49.0%

175–182 on 357 decisive

Combined audit across the sports that had settled rows on 2026-08-28. Pushes excluded. Pending games never count as losses.

At a glance

Hit

175

model agreed and the line cleared

Miss

182

model agreed but the line did not clear

Push

final stat tied the line — excluded from hit rate

Pending

no games still pending on this date

MLB

49.0%

175–182 on 357

Full MLB audit →

Biggest hits

MLBGrant HolmesUnder 4.5 Strikeouts+27.4pp edgeactual 3
MLBJordan WalkerOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+21.3pp edgeactual 5
MLBHa-Seong KimUnder 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+21.1pp edgeactual 0
MLBTristan PetersOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+20.7pp edgeactual 2
MLBJordan WalkerOver 1.5 Total Bases+20.6pp edgeactual 3

Biggest misses

MLBEmerson HancockOver 3.5 Strikeouts+22.7pp edgeactual 1
MLBReid DetmersOver 6.5 Strikeouts+13.4pp edgeactual 2
MLBLuis CastilloOver 3.5 Strikeouts+9.5pp edgeactual 1
MLBLars NootbaarUnder 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+4.0pp edgeactual 6
MLBCorbin CarrollUnder 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-3.3pp edgeactual 5

MLB settled games · projection vs actual

COL @ ATL

29–1140 dec72.5%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Tomoyuki Sugano	Strikeouts	Over 2.5	3.22	4	+3.5%	Medium	Win
Grant Holmes	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.27	3	+27.4%	Low	Win
Drake Baldwin	Hits	Under 1.5	1.09	2	-2.7%	Low	Loss
Michael Harris II	Hits	Over 1.5	1.20	2	+2.9%	Medium	Win
Matt Olson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.85	1	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Ozzie Albies	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	1	+2.3%	Low	Win
Jake McCarthy	Hits	Over 0.5	1.05	1	+4.5%	Medium	Win
Hunter Goodman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	3	-2.9%	Low	Win
Cole Carrigg	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	1	-2.7%	Low	Win
TJ Rumfield	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	1	+3.1%	Medium	Win
Ha-Seong Kim	Hits	Under 0.5	0.23	0	+18.2%	High	Win
Mike Yastrzemski	Hits	Under 0.5	0.49	1	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Willi Castro	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	1	+7.5%	High	Win
Sean Murphy	Hits	Over 0.5	0.72	2	-0.1%	Low	Win
Mickey Moniak	Hits	Over 0.5	0.74	2	+0.9%	Low	Win
Connor Norby	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	0	+10.8%	High	Loss
Ezequiel Tovar	Hits	Over 0.5	0.65	1	-1.8%	Low	Win
Zac Veen	Hits	Under 0.5	0.36	2	+1.2%	Low	Loss
Matt Olson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.73	1	+6.3%	High	Win
Drake Baldwin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.21	3	-3.2%	Low	Win
Michael Harris II	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.08	7	-0.6%	Low	Win
Ozzie Albies	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.86	1	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Hunter Goodman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.05	4	+7.1%	High	Win
Jake McCarthy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.92	3	+8.0%	High	Win
Ha-Seong Kim	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.50	0	+21.1%	Low	Win
Mike Yastrzemski	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.87	1	+6.7%	High	Win
Sean Murphy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.10	4	+0.3%	Low	Loss
Cole Carrigg	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	2	+7.2%	High	Win
TJ Rumfield	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.60	2	+6.3%	High	Win
Mickey Moniak	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	2	+10.6%	High	Win
Willi Castro	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.09	2	+17.4%	High	Win
Connor Norby	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.07	0	+21.1%	Low	Loss
Ezequiel Tovar	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.30	2	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Zac Veen	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.97	3	+4.5%	Medium	Win
Drake Baldwin	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.94	2	+5.0%	High	Win
Matt Olson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.63	1	+0.0%	Low	Loss
Michael Harris II	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.98	6	+8.5%	High	Win
Ozzie Albies	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.45	1	+2.4%	Low	Loss
Hunter Goodman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.92	3	+9.8%	High	Win
Jake McCarthy	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.50	1	+10.3%	High	Loss

BOS @ NYY

10–2838 dec26.3%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Cam Schlittler	Strikeouts	Over 6.5	7.25	8	+6.7%	High	Win
Patrick Sandoval	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	5.24	7	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Cody Bellinger	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	0	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Paul Goldschmidt	Hits	Under 0.5	0.57	1	+10.7%	High	Loss
Ceddanne Rafaela	Hits	Over 0.5	1.18	2	+11.5%	High	Win
Heliot Ramos	Hits	Under 0.5	0.65	0	+1.0%	Low	Win
Ben Rice	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	2	+5.3%	High	Win
George Lombard Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	0	+7.3%	High	Loss
Trent Grisham	Hits	Under 0.5	0.68	0	-1.5%	Low	Win
Willson Contreras	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	0	+10.6%	High	Loss
Caleb Durbin	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	0	+9.2%	High	Loss
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	0	+10.6%	High	Loss
Adley Rutschman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.68	0	-2.6%	Low	Loss
Nick Sogard	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	0	+15.5%	High	Loss
Wilyer Abreu	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	2	+4.2%	Medium	Win
Mickey Gasper	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	0	+12.6%	High	Loss
Jarren Duran	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	0	+16.3%	High	Loss
Anthony Seigler	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	0	+14.2%	High	Loss
Austin Wells	Hits	Over 0.5	0.50	0	+0.0%	Low	Loss
Paul Goldschmidt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.02	3	+8.5%	High	Loss
Cody Bellinger	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.26	0	+9.8%	High	Loss
Ben Rice	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.42	2	+15.5%	High	Win
Heliot Ramos	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.15	0	-0.6%	Low	Win
Trent Grisham	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.78	0	+6.1%	High	Loss
Wilyer Abreu	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.83	2	+7.7%	High	Win
Ceddanne Rafaela	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.05	2	+13.1%	High	Win
George Lombard Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.88	0	+14.2%	High	Loss
Willson Contreras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.24	0	+18.1%	High	Loss
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.95	0	+14.1%	High	Loss
Adley Rutschman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.56	0	+8.2%	High	Loss
Nick Sogard	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.14	0	+23.7%	Low	Loss
Caleb Durbin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.85	0	+15.5%	High	Loss
Mickey Gasper	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	2.29	0	+24.7%	Low	Loss
Jarren Duran	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	2.00	0	+19.6%	High	Loss
Anthony Seigler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.67	0	+17.3%	High	Loss
Austin Wells	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.88	0	+5.0%	Medium	Loss
Cody Bellinger	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.62	0	+8.1%	High	Loss
Paul Goldschmidt	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.96	4	-1.6%	Low	Loss

SEA @ TOR

19–1837 dec51.4%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Dylan Cease	Strikeouts	Over 7.5	8.50	8	+12.7%	High	Win
Emerson Hancock	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	5.46	1	+22.7%	Low	Loss
Nathan Lukes	Hits	Under 0.5	0.89	1	-3.2%	Low	Loss
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	1	-0.4%	Low	Win
Ernie Clement	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	0	+3.9%	Medium	Loss
George Springer	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	4	+5.7%	High	Win
Brett Bateman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.44	2	+14.3%	High	Win
Josh Naylor	Hits	Over 0.5	1.23	0	+13.3%	High	Loss
Kazuma Okamoto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	2	+5.4%	High	Win
Randy Arozarena	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	1	+9.9%	High	Win
Cole Young	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	1	+1.2%	Low	Win
Dominic Canzone	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	2	+12.7%	High	Win
Brandon Valenzuela	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	0	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Taylor Ward	Hits	Over 0.5	0.57	0	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Cal Raleigh	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	0	+7.8%	High	Loss
J.P. Crawford	Hits	Over 0.5	0.72	0	+11.2%	High	Loss
Brock Rodden	Hits	Over 0.5	0.60	0	+10.2%	High	Loss
George Springer	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.95	8	+7.6%	High	Win
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.59	3	-0.7%	Low	Win
Nathan Lukes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.93	4	+7.8%	High	Win
Brett Bateman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.16	3	+15.0%	High	Win
Ernie Clement	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	0	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Kazuma Okamoto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.88	6	+10.8%	High	Win
Josh Naylor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.91	0	+12.1%	High	Loss
Randy Arozarena	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.22	1	+19.5%	High	Loss
Dominic Canzone	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.88	4	+12.3%	High	Win
Cole Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.75	1	+11.5%	High	Win
Brandon Valenzuela	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.17	0	+2.8%	Medium	Loss
Cal Raleigh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.86	0	+17.4%	High	Loss
Taylor Ward	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.33	0	+10.5%	High	Loss
J.P. Crawford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.47	0	+13.6%	High	Loss
Brock Rodden	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.30	0	+23.5%	Low	Loss
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.21	2	-0.1%	Low	Win
Nathan Lukes	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.54	4	+9.8%	High	Win
George Springer	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.60	8	+11.7%	High	Win
Ernie Clement	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.36	0	+6.9%	High	Loss
Brett Bateman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.74	2	+17.9%	High	Win

TEX @ MIL

20–2343 dec46.5%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Logan Henderson	Strikeouts	Under 6.5	5.85	7	+8.6%	High	Loss
Cody Bradford	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	2.93	0	+9.4%	High	Win
Jackson Chourio	Hits	Over 1.5	1.33	1	+9.5%	High	Loss
Brice Turang	Hits	Under 0.5	0.80	1	+3.4%	Medium	Loss
William Contreras	Hits	Over 0.5	1.31	2	+6.4%	High	Win
Jake Bauers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	2	-1.4%	Low	Win
Christian Yelich	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	3	-0.7%	Low	Win
Garrett Mitchell	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	0	+5.6%	High	Loss
Joey Ortiz	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	1	+2.5%	Low	Win
Corey Seager	Hits	Over 0.5	1.17	0	+15.6%	High	Loss
Sal Frelick	Hits	Over 0.5	0.73	2	+0.7%	Low	Win
Brandon Nimmo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	0	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Wyatt Langford	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	0	+14.2%	High	Loss
Joc Pederson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.43	0	+3.5%	Medium	Win
David Hamilton	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	2	+8.7%	High	Win
Ezequiel Duran	Hits	Over 0.5	1.13	0	+17.7%	High	Loss
Jake Burger	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	0	+12.1%	High	Loss
Cody Freeman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	0	+11.4%	High	Loss
Evan Carter	Hits	Over 0.5	0.68	0	+9.6%	High	Loss
Danny Jansen	Hits	Over 0.5	0.46	1	+4.7%	Medium	Win
Jackson Chourio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.65	2	+8.9%	High	Win
Brice Turang	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.94	2	-0.2%	Low	Win
Jake Bauers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.29	4	+5.5%	High	Win
William Contreras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.59	5	+11.3%	High	Win
Christian Yelich	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.99	4	+6.8%	High	Win
Garrett Mitchell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.98	1	+9.6%	High	Loss
Joey Ortiz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.02	1	+13.6%	High	Loss
Corey Seager	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.17	0	+17.0%	High	Loss
Sal Frelick	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.52	3	+6.3%	High	Win
David Hamilton	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.79	4	+12.3%	High	Win
Brandon Nimmo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.34	0	+3.1%	Medium	Loss
Joc Pederson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.09	0	+0.3%	Low	Loss
Wyatt Langford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	2.07	0	+16.8%	High	Loss
Ezequiel Duran	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	2.10	0	+18.9%	High	Loss
Jake Burger	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.84	0	+16.2%	High	Loss
Cody Freeman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.31	0	+18.5%	High	Loss
Evan Carter	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.22	0	+15.2%	High	Loss
Danny Jansen	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.23	3	+17.9%	High	Win
Jackson Chourio	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.13	1	+11.0%	High	Loss
Jake Bauers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.74	2	+4.6%	Medium	Win
William Contreras	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.90	2	+11.5%	High	Win
Brice Turang	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.35	1	+2.0%	Low	Loss
Christian Yelich	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.43	4	+6.8%	High	Win

CWS @ MIN

30–1747 dec63.8%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Luis Castillo	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	4.54	1	+9.5%	High	Loss
Dean Kremer	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	5.67	3	+7.2%	High	Loss
Brooks Lee	Hits	Under 1.5	0.96	2	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Luke Keaschall	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	2	+3.1%	Medium	Win
Kody Clemens	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	2	+5.7%	High	Win
Ryan Jeffers	Hits	Under 0.5	0.82	0	-1.9%	Low	Win
Josh Bell	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	1	-0.0%	Low	Win
Sam Antonacci	Hits	Under 0.5	0.82	0	-2.2%	Low	Win
Royce Lewis	Hits	Under 0.5	0.73	1	-0.0%	Low	Loss
Braden Montgomery	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	1	-2.4%	Low	Win
Miguel Vargas	Hits	Over 0.5	1.11	1	+9.3%	High	Win
Andrew Benintendi	Hits	Under 0.5	0.72	2	-2.2%	Low	Loss
Chase Meidroth	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	1	+6.7%	High	Win
Kaelen Culpepper	Hits	Over 0.5	1.29	1	+14.9%	High	Win
Munetaka Murakami	Hits	Under 0.5	0.54	2	+4.5%	Medium	Loss
Trevor Larnach	Hits	Over 0.5	0.72	2	-0.4%	Low	Win
Colson Montgomery	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	2	+6.5%	High	Win
Tristan Peters	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	1	+11.5%	High	Win
Drew Romo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.52	0	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Brooks Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.18	6	+5.6%	High	Win
Kody Clemens	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.33	4	+8.9%	High	Win
Luke Keaschall	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.81	3	+2.1%	Low	Win
Ryan Jeffers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	0	-1.0%	Low	Loss
Josh Bell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.24	1	+10.2%	High	Loss
Miguel Vargas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.35	2	+11.3%	High	Win
Munetaka Murakami	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.55	3	-2.2%	Low	Win
Royce Lewis	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.34	1	+0.0%	Low	Win
Sam Antonacci	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.65	0	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Braden Montgomery	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.96	2	+9.0%	High	Win
Andrew Benintendi	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.66	5	+3.7%	Medium	Win
Kaelen Culpepper	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.23	1	+22.0%	Low	Loss
Colson Montgomery	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.78	6	+9.5%	High	Win
Chase Meidroth	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.64	2	+8.0%	High	Win
Trevor Larnach	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.36	3	+2.2%	Low	Win
Tristan Peters	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.29	2	+20.7%	Low	Win
Drew Romo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.38	0	+14.9%	High	Loss
Kody Clemens	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.81	5	+7.4%	High	Win
Brooks Lee	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.02	5	+12.5%	High	Win
Miguel Vargas	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.82	1	+10.6%	High	Loss
Ryan Jeffers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.36	0	+1.5%	Low	Loss
Royce Lewis	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.04	1	-1.4%	Low	Win
Josh Bell	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.53	1	+6.8%	High	Loss
Munetaka Murakami	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.20	3	+0.6%	Low	Win
Luke Keaschall	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.55	2	+8.4%	High	Win
Andrew Benintendi	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.19	3	-0.4%	Low	Win
Sam Antonacci	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.19	0	+0.9%	Low	Loss
Braden Montgomery	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.33	1	+4.9%	Medium	Loss

PIT @ STL

13–2134 dec38.2%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Quinn Mathews	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	4.33	7	+18.7%	High	Loss
Jared Jones	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.06	6	+4.0%	Medium	Win
Nick Gonzales	Hits	Over 0.5	1.08	1	+1.9%	Low	Win
Alec Burleson	Hits	Over 0.5	1.16	0	+8.3%	High	Loss
Bryan Reynolds	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	0	+6.7%	High	Loss
JJ Wetherholt	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	0	+5.2%	High	Loss
Jordan Walker	Hits	Over 0.5	1.16	3	+10.5%	High	Win
Jake Mangum	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	0	-1.6%	Low	Win
Jared Triolo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.72	2	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Oneil Cruz	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	2	-3.2%	Low	Win
Esmerlyn Valdez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	0	+3.3%	Medium	Loss
Nathan Church	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	0	+7.3%	High	Loss
Nick Yorke	Hits	Under 0.5	0.57	1	-3.2%	Low	Loss
Henry Davis	Hits	Under 0.5	0.35	0	+3.5%	Medium	Win
Jimmy Crooks	Hits	Under 0.5	0.37	1	-2.4%	Low	Loss
Nolan Gorman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.41	1	+0.5%	Low	Win
Nick Gonzales	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.81	1	+3.2%	Medium	Loss
Alec Burleson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.57	0	+15.8%	High	Loss
Bryan Reynolds	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	0	+9.6%	High	Loss
Jordan Walker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.79	5	+21.3%	Low	Win
Oneil Cruz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.06	2	+9.3%	High	Win
JJ Wetherholt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.02	0	+10.3%	High	Loss
Esmerlyn Valdez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.93	0	+7.8%	High	Loss
Jared Triolo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.16	3	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Jake Mangum	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.27	1	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Nathan Church	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.96	1	+17.6%	High	Loss
Nick Yorke	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.21	1	+4.0%	Medium	Win
Henry Davis	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.84	0	-2.5%	Low	Loss
Jimmy Crooks	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.68	4	+1.0%	Low	Win
Nolan Gorman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.02	2	+10.6%	High	Win
Alec Burleson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.57	0	+6.4%	High	Loss
Nick Gonzales	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.29	1	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Jordan Walker	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.13	3	+20.6%	Low	Win
Bryan Reynolds	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.49	0	+7.8%	High	Loss

PHI @ LAA

18–2240 dec45.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Andrew Painter	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	4.80	6	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Reid Detmers	Strikeouts	Over 6.5	7.01	2	+13.4%	High	Loss
Luis Arraez	Hits	Over 1.5	1.29	2	+7.3%	High	Win
Trea Turner	Hits	Under 0.5	0.79	2	+2.7%	Medium	Loss
Alec Bohm	Hits	Over 0.5	1.26	1	+10.5%	High	Win
Bryce Harper	Hits	Over 0.5	1.17	1	+7.0%	High	Win
Kyle Schwarber	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	2	-1.5%	Low	Win
Vaughn Grissom	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	0	+3.8%	Medium	Loss
Mike Trout	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	1	-1.8%	Low	Win
Zach Neto	Hits	Over 0.5	1.32	0	+17.5%	High	Loss
J.T. Realmuto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	0	+3.6%	Medium	Loss
Bryan De La Cruz	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	1	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Edmundo Sosa	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	1	+5.2%	High	Win
Denzer Guzman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.65	0	-1.0%	Low	Loss
Josh Lowe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.76	0	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Christian Moore	Hits	Under 0.5	0.52	1	-0.2%	Low	Loss
Tyler Heineman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.43	0	-0.8%	Low	Win
Derek Hill	Hits	Over 0.5	0.52	1	+0.7%	Low	Win
Luis Arraez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.20	2	+8.5%	High	Win
Trea Turner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.67	2	-2.6%	Low	Win
Kyle Schwarber	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.33	2	+7.8%	High	Win
Alec Bohm	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.85	3	+20.5%	Low	Win
Bryce Harper	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.48	1	+14.8%	High	Loss
Zach Neto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.79	1	+22.2%	Low	Loss
Mike Trout	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.61	2	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Vaughn Grissom	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.09	0	+13.2%	High	Loss
J.T. Realmuto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.82	1	+10.5%	High	Loss
Edmundo Sosa	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	6	+15.8%	High	Win
Bryan De La Cruz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.97	1	+18.8%	High	Loss
Christian Moore	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.81	1	-2.9%	Low	Loss
Denzer Guzman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.50	0	+8.9%	High	Loss
Josh Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.42	0	+10.1%	High	Loss
Tyler Heineman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.83	0	+2.5%	Medium	Loss
Derek Hill	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.40	2	+16.0%	High	Win
Trea Turner	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.13	2	-2.9%	Low	Loss
Kyle Schwarber	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.94	2	+11.5%	High	Win
Bryce Harper	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.04	1	+16.6%	High	Loss
Luis Arraez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.78	2	+13.2%	High	Win
Alec Bohm	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.97	1	+17.1%	High	Loss
Mike Trout	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.28	1	+2.8%	Medium	Loss

BAL @ ATH

16–2339 dec41.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Jacob Lopez	Strikeouts	Under 6.5	5.60	6	+5.2%	High	Win
Brandon Young	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.86	4	+5.7%	High	Win
Pete Alonso	Hits	Over 1.5	1.26	0	+5.1%	High	Loss
Tommy White	Hits	Under 0.5	1.11	1	-3.2%	Low	Loss
Henry Bolte	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	0	-0.2%	Low	Loss
Jeff McNeil	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	1	-0.9%	Low	Win
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	1	-2.1%	Low	Win
Lawrence Butler	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	1	+3.5%	Medium	Win
Gunnar Henderson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.84	—	-1.2%	Low	Void
Zack Gelof	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	2	+4.7%	Medium	Loss
Jackson Holliday	Hits	Under 0.5	0.76	0	-0.2%	Low	Win
Jonah Heim	Hits	Under 0.5	0.56	1	+6.2%	High	Loss
Leody Taveras	Hits	Over 0.5	0.77	0	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Coby Mayo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.74	2	-3.1%	Low	Loss
Carlos Cortes	Hits	Over 0.5	0.71	1	+0.1%	Low	Win
Christian Franklin	Hits	Under 0.5	0.44	0	+5.0%	Medium	Win
Dylan Beavers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.77	1	+5.9%	High	Win
Pete Alonso	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.76	0	+5.2%	High	Loss
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.59	2	+8.5%	High	Win
Henry Bolte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.82	1	+0.1%	Low	Loss
Lawrence Butler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.98	2	+4.2%	Medium	Win
Tommy White	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.09	1	+6.2%	High	Loss
Jeff McNeil	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.98	1	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Zack Gelof	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.62	3	-2.0%	Low	Win
Gunnar Henderson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.53	—	-3.5%	Low	Void
Coby Mayo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.92	4	+5.1%	High	Win
Jackson Holliday	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.60	0	-1.3%	Low	Loss
Leody Taveras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.66	1	+3.9%	Medium	Loss
Jonah Heim	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.17	3	-0.4%	Low	Loss
Carlos Cortes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.22	1	-0.9%	Low	Loss
Christian Franklin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.66	0	+12.6%	High	Win
Dylan Beavers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.82	2	+16.4%	High	Win
Pete Alonso	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.51	0	+14.3%	High	Loss
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.01	1	+8.1%	High	Loss
Zack Gelof	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.07	2	-1.4%	Low	Loss
Coby Mayo	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.65	2	+8.0%	High	Win
Henry Bolte	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.39	0	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Tommy White	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.66	1	+9.4%	High	Loss
Jeff McNeil	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.48	1	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Lawrence Butler	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.51	1	+5.8%	High	Loss
Gunnar Henderson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.34	—	+3.1%	Medium	Void
Jackson Holliday	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.05	0	-2.2%	Low	Loss

AZ @ SF

20–1939 dec51.3%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Blade Tidwell	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	3.58	4	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Kohl Drake	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	2.93	4	+9.1%	High	Loss
Gabriel Moreno	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	0	-0.8%	Low	Loss
Corbin Carroll	Hits	Under 0.5	0.86	1	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Jung Hoo Lee	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	1	-2.5%	Low	Win
Lars Nootbaar	Hits	Under 0.5	0.65	3	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Osleivis Basabe	Hits	Under 0.5	0.62	0	+3.4%	Medium	Win
Bryce Eldridge	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	2	+6.4%	High	Win
Ildemaro Vargas	Hits	Under 0.5	0.69	1	+0.4%	Low	Loss
Rafael Devers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	1	+5.4%	High	Win
Geraldo Perdomo	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	1	+7.1%	High	Win
Jonah Cox	Hits	Under 0.5	0.71	0	-3.3%	Low	Win
Nolan Arenado	Hits	Over 0.5	0.76	2	-1.2%	Low	Win
Max Kepler	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	—	-3.1%	Low	Void
Tim Tawa	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	2	+4.5%	Medium	Win
Turner Hill	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	0	+2.1%	Low	Loss
Christian Koss	Hits	Under 0.5	0.64	1	-2.8%	Low	Loss
Ryan Waldschmidt	Hits	Over 0.5	0.73	—	+1.0%	Low	Void
Andrew Knizner	Hits	Over 0.5	0.57	0	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Shay Whitcomb	Hits	Under 0.5	0.33	0	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Corbin Carroll	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.69	5	-3.3%	Low	Loss
Lars Nootbaar	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.32	6	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Gabriel Moreno	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.38	0	+13.4%	High	Loss
Jung Hoo Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.58	3	-0.6%	Low	Win
Geraldo Perdomo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.77	3	+5.2%	High	Win
Bryce Eldridge	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.99	5	+11.0%	High	Win
Rafael Devers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.38	2	+15.9%	High	Win
Osleivis Basabe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.97	0	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Nolan Arenado	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.02	3	+11.8%	High	Win
Ildemaro Vargas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.54	4	+2.7%	Medium	Win
Jonah Cox	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.48	0	+1.7%	Low	Loss
Max Kepler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.08	—	+0.2%	Low	Void
Tim Tawa	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.58	7	+5.5%	High	Win
Turner Hill	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.40	3	+2.2%	Low	Win
Ryan Waldschmidt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.55	—	+7.0%	High	Void
Christian Koss	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.11	4	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Shay Whitcomb	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.05	0	+1.3%	Low	Loss
Andrew Knizner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.00	0	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Corbin Carroll	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.50	4	+0.7%	Low	Win
Gabriel Moreno	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.89	0	+16.6%	High	Loss
Lars Nootbaar	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.04	7	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Bryce Eldridge	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.68	6	+12.2%	High	Win
Jung Hoo Lee	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.30	1	+4.7%	Medium	Loss

all settled dates