Saturday, October 10
Game by game
Every forecast graded for this day against the official result, by sport and game. Each sport keeps its own record — they are never added into one percentage. Pushes and voids are never losses.
MLB · 1–1 game calls
Full MLB record →Model Performance:Winner →Total runs →Run line →
Not in this record, but still graded below: 1 call paused on the site or not shown before the game.
CWS @ CLE
Final · CWS 0 – 2 CLEOfficial Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 10–27 · 4 void →Call Pick Outcome Winner CLE (home) Win Total runspaused on the site · not a public pick OVER 7 Loss Run line (posted line) CWS +1.5 Loss
Premier League · 3–3 match results
Full Premier League record →Model Performance:Match result →
Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur
Final · Result: draw (1-1)Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome Match result home win Loss Chelsea v Bournemouth
Final · Result: home win (5-1)Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome Match result home win Win Ipswich Town v Fulham
Final · Result: home win (2-1)Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome Match result away win Loss Sunderland v Brighton & Hove Albion
Final · Result: away win (0-2)Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome Match result away win Win Aston Villa v Brentford
Final · Result: draw (2-2)Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome Match result home win Loss Arsenal v Leeds United
Final · Result: home win (2-1)Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome Match result home win Win
UFC · 5–5 · 1 void fight winners
Full UFC record →Model Performance:Fight winner →
Christian Leroy Duncan vs Brendan Allen
Final · Winner: Brendan AllenVerified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome Fight winner Christian Leroy Duncan Loss Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert
Final · Winner: Jai HerbertVerified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome Fight winner Matheus Camilo Loss Malcolm Wellmaker vs Otari Tanzilovi
Final · Winner: Otari TanziloviVerified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome Fight winner Malcolm Wellmaker Loss Julius Walker vs Gerald Meerschaert
Final · Winner: Julius WalkerVerified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome Fight winner Julius Walker Win Francisco Prado vs Ismael Bonfim
Final · Winner: Francisco PradoVerified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome Fight winner Francisco Prado Win Leon Shahbazyan vs Niko Price
Final · Winner: Niko PriceVerified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome Fight winner Leon Shahbazyan Loss Felipe Franco vs Brendson Ribeiro
Final · Winner: Brendson RibeiroVerified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome Fight winner Felipe Franco Loss Loopy Godínez vs Ketlen Souza
Final · Winner: Loopy GodínezVerified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome Fight winner Loopy Godínez Win Andre Fili vs Kai Kamaka III
Final · Winner: Andre FiliVerified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome Fight winner Andre Fili Win Alice Pereira vs Daria Zhelezniakova
Final · Winner: Alice PereiraVerified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome Fight winner Alice Pereira Win Melissa Gatto vs Ernesta Kareckaite
Final score not on fileCall Pick Outcome Fight winner Melissa Gatto Void
Daily Top 5 · frozen before kickoff
Each board is published once, before the day's first kickoff, from public model families only — never chosen after the results, never revised. A board shows fewer than five when fewer players qualify.
No qualifying board was frozen for Saturday, October 10.
- MLB: no qualifying board — Player props are market context only — no MLB prop model has passed its bar, so none can make a board.
- Premier League: no qualifying board — No player-prop model — Premier League forecasts are match results only.
- UFC: no qualifying board — No fight-prop model — UFC forecasts are fight winners only.
Product cards settled this day
Every Bank Builder and Moonshot lane, each leg with its official score and grade — the receipts the product records are built from. Source: MLB Stats API official box score (feed/live), joined by gamePk. Paper-only.
Bank Builder · lane A
No card placedNo card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.
Bank Builder · lane B
No card placedNo card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.
Moonshot · lane A
No card placedNo card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.
Moonshot · lane B
No card placedNo card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.
Suggested Parlays published this day
The MLB cards as published (one per risk level), each graded from the lab’s settled receipt — the same cards the published record counts. A card not yet settled is pending, never a loss. Paper-only.
Low Risk
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.
Medium Risk
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.
High Risk
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.
Longshot
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.
Model research · player-prop leans, not public picks
Projection vs actual for every settled prop lean, graded for transparency and model development.
- MLBSean BurkeOver 3.5 Strikeouts+20.4pp edgeactual 4
- MLBJose RamirezOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+12.3pp edgeactual 4
- MLBSam AntonacciOver 0.5 Hits+7.3pp edgeactual 1
- MLBJose RamirezOver 0.5 Hits+7.3pp edgeactual 1
- MLBSteven KwanOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+6.2pp edgeactual 2
- MLBAndrew BenintendiOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+22.6pp edgeactual 0
- MLBMunetaka MurakamiOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+22.3pp edgeactual 0
- MLBChase MeidrothOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+21.5pp edgeactual 0
- MLBBrayan RocchioOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+20.2pp edgeactual 0
- MLBMiguel VargasOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+18.5pp edgeactual 0
CWS @ CLE10–2737 dec4 void27.0%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Burke | Strikeouts | Over 3.5 | 5.53 | 4 | +20.4% | Low | Win |
| Gavin Williams | Strikeouts | Over 6.5 | 7.15 | 12 | +1.5% | Low | Win |
| Steven Kwan | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.11 | 1 | +3.0% | Medium | Win |
| Chase DeLauter | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.98 | 1 | -1.7% | Low | Win |
| Sam Antonacci | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.13 | 1 | +7.3% | High | Win |
| Jose Ramirez | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.05 | 1 | +7.3% | High | Win |
| Jo Adell | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.96 | 1 | +5.5% | High | Win |
| Miguel Vargas | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.91 | 0 | +6.1% | High | Loss |
| Angel Martinez | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.06 | — | +11.5% | High | Void |
| Tristan Peters | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.49 | 1 | +3.5% | Medium | Loss |
| Chase Meidroth | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.26 | 0 | +20.8% | Low | Loss |
| Kyle Teel | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.67 | 1 | -1.6% | Low | Win |
| Brayan Rocchio | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.04 | 0 | +14.3% | High | Loss |
| Nathaniel Lowe | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.74 | 0 | +2.8% | Medium | Loss |
| Braden Montgomery | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.00 | — | +14.6% | High | Void |
| Travis Bazzana | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.74 | 0 | +2.5% | Low | Loss |
| Patrick Bailey | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.61 | 0 | -1.8% | Low | Loss |
| Munetaka Murakami | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.87 | 0 | +12.1% | High | Loss |
| Andrew Benintendi | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.66 | 0 | +12.2% | High | Loss |
| Colson Montgomery | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.52 | 0 | +7.8% | High | Loss |
| Chase DeLauter | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.97 | 1 | +6.2% | High | Loss |
| Steven Kwan | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.83 | 2 | +6.2% | High | Win |
| Jose Ramirez | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.15 | 4 | +12.3% | High | Win |
| Jo Adell | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.92 | 1 | +8.1% | High | Loss |
| Sam Antonacci | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.14 | 1 | +15.4% | High | Loss |
| Miguel Vargas | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.39 | 0 | +18.5% | High | Loss |
| Munetaka Murakami | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.45 | 0 | +22.3% | Low | Loss |
| Angel Martinez | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.33 | — | +20.8% | Low | Void |
| Tristan Peters | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.19 | 1 | +0.9% | Low | Loss |
| Kyle Teel | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.97 | 1 | +16.6% | High | Loss |
| Chase Meidroth | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 2.60 | 0 | +21.5% | Low | Loss |
| Nathaniel Lowe | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.45 | 0 | +5.0% | High | Loss |
| Brayan Rocchio | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 2.30 | 0 | +20.2% | Low | Loss |
| Braden Montgomery | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.80 | — | +13.9% | High | Void |
| Patrick Bailey | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.33 | 0 | +6.3% | High | Loss |
| Travis Bazzana | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.45 | 0 | +4.3% | Medium | Loss |
| Andrew Benintendi | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.69 | 0 | +22.6% | Low | Loss |
| Colson Montgomery | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.33 | 0 | +17.3% | High | Loss |
| Chase DeLauter | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.70 | 1 | +12.1% | High | Loss |
| Steven Kwan | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.33 | 1 | +4.6% | Medium | Loss |
| Sam Antonacci | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.43 | 1 | +8.3% | High | Loss |