Premier League · Match result (1X2)
46 forecasts published · 46 measured · 0 not final · 0 void or not measurable. Models: epl-model-v1-split-poisson, epl-model-v2-elo-poisson.
1.052log loss (n 46) — a blind guess scores 1.099
0.644Brier score — a blind guess scores 0.667
43.5%our likeliest outcome happened
Latest forecasts
The 46 most recent of 46. Download all 46 as CSV.
| Game | Forecast for | What we said | Market | What happened | Scored |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 Fulham v Manchester United | Fulham v Manchester United | Home 33.0% · Draw 25.2% · Away 41.9% published 2026-09-19 22:35Z | — | Result: draw | Brier 0.844 |
| 2026-09-20 Manchester City v Sunderland | Manchester City v Sunderland | Home 77.0% · Draw 15.9% · Away 7.1% published 2026-09-19 22:35Z | — | Result: home | Brier 0.083 |
| 2026-09-20 Bournemouth v Liverpool | Bournemouth v Liverpool | Home 41.5% · Draw 25.2% · Away 33.3% published 2026-09-19 22:35Z | — | Result: away | Brier 0.681 |
| 2026-09-20 Leeds United v Crystal Palace | Leeds United v Crystal Palace | Home 50.5% · Draw 24.2% · Away 25.3% published 2026-09-19 22:35Z | — | Result: draw | Brier 0.894 |
| 2026-09-19 Nottingham Forest v Coventry City | Nottingham Forest v Coventry City | Home 67.3% · Draw 19.9% · Away 12.9% published 2026-09-19 16:09Z | — | Result: away | Brier 1.251 |
| 2026-09-19 Brighton & Hove Albion v Arsenal | Brighton & Hove Albion v Arsenal | Home 25.0% · Draw 24.1% · Away 50.8% published 2026-09-19 13:59Z | — | Result: home | Brier 0.878 |
| 2026-09-19 Everton v Ipswich Town | Everton v Ipswich Town | Home 61.1% · Draw 21.8% · Away 17.1% published 2026-09-19 13:59Z | — | Result: home | Brier 0.228 |
| 2026-09-19 Newcastle United v Hull City | Newcastle United v Hull City | Home 57.4% · Draw 22.8% · Away 19.8% published 2026-09-19 13:59Z | — | Result: home | Brier 0.273 |
| 2026-09-19 Tottenham Hotspur v Aston Villa | Tottenham Hotspur v Aston Villa | Home 31.5% · Draw 25.2% · Away 43.3% published 2026-09-18 23:02Z | — | Result: away | Brier 0.484 |
| 2026-09-18 Brentford v Chelsea | Brentford v Chelsea | Home 45.1% · Draw 25.0% · Away 29.9% published 2026-09-17 23:30Z | — | Result: home | Brier 0.453 |
| 2026-09-14 Leeds United v Newcastle United | Leeds United v Newcastle United | Home 29.0% · Draw 23.9% · Away 47.1% published 2026-09-13 23:04Z | — | Result: home | Brier 0.782 |
| 2026-09-13 Manchester United v Manchester City | Manchester United v Manchester City | Home 24.4% · Draw 24.2% · Away 51.4% published 2026-09-12 22:44Z | — | Result: away | Brier 0.354 |
| 2026-09-13 Coventry City v Brighton & Hove Albion | Coventry City v Brighton & Hove Albion | Home 1.5% · Draw 31.0% · Away 67.4% published 2026-09-12 22:44Z | — | Result: away | Brier 0.203 |
| 2026-09-12 Sunderland v Arsenal | Sunderland v Arsenal | Home 17.9% · Draw 27.6% · Away 54.5% published 2026-09-12 18:02Z | — | Result: away | Brier 0.316 |
| 2026-09-12 Tottenham Hotspur v Everton | Tottenham Hotspur v Everton | Home 45.5% · Draw 25.8% · Away 28.6% published 2026-09-12 16:27Z | — | Result: draw | Brier 0.840 |
| 2026-09-12 Chelsea v Hull City | Chelsea v Hull City | Home 2.1% · Draw 41.0% · Away 57.0% published 2026-09-12 13:52Z | — | Result: draw | Brier 0.674 |
| 2026-09-12 Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest | Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest | Home 61.4% · Draw 20.1% · Away 18.5% published 2026-09-12 13:52Z | — | Result: away | Brier 1.081 |
| 2026-09-12 Bournemouth v Brentford | Bournemouth v Brentford | Home 36.3% · Draw 28.1% · Away 35.6% published 2026-09-12 13:52Z | — | Result: draw | Brier 0.776 |
| 2026-09-12 Crystal Palace v Ipswich Town | Crystal Palace v Ipswich Town | Home 50.7% · Draw 23.5% · Away 25.8% published 2026-09-12 13:52Z | — | Result: away | Brier 0.862 |
| 2026-09-12 Liverpool v Fulham | Liverpool v Fulham | Home 66.7% · Draw 19.5% · Away 13.8% published 2026-09-12 13:52Z | — | Result: draw | Brier 1.112 |
| 2026-09-06 Arsenal v Chelsea | Arsenal v Chelsea | Home 65.2% · Draw 19.1% · Away 15.7% published 2026-09-06 15:00Z | — | Result: home | Brier 0.182 |
| 2026-09-06 Everton v Manchester United | Everton v Manchester United | Home 34.2% · Draw 28.3% · Away 37.5% published 2026-09-05 22:29Z | — | Result: draw | Brier 0.772 |
| 2026-09-05 Hull City v Aston Villa | Hull City v Aston Villa | Home 84.0% · Draw 15.3% · Away 0.7% published 2026-09-05 16:11Z | — | Result: draw | Brier 1.423 |
| 2026-09-05 Fulham v Crystal Palace | Fulham v Crystal Palace | Home 42.6% · Draw 26.1% · Away 31.2% published 2026-09-05 13:40Z | — | Result: away | Brier 0.723 |
| 2026-09-05 Brentford v Sunderland | Brentford v Sunderland | Home 54.7% · Draw 24.2% · Away 21.1% published 2026-09-05 13:40Z | — | Result: draw | Brier 0.919 |
| 2026-09-05 Nottingham Forest v Tottenham Hotspur | Nottingham Forest v Tottenham Hotspur | Home 35.0% · Draw 25.1% · Away 39.9% published 2026-09-05 13:40Z | — | Result: draw | Brier 0.844 |
| 2026-09-05 Manchester City v Coventry City | Manchester City v Coventry City | Home 99.0% · Draw 1.0% · Away 0.0% published 2026-09-05 13:40Z | — | Result: home | Brier 0.000 |
| 2026-09-05 Newcastle United v Bournemouth | Newcastle United v Bournemouth | Home 65.6% · Draw 17.7% · Away 16.7% published 2026-09-04 22:47Z | — | Result: draw | Brier 1.136 |
| 2026-09-04 Ipswich Town v Liverpool | Ipswich Town v Liverpool | Home 5.7% · Draw 10.8% · Away 83.5% published 2026-09-03 23:12Z | — | Result: away | Brier 0.042 |
| 2026-08-31 Aston Villa v Arsenal | Aston Villa v Arsenal | Home 22.7% · Draw 24.2% · Away 53.1% published 2026-08-30 23:20Z | — | Result: away | Brier 0.330 |
| 2026-08-30 Manchester United v Ipswich Town | Manchester United v Ipswich Town | Home 61.8% · Draw 20.4% · Away 17.8% published 2026-08-29 22:56Z | — | Result: home | Brier 0.219 |
| 2026-08-30 Sunderland v Fulham | Sunderland v Fulham | Home 42.7% · Draw 28.8% · Away 28.5% published 2026-08-29 22:56Z | — | Result: home | Brier 0.492 |
| 2026-08-30 Leeds United v Brentford | Leeds United v Brentford | Home 33.7% · Draw 25.2% · Away 41.0% published 2026-08-29 22:56Z | — | Result: draw | Brier 0.841 |
| 2026-08-29 Tottenham Hotspur v Newcastle United | Tottenham Hotspur v Newcastle United | Home 35.0% · Draw 23.0% · Away 42.0% published 2026-08-29 15:27Z | — | Result: away | Brier 0.511 |
| 2026-08-29 Coventry City v Hull City | Coventry City v Hull City | Home 44.3% · Draw 24.2% · Away 31.5% published 2026-08-29 03:05Z | — | Result: away | Brier 0.724 |
| 2026-08-29 Bournemouth v Everton | Bournemouth v Everton | Home 41.5% · Draw 30.5% · Away 28.0% published 2026-08-29 03:05Z | — | Result: draw | Brier 0.734 |
| 2026-08-29 Liverpool v Nottingham Forest | Liverpool v Nottingham Forest | Home 74.0% · Draw 15.7% · Away 10.3% published 2026-08-29 03:05Z | — | Result: draw | Brier 1.270 |
| 2026-08-24 Fulham v Chelsea | Fulham v Chelsea | Home 37.5% · Draw 24.4% · Away 38.1% published 2026-08-24 18:52Z | — | Result: away | Brier 0.583 |
| 2026-08-23 Newcastle United v Liverpool | Newcastle United v Liverpool | Home 46.6% · Draw 22.0% · Away 31.4% published 2026-08-23 15:15Z | — | Result: draw | Brier 0.925 |
| 2026-08-23 Manchester City v Bournemouth | Manchester City v Bournemouth | Home 79.1% · Draw 12.3% · Away 8.5% published 2026-08-23 12:38Z | — | Result: home | Brier 0.066 |
| 2026-08-22 Brentford v Tottenham Hotspur | Brentford v Tottenham Hotspur | Home 41.9% · Draw 21.8% · Away 36.3% published 2026-08-22 16:17Z | — | Result: home | Brier 0.518 |
| 2026-08-22 Nottingham Forest v Leeds United | Nottingham Forest v Leeds United | Home 51.7% · Draw 24.7% · Away 23.6% published 2026-08-21 23:51Z | — | Result: away | Brier 0.912 |
| 2026-08-22 Ipswich Town v Sunderland | Ipswich Town v Sunderland | Home 16.0% · Draw 25.4% · Away 58.6% published 2026-08-21 23:51Z | — | Result: home | Brier 1.113 |
| 2026-08-22 Everton v Crystal Palace | Everton v Crystal Palace | Home 34.9% · Draw 29.5% · Away 35.6% published 2026-08-21 23:51Z | — | Result: home | Brier 0.638 |
| 2026-08-22 Hull City v Manchester United | Hull City v Manchester United | Home 42.2% · Draw 25.0% · Away 32.7% published 2026-08-21 23:51Z | — | Result: home | Brier 0.504 |
| 2026-08-21 Arsenal v Coventry City | Arsenal v Coventry City | Home 69.1% · Draw 17.8% · Away 13.0% published 2026-08-21 18:18Z | — | Result: home | Brier 0.144 |
Market numbers are the sportsbook’s, shown for context. They are not part of any score on this page.