens · JAXRushing yards0–21—Not graded
  • HOU @ TEN

    Final · HOU 26 – 3 TEN

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

    CallPickOutcome
    WinnerHOU (away)Win
    Player ranges · 27 of 35 finals landed inside the printed range

    A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

    PlayerStatRangeFinalInside?
    David Montgomery · HOURushing yards9–6411Inside
    Nico Collins · HOUReceptions1.7–9.55Inside
    Nico Collins · HOUReceiving yards8–9856Inside
    Tony Pollard · TENReceptions0–3.90Inside
    Tony Pollard · TENReceiving yards0–440Inside
    Tony Pollard · TENRushing yards22–10252Inside
    Woody Marks · HOUReceptions0–2.64Outside
    Woody Marks · HOURushing yards5–5562Outside
    Carnell Tate · TENReceptions2–11.81Outside
    Carnell Tate · TENReceiving yards24–1296Outside
    Wan'Dale Robinson · TENReceptions1–7.96Inside
    Wan'Dale Robinson · TENReceiving yards6–7653Inside
    Xavier Hutchinson · HOUReceptions0.9–64Inside
    Xavier Hutchinson · HOUReceiving yards0–6365Outside
    Jayden Higgins · HOUReceptions0.9–5.2—Not graded
    Jayden Higgins · HOUReceiving yards0–51—Not graded
    Tyjae Spears · TENReceptions0–3.99Outside
    Tyjae Spears · TENReceiving yards0–4228Inside
    Tyjae Spears · TENRushing yards0–380Inside
    Dalton Schultz · HOUReceptions0.9–6.93Inside
    Dalton Schultz · HOUReceiving yards0–6130Inside
    Cam Ward · TENRushing yards0–352Inside
    Cam Ward · TENPassing yards100–309170Inside
    Elic Ayomanor · TENReceptions0–3.91Inside
    Elic Ayomanor · TENReceiving yards0–5917Inside
    Kayshon Boutte · HOUReceptions0–4.33Inside
    Kayshon Boutte · HOUReceiving yards0–4638Inside
    Jaylin Noel · HOUReceptions0–3.45Outside
    Jaylin Noel · HOUReceiving yards0–4741Inside
    Foster Moreau · HOUReceptions0–3.42Inside
    Gunnar Helm · TENReceptions0–4.90Inside
    Gunnar Helm · TENReceiving yards0–500Inside
    Jared Wayne · HOUReceptions0–2.6—Not graded
    Jared Wayne · HOUReceiving yards0–42—Not graded
    Calvin Ridley · TENReceptions0–2.92Inside
    Calvin Ridley · TENReceiving yards0–4933Inside
    C.J. Stroud · HOURushing yards0–305Inside
    C.J. Stroud · HOUPassing yards133–387261Inside
    Chimere Dike · TENReceptions0–2.93Outside
  • MIN @ NO

    Final · MIN 23 – 13 NO

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

    CallPickOutcome
    WinnerMIN (away)Win
    Player ranges · 23 of 28 finals landed inside the printed range

    A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

    PlayerStatRangeFinalInside?
    Alvin Kamara · NOReceptions1–62Inside
    Alvin Kamara · NOReceiving yards0–49-6Outside
    Alvin Kamara · NORushing yards5–5312Inside
    Aaron Jones Sr. · MINReceptions0–63Inside
    Aaron Jones Sr. · MINReceiving yards0–594Inside
    Aaron Jones Sr. · MINRushing yards18–93113Outside
    Chris Olave · NOReceptions3–134Inside
    Chris Olave · NOReceiving yards21–13146Inside
    Justin Jefferson · MINReceptions1–106Inside
    Justin Jefferson · MINReceiving yards15–11179Inside
    Jordan Mason · MINRushing yards6–66—Not graded
    Juwan Johnson · NOReceptions1–84Inside
    Juwan Johnson · NOReceiving yards5–7716Inside
    Devaughn Vele · NOReceptions1–84Inside
    Devaughn Vele · NOReceiving yards5–7826Inside
    Kendre Miller · NORushing yards1–4330Inside
    T.J. Hockenson · MINReceptions1–101Inside
    T.J. Hockenson · MINReceiving yards13–967Outside
    Noah Fant · NOReceptions0–41Inside
    Noah Fant · NOReceiving yards0–537Inside
    Tyler Shough · NORushing yards0–340Inside
    Tyler Shough · NOPassing yards139–37696Outside
    Bryce Lance · NOReceptions0–30Inside
    Bryce Lance · NOReceiving yards0–370Inside
    Spencer Rattler · NORushing yards0–28—Not graded
    Mason Tipton · NOReceptions0–3—Not graded
    CJ Donaldson · NORushing yards0–2213Inside
    Kyler Murray · MINRushing yards0–2851Outside
    Kyler Murray · MINPassing yards73–252229Inside
    Carson Wentz · MINRushing yards0–23—Not graded
    Demond Claiborne · MINRushing yards0–190Inside
    Jauan Jennings · MINReceptions0–20Inside
  • CIN @ MIA

    Final · CIN 31 – 24 MIA

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

    CallPickOutcome
    WinnerMIA (home)Loss
    Player ranges · 28 of 31 finals landed inside the printed range

    A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

    PlayerStatRangeFinalInside?
    Chase Brown · CINReceptions1–83Inside
    Chase Brown · CINReceiving yards2–5521Inside
    Chase Brown · CINRushing yards24–10539Inside
    Ja'Marr Chase · CINReceptions2–106Inside
    Ja'Marr Chase · CINReceiving yards8–8977Inside
    Tee Higgins · CINReceptions2–102Inside
    Tee Higgins · CINReceiving yards11–11322Inside
    Ollie Gordon II · MIAReceptions0–30Inside
    Ollie Gordon II · MIARushing yards6–7088Outside
    Malik Washington · MIAReceptions1–96Inside
    Malik Washington · MIAReceiving yards8–9143Inside
    Mike Gesicki · CINReceptions0–51Inside
    Mike Gesicki · CINReceiving yards0–594Inside
    Samaje Perine · CINReceptions0–32Inside
    Samaje Perine · CINRushing yards0–4068Outside
    Malik Willis · MIARushing yards0–4974Outside
    Malik Willis · MIAPassing yards104–342137Inside
    Dohnte Meyers · CINReceptions0–52Inside
    Dohnte Meyers · CINReceiving yards0–4912Inside
    Jaylen Wright · MIARushing yards0–3611Inside
    Chris Bell · MIAReceptions0–50Inside
    Chris Bell · MIAReceiving yards0–560Inside
    Mitchell Tinsley · CINReceptions0–4—Not graded
    Mitchell Tinsley · CINReceiving yards0–48—Not graded
    Kevin Coleman Jr. · MIAReceptions0–43Inside
    Kevin Coleman Jr. · MIAReceiving yards0–4830Inside
    Andrei Iosivas · CINReceptions0–4—Not graded
    Andrei Iosivas · CINReceiving yards0–38—Not graded
    Greg Dulcich · MIAReceptions0–54Inside
    Greg Dulcich · MIAReceiving yards0–6537Inside
    Joe Burrow · CINRushing yards0–3110Inside
    Joe Burrow · CINPassing yards145–395190Inside
    Will Kacmarek · MIAReceptions0–31Inside
    Will Kacmarek · MIAReceiving yards0–355Inside
    DJ Herman · MIAReceiving yards0–45—Not graded
    Erick All Jr. · CINReceiving yards0–3825Inside
  • CLE @ NYJ

    Final · CLE 12 – 17 NYJ

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

    CallPickOutcome
    WinnerCLE (away)Loss
    Player ranges · 24 of 28 finals landed inside the printed range

    A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

    PlayerStatRangeFinalInside?
    Quinshon Judkins · CLEReceptions1–5.93Inside
    Quinshon Judkins · CLEReceiving yards1–586Inside
    Quinshon Judkins · CLERushing yards15–7544Inside
    Garrett Wilson · NYJReceptions2–127Inside
    Garrett Wilson · NYJReceiving yards11–99104Outside
    Harold Fannin Jr. · CLEReceptions1–8.81Inside
    Harold Fannin Jr. · CLEReceiving yards7–844Outside
    Braelon Allen · NYJReceptions0–41Inside
    Braelon Allen · NYJRushing yards9–70116Outside
    Denzel Boston · CLEReceptions1–6.93Inside
    Denzel Boston · CLEReceiving yards6–10046Inside
    KC Concepcion · CLEReceptions1–8.81Inside
    KC Concepcion · CLEReceiving yards9–845Outside
    Kenyon Sadiq · NYJReceptions1–72Inside
    Kenyon Sadiq · NYJReceiving yards0–673Inside
    Isaiah Williams · NYJReceptions0–61Inside
    Isaiah Williams · NYJReceiving yards0–5716Inside
    Raheim Sanders · CLEReceptions0–4.91Inside
    Raheim Sanders · CLEReceiving yards0–461Inside
    Raheim Sanders · CLERushing yards0–2312Inside
    Deshaun Watson · CLERushing yards3–5440Inside
    Deshaun Watson · CLEPassing yards117–353155Inside
    Dylan Sampson · CLEReceptions0–2.9—Not graded
    Dylan Sampson · CLERushing yards0–26—Not graded
    Mason Taylor · NYJReceptions0–53Inside
    Mason Taylor · NYJReceiving yards0–5024Inside
    Jerry Jeudy · CLEReceptions0–3.93Inside
    Jerry Jeudy · CLEReceiving yards0–5919Inside
    Jeremy Ruckert · NYJReceptions0–3—Not graded
    Jeremy Ruckert · NYJReceiving yards0–36—Not graded
    Geno Smith · NYJRushing yards0–247Inside
    Geno Smith · NYJPassing yards120–361182Inside
  • IND @ PIT

    Final · IND 22 – 34 PIT

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

    CallPickOutcome
    WinnerPIT (home)Win
    Player ranges · 23 of 29 finals landed inside the printed range

    A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

    PlayerStatRangeFinalInside?
    Jonathan Taylor · INDReceptions0–53Inside
    Jonathan Taylor · INDReceiving yards0–5037Inside
    Jonathan Taylor · INDRushing yards25–10945Inside
    Jaylen Warren · PITReceptions1–66Inside
    Jaylen Warren · PITReceiving yards0–6087Outside
    Jaylen Warren · PITRushing yards33–137101Inside
    DK Metcalf · PITReceptions1–83Inside
    DK Metcalf · PITReceiving yards7–9212Inside
    Tyler Warren · INDReceptions1–107Inside
    Tyler Warren · INDReceiving yards8–7483Outside
    Roman Wilson · PITReceptions1–60Outside
    Roman Wilson · PITReceiving yards1–720Outside
    Keenan Allen · INDReceptions1–85Inside
    Keenan Allen · INDReceiving yards6–7345Inside
    Pat Freiermuth · PITReceptions1–65Inside
    Pat Freiermuth · PITReceiving yards0–6044Inside
    Josh Downs · INDReceptions1–83Inside
    Josh Downs · INDReceiving yards6–8447Inside
    Anthony Richardson Sr. · INDRushing yards0–22—Not graded
    D.J. Montgomery · INDReceptions0–6—Not graded
    Darnell Washington · PITReceptions0–52Inside
    Darnell Washington · PITReceiving yards0–5412Inside
    Seth McGowan · INDRushing yards0–2516Inside
    Daniel Jones · INDRushing yards0–224Inside
    Daniel Jones · INDPassing yards107–320267Inside
    DJ Giddens · INDRushing yards0–29—Not graded
    Germie Bernard · PITReceptions0–46Outside
    Germie Bernard · PITReceiving yards0–4480Outside
    Laquon Treadwell · INDReceptions0–42Inside
    Laquon Treadwell · INDReceiving yards0–4934Inside
    Travis Homer · PITRushing yards0–23—Not graded
    Aaron Rodgers · PITRushing yards0–196Inside
    Aaron Rodgers · PITPassing yards119–350235Inside
  • LV @ NE

    Final · LV 17 – 45 NE

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

    CallPickOutcome
    WinnerNE (home)Win
    Player ranges · 23 of 31 finals landed inside the printed range

    A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

    PlayerStatRangeFinalInside?
    Brock Bowers · LVReceptions2–128Inside
    Brock Bowers · LVReceiving yards17–111110Inside
    Ashton Jeanty · LVReceptions1–83Inside
    Ashton Jeanty · LVReceiving yards4–6850Inside
    Ashton Jeanty · LVRushing yards19–8827Inside
    Rhamondre Stevenson · NEReceptions0–63Inside
    Rhamondre Stevenson · NEReceiving yards0–5521Inside
    Rhamondre Stevenson · NERushing yards10–7364Inside
    TreVeyon Henderson · NERushing yards12–7922Inside
    Romeo Doubs · NEReceptions1–71Inside
    Romeo Doubs · NEReceiving yards3–8016Inside
    Tre Tucker · LVReceptions1–74Inside
    Tre Tucker · LVReceiving yards3–7741Inside
    Michael Mayer · LVReceptions1–81Inside
    Michael Mayer · LVReceiving yards3–702Outside
    Cody White · LVReceptions0–42Inside
    Cody White · LVReceiving yards0–4044Outside
    Hunter Henry · NEReceptions1–63Inside
    Hunter Henry · NEReceiving yards0–6844Inside
    Mike Washington Jr. · LVRushing yards1–475Inside
    DeMario Douglas · NEReceptions0–54Inside
    DeMario Douglas · NEReceiving yards0–5565Outside
    Drake Maye · NERushing yards2–6125Inside
    Drake Maye · NEPassing yards116–361374Outside
    Efton Chism III · NEReceptions0–35Outside
    Efton Chism III · NEReceiving yards0–3557Outside
    Lan Larison · NEReceptions0–3—Not graded
    Corey Kiner · NERushing yards0–2752Outside
    Kyle Williams · NEReceptions0–33Inside
    Kyle Williams · NEReceiving yards0–3791Outside
    Kirk Cousins · LVRushing yards0–160Inside
    Kirk Cousins · LVPassing yards125–366243Inside
  • NYG @ WSH

    Final · NYG 27 – 27 WSH

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

    CallPickOutcome
    Winner—Void
    Player ranges · 27 of 34 finals landed inside the printed range

    A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

    PlayerStatRangeFinalInside?
    Isaiah Likely · NYGReceptions2–11.911Inside
    Isaiah Likely · NYGReceiving yards16–10294Inside
    Cam Skattebo · NYGReceptions0–52Inside
    Cam Skattebo · NYGReceiving yards0–5012Inside
    Cam Skattebo · NYGRushing yards11–7259Inside
    Terry McLaurin · WSHReceptions1–94Inside
    Terry McLaurin · WSHReceiving yards5–8262Inside
    Malik Nabers · NYGReceptions1–9.911Outside
    Malik Nabers · NYGReceiving yards11–99121Outside
    Jacory Croskey-Merritt · WSHRushing yards8–6282Outside
    Rachaad White · WSHReceptions0–51Inside
    Rachaad White · WSHReceiving yards0–382Inside
    Rachaad White · WSHRushing yards1–4618Inside
    Austin Ekeler · WSHReceptions0–41Inside
    Austin Ekeler · WSHRushing yards0–43-1Outside
    Antonio Williams · WSHReceptions1–63Inside
    Antonio Williams · WSHReceiving yards0–5631Inside
    Malachi Fields · NYGReceptions0–52Inside
    Malachi Fields · NYGReceiving yards0–6220Inside
    Treylon Burks · WSHReceptions0–42Inside
    Treylon Burks · WSHReceiving yards0–3826Inside
    Chig Okonkwo · WSHReceptions0–54Inside
    Chig Okonkwo · WSHReceiving yards0–3960Outside
    Najee Harris · NYGRushing yards1–469Inside
    Jayden Daniels · WSHRushing yards0–53103Outside
    Jayden Daniels · WSHPassing yards75–255199Inside
    Dyami Brown · WSHReceptions0–41Inside
    Dyami Brown · WSHReceiving yards0–412Inside
    Darnell Mooney · NYGReceptions0–42Inside
    Darnell Mooney · NYGReceiving yards0–4914Inside
    Theo Johnson · NYGReceptions0–32Inside
    Theo Johnson · NYGReceiving yards0–4535Inside
    Tyrone Tracy Jr. · NYGRushing yards0–266Inside
    Athan Kaliakmanis · WSHRushing yards0–27—Not graded
    Gunner Olszewski · NYGReceptions0–3—Not graded
    Jameis Winston · NYGPassing yards91–307326Outside
  • CHI @ GB

    Final · CHI 7 – 31 GB

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

    CallPickOutcome
    WinnerGB (home)Win
    Player ranges · 24 of 28 finals landed inside the printed range

    A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

    PlayerStatRangeFinalInside?
    D'Andre Swift · CHIReceptions0–44Inside
    D'Andre Swift · CHIReceiving yards0–4830Inside
    D'Andre Swift · CHIRushing yards11–8243Inside
    Josh Jacobs · GBReceptions0–4—Not graded
    Josh Jacobs · GBReceiving yards0–35—Not graded
    Josh Jacobs · GBRushing yards9–71—Not graded
    Christian Watson · GBReceptions1–86Inside
    Christian Watson · GBReceiving yards4–92143Outside
    Matthew Golden · GBReceptions1–86Inside
    Matthew Golden · GBReceiving yards3–81123Outside
    MarShawn Lloyd · GBReceptions0–51Inside
    MarShawn Lloyd · GBReceiving yards0–376Inside
    MarShawn Lloyd · GBRushing yards5–5231Inside
    Tucker Kraft · GBReceptions1–75Inside
    Tucker Kraft · GBReceiving yards0–6564Inside
    Luther Burden III · CHIReceptions1–94Inside
    Luther Burden III · CHIReceiving yards11–9947Inside
    Kalif Raymond · CHIReceptions1–93Inside
    Kalif Raymond · CHIReceiving yards7–856Outside
    Colston Loveland · CHIReceptions1–72Inside
    Colston Loveland · CHIReceiving yards5–7619Inside
    Rome Odunze · CHIReceptions1–73Inside
    Rome Odunze · CHIReceiving yards5–9140Inside
    Kaleb Johnson · GBRushing yards3–5526Inside
    Skyy Moore · GBReceptions0–41Inside
    Skyy Moore · GBReceiving yards0–330Inside
    Mark Redman · GBReceptions0–3—Not graded
    Luke Musgrave · GBReceptions0–3—Not graded
    Luke Musgrave · GBReceiving yards0–40—Not graded
    Cole Kmet · CHIReceptions0–31Inside
    Cole Kmet · CHIReceiving yards0–378Inside
    Case Keenum · CHIRushing yards0–224Inside
    Jordan Love · GBRushing yards0–186Inside
    Jordan Love · GBPassing yards120–360367Outside
  • DEN @ LAC

    Final · DEN 23 – 17 LAC

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

    CallPickOutcome
    WinnerDEN (away)Win
    Player ranges · 27 of 32 finals landed inside the printed range

    A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

    PlayerStatRangeFinalInside?
    Omarion Hampton · LACReceptions0–31Inside
    Omarion Hampton · LACRushing yards13–8133Inside
    RJ Harvey · DENReceptions1–100Outside
    RJ Harvey · DENReceiving yards6–710Outside
    RJ Harvey · DENRushing yards2–477Inside
    J.K. Dobbins · DENRushing yards13–8368Inside
    Jaylen Waddle · DENReceptions1–82Inside
    Jaylen Waddle · DENReceiving yards4–7719Inside
    Keaton Mitchell · LACReceptions0–53Inside
    Keaton Mitchell · LACReceiving yards0–3918Inside
    Keaton Mitchell · LACRushing yards1–5011Inside
    Jonah Coleman · DENReceptions0–3—Not graded
    Jonah Coleman · DENRushing yards0–37—Not graded
    Courtland Sutton · DENReceptions1–72Inside
    Courtland Sutton · DENReceiving yards0–6318Inside
    Ladd McConkey · LACReceptions1–6—Not graded
    Ladd McConkey · LACReceiving yards0–68—Not graded
    David Njoku · LACReceptions1–6—Not graded
    David Njoku · LACReceiving yards0–57—Not graded
    Oronde Gadsden · LACReceptions0–60Inside
    Oronde Gadsden · LACReceiving yards0–550Inside
    Tre' Harris · LACReceptions1–72Inside
    Tre' Harris · LACReceiving yards1–7316Inside
    Kimani Vidal · LACReceptions0–31Inside
    Kimani Vidal · LACRushing yards0–3457Outside
    Evan Engram · DENReceptions0–44Inside
    Evan Engram · DENReceiving yards0–4455Outside
    Bo Nix · DENRushing yards0–3210Inside
    Bo Nix · DENPassing yards112–332123Inside
    Justin Herbert · LACRushing yards0–4354Outside
    Justin Herbert · LACPassing yards112–346121Inside
    Marvin Mims Jr. · DENReceptions0–42Inside
    Marvin Mims Jr. · DENReceiving yards0–366Inside
    Tyler Badie · DENReceptions0–31Inside
    Lil'Jordan Humphrey · DENReceptions0–31Inside
    Charlie Kolar · LACReceptions0–33Inside
    Charlie Kolar · LACReceiving yards0–4137Inside
    Troy Franklin · DENReceiving yards0–3816Inside
  • DET @ ARI

    Final · DET 45 – 21 ARI

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

    CallPickOutcome
    WinnerDET (away)Win
    Player ranges · 24 of 28 finals landed inside the printed range

    A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

    PlayerStatRangeFinalInside?
    Jahmyr Gibbs · DETReceptions1–95Inside
    Jahmyr Gibbs · DETReceiving yards6–7356Inside
    Jahmyr Gibbs · DETRushing yards42–142151Outside
    Amon-Ra St. Brown · DETReceptions2–126Inside
    Amon-Ra St. Brown · DETReceiving yards17–11369Inside
    Trey McBride · ARIReceptions2.9–13.39Inside
    Trey McBride · ARIReceiving yards14–9666Inside
    James Conner · ARIReceptions0–4.8—Not graded
    James Conner · ARIReceiving yards0–37—Not graded
    James Conner · ARIRushing yards1–44—Not graded
    Jeremiyah Love · ARIReceptions0–3.80Inside
    Jeremiyah Love · ARIReceiving yards0–340Inside
    Jeremiyah Love · ARIRushing yards7–6622Inside
    Michael Wilson · ARIReceptions1.9–10.54Inside
    Michael Wilson · ARIReceiving yards12–9830Inside
    Sam LaPorta · DETReceptions1–95Inside
    Sam LaPorta · DETReceiving yards7–8588Outside
    Trey Benson · ARIReceptions0–4.8—Not graded
    Trey Benson · ARIReceiving yards0–39—Not graded
    Trey Benson · ARIRushing yards0–38—Not graded
    Tyler Allgeier · ARIReceptions0–3.82Inside
    Tyler Allgeier · ARIRushing yards0–377Inside
    Jameson Williams · DETReceptions1–72Inside
    Jameson Williams · DETReceiving yards3–8447Inside
    Isaac TeSlaa · DETReceptions0–50Inside
    Isaac TeSlaa · DETReceiving yards0–590Inside
    Bam Knight · ARIRushing yards0–368Inside
    Jacoby Brissett · ARIRushing yards0–2319Inside
    Jacoby Brissett · ARIPassing yards114–319292Inside
    Kendrick Bourne · ARIReceptions0–3.85Outside
    Kendrick Bourne · ARIReceiving yards0–5370Outside
    Sione Vaki · DETRushing yards0–2111Inside
    Jared Goff · DETRushing yards0–191Inside
    Jared Goff · DETPassing yards149–411271Inside
  • SF @ SEA

    Final · SF 32 – 29 SEA

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

    CallPickOutcome
    WinnerSEA (home)Loss
    Player ranges · 26 of 29 finals landed inside the printed range

    A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

    PlayerStatRangeFinalInside?
    Christian McCaffrey · SFReceptions0.8–63Inside
    Christian McCaffrey · SFReceiving yards3–6515Inside
    Christian McCaffrey · SFRushing yards12–7968Inside
    Jaxon Smith-Njigba · SEAReceptions3–145Inside
    Jaxon Smith-Njigba · SEAReceiving yards30–160102Inside
    George Kittle · SFReceptions0.8–6.85Inside
    George Kittle · SFReceiving yards5–8824Inside
    Emanuel Wilson · SEAReceptions0–32Inside
    Emanuel Wilson · SEAReceiving yards0–3911Inside
    Emanuel Wilson · SEARushing yards7–6361Inside
    Mike Evans · SFReceptions0.8–6.87Outside
    Mike Evans · SFReceiving yards5–82113Outside
    Brandon Aiyuk · SFReceptions0.8–6.8—Not graded
    Brandon Aiyuk · SFReceiving yards0–43—Not graded
    Deebo Samuel Sr. · SFReceptions0.8–5.32Inside
    Deebo Samuel Sr. · SFReceiving yards0–5421Inside
    Deebo Samuel Sr. · SFRushing yards0–244Inside
    Ricky Pearsall · SFReceptions0.8–5.3—Not graded
    Ricky Pearsall · SFReceiving yards0–57—Not graded
    Demarcus Robinson · SFReceptions0–3.8—Not graded
    Demarcus Robinson · SFReceiving yards0–53—Not graded
    Rashid Shaheed · SEAReceptions0–52Inside
    Rashid Shaheed · SEAReceiving yards0–5623Inside
    Cooper Kupp · SEAReceptions0–52Inside
    Cooper Kupp · SEAReceiving yards0–5915Inside
    George Holani · SEAReceptions0–34Outside
    George Holani · SEARushing yards0–327Inside
    AJ Barner · SEAReceptions0–53Inside
    AJ Barner · SEAReceiving yards0–5420Inside
    Kaelon Black · SFRushing yards1–4716Inside
    Brock Purdy · SFRushing yards0–436Inside
    Brock Purdy · SFPassing yards133–403189Inside
    Jordan James · SFRushing yards0–290Inside
    Tory Horton · SEAReceptions0–3—Not graded
    Tory Horton · SEAReceiving yards0–41—Not graded
    Jake Tonges · SFReceptions0–2.3—Not graded
    Jake Tonges · SFReceiving yards0–47—Not graded
    Mac Jones · SFRushing yards0–18—Not graded
    Sam Darnold · SEAPassing yards95–318195Inside
    Velus Jones Jr. · SEARushing yards0–230Inside

Premier League · 2–1 match results

Full Premier League record →

Model Performance:Match result →

  • Liverpool v Manchester City

    Final · Result: away win (0-3)

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official result

    CallPickOutcome
    Match resultaway winWin
  • Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest

    Final · Result: home win (3-1)

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official result

    CallPickOutcome
    Match resulthome winWin
  • Hull City v Everton

    Final · Result: draw (2-2)

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official result

    CallPickOutcome
    Match resultaway winLoss

Daily Top 5 · frozen before kickoff

Each board is published once, before the day's first kickoff, from public model families only — never chosen after the results, never revised. A board shows fewer than five when fewer players qualify.

Published Sat, Oct 10, 11:53 AM ET · first kickoff Sun, Oct 11, 9:30 AM ET

NFL · Anytime touchdown · top 5

  1. 1. Derrick Henry BAL v ATLScored
    Projection 78.5% to score · no book line captured
    Scored in 3 of his last 3 games on our boards
    Game receipt →
  2. 2. Jonathan Taylor IND v PITDid not score
    Projection 78.5% to score · no book line captured
    Scored in 2 of his last 3 games on our boards
    Game receipt →
  3. 3. Jahmyr Gibbs DET v ARIScored
    Projection 78.4% to score · no book line captured
    Scored in 3 of his last 3 games on our boards
    Game receipt →
  4. 4. Bijan Robinson ATL v BALDid not score
    Projection 69.5% to score · no book line captured
    Scored in 2 of his last 3 games on our boards
    Game receipt →
  5. 5. Christian McCaffrey SF v SEAScored
    Projection 63.8% to score · no book line captured
    Scored in 3 of his last 3 games on our boards
    Game receipt →

NFL · Receptions · top 5

  1. 1. Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA v SFInside the range · 5
    Projection 7 rec (3–14) · line 6.5
    Last 3 games on our boards: 5 · 10 · 9 rec — above 6.5 in 2 of 3
    Game receipt →
  2. 2. Chris Olave NO v MINInside the range · 4
    Projection 7 rec (3–13) · line 6.5
    Last 3 games on our boards: 8 · 9 · 8 rec — above 6.5 in 3 of 3
    Game receipt →
  3. 3. Trey McBride ARI v DETInside the range · 9
    Projection 6 rec (3–12) · line 7.5
    Last 3 games on our boards: 7 · 9 · 8 rec — above 7.5 in 2 of 3
    Game receipt →
  4. 4. Amon-Ra St. Brown DET v ARIInside the range · 6
    Projection 6 rec (2–12) · line 7.5
    Last 3 games on our boards: 8 · 4 · 9 rec — above 7.5 in 2 of 3
    Game receipt →
  5. 5. Brock Bowers LV v NEInside the range · 8
    Projection 6 rec (2–12) · line 6.5
    Last 2 games on our boards: 6 · 10 rec — above 6.5 in 1 of 2
    Game receipt →

NFL · Receiving yards · top 5

  1. 1. Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA v SFInside the range · 102
    Projection 83 yds (30–159) · line 94.5
    Last 3 games on our boards: 76 · 128 · 155 yds — above 94.5 in 2 of 3
    Game receipt →
  2. 2. Drake London ATL v BALInside the range · 118
    Projection 77 yds (25–154) · line 82.5
    Last 3 games on our boards: 96 · 194 · 51 yds — above 82.5 in 2 of 3
    Game receipt →
  3. 3. Chris Olave NO v MINInside the range · 46
    Projection 61 yds (19–127) · line 79.5
    Last 3 games on our boards: 116 · 107 · 86 yds — above 79.5 in 3 of 3
    Game receipt →
  4. 4. Amon-Ra St. Brown DET v ARIInside the range · 69
    Projection 55 yds (19–113) · line 80.5
    Last 3 games on our boards: 75 · 19 · 142 yds — above 80.5 in 1 of 3
    Game receipt →
  5. 5. Brock Bowers LV v NEInside the range · 110
    Projection 52 yds (16–110) · line 72.5
    Last 2 games on our boards: 86 · 116 yds — above 72.5 in 2 of 2
    Game receipt →

Not eligible that day: Rushing yards (estimate only), Passing yards (estimate only).

  • MLB: no qualifying board — Player props are market context only — no MLB prop model has passed its bar, so none can make a board.
  • Premier League: no qualifying board — No player-prop model — Premier League forecasts are match results only.
  • UFC: no qualifying board — No fight-prop model — UFC forecasts are fight winners only.

Product cards settled this day

Every Bank Builder and Moonshot lane, each leg with its official score and grade — the receipts the product records are built from. Source: MLB Stats API official box score (feed/live), joined by gamePk. Paper-only.

  • Bank Builder · lane A

    No card placed

    No card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.

  • Bank Builder · lane B

    No card placed

    No card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.

  • Moonshot · lane A

    No card placed

    No card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.

  • Moonshot · lane B

    No card placed

    No card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.

Suggested Parlays published this day

The MLB cards as published (one per risk level), each graded from the lab’s settled receipt — the same cards the published record counts. A card not yet settled is pending, never a loss. Paper-only.

  • Low Risk

    No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.

  • Medium Risk

    No card was published — every candidate on today's slate uses a market-context family (Hits) — the model behind it was demoted and is not a published GameTime projection, so no card is offered.

  • High Risk

    No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.

  • Longshot

    No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.

Model research · player-prop leans, not public picks

Projection vs actual for every settled prop lean, graded for transparency and model development.

MLB
57.9%
22–16 on 38
Biggest hits
  • MLBBrice TurangOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+27.4pp edgeactual 3
  • MLBAndy PagesOver 0.5 Hits+20.3pp edgeactual 1
  • MLBAndy PagesOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+19.9pp edgeactual 2
  • MLBJackson ChourioOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+19.6pp edgeactual 2
  • MLBTeoscar HernandezOver 0.5 Hits+17.1pp edgeactual 2
Biggest misses
  • MLBMookie BettsOver 1.5 Total Bases+24.1pp edgeactual 1
  • MLBWill SmithOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+19.7pp edgeactual 0
  • MLBKyle TuckerOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+18.5pp edgeactual 0
  • MLBMookie BettsOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+18.4pp edgeactual 1
  • MLBJoey OrtizOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+17.8pp edgeactual 0
MLB settled games · projection vs actual
LAD @ MIL
22–1638 dec2 void57.9%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Jacob MisiorowskiStrikeoutsUnder 7.56.715+4.9%MediumWin
Tarik SkubalStrikeoutsOver 7.57.257-1.9%LowLoss
Mookie BettsHitsOver 0.51.251+7.6%HighWin
Jackson ChourioHitsOver 0.51.152+5.8%HighWin
Will SmithHitsOver 0.51.070+12.5%HighLoss
William ContrerasHitsOver 0.50.970+6.9%HighLoss
Brice TurangHitsOver 0.51.171+15.3%HighWin
Christian YelichHitsOver 0.50.74—+1.9%LowVoid
Freddie FreemanHitsOver 0.50.951+9.4%HighWin
Luis LaraHitsOver 0.50.711+2.3%LowWin
Joey OrtizHitsOver 0.51.020+15.2%HighLoss
Teoscar HernandezHitsOver 0.51.072+17.1%HighWin
Cooper PrattHitsOver 0.50.940+13.0%HighLoss
Jake BauersHitsOver 0.50.841+9.6%HighWin
Shohei OhtaniHitsOver 0.50.881+10.3%HighWin
Kyle TuckerHitsOver 0.51.010+17.3%HighLoss
Andy PagesHitsOver 0.51.081+20.3%LowWin
Enrique HernandezHitsOver 0.50.680+5.6%HighLoss
Garrett MitchellHitsOver 0.50.720+6.5%HighLoss
Max MuncyHitsOver 0.50.871+13.8%HighWin
Mookie BettsHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.571+18.4%HighLoss
Jackson ChourioHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.622+19.6%HighWin
William ContrerasHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.120+17.1%HighLoss
Will SmithHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.090+19.7%HighLoss
Brice TurangHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.543+27.4%LowWin
Freddie FreemanHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.721+10.1%HighWin
Christian YelichHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.79—+10.5%HighVoid
Joey OrtizHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.970+17.8%HighLoss
Jake BauersHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.961+13.1%HighWin
Luis LaraHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.512+9.5%HighWin
Teoscar HernandezHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.992+14.3%HighWin
Cooper PrattHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.710+13.1%HighLoss
Shohei OhtaniHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.712+9.7%HighWin
Kyle TuckerHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.52.080+18.5%HighLoss
Andy PagesHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.52.332+19.9%HighWin
Garrett MitchellHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.501+10.6%HighWin
Enrique HernandezHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.510+13.1%HighLoss
Max MuncyHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.851+15.6%HighWin
Mookie BettsTotal BasesOver 1.52.331+24.1%LowLoss
Jackson ChourioTotal BasesOver 1.51.852+16.1%HighWin
all settled dates
each record stands alone · pushes and voids are never losses · educational use only · not betting advice