Friday, October 16
Game by game
Every forecast graded for this day against the official result, by sport and game. Each sport keeps its own record — they are never added into one percentage. Pushes and voids are never losses.
MLB · 0–0 game calls
Full MLB record →Model Performance:Winner →Total runs →Run line →
TB v CLE
Final score not on fileNo public game call graded for this game.
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 0–0 · 4 void →
Daily Top 5 · frozen before kickoff
Each board is published once, before the day's first kickoff, from public model families only — never chosen after the results, never revised. A board shows fewer than five when fewer players qualify.
No qualifying board was frozen for Friday, October 16.
- MLB: no qualifying board — Player props are market context only — no MLB prop model has passed its bar, so none can make a board.
- Premier League: no qualifying board — No player-prop model — Premier League forecasts are match results only.
- UFC: no qualifying board — No fight-prop model — UFC forecasts are fight winners only.
Suggested Parlays published this day
The MLB cards as published (one per risk level), each graded from the lab’s settled receipt — the same cards the published record counts. A card not yet settled is pending, never a loss. Paper-only.
Low Risk
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.
Medium Risk
No card was published — every candidate on today's slate uses a market-context family (Hits) — the model behind it was demoted and is not a published GameTime projection, so no card is offered.
High Risk
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.
Longshot
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.
Model research · player-prop leans, not public picks
Projection vs actual for every settled prop lean, graded for transparency and model development.
TB @ CLE0–00 dec4 void—
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richie Palacios | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.74 | — | +6.4% | High | Void |
| Richie Palacios | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.84 | — | +18.0% | High | Void |
| Jose Ramirez | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.60 | — | +11.5% | High | Void |
| Steven Kwan | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.33 | — | +5.7% | High | Void |