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GameTime Picks
Results · one day

Thursday, August 27

Game by game

Every forecast graded for this day against the official result, by sport and game. Each sport keeps its own record — they are never added into one percentage. Pushes and voids are never losses.

MLB · 9–6 game calls

Full MLB record →

Model Performance:Winner →Total runs →Run line →

NFL · 2–2 game winners

Full NFL record →

Model Performance:Winner →

  • LAR @ LAC

    Final · LAR 20 – 18 LAC

    Verified final · official final score

    CallPickOutcome
    WinnerLAR (away)Win
  • PIT @ BUF

    Final · PIT 27 – 28 BUF

    Verified final · official final score

    CallPickOutcome
    WinnerPIT (away)Loss
  • NE @ CLE

    Final · NE 13 – 37 CLE

    Verified final · official final score

    CallPickOutcome
    WinnerNE (away)Loss
  • SF @ LV

    Final · SF 18 – 12 LV

    Verified final · official final score

    CallPickOutcome
    WinnerSF (away)Win

Daily Top 5 · frozen before kickoff

Each board is published once, before the day's first kickoff, from public model families only — never chosen after the results, never revised. A board shows fewer than five when fewer players qualify.

No qualifying board was frozen for Thursday, August 27.

  • MLB: no qualifying board — Player props are market context only — no MLB prop model has passed its bar, so none can make a board.
  • Premier League: no qualifying board — No player-prop model — Premier League forecasts are match results only.
  • UFC: no qualifying board — No fight-prop model — UFC forecasts are fight winners only.

Product cards settled this day

Every Bank Builder and Moonshot lane, each leg with its official score and grade — the receipts the product records are built from. Source: MLB Stats API official box score (feed/live), joined by gamePk. Paper-only.

  • Bank Builder · lane A

    Pending — not settled yet

    No legs on this lane's receipt.

  • Bank Builder · lane B

    Pending — not settled yet

    No legs on this lane's receipt.

  • Moonshot · lane A

    Pending — not settled yet

    No legs on this lane's receipt.

  • Moonshot · lane B

    Pending — not settled yet

    No legs on this lane's receipt.

Suggested Parlays published this day

The MLB cards as published (one per risk level), each graded from the lab’s settled receipt — the same cards the published record counts. A card not yet settled is pending, never a loss. Paper-only.

  • Medium Risk · +165

    Lost
    LegPriceGrade
    Daulton Varsho · HOU · Hits Over 0.5-153Lost
    Luis Robert Jr. · NYM · Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 0.5-166Won
  • High Risk · +322

    Won
    LegPriceGrade
    Isaac Paredes · HOU · Hits Over 0.5-152Won
    Freddie Freeman · LAD · Hits Over 0.5-187Won
    Garrett Mitchell · MIL · Hits Over 0.5-152Void
  • Longshot · +1283

    Won
    LegPriceGrade
    Shay Whitcomb · SF · Hits Under 0.5+103Won
    Jazz Chisholm Jr. · NYY · Hits Over 0.5-162Won
    George Lombard Jr. · NYY · Hits Over 0.5-172Won
    Vinnie Pasquantino · KC · Hits Over 0.5-182Won
    Ozzie Albies · ATL · Hits Over 0.5-139Won
  • Low Risk

    No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.

Model research · player-prop leans, not public picks

Projection vs actual for every settled prop lean, graded for transparency and model development.

MLB
51.7%
93–87 on 180
Biggest hits
  • MLBNate FurmanUnder 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+27.0pp edgeactual 0
  • MLBJared YoungOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+22.8pp edgeactual 3
  • MLBNate FurmanUnder 0.5 Hits+22.4pp edgeactual 0
  • MLBRafael DeversOver 1.5 Total Bases+21.1pp edgeactual 2
  • MLBJared YoungOver 0.5 Hits+18.0pp edgeactual 1
Biggest misses
  • MLBShohei OhtaniOver 1.5 Total Bases+20.3pp edgeactual 0
  • MLBMatt OlsonOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+17.5pp edgeactual 0
  • MLBShohei OhtaniOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+16.4pp edgeactual 0
  • MLBTommy EdmanOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+16.1pp edgeactual 0
  • MLBCarson BengeOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+16.0pp edgeactual 0
MLB settled games · projection vs actual
HOU @ NYY
15–2237 dec40.5%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Hayden WesneskiStrikeoutsOver 4.54.556+1.3%LowWin
Gerrit ColeStrikeoutsOver 5.56.855+13.5%HighLoss
Ben RiceHitsUnder 0.50.862-0.6%LowLoss
Jose AltuveHitsOver 0.51.030+1.3%LowLoss
Trent GrishamHitsUnder 0.50.690+3.2%MediumWin
Yordan AlvarezHitsOver 0.51.080+4.2%MediumLoss
Cody BellingerHitsOver 0.51.030+6.9%HighLoss
George Lombard Jr.HitsOver 0.50.971+7.8%HighWin
Yainer DiazHitsOver 0.50.891+3.4%MediumWin
Jazz Chisholm Jr.HitsOver 0.50.941+7.9%HighWin
Christian WalkerHitsOver 0.50.733-0.2%LowWin
Daulton VarshoHitsOver 0.50.980+10.7%HighLoss
Isaac ParedesHitsOver 0.50.972+10.2%HighWin
Spencer JonesHitsOver 0.50.890+8.7%HighLoss
Austin WellsHitsUnder 0.50.560-3.1%LowWin
Cam SmithHitsUnder 0.50.520-1.9%LowWin
Taylor TrammellHitsUnder 0.50.331-0.6%LowLoss
Ben RiceHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.273+4.2%MediumWin
Trent GrishamHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.790-1.4%LowLoss
Yordan AlvarezHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.260+7.9%HighLoss
Cody BellingerHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.211+11.9%HighLoss
Jose AltuveHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.990+9.2%HighLoss
Jazz Chisholm Jr.Hits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.911+11.1%HighLoss
George Lombard Jr.Hits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.951+14.5%HighLoss
Spencer JonesHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.980+13.4%HighLoss
Daulton VarshoHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.771+11.4%HighLoss
Christian WalkerHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.717+10.3%HighWin
Isaac ParedesHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.063+17.8%HighWin
Austin WellsHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 1.50.940+3.5%MediumWin
Yainer DiazHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.681+10.6%HighLoss
Cam SmithHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.340+7.0%HighLoss
Taylor TrammellHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.50.661+0.5%LowWin
Ben RiceTotal BasesOver 1.51.833+7.6%HighWin
Yordan AlvarezTotal BasesOver 1.51.860+7.7%HighLoss
Trent GrishamTotal BasesOver 1.51.330+0.8%LowLoss
Cody BellingerTotal BasesOver 1.51.630+9.8%HighLoss
Jose AltuveTotal BasesOver 1.51.670+13.9%HighLoss
KC @ TOR
25–1540 dec4 void62.5%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Noah CameronStrikeoutsOver 4.54.503+2.6%MediumLoss
Bobby Witt Jr.HitsOver 1.51.212+2.5%MediumWin
Alejandro KirkHitsOver 0.51.021+2.4%LowWin
Jac CaglianoneHitsOver 0.51.095+4.0%MediumWin
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.HitsOver 0.51.040+2.8%MediumLoss
George SpringerHitsOver 0.50.952+1.5%LowWin
Ernie ClementHitsOver 0.51.091+5.7%HighWin
Brett BatemanHitsOver 0.51.44—+16.2%HighVoid
Salvador PerezHitsOver 0.50.971+4.8%MediumWin
Vinnie PasquantinoHitsOver 0.51.002+7.6%HighWin
Nick LoftinHitsUnder 0.50.71—-3.4%LowVoid
Carter JensenHitsOver 0.50.791+1.1%LowWin
Kazuma OkamotoHitsOver 0.50.871+4.7%MediumWin
Kyle IsbelHitsOver 0.50.861+7.6%HighWin
Isaac CollinsHitsOver 0.50.611-2.3%LowWin
Tyler TolbertHitsOver 0.50.611-2.7%LowWin
Charles McAdooHitsOver 0.50.951+14.4%HighWin
Myles StrawHitsUnder 0.50.401+1.4%LowLoss
Daz CameronHitsOver 0.50.830+12.5%HighLoss
Bobby Witt Jr.Hits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.536+10.3%HighWin
Jac CaglianoneHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.2314+8.0%HighWin
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.Hits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.700-0.0%LowLoss
Alejandro KirkHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.002+8.0%HighWin
George SpringerHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.735+2.9%MediumWin
Carter JensenHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.614+1.3%LowWin
Salvador PerezHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.001+9.7%HighLoss
Brett BatemanHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.16—+16.6%HighVoid
Ernie ClementHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.711+4.3%MediumLoss
Vinnie PasquantinoHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.996+11.4%HighWin
Kazuma OkamotoHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.881+8.0%HighLoss
Nick LoftinHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.51—+3.9%MediumVoid
Kyle IsbelHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.933+15.2%HighWin
Isaac CollinsHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.151-2.2%LowLoss
Tyler TolbertHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.252+0.8%LowWin
Myles StrawHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 0.50.751-3.1%LowLoss
Charles McAdooHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.751+17.3%HighWin
Daz CameronHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.830+22.2%LowLoss
Bobby Witt Jr.Total BasesOver 1.52.043+10.3%HighWin
Jac CaglianoneTotal BasesOver 1.51.729+7.7%HighWin
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.Total BasesOver 1.51.310+2.2%LowLoss
Alejandro KirkTotal BasesOver 1.51.601+10.7%HighLoss
Salvador PerezTotal BasesOver 1.51.511+9.1%HighLoss
George SpringerTotal BasesOver 1.51.335+4.9%MediumWin
Ernie ClementTotal BasesOver 1.51.361+6.7%HighLoss
MIL @ NYM
17–1835 dec9 void48.6%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Sean ManaeaStrikeoutsOver 4.55.983+11.6%HighLoss
Jacob MisiorowskiStrikeoutsUnder 8.57.906+8.4%HighWin
Jackson ChourioHitsOver 1.51.174+0.4%LowWin
William ContrerasHitsOver 0.51.320+6.7%HighLoss
Luis LaraHitsOver 0.51.081+6.8%HighWin
Brice TurangHitsUnder 0.50.80—-1.8%LowVoid
Andrew VaughnHitsOver 0.50.982+3.3%MediumWin
Christian YelichHitsOver 0.50.90—+1.8%LowVoid
Joey OrtizHitsOver 0.50.822+1.3%LowWin
Bo BichetteHitsOver 0.51.07—+9.4%HighVoid
Cooper PrattHitsOver 0.50.721-1.0%LowWin
Garrett MitchellHitsOver 0.51.02—+10.3%HighVoid
Carson BengeHitsOver 0.51.240+17.5%HighLoss
Luis Robert Jr.HitsOver 0.50.901+9.8%HighWin
Francisco LindorHitsOver 0.50.860+8.7%HighLoss
Marcus SemienHitsOver 0.50.830+8.1%HighLoss
A.J. EwingHitsOver 0.50.750+4.9%MediumLoss
Jared YoungHitsOver 0.50.961+18.0%HighWin
Francisco AlvarezHitsOver 0.50.540+4.5%MediumLoss
Brett BatyHitsOver 0.50.750+15.7%HighLoss
Jackson ChourioHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.0512-0.7%LowWin
William ContrerasHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.541+11.3%HighLoss
Brice TurangHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.94—+6.2%HighVoid
Andrew VaughnHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.673+1.4%LowWin
Luis LaraHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.142+10.0%HighWin
Christian YelichHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.99—+10.4%HighVoid
Joey OrtizHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.963+12.9%HighWin
Cooper PrattHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.493+3.3%MediumWin
Garrett MitchellHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.98—+14.6%HighVoid
Bo BichetteHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.97—+17.6%HighVoid
Carson BengeHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.52.270+16.0%HighLoss
Luis Robert Jr.Hits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.882+14.9%HighWin
Francisco LindorHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.710+9.3%HighLoss
A.J. EwingHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.320+5.2%HighLoss
Marcus SemienHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.300+5.4%HighLoss
Jared YoungHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.793+22.8%LowWin
Francisco AlvarezHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.50.960+8.3%HighLoss
Brett BatyHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.620+24.0%LowLoss
Jackson ChourioTotal BasesOver 1.51.6410+2.3%LowWin
William ContrerasTotal BasesOver 1.51.910+12.4%HighLoss
Andrew VaughnTotal BasesOver 1.51.182-0.0%LowWin
Brice TurangTotal BasesOver 1.51.35—+6.8%HighVoid
Luis LaraTotal BasesOver 1.51.511+10.3%HighLoss
Sean ManaeaStrikeoutsOver 5.55.983+14.8%HighLoss
LAD @ ATL
12–1628 dec4 void42.9%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Yoshinobu YamamotoStrikeoutsOver 6.57.248+17.5%HighWin
Chris SaleStrikeoutsOver 7.57.4611+1.8%LowWin
Shohei OhtaniHitsOver 0.51.110+5.5%HighLoss
Michael Harris IIHitsOver 0.51.211+9.0%HighWin
Mookie BettsHitsOver 0.50.912-0.7%LowWin
Drake BaldwinHitsOver 0.51.091+7.4%HighWin
Freddie FreemanHitsOver 0.51.121+9.6%HighWin
Tommy EdmanHitsOver 0.50.960+3.6%MediumLoss
Kyle TuckerHitsOver 0.50.71—+0.7%LowVoid
Matt OlsonHitsOver 0.50.900+9.3%HighLoss
Dominic SmithHitsUnder 0.50.54—-0.2%LowVoid
Ozzie AlbiesHitsOver 0.51.041+15.1%HighWin
Miguel RojasHitsUnder 0.50.561-2.1%LowLoss
Austin RileyHitsOver 0.50.800+7.8%HighLoss
Mike YastrzemskiHitsOver 0.50.500+0.0%LowLoss
Ben RortvedtHitsUnder 0.50.331-3.3%LowLoss
Shohei OhtaniHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.530+16.4%HighLoss
Michael Harris IIHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.081+11.8%HighLoss
Mookie BettsHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.912+9.0%HighWin
Drake BaldwinHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.203+15.1%HighWin
Freddie FreemanHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.111+18.4%HighLoss
Tommy EdmanHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.130+16.1%HighLoss
Matt OlsonHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.990+17.5%HighLoss
Kyle TuckerHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.62—+7.9%HighVoid
Dominic SmithHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.05—-1.2%LowVoid
Ozzie AlbiesHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.821+12.3%HighWin
Miguel RojasHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.001+3.0%MediumWin
Austin RileyHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.580+12.1%HighLoss
Mike YastrzemskiHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.50.880+3.7%MediumLoss
Ben RortvedtHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.50.441-3.2%LowWin
Shohei OhtaniTotal BasesOver 1.52.310+20.3%LowLoss
Michael Harris IITotal BasesOver 1.51.981+19.0%HighLoss
AZ @ SF
24–1640 dec2 void60.0%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Landen RouppStrikeoutsUnder 4.54.173-1.4%LowWin
Jose CabreraStrikeoutsUnder 3.53.004+7.9%HighLoss
Gabriel MorenoHitsUnder 1.51.091-2.3%LowWin
Jung Hoo LeeHitsUnder 0.51.000-2.0%LowWin
Corbin CarrollHitsOver 0.50.920-0.7%LowLoss
Lars NootbaarHitsUnder 0.50.601+5.6%HighLoss
Rafael DeversHitsOver 0.50.962+3.3%MediumWin
Ildemaro VargasHitsUnder 0.50.740-0.7%LowWin
Drew GilbertHitsUnder 0.50.681+0.3%LowLoss
Geraldo PerdomoHitsOver 0.50.952+3.3%MediumWin
Bryce EldridgeHitsOver 0.50.951+5.9%HighWin
Turner HillHitsOver 0.50.781-1.7%LowWin
Nate FurmanHitsUnder 0.50.140+22.4%LowWin
Nolan ArenadoHitsOver 0.50.76—-0.8%LowVoid
Drew CavanaughHitsOver 0.50.770-0.8%LowLoss
Tim TawaHitsOver 0.50.880+4.1%MediumLoss
Max KeplerHitsUnder 0.50.651-2.9%LowLoss
Christian KossHitsOver 0.50.700+1.1%LowLoss
Ryan WaldschmidtHitsOver 0.50.790+5.2%HighLoss
Shay WhitcombHitsUnder 0.50.340+8.2%HighWin
Gabriel MorenoHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.583+13.0%HighWin
Corbin CarrollHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.750-0.6%LowLoss
Jung Hoo LeeHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 1.51.531-3.2%LowWin
Lars NootbaarHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 1.51.271+3.3%MediumWin
Rafael DeversHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.583+15.9%HighWin
Geraldo PerdomoHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.672+3.0%MediumWin
Bryce EldridgeHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.843+7.1%HighWin
Drew GilbertHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.584+2.2%LowWin
Turner HillHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 1.51.332-2.7%LowLoss
Ildemaro VargasHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.700+4.9%MediumLoss
Nolan ArenadoHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.02—+12.2%HighVoid
Max KeplerHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 1.51.031+1.2%LowWin
Nate FurmanHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 1.50.140+27.0%LowWin
Drew CavanaughHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 1.51.190-2.1%LowWin
Tim TawaHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.640+7.3%HighLoss
Ryan WaldschmidtHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.660+10.2%HighLoss
Christian KossHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.111+5.1%HighWin
Shay WhitcombHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.50.991-2.6%LowWin
Gabriel MorenoTotal BasesOver 1.51.884+12.9%HighWin
Corbin CarrollTotal BasesOver 1.51.550+4.9%MediumLoss
Rafael DeversTotal BasesOver 1.52.262+21.1%LowWin
Jung Hoo LeeTotal BasesOver 1.51.310+2.9%MediumLoss
all settled dates
each record stands alone · pushes and voids are never losses · educational use only · not betting advice