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Results · one day

Saturday, August 29

Game by game

Every forecast graded for this day against the official result, by sport and game. Each sport keeps its own record — they are never added into one percentage. Pushes and voids are never losses.

MLB · 23–18–3 game calls

Full MLB record →

Model Performance:Winner →Total runs →Run line →

BOS @ NYY
Final · BOS 2 – 9 NYY
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Call Pick Outcome
Winner BOS (away) Loss
Total runs UNDER 7.5 Loss
Run line (simulated ±1.5) NYY +1.5 Win
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 0–1 →
CWS @ MIN
Final · CWS 3 – 2 MIN
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Call Pick Outcome
Winner MIN (home) Loss
Total runs UNDER 9 Win
Run line (simulated ±1.5) CWS +1.5 Win
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 18–28 · 2 void →
PIT @ STL
Final · PIT 6 – 2 STL
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Call Pick Outcome
Winner STL (home) Loss
Total runs UNDER 8 Push
Run line (simulated ±1.5) PIT +1.5 Win
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 14–21 · 2 void →
CIN @ CHC
Final · CIN 5 – 17 CHC
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Call Pick Outcome
Winner CHC (home) Win
Total runs UNDER 9.5 Loss
Run line (simulated ±1.5) CIN +1.5 Loss
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 19–18 · 2 void →
SEA @ TOR
Final · SEA 3 – 4 TOR
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Call Pick Outcome
Winner TOR (home) Win
Total runs UNDER 7.5 Win
Run line (simulated ±1.5) SEA +1.5 Win
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 17–23 →
AZ @ SF
Final · AZ 7 – 1 SF
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Call Pick Outcome
Winner SF (home) Loss
Total runs UNDER 8.5 Win
Run line (simulated ±1.5) AZ +1.5 Win
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 10–11 →
AZ @ SF
Final · AZ 2 – 7 SF
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Call Pick Outcome
Winner SF (home) Win
Run line (simulated ±1.5) AZ +1.5 Loss
MIA @ WSH
Final · MIA 4 – 5 WSH
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Call Pick Outcome
Winner MIA (away) Loss
Total runs UNDER 8 Loss
Run line (simulated ±1.5) WSH +1.5 Win
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 20–16 · 2 void →
KC @ CLE
Final · KC 8 – 3 CLE
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Call Pick Outcome
Winner KC (away) Win
Total runs UNDER 8 Loss
Run line (simulated ±1.5) CLE +1.5 Loss
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 15–22 · 4 void →
HOU @ NYM
Final · HOU 2 – 6 NYM
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Call Pick Outcome
Winner NYM (home) Win
Total runs UNDER 8 Push
Run line (simulated ±1.5) HOU +1.5 Loss
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 19–16 · 2 void →
SD @ TB
Final · SD 6 – 7 TB
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Call Pick Outcome
Winner SD (away) Loss
Total runs UNDER 8 Loss
Run line (simulated ±1.5) TB +1.5 Win
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 27–12 · 2 void →
COL @ ATL
Final · COL 1 – 2 ATL
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Call Pick Outcome
Winner COL (away) Loss
Total runs UNDER 8.5 Win
Run line (simulated ±1.5) ATL +1.5 Win
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 16–22 · 2 void →
TEX @ MIL
Final · TEX 3 – 5 MIL
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Call Pick Outcome
Winner MIL (home) Win
Total runs OVER 8 Push
Run line (simulated ±1.5) TEX +1.5 Loss
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 19–19 · 2 void →
BAL @ ATH
Final · BAL 5 – 3 ATH
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Call Pick Outcome
Winner BAL (away) Win
Total runs UNDER 10 Win
Run line (simulated ±1.5) ATH +1.5 Loss
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 28–16 · 3 void →
PHI @ LAA
Final · PHI 4 – 2 LAA
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Call Pick Outcome
Winner PHI (away) Win
Total runs UNDER 8 Win
Run line (simulated ±1.5) PHI -1.5 Win
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 15–27 →

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	BOS (away)	Loss
Total runs	UNDER 7.5	Loss
Run line (simulated ±1.5)	NYY +1.5	Win

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	MIN (home)	Loss
Total runs	UNDER 9	Win
Run line (simulated ±1.5)	CWS +1.5	Win

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	STL (home)	Loss
Total runs	UNDER 8	Push
Run line (simulated ±1.5)	PIT +1.5	Win

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	CHC (home)	Win
Total runs	UNDER 9.5	Loss
Run line (simulated ±1.5)	CIN +1.5	Loss

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	TOR (home)	Win
Total runs	UNDER 7.5	Win
Run line (simulated ±1.5)	SEA +1.5	Win

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	SF (home)	Loss
Total runs	UNDER 8.5	Win
Run line (simulated ±1.5)	AZ +1.5	Win

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	SF (home)	Win
Run line (simulated ±1.5)	AZ +1.5	Loss

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	MIA (away)	Loss
Total runs	UNDER 8	Loss
Run line (simulated ±1.5)	WSH +1.5	Win

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	KC (away)	Win
Total runs	UNDER 8	Loss
Run line (simulated ±1.5)	CLE +1.5	Loss

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	NYM (home)	Win
Total runs	UNDER 8	Push
Run line (simulated ±1.5)	HOU +1.5	Loss

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	SD (away)	Loss
Total runs	UNDER 8	Loss
Run line (simulated ±1.5)	TB +1.5	Win

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	COL (away)	Loss
Total runs	UNDER 8.5	Win
Run line (simulated ±1.5)	ATL +1.5	Win

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	MIL (home)	Win
Total runs	OVER 8	Push
Run line (simulated ±1.5)	TEX +1.5	Loss

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	BAL (away)	Win
Total runs	UNDER 10	Win
Run line (simulated ±1.5)	ATH +1.5	Loss

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	PHI (away)	Win
Total runs	UNDER 8	Win
Run line (simulated ±1.5)	PHI -1.5	Win

NFL · 2–0 game winners

Full NFL record →

Model Performance:Winner →

DET @ IND
Final · DET 25 – 16 IND
Verified final · official final score
Call Pick Outcome
Winner DET (away) Win
CHI @ TEN
Final · CHI 24 – 15 TEN
Verified final · official final score
Call Pick Outcome
Winner CHI (away) Win

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	DET (away)	Win

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	CHI (away)	Win

Premier League · 1–3 match results

Full Premier League record →

Model Performance:Match result →

Tottenham Hotspur v Newcastle United
Final · Result: away win (0-2)
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome
Match result away win Win
Bournemouth v Everton
Final · Result: draw (1-1)
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome
Match result home win Loss
Coventry City v Hull City
Final · Result: away win (0-1)
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome
Match result home win Loss
Liverpool v Nottingham Forest
Final · Result: draw (2-2)
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome
Match result home win Loss

Call	Pick	Outcome
Match result	away win	Win

Call	Pick	Outcome
Match result	home win	Loss

Call	Pick	Outcome
Match result	home win	Loss

Call	Pick	Outcome
Match result	home win	Loss

UFC · 5–1 fight winners

Full UFC record →

Model Performance:Fight winner →

Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong
Final · Winner: Song Yadong
Verified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome
Fight winner Umar Nurmagomedov Loss
Denise Gomes vs Yan Xiaonan
Final · Winner: Denise Gomes
Verified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome
Fight winner Denise Gomes Win
Andre Lima vs Namsrai Batbayar
Final · Winner: Andre Lima
Verified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome
Fight winner Andre Lima Win
Rei Tsuruya vs Kevin Borjas
Final · Winner: Rei Tsuruya
Verified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome
Fight winner Rei Tsuruya Win
Sean Woodson vs Jack Jenkins
Final · Winner: Sean Woodson
Verified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome
Fight winner Sean Woodson Win
Julia Polastri vs Jingnan Xiong
Final · Winner: Julia Polastri
Verified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome
Fight winner Julia Polastri Win

Call	Pick	Outcome
Fight winner	Umar Nurmagomedov	Loss

Call	Pick	Outcome
Fight winner	Denise Gomes	Win

Call	Pick	Outcome
Fight winner	Andre Lima	Win

Call	Pick	Outcome
Fight winner	Rei Tsuruya	Win

Call	Pick	Outcome
Fight winner	Sean Woodson	Win

Call	Pick	Outcome
Fight winner	Julia Polastri	Win

Daily Top 5 · frozen before kickoff

Each board is published once, before the day's first kickoff, from public model families only — never chosen after the results, never revised. A board shows fewer than five when fewer players qualify.

No qualifying board was frozen for Saturday, August 29.

MLB: no qualifying board — Player props are market context only — no MLB prop model has passed its bar, so none can make a board.
Premier League: no qualifying board — No player-prop model — Premier League forecasts are match results only.
UFC: no qualifying board — No fight-prop model — UFC forecasts are fight winners only.

Product cards settled this day

Every Bank Builder and Moonshot lane, each leg with its official score and grade — the receipts the product records are built from. Source: MLB Stats API official box score (feed/live), joined by gamePk. Paper-only.

Bank Builder · lane A
Pending — not settled yet
No legs on this lane's receipt.
Bank Builder · lane B
Pending — not settled yet
No legs on this lane's receipt.
Moonshot · lane A
Pending — not settled yet
No legs on this lane's receipt.
Moonshot · lane B
Pending — not settled yet
No legs on this lane's receipt.

Suggested Parlays published this day

The MLB cards as published (one per risk level), each graded from the lab’s settled receipt — the same cards the published record counts. A card not yet settled is pending, never a loss. Paper-only.

Medium Risk · +218
Won
Leg Price Grade
Nate Furman · SF · Hits Under 0.5 +107 Won
Zach Neto · LAA · Hits Over 0.5 -187 Won

Leg	Price	Grade
Nate Furman · SF · Hits Under 0.5	+107	Won
Zach Neto · LAA · Hits Over 0.5	-187	Won

Longshot · +2629

Lost

Leg	Price	Grade
Rafael Devers · SF · Total Bases Over 1.5	+118	Won
Kaelen Culpepper · MIN · Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 1.5	+103	Lost
Fernando Tatis Jr. · SD · Total Bases Over 1.5	-103	Lost
Kyle Isbel · KC · Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 0.5	-147	Pending
George Springer · TOR · Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 1.5	-116	Won

Low Risk
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.
High Risk
No card was published — every card in this tier reused a leg already on the ladder, or ran past the five-leg cap.

Model research · player-prop leans, not public picks

Projection vs actual for every settled prop lean, graded for transparency and model development.

MLB

48.5%

237–252 on 489

Full MLB audit →

Biggest hits

MLBJack PerkinsUnder 5.5 Strikeouts+25.4pp edgeactual 5
MLBZach NetoOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+24.6pp edgeactual 3
MLBNate FurmanUnder 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+20.4pp edgeactual 0
MLBGeorge SpringerOver 1.5 Total Bases+20.0pp edgeactual 2
MLBNate FurmanUnder 0.5 Hits+19.4pp edgeactual 0

Biggest misses

MLBTristan PetersOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+22.7pp edgeactual 0
MLBMerrill KellyUnder 4.5 Strikeouts+20.7pp edgeactual 7
MLBAndrew AbbottOver 3.5 Strikeouts+16.1pp edgeactual 1
MLBJake BauersOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+14.7pp edgeactual 0
MLBAlec BurlesonOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+6.7pp edgeactual 0

MLB settled games · projection vs actual

CWS @ MIN

18–2846 dec2 void39.1%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Erick Fedde	Strikeouts	Over 2.5	2.82	4	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Bailey Ober	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	3.68	5	+3.9%	Medium	Loss
Brooks Lee	Hits	Under 1.5	1.02	0	-1.3%	Low	Win
Luke Keaschall	Hits	Over 0.5	1.16	1	+6.1%	High	Win
Sam Antonacci	Hits	Under 0.5	0.81	0	+1.9%	Low	Win
Ryan Jeffers	Hits	Under 0.5	0.76	0	+2.4%	Low	Win
Josh Bell	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	1	-1.9%	Low	Win
Miguel Vargas	Hits	Over 0.5	1.11	0	+6.4%	High	Loss
Kody Clemens	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	0	+6.4%	High	Loss
Braden Montgomery	Hits	Under 0.5	0.82	0	-3.3%	Low	Win
Munetaka Murakami	Hits	Under 0.5	0.65	0	+4.1%	Medium	Win
Royce Lewis	Hits	Under 0.5	0.73	1	-0.2%	Low	Loss
Colson Montgomery	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	0	+3.6%	Medium	Loss
Kaelen Culpepper	Hits	Over 0.5	1.29	0	+14.8%	High	Loss
Andrew Benintendi	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	3	-1.1%	Low	Win
Chase Meidroth	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	0	+8.6%	High	Loss
Trevor Larnach	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	0	+2.2%	Low	Loss
Tristan Peters	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	0	+12.9%	High	Loss
Drew Romo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.52	—	-0.0%	Low	Void
Brooks Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.19	0	+3.1%	Medium	Loss
Luke Keaschall	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.97	2	+3.9%	Medium	Win
Josh Bell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.23	2	+6.3%	High	Win
Munetaka Murakami	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.60	0	-1.0%	Low	Win
Ryan Jeffers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.60	0	-1.4%	Low	Win
Kody Clemens	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.29	0	+8.6%	High	Loss
Sam Antonacci	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.64	1	-3.3%	Low	Loss
Miguel Vargas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.35	0	+8.7%	High	Loss
Royce Lewis	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.29	1	+1.1%	Low	Win
Braden Montgomery	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	0	+8.1%	High	Loss
Colson Montgomery	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.94	0	+8.1%	High	Loss
Andrew Benintendi	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.82	7	+7.3%	High	Win
Kaelen Culpepper	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.20	1	+19.2%	High	Loss
Trevor Larnach	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.51	0	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Chase Meidroth	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.74	0	+9.4%	High	Loss
Tristan Peters	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.39	0	+22.7%	Low	Loss
Drew Romo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.32	—	+14.6%	High	Void
Brooks Lee	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.08	0	+13.6%	High	Loss
Miguel Vargas	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.81	0	+7.1%	High	Loss
Munetaka Murakami	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.36	0	-0.8%	Low	Loss
Ryan Jeffers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.25	0	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Josh Bell	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.53	1	+5.0%	Medium	Loss
Kody Clemens	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.82	0	+10.7%	High	Loss
Sam Antonacci	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.18	0	-3.1%	Low	Win
Colson Montgomery	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.67	0	+8.2%	High	Loss
Luke Keaschall	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.65	2	+10.1%	High	Win
Royce Lewis	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.03	1	-3.1%	Low	Win
Braden Montgomery	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.32	0	+3.1%	Medium	Loss
Bailey Ober	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.68	5	+3.6%	Medium	Loss

PIT @ STL

14–2135 dec2 void40.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Kyle Leahy	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.00	3	+15.8%	High	Loss
Alec Burleson	Hits	Over 1.5	1.10	0	-2.6%	Low	Loss
Jake Mangum	Hits	Under 0.5	0.65	2	+7.2%	High	Loss
Nick Gonzales	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	2	+0.3%	Low	Win
Jordan Walker	Hits	Over 0.5	1.16	0	+7.2%	High	Loss
Bryan Reynolds	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	1	+1.1%	Low	Win
JJ Wetherholt	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	0	+3.6%	Medium	Loss
Spencer Horwitz	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	0	-2.9%	Low	Loss
Brandon Lowe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	1	+0.5%	Low	Win
Esmerlyn Valdez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	—	-0.6%	Low	Void
Nathan Church	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	1	+2.3%	Low	Win
Oneil Cruz	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	2	+1.9%	Low	Win
Jimmy Crooks	Hits	Under 0.5	0.43	1	+2.8%	Medium	Loss
Jacob Gonzalez	Hits	Under 0.5	0.33	1	+6.7%	High	Loss
Nolan Gorman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.46	0	+0.4%	Low	Win
Alec Burleson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.46	0	+6.7%	High	Loss
JJ Wetherholt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	0	+6.7%	High	Loss
Jordan Walker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.80	1	+18.5%	High	Loss
Brandon Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.92	4	+5.5%	High	Win
Nick Gonzales	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	3	+2.8%	Medium	Win
Jake Mangum	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.22	3	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Spencer Horwitz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.28	0	-0.4%	Low	Win
Bryan Reynolds	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.70	2	+3.1%	Medium	Win
Esmerlyn Valdez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.72	—	+2.9%	Medium	Void
Oneil Cruz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.16	3	+12.3%	High	Win
Nathan Church	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.86	1	+11.6%	High	Loss
Nolan Gorman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.12	0	+2.9%	Medium	Loss
Jimmy Crooks	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.91	1	+0.3%	Low	Win
Jacob Gonzalez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.70	2	+0.1%	Low	Loss
Alec Burleson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.51	0	-0.3%	Low	Loss
Brandon Lowe	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.52	4	+6.3%	High	Win
Jordan Walker	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.08	0	+18.3%	High	Loss
Bryan Reynolds	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.33	1	+3.8%	Medium	Loss
Nick Gonzales	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.24	3	+0.6%	Low	Win
JJ Wetherholt	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.48	0	+8.7%	High	Loss
Spencer Horwitz	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.07	0	-1.5%	Low	Loss
Jake Mangum	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.85	2	-1.4%	Low	Loss

CIN @ CHC

19–1837 dec2 void51.4%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Kevin Gausman	Strikeouts	Under 6.5	5.78	7	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Andrew Abbott	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	4.65	1	+16.1%	High	Loss
Nico Hoerner	Hits	Under 1.5	1.07	1	-3.1%	Low	Win
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Hits	Over 0.5	1.13	4	+1.3%	Low	Win
Seiya Suzuki	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	3	+1.6%	Low	Win
Alex Bregman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.05	3	+0.8%	Low	Win
Sal Stewart	Hits	Over 0.5	1.15	2	+6.9%	High	Win
Michael Busch	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	0	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Elly De La Cruz	Hits	Over 0.5	1.28	1	+12.2%	High	Win
Carson Kelly	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	2	-0.9%	Low	Win
Tyrone Taylor	Hits	Under 0.5	0.71	4	-3.0%	Low	Loss
JJ Bleday	Hits	Over 0.5	0.74	0	-0.4%	Low	Loss
Dane Myers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	—	+2.1%	Low	Void
Matt Shaw	Hits	Over 0.5	0.67	0	-2.5%	Low	Loss
Tyler Stephenson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	1	+3.3%	Medium	Win
Matt McLain	Hits	Over 0.5	0.62	0	-2.5%	Low	Loss
Edwin Arroyo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	0	+7.7%	High	Loss
Seiya Suzuki	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.38	8	+4.9%	Medium	Win
Nico Hoerner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.75	2	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.48	14	+5.7%	High	Win
Alex Bregman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.35	7	+6.7%	High	Win
Michael Busch	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.05	0	+6.1%	High	Loss
Sal Stewart	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.82	5	+16.6%	High	Win
Elly De La Cruz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.48	3	+14.8%	High	Win
Carson Kelly	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.61	9	+0.8%	Low	Win
Tyrone Taylor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.27	7	-2.5%	Low	Loss
Matt Shaw	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.82	0	+8.8%	High	Loss
JJ Bleday	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.66	1	+6.5%	High	Loss
Tyler Stephenson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.69	2	+8.1%	High	Win
Dane Myers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.40	—	+3.4%	Medium	Void
Matt McLain	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.66	0	+10.3%	High	Loss
Edwin Arroyo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.18	0	+7.6%	High	Loss
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.55	13	+16.2%	High	Win
Seiya Suzuki	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.82	6	+7.8%	High	Win
Sal Stewart	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.01	5	+12.4%	High	Win
Nico Hoerner	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.31	1	-2.4%	Low	Loss
Alex Bregman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.92	7	+10.7%	High	Win
Michael Busch	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.76	0	+12.6%	High	Loss
Elly De La Cruz	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.05	1	+17.5%	High	Loss

SEA @ TOR

17–2340 dec42.5%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	0	-1.2%	Low	Loss
Josh Naylor	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	2	+6.2%	High	Win
Ernie Clement	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	0	+0.8%	Low	Loss
George Springer	Hits	Over 0.5	1.27	1	+12.3%	High	Win
Alejandro Kirk	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	1	+3.8%	Medium	Win
Brett Bateman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.46	1	+15.8%	High	Win
Randy Arozarena	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	0	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Dominic Canzone	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	0	+5.0%	High	Loss
Cole Young	Hits	Under 0.5	0.61	0	+2.4%	Low	Win
Kazuma Okamoto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	0	+6.5%	High	Loss
Taylor Ward	Hits	Under 0.5	0.52	1	+1.5%	Low	Loss
J.P. Crawford	Hits	Under 0.5	0.57	1	-2.8%	Low	Loss
Cal Raleigh	Hits	Over 0.5	0.64	2	-0.2%	Low	Win
Charles McAdoo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	0	+11.6%	High	Loss
Daz Cameron	Hits	Over 0.5	0.71	0	+3.8%	Medium	Loss
Myles Straw	Hits	Under 0.5	0.50	2	-1.2%	Low	Loss
Brock Rodden	Hits	Under 0.5	0.52	0	-2.9%	Low	Win
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.69	0	-1.3%	Low	Loss
George Springer	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.38	2	+15.3%	High	Win
Brett Bateman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.24	3	+17.0%	High	Win
Alejandro Kirk	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	2	+9.7%	High	Win
Josh Naylor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.70	3	+2.5%	Medium	Win
Ernie Clement	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.55	0	+0.9%	Low	Loss
Randy Arozarena	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.07	0	+10.2%	High	Loss
Kazuma Okamoto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.04	0	+11.2%	High	Loss
Dominic Canzone	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.99	0	+11.0%	High	Loss
Cole Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.30	0	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Cal Raleigh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	5	+9.7%	High	Win
Taylor Ward	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.22	3	-0.8%	Low	Win
J.P. Crawford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.11	1	+0.0%	Low	Loss
Brock Rodden	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.09	0	+6.3%	High	Loss
Charles McAdoo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.69	1	+14.9%	High	Win
Daz Cameron	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.57	0	+13.1%	High	Loss
Myles Straw	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.91	4	+0.0%	Low	Win
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.26	0	-1.8%	Low	Loss
George Springer	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.03	2	+20.0%	Low	Win
Alejandro Kirk	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.59	1	+11.5%	High	Loss
Josh Naylor	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.32	2	+5.6%	High	Win
Ernie Clement	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.25	0	+3.9%	Medium	Loss
Brett Bateman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.75	1	+18.5%	High	Loss

AZ @ SF

10–1121 dec47.6%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Merrill Kelly	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.12	7	+20.7%	Low	Loss
Jung Hoo Lee	Hits	Under 0.5	0.94	2	+0.7%	Low	Loss
Rafael Devers	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	2	+5.3%	High	Win
Drew Gilbert	Hits	Under 0.5	0.68	0	+0.3%	Low	Win
Bryce Eldridge	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	0	+11.9%	High	Loss
Turner Hill	Hits	Over 0.5	0.76	0	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Drew Cavanaugh	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	0	-1.1%	Low	Win
Nate Furman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.11	0	+19.4%	High	Win
Christian Koss	Hits	Over 0.5	0.65	0	-0.6%	Low	Loss
Shay Whitcomb	Hits	Under 0.5	0.33	0	+7.7%	High	Win
Jung Hoo Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.58	3	-3.3%	Low	Loss
Rafael Devers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.48	3	+12.7%	High	Win
Drew Gilbert	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.63	0	+3.4%	Medium	Loss
Bryce Eldridge	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.11	0	+15.3%	High	Loss
Turner Hill	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.57	0	+5.6%	High	Loss
Drew Cavanaugh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.91	0	+6.0%	High	Win
Nate Furman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.11	0	+20.4%	Low	Win
Christian Koss	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.30	0	+9.5%	High	Loss
Shay Whitcomb	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.02	0	-0.4%	Low	Loss
Rafael Devers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.11	3	+16.0%	High	Win
Jung Hoo Lee	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.25	2	+1.1%	Low	Win

MIA @ WSH

20–1636 dec2 void55.6%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Cade Cavalli	Strikeouts	Over 6.5	7.85	8	+17.5%	High	Win
Sandy Alcantara	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.85	3	+4.1%	Medium	Win
Otto Lopez	Hits	Over 0.5	1.16	1	+4.7%	Medium	Win
Xavier Edwards	Hits	Over 0.5	1.13	0	+6.8%	High	Loss
Daylen Lile	Hits	Over 0.5	1.13	1	+5.8%	High	Win
CJ Abrams	Hits	Under 0.5	0.77	0	+1.0%	Low	Win
Dylan Crews	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	2	+0.3%	Low	Win
Javier Sanoja	Hits	Over 0.5	1.15	1	+9.2%	High	Win
Brady House	Hits	Under 0.5	0.67	2	+0.8%	Low	Loss
Kyle Stowers	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	1	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Jacob Young	Hits	Under 0.5	0.71	—	-2.7%	Low	Void
Keibert Ruiz	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	1	+7.6%	High	Win
Abimelec Ortiz	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	2	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Jakob Marsee	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	0	-2.5%	Low	Win
Griffin Conine	Hits	Under 0.5	0.62	0	-1.1%	Low	Win
Jorbit Vivas	Hits	Under 0.5	0.56	1	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Owen Caissie	Hits	Over 0.5	0.56	0	+1.1%	Low	Loss
CJ Abrams	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.74	0	-1.3%	Low	Loss
Daylen Lile	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.57	2	+14.9%	High	Win
Otto Lopez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.29	1	+12.1%	High	Loss
Xavier Edwards	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.89	0	+7.2%	High	Loss
Dylan Crews	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.82	4	+5.9%	High	Win
Kyle Stowers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.84	4	+4.4%	Medium	Win
Abimelec Ortiz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.34	2	-3.1%	Low	Win
Brady House	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.50	4	+1.5%	Low	Win
Javier Sanoja	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.99	1	+11.1%	High	Loss
Keibert Ruiz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.97	1	+12.0%	High	Loss
Griffin Conine	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.43	0	+2.3%	Low	Loss
Jakob Marsee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.33	0	-0.6%	Low	Loss
Jacob Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.37	—	+1.3%	Low	Void
Jorbit Vivas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.07	2	+1.2%	Low	Win
Owen Caissie	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.28	0	+9.1%	High	Loss
CJ Abrams	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.38	0	+1.5%	Low	Loss
Daylen Lile	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.12	2	+17.7%	High	Win
Kyle Stowers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.60	2	+7.3%	High	Win
Dylan Crews	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.44	2	+5.5%	High	Win
Otto Lopez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.49	1	+7.6%	High	Loss
Xavier Edwards	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.36	0	+4.5%	Medium	Loss

COL @ ATL

16–2238 dec2 void42.1%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Drake Baldwin	Hits	Over 1.5	1.09	1	-3.2%	Low	Loss
Michael Harris II	Hits	Over 1.5	1.26	2	+6.1%	High	Win
Jake McCarthy	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	1	+1.3%	Low	Win
Matt Olson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.85	1	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Ozzie Albies	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	0	+3.9%	Medium	Loss
Cole Carrigg	Hits	Under 0.5	0.78	1	+1.2%	Low	Loss
Hunter Goodman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	0	-0.3%	Low	Loss
TJ Rumfield	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	1	-0.0%	Low	Win
Willi Castro	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	1	+1.7%	Low	Win
Austin Riley	Hits	Under 0.5	0.69	0	+0.7%	Low	Win
Mike Yastrzemski	Hits	Under 0.5	0.55	0	+1.1%	Low	Win
Mickey Moniak	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	0	+5.3%	High	Loss
Connor Norby	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	2	+9.2%	High	Win
Jordan Beck	Hits	Under 0.5	0.58	1	-3.5%	Low	Loss
Sean Murphy	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	—	+8.2%	High	Void
Ezequiel Tovar	Hits	Over 0.5	0.65	0	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Drake Baldwin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.21	1	-1.5%	Low	Loss
Michael Harris II	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.40	4	+4.8%	Medium	Win
Matt Olson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.73	2	-1.0%	Low	Loss
Ozzie Albies	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.86	0	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Jake McCarthy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.02	1	+4.4%	Medium	Loss
Austin Riley	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.38	0	-0.8%	Low	Win
Hunter Goodman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.26	1	+9.3%	High	Loss
Cole Carrigg	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.66	1	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Willi Castro	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.09	2	+12.6%	High	Win
TJ Rumfield	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.60	1	+3.6%	Medium	Loss
Mike Yastrzemski	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.92	0	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Sean Murphy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.35	—	+2.5%	Low	Void
Mickey Moniak	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.90	0	+13.7%	High	Loss
Connor Norby	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.96	2	+17.0%	High	Win
Jordan Beck	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.10	1	+5.9%	High	Win
Ezequiel Tovar	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.30	0	+10.3%	High	Loss
Matt Olson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.58	1	+0.4%	Low	Loss
Drake Baldwin	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.89	1	+7.0%	High	Loss
Michael Harris II	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.24	3	+14.1%	High	Win
Hunter Goodman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.08	0	+12.7%	High	Loss
Austin Riley	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.00	0	-1.2%	Low	Win
Ozzie Albies	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.45	0	+4.4%	Medium	Loss
Jake McCarthy	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.54	1	+7.7%	High	Loss
Cole Carrigg	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.35	2	+4.4%	Medium	Win

KC @ CLE

15–2237 dec4 void40.5%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Bobby Witt Jr.	Hits	Over 1.5	1.16	1	+0.4%	Low	Loss
Chase DeLauter	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	0	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Nick Loftin	Hits	Under 0.5	0.71	2	+3.6%	Medium	Loss
Steven Kwan	Hits	Over 0.5	1.18	1	+6.6%	High	Win
Jac Caglianone	Hits	Over 0.5	1.26	2	+8.6%	High	Win
Salvador Perez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	2	+2.9%	Medium	Win
Jo Adell	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	0	+2.9%	Medium	Loss
Angel Genao	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	0	+2.4%	Low	Loss
Vinnie Pasquantino	Hits	Over 0.5	1.11	—	+11.9%	High	Void
Brayan Rocchio	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	0	+1.8%	Low	Loss
Isaac Collins	Hits	Over 0.5	0.77	1	+0.3%	Low	Win
Carter Jensen	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	0	+8.3%	High	Loss
Tyler Tolbert	Hits	Over 0.5	0.62	1	-2.9%	Low	Win
Kyle Isbel	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	—	+9.9%	High	Void
Austin Hedges	Hits	Over 0.5	0.69	0	+6.5%	High	Loss
David Fry	Hits	Under 0.5	0.18	1	+8.5%	High	Loss
Bobby Witt Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.30	2	+7.7%	High	Win
Chase DeLauter	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.88	0	+0.7%	Low	Loss
Steven Kwan	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.30	1	+13.7%	High	Loss
Jo Adell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.31	1	+9.6%	High	Loss
Jac Caglianone	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.48	3	+12.8%	High	Win
Nick Loftin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.51	4	-1.7%	Low	Win
Salvador Perez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.95	3	+9.4%	High	Win
Angel Genao	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.42	0	+0.3%	Low	Loss
Brayan Rocchio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.79	0	+9.8%	High	Loss
Vinnie Pasquantino	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.31	—	+21.2%	Low	Void
Isaac Collins	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.30	3	+1.1%	Low	Win
Carter Jensen	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.93	0	+15.9%	High	Loss
Tyler Tolbert	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.31	2	+1.6%	Low	Win
Kyle Isbel	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.94	—	+19.0%	High	Void
Austin Hedges	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.27	0	+9.6%	High	Loss
David Fry	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.39	1	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Bobby Witt Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.75	1	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Jac Caglianone	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.95	2	+12.7%	High	Win
Jo Adell	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.67	0	+9.0%	High	Loss
Chase DeLauter	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.58	0	+9.2%	High	Loss
Salvador Perez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.51	4	+8.4%	High	Win
Nick Loftin	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.23	3	+2.7%	Medium	Win
Steven Kwan	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.34	1	+7.1%	High	Loss
Foster Griffin	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	4.72	4	+8.8%	High	Win
Daniel Lynch IV	Strikeouts	Under 2.5	1.49	3	+21.0%	Low	Loss

HOU @ NYM

19–1635 dec2 void54.3%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Nolan McLean	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	5.11	4	+6.4%	High	Win
Yordan Alvarez	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	2	-2.8%	Low	Win
Bo Bichette	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	0	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Francisco Lindor	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	1	+0.0%	Low	Loss
Jose Altuve	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	1	-0.5%	Low	Win
Carson Benge	Hits	Over 0.5	1.23	1	+10.2%	High	Win
A.J. Ewing	Hits	Under 0.5	0.74	0	-2.1%	Low	Win
Daulton Varsho	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	0	+5.6%	High	Loss
Luis Robert Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	0	+3.6%	Medium	Loss
Christian Walker	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	0	+0.4%	Low	Loss
Jared Young	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	3	+2.4%	Low	Win
Isaac Paredes	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	0	+5.8%	High	Loss
Marcus Semien	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	2	+8.6%	High	Win
Cam Smith	Hits	Under 0.5	0.46	—	+0.6%	Low	Void
Brett Baty	Hits	Over 0.5	0.69	2	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Francisco Alvarez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.53	1	-0.8%	Low	Win
Taylor Trammell	Hits	Under 0.5	0.38	0	-0.9%	Low	Win
Yordan Alvarez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.20	5	+3.5%	Medium	Win
Francisco Lindor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.50	3	-3.5%	Low	Loss
Carson Benge	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.21	2	+11.1%	High	Win
Bo Bichette	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.91	0	+5.1%	High	Loss
A.J. Ewing	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.25	0	-1.1%	Low	Win
Jose Altuve	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.84	1	+7.2%	High	Loss
Daulton Varsho	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.78	0	+8.1%	High	Loss
Jared Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.54	7	+3.6%	Medium	Win
Luis Robert Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.87	0	+10.9%	High	Loss
Christian Walker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.67	0	+7.5%	High	Loss
Isaac Paredes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.91	0	+13.9%	High	Loss
Marcus Semien	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.35	3	+3.8%	Medium	Win
Brett Baty	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.31	2	+6.6%	High	Win
Cam Smith	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.18	—	+2.3%	Low	Void
Francisco Alvarez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.95	3	+1.4%	Low	Win
Taylor Trammell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.70	0	-2.7%	Low	Loss
Yordan Alvarez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.79	5	+3.4%	Medium	Win
Francisco Lindor	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.31	2	+2.4%	Low	Win
Bo Bichette	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.77	0	+12.9%	High	Loss
Carson Benge	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.91	1	+17.0%	High	Loss

SD @ TB

27–1239 dec2 void69.2%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Walker Buehler	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	4.25	3	+20.3%	Low	Loss
Nick Martinez	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	4.13	4	+17.0%	High	Win
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Hits	Over 1.5	1.26	1	+5.6%	High	Loss
Chandler Simpson	Hits	Over 1.5	1.19	2	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Junior Caminero	Hits	Over 0.5	1.23	1	+9.7%	High	Win
Jonathan Aranda	Hits	Under 0.5	0.88	1	-2.2%	Low	Loss
Manny Machado	Hits	Under 0.5	0.79	2	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Jackson Merrill	Hits	Under 0.5	0.87	0	-2.9%	Low	Win
Ty France	Hits	Under 0.5	0.83	2	-2.5%	Low	Loss
Jake Cronenworth	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	1	-0.4%	Low	Win
Luis Rengifo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	0	-3.2%	Low	Win
Liam Hicks	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	2	+1.4%	Low	Win
Xander Bogaerts	Hits	Under 0.5	0.62	0	-2.8%	Low	Win
Freddy Fermin	Hits	Over 0.5	0.65	—	-0.6%	Low	Void
Richie Palacios	Hits	Under 0.5	0.53	0	-1.7%	Low	Win
Taylor Walls	Hits	Over 0.5	0.64	2	-0.4%	Low	Win
Cedric Mullins	Hits	Under 0.5	0.55	1	-2.8%	Low	Loss
Gavin Sheets	Hits	Under 0.5	0.51	1	-3.1%	Low	Loss
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.64	2	+12.6%	High	Win
Junior Caminero	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.41	3	+8.5%	High	Win
Chandler Simpson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.92	3	+5.9%	High	Win
Jonathan Aranda	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.66	3	-1.8%	Low	Win
Manny Machado	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.62	5	-0.7%	Low	Win
Ty France	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.66	5	+1.5%	Low	Win
Jackson Merrill	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.95	0	+7.9%	High	Loss
Liam Hicks	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.75	3	+5.3%	High	Win
Jake Cronenworth	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.66	2	+6.1%	High	Win
Luis Rengifo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.44	1	+1.8%	Low	Loss
Cedric Mullins	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.35	2	+3.2%	Medium	Win
Xander Bogaerts	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.20	0	-0.4%	Low	Loss
Taylor Walls	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.44	3	+6.7%	High	Win
Richie Palacios	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.28	1	+4.0%	Medium	Win
Freddy Fermin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.12	—	+5.1%	High	Void
Gavin Sheets	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.09	1	+3.2%	Medium	Win
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.32	1	+15.8%	High	Loss
Junior Caminero	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.81	4	+7.2%	High	Win
Manny Machado	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.29	2	+1.1%	Low	Win
Jackson Merrill	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.82	0	+13.7%	High	Loss
Jonathan Aranda	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.34	4	+3.1%	Medium	Win
Ty France	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.39	5	+6.0%	High	Win
Chandler Simpson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.35	2	+3.6%	Medium	Win

BOS @ NYY

0–11 dec0.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Max Fried	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.67	4	+17.7%	High	Loss

TEX @ MIL

19–1938 dec2 void50.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Cal Quantrill	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	4.12	8	+3.2%	Medium	Win
Shane Drohan	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	3.82	6	+21.2%	Low	Loss
Jackson Chourio	Hits	Over 1.5	1.38	1	+11.6%	High	Loss
William Contreras	Hits	Over 0.5	1.32	2	+6.3%	High	Win
Brice Turang	Hits	Under 0.5	0.80	0	-1.7%	Low	Win
Wyatt Langford	Hits	Over 0.5	1.05	0	+5.6%	High	Loss
Christian Yelich	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	2	+6.1%	High	Win
Corey Seager	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	1	+8.0%	High	Win
Sal Frelick	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	—	-1.8%	Low	Void
Brandon Nimmo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.69	3	-0.2%	Low	Loss
Cooper Pratt	Hits	Under 0.5	0.67	0	-0.7%	Low	Win
Jake Bauers	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	0	+7.8%	High	Loss
Jake Burger	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	1	+2.8%	Medium	Win
Ezequiel Duran	Hits	Over 0.5	1.13	1	+12.7%	High	Win
Garrett Mitchell	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	0	+8.2%	High	Loss
Justin Foscue	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	1	+0.8%	Low	Win
Logan O'Hoppe	Hits	Under 0.5	0.59	0	-3.2%	Low	Win
Cody Freeman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.74	1	+5.4%	High	Win
David Hamilton	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	0	+13.1%	High	Loss
Jackson Chourio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.75	3	+10.7%	High	Win
William Contreras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.55	5	+11.1%	High	Win
Brice Turang	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.94	0	+4.1%	Medium	Loss
Jake Bauers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.45	0	+14.7%	High	Loss
Christian Yelich	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.16	3	+12.4%	High	Win
Wyatt Langford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	0	+11.4%	High	Loss
Corey Seager	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.96	2	+10.7%	High	Win
Sal Frelick	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.57	—	+3.7%	Medium	Void
Brandon Nimmo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.29	6	-1.9%	Low	Win
Cooper Pratt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.51	1	+2.8%	Medium	Loss
Jake Burger	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.73	1	+7.3%	High	Loss
Garrett Mitchell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.93	1	+12.1%	High	Loss
Ezequiel Duran	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.10	1	+16.7%	High	Loss
Justin Foscue	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.39	1	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Logan O'Hoppe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.94	0	-2.4%	Low	Loss
David Hamilton	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.86	0	+16.0%	High	Loss
Cody Freeman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.23	3	+11.8%	High	Win
Jackson Chourio	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.17	4	+12.5%	High	Win
William Contreras	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.75	5	+10.7%	High	Win
Wyatt Langford	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.69	0	+11.2%	High	Loss
Brice Turang	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.30	0	+3.4%	Medium	Loss

BAL @ ATH

28–1644 dec3 void63.6%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Shane Baz	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	5.09	4	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Pete Alonso	Hits	Over 1.5	1.16	0	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Jeff McNeil	Hits	Under 1.5	1.07	2	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Blaze Alexander	Hits	Over 1.5	1.13	—	+0.2%	Low	Void
Gunnar Henderson	Hits	Under 1.5	0.84	0	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	Hits	Over 1.5	1.07	1	+1.0%	Low	Loss
Jackson Holliday	Hits	Under 0.5	0.71	1	+7.2%	High	Loss
Henry Bolte	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	2	-0.4%	Low	Win
Tommy White	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	0	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Zack Gelof	Hits	Under 0.5	0.72	1	+2.3%	Low	Loss
Samuel Basallo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.58	0	+8.2%	High	Win
Lawrence Butler	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	1	+7.3%	High	Win
Donovan Walton	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	1	-0.9%	Low	Win
Leody Taveras	Hits	Over 0.5	0.76	2	-2.1%	Low	Win
Jonah Heim	Hits	Under 0.5	0.61	1	-0.2%	Low	Loss
Dylan Beavers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	1	+4.5%	Medium	Win
Carlos Cortes	Hits	Over 0.5	0.71	2	+0.4%	Low	Win
Colton Cowser	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	1	+6.4%	High	Win
Pete Alonso	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.55	0	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Gunnar Henderson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.53	0	+2.9%	Medium	Win
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.49	1	+5.1%	High	Loss
Jackson Holliday	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.49	1	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Blaze Alexander	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.14	—	+3.6%	Medium	Void
Jeff McNeil	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.03	3	+2.5%	Medium	Win
Samuel Basallo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.23	0	+5.6%	High	Win
Henry Bolte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.82	2	+2.1%	Low	Win
Tommy White	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.88	0	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Zack Gelof	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.72	1	+0.4%	Low	Loss
Lawrence Butler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.03	2	+9.0%	High	Win
Leody Taveras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	5	+4.4%	Medium	Win
Donovan Walton	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.58	3	+4.0%	Medium	Win
Dylan Beavers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.92	2	+13.3%	High	Win
Jonah Heim	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.27	2	-1.6%	Low	Win
Carlos Cortes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.17	3	-2.5%	Low	Win
Colton Cowser	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.44	4	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Pete Alonso	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.26	0	+9.6%	High	Loss
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.94	1	+5.8%	High	Loss
Gunnar Henderson	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.34	0	-2.0%	Low	Win
Blaze Alexander	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.57	—	+3.0%	Medium	Void
Jeff McNeil	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.53	2	+2.5%	Low	Win
Jackson Holliday	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.99	1	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Samuel Basallo	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.06	0	-1.1%	Low	Win
Zack Gelof	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.12	1	-2.9%	Low	Win
Henry Bolte	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.33	3	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Tommy White	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.45	0	+5.7%	High	Loss
Lawrence Butler	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.51	1	+8.8%	High	Loss
Jack Perkins	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	3.71	5	+25.4%	Low	Win

PHI @ LAA

15–2742 dec35.7%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Ryan Johnson	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	3.61	2	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Trea Turner	Hits	Under 1.5	0.85	2	+4.7%	Medium	Loss
Luis Arraez	Hits	Over 1.5	1.34	0	+7.8%	High	Loss
Alec Bohm	Hits	Over 1.5	1.06	2	-2.2%	Low	Win
Kyle Schwarber	Hits	Under 0.5	0.91	1	-3.1%	Low	Loss
Bryce Harper	Hits	Over 0.5	1.17	0	+6.5%	High	Loss
Bryson Stott	Hits	Under 0.5	0.80	0	-1.4%	Low	Win
Vaughn Grissom	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	0	-1.5%	Low	Loss
Mike Trout	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	0	-1.0%	Low	Loss
Zach Neto	Hits	Over 0.5	1.32	1	+16.7%	High	Win
J.T. Realmuto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	0	+0.8%	Low	Loss
Brandon Marsh	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	1	-0.0%	Low	Win
Justin Crawford	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	1	+0.3%	Low	Win
Christian Moore	Hits	Over 0.5	0.59	0	-3.2%	Low	Loss
Denzer Guzman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.64	1	-0.2%	Low	Win
Wade Meckler	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	0	+7.4%	High	Loss
Jose Siri	Hits	Under 0.5	0.44	0	+0.2%	Low	Win
Travis d'Arnaud	Hits	Under 0.5	0.29	1	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Kyle Schwarber	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.33	2	-2.0%	Low	Loss
Trea Turner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.67	4	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Luis Arraez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.20	0	+6.1%	High	Loss
Alec Bohm	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.60	3	+11.7%	High	Win
Bryce Harper	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.37	0	+9.7%	High	Loss
Bryson Stott	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.66	0	-0.8%	Low	Loss
J.T. Realmuto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.86	1	+7.9%	High	Loss
Brandon Marsh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.52	2	+0.4%	Low	Win
Mike Trout	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	0	+5.5%	High	Loss
Zach Neto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.83	3	+24.6%	Low	Win
Justin Crawford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.51	2	+3.5%	Medium	Win
Vaughn Grissom	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.03	0	+13.7%	High	Loss
Christian Moore	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.82	0	-1.8%	Low	Loss
Denzer Guzman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.49	2	+11.0%	High	Win
Wade Meckler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.51	1	+11.2%	High	Win
Jose Siri	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.94	0	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Travis d'Arnaud	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.45	1	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Kyle Schwarber	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.94	2	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Trea Turner	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.18	2	-1.3%	Low	Loss
Bryce Harper	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.04	0	+14.1%	High	Loss
Luis Arraez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.78	0	+10.6%	High	Loss
Alec Bohm	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.61	2	+7.2%	High	Win
Bryson Stott	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.11	0	-2.7%	Low	Loss
Mike Trout	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.33	0	+5.6%	High	Loss

all settled dates

Game by game

MLB · 23–18–3 game calls

BOS @ NYY

CWS @ MIN

PIT @ STL

CIN @ CHC

SEA @ TOR

AZ @ SF

AZ @ SF

MIA @ WSH

KC @ CLE

HOU @ NYM

SD @ TB

COL @ ATL

TEX @ MIL

BAL @ ATH

PHI @ LAA

NFL · 2–0 game winners

DET @ IND

CHI @ TEN

Premier League · 1–3 match results

Tottenham Hotspur v Newcastle United

Bournemouth v Everton

Coventry City v Hull City

Liverpool v Nottingham Forest

UFC · 5–1 fight winners

Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong

Denise Gomes vs Yan Xiaonan

Andre Lima vs Namsrai Batbayar

Rei Tsuruya vs Kevin Borjas

Sean Woodson vs Jack Jenkins

Julia Polastri vs Jingnan Xiong

Daily Top 5 · frozen before kickoff

Product cards settled this day

Bank Builder · lane A

Bank Builder · lane B

Moonshot · lane A

Moonshot · lane B

Suggested Parlays published this day

Medium Risk · +218

Longshot · +2629

Low Risk

High Risk

Model research · player-prop leans, not public picks