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237–252 on 489 decisive picks · 48.5%2026-08-29
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MLB model board · 2026-08-29

17 MLB games · 473 model-vs-market reads

Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.

Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.

SCHEDULEliveMODEL LEANSavailableUPDATEDAug 29, 1:19 PM ETeducational analytics only
Gap ≥ 5 pp
169
model vs market · context
Gap 2.5–5 pp
62
model vs market · context
Small gap
185
9 anomalies shown separately
Sample too small
48
no projection emitted
Strikeouts7 gap ≥ 5 pp·25 totalHits61 gap ≥ 5 pp·224 totalHits + Runs + RBIs101 gap ≥ 5 pp·224 total
Filters · 473 of 473 leans
Market
Gap size
Team
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Density
Yankee Stadium0 leans

BOS@NYY

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees

first pitch
1:05 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Jake Bennett
probable · awayJake Bennett
BOS
Carlos Rodón
probable · homeCarlos Rodón
NYY
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
Yankee Stadium1 leanFinal · graded

BOS@NYY

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees

first pitch
7:15 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
probable · awayTBD
BOS
Max Fried
probable · homeMax Fried
NYY
Strikeouts
Max Fried
Max Fried
NYYvsBOSPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection5.67
Edge+17.7%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.3 K across 15 starts
-132 · fanduel
Comerica Park0 leans

LAD@DET

Los Angeles Dodgers at Detroit Tigers

first pitch
1:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Blake Snell
probable · awayBlake Snell
LAD
Keider Montero
probable · homeKeider Montero
DET
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
Target Field39 leansFinal · graded

CWS@MIN

Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins

first pitch
2:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Erick Fedde
probable · awayErick Fedde
CWS
Bailey Ober
probable · homeBailey Ober
MIN
Strikeouts
Bailey Ober
Bailey Ober
MINvsCWSPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER3.5
Projection3.68
Edge+3.9%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.7 K across 20 starts
+132 · fanduel
Bailey Ober
Bailey Ober
MINvsCWSPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER4.5
Projection3.68
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.7 K across 20 starts
-149 · draftkings
Erick Fedde
Erick Fedde
CWSvsMINPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER2.5
Projection2.82
Edge+3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.0 K across 28 starts
-122 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Kaelen Culpepper
Kaelen Culpepper
MINvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.2
Edge+19.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 17 games
+103 · draftkings
Kaelen Culpepper
Kaelen Culpepper
MINvsCWSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.29
Edge+14.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 17 games
-179 · draftkings
Drew Romo
Drew Romo
CWSvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.32
Edge+14.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 55 games
-128 · draftkings
Tristan Peters
Tristan Peters
CWSvsMINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+12.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 124 games
-150 · draftkings
Chase Meidroth
Chase Meidroth
CWSvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.74
Edge+9.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 129 games
+118 · draftkings
Miguel Vargas
Miguel Vargas
CWSvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.35
Edge+8.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.20 across 132 games
-127 · draftkings
Chase Meidroth
Chase Meidroth
CWSvsMINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+8.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 129 games
-174 · draftkings
Kody Clemens
Kody Clemens
MINvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.29
Edge+8.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 117 games
-130 · draftkings
Colson Montgomery
Colson Montgomery
CWSvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.94
Edge+8.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 126 games
-102 · draftkings
Braden Montgomery
Braden Montgomery
CWSvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.01
Edge+8.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 66 games
-112 · draftkings
Andrew Benintendi
Andrew Benintendi
CWSvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.82
Edge+7.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 117 games
+102 · draftkings
Miguel Vargas
Miguel Vargas
CWSvsMINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.11
Edge+6.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 132 games
-233 · draftkings
Kody Clemens
Kody Clemens
MINvsCWSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.1
Edge+6.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 117 games
-229 · draftkings
Josh Bell
Josh Bell
MINvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.23
Edge+6.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.07 across 129 games
-138 · draftkings
Luke Keaschall
Luke Keaschall
MINvsCWSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.16
Edge+6.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 126 games
-257 · draftkings
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka Murakami
CWSvsMINBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge+4.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 99 games
+157 · draftkings
Luke Keaschall
Luke Keaschall
MINvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.97
Edge+3.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 126 games
-141 · draftkings
Colson Montgomery
Colson Montgomery
CWSvsMINBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 126 games
-182 · draftkings
Trevor Larnach
Trevor Larnach
MINvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.51
Edge+3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 109 games
+114 · draftkings
Brooks Lee
Brooks Lee
MINvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.19
Edge+3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 127 games
-153 · draftkings
Tristan Peters
Tristan PetersModel anomaly
CWSvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.39
Edge+22.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 124 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+127 · draftkings
Braden Montgomery
Braden Montgomery
CWSvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 66 games
+159 · draftkings
Sam Antonacci
Sam Antonacci
CWSvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.64
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 113 games
-129 · draftkings
Ryan Jeffers
Ryan Jeffers
MINvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 71 games
+181 · draftkings
Trevor Larnach
Trevor Larnach
MINvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 109 games
-159 · draftkings
Sam Antonacci
Sam Antonacci
CWSvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 113 games
+185 · draftkings
Josh Bell
Josh Bell
MINvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 129 games
-240 · draftkings
Ryan Jeffers
Ryan Jeffers
MINvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.6
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 71 games
+102 · draftkings
Brooks Lee
Brooks Lee
MINvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.02
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 127 games
-255 · draftkings
Andrew Benintendi
Andrew Benintendi
CWSvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 117 games
-178 · draftkings
Royce Lewis
Royce Lewis
MINvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.29
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 100 games
-118 · draftkings
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka Murakami
CWSvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.6
Edge−1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 99 games
+103 · draftkings
Royce Lewis
Royce Lewis
MINvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 100 games
+153 · draftkings
Drew Romo
Drew Romo
CWSvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.52
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.44 across 55 games
-104 · draftkings
Walker Jenkins
Walker Jenkins
MINvsCWSBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (1 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Walker Jenkins
Walker Jenkins
MINvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (1 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Busch Stadium37 leansFinal · graded

PIT@STL

Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals

first pitch
2:15 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Lake Bachar
probable · awayLake Bachar
PIT
Kyle Leahy
probable · homeKyle Leahy
STL
Strikeouts
Kyle Leahy
Kyle Leahy
STLvsPITPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection5
Edge+15.9%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.6 K across 25 starts
+132 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
STLvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.8
Edge+18.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.51 across 132 games
-116 · draftkings
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.16
Edge+12.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.42 across 72 games
+103 · draftkings
Nathan Church
Nathan Church
STLvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.86
Edge+11.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 106 games
+116 · draftkings
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
STLvsPITBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.16
Edge+7.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 132 games
-229 · draftkings
Jake Mangum
Jake Mangum
PITvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge+7.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 105 games
+172 · draftkings
Jacob Gonzalez
Jacob Gonzalez
PITvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.33
Edge+6.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 65 games
-105 · draftkings
Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson
STLvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.46
Edge+6.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.41 across 135 games
-148 · draftkings
JJ Wetherholt
JJ Wetherholt
STLvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.01
Edge+6.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 128 games
-116 · draftkings
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.92
Edge+5.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 126 games
-109 · draftkings
JJ Wetherholt
JJ Wetherholt
STLvsPITBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.03
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 128 games
-214 · draftkings
Bryan Reynolds
Bryan Reynolds
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.7
Edge+3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 136 games
-104 · draftkings
Nolan Gorman
Nolan Gorman
STLvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 66 games
-171 · draftkings
Esmerlyn Valdez
Esmerlyn Valdez
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.72
Edge+2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 64 games
-104 · draftkings
Nick Gonzales
Nick Gonzales
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.71
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.11 across 127 games
-107 · draftkings
Jimmy Crooks
Jimmy Crooks
STLvsPITBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.43
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.45 across 51 games
-102 · draftkings
Spencer Horwitz
Spencer Horwitz
PITvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge−2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 93 games
-213 · draftkings
Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson
STLvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.1
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 135 games
+181 · draftkings
Nathan Church
Nathan Church
STLvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge+2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 106 games
-172 · draftkings
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
PITvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 72 games
-170 · draftkings
Bryan Reynolds
Bryan Reynolds
PITvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 136 games
-215 · draftkings
Jake Mangum
Jake Mangum
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.22
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 105 games
-126 · draftkings
Esmerlyn Valdez
Esmerlyn Valdez
PITvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 64 games
-183 · draftkings
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
PITvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 126 games
-201 · draftkings
Nolan Gorman
Nolan Gorman
STLvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.46
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 66 games
-106 · draftkings
Spencer Horwitz
Spencer Horwitz
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.28
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 93 games
-127 · draftkings
Nick Gonzales
Nick Gonzales
PITvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 127 games
-232 · draftkings
Jimmy Crooks
Jimmy Crooks
STLvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 51 games
-163 · draftkings
Jacob Gonzalez
Jacob Gonzalez
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.29 across 65 games
+117 · draftkings
Ivan Herrera
PIT @ STLBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jose Fermin
PIT @ STLBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Joshua Baez
PIT @ STLBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Rafael Flores
PIT @ STLBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ivan Herrera
PIT @ STLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jose Fermin
PIT @ STLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Joshua Baez
PIT @ STLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Rafael Flores
PIT @ STLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Wrigley Field38 leansFinal · graded

CIN@CHC

Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs

first pitch
2:20 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Andrew Abbott
probable · awayAndrew Abbott
CIN
Kevin Gausman
probable · homeKevin Gausman
CHC
Strikeouts
Andrew Abbott
Andrew Abbott
CINvsCHCPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER3.5
Projection4.65
Edge+16.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.2 K across 27 starts
-147 · draftkings
Kevin Gausman
Kevin Gausman
CHCvsCINPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
UNDER6.5
Projection5.78
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.5 K across 27 starts
-152 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Sal Stewart
Sal Stewart
CINvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.82
Edge+16.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.33 across 135 games
-123 · draftkings
Elly De La Cruz
Elly De La Cruz
CINvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.48
Edge+14.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.26 across 116 games
-111 · draftkings
Elly De La Cruz
Elly De La Cruz
CINvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.28
Edge+12.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 116 games
-203 · draftkings
Matt McLain
Matt McLain
CINvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.66
Edge+10.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 107 games
+132 · draftkings
Matt Shaw
Matt Shaw
CHCvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.82
Edge+8.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 51 games
+108 · draftkings
Tyler Stephenson
Tyler Stephenson
CINvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.69
Edge+8.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 104 games
+117 · draftkings
Edwin Arroyo
Edwin Arroyo
CINvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge+7.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 40 games
-128 · draftkings
Edwin Arroyo
Edwin Arroyo
CINvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.18
Edge+7.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.25 across 40 games
-159 · draftkings
Sal Stewart
Sal Stewart
CINvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.15
Edge+6.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 135 games
-243 · draftkings
Alex Bregman
Alex Bregman
CHCvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.35
Edge+6.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 132 games
-141 · draftkings
JJ Bleday
JJ Bleday
CINvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.66
Edge+6.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 107 games
+115 · draftkings
Michael Busch
Michael Busch
CHCvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.05
Edge+6.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 133 games
-126 · draftkings
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Pete Crow-Armstrong
CHCvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.48
Edge+5.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.36 across 135 games
-156 · draftkings
Seiya Suzuki
Seiya Suzuki
CHCvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.38
Edge+4.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.37 across 117 games
-158 · draftkings
Dane Myers
Dane Myers
CINvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.4
Edge+3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 89 games
+129 · draftkings
Tyler Stephenson
Tyler Stephenson
CINvsCHCBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge+3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 104 games
-153 · draftkings
Nico Hoerner
Nico Hoerner
CHCvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.07
Edge−3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 132 games
-236 · draftkings
Tyrone Taylor
Tyrone Taylor
CHCvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 72 games
+131 · draftkings
Matt Shaw
Matt Shaw
CHCvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 51 games
-153 · draftkings
Matt McLain
Matt McLain
CINvsCHCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 107 games
-139 · draftkings
Tyrone Taylor
Tyrone Taylor
CHCvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.27
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 72 games
-136 · draftkings
Dane Myers
Dane Myers
CINvsCHCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 89 games
-155 · draftkings
Michael Busch
Michael Busch
CHCvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 133 games
-216 · draftkings
Seiya Suzuki
Seiya Suzuki
CHCvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.07
Edge+1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 117 games
-255 · draftkings
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Pete Crow-Armstrong
CHCvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.13
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 135 games
-263 · draftkings
Nico Hoerner
Nico Hoerner
CHCvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.75
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 132 games
+117 · draftkings
Carson Kelly
Carson Kelly
CHCvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 95 games
-176 · draftkings
Carson Kelly
Carson Kelly
CHCvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.61
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 95 games
-106 · draftkings
Alex Bregman
Alex Bregman
CHCvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 132 games
-251 · draftkings
JJ Bleday
JJ Bleday
CINvsCHCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 107 games
-160 · draftkings
Pedro Ramirez
CIN @ CHCBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Hector Rodriguez
CIN @ CHCBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Eugenio Suarez
CIN @ CHCBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Pedro Ramirez
CIN @ CHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Hector Rodriguez
CIN @ CHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Eugenio Suarez
CIN @ CHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Rogers Centre38 leansFinal · graded

SEA@TOR

Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays

first pitch
3:07 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Kade Anderson
probable · awayKade Anderson
SEA
José Soriano
probable · homeJosé Soriano
TOR
Strikeouts
Jose Soriano
SEA @ TORPitcherStrikeouts
Sample too small
Line5.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Kade Anderson
Kade Anderson
SEAvsTORPitcherStrikeouts
Sample too small
Line4.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (1 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Brett Bateman
Brett Bateman
TORvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.24
Edge+17%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 17 games
-110 · draftkings
Brett Bateman
Brett Bateman
TORvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.46
Edge+15.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 17 games
-213 · draftkings
George Springer
George Springer
TORvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.38
Edge+15.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 102 games
-116 · draftkings
Charles McAdoo
Charles McAdoo
TORvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.69
Edge+14.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 21 games
-163 · draftkings
Daz Cameron
Daz Cameron
TORvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.57
Edge+13.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.57
  • SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 7 games
-162 · draftkings
George Springer
George Springer
TORvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.27
Edge+12.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 102 games
-222 · draftkings
Charles McAdoo
Charles McAdoo
TORvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge+11.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 21 games
-130 · draftkings
Kazuma Okamoto
Kazuma Okamoto
TORvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.04
Edge+11.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 130 games
+103 · draftkings
Dominic Canzone
Dominic Canzone
SEAvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.99
Edge+11%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 119 games
+105 · draftkings
Randy Arozarena
Randy Arozarena
SEAvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.07
Edge+10.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 127 games
+100 · draftkings
Cal Raleigh
Cal Raleigh
SEAvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.71
Edge+9.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 101 games
+123 · draftkings
Alejandro Kirk
Alejandro Kirk
TORvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.01
Edge+9.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 59 games
-107 · draftkings
Kazuma Okamoto
Kazuma Okamoto
TORvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+6.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 130 games
-169 · draftkings
Brock Rodden
Brock Rodden
SEAvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.09
Edge+6.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 11 games
-167 · draftkings
Josh Naylor
Josh Naylor
SEAvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+6.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 125 games
-225 · draftkings
Dominic Canzone
Dominic Canzone
SEAvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 119 games
-187 · draftkings
Alejandro Kirk
Alejandro Kirk
TORvsSEABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 59 games
-217 · draftkings
Daz Cameron
Daz Cameron
TORvsSEABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.71
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 7 games
-127 · draftkings
Josh Naylor
Josh Naylor
SEAvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.7
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 125 games
-107 · draftkings
Brock Rodden
Brock Rodden
SEAvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.52
Edge−2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 11 games
-108 · draftkings
J.P. Crawford
J.P. Crawford
SEAvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.57
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 89 games
+102 · draftkings
Cole Young
Cole Young
SEAvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.61
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 134 games
+134 · draftkings
Taylor Ward
Taylor Ward
SEAvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.52
Edge+1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 127 games
+110 · draftkings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TORvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.69
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 121 games
-124 · draftkings
Myles Straw
Myles Straw
TORvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.5
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.50 across 105 games
-105 · draftkings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TORvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 121 games
-248 · draftkings
Randy Arozarena
Randy Arozarena
SEAvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 127 games
-190 · draftkings
Ernie Clement
Ernie Clement
TORvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.55
Edge+0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 132 games
-101 · draftkings
Ernie Clement
Ernie Clement
TORvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.98
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 132 games
-222 · draftkings
Taylor Ward
Taylor Ward
SEAvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.22
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 127 games
+128 · draftkings
Cal Raleigh
Cal Raleigh
SEAvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.64
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 101 games
-131 · draftkings
Cole Young
Cole Young
SEAvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.3
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 134 games
+119 · draftkings
Myles Straw
Myles Straw
TORvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 105 games
-157 · draftkings
J.P. Crawford
J.P. Crawford
SEAvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.11
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 89 games
+141 · draftkings
Julio Rodriguez
SEA @ TORBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Julio Rodriguez
SEA @ TORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Oracle Park19 leansFinal · graded

AZ@SF

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants

first pitch
4:05 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Merrill Kelly
probable · awayMerrill Kelly
AZ
probable · homeTBD
SF
Strikeouts
Merrill Kelly
Merrill KellyModel anomaly
AZvsSFPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER4.5
Projection3.12
Edge+20.7%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.7 K across 24 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-149 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Nate Furman
Nate Furman
SFvsAZBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.11
Edge+19.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.11
  • SeasonSeason average 0.11 across 9 games
+107 · draftkings
Bryce Eldridge
Bryce Eldridge
SFvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.11
Edge+15.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 89 games
+108 · draftkings
Rafael Devers
Rafael Devers
SFvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.48
Edge+12.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 135 games
-122 · draftkings
Bryce Eldridge
Bryce Eldridge
SFvsAZBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+12%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 89 games
-167 · draftkings
Christian Koss
Christian Koss
SFvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.3
Edge+9.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 40 games
-172 · draftkings
Shay Whitcomb
Shay Whitcomb
SFvsAZBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.33
Edge+7.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.25 across 20 games
-101 · draftkings
Drew Cavanaugh
Drew Cavanaugh
SFvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.91
Edge+6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 38 games
-157 · draftkings
Turner Hill
Turner Hill
SFvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.57
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 11 games
+115 · draftkings
Rafael Devers
Rafael Devers
SFvsAZBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+5.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 135 games
-207 · draftkings
Drew Gilbert
Drew Gilbert
SFvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.63
Edge+3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.36 across 107 games
+101 · draftkings
Nate Furman
Nate FurmanModel anomaly
SFvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER0.5
Projection0.11
Edge+20.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.11
  • SeasonSeason average 0.11 across 9 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+136 · draftkings
Jung Hoo Lee
Jung Hoo Lee
SFvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.58
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 123 games
-107 · draftkings
Drew Cavanaugh
Drew Cavanaugh
SFvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.6
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 38 games
+115 · draftkings
Jung Hoo Lee
Jung Hoo Lee
SFvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 123 games
+200 · draftkings
Christian Koss
Christian Koss
SFvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 40 games
-136 · draftkings
Shay Whitcomb
Shay Whitcomb
SFvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 20 games
-164 · draftkings
Drew Gilbert
Drew Gilbert
SFvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 107 games
+142 · draftkings
Turner Hill
Turner Hill
SFvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge−0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 11 games
-163 · draftkings
Oracle Park0 leans

AZ@SF

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants

first pitch
10:05 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Mitch Bratt
probable · awayMitch Bratt
AZ
probable · homeTBD
SF
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
Nationals Park36 leansFinal · graded

MIA@WSH

Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals

first pitch
4:05 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Sandy Alcantara
probable · awaySandy Alcantara
MIA
Cade Cavalli
probable · homeCade Cavalli
WSH
Strikeouts
Cade Cavalli
Cade Cavalli
WSHvsMIAPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER6.5
Projection7.85
Edge+17.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 9.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.0 K across 28 starts
+104 · draftkings
Sandy Alcantara
Sandy Alcantara
MIAvsWSHPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER4.5
Projection3.85
Edge+4.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.9 K across 28 starts
-143 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Daylen Lile
Daylen Lile
WSHvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.57
Edge+14.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 135 games
-118 · draftkings
Otto Lopez
Otto Lopez
MIAvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.29
Edge+12.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.28 across 131 games
-118 · draftkings
Keibert Ruiz
Keibert Ruiz
WSHvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.97
Edge+12%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 86 games
+113 · draftkings
Javier Sanoja
Javier Sanoja
MIAvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.99
Edge+11.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 109 games
+106 · draftkings
Javier Sanoja
Javier Sanoja
MIAvsWSHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.15
Edge+9.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 109 games
-193 · draftkings
Owen Caissie
Owen Caissie
MIAvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.28
Edge+9.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 97 games
-135 · draftkings
Keibert Ruiz
Keibert Ruiz
WSHvsMIABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+7.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 86 games
-173 · draftkings
Xavier Edwards
Xavier Edwards
MIAvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.89
Edge+7.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 133 games
-111 · draftkings
Xavier Edwards
Xavier Edwards
MIAvsWSHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.13
Edge+6.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 133 games
-236 · draftkings
Dylan Crews
Dylan Crews
WSHvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.82
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 83 games
-109 · draftkings
Daylen Lile
Daylen Lile
WSHvsMIABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.13
Edge+5.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 135 games
-228 · draftkings
Otto Lopez
Otto Lopez
MIAvsWSHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.16
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.23 across 131 games
-244 · draftkings
Kyle Stowers
Kyle Stowers
MIAvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.84
Edge+4.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 98 games
-107 · draftkings
Kyle Stowers
Kyle Stowers
MIAvsWSHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 98 games
-189 · draftkings
Abimelec Ortiz
Abimelec Ortiz
WSHvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.34
Edge−3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 24 games
+102 · draftkings
Jacob Young
Jacob Young
WSHvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 112 games
+133 · draftkings
Jakob Marsee
Jakob Marsee
MIAvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 126 games
+122 · draftkings
Griffin Conine
Griffin Conine
MIAvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.43
Edge+2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 66 games
+116 · draftkings
Jorbit Vivas
Jorbit Vivas
WSHvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.56
Edge−2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 98 games
+103 · draftkings
Abimelec Ortiz
Abimelec Ortiz
WSHvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.6
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 24 games
+129 · draftkings
Brady House
Brady House
WSHvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.5
Edge+1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 71 games
+106 · draftkings
Jacob Young
Jacob Young
WSHvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.37
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 112 games
+120 · draftkings
CJ Abrams
CJ Abrams
WSHvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.74
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.37 across 129 games
-125 · draftkings
Jorbit Vivas
Jorbit Vivas
WSHvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.07
Edge+1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 98 games
-176 · draftkings
Owen Caissie
Owen Caissie
MIAvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.56
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 97 games
-107 · draftkings
Griffin Conine
Griffin Conine
MIAvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 66 games
+120 · draftkings
CJ Abrams
CJ Abrams
WSHvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge+1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 129 games
+166 · draftkings
Brady House
Brady House
WSHvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 71 games
+142 · draftkings
Jakob Marsee
Jakob Marsee
MIAvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.33
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 126 games
+116 · draftkings
Dylan Crews
Dylan Crews
WSHvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 83 games
-219 · draftkings
Heriberto Hernandez
MIA @ WSHBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Nasim Nunez
MIA @ WSHBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Heriberto Hernandez
MIA @ WSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Nasim Nunez
MIA @ WSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Progressive Field38 leansFinal · graded

KC@CLE

Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians

first pitch
4:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Daniel Lynch IV
probable · awayDaniel Lynch IV
KC
Foster Griffin
probable · homeFoster Griffin
CLE
Strikeouts
Foster Griffin
Foster Griffin
CLEvsKCPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER5.5
Projection4.72
Edge+8.8%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.2 K across 26 starts
-118 · draftkings
Daniel Lynch IV
Daniel Lynch IVModel anomaly
KCvsCLEPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER2.5
Projection1.49
Edge+21%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 0.9 K across 50 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-111 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Kyle Isbel
Kyle Isbel
KCvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.94
Edge+19%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.37 across 75 games
-147 · draftkings
Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
KCvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.93
Edge+15.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 125 games
-171 · draftkings
Steven Kwan
Steven Kwan
CLEvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.3
Edge+13.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 124 games
-122 · draftkings
Jac Caglianone
Jac Caglianone
KCvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.48
Edge+12.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 124 games
-111 · draftkings
Vinnie Pasquantino
Vinnie Pasquantino
KCvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.11
Edge+11.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 90 games
-181 · draftkings
Kyle Isbel
Kyle Isbel
KCvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge+9.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 75 games
-119 · draftkings
Brayan Rocchio
Brayan Rocchio
CLEvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.79
Edge+9.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 129 games
+112 · draftkings
Austin Hedges
Austin Hedges
CLEvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.27
Edge+9.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.44 across 61 games
-145 · draftkings
Jo Adell
Jo Adell
CLEvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.31
Edge+9.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 132 games
-119 · draftkings
Salvador Perez
Salvador Perez
KCvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.95
Edge+9.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 126 games
-102 · draftkings
Jac Caglianone
Jac Caglianone
KCvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.26
Edge+8.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 124 games
-221 · draftkings
David Fry
David Fry
CLEvsKCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.18
Edge+8.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.37 across 71 games
-128 · draftkings
Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
KCvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge+8.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 125 games
-134 · draftkings
Bobby Witt Jr.
Bobby Witt Jr.
KCvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.3
Edge+7.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.20 across 117 games
-140 · draftkings
Steven Kwan
Steven Kwan
CLEvsKCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.18
Edge+6.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 124 games
-227 · draftkings
Austin Hedges
Austin Hedges
CLEvsKCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge+6.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 61 games
-110 · draftkings
David Fry
David Fry
CLEvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.39
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 71 games
+103 · draftkings
Nick Loftin
Nick Loftin
KCvsCLEBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 96 games
+170 · draftkings
Salvador Perez
Salvador Perez
KCvsCLEBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 126 games
-213 · draftkings
Jo Adell
Jo Adell
CLEvsKCBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 132 games
-203 · draftkings
Vinnie Pasquantino
Vinnie PasquantinoModel anomaly
KCvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.31
Edge+21.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 90 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+112 · draftkings
Tyler Tolbert
Tyler Tolbert
KCvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge−2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 45 games
-133 · draftkings
Angel Genao
Angel Genao
CLEvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 19 games
-182 · draftkings
Brayan Rocchio
Brayan Rocchio
CLEvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge+1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 129 games
-171 · draftkings
Nick Loftin
Nick Loftin
KCvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.51
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 96 games
-108 · draftkings
Tyler Tolbert
Tyler Tolbert
KCvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.31
Edge+1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 45 games
-165 · draftkings
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
CLEvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.09
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 113 games
-248 · draftkings
Isaac Collins
Isaac Collins
KCvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.3
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 120 games
+129 · draftkings
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
CLEvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.88
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 113 games
-132 · draftkings
Bobby Witt Jr.
Bobby Witt Jr.
KCvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.16
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 117 games
+187 · draftkings
Isaac Collins
Isaac Collins
KCvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 120 games
-164 · draftkings
Angel Genao
Angel Genao
CLEvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.42
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 19 games
+110 · draftkings
Jose Ramirez
KC @ CLEBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Angel Martinez
KC @ CLEBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jose Ramirez
KC @ CLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Angel Martinez
KC @ CLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Citi Field37 leansFinal · graded

HOU@NYM

Houston Astros at New York Mets

first pitch
4:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Bennett Sousa
probable · awayBennett Sousa
HOU
Nolan McLean
probable · homeNolan McLean
NYM
Strikeouts
Nolan McLean
Nolan McLean
NYMvsHOUPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER5.5
Projection5.11
Edge+6.4%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.5 K across 26 starts
-105 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Isaac Paredes
Isaac Paredes
HOUvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.91
Edge+13.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 128 games
+124 · draftkings
Carson Benge
Carson Benge
NYMvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.21
Edge+11.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 128 games
-111 · draftkings
Luis Robert Jr.
Luis Robert Jr.
NYMvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.87
Edge+10.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 55 games
+112 · draftkings
Carson Benge
Carson Benge
NYMvsHOUBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.23
Edge+10.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 128 games
-205 · draftkings
Marcus Semien
Marcus Semien
NYMvsHOUBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge+8.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 115 games
-139 · draftkings
Daulton Varsho
Daulton Varsho
HOUvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.78
Edge+8.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 114 games
+105 · draftkings
Christian Walker
Christian Walker
HOUvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.67
Edge+7.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 129 games
+119 · draftkings
Jose Altuve
Jose Altuve
HOUvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.84
Edge+7.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 109 games
+101 · draftkings
Brett Baty
Brett Baty
NYMvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.31
Edge+6.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 117 games
-165 · draftkings
Isaac Paredes
Isaac Paredes
HOUvsNYMBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge+5.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 128 games
-154 · draftkings
Daulton Varsho
Daulton Varsho
HOUvsNYMBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 114 games
-174 · draftkings
Bo Bichette
Bo Bichette
NYMvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.91
Edge+5.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 133 games
-110 · draftkings
Brett Baty
Brett Baty
NYMvsHOUBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 117 games
-120 · draftkings
Marcus Semien
Marcus Semien
NYMvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.35
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 115 games
+132 · draftkings
Jared Young
Jared Young
NYMvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.54
Edge+3.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 83 games
+111 · draftkings
Luis Robert Jr.
Luis Robert Jr.
NYMvsHOUBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 55 games
-163 · draftkings
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
HOUvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.2
Edge+3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.50 across 133 games
-138 · draftkings
Francisco Lindor
Francisco Lindor
NYMvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.5
Edge−3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 77 games
-115 · draftkings
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
HOUvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 133 games
-265 · draftkings
Taylor Trammell
Taylor Trammell
HOUvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 73 games
-137 · draftkings
Jared Young
Jared Young
NYMvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 83 games
-159 · draftkings
Cam Smith
Cam Smith
HOUvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.18
Edge+2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 125 games
-164 · draftkings
A.J. Ewing
A.J. Ewing
NYMvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge−2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 94 games
+140 · draftkings
Francisco Alvarez
Francisco Alvarez
NYMvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 93 games
-149 · draftkings
A.J. Ewing
A.J. Ewing
NYMvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.25
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 94 games
-129 · draftkings
Taylor Trammell
Taylor Trammell
HOUvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.38
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.56 across 73 games
-130 · draftkings
Francisco Alvarez
Francisco Alvarez
NYMvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.53
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 93 games
-109 · draftkings
Cam Smith
Cam Smith
HOUvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.46
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 125 games
-105 · draftkings
Jose Altuve
Jose Altuve
HOUvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 109 games
-208 · draftkings
Christian Walker
Christian Walker
HOUvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 129 games
-162 · draftkings
Bo Bichette
Bo Bichette
NYMvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 133 games
-229 · draftkings
Francisco Lindor
Francisco Lindor
NYMvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 77 games
+156 · draftkings
Jeremy Pena
HOU @ NYMBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Christian Vazquez
HOU @ NYMBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jeremy Pena
HOU @ NYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Christian Vazquez
HOU @ NYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Tropicana Field38 leansFinal · graded

SD@TB

San Diego Padres at Tampa Bay Rays

first pitch
4:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Walker Buehler
probable · awayWalker Buehler
SD
Nick Martinez
probable · homeNick Martinez
TB
Strikeouts
Nick Martinez
Nick Martinez
TBvsSDPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER3.5
Projection4.13
Edge+17%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.5 K across 25 starts
+107 · draftkings
Walker Buehler
Walker BuehlerModel anomaly
SDvsTBPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER3.5
Projection4.25
Edge+20.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.2 K across 26 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+114 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SDvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.64
Edge+12.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 133 games
-144 · draftkings
Junior Caminero
Junior Caminero
TBvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.23
Edge+9.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 134 games
-242 · draftkings
Junior Caminero
Junior Caminero
TBvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.41
Edge+8.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.31 across 134 games
-138 · draftkings
Jackson Merrill
Jackson Merrill
SDvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.95
Edge+7.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 131 games
-103 · draftkings
Taylor Walls
Taylor Walls
TBvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.44
Edge+6.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 104 games
+140 · draftkings
Jake Cronenworth
Jake Cronenworth
SDvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.66
Edge+6.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 82 games
+108 · draftkings
Chandler Simpson
Chandler Simpson
TBvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.92
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 123 games
-124 · draftkings
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SDvsTBBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.26
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 133 games
+185 · draftkings
Liam Hicks
Liam Hicks
TBvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.75
Edge+5.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 120 games
+102 · draftkings
Freddy Fermin
Freddy Fermin
SDvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+5.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 69 games
-159 · draftkings
Chandler Simpson
Chandler Simpson
TBvsSDBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.19
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 123 games
+203 · draftkings
Richie Palacios
Richie Palacios
TBvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.28
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 98 games
-178 · draftkings
Gavin Sheets
Gavin Sheets
SDvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.09
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.37 across 121 games
-149 · draftkings
Cedric Mullins
Cedric Mullins
TBvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.35
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 113 games
+132 · draftkings
Luis Rengifo
Luis Rengifo
SDvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 93 games
+140 · draftkings
Gavin Sheets
Gavin Sheets
SDvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.51
Edge−3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 121 games
-111 · draftkings
Jackson Merrill
Jackson Merrill
SDvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge−2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 131 games
+163 · draftkings
Cedric Mullins
Cedric Mullins
TBvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.55
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 113 games
-102 · draftkings
Xander Bogaerts
Xander Bogaerts
SDvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 128 games
+112 · draftkings
Ty France
Ty France
SDvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 104 games
+162 · draftkings
Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan Aranda
TBvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 131 games
+174 · draftkings
Luis Rengifo
Luis Rengifo
SDvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.44
Edge+1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 93 games
+114 · draftkings
Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan Aranda
TBvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.66
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 131 games
-123 · draftkings
Richie Palacios
Richie Palacios
TBvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.53
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 98 games
-101 · draftkings
Ty France
Ty France
SDvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.66
Edge+1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 104 games
-106 · draftkings
Liam Hicks
Liam Hicks
TBvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 120 games
-183 · draftkings
Manny Machado
Manny Machado
SDvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.62
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 132 games
-113 · draftkings
Freddy Fermin
Freddy Fermin
SDvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 69 games
-136 · draftkings
Jake Cronenworth
Jake Cronenworth
SDvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 82 games
-192 · draftkings
Taylor Walls
Taylor Walls
TBvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.64
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 104 games
-132 · draftkings
Xander Bogaerts
Xander Bogaerts
SDvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.2
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 128 games
+133 · draftkings
Manny Machado
Manny Machado
SDvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 132 games
+172 · draftkings
Yandy Diaz
SD @ TBBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jonny Deluca
SD @ TBBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Yandy Diaz
SD @ TBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jonny Deluca
SD @ TBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Truist Park38 leansFinal · graded

COL@ATL

Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves

first pitch
4:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Ryan Feltner
probable · awayRyan Feltner
COL
Martín Pérez
probable · homeMartín Pérez
ATL
Strikeouts
Ryan Feltner
Ryan Feltner
COLvsATLPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
UNDER3.5
Projection3.59
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.5 K across 20 starts
+102 · draftkings
Martin Perez
COL @ ATLPitcherStrikeouts
Sample too small
Line4.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Connor Norby
Connor Norby
COLvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.96
Edge+17%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.32 across 80 games
-184 · draftkings
Mickey Moniak
Mickey Moniak
COLvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.9
Edge+13.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 95 games
+132 · draftkings
Willi Castro
Willi Castro
COLvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.09
Edge+12.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 116 games
+103 · draftkings
Ezequiel Tovar
Ezequiel Tovar
COLvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.3
Edge+10.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 121 games
-131 · draftkings
Hunter Goodman
Hunter Goodman
COLvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.26
Edge+9.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.22 across 115 games
-109 · draftkings
Connor Norby
Connor Norby
COLvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+9.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 80 games
-141 · draftkings
Sean Murphy
Sean Murphy
ATLvsCOLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+8.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 15 games
-130 · draftkings
Michael Harris II
Michael Harris II
ATLvsCOLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.26
Edge+6.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 129 games
+192 · draftkings
Jordan Beck
Jordan Beck
COLvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.1
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 44 games
-158 · draftkings
Mickey Moniak
Mickey Moniak
COLvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge+5.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 95 games
-148 · draftkings
Ezequiel Tovar
Ezequiel Tovar
COLvsATLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge+4.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 121 games
-109 · draftkings
Michael Harris II
Michael Harris II
ATLvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.4
Edge+4.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 129 games
-159 · draftkings
Jake McCarthy
Jake McCarthy
COLvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.02
Edge+4.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.24 across 116 games
-120 · draftkings
Mike Yastrzemski
Mike Yastrzemski
ATLvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.92
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.24 across 115 games
-150 · draftkings
Ozzie Albies
Ozzie Albies
ATLvsCOLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.09
Edge+3.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 135 games
-251 · draftkings
TJ Rumfield
TJ Rumfield
COLvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.6
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 131 games
+106 · draftkings
Jordan Beck
Jordan Beck
COLvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.58
Edge−3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 44 games
+101 · draftkings
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
ATLvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.09
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 112 games
+174 · draftkings
Sean Murphy
Sean Murphy
ATLvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.35
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 15 games
+128 · draftkings
Willi Castro
Willi Castro
COLvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 116 games
-205 · draftkings
Ozzie Albies
Ozzie Albies
ATLvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.86
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 135 games
-144 · draftkings
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
ATLvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER2.5
Projection2.21
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.32 across 112 games
+117 · draftkings
Cole Carrigg
Cole Carrigg
COLvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.66
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 63 games
-106 · draftkings
Jake McCarthy
Jake McCarthy
COLvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.1
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 116 games
-270 · draftkings
Cole Carrigg
Cole Carrigg
COLvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge+1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 63 games
+173 · draftkings
Mike Yastrzemski
Mike Yastrzemski
ATLvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.55
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 115 games
+115 · draftkings
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
ATLvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.73
Edge−1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.26 across 135 games
+116 · draftkings
Austin Riley
Austin Riley
ATLvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.38
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 133 games
-114 · draftkings
Austin Riley
Austin Riley
ATLvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 133 games
+145 · draftkings
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
ATLvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 135 games
+190 · draftkings
Hunter Goodman
Hunter Goodman
COLvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.98
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 115 games
-217 · draftkings
TJ Rumfield
TJ Rumfield
COLvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 131 games
-205 · draftkings
Mauricio Dubon
COL @ ATLBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ronald Acuna Jr.
COL @ ATLBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ronald Acuna Jr.
COL @ ATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Mauricio Dubon
COL @ ATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
American Family Field38 leansFinal · graded

TEX@MIL

Texas Rangers at Milwaukee Brewers

first pitch
7:15 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Cal Quantrill
probable · awayCal Quantrill
TEX
Shane Drohan
probable · homeShane Drohan
MIL
Strikeouts
Cal Quantrill
Cal Quantrill
TEXvsMILPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER3.5
Projection4.12
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 2.2 K across 27 starts
-141 · draftkings
Shane Drohan
Shane DrohanModel anomaly
MILvsTEXPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER5.5
Projection3.82
Edge+21.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.0 K across 26 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-131 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Ezequiel Duran
Ezequiel Duran
TEXvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.1
Edge+16.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 124 games
+121 · draftkings
David Hamilton
David Hamilton
MILvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.86
Edge+16%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 96 games
-160 · draftkings
Jake Bauers
Jake Bauers
MILvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.45
Edge+14.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.20 across 120 games
-108 · draftkings
David Hamilton
David Hamilton
MILvsTEXBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge+13.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 96 games
-118 · draftkings
Ezequiel Duran
Ezequiel Duran
TEXvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.13
Edge+12.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 124 games
-160 · draftkings
Christian Yelich
Christian Yelich
MILvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.16
Edge+12.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 93 games
-102 · draftkings
Garrett Mitchell
Garrett Mitchell
MILvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.93
Edge+12.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 120 games
+114 · draftkings
Cody Freeman
Cody Freeman
TEXvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.23
Edge+11.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 19 games
-157 · draftkings
Jackson Chourio
Jackson Chourio
MILvsTEXBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.38
Edge+11.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 100 games
+198 · draftkings
Wyatt Langford
Wyatt Langford
TEXvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.01
Edge+11.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 83 games
+104 · draftkings
William Contreras
William Contreras
MILvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.55
Edge+11.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 125 games
-131 · draftkings
Corey Seager
Corey Seager
TEXvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.96
Edge+10.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 74 games
+106 · draftkings
Jackson Chourio
Jackson Chourio
MILvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.75
Edge+10.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.39 across 100 games
-150 · draftkings
Garrett Mitchell
Garrett Mitchell
MILvsTEXBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+8.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 120 games
-154 · draftkings
Corey Seager
Corey Seager
TEXvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 74 games
-185 · draftkings
Jake Bauers
Jake Bauers
MILvsTEXBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+7.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 120 games
-175 · draftkings
Jake Burger
Jake Burger
TEXvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.73
Edge+7.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 128 games
+112 · draftkings
William Contreras
William Contreras
MILvsTEXBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.32
Edge+6.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 125 games
-259 · draftkings
Christian Yelich
Christian Yelich
MILvsTEXBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+6.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 93 games
-185 · draftkings
Wyatt Langford
Wyatt Langford
TEXvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 83 games
-193 · draftkings
Cody Freeman
Cody Freeman
TEXvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge+5.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 19 games
-126 · draftkings
Brice Turang
Brice Turang
MILvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.94
Edge+4.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.28 across 124 games
-121 · draftkings
Sal Frelick
Sal Frelick
MILvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.57
Edge+3.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 91 games
+108 · draftkings
Justin Foscue
Justin Foscue
TEXvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.39
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 76 games
+127 · draftkings
Jake Burger
Jake Burger
TEXvsMILBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 128 games
-164 · draftkings
Cooper Pratt
Cooper Pratt
MILvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.51
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 49 games
+111 · draftkings
Logan O'Hoppe
Logan O'Hoppe
TEXvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.59
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 74 games
+104 · draftkings
Logan O'Hoppe
Logan O'Hoppe
TEXvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.27 across 74 games
-175 · draftkings
Brandon Nimmo
Brandon Nimmo
TEXvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.29
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 129 games
+110 · draftkings
Sal Frelick
Sal Frelick
MILvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 91 games
-183 · draftkings
Brice Turang
Brice Turang
MILvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 124 games
+157 · draftkings
Justin Foscue
Justin Foscue
TEXvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 76 games
-141 · draftkings
Cooper Pratt
Cooper Pratt
MILvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 49 games
+133 · draftkings
Brandon Nimmo
Brandon Nimmo
TEXvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 129 games
+136 · draftkings
Elias Diaz
TEX @ MILBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Elias Diaz
TEX @ MILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Sutter Health Park38 leansFinal · graded

BAL@ATH

Baltimore Orioles at Athletics

first pitch
10:05 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Shane Baz
probable · awayShane Baz
BAL
Jack Perkins
probable · homeJack Perkins
ATH
Strikeouts
Jack Perkins
Jack PerkinsModel anomaly
ATHvsBALPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER5.5
Projection3.71
Edge+25.4%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.4 K across 31 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-105 · draftkings
Shane Baz
Shane Baz
BALvsATHPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER5.5
Projection5.09
Edge−2.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.2 K across 26 starts
+121 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Dylan Beavers
Dylan Beavers
BALvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.92
Edge+13.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 78 games
+111 · draftkings
Lawrence Butler
Lawrence Butler
ATHvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.03
Edge+9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 122 games
-114 · draftkings
Samuel Basallo
Samuel Basallo
BALvsATHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.58
Edge+8.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 94 games
+163 · draftkings
Lawrence Butler
Lawrence Butler
ATHvsBALBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.04
Edge+7.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 122 games
-198 · draftkings
Jackson Holliday
Jackson Holliday
BALvsATHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge+7.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 83 games
+195 · draftkings
Colton Cowser
Colton Cowser
BALvsATHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge+6.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.56 across 112 games
-130 · draftkings
Samuel Basallo
Samuel Basallo
BALvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.23
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 94 games
+100 · draftkings
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
BALvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.49
Edge+5.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 33 games
-150 · draftkings
Dylan Beavers
Dylan Beavers
BALvsATHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 78 games
-151 · draftkings
Leody Taveras
Leody Taveras
BALvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.71
Edge+4.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 114 games
-103 · draftkings
Colton Cowser
Colton Cowser
BALvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.44
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 112 games
+126 · draftkings
Tommy White
Tommy White
ATHvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.88
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 36 games
-119 · draftkings
Donovan Walton
Donovan Walton
ATHvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.58
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 58 games
+108 · draftkings
Blaze Alexander
Blaze Alexander
BALvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.14
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 73 games
-143 · draftkings
Jackson Holliday
Jackson Holliday
BALvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.49
Edge+3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 83 games
+112 · draftkings
Gunnar Henderson
Gunnar Henderson
BALvsATHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.84
Edge+3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 133 games
-260 · draftkings
Gunnar Henderson
Gunnar Henderson
BALvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.53
Edge+2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 133 games
+115 · draftkings
Jeff McNeil
Jeff McNeil
ATHvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.03
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 118 games
-140 · draftkings
Jeff McNeil
Jeff McNeil
ATHvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.07
Edge−2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 118 games
-242 · draftkings
Carlos Cortes
Carlos Cortes
ATHvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.17
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 100 games
+124 · draftkings
Zack Gelof
Zack Gelof
ATHvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.72
Edge+2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 80 games
+167 · draftkings
Leody Taveras
Leody Taveras
BALvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge−2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 114 games
-179 · draftkings
Henry Bolte
Henry Bolte
ATHvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.82
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 90 games
-123 · draftkings
Pete Alonso
Pete Alonso
BALvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER2.5
Projection2.55
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.30 across 135 games
+104 · draftkings
Tommy White
Tommy White
ATHvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 36 games
-234 · draftkings
Jonah Heim
Jonah Heim
ATHvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.27
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 84 games
+114 · draftkings
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
BALvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.07
Edge+1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 33 games
+196 · draftkings
Donovan Walton
Donovan Walton
ATHvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 58 games
-180 · draftkings
Pete Alonso
Pete Alonso
BALvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.16
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 135 games
+177 · draftkings
Henry Bolte
Henry Bolte
ATHvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 90 games
-241 · draftkings
Zack Gelof
Zack Gelof
ATHvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.72
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 80 games
-119 · draftkings
Carlos Cortes
Carlos Cortes
ATHvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 100 games
-146 · draftkings
Blaze Alexander
Blaze Alexander
BALvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.13
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 73 games
+183 · draftkings
Jonah Heim
Jonah Heim
ATHvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.61
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 84 games
+122 · draftkings
Max Muncy (2002)
BAL @ ATHBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Max Muncy (2002)
BAL @ ATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Angel Stadium38 leansFinal · graded

PHI@LAA

Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Angels

first pitch
10:07 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Cristopher Sánchez
probable · awayCristopher Sánchez
PHI
Ryan Johnson
probable · homeRyan Johnson
LAA
Strikeouts
Ryan Johnson
Ryan Johnson
LAAvsPHIPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER3.5
Projection3.61
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.1 K across 16 starts
-108 · draftkings
Cristopher Sanchez
PHI @ LAAPitcherStrikeouts
Sample too small
Line7.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
LAAvsPHIBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.32
Edge+16.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 131 games
-187 · draftkings
Vaughn Grissom
Vaughn Grissom
LAAvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.03
Edge+13.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 91 games
+117 · draftkings
Alec Bohm
Alec Bohm
PHIvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.6
Edge+11.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 128 games
-142 · draftkings
Wade Meckler
Wade Meckler
LAAvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.51
Edge+11.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 68 games
-152 · draftkings
Denzer Guzman
Denzer Guzman
LAAvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.49
Edge+11%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 57 games
-157 · draftkings
Bryce Harper
Bryce Harper
PHIvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.37
Edge+9.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 134 games
-132 · draftkings
J.T. Realmuto
J.T. Realmuto
PHIvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.86
Edge+7.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 99 games
-101 · draftkings
Luis Arraez
Luis Arraez
PHIvsLAABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.34
Edge+7.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.28 across 127 games
+179 · draftkings
Wade Meckler
Wade Meckler
LAAvsPHIBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge+7.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 68 games
-127 · draftkings
Bryce Harper
Bryce Harper
PHIvsLAABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.17
Edge+6.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 134 games
-227 · draftkings
Luis Arraez
Luis Arraez
PHIvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.2
Edge+6.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.20 across 127 games
-144 · draftkings
Mike Trout
Mike Trout
LAAvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.71
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 116 games
+104 · draftkings
Trea Turner
Trea Turner
PHIvsLAABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.85
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 130 games
-240 · draftkings
Justin Crawford
Justin Crawford
PHIvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.51
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 121 games
+114 · draftkings
Zach Neto
Zach NetoModel anomaly
LAAvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.83
Edge+24.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.07 across 131 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+105 · draftkings
Christian Moore
Christian Moore
LAAvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.59
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 12 games
-135 · draftkings
Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber
PHIvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge−3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 129 games
+176 · draftkings
Alec Bohm
Alec Bohm
PHIvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.06
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 128 games
+199 · draftkings
Travis d'Arnaud
Travis d'Arnaud
LAAvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.45
Edge−2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 24 games
-116 · draftkings
Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber
PHIvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER2.5
Projection2.33
Edge−2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.16 across 129 games
+103 · draftkings
Jose Siri
Jose Siri
LAAvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.28 across 68 games
-141 · draftkings
Christian Moore
Christian Moore
LAAvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 12 games
-165 · draftkings
Vaughn Grissom
Vaughn Grissom
LAAvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 91 games
-211 · draftkings
Travis d'Arnaud
Travis d'Arnaud
LAAvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.29
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.38 across 24 games
-140 · draftkings
Bryson Stott
Bryson Stott
PHIvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 129 games
+166 · draftkings
Mike Trout
Mike Trout
LAAvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge−1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 116 games
-199 · draftkings
Bryson Stott
Bryson Stott
PHIvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.66
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 129 games
-119 · draftkings
J.T. Realmuto
J.T. Realmuto
PHIvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 99 games
-180 · draftkings
Trea Turner
Trea Turner
PHIvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.67
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 130 games
+112 · draftkings
Brandon Marsh
Brandon Marsh
PHIvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.52
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 128 games
+100 · draftkings
Justin Crawford
Justin Crawford
PHIvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 121 games
-158 · draftkings
Jose Siri
Jose Siri
LAAvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.44
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 68 games
-111 · draftkings
Denzer Guzman
Denzer Guzman
LAAvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.64
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 57 games
-131 · draftkings
Brandon Marsh
Brandon Marsh
PHIvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 128 games
-179 · draftkings
Moises Ballesteros
PHI @ LAABatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Moises Ballesteros
PHI @ LAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
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