Saturday, October 17
Game by game
Every forecast graded for this day against the official result, by sport and game. Each sport keeps its own record — they are never added into one percentage. Pushes and voids are never losses.
MLB · 1–1 game calls
Full MLB record →Model Performance:Winner →Total runs →Run line →
Not in this record, but still graded below: 1 call paused on the site or not shown before the game.
TB @ CLE
Final · TB 7 – 3 CLEOfficial Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 24–17 →Call Pick Outcome Winner TB (away) Win Total runspaused on the site · not a public pick OVER 6.5 Win Run line (posted line) CLE +1.5 Loss
Premier League · 2–3 match results
Full Premier League record →Model Performance:Match result →
Newcastle United v Aston Villa
Final · Result: away win (0-1)Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome Match result home win Loss Fulham v Hull City
Final · Result: home win (1-0)Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome Match result home win Win Manchester City v Ipswich Town
Final · Result: home win (3-2)Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome Match result home win Win Brentford v Liverpool
Final · Result: away win (1-2)Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome Match result home win Loss Everton v Chelsea
Final · Result: away win (0-2)Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome Match result home win Loss
UFC · 4–5 fight winners
Full UFC record →Model Performance:Fight winner →
Mike Malott vs Joaquin Buckley
Final · Winner: Mike MalottVerified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome Fight winner Mike Malott Win Erin Blanchfield vs Jasmine Jasudavicius
Final · Winner: Jasmine JasudaviciusVerified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome Fight winner Erin Blanchfield Loss Cristian Pérez vs Kyle Nelson
Final · Winner: Cristian PérezVerified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome Fight winner Cristian Pérez Win Kyle Daukaus vs Marc-Andre Barriault
Final · Winner: Marc-Andre BarriaultVerified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome Fight winner Kyle Daukaus Loss Nate Landwehr vs Mandel Nallo
Final · Winner: Mandel NalloVerified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome Fight winner Nate Landwehr Loss Jhonata Diniz vs Tanner Boser
Final · Winner: Tanner BoserVerified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome Fight winner Jhonata Diniz Loss Steven Koslow vs Chad Anheliger
Final · Winner: Steven KoslowVerified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome Fight winner Steven Koslow Win Melissa Croden vs Chelsea Chandler
Final · Winner: Chelsea ChandlerVerified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome Fight winner Melissa Croden Loss SuYoung You vs Cody Chovancek
Final · Winner: SuYoung YouVerified final · official result
Call Pick Outcome Fight winner SuYoung You Win
Daily Top 5 · frozen before kickoff
Each board is published once, before the day's first kickoff, from public model families only — never chosen after the results, never revised. A board shows fewer than five when fewer players qualify.
No qualifying board was frozen for Saturday, October 17.
- MLB: no qualifying board — Player props are market context only — no MLB prop model has passed its bar, so none can make a board.
- Premier League: no qualifying board — No player-prop model — Premier League forecasts are match results only.
- UFC: no qualifying board — No fight-prop model — UFC forecasts are fight winners only.
Product cards settled this day
Every Bank Builder and Moonshot lane, each leg with its official score and grade — the receipts the product records are built from. Source: MLB Stats API official box score (feed/live), joined by gamePk. Paper-only.
Bank Builder · lane A
No card placedNo card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.
Bank Builder · lane B
No card placedNo card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.
Moonshot · lane A
No card placedNo card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.
Moonshot · lane B
No card placedNo card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.
Suggested Parlays published this day
The MLB cards as published (one per risk level), each graded from the lab’s settled receipt — the same cards the published record counts. A card not yet settled is pending, never a loss. Paper-only.
Low Risk
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.
Medium Risk
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.
High Risk
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.
Longshot
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.
Model research · player-prop leans, not public picks
Projection vs actual for every settled prop lean, graded for transparency and model development.
- MLBNick MartinezOver 2.5 Strikeouts+30.7pp edgeactual 3
- MLBBrayan RocchioOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+23.6pp edgeactual 2
- MLBTaylor WallsOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+19.1pp edgeactual 2
- MLBBrayan RocchioOver 0.5 Hits+16.9pp edgeactual 1
- MLBRichie PalaciosOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+16.6pp edgeactual 5
- MLBJose RamirezOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+15.7pp edgeactual 0
- MLBJonny DelucaOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+14.8pp edgeactual 0
- MLBPetey HalpinOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+11.7pp edgeactual 0
- MLBLiam HicksOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+9.3pp edgeactual 0
- MLBChandler SimpsonOver 1.5 Total Bases+7.7pp edgeactual 0
TB @ CLE24–1741 dec58.5%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinez | Strikeouts | Over 2.5 | 3.60 | 3 | +30.7% | Low | Win |
| Chandler Simpson | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.24 | 0 | +6.3% | High | Loss |
| Yandy Diaz | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.93 | 2 | -2.4% | Low | Loss |
| Steven Kwan | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.11 | 1 | +4.4% | Medium | Win |
| Junior Caminero | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.97 | 1 | +4.1% | Medium | Win |
| Chase DeLauter | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.98 | 1 | +2.0% | Low | Win |
| Jose Ramirez | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.05 | 0 | +8.2% | High | Loss |
| Jo Adell | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.96 | 1 | +4.4% | Medium | Win |
| Jonathan Aranda | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.86 | 3 | +1.1% | Low | Win |
| Jonny Deluca | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.95 | 0 | +6.9% | High | Loss |
| Liam Hicks | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.88 | 0 | +3.5% | Medium | Loss |
| Nathaniel Lowe | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.74 | 0 | -0.4% | Low | Loss |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.87 | 1 | +5.2% | High | Win |
| Travis Bazzana | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.74 | 2 | +2.5% | Low | Win |
| Richie Palacios | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.74 | 3 | +4.6% | Medium | Win |
| Patrick Bailey | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.61 | 1 | -1.2% | Low | Win |
| Brayan Rocchio | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.04 | 1 | +16.9% | High | Win |
| Petey Halpin | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.70 | 0 | +3.9% | Medium | Loss |
| Taylor Walls | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.70 | 1 | +11.0% | High | Win |
| Yandy Diaz | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.06 | 6 | +7.8% | High | Win |
| Junior Caminero | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.15 | 2 | +10.8% | High | Win |
| Chandler Simpson | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.04 | 1 | +13.1% | High | Loss |
| Steven Kwan | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.83 | 2 | +8.2% | High | Win |
| Jo Adell | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.92 | 1 | +9.0% | High | Loss |
| Chase DeLauter | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.97 | 2 | +10.8% | High | Win |
| Jonathan Aranda | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.65 | 7 | +5.1% | High | Win |
| Jose Ramirez | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.15 | 0 | +15.7% | High | Loss |
| Liam Hicks | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.70 | 0 | +9.3% | High | Loss |
| Nathaniel Lowe | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.45 | 0 | +5.1% | High | Loss |
| Jonny Deluca | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.89 | 0 | +14.8% | High | Loss |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.80 | 1 | +12.2% | High | Loss |
| Travis Bazzana | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.45 | 4 | +5.5% | High | Win |
| Richie Palacios | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.84 | 5 | +16.6% | High | Win |
| Brayan Rocchio | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 2.30 | 2 | +23.6% | Low | Win |
| Patrick Bailey | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.33 | 2 | +9.6% | High | Win |
| Petey Halpin | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.42 | 0 | +11.7% | High | Loss |
| Taylor Walls | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.60 | 2 | +19.1% | High | Win |
| Junior Caminero | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.70 | 2 | +12.3% | High | Win |
| Yandy Diaz | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.29 | 6 | +4.2% | Medium | Win |
| Steven Kwan | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.33 | 1 | +4.4% | Medium | Loss |
| Chandler Simpson | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.44 | 0 | +7.7% | High | Loss |