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Results · one day

Friday, August 28

Game by game

Every forecast graded for this day against the official result, by sport and game. Each sport keeps its own record — they are never added into one percentage. Pushes and voids are never losses.

MLB · 13–13–1 game calls

Full MLB record →

Model Performance:Winner →Total runs →Run line →

SEA @ TOR
Final · SEA 1 – 8 TOR
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Call Pick Outcome
Winner TOR (home) Win
Total runs OVER 7 Win
Run line (simulated ±1.5) SEA +1.5 Loss
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 19–18 →
COL @ ATL
Final · COL 4 – 6 ATL
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Call Pick Outcome
Winner COL (away) Loss
Total runs UNDER 9 Loss
Run line (simulated ±1.5) ATL +1.5 Win
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 29–11 →
BOS @ NYY
Final · BOS 0 – 1 NYY
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Call Pick Outcome
Winner BOS (away) Loss
Total runs OVER 7 Loss
Run line (simulated ±1.5) BOS -1.5 Loss
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 10–28 →
TEX @ MIL
Final · TEX 1 – 6 MIL
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Call Pick Outcome
Winner MIL (home) Win
Total runs OVER 7.5 Loss
Run line (simulated ±1.5) TEX +1.5 Loss
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 20–23 →
CWS @ MIN
Final · CWS 7 – 4 MIN
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Call Pick Outcome
Winner MIN (home) Loss
Total runs UNDER 9 Loss
Run line (simulated ±1.5) CWS +1.5 Win
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 30–17 →
PIT @ STL
Final · PIT 1 – 4 STL
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Call Pick Outcome
Winner STL (home) Win
Total runs UNDER 7.5 Win
Run line (simulated ±1.5) PIT +1.5 Loss
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 13–21 →
PHI @ LAA
Final · PHI 5 – 3 LAA
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Call Pick Outcome
Winner PHI (away) Win
Total runs UNDER 8 Push
Run line (simulated ±1.5) PHI -1.5 Win
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 18–22 →
BAL @ ATH
Final · BAL 4 – 3 ATH
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Call Pick Outcome
Winner BAL (away) Win
Total runs UNDER 9.5 Win
Run line (simulated ±1.5) ATH +1.5 Win
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 16–23 · 3 void →
AZ @ SF
Final · AZ 10 – 6 SF
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Call Pick Outcome
Winner AZ (away) Win
Total runs UNDER 8 Loss
Run line (simulated ±1.5) SF +1.5 Loss
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 20–19 · 4 void →

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	TOR (home)	Win
Total runs	OVER 7	Win
Run line (simulated ±1.5)	SEA +1.5	Loss

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	COL (away)	Loss
Total runs	UNDER 9	Loss
Run line (simulated ±1.5)	ATL +1.5	Win

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	BOS (away)	Loss
Total runs	OVER 7	Loss
Run line (simulated ±1.5)	BOS -1.5	Loss

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	MIL (home)	Win
Total runs	OVER 7.5	Loss
Run line (simulated ±1.5)	TEX +1.5	Loss

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	MIN (home)	Loss
Total runs	UNDER 9	Loss
Run line (simulated ±1.5)	CWS +1.5	Win

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	STL (home)	Win
Total runs	UNDER 7.5	Win
Run line (simulated ±1.5)	PIT +1.5	Loss

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	PHI (away)	Win
Total runs	UNDER 8	Push
Run line (simulated ±1.5)	PHI -1.5	Win

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	BAL (away)	Win
Total runs	UNDER 9.5	Win
Run line (simulated ±1.5)	ATH +1.5	Win

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	AZ (away)	Win
Total runs	UNDER 8	Loss
Run line (simulated ±1.5)	SF +1.5	Loss

NFL · 4–5 · 1 void game winners

Full NFL record →

Model Performance:Winner →

CIN @ PHI
Final · CIN 30 – 13 PHI
Verified final · official final score
Call Pick Outcome
Winner CIN (away) Win
WSH @ BAL
Final · WSH 3 – 41 BAL
Verified final · official final score
Call Pick Outcome
Winner WSH (away) Loss
NYG @ NYJ
Final · NYG 23 – 6 NYJ
Verified final · official final score
Call Pick Outcome
Winner NYG (away) Win
ATL @ MIA
Final · ATL 17 – 12 MIA
Verified final · official final score
Call Pick Outcome
Winner ATL (away) Win
SEA @ KC
Final · SEA 9 – 9 KC
Verified final · official final score
Call Pick Outcome
Winner — Void
TB @ JAX
Final · TB 0 – 19 JAX
Verified final · official final score
Call Pick Outcome
Winner TB (away) Loss
HOU @ CAR
Final · HOU 13 – 16 CAR
Verified final · official final score
Call Pick Outcome
Winner HOU (away) Loss
MIN @ DEN
Final · MIN 6 – 34 DEN
Verified final · official final score
Call Pick Outcome
Winner MIN (away) Loss
NO @ DAL
Final · NO 27 – 24 DAL
Verified final · official final score
Call Pick Outcome
Winner NO (away) Win
ARI @ GB
Final · ARI 38 – 42 GB
Verified final · official final score
Call Pick Outcome
Winner ARI (away) Loss

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	CIN (away)	Win

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	WSH (away)	Loss

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	NYG (away)	Win

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	ATL (away)	Win

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	—	Void

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	TB (away)	Loss

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	HOU (away)	Loss

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	MIN (away)	Loss

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	NO (away)	Win

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	ARI (away)	Loss

Daily Top 5 · frozen before kickoff

Each board is published once, before the day's first kickoff, from public model families only — never chosen after the results, never revised. A board shows fewer than five when fewer players qualify.

No qualifying board was frozen for Friday, August 28.

MLB: no qualifying board — Player props are market context only — no MLB prop model has passed its bar, so none can make a board.
Premier League: no qualifying board — No player-prop model — Premier League forecasts are match results only.
UFC: no qualifying board — No fight-prop model — UFC forecasts are fight winners only.

Product cards settled this day

Every Bank Builder and Moonshot lane, each leg with its official score and grade — the receipts the product records are built from. Source: MLB Stats API official box score (feed/live), joined by gamePk. Paper-only.

Bank Builder · lane A
Pending — not settled yet
No legs on this lane's receipt.
Bank Builder · lane B
Pending — not settled yet
No legs on this lane's receipt.
Moonshot · lane A
Pending — not settled yet
No legs on this lane's receipt.
Moonshot · lane B
Pending — not settled yet
No legs on this lane's receipt.

Suggested Parlays published this day

The MLB cards as published (one per risk level), each graded from the lab’s settled receipt — the same cards the published record counts. A card not yet settled is pending, never a loss. Paper-only.

Medium Risk · +204
Lost
Leg Price Grade
Jarren Duran · BOS · Hits Over 0.5 -117 Lost
Corey Seager · TEX · Hits Over 0.5 -157 Lost

Leg	Price	Grade
Jarren Duran · BOS · Hits Over 0.5	-117	Lost
Corey Seager · TEX · Hits Over 0.5	-157	Lost

Longshot · +2971

Lost

Leg	Price	Grade
Jarren Duran · BOS · Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 0.5	-147	Lost
Willson Contreras · BOS · Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 1.5	+118	Lost
Cal Raleigh · SEA · Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 0.5	-147	Lost
Alec Bohm · PHI · Total Bases Over 1.5	+131	Lost
Corey Seager · TEX · Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 1.5	+116	Lost

Low Risk
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.
High Risk
No card was published — every card in this tier reused a leg already on the ladder, or ran past the five-leg cap.

Model research · player-prop leans, not public picks

Projection vs actual for every settled prop lean, graded for transparency and model development.

MLB

49.0%

175–182 on 357

Full MLB audit →

Biggest hits

MLBGrant HolmesUnder 4.5 Strikeouts+27.4pp edgeactual 3
MLBJordan WalkerOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+21.3pp edgeactual 5
MLBHa-Seong KimUnder 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+21.1pp edgeactual 0
MLBTristan PetersOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+20.7pp edgeactual 2
MLBJordan WalkerOver 1.5 Total Bases+20.6pp edgeactual 3

Biggest misses

MLBEmerson HancockOver 3.5 Strikeouts+22.7pp edgeactual 1
MLBReid DetmersOver 6.5 Strikeouts+13.4pp edgeactual 2
MLBLuis CastilloOver 3.5 Strikeouts+9.5pp edgeactual 1
MLBLars NootbaarUnder 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+4.0pp edgeactual 6
MLBCorbin CarrollUnder 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-3.3pp edgeactual 5

MLB settled games · projection vs actual

COL @ ATL

29–1140 dec72.5%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Tomoyuki Sugano	Strikeouts	Over 2.5	3.22	4	+3.5%	Medium	Win
Grant Holmes	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.27	3	+27.4%	Low	Win
Drake Baldwin	Hits	Under 1.5	1.09	2	-2.7%	Low	Loss
Michael Harris II	Hits	Over 1.5	1.20	2	+2.9%	Medium	Win
Matt Olson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.85	1	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Ozzie Albies	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	1	+2.3%	Low	Win
Jake McCarthy	Hits	Over 0.5	1.05	1	+4.5%	Medium	Win
Hunter Goodman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	3	-2.9%	Low	Win
Cole Carrigg	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	1	-2.7%	Low	Win
TJ Rumfield	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	1	+3.1%	Medium	Win
Ha-Seong Kim	Hits	Under 0.5	0.23	0	+18.2%	High	Win
Mike Yastrzemski	Hits	Under 0.5	0.49	1	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Willi Castro	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	1	+7.5%	High	Win
Sean Murphy	Hits	Over 0.5	0.72	2	-0.1%	Low	Win
Mickey Moniak	Hits	Over 0.5	0.74	2	+0.9%	Low	Win
Connor Norby	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	0	+10.8%	High	Loss
Ezequiel Tovar	Hits	Over 0.5	0.65	1	-1.8%	Low	Win
Zac Veen	Hits	Under 0.5	0.36	2	+1.2%	Low	Loss
Matt Olson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.73	1	+6.3%	High	Win
Drake Baldwin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.21	3	-3.2%	Low	Win
Michael Harris II	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.08	7	-0.6%	Low	Win
Ozzie Albies	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.86	1	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Hunter Goodman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.05	4	+7.1%	High	Win
Jake McCarthy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.92	3	+8.0%	High	Win
Ha-Seong Kim	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.50	0	+21.1%	Low	Win
Mike Yastrzemski	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.87	1	+6.7%	High	Win
Sean Murphy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.10	4	+0.3%	Low	Loss
Cole Carrigg	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	2	+7.2%	High	Win
TJ Rumfield	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.60	2	+6.3%	High	Win
Mickey Moniak	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	2	+10.6%	High	Win
Willi Castro	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.09	2	+17.4%	High	Win
Connor Norby	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.07	0	+21.1%	Low	Loss
Ezequiel Tovar	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.30	2	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Zac Veen	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.97	3	+4.5%	Medium	Win
Drake Baldwin	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.94	2	+5.0%	High	Win
Matt Olson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.63	1	+0.0%	Low	Loss
Michael Harris II	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.98	6	+8.5%	High	Win
Ozzie Albies	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.45	1	+2.4%	Low	Loss
Hunter Goodman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.92	3	+9.8%	High	Win
Jake McCarthy	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.50	1	+10.3%	High	Loss

BOS @ NYY

10–2838 dec26.3%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Cam Schlittler	Strikeouts	Over 6.5	7.25	8	+6.7%	High	Win
Patrick Sandoval	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	5.24	7	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Cody Bellinger	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	0	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Paul Goldschmidt	Hits	Under 0.5	0.57	1	+10.7%	High	Loss
Ceddanne Rafaela	Hits	Over 0.5	1.18	2	+11.5%	High	Win
Heliot Ramos	Hits	Under 0.5	0.65	0	+1.0%	Low	Win
Ben Rice	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	2	+5.3%	High	Win
George Lombard Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	0	+7.3%	High	Loss
Trent Grisham	Hits	Under 0.5	0.68	0	-1.5%	Low	Win
Willson Contreras	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	0	+10.6%	High	Loss
Caleb Durbin	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	0	+9.2%	High	Loss
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	0	+10.6%	High	Loss
Adley Rutschman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.68	0	-2.6%	Low	Loss
Nick Sogard	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	0	+15.5%	High	Loss
Wilyer Abreu	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	2	+4.2%	Medium	Win
Mickey Gasper	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	0	+12.6%	High	Loss
Jarren Duran	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	0	+16.3%	High	Loss
Anthony Seigler	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	0	+14.2%	High	Loss
Austin Wells	Hits	Over 0.5	0.50	0	+0.0%	Low	Loss
Paul Goldschmidt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.02	3	+8.5%	High	Loss
Cody Bellinger	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.26	0	+9.8%	High	Loss
Ben Rice	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.42	2	+15.5%	High	Win
Heliot Ramos	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.15	0	-0.6%	Low	Win
Trent Grisham	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.78	0	+6.1%	High	Loss
Wilyer Abreu	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.83	2	+7.7%	High	Win
Ceddanne Rafaela	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.05	2	+13.1%	High	Win
George Lombard Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.88	0	+14.2%	High	Loss
Willson Contreras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.24	0	+18.1%	High	Loss
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.95	0	+14.1%	High	Loss
Adley Rutschman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.56	0	+8.2%	High	Loss
Nick Sogard	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.14	0	+23.7%	Low	Loss
Caleb Durbin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.85	0	+15.5%	High	Loss
Mickey Gasper	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	2.29	0	+24.7%	Low	Loss
Jarren Duran	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	2.00	0	+19.6%	High	Loss
Anthony Seigler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.67	0	+17.3%	High	Loss
Austin Wells	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.88	0	+5.0%	Medium	Loss
Cody Bellinger	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.62	0	+8.1%	High	Loss
Paul Goldschmidt	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.96	4	-1.6%	Low	Loss

SEA @ TOR

19–1837 dec51.4%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Dylan Cease	Strikeouts	Over 7.5	8.50	8	+12.7%	High	Win
Emerson Hancock	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	5.46	1	+22.7%	Low	Loss
Nathan Lukes	Hits	Under 0.5	0.89	1	-3.2%	Low	Loss
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	1	-0.4%	Low	Win
Ernie Clement	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	0	+3.9%	Medium	Loss
George Springer	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	4	+5.7%	High	Win
Brett Bateman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.44	2	+14.3%	High	Win
Josh Naylor	Hits	Over 0.5	1.23	0	+13.3%	High	Loss
Kazuma Okamoto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	2	+5.4%	High	Win
Randy Arozarena	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	1	+9.9%	High	Win
Cole Young	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	1	+1.2%	Low	Win
Dominic Canzone	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	2	+12.7%	High	Win
Brandon Valenzuela	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	0	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Taylor Ward	Hits	Over 0.5	0.57	0	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Cal Raleigh	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	0	+7.8%	High	Loss
J.P. Crawford	Hits	Over 0.5	0.72	0	+11.2%	High	Loss
Brock Rodden	Hits	Over 0.5	0.60	0	+10.2%	High	Loss
George Springer	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.95	8	+7.6%	High	Win
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.59	3	-0.7%	Low	Win
Nathan Lukes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.93	4	+7.8%	High	Win
Brett Bateman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.16	3	+15.0%	High	Win
Ernie Clement	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	0	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Kazuma Okamoto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.88	6	+10.8%	High	Win
Josh Naylor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.91	0	+12.1%	High	Loss
Randy Arozarena	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.22	1	+19.5%	High	Loss
Dominic Canzone	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.88	4	+12.3%	High	Win
Cole Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.75	1	+11.5%	High	Win
Brandon Valenzuela	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.17	0	+2.8%	Medium	Loss
Cal Raleigh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.86	0	+17.4%	High	Loss
Taylor Ward	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.33	0	+10.5%	High	Loss
J.P. Crawford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.47	0	+13.6%	High	Loss
Brock Rodden	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.30	0	+23.5%	Low	Loss
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.21	2	-0.1%	Low	Win
Nathan Lukes	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.54	4	+9.8%	High	Win
George Springer	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.60	8	+11.7%	High	Win
Ernie Clement	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.36	0	+6.9%	High	Loss
Brett Bateman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.74	2	+17.9%	High	Win

TEX @ MIL

20–2343 dec46.5%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Logan Henderson	Strikeouts	Under 6.5	5.85	7	+8.6%	High	Loss
Cody Bradford	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	2.93	0	+9.4%	High	Win
Jackson Chourio	Hits	Over 1.5	1.33	1	+9.5%	High	Loss
Brice Turang	Hits	Under 0.5	0.80	1	+3.4%	Medium	Loss
William Contreras	Hits	Over 0.5	1.31	2	+6.4%	High	Win
Jake Bauers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	2	-1.4%	Low	Win
Christian Yelich	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	3	-0.7%	Low	Win
Garrett Mitchell	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	0	+5.6%	High	Loss
Joey Ortiz	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	1	+2.5%	Low	Win
Corey Seager	Hits	Over 0.5	1.17	0	+15.6%	High	Loss
Sal Frelick	Hits	Over 0.5	0.73	2	+0.7%	Low	Win
Brandon Nimmo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	0	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Wyatt Langford	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	0	+14.2%	High	Loss
Joc Pederson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.43	0	+3.5%	Medium	Win
David Hamilton	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	2	+8.7%	High	Win
Ezequiel Duran	Hits	Over 0.5	1.13	0	+17.7%	High	Loss
Jake Burger	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	0	+12.1%	High	Loss
Cody Freeman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	0	+11.4%	High	Loss
Evan Carter	Hits	Over 0.5	0.68	0	+9.6%	High	Loss
Danny Jansen	Hits	Over 0.5	0.46	1	+4.7%	Medium	Win
Jackson Chourio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.65	2	+8.9%	High	Win
Brice Turang	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.94	2	-0.2%	Low	Win
Jake Bauers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.29	4	+5.5%	High	Win
William Contreras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.59	5	+11.3%	High	Win
Christian Yelich	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.99	4	+6.8%	High	Win
Garrett Mitchell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.98	1	+9.6%	High	Loss
Joey Ortiz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.02	1	+13.6%	High	Loss
Corey Seager	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.17	0	+17.0%	High	Loss
Sal Frelick	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.52	3	+6.3%	High	Win
David Hamilton	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.79	4	+12.3%	High	Win
Brandon Nimmo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.34	0	+3.1%	Medium	Loss
Joc Pederson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.09	0	+0.3%	Low	Loss
Wyatt Langford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	2.07	0	+16.8%	High	Loss
Ezequiel Duran	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	2.10	0	+18.9%	High	Loss
Jake Burger	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.84	0	+16.2%	High	Loss
Cody Freeman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.31	0	+18.5%	High	Loss
Evan Carter	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.22	0	+15.2%	High	Loss
Danny Jansen	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.23	3	+17.9%	High	Win
Jackson Chourio	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.13	1	+11.0%	High	Loss
Jake Bauers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.74	2	+4.6%	Medium	Win
William Contreras	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.90	2	+11.5%	High	Win
Brice Turang	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.35	1	+2.0%	Low	Loss
Christian Yelich	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.43	4	+6.8%	High	Win

CWS @ MIN

30–1747 dec63.8%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Luis Castillo	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	4.54	1	+9.5%	High	Loss
Dean Kremer	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	5.67	3	+7.2%	High	Loss
Brooks Lee	Hits	Under 1.5	0.96	2	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Luke Keaschall	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	2	+3.1%	Medium	Win
Kody Clemens	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	2	+5.7%	High	Win
Ryan Jeffers	Hits	Under 0.5	0.82	0	-1.9%	Low	Win
Josh Bell	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	1	-0.0%	Low	Win
Sam Antonacci	Hits	Under 0.5	0.82	0	-2.2%	Low	Win
Royce Lewis	Hits	Under 0.5	0.73	1	-0.0%	Low	Loss
Braden Montgomery	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	1	-2.4%	Low	Win
Miguel Vargas	Hits	Over 0.5	1.11	1	+9.3%	High	Win
Andrew Benintendi	Hits	Under 0.5	0.72	2	-2.2%	Low	Loss
Chase Meidroth	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	1	+6.7%	High	Win
Kaelen Culpepper	Hits	Over 0.5	1.29	1	+14.9%	High	Win
Munetaka Murakami	Hits	Under 0.5	0.54	2	+4.5%	Medium	Loss
Trevor Larnach	Hits	Over 0.5	0.72	2	-0.4%	Low	Win
Colson Montgomery	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	2	+6.5%	High	Win
Tristan Peters	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	1	+11.5%	High	Win
Drew Romo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.52	0	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Brooks Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.18	6	+5.6%	High	Win
Kody Clemens	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.33	4	+8.9%	High	Win
Luke Keaschall	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.81	3	+2.1%	Low	Win
Ryan Jeffers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	0	-1.0%	Low	Loss
Josh Bell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.24	1	+10.2%	High	Loss
Miguel Vargas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.35	2	+11.3%	High	Win
Munetaka Murakami	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.55	3	-2.2%	Low	Win
Royce Lewis	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.34	1	+0.0%	Low	Win
Sam Antonacci	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.65	0	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Braden Montgomery	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.96	2	+9.0%	High	Win
Andrew Benintendi	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.66	5	+3.7%	Medium	Win
Kaelen Culpepper	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.23	1	+22.0%	Low	Loss
Colson Montgomery	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.78	6	+9.5%	High	Win
Chase Meidroth	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.64	2	+8.0%	High	Win
Trevor Larnach	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.36	3	+2.2%	Low	Win
Tristan Peters	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.29	2	+20.7%	Low	Win
Drew Romo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.38	0	+14.9%	High	Loss
Kody Clemens	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.81	5	+7.4%	High	Win
Brooks Lee	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.02	5	+12.5%	High	Win
Miguel Vargas	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.82	1	+10.6%	High	Loss
Ryan Jeffers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.36	0	+1.5%	Low	Loss
Royce Lewis	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.04	1	-1.4%	Low	Win
Josh Bell	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.53	1	+6.8%	High	Loss
Munetaka Murakami	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.20	3	+0.6%	Low	Win
Luke Keaschall	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.55	2	+8.4%	High	Win
Andrew Benintendi	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.19	3	-0.4%	Low	Win
Sam Antonacci	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.19	0	+0.9%	Low	Loss
Braden Montgomery	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.33	1	+4.9%	Medium	Loss

PIT @ STL

13–2134 dec38.2%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Quinn Mathews	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	4.33	7	+18.7%	High	Loss
Jared Jones	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.06	6	+4.0%	Medium	Win
Nick Gonzales	Hits	Over 0.5	1.08	1	+1.9%	Low	Win
Alec Burleson	Hits	Over 0.5	1.16	0	+8.3%	High	Loss
Bryan Reynolds	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	0	+6.7%	High	Loss
JJ Wetherholt	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	0	+5.2%	High	Loss
Jordan Walker	Hits	Over 0.5	1.16	3	+10.5%	High	Win
Jake Mangum	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	0	-1.6%	Low	Win
Jared Triolo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.72	2	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Oneil Cruz	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	2	-3.2%	Low	Win
Esmerlyn Valdez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	0	+3.3%	Medium	Loss
Nathan Church	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	0	+7.3%	High	Loss
Nick Yorke	Hits	Under 0.5	0.57	1	-3.2%	Low	Loss
Henry Davis	Hits	Under 0.5	0.35	0	+3.5%	Medium	Win
Jimmy Crooks	Hits	Under 0.5	0.37	1	-2.4%	Low	Loss
Nolan Gorman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.41	1	+0.5%	Low	Win
Nick Gonzales	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.81	1	+3.2%	Medium	Loss
Alec Burleson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.57	0	+15.8%	High	Loss
Bryan Reynolds	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	0	+9.6%	High	Loss
Jordan Walker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.79	5	+21.3%	Low	Win
Oneil Cruz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.06	2	+9.3%	High	Win
JJ Wetherholt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.02	0	+10.3%	High	Loss
Esmerlyn Valdez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.93	0	+7.8%	High	Loss
Jared Triolo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.16	3	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Jake Mangum	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.27	1	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Nathan Church	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.96	1	+17.6%	High	Loss
Nick Yorke	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.21	1	+4.0%	Medium	Win
Henry Davis	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.84	0	-2.5%	Low	Loss
Jimmy Crooks	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.68	4	+1.0%	Low	Win
Nolan Gorman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.02	2	+10.6%	High	Win
Alec Burleson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.57	0	+6.4%	High	Loss
Nick Gonzales	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.29	1	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Jordan Walker	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.13	3	+20.6%	Low	Win
Bryan Reynolds	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.49	0	+7.8%	High	Loss

PHI @ LAA

18–2240 dec45.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Andrew Painter	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	4.80	6	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Reid Detmers	Strikeouts	Over 6.5	7.01	2	+13.4%	High	Loss
Luis Arraez	Hits	Over 1.5	1.29	2	+7.3%	High	Win
Trea Turner	Hits	Under 0.5	0.79	2	+2.7%	Medium	Loss
Alec Bohm	Hits	Over 0.5	1.26	1	+10.5%	High	Win
Bryce Harper	Hits	Over 0.5	1.17	1	+7.0%	High	Win
Kyle Schwarber	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	2	-1.5%	Low	Win
Vaughn Grissom	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	0	+3.8%	Medium	Loss
Mike Trout	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	1	-1.8%	Low	Win
Zach Neto	Hits	Over 0.5	1.32	0	+17.5%	High	Loss
J.T. Realmuto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	0	+3.6%	Medium	Loss
Bryan De La Cruz	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	1	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Edmundo Sosa	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	1	+5.2%	High	Win
Denzer Guzman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.65	0	-1.0%	Low	Loss
Josh Lowe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.76	0	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Christian Moore	Hits	Under 0.5	0.52	1	-0.2%	Low	Loss
Tyler Heineman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.43	0	-0.8%	Low	Win
Derek Hill	Hits	Over 0.5	0.52	1	+0.7%	Low	Win
Luis Arraez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.20	2	+8.5%	High	Win
Trea Turner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.67	2	-2.6%	Low	Win
Kyle Schwarber	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.33	2	+7.8%	High	Win
Alec Bohm	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.85	3	+20.5%	Low	Win
Bryce Harper	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.48	1	+14.8%	High	Loss
Zach Neto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.79	1	+22.2%	Low	Loss
Mike Trout	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.61	2	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Vaughn Grissom	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.09	0	+13.2%	High	Loss
J.T. Realmuto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.82	1	+10.5%	High	Loss
Edmundo Sosa	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	6	+15.8%	High	Win
Bryan De La Cruz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.97	1	+18.8%	High	Loss
Christian Moore	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.81	1	-2.9%	Low	Loss
Denzer Guzman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.50	0	+8.9%	High	Loss
Josh Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.42	0	+10.1%	High	Loss
Tyler Heineman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.83	0	+2.5%	Medium	Loss
Derek Hill	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.40	2	+16.0%	High	Win
Trea Turner	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.13	2	-2.9%	Low	Loss
Kyle Schwarber	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.94	2	+11.5%	High	Win
Bryce Harper	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.04	1	+16.6%	High	Loss
Luis Arraez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.78	2	+13.2%	High	Win
Alec Bohm	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.97	1	+17.1%	High	Loss
Mike Trout	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.28	1	+2.8%	Medium	Loss

BAL @ ATH

16–2339 dec3 void41.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Jacob Lopez	Strikeouts	Under 6.5	5.60	6	+5.2%	High	Win
Brandon Young	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.86	4	+5.7%	High	Win
Pete Alonso	Hits	Over 1.5	1.26	0	+5.1%	High	Loss
Tommy White	Hits	Under 0.5	1.11	1	-3.2%	Low	Loss
Henry Bolte	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	0	-0.2%	Low	Loss
Jeff McNeil	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	1	-0.9%	Low	Win
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	1	-2.1%	Low	Win
Lawrence Butler	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	1	+3.5%	Medium	Win
Gunnar Henderson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.84	—	-1.2%	Low	Void
Zack Gelof	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	2	+4.7%	Medium	Loss
Jackson Holliday	Hits	Under 0.5	0.76	0	-0.2%	Low	Win
Jonah Heim	Hits	Under 0.5	0.56	1	+6.2%	High	Loss
Leody Taveras	Hits	Over 0.5	0.77	0	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Coby Mayo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.74	2	-3.1%	Low	Loss
Carlos Cortes	Hits	Over 0.5	0.71	1	+0.1%	Low	Win
Christian Franklin	Hits	Under 0.5	0.44	0	+5.0%	Medium	Win
Dylan Beavers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.77	1	+5.9%	High	Win
Pete Alonso	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.76	0	+5.2%	High	Loss
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.59	2	+8.5%	High	Win
Henry Bolte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.82	1	+0.1%	Low	Loss
Lawrence Butler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.98	2	+4.2%	Medium	Win
Tommy White	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.09	1	+6.2%	High	Loss
Jeff McNeil	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.98	1	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Zack Gelof	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.62	3	-2.0%	Low	Win
Gunnar Henderson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.53	—	-3.5%	Low	Void
Coby Mayo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.92	4	+5.1%	High	Win
Jackson Holliday	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.60	0	-1.3%	Low	Loss
Leody Taveras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.66	1	+3.9%	Medium	Loss
Jonah Heim	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.17	3	-0.4%	Low	Loss
Carlos Cortes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.22	1	-0.9%	Low	Loss
Christian Franklin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.66	0	+12.6%	High	Win
Dylan Beavers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.82	2	+16.4%	High	Win
Pete Alonso	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.51	0	+14.3%	High	Loss
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.01	1	+8.1%	High	Loss
Zack Gelof	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.07	2	-1.4%	Low	Loss
Coby Mayo	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.65	2	+8.0%	High	Win
Henry Bolte	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.39	0	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Tommy White	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.66	1	+9.4%	High	Loss
Jeff McNeil	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.48	1	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Lawrence Butler	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.51	1	+5.8%	High	Loss
Gunnar Henderson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.34	—	+3.1%	Medium	Void
Jackson Holliday	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.05	0	-2.2%	Low	Loss

AZ @ SF

20–1939 dec4 void51.3%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Blade Tidwell	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	3.58	4	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Kohl Drake	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	2.93	4	+9.1%	High	Loss
Gabriel Moreno	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	0	-0.8%	Low	Loss
Corbin Carroll	Hits	Under 0.5	0.86	1	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Jung Hoo Lee	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	1	-2.5%	Low	Win
Lars Nootbaar	Hits	Under 0.5	0.65	3	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Osleivis Basabe	Hits	Under 0.5	0.62	0	+3.4%	Medium	Win
Bryce Eldridge	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	2	+6.4%	High	Win
Ildemaro Vargas	Hits	Under 0.5	0.69	1	+0.4%	Low	Loss
Rafael Devers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	1	+5.4%	High	Win
Geraldo Perdomo	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	1	+7.1%	High	Win
Jonah Cox	Hits	Under 0.5	0.71	0	-3.3%	Low	Win
Nolan Arenado	Hits	Over 0.5	0.76	2	-1.2%	Low	Win
Max Kepler	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	—	-3.1%	Low	Void
Tim Tawa	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	2	+4.5%	Medium	Win
Turner Hill	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	0	+2.1%	Low	Loss
Christian Koss	Hits	Under 0.5	0.64	1	-2.8%	Low	Loss
Ryan Waldschmidt	Hits	Over 0.5	0.73	—	+1.0%	Low	Void
Andrew Knizner	Hits	Over 0.5	0.57	0	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Shay Whitcomb	Hits	Under 0.5	0.33	0	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Corbin Carroll	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.69	5	-3.3%	Low	Loss
Lars Nootbaar	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.32	6	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Gabriel Moreno	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.38	0	+13.4%	High	Loss
Jung Hoo Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.58	3	-0.6%	Low	Win
Geraldo Perdomo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.77	3	+5.2%	High	Win
Bryce Eldridge	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.99	5	+11.0%	High	Win
Rafael Devers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.38	2	+15.9%	High	Win
Osleivis Basabe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.97	0	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Nolan Arenado	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.02	3	+11.8%	High	Win
Ildemaro Vargas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.54	4	+2.7%	Medium	Win
Jonah Cox	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.48	0	+1.7%	Low	Loss
Max Kepler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.08	—	+0.2%	Low	Void
Tim Tawa	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.58	7	+5.5%	High	Win
Turner Hill	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.40	3	+2.2%	Low	Win
Ryan Waldschmidt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.55	—	+7.0%	High	Void
Christian Koss	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.11	4	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Shay Whitcomb	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.05	0	+1.3%	Low	Loss
Andrew Knizner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.00	0	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Corbin Carroll	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.50	4	+0.7%	Low	Win
Gabriel Moreno	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.89	0	+16.6%	High	Loss
Lars Nootbaar	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.04	7	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Bryce Eldridge	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.68	6	+12.2%	High	Win
Jung Hoo Lee	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.30	1	+4.7%	Medium	Loss

all settled dates

Game by game

MLB · 13–13–1 game calls

SEA @ TOR

COL @ ATL

BOS @ NYY

TEX @ MIL

CWS @ MIN

PIT @ STL

PHI @ LAA

BAL @ ATH

AZ @ SF

NFL · 4–5 · 1 void game winners

CIN @ PHI

WSH @ BAL

NYG @ NYJ

ATL @ MIA

SEA @ KC

TB @ JAX

HOU @ CAR

MIN @ DEN

NO @ DAL

ARI @ GB

Daily Top 5 · frozen before kickoff

Product cards settled this day

Bank Builder · lane A

Bank Builder · lane B

Moonshot · lane A

Moonshot · lane B

Suggested Parlays published this day

Medium Risk · +204

Longshot · +2971

Low Risk

High Risk

Model research · player-prop leans, not public picks