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Overview MLB· live NFL· week report NBA· Official Forecast record Parlays· pending snapshots

Results · one day

Monday, October 19

Game by game

Every forecast graded for this day against the official result, by sport and game. Each sport keeps its own record — they are never added into one percentage. Pushes and voids are never losses.

MLB · 1–1 game calls

Full MLB record →

Model Performance:Winner →Total runs →Run line →

Not in this record, but still graded below: 1 call paused on the site or not shown before the game.

CLE @ TB
Final · CLE 3 – 7 TB
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Call Pick Outcome
Winner TB (home) Win
Total runspaused on the site · not a public pick OVER 6.5 Win
Run line (posted line) CLE +1.5 Loss
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 21–19 →

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	TB (home)	Win
Total runspaused on the site · not a public pick	OVER 6.5	Win
Run line (posted line)	CLE +1.5	Loss

NFL · 1–0 game winners

Full NFL record →

Model Performance:Winner →

WSH @ SF

Final · WSH 17 – 23 SF

Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

Call	Pick	Outcome
Winner	SF (home)	Win

Player ranges · 28 of 35 finals landed inside the printed range

A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

Player	Stat	Range	Final	Inside?
Christian McCaffrey · SF	Receptions	0.8–6.6	9	Outside
Christian McCaffrey · SF	Receiving yards	0–57	53	Inside
Christian McCaffrey · SF	Rushing yards	18–95	64	Inside
Mike Evans · SF	Receptions	0.8–8.2	3	Inside
Mike Evans · SF	Receiving yards	7–91	94	Outside
George Kittle · SF	Receptions	0.8–7.4	5	Inside
George Kittle · SF	Receiving yards	3–79	69	Inside
Brandon Aiyuk · SF	Receptions	0.8–7.4	—	Not graded
Brandon Aiyuk · SF	Receiving yards	0–39	—	Not graded
Stefon Diggs · WSH	Receptions	0.8–7.4	6	Inside
Stefon Diggs · WSH	Receiving yards	5–75	44	Inside
Terry McLaurin · WSH	Receptions	0.8–6.6	1	Inside
Terry McLaurin · WSH	Receiving yards	6–90	27	Inside
Jayden Daniels · WSH	Rushing yards	0–64	10	Inside
Jayden Daniels · WSH	Passing yards	86–283	300	Outside
Ricky Pearsall · SF	Receptions	0.8–5.8	—	Not graded
Ricky Pearsall · SF	Receiving yards	0–52	—	Not graded
Rachaad White · WSH	Receptions	0–3.3	4	Outside
Rachaad White · WSH	Receiving yards	0–35	30	Inside
Rachaad White · WSH	Rushing yards	0–38	27	Inside
Austin Ekeler · WSH	Receptions	0–2.5	2	Inside
Austin Ekeler · WSH	Rushing yards	0–29	3	Inside
Chig Okonkwo · WSH	Receptions	0.8–5.8	7	Outside
Chig Okonkwo · WSH	Receiving yards	0–62	69	Outside
Treylon Burks · WSH	Receptions	0–4.1	4	Inside
Treylon Burks · WSH	Receiving yards	0–52	66	Outside
Antonio Williams · WSH	Receptions	0.8–5	3	Inside
Antonio Williams · WSH	Receiving yards	0–57	50	Inside
Kaelon Black · SF	Rushing yards	3–50	34	Inside
Jeremy McNichols · WSH	Receptions	0–3.3	0	Inside
Jeremy McNichols · WSH	Receiving yards	0–35	0	Inside
Jeremy McNichols · WSH	Rushing yards	0–19	13	Inside
Brock Purdy · SF	Rushing yards	0–48	28	Inside
Brock Purdy · SF	Passing yards	128–389	264	Inside
Kyle Juszczyk · SF	Receptions	0–2.5	1	Inside
Brandin Cooks · SF	Receptions	0–2.5	1	Inside
Dyami Brown · WSH	Receptions	0–3.3	1	Inside
Dyami Brown · WSH	Receiving yards	0–43	6	Inside
Athan Kaliakmanis · WSH	Rushing yards	0–25	—	Not graded
Jake Tonges · SF	Receptions	0–2.5	—	Not graded
Jake Tonges · SF	Receiving yards	0–45	—	Not graded
Mac Jones · SF	Rushing yards	0–21	—	Not graded
Jordan James · SF	Rushing yards	0–24	0	Inside

Premier League · 1–0 match results

Full Premier League record →

Model Performance:Match result →

Tottenham Hotspur v Coventry City
Final · Result: home win (3-1)
Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome
Match result home win Win

Call	Pick	Outcome
Match result	home win	Win

Daily Top 5 · frozen before kickoff

Each board is published once, before the day's first kickoff, from public model families only — never chosen after the results, never revised. A board shows fewer than five when fewer players qualify.

Published Mon, Oct 19, 12:59 PM ET · first kickoff Mon, Oct 19, 8:15 PM ET

NFL · Anytime touchdown · top 5

1. Christian McCaffrey SF v WSHScored
Projection 63.4% to score · no book line captured
Scored in 3 of his last 3 games on our boards
Game receipt →
2. George Kittle SF v WSHScored
Projection 45.3% to score · no book line captured
Scored in 2 of his last 3 games on our boards
Game receipt →
3. Brandon Aiyuk SF v WSHVoid · did not play
Projection 34.9% to score · no book line captured
No earlier 2026 game on our boards
Game receipt →
4. Terry McLaurin WSH v SFDid not score
Projection 28.5% to score · no book line captured
Scored in 1 of his last 3 games on our boards
Game receipt →
5. Jayden Daniels WSH v SFDid not score
Projection 26.2% to score · no book line captured
Scored in 1 of his last 3 games on our boards
Game receipt →

NFL · Receptions · top 5

1. George Kittle SF v WSHInside the range · 5
Projection 4 rec (1–9) · no book line captured
Last 3 games on our boards: 5 · 4 · 6 rec
Game receipt →
2. Brandon Aiyuk SF v WSHVoid · did not play
Projection 4 rec (1–9) · no book line captured
No earlier 2026 game on our boards
Game receipt →
3. Terry McLaurin WSH v SFInside the range · 1
Projection 4 rec (1–8) · no book line captured
Last 3 games on our boards: 4 · 6 · 2 rec
Game receipt →
4. Christian McCaffrey SF v WSHOutside the range · 9
Projection 4 rec (1–8) · no book line captured
Last 3 games on our boards: 3 · 3 · 4 rec
Game receipt →
5. Chig Okonkwo WSH v SFOutside the range · 7
Projection 3 rec (1–7) · no book line captured
Last 2 games on our boards: 4 · 2 rec
Game receipt →

NFL · Receiving yards · top 5

1. Terry McLaurin WSH v SFInside the range · 27
Projection 38 yds (6–90) · no book line captured
Last 3 games on our boards: 62 · 77 · 50 yds
Game receipt →
2. George Kittle SF v WSHInside the range · 69
Projection 32 yds (4–79) · no book line captured
Last 3 games on our boards: 24 · 70 · 82 yds
Game receipt →
3. Chig Okonkwo WSH v SFOutside the range · 69
Projection 22 yds (0–62) · no book line captured
Last 2 games on our boards: 60 · 5 yds
Game receipt →
4. Christian McCaffrey SF v WSHInside the range · 53
Projection 20 yds (0–55) · no book line captured
Last 3 games on our boards: 15 · 18 · 41 yds
Game receipt →
5. Antonio Williams WSH v SFInside the range · 50
Projection 20 yds (0–56) · no book line captured
Last 3 games on our boards: 31 · 21 · 15 yds
Game receipt →

Not eligible that day: Rushing yards (estimate only), Passing yards (estimate only).

MLB: no qualifying board — Player props are market context only — no MLB prop model has passed its bar, so none can make a board.
Premier League: no qualifying board — No player-prop model — Premier League forecasts are match results only.
UFC: no qualifying board — No fight-prop model — UFC forecasts are fight winners only.

Product cards settled this day

Every Bank Builder and Moonshot lane, each leg with its official score and grade — the receipts the product records are built from. Source: MLB Stats API official box score (feed/live), joined by gamePk. Paper-only.

Bank Builder · lane A
No card placed
No card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.
Bank Builder · lane B
No card placed
No card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.
Moonshot · lane A
No card placed
No card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.
Moonshot · lane B
No card placed
No card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.

Suggested Parlays published this day

The MLB cards as published (one per risk level), each graded from the lab’s settled receipt — the same cards the published record counts. A card not yet settled is pending, never a loss. Paper-only.

Low Risk
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.
Medium Risk
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.
High Risk
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.
Longshot
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.

Model research · player-prop leans, not public picks

Projection vs actual for every settled prop lean, graded for transparency and model development.

MLB

52.5%

21–19 on 40

Full MLB audit →

Biggest hits

MLBBrayan RocchioOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+25.9pp edgeactual 1
MLBBrayan RocchioOver 0.5 Hits+19.3pp edgeactual 1
MLBTaylor WallsOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+17.6pp edgeactual 1
MLBRichie PalaciosOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+15.8pp edgeactual 4
MLBPatrick BaileyOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+13.4pp edgeactual 1

Biggest misses

MLBPetey HalpinOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+18.3pp edgeactual 0
MLBJose RamirezOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+16.8pp edgeactual 0
MLBJo AdellOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+13.5pp edgeactual 1
MLBJose RamirezOver 0.5 Hits+11.1pp edgeactual 0
MLBFreddy PeraltaOver 4.5 Strikeouts+10.9pp edgeactual 3

MLB settled games · projection vs actual

CLE @ TB

21–1940 dec52.5%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Freddy Peralta	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.76	3	+10.9%	High	Loss
Chandler Simpson	Hits	Over 0.5	1.24	1	+6.0%	High	Win
Yandy Diaz	Hits	Under 0.5	0.93	1	-2.4%	Low	Loss
Junior Caminero	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	2	+3.2%	Medium	Win
Steven Kwan	Hits	Over 0.5	1.11	1	+7.5%	High	Win
Chase DeLauter	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	2	+2.7%	Medium	Win
Jonathan Aranda	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	0	+0.3%	Low	Loss
Jose Ramirez	Hits	Over 0.5	1.05	0	+11.1%	High	Loss
Liam Hicks	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	1	+4.9%	Medium	Win
Victor Mesa Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	0	+4.7%	Medium	Loss
Jonny Deluca	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	0	+10.0%	High	Loss
Jo Adell	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	1	+9.0%	High	Win
Nathaniel Lowe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.74	2	+4.4%	Medium	Win
Richie Palacios	Hits	Over 0.5	0.74	2	+5.2%	High	Win
Travis Bazzana	Hits	Over 0.5	0.74	0	+4.1%	Medium	Loss
Brayan Rocchio	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	1	+19.3%	High	Win
Patrick Bailey	Hits	Over 0.5	0.61	0	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Taylor Walls	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	0	+8.1%	High	Loss
Petey Halpin	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	0	+10.5%	High	Loss
Yandy Diaz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.06	4	+6.0%	High	Win
Junior Caminero	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.15	6	+9.2%	High	Win
Chandler Simpson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.04	2	+11.2%	High	Win
Jonathan Aranda	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.65	0	+4.4%	Medium	Loss
Steven Kwan	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.83	1	+10.3%	High	Loss
Jose Ramirez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.15	0	+16.8%	High	Loss
Chase DeLauter	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.97	4	+13.0%	High	Win
Liam Hicks	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.70	2	+8.9%	High	Win
Jo Adell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.92	1	+13.5%	High	Loss
Victor Mesa Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	1	+11.8%	High	Loss
Jonny Deluca	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.89	1	+15.0%	High	Loss
Nathaniel Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.45	4	+6.8%	High	Win
Richie Palacios	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.84	4	+15.8%	High	Win
Travis Bazzana	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.45	0	+6.2%	High	Loss
Taylor Walls	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.60	1	+17.6%	High	Win
Brayan Rocchio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	2.30	1	+25.9%	Low	Win
Patrick Bailey	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.33	1	+13.4%	High	Win
Petey Halpin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.42	0	+18.3%	High	Loss
Junior Caminero	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.70	5	+12.1%	High	Win
Yandy Diaz	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.29	4	+4.1%	Medium	Win
Chandler Simpson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.44	1	+7.6%	High	Loss

all settled dates

Game by game

MLB · 1–1 game calls

CLE @ TB

NFL · 1–0 game winners

WSH @ SF

Premier League · 1–0 match results

Tottenham Hotspur v Coventry City

Daily Top 5 · frozen before kickoff

NFL · Anytime touchdown · top 5

NFL · Receptions · top 5

NFL · Receiving yards · top 5

Product cards settled this day

Bank Builder · lane A

Bank Builder · lane B

Moonshot · lane A

Moonshot · lane B

Suggested Parlays published this day

Low Risk

Medium Risk

High Risk

Longshot

Model research · player-prop leans, not public picks