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Overview MLB· live NFL· week report NBA· Official Forecast record Parlays· pending snapshots

Results · one day

Sunday, October 18

Game by game

Every forecast graded for this day against the official result, by sport and game. Each sport keeps its own record — they are never added into one percentage. Pushes and voids are never losses.

MLB · 0–2 game calls

Full MLB record →

Model Performance:Winner →Total runs →Run line →

Not in this record, but still graded below: 1 call paused on the site or not shown before the game.

TB @ CLE
Final · TB 3 – 1 CLE
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Call Pick Outcome
Winner CLE (home) Loss
Total runspaused on the site · not a public pick OVER 6.5 Loss
Run line (posted line) CLE +1.5 Loss
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 21–20 →

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	CLE (home)	Loss
Total runspaused on the site · not a public pick	OVER 6.5	Loss
Run line (posted line)	CLE +1.5	Loss

NFL · 6–6 game winners

Full NFL record →

Model Performance:Winner →

HOU @ JAX

Final · HOU 34 – 31 JAX

Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	JAX (home)	Loss

Player ranges · 30 of 35 finals landed inside the printed range

A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

Player	Stat	Range	Final	Inside?
Parker Washington · JAX	Receptions	1–9	4	Inside
Parker Washington · JAX	Receiving yards	14–117	64	Inside
Bhayshul Tuten · JAX	Receptions	0–3	4	Outside
Bhayshul Tuten · JAX	Receiving yards	0–39	48	Outside
Bhayshul Tuten · JAX	Rushing yards	21–99	39	Inside
Nico Collins · HOU	Receptions	1.8–9.1	3	Inside
Nico Collins · HOU	Receiving yards	10–102	74	Inside
Woody Marks · HOU	Receptions	0–3.6	2	Inside
Woody Marks · HOU	Receiving yards	0–31	25	Inside
Woody Marks · HOU	Rushing yards	6–59	56	Inside
Brenton Strange · JAX	Receptions	1–9	5	Inside
Brenton Strange · JAX	Receiving yards	10–93	44	Inside
Jawhar Jordan · HOU	Rushing yards	0–44	43	Inside
Jakobi Meyers · JAX	Receptions	1–7	5	Inside
Jakobi Meyers · JAX	Receiving yards	4–78	83	Outside
Chris Rodriguez Jr. · JAX	Rushing yards	1–43	55	Outside
Brian Thomas Jr. · JAX	Receptions	0–5	0	Inside
Brian Thomas Jr. · JAX	Receiving yards	0–57	0	Inside
Jayden Higgins · HOU	Receptions	0.9–5.5	—	Not graded
Jayden Higgins · HOU	Receiving yards	0–55	—	Not graded
Xavier Hutchinson · HOU	Receptions	0.9–6.4	2	Inside
Xavier Hutchinson · HOU	Receiving yards	0–71	10	Inside
Josh Cameron · JAX	Receptions	0–4	0	Inside
Josh Cameron · JAX	Receiving yards	0–51	0	Inside
Jaylin Noel · HOU	Receptions	0–4.5	4	Inside
Jaylin Noel · HOU	Receiving yards	0–53	107	Outside
Dalton Schultz · HOU	Receptions	0.9–6.4	4	Inside
Dalton Schultz · HOU	Receiving yards	1–64	33	Inside
Kayshon Boutte · HOU	Receptions	0–4.5	2	Inside
Kayshon Boutte · HOU	Receiving yards	0–52	16	Inside
C.J. Stroud · HOU	Rushing yards	0–30	5	Inside
C.J. Stroud · HOU	Passing yards	135–389	312	Inside
Foster Moreau · HOU	Receptions	0–3.6	2	Inside
Foster Moreau · HOU	Receiving yards	0–36	7	Inside
Trevor Lawrence · JAX	Rushing yards	0–33	11	Inside
Trevor Lawrence · JAX	Passing yards	126–387	306	Inside
Ameer Abdullah · JAX	Rushing yards	0–19	0	Inside
Nick Mullens · JAX	Rushing yards	0–20	—	Not graded

BAL @ CLE

Final · BAL 10 – 13 CLE

Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	BAL (away)	Loss

Player ranges · 23 of 26 finals landed inside the printed range

A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

Player	Stat	Range	Final	Inside?
Derrick Henry · BAL	Receptions	0–3	1	Inside
Derrick Henry · BAL	Receiving yards	0–35	2	Inside
Derrick Henry · BAL	Rushing yards	32–124	58	Inside
Zay Flowers · BAL	Receptions	2–12	6	Inside
Zay Flowers · BAL	Receiving yards	25–147	66	Inside
Denzel Boston · CLE	Receptions	1–7	1	Inside
Denzel Boston · CLE	Receiving yards	6–102	15	Inside
Harold Fannin Jr. · CLE	Receptions	1–8	1	Inside
Harold Fannin Jr. · CLE	Receiving yards	5–74	9	Inside
Mark Andrews · BAL	Receptions	1–9	1	Inside
Mark Andrews · BAL	Receiving yards	7–76	4	Outside
Rashod Bateman · BAL	Receptions	0–6	0	Inside
Rashod Bateman · BAL	Receiving yards	1–72	0	Outside
KC Concepcion · CLE	Receptions	1–7	4	Inside
KC Concepcion · CLE	Receiving yards	4–71	37	Inside
Justice Hill · BAL	Receptions	0–4	3	Inside
Justice Hill · BAL	Receiving yards	0–38	9	Inside
Justice Hill · BAL	Rushing yards	0–38	0	Inside
Tyler Huntley · BAL	Rushing yards	0–37	28	Inside
Ja'Kobi Lane · BAL	Receptions	0–5	4	Inside
Ja'Kobi Lane · BAL	Receiving yards	0–45	40	Inside
Jerry Jeudy · CLE	Receptions	0–5	4	Inside
Jerry Jeudy · CLE	Receiving yards	0–63	69	Outside
Deshaun Watson · CLE	Rushing yards	3–57	29	Inside
Deshaun Watson · CLE	Passing yards	108–332	164	Inside
Devontez Walker · BAL	Receptions	0–3	0	Inside
Isaiah Bond · CLE	Receptions	0–3	—	Not graded
Isaiah Bond · CLE	Receiving yards	0–54	—	Not graded

CAR @ PHI

Final · CAR 25 – 14 PHI

Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	PHI (home)	Loss

Player ranges · 26 of 29 finals landed inside the printed range

A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

Player	Stat	Range	Final	Inside?
Chuba Hubbard · CAR	Receptions	0–3.9	1	Inside
Chuba Hubbard · CAR	Receiving yards	0–40	1	Inside
Chuba Hubbard · CAR	Rushing yards	21–104	120	Outside
Dameon Pierce · PHI	Receptions	0–4.2	4	Inside
Dameon Pierce · PHI	Receiving yards	0–38	15	Inside
Dameon Pierce · PHI	Rushing yards	7–57	35	Inside
Tetairoa McMillan · CAR	Receptions	2–10.7	6	Inside
Tetairoa McMillan · CAR	Receiving yards	17–122	86	Inside
DeVonta Smith · PHI	Receptions	1.7–10.1	7	Inside
DeVonta Smith · PHI	Receiving yards	12–101	75	Inside
Jalen Coker · CAR	Receptions	1–8.8	6	Inside
Jalen Coker · CAR	Receiving yards	8–95	97	Outside
Dallas Goedert · PHI	Receptions	0.8–6.8	6	Inside
Dallas Goedert · PHI	Receiving yards	1–66	61	Inside
Dontayvion Wicks · PHI	Receptions	0.8–6.8	2	Inside
Dontayvion Wicks · PHI	Receiving yards	2–75	24	Inside
Darren Waller · CAR	Receptions	1–5.9	0	Outside
Darren Waller · CAR	Receiving yards	0–61	0	Inside
Darius Cooper · PHI	Receptions	0–3.4	1	Inside
Darius Cooper · PHI	Receiving yards	0–48	9	Inside
Makai Lemon · PHI	Receptions	0.8–5.9	3	Inside
Makai Lemon · PHI	Receiving yards	0–56	19	Inside
Xavier Legette · CAR	Receptions	0–3.9	—	Not graded
Xavier Legette · CAR	Receiving yards	0–52	—	Not graded
John Metchie III · CAR	Receptions	0–3.9	2	Inside
John Metchie III · CAR	Receiving yards	0–44	24	Inside
Tommy Tremble · CAR	Receptions	0–4.9	4	Inside
Tommy Tremble · CAR	Receiving yards	0–46	46	Inside
Zach Ertz · PHI	Receptions	0–3.4	—	Not graded
Zach Ertz · PHI	Receiving yards	0–35	—	Not graded
Bryce Young · CAR	Rushing yards	0–22	6	Inside
Bryce Young · CAR	Passing yards	137–393	281	Inside
Brycen Tremayne · CAR	Receptions	0–2.9	0	Inside

CHI @ ATL

Final · CHI 31 – 23 ATL

Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	CHI (away)	Win

Player ranges · 29 of 34 finals landed inside the printed range

A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

Player	Stat	Range	Final	Inside?
Bijan Robinson · ATL	Receptions	1–8	2	Inside
Bijan Robinson · ATL	Receiving yards	6–77	-8	Outside
Bijan Robinson · ATL	Rushing yards	33–139	61	Inside
D'Andre Swift · CHI	Receptions	0–5	4	Inside
D'Andre Swift · CHI	Receiving yards	0–49	26	Inside
D'Andre Swift · CHI	Rushing yards	9–76	44	Inside
Brian Robinson Jr. · ATL	Rushing yards	5–63	1	Outside
Drake London · ATL	Receptions	2–11	4	Inside
Drake London · ATL	Receiving yards	27–157	62	Inside
Luther Burden III · CHI	Receptions	1–9	8	Inside
Luther Burden III · CHI	Receiving yards	9–94	95	Outside
Caleb Williams · CHI	Rushing yards	0–46	3	Inside
Caleb Williams · CHI	Passing yards	111–341	305	Inside
Kalif Raymond · CHI	Receptions	1–8	2	Inside
Kalif Raymond · CHI	Receiving yards	5–73	18	Inside
Rome Odunze · CHI	Receptions	1–7	3	Inside
Rome Odunze · CHI	Receiving yards	5–91	39	Inside
Kyle Pitts Sr. · ATL	Receptions	0–6	5	Inside
Kyle Pitts Sr. · ATL	Receiving yards	1–65	60	Inside
Colston Loveland · CHI	Receptions	1–7	6	Inside
Colston Loveland · CHI	Receiving yards	3–69	65	Inside
Jahan Dotson · ATL	Receptions	0–5	3	Inside
Jahan Dotson · ATL	Receiving yards	0–70	87	Outside
Roschon Johnson · CHI	Receptions	0–3	2	Inside
Roschon Johnson · CHI	Receiving yards	0–35	34	Inside
Roschon Johnson · CHI	Rushing yards	0–21	51	Outside
Cole Kmet · CHI	Receptions	0–3	2	Inside
Cole Kmet · CHI	Receiving yards	0–36	3	Inside
Zachariah Branch · ATL	Receptions	0–3	2	Inside
Zachariah Branch · ATL	Receiving yards	0–37	9	Inside
Tyson Bagent · CHI	Rushing yards	0–17	—	Not graded
Michael Penix Jr. · ATL	Rushing yards	0–17	1	Inside
Michael Penix Jr. · ATL	Passing yards	118–378	225	Inside
Olamide Zaccheaus · ATL	Receptions	0–2	0	Inside
Austin Hooper · ATL	Receiving yards	0–44	6	Inside

NO @ NYG

Final · NO 34 – 27 NYG

Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	NYG (home)	Loss

Player ranges · 24 of 32 finals landed inside the printed range

A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

Player	Stat	Range	Final	Inside?
Isaiah Likely · NYG	Receptions	2–12	6	Inside
Isaiah Likely · NYG	Receiving yards	15–98	99	Outside
Malik Nabers · NYG	Receptions	2–11	12	Outside
Malik Nabers · NYG	Receiving yards	13–103	165	Outside
Alvin Kamara · NO	Receptions	0–5.7	2	Inside
Alvin Kamara · NO	Receiving yards	0–41	35	Inside
Alvin Kamara · NO	Rushing yards	2–47	34	Inside
Kendre Miller · NO	Rushing yards	4–50	70	Outside
Cam Skattebo · NYG	Receptions	0–4	—	Not graded
Cam Skattebo · NYG	Receiving yards	0–43	—	Not graded
Cam Skattebo · NYG	Rushing yards	12–76	—	Not graded
Travis Etienne Jr. · NO	Receptions	0–4.7	—	Not graded
Travis Etienne Jr. · NO	Receiving yards	0–38	—	Not graded
Travis Etienne Jr. · NO	Rushing yards	4–60	—	Not graded
Chris Olave · NO	Receptions	1.9–11.4	4	Inside
Chris Olave · NO	Receiving yards	17–121	43	Inside
Juwan Johnson · NO	Receptions	0.9–7.6	0	Outside
Juwan Johnson · NO	Receiving yards	4–75	0	Outside
Devaughn Vele · NO	Receptions	0.9–7.6	3	Inside
Devaughn Vele · NO	Receiving yards	5–76	42	Inside
Devin Singletary · NYG	Receptions	0–4	1	Inside
Devin Singletary · NYG	Receiving yards	0–34	19	Inside
Devin Singletary · NYG	Rushing yards	0–37	14	Inside
Malachi Fields · NYG	Receptions	0–5	2	Inside
Malachi Fields · NYG	Receiving yards	0–52	19	Inside
Noah Fant · NO	Receptions	0–3.8	0	Inside
Noah Fant · NO	Receiving yards	0–43	0	Inside
Darnell Mooney · NYG	Receptions	0–4	0	Inside
Darnell Mooney · NYG	Receiving yards	0–48	0	Inside
CJ Donaldson · NO	Rushing yards	0–27	39	Outside
Najee Harris · NYG	Rushing yards	1–42	2	Inside
Bryce Lance · NO	Receptions	0–3.8	2	Inside
Bryce Lance · NO	Receiving yards	0–37	9	Inside
Jaxson Dart · NYG	Rushing yards	0–38	—	Not graded
Tyler Shough · NO	Rushing yards	0–27	32	Outside
Tyler Shough · NO	Passing yards	128–353	144	Inside
Spencer Rattler · NO	Rushing yards	0–26	—	Not graded
Tyrone Tracy Jr. · NYG	Rushing yards	0–27	18	Inside
Mason Tipton · NO	Receptions	0–2.8	—	Not graded
Gunner Olszewski · NYG	Receptions	0–3	—	Not graded
Jameis Winston · NYG	Rushing yards	0–22	4	Inside
Jameis Winston · NYG	Passing yards	102–319	152	Inside

NYJ @ NE

Final · NYJ 19 – 26 NE

Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	NE (home)	Win

Player ranges · 31 of 36 finals landed inside the printed range

A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

Player	Stat	Range	Final	Inside?
Rhamondre Stevenson · NE	Receptions	0–6	0	Inside
Rhamondre Stevenson · NE	Receiving yards	0–50	0	Inside
Rhamondre Stevenson · NE	Rushing yards	11–80	36	Inside
Braelon Allen · NYJ	Receptions	0–4	2	Inside
Braelon Allen · NYJ	Receiving yards	0–34	26	Inside
Braelon Allen · NYJ	Rushing yards	10–75	78	Outside
Garrett Wilson · NYJ	Receptions	2–12	4	Inside
Garrett Wilson · NYJ	Receiving yards	15–111	44	Inside
TreVeyon Henderson · NE	Rushing yards	8–72	31	Inside
Romeo Doubs · NE	Receptions	1–6	1	Inside
Romeo Doubs · NE	Receiving yards	0–72	42	Inside
DeMario Douglas · NE	Receptions	0–6	7	Outside
DeMario Douglas · NE	Receiving yards	0–59	86	Outside
Hunter Henry · NE	Receptions	1–6	4	Inside
Hunter Henry · NE	Receiving yards	0–64	48	Inside
Kenyon Sadiq · NYJ	Receptions	1–7	1	Inside
Kenyon Sadiq · NYJ	Receiving yards	0–62	12	Inside
A.J. Brown · NE	Receptions	0–6	3	Inside
A.J. Brown · NE	Receiving yards	0–46	27	Inside
Drake Maye · NE	Rushing yards	2–59	24	Inside
Drake Maye · NE	Passing yards	129–392	235	Inside
Efton Chism III · NE	Receptions	0–5	0	Inside
Efton Chism III · NE	Receiving yards	0–49	0	Inside
Isaiah Williams · NYJ	Receptions	0–5	0	Inside
Isaiah Williams · NYJ	Receiving yards	0–55	0	Inside
Eli Raridon · NE	Receptions	0–4	1	Inside
Eli Raridon · NE	Receiving yards	0–45	11	Inside
Tim Patrick · NYJ	Receptions	0–5	1	Inside
Tim Patrick · NYJ	Receiving yards	0–37	15	Inside
Kyle Williams · NE	Receptions	0–3	1	Inside
Kyle Williams · NE	Receiving yards	0–45	12	Inside
Mason Taylor · NYJ	Receptions	0–5	4	Inside
Mason Taylor · NYJ	Receiving yards	0–49	33	Inside
Corey Kiner · NE	Rushing yards	0–39	57	Outside
Lan Larison · NE	Receptions	0–3	—	Not graded
Geno Smith · NYJ	Rushing yards	0–21	-1	Outside
Geno Smith · NYJ	Passing yards	115–351	252	Inside
Jeremy Ruckert · NYJ	Receiving yards	0–36	—	Not graded

PIT @ TB

Final · PIT 26 – 19 TB

Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	PIT (away)	Win

Player ranges · 28 of 33 finals landed inside the printed range

A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

Player	Stat	Range	Final	Inside?
Jaylen Warren · PIT	Receptions	1–7	2	Inside
Jaylen Warren · PIT	Receiving yards	3–74	28	Inside
Jaylen Warren · PIT	Rushing yards	29–129	50	Inside
Bucky Irving · TB	Receptions	0–5	2	Inside
Bucky Irving · TB	Receiving yards	0–49	3	Inside
Bucky Irving · TB	Rushing yards	22–111	46	Inside
Pat Freiermuth · PIT	Receptions	1–7	2	Inside
Pat Freiermuth · PIT	Receiving yards	3–69	11	Inside
Rico Dowdle · PIT	Receptions	0–4	3	Inside
Rico Dowdle · PIT	Receiving yards	0–41	9	Inside
Rico Dowdle · PIT	Rushing yards	3–50	40	Inside
DK Metcalf · PIT	Receptions	1–8	11	Outside
DK Metcalf · PIT	Receiving yards	6–83	93	Outside
Emeka Egbuka · TB	Receptions	1–9	7	Inside
Emeka Egbuka · TB	Receiving yards	9–86	48	Inside
Kenny Gainwell · TB	Receptions	0–5	1	Inside
Kenny Gainwell · TB	Receiving yards	0–47	7	Inside
Kenny Gainwell · TB	Rushing yards	0–27	17	Inside
Germie Bernard · PIT	Receptions	1–6	11	Outside
Germie Bernard · PIT	Receiving yards	3–71	87	Outside
Cade Otton · TB	Receptions	1–8	1	Inside
Cade Otton · TB	Receiving yards	6–79	4	Outside
Chris Godwin Jr. · TB	Receptions	1–7	4	Inside
Chris Godwin Jr. · TB	Receiving yards	5–76	37	Inside
Darnell Washington · PIT	Receptions	0–5	4	Inside
Darnell Washington · PIT	Receiving yards	0–54	25	Inside
Jalon Daniels · TB	Rushing yards	0–42	39	Inside
Ted Hurst III · TB	Receptions	0–4	3	Inside
Ted Hurst III · TB	Receiving yards	0–65	40	Inside
Tez Johnson · TB	Receptions	0–3	2	Inside
Tez Johnson · TB	Receiving yards	0–47	7	Inside
Travis Homer · PIT	Rushing yards	0–21	0	Inside
Aaron Rodgers · PIT	Passing yards	121–355	253	Inside
Jalen McMillan · TB	Receiving yards	0–36	—	Not graded

TEN @ IND

Final · TEN 26 – 20 IND

Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	IND (home)	Loss

Player ranges · 27 of 30 finals landed inside the printed range

A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

Player	Stat	Range	Final	Inside?
Jonathan Taylor · IND	Receptions	0–5	2	Inside
Jonathan Taylor · IND	Receiving yards	0–49	57	Outside
Jonathan Taylor · IND	Rushing yards	29–116	94	Inside
Tony Pollard · TEN	Receptions	0–4	0	Inside
Tony Pollard · TEN	Receiving yards	0–37	0	Inside
Tony Pollard · TEN	Rushing yards	23–105	76	Inside
Wan'Dale Robinson · TEN	Receptions	1–8	3	Inside
Wan'Dale Robinson · TEN	Receiving yards	8–78	22	Inside
Carnell Tate · TEN	Receptions	1–10	6	Inside
Carnell Tate · TEN	Receiving yards	16–107	70	Inside
Keenan Allen · IND	Receptions	1–8	8	Inside
Keenan Allen · IND	Receiving yards	4–68	82	Outside
Tyjae Spears · TEN	Receptions	0–6	1	Inside
Tyjae Spears · TEN	Receiving yards	1–51	7	Inside
Tyjae Spears · TEN	Rushing yards	0–34	1	Inside
Josh Downs · IND	Receptions	1–8	4	Inside
Josh Downs · IND	Receiving yards	4–77	40	Inside
Anthony Richardson Sr. · IND	Rushing yards	0–26	—	Not graded
Seth McGowan · IND	Rushing yards	0–33	27	Inside
D.J. Montgomery · IND	Receptions	0–6	—	Not graded
Daniel Jones · IND	Rushing yards	0–24	30	Outside
Daniel Jones · IND	Passing yards	110–326	269	Inside
Elic Ayomanor · TEN	Receptions	0–4	1	Inside
Elic Ayomanor · TEN	Receiving yards	0–56	3	Inside
Cam Ward · TEN	Rushing yards	0–30	7	Inside
Cam Ward · TEN	Passing yards	99–301	102	Inside
Laquon Treadwell · IND	Receptions	0–5	2	Inside
Laquon Treadwell · IND	Receiving yards	0–53	21	Inside
DJ Giddens · IND	Rushing yards	0–33	—	Not graded
Gunnar Helm · TEN	Receptions	0–4	—	Not graded
Gunnar Helm · TEN	Receiving yards	0–44	—	Not graded
Calvin Ridley · TEN	Receptions	0–3	0	Inside
Calvin Ridley · TEN	Receiving yards	0–53	0	Inside
Chimere Dike · TEN	Receptions	0–3	0	Inside
Chimere Dike · TEN	Receiving yards	0–39	0	Inside

ARI @ LAR

Final · ARI 18 – 16 LAR

Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	LAR (home)	Loss

Player ranges · 24 of 27 finals landed inside the printed range

A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

Player	Stat	Range	Final	Inside?
Kyren Williams · LAR	Receptions	1–7	3	Inside
Kyren Williams · LAR	Receiving yards	0–55	17	Inside
Kyren Williams · LAR	Rushing yards	29–122	50	Inside
Puka Nacua · LAR	Receptions	3–15	6	Inside
Puka Nacua · LAR	Receiving yards	20–123	80	Inside
Trey McBride · ARI	Receptions	3–13	7	Inside
Trey McBride · ARI	Receiving yards	15–94	53	Inside
Davante Adams · LAR	Receptions	1–9	3	Inside
Davante Adams · LAR	Receiving yards	5–93	39	Inside
Michael Wilson · ARI	Receptions	2–10	4	Inside
Michael Wilson · ARI	Receiving yards	10–89	32	Inside
Trey Benson · ARI	Receptions	0–5	—	Not graded
Trey Benson · ARI	Receiving yards	0–42	—	Not graded
Trey Benson · ARI	Rushing yards	0–37	—	Not graded
Blake Corum · LAR	Rushing yards	7–72	42	Inside
Tyler Allgeier · ARI	Receptions	0–4	1	Inside
Tyler Allgeier · ARI	Rushing yards	0–34	38	Outside
Tyler Higbee · LAR	Receptions	1–6	4	Inside
Tyler Higbee · LAR	Receiving yards	0–60	22	Inside
Reggie Virgil · ARI	Receptions	0–5	—	Not graded
Reggie Virgil · ARI	Receiving yards	0–40	—	Not graded
Kendrick Bourne · ARI	Receptions	0–5	5	Inside
Kendrick Bourne · ARI	Receiving yards	0–63	47	Inside
Ronnie Rivers · LAR	Rushing yards	0–28	—	Not graded
Colby Parkinson · LAR	Receptions	0–3	5	Outside
Colby Parkinson · LAR	Receiving yards	0–32	31	Inside
Bam Knight · ARI	Rushing yards	0–29	80	Outside
Konata Mumpfield · LAR	Receptions	0–3	2	Inside
Konata Mumpfield · LAR	Receiving yards	0–41	15	Inside
Jacoby Brissett · ARI	Rushing yards	0–22	2	Inside
Jacoby Brissett · ARI	Passing yards	120–329	218	Inside
Matthew Stafford · LAR	Rushing yards	0–21	0	Inside
Matthew Stafford · LAR	Passing yards	153–413	222	Inside

LAC @ KC

Final · LAC 6 – 22 KC

Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	KC (home)	Win

Player ranges · 28 of 30 finals landed inside the printed range

A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

Player	Stat	Range	Final	Inside?
Kenneth Walker III · KC	Receptions	0–6	2	Inside
Kenneth Walker III · KC	Receiving yards	0–55	11	Inside
Kenneth Walker III · KC	Rushing yards	46–170	128	Inside
Omarion Hampton · LAC	Receptions	0–3	4	Outside
Omarion Hampton · LAC	Rushing yards	11–72	18	Inside
Travis Kelce · KC	Receptions	1–7	4	Inside
Travis Kelce · KC	Receiving yards	6–89	53	Inside
Xavier Worthy · KC	Receptions	1–7	7	Inside
Xavier Worthy · KC	Receiving yards	5–79	73	Inside
Keaton Mitchell · LAC	Receptions	0–6	0	Inside
Keaton Mitchell · LAC	Receiving yards	0–44	0	Inside
Keaton Mitchell · LAC	Rushing yards	1–46	4	Inside
Kimani Vidal · LAC	Receptions	0–3	3	Inside
Kimani Vidal · LAC	Receiving yards	0–33	19	Inside
Kimani Vidal · LAC	Rushing yards	0–40	21	Inside
Quentin Johnston · LAC	Receptions	0–6	1	Inside
Quentin Johnston · LAC	Receiving yards	0–63	57	Inside
Ladd McConkey · LAC	Receptions	0–6	1	Inside
Ladd McConkey · LAC	Receiving yards	0–66	17	Inside
David Njoku · LAC	Receptions	1–6	—	Not graded
David Njoku · LAC	Receiving yards	0–55	—	Not graded
Oronde Gadsden · LAC	Receptions	0–5	3	Inside
Oronde Gadsden · LAC	Receiving yards	0–47	17	Inside
Emmett Johnson · KC	Rushing yards	0–31	6	Inside
Charlie Kolar · LAC	Receptions	0–5	3	Inside
Charlie Kolar · LAC	Receiving yards	0–57	20	Inside
Noah Gray · KC	Receptions	0–4	3	Inside
Noah Gray · KC	Receiving yards	0–44	53	Outside
Justin Herbert · LAC	Rushing yards	0–48	26	Inside
Justin Herbert · LAC	Passing yards	105–331	204	Inside
Patrick Mahomes · KC	Rushing yards	0–30	16	Inside
Patrick Mahomes · KC	Passing yards	129–388	272	Inside
Brenen Thompson · LAC	Receptions	0–3	—	Not graded
Brenen Thompson · LAC	Receiving yards	0–38	—	Not graded

BUF @ LV

Final · BUF 33 – 30 LV

Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	BUF (away)	Win

Player ranges · 28 of 35 finals landed inside the printed range

A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

Player	Stat	Range	Final	Inside?
James Cook III · BUF	Receptions	0–4	3	Inside
James Cook III · BUF	Receiving yards	0–33	58	Outside
James Cook III · BUF	Rushing yards	35–142	95	Inside
Josh Allen · BUF	Rushing yards	6–75	1	Outside
Josh Allen · BUF	Passing yards	127–398	255	Inside
Brock Bowers · LV	Receptions	1.9–11.5	4	Inside
Brock Bowers · LV	Receiving yards	17–111	70	Inside
Ashton Jeanty · LV	Receptions	1–7.6	4	Inside
Ashton Jeanty · LV	Receiving yards	2–66	36	Inside
Ashton Jeanty · LV	Rushing yards	19–90	22	Inside
Tre Tucker · LV	Receptions	1–6.7	5	Inside
Tre Tucker · LV	Receiving yards	2–75	97	Outside
Ty Johnson · BUF	Receptions	0–6	2	Inside
Ty Johnson · BUF	Receiving yards	0–65	24	Inside
Keon Coleman · BUF	Receptions	0–6	4	Inside
Keon Coleman · BUF	Receiving yards	0–70	59	Inside
Khalil Shakir · BUF	Receptions	1–8	4	Inside
Khalil Shakir · BUF	Receiving yards	6–84	34	Inside
Dalton Kincaid · BUF	Receptions	0–6	7	Outside
Dalton Kincaid · BUF	Receiving yards	0–76	38	Inside
Michael Mayer · LV	Receptions	1–5.7	7	Outside
Michael Mayer · LV	Receiving yards	0–56	95	Outside
Cody White · LV	Receptions	0–3.8	0	Inside
Cody White · LV	Receiving yards	0–43	0	Inside
Skyler Bell · BUF	Receptions	0–4	0	Inside
Skyler Bell · BUF	Receiving yards	0–39	0	Inside
Dawson Knox · BUF	Receptions	0–4	1	Inside
Dawson Knox · BUF	Receiving yards	0–41	0	Inside
Mike Washington Jr. · LV	Rushing yards	0–42	43	Outside
Joshua Palmer · BUF	Receptions	0–3	1	Inside
Joshua Palmer · BUF	Receiving yards	0–49	37	Inside
Jalen Nailor · LV	Receptions	0–3.8	1	Inside
Jalen Nailor · LV	Receiving yards	0–48	9	Inside
Jack Bech · LV	Receptions	0–3.8	—	Not graded
Jack Bech · LV	Receiving yards	0–48	—	Not graded
Malik Benson · LV	Receptions	0–1.9	—	Not graded
Kirk Cousins · LV	Rushing yards	0–13	0	Inside
Kirk Cousins · LV	Passing yards	120–358	313	Inside
Tyrell Shavers · BUF	Receiving yards	0–37	—	Not graded

DAL @ GB

Final · DAL 13 – 23 GB

Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	GB (home)	Win

Player ranges · 26 of 29 finals landed inside the printed range

A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

Player	Stat	Range	Final	Inside?
Javonte Williams · DAL	Receptions	0–5	2	Inside
Javonte Williams · DAL	Receiving yards	0–44	9	Inside
Javonte Williams · DAL	Rushing yards	20–96	41	Inside
Christian Watson · GB	Receptions	1–8.6	3	Inside
Christian Watson · GB	Receiving yards	5–101	64	Inside
CeeDee Lamb · DAL	Receptions	2–12	9	Inside
CeeDee Lamb · DAL	Receiving yards	20–128	70	Inside
MarShawn Lloyd · GB	Receptions	0–3.8	0	Inside
MarShawn Lloyd · GB	Receiving yards	0–32	0	Inside
MarShawn Lloyd · GB	Rushing yards	4–49	10	Inside
Matthew Golden · GB	Receptions	1–7.6	6	Inside
Matthew Golden · GB	Receiving yards	3–86	104	Outside
Pierre Strong Jr. · GB	Receptions	1–5.7	5	Inside
Pierre Strong Jr. · GB	Receiving yards	0–39	39	Inside
Pierre Strong Jr. · GB	Rushing yards	0–28	28	Inside
George Pickens · DAL	Receptions	2–9	6	Inside
George Pickens · DAL	Receiving yards	13–110	73	Inside
Tucker Kraft · GB	Receptions	1–6.7	5	Inside
Tucker Kraft · GB	Receiving yards	0–64	37	Inside
Malik Davis · DAL	Rushing yards	0–40	—	Not graded
Jake Ferguson · DAL	Receptions	1–6	2	Inside
Jake Ferguson · DAL	Receiving yards	0–51	13	Inside
Ryan Flournoy · DAL	Receptions	1–6	7	Outside
Ryan Flournoy · DAL	Receiving yards	1–71	40	Inside
Kaleb Johnson · GB	Rushing yards	1–49	-2	Outside
Jayden Reed · GB	Receptions	0–4.8	—	Not graded
Jayden Reed · GB	Receiving yards	0–44	—	Not graded
Tyler Goodson · DAL	Rushing yards	0–30	0	Inside
Luke Musgrave · GB	Receptions	0–2.9	—	Not graded
Luke Musgrave · GB	Receiving yards	0–38	—	Not graded
Bo Melton · GB	Receptions	0–2.9	0	Inside
Dak Prescott · DAL	Rushing yards	0–25	7	Inside
Dak Prescott · DAL	Passing yards	140–390	258	Inside
Jordan Love · GB	Passing yards	132–391	276	Inside

Premier League · 3–1 match results

Full Premier League record →

Model Performance:Match result →

Nottingham Forest v Arsenal
Final · Result: away win (0-1)
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome
Match result away win Win
Bournemouth v Sunderland
Final · Result: home win (2-0)
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome
Match result home win Win
Brighton & Hove Albion v Crystal Palace
Final · Result: home win (5-0)
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome
Match result home win Win
Leeds United v Manchester United
Final · Result: draw (1-1)
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome
Match result away win Loss

Call	Pick	Outcome
Match result	away win	Win

Call	Pick	Outcome
Match result	home win	Win

Call	Pick	Outcome
Match result	home win	Win

Call	Pick	Outcome
Match result	away win	Loss

Daily Top 5 · frozen before kickoff

Each board is published once, before the day's first kickoff, from public model families only — never chosen after the results, never revised. A board shows fewer than five when fewer players qualify.

Published Sat, Oct 17, 9:43 AM ET · first kickoff Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 AM ET

NFL · Anytime touchdown · top 5

1. James Cook III BUF v LVScored
Projection 75.9% to score · no book line captured
Scored in 2 of his last 3 games on our boards
Game receipt →
2. Javonte Williams DAL v GBScored
Projection 75.6% to score · no book line captured
Scored in 3 of his last 3 games on our boards
Game receipt →
3. Derrick Henry BAL v CLEDid not score
Projection 74.4% to score · no book line captured
Scored in 3 of his last 3 games on our boards
Game receipt →
4. Jonathan Taylor IND v TENScored
Projection 73.6% to score · no book line captured
Scored in 1 of his last 3 games on our boards
Game receipt →
5. Kenneth Walker III KC v LACScored
Projection 68.3% to score · no book line captured
Scored in 2 of his last 3 games on our boards
Game receipt →

NFL · Receptions · top 5

1. Puka Nacua LAR v ARIInside the range · 6
Projection 8 rec (3–15) · no book line captured
Last 3 games on our boards: 17 · 9 · 5 rec
Game receipt →
2. Trey McBride ARI v LARInside the range · 7
Projection 7 rec (3–13) · no book line captured
Last 3 games on our boards: 9 · 7 · 9 rec
Game receipt →
3. Isaiah Likely NYG v NOInside the range · 6
Projection 6 rec (2–12) · no book line captured
Last 3 games on our boards: 11 · 7 · 2 rec
Game receipt →
4. Zay Flowers BAL v CLEInside the range · 6
Projection 6 rec (2–12) · no book line captured
Last 3 games on our boards: 8 · 8 · 5 rec
Game receipt →
5. Garrett Wilson NYJ v NEInside the range · 4
Projection 6 rec (2–12) · no book line captured
Last 3 games on our boards: 7 · 3 · 10 rec
Game receipt →

NFL · Receiving yards · top 5

1. Drake London ATL v CHIInside the range · 62
Projection 79 yds (26–160) · no book line captured
Last 3 games on our boards: 118 · 96 · 194 yds
Game receipt →
2. Zay Flowers BAL v CLEInside the range · 66
Projection 72 yds (24–144) · no book line captured
Last 3 games on our boards: 53 · 118 · 84 yds
Game receipt →
3. CeeDee Lamb DAL v GBInside the range · 70
Projection 63 yds (20–127) · no book line captured
Last 3 games on our boards: 9 · 189 · 112 yds
Game receipt →
4. Puka Nacua LAR v ARIInside the range · 80
Projection 61 yds (19–124) · no book line captured
Last 3 games on our boards: 138 · 125 · 74 yds
Game receipt →
5. Tetairoa McMillan CAR v PHIInside the range · 86
Projection 58 yds (16–122) · no book line captured
Last 3 games on our boards: 192 · 17 · 101 yds
Game receipt →

Not eligible that day: Rushing yards (estimate only), Passing yards (estimate only).

MLB: no qualifying board — Player props are market context only — no MLB prop model has passed its bar, so none can make a board.
Premier League: no qualifying board — No player-prop model — Premier League forecasts are match results only.
UFC: no qualifying board — No fight-prop model — UFC forecasts are fight winners only.

Product cards settled this day

Every Bank Builder and Moonshot lane, each leg with its official score and grade — the receipts the product records are built from. Source: MLB Stats API official box score (feed/live), joined by gamePk. Paper-only.

Bank Builder · lane A
No card placed
No card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.
Bank Builder · lane B
No card placed
No card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.
Moonshot · lane A
No card placed
No card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.
Moonshot · lane B
No card placed
No card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.

Suggested Parlays published this day

The MLB cards as published (one per risk level), each graded from the lab’s settled receipt — the same cards the published record counts. A card not yet settled is pending, never a loss. Paper-only.

Low Risk
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.
Medium Risk
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.
High Risk
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.
Longshot
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.

Model research · player-prop leans, not public picks

Projection vs actual for every settled prop lean, graded for transparency and model development.

MLB

51.2%

21–20 on 41

Full MLB audit →

Biggest hits

MLBTaylor WallsOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+19.4pp edgeactual 1
MLBChase DeLauterOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+13.6pp edgeactual 2
MLBChandler SimpsonOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+12.1pp edgeactual 3
MLBSteven KwanOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+11.0pp edgeactual 3
MLBJose RamirezOver 0.5 Hits+9.5pp edgeactual 1

Biggest misses

MLBBrayan RocchioOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+25.0pp edgeactual 0
MLBPetey HalpinOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+16.0pp edgeactual 0
MLBJo AdellOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+12.5pp edgeactual 0
MLBPatrick BaileyOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+12.1pp edgeactual 0
MLBVictor Mesa Jr.Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+11.9pp edgeactual 0

MLB settled games · projection vs actual

TB @ CLE

21–2041 dec51.2%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Chandler Simpson	Hits	Over 0.5	1.24	2	+6.2%	High	Win
Yandy Diaz	Hits	Under 0.5	0.93	3	-3.1%	Low	Loss
Steven Kwan	Hits	Over 0.5	1.11	2	+5.3%	High	Win
Junior Caminero	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	1	+4.4%	Medium	Win
Jonathan Aranda	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	2	-0.1%	Low	Win
Chase DeLauter	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	1	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Jonny Deluca	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	0	+5.8%	High	Loss
Jose Ramirez	Hits	Over 0.5	1.05	1	+9.5%	High	Win
Jo Adell	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	0	+5.6%	High	Loss
Ben Williamson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.56	1	+2.7%	Medium	Loss
Liam Hicks	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	2	+6.7%	High	Win
Nathaniel Lowe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.74	1	+2.1%	Low	Win
Travis Bazzana	Hits	Over 0.5	0.74	0	+1.7%	Low	Loss
Victor Mesa Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	0	+9.1%	High	Loss
Brayan Rocchio	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	0	+17.7%	High	Loss
Patrick Bailey	Hits	Over 0.5	0.61	0	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Petey Halpin	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	0	+7.8%	High	Loss
Taylor Walls	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	1	+8.1%	High	Win
Yandy Diaz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.06	4	+7.8%	High	Win
Chandler Simpson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.04	3	+12.1%	High	Win
Junior Caminero	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.15	1	+11.0%	High	Loss
Jonny Deluca	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.89	1	+10.6%	High	Loss
Steven Kwan	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.83	3	+11.0%	High	Win
Jonathan Aranda	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.65	3	+6.6%	High	Win
Chase DeLauter	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.97	2	+13.6%	High	Win
Jo Adell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.92	0	+12.5%	High	Loss
Jose Ramirez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.15	1	+19.1%	High	Loss
Ben Williamson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.10	2	-2.4%	Low	Win
Liam Hicks	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.70	3	+8.5%	High	Win
Nathaniel Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.45	1	+5.6%	High	Win
Victor Mesa Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.80	0	+11.9%	High	Loss
Travis Bazzana	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.45	0	+5.9%	High	Loss
Brayan Rocchio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	2.30	0	+25.0%	Low	Loss
Patrick Bailey	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.33	0	+12.1%	High	Loss
Taylor Walls	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.60	1	+19.4%	High	Win
Petey Halpin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.42	0	+16.0%	High	Loss
Yandy Diaz	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.29	4	+2.1%	Low	Win
Junior Caminero	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.70	1	+12.5%	High	Loss
Chandler Simpson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.44	3	+9.3%	High	Win
Drew Rasmussen	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	5.91	6	+3.6%	Medium	Win
Parker Messick	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.46	3	+11.8%	High	Loss

all settled dates

Game by game

MLB · 0–2 game calls

TB @ CLE

NFL · 6–6 game winners

HOU @ JAX

BAL @ CLE

CAR @ PHI

CHI @ ATL

NO @ NYG

NYJ @ NE

PIT @ TB

TEN @ IND

ARI @ LAR

LAC @ KC

BUF @ LV

DAL @ GB

Premier League · 3–1 match results

Nottingham Forest v Arsenal

Bournemouth v Sunderland

Brighton & Hove Albion v Crystal Palace

Leeds United v Manchester United

Daily Top 5 · frozen before kickoff

NFL · Anytime touchdown · top 5

NFL · Receptions · top 5

NFL · Receiving yards · top 5

Product cards settled this day

Bank Builder · lane A

Bank Builder · lane B

Moonshot · lane A

Moonshot · lane B

Suggested Parlays published this day

Low Risk

Medium Risk

High Risk

Longshot

Model research · player-prop leans, not public picks