Slate · pick a date
MLB model board · 2026-08-27
7 MLB games · 188 model-vs-market reads
Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.
Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.
SCHEDULEliveMODEL LEANSavailableUPDATEDAug 27, 7:04 PM ETeducational analytics only
Gap ≥ 5 pp
89
model vs market · context
Gap 2.5–5 pp
27
model vs market · context
Small gap
55
5 anomalies shown separately
Sample too small
12
no projection emitted
Highest model probabilities · 8 shown
Market context · no model anomaliesBrett BatemanTOR vs KC
Gap ≥ 5 ppHitsOver 0.5+16.2%
proj 1.44-200 · draftkings
Carson BengeNYM vs MIL
Gap ≥ 5 ppHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.5+16%
proj 2.27-185 · draftkings
William ContrerasMIL vs NYM
Gap ≥ 5 ppHitsOver 0.5+6.7%
proj 1.32-254 · draftkings
Carson BengeNYM vs MIL
Gap ≥ 5 ppHitsOver 0.5+17.5%
proj 1.24-150 · draftkings
Luis Robert Jr.NYM vs MIL
Gap ≥ 5 ppHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.5+14.9%
proj 1.88-166 · draftkings
Charles McAdooTOR vs KC
Gap ≥ 5 ppHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.5+17.3%
proj 1.75-151 · draftkings
Michael Harris IIATL vs LAD
Gap ≥ 5 ppHitsOver 0.5+9%
proj 1.21-208 · draftkings
Luis LaraMIL vs NYM
Gap ≥ 5 ppHitsOver 0.5+6.8%
proj 1.08-217 · draftkings
Filters · 188 of 188 leans
Market
Gap size
Team
Sort
Density
Nationals Park0 leans
COL@WSH
Colorado Rockies at Washington Nationals
first pitch1:05 PM ET
Nationals Park0 leans
COL@WSH
Colorado Rockies at Washington Nationals
first pitch
1:05 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.Busch Stadium0 leans
BAL@STL
Baltimore Orioles at St. Louis Cardinals
first pitch2:15 PM ET
Busch Stadium0 leans
BAL@STL
Baltimore Orioles at St. Louis Cardinals
first pitch
2:15 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.Yankee Stadium36 leansFinal · graded
HOU@NYY
Houston Astros at New York Yankees
first pitch7:05 PM ET
Yankee Stadium36 leansFinal · graded
HOU@NYY
Houston Astros at New York Yankees
first pitch
7:05 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Strikeouts
Gerrit Cole
NYYvsHOUPitcherStrikeouts
OVER5.5
Projection6.85
Edge+13.5%
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.2 K across 16 starts
-133 · draftkings
Hayden Wesneski
HOUvsNYYPitcherStrikeouts
OVER4.5
Projection4.55
Edge+1.3%
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.4 K across 5 starts
+100 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Isaac Paredes
HOUvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.06
Edge+17.8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 126 games
+129 · draftkings
George Lombard Jr.
NYYvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.95
Edge+14.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 19 games
+112 · draftkings
Spencer Jones
NYYvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.98
Edge+13.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 57 games
+114 · draftkings
Cody Bellinger
NYYvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.21
Edge+11.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 105 games
-106 · draftkings
Daulton Varsho
HOUvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.77
Edge+11.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 112 games
+121 · draftkings
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
NYYvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.91
Edge+11.1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 123 games
+111 · draftkings
Daulton Varsho
HOUvsNYYBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.98
Edge+10.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 112 games
-153 · draftkings
Yainer Diaz
HOUvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.68
Edge+10.6%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 67 games
+133 · draftkings
Christian Walker
HOUvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.71
Edge+10.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 127 games
+129 · draftkings
Isaac Paredes
HOUvsNYYBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+10.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 126 games
-152 · draftkings
Jose Altuve
HOUvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.99
Edge+9.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 107 games
-103 · draftkings
Spencer Jones
NYYvsHOUBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+8.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 57 games
-144 · draftkings
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
NYYvsHOUBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge+7.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 123 games
-162 · draftkings
Yordan Alvarez
HOUvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.26
Edge+7.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.53 across 131 games
-120 · draftkings
George Lombard Jr.
NYYvsHOUBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+7.8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 19 games
-172 · draftkings
Cam Smith
HOUvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection1.34
Edge+7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 123 games
-154 · draftkings
Cody Bellinger
NYYvsHOUBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.03
Edge+6.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 105 games
-196 · draftkings
Ben Rice
NYYvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.27
Edge+4.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.24 across 127 games
-143 · draftkings
Yordan Alvarez
HOUvsNYYBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.08
Edge+4.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 131 games
-210 · draftkings
Austin Wells
NYYvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
UNDER1.5
Projection0.94
Edge+3.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 96 games
-173 · draftkings
Yainer Diaz
HOUvsNYYBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+3.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 67 games
-169 · draftkings
Trent Grisham
NYYvsHOUBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge+3.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 111 games
+161 · draftkings
Austin Wells
NYYvsHOUBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.56
Edge−3.1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.51 across 96 games
-101 · draftkings
Cam Smith
HOUvsNYYBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.52
Edge−1.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 123 games
-104 · draftkings
Trent Grisham
NYYvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.79
Edge−1.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 111 games
-131 · draftkings
Jose Altuve
HOUvsNYYBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.03
Edge+1.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 107 games
-232 · draftkings
Taylor Trammell
HOUvsNYYBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.33
Edge−0.6%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.56 across 71 games
-141 · draftkings
Ben Rice
NYYvsHOUBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge−0.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 127 games
+187 · draftkings
Taylor Trammell
HOUvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge+0.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.21 across 71 games
-115 · draftkings
Christian Walker
HOUvsNYYBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge−0.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 127 games
-153 · draftkings
Jeremy Pena
HOU @ NYYBatterHits
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jose Caballero
HOU @ NYYBatterHits
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jeremy Pena
HOU @ NYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jose Caballero
HOU @ NYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Rogers Centre37 leansFinal · graded
KC@TOR
Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays
first pitch7:07 PM ET
Rogers Centre37 leansFinal · graded
KC@TOR
Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays
first pitch
7:07 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Strikeouts
Noah Cameron
KCvsTORPitcherStrikeouts
OVER4.5
Projection4.5
Edge+2.6%
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.1 K across 25 starts
+111 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Charles McAdoo
TORvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection1.75
Edge+17.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 20 games
-151 · draftkings
Brett Bateman
TORvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.16
Edge+16.6%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 16 games
-102 · draftkings
Brett Bateman
TORvsKCBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.44
Edge+16.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.38 across 16 games
-200 · draftkings
Kyle Isbel
KCvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.93
Edge+15.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.37 across 73 games
+127 · draftkings
Charles McAdoo
TORvsKCBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+14.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 20 games
-124 · draftkings
Daz Cameron
TORvsKCBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+12.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.83
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 6 games
-111 · draftkings
Vinnie Pasquantino
KCvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.99
Edge+11.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 88 games
-101 · draftkings
Bobby Witt Jr.
KCvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.53
Edge+10.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 115 games
-150 · draftkings
Salvador Perez
KCvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2
Edge+9.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 124 games
-105 · draftkings
Jac Caglianone
KCvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.23
Edge+8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 122 games
-121 · draftkings
Alejandro Kirk
TORvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2
Edge+8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 58 games
-113 · draftkings
Kazuma Okamoto
TORvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.88
Edge+8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 128 games
+102 · draftkings
Vinnie Pasquantino
KCvsTORBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+7.6%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 88 games
-182 · draftkings
Kyle Isbel
KCvsTORBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+7.6%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 73 games
-143 · draftkings
Ernie Clement
TORvsKCBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.09
Edge+5.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 130 games
-213 · draftkings
Salvador Perez
KCvsTORBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+4.8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 124 games
-196 · draftkings
Kazuma Okamoto
TORvsKCBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge+4.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 128 games
-164 · draftkings
Ernie Clement
TORvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.71
Edge+4.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 130 games
-102 · draftkings
Jac Caglianone
KCvsTORBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.09
Edge+4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 122 games
-226 · draftkings
Nick Loftin
KCvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.51
Edge+3.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 95 games
+116 · draftkings
George Springer
TORvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.73
Edge+2.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 100 games
-111 · draftkings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TORvsKCBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.04
Edge+2.8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 119 games
-224 · draftkings
Bobby Witt Jr.
KCvsTORBatterHits
OVER1.5
Projection1.21
Edge+2.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 115 games
+186 · draftkings
Daz CameronModel anomaly
TORvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection1.83
Edge+22.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.83
- SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 6 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-138 · draftkings
Nick Loftin
KCvsTORBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge−3.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 95 games
+127 · draftkings
Myles Straw
TORvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
UNDER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge−3.1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 103 games
+116 · draftkings
Tyler Tolbert
KCvsTORBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.61
Edge−2.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 44 games
-130 · draftkings
Alejandro Kirk
TORvsKCBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+2.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 58 games
-229 · draftkings
Isaac Collins
KCvsTORBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.61
Edge−2.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 118 games
-135 · draftkings
Isaac Collins
KCvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.15
Edge−2.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 118 games
+132 · draftkings
George Springer
TORvsKCBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+1.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 100 games
-219 · draftkings
Myles Straw
TORvsKCBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.4
Edge+1.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.50 across 103 games
-114 · draftkings
Carter Jensen
KCvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.61
Edge+1.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 123 games
-105 · draftkings
Carter Jensen
KCvsTORBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge+1.1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 123 games
-165 · draftkings
Tyler Tolbert
KCvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection1.25
Edge+0.8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 44 games
-163 · draftkings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TORvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.7
Edge0%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 119 games
-119 · draftkings
Citi Field39 leansFinal · graded
MIL@NYM
Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets
first pitch7:10 PM ET
Citi Field39 leansFinal · graded
MIL@NYM
Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets
first pitch
7:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Strikeouts
Sean Manaea
NYMvsMILPitcherStrikeouts
OVER5.5
Projection5.98
Edge+14.9%
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.3 K across 27 starts
+128 · draftkings
Sean Manaea
NYMvsMILPitcherStrikeouts
OVER4.5
Projection5.98
Edge+11.6%
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.3 K across 27 starts
-174 · fanduel
Jacob Misiorowski
MILvsNYMPitcherStrikeouts
UNDER8.5
Projection7.9
Edge+8.4%
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 9.0 K across 24 starts
-108 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Jared Young
NYMvsMILBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge+18%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 81 games
-111 · draftkings
Bo Bichette
NYMvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.97
Edge+17.6%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 132 games
+144 · draftkings
Carson Benge
NYMvsMILBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.24
Edge+17.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 126 games
-150 · draftkings
Carson Benge
NYMvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection2.27
Edge+16%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 126 games
-185 · draftkings
Brett Baty
NYMvsMILBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge+15.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 115 games
+118 · draftkings
Luis Robert Jr.
NYMvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection1.88
Edge+14.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 53 games
-166 · draftkings
Garrett Mitchell
MILvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.98
Edge+14.6%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 119 games
+121 · draftkings
Joey Ortiz
MILvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.96
Edge+12.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 97 games
+110 · draftkings
William Contreras
MILvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.54
Edge+11.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.09 across 123 games
-129 · draftkings
Christian Yelich
MILvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.99
Edge+10.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 92 games
+103 · draftkings
Garrett Mitchell
MILvsNYMBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+10.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 119 games
-152 · draftkings
Luis Lara
MILvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.14
Edge+10%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 36 games
-109 · draftkings
Luis Robert Jr.
NYMvsMILBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge+9.8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 53 games
-140 · draftkings
Bo Bichette
NYMvsMILBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.07
Edge+9.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 132 games
-164 · draftkings
Francisco Lindor
NYMvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection1.71
Edge+9.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 75 games
-164 · draftkings
Francisco Lindor
NYMvsMILBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+8.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 75 games
-131 · draftkings
Francisco Alvarez
NYMvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge+8.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 92 games
-114 · draftkings
Marcus Semien
NYMvsMILBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+8.1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 113 games
-130 · draftkings
Luis Lara
MILvsNYMBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.08
Edge+6.8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 36 games
-217 · draftkings
William Contreras
MILvsNYMBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.32
Edge+6.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 123 games
-254 · draftkings
Brice Turang
MILvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.94
Edge+6.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.28 across 123 games
-111 · draftkings
Marcus Semien
NYMvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection1.3
Edge+5.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 113 games
-154 · draftkings
A.J. Ewing
NYMvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection1.32
Edge+5.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 92 games
-160 · draftkings
A.J. Ewing
NYMvsMILBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge+4.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 92 games
-127 · draftkings
Francisco Alvarez
NYMvsMILBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.54
Edge+4.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 92 games
+111 · draftkings
Andrew Vaughn
MILvsNYMBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.98
Edge+3.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 87 games
-205 · draftkings
Cooper Pratt
MILvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.49
Edge+3.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 48 games
+115 · draftkings
Brett BatyModel anomaly
NYMvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection1.62
Edge+24%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 115 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-104 · draftkings
Jared YoungModel anomaly
NYMvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection1.79
Edge+22.8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 81 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-134 · draftkings
Brice Turang
MILvsNYMBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge−1.8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 123 games
+156 · draftkings
Christian Yelich
MILvsNYMBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge+1.8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 92 games
-189 · draftkings
Andrew Vaughn
MILvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.67
Edge+1.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 87 games
-110 · draftkings
Joey Ortiz
MILvsNYMBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+1.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 97 games
-173 · draftkings
Cooper Pratt
MILvsNYMBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.72
Edge−1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 48 games
-156 · draftkings
Jackson Chourio
MILvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.05
Edge−0.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.30 across 98 games
-156 · draftkings
Jackson Chourio
MILvsNYMBatterHits
OVER1.5
Projection1.17
Edge+0.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 98 games
+178 · draftkings
Truist Park38 leansFinal · graded
LAD@ATL
Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves
first pitch7:15 PM ET
Truist Park38 leansFinal · graded
LAD@ATL
Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves
first pitch
7:15 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Strikeouts
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
LADvsATLPitcherStrikeouts
OVER6.5
Projection7.24
Edge+17.5%
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.3 K across 23 starts
+119 · draftkings
Chris Sale
ATLvsLADPitcherStrikeouts
OVER7.5
Projection7.46
Edge+1.8%
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 7.2 K across 23 starts
+111 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Freddie Freeman
LADvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.11
Edge+18.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 129 games
+123 · draftkings
Matt Olson
ATLvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.99
Edge+17.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.29 across 133 games
+136 · draftkings
Shohei Ohtani
LADvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.53
Edge+16.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.46 across 123 games
-104 · draftkings
Tommy Edman
LADvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.13
Edge+16.1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 55 games
+123 · draftkings
Ozzie Albies
ATLvsLADBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.04
Edge+15.1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 133 games
-139 · draftkings
Drake Baldwin
ATLvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.2
Edge+15.1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.31 across 110 games
+110 · draftkings
Ozzie Albies
ATLvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection1.82
Edge+12.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 133 games
-168 · draftkings
Austin Riley
ATLvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection1.58
Edge+12.1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 132 games
-146 · draftkings
Michael Harris II
ATLvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.08
Edge+11.8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 127 games
+104 · draftkings
Freddie Freeman
LADvsATLBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+9.6%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 129 games
-187 · draftkings
Matt Olson
ATLvsLADBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge+9.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 133 games
-143 · draftkings
Michael Harris II
ATLvsLADBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.21
Edge+9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 127 games
-208 · draftkings
Mookie Betts
LADvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.91
Edge+9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 96 games
+107 · draftkings
Kyle Tucker
LADvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection1.62
Edge+7.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 125 games
-182 · draftkings
Austin Riley
ATLvsLADBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge+7.8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 132 games
-124 · draftkings
Drake Baldwin
ATLvsLADBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.09
Edge+7.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 110 games
-193 · draftkings
Shohei Ohtani
LADvsATLBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.11
Edge+5.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 123 games
-217 · draftkings
Mike Yastrzemski
ATLvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge+3.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.26 across 113 games
-126 · draftkings
Tommy Edman
LADvsATLBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge+3.6%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 55 games
-180 · draftkings
Miguel Rojas
LADvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 78 games
-162 · draftkings
Ben Rortvedt
LADvsATLBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.33
Edge−3.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.33
- SeasonSeason average 0.33 across 9 games
-158 · draftkings
Ben Rortvedt
LADvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection0.44
Edge−3.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.44
- SeasonSeason average 0.44 across 9 games
-105 · draftkings
Miguel Rojas
LADvsATLBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.56
Edge−2.1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 78 games
+103 · draftkings
Dominic Smith
ATLvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge−1.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 100 games
-170 · draftkings
Mookie Betts
LADvsATLBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge−0.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 96 games
-197 · draftkings
Kyle Tucker
LADvsATLBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge+0.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 125 games
-143 · draftkings
Dominic Smith
ATLvsLADBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.54
Edge−0.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 100 games
+107 · draftkings
Mike Yastrzemski
ATLvsLADBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.5
Edge0%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 113 games
+100 · draftkings
Mauricio Dubon
LAD @ ATLBatterHits
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ronald Acuna Jr.
LAD @ ATLBatterHits
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Teoscar Hernandez
LAD @ ATLBatterHits
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Enrique Hernandez
LAD @ ATLBatterHits
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ronald Acuna Jr.
LAD @ ATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Mauricio Dubon
LAD @ ATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Teoscar Hernandez
LAD @ ATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Enrique Hernandez
LAD @ ATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Oracle Park38 leansFinal · graded
AZ@SF
Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants
first pitch9:45 PM ET
Oracle Park38 leansFinal · graded
AZ@SF
Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants
first pitch
9:45 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Strikeouts
Jose Cabrera
AZvsSFPitcherStrikeouts
UNDER3.5
Projection3
Edge+7.9%
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.0 K across 4 starts
-119 · draftkings
Landen Roupp
SFvsAZPitcherStrikeouts
UNDER4.5
Projection4.17
Edge−1.4%
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.2 K across 25 starts
-141 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Rafael Devers
SFvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.58
Edge+15.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 133 games
-114 · draftkings
Gabriel Moreno
AZvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.58
Edge+13%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.25 across 104 games
-148 · draftkings
Nolan Arenado
AZvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.02
Edge+12.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 125 games
+109 · draftkings
Ryan Waldschmidt
AZvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.66
Edge+10.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 66 games
+129 · draftkings
Shay Whitcomb
SFvsAZBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.34
Edge+8.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.28 across 18 games
+103 · draftkings
Tim Tawa
AZvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.64
Edge+7.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 71 games
+120 · draftkings
Bryce Eldridge
SFvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.84
Edge+7.1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 87 games
-102 · draftkings
Bryce Eldridge
SFvsAZBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+5.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 87 games
-180 · draftkings
Lars Nootbaar
AZvsSFBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.6
Edge+5.6%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 64 games
+152 · draftkings
Ryan Waldschmidt
AZvsSFBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge+5.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 66 games
-139 · draftkings
Christian Koss
SFvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection1.11
Edge+5.1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 38 games
-174 · draftkings
Ildemaro Vargas
AZvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.7
Edge+4.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 112 games
+104 · draftkings
Tim Tawa
AZvsSFBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge+4.1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 71 games
-165 · draftkings
Rafael Devers
SFvsAZBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge+3.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 133 games
-204 · draftkings
Geraldo Perdomo
AZvsSFBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+3.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 129 games
-184 · draftkings
Lars Nootbaar
AZvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
UNDER1.5
Projection1.27
Edge+3.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.44 across 64 games
-113 · draftkings
Geraldo Perdomo
AZvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.67
Edge+3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 129 games
-104 · draftkings
Nate FurmanModel anomaly
SFvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
UNDER1.5
Projection0.14
Edge+27%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.14
- SeasonSeason average 0.14 across 7 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-151 · draftkings
Nate FurmanModel anomaly
SFvsAZBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.14
Edge+22.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.14
- SeasonSeason average 0.14 across 7 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+127 · draftkings
Jung Hoo Lee
SFvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
UNDER1.5
Projection1.53
Edge−3.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 121 games
-111 · draftkings
Max Kepler
AZvsSFBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge−2.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 36 games
+118 · draftkings
Turner Hill
SFvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
UNDER1.5
Projection1.33
Edge−2.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.33
- SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 9 games
-137 · draftkings
Shay Whitcomb
SFvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge−2.6%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 18 games
-172 · draftkings
Gabriel Moreno
AZvsSFBatterHits
UNDER1.5
Projection1.09
Edge−2.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 104 games
-234 · draftkings
Drew Gilbert
SFvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.58
Edge+2.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 105 games
+101 · draftkings
Drew Cavanaugh
SFvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
UNDER1.5
Projection1.19
Edge−2.1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 36 games
-158 · draftkings
Jung Hoo Lee
SFvsAZBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection1
Edge−2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 121 games
+194 · draftkings
Turner Hill
SFvsAZBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge−1.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.78
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 9 games
-175 · draftkings
Max Kepler
AZvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
UNDER1.5
Projection1.03
Edge+1.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.36 across 36 games
-146 · draftkings
Christian Koss
SFvsAZBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge+1.1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 38 games
-139 · draftkings
Nolan Arenado
AZvsSFBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge−0.8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 125 games
-169 · draftkings
Drew Cavanaugh
SFvsAZBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge−0.8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 36 games
-168 · draftkings
Ildemaro Vargas
AZvsSFBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge−0.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 112 games
+148 · draftkings
Corbin Carroll
AZvsSFBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge−0.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 130 games
-221 · draftkings
Corbin Carroll
AZvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.75
Edge−0.6%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 130 games
-125 · draftkings
Drew Gilbert
SFvsAZBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge+0.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 105 games
+142 · draftkings
Home runs live on the Power Board
Open the MLB Power Board →
HR markets are high-variance and rated on a separate power-profile scale (barrel + park + matchup), not the standard High / Medium / Low tiers used here.