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Results · one day

Saturday, October 24

Game by game

Every forecast graded for this day against the official result, by sport and game. Each sport keeps its own record — they are never added into one percentage. Pushes and voids are never losses.

MLB · 2–0 game calls

Full MLB record →

Model Performance:Winner →Total runs →Run line →

Not in this record, but still graded below: 1 call paused on the site or not shown before the game.

Premier League · 2–2 match results

Full Premier League record →

Model Performance:Match result →

  • Chelsea v Tottenham Hotspur

    Final · Result: away win (0-2)

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official result

    CallPickOutcome
    Match resulthome winLoss

  • Arsenal v Everton

    Final · Result: home win (2-0)

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official result

    CallPickOutcome
    Match resulthome winWin

  • Coventry City v Fulham

    Final · Result: away win (0-1)

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official result

    CallPickOutcome
    Match resultaway winWin

  • Aston Villa v Manchester City

    Final · Result: home win (2-1)

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official result

    CallPickOutcome
    Match resultaway winLoss

UFC · 7–4 fight winners

Full UFC record →

Model Performance:Fight winner →

  • Movsar Evloev vs Alexander Volkanovski

    Final · Winner: Alexander Volkanovski

    Verified final · official result

    CallPickOutcome
    Fight winnerMovsar EvloevLoss

  • Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili

    Final · Winner: Petr Yan

    Verified final · official result

    CallPickOutcome
    Fight winnerPetr YanWin

  • Alexander Volkov vs Rizvan Kuniev

    Final · Winner: Alexander Volkov

    Verified final · official result

    CallPickOutcome
    Fight winnerAlexander VolkovWin

  • Dominick Reyes vs Azamat Murzakanov

    Final · Winner: Dominick Reyes

    Verified final · official result

    CallPickOutcome
    Fight winnerDominick ReyesWin

  • Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev vs Nikita Krylov

    Final · Winner: Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

    Verified final · official result

    CallPickOutcome
    Fight winnerAbdul-Rakhman YakhyaevWin

  • Cam Rowston vs Abus Magomedov

    Final · Winner: Abus Magomedov

    Verified final · official result

    CallPickOutcome
    Fight winnerCam RowstonLoss

  • Nurullo Aliev vs Grant Dawson

    Final · Winner: Grant Dawson

    Verified final · official result

    CallPickOutcome
    Fight winnerNurullo AlievLoss

  • Colby Thicknesse vs Asaf Chopurov

    Final · Winner: Colby Thicknesse

    Verified final · official result

    CallPickOutcome
    Fight winnerColby ThicknesseWin

  • Jacob Malkoun vs Abubakar Vagaev

    Final · Winner: Abubakar Vagaev

    Verified final · official result

    CallPickOutcome
    Fight winnerJacob MalkounLoss

  • Daniel Santos vs Bolaji Oki

    Final · Winner: Daniel Santos

    Verified final · official result

    CallPickOutcome
    Fight winnerDaniel SantosWin

  • Iasmin Lucindo vs Nicolle Caliari

    Final · Winner: Iasmin Lucindo

    Verified final · official result

    CallPickOutcome
    Fight winnerIasmin LucindoWin

NBA · Official Forecast vs final

Each game's official winner side as it was frozen before tip, against the official final. A game with no final yet is pending and a disputed final is held — neither is ever counted as a miss. The model's NBA single picks are graded in the model suggestions record.

Model Performance · season to date: the official side won 44 and lost 27 of 71 decided games · 10 pending.

Counts, not an accuracy claim: the preregistered minimum before any judgment of the winner side is 300 graded games, and this is 71. The Elo-derived estimate shown on the boards is not a validated probability, and no calibration is claimed.

Sat, Oct 24 · 8 games · side won 6, lost 2
Official winner side vs final, Sat, Oct 24
GameOfficial sideFinalResult
MIA @ CHAtip 6:00 PM ETCHAfrozen 9:16 AM ETMIA 110 – 115 CHASide won
BKN @ CLEtip 7:30 PM ETCLEfrozen 9:16 AM ETBKN 121 – 125 CLESide won
MIL @ PHItip 7:30 PM ETPHIfrozen 9:16 AM ETMIL 116 – 127 PHISide won
WSH @ CHItip 8:00 PM ETCHIfrozen 9:16 AM ETWSH 124 – 120 CHISide lost
SA @ DALtip 8:00 PM ETSAfrozen 9:16 AM ETSA 122 – 106 DALSide won
HOU @ ATLtip 8:30 PM ETATLfrozen 9:16 AM ETHOU 121 – 114 ATLSide lost
NO @ DENtip 9:00 PM ETDENfrozen 9:16 AM ETNO 135 – 141 DENSide won
GS @ PHXtip 10:00 PM ETPHXfrozen 9:16 AM ETGS 122 – 131 PHXSide won

Daily Top 5 · frozen before kickoff

Each board is published once, before the day's first kickoff, from public model families only — never chosen after the results, never revised. A board shows fewer than five when fewer players qualify.

No qualifying board was frozen for Saturday, October 24.

  • MLB: no qualifying board — Player props are market context only — no MLB prop model has passed its bar, so none can make a board.
  • Premier League: no qualifying board — No player-prop model — Premier League forecasts are match results only.
  • UFC: no qualifying board — No fight-prop model — UFC forecasts are fight winners only.

Product cards settled this day

Every Bank Builder and Moonshot lane, each leg with its official score and grade — the receipts the product records are built from. Source: MLB Stats API official box score (feed/live), joined by gamePk. Paper-only.

  • Bank Builder · lane A

    No card placed

    No card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.

  • Bank Builder · lane B

    No card placed

    No card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.

  • Moonshot · lane A

    No card placed

    No card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.

  • Moonshot · lane B

    No card placed

    No card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.

Suggested Parlays published this day

The MLB cards as published (one per risk level), each graded from the lab’s settled receipt — the same cards the published record counts. A card not yet settled is pending, never a loss. Paper-only.

  • Low Risk

    No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.

  • Medium Risk

    No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.

  • High Risk

    No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.

  • Longshot

    No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.

Model research · player-prop leans, not public picks

Projection vs actual for every settled prop lean, graded for transparency and model development.

MLB
70.7%
29–12 on 41
Full MLB audit →
Biggest hits
  • MLBBrice TurangOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+23.1pp edgeactual 2
  • MLBChandler SimpsonOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+15.8pp edgeactual 3
  • MLBJackson ChourioOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+14.9pp edgeactual 3
  • MLBJonny DelucaOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+14.4pp edgeactual 2
  • MLBJackson ChourioOver 1.5 Total Bases+13.7pp edgeactual 2
Biggest misses
  • MLBRichie PalaciosOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+22.1pp edgeactual 0
  • MLBTaylor WallsOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+19.6pp edgeactual 0
  • MLBLogan HendersonOver 4.5 Strikeouts+18.0pp edgeactual 4
  • MLBYandy DiazOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+9.9pp edgeactual 1
  • MLBRichie PalaciosOver 0.5 Hits+9.2pp edgeactual 0
MLB settled games · projection vs actual
TB @ MIL
29–1241 dec70.7%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Chandler SimpsonHitsOver 0.51.241+7.8%HighWin
Jackson ChourioHitsOver 0.51.152+3.3%MediumWin
Yandy DiazHitsUnder 0.50.930-2.6%LowWin
Junior CamineroHitsOver 0.50.971+6.5%HighWin
Liam HicksHitsOver 0.50.881+2.2%LowWin
William ContrerasHitsOver 0.50.972+4.6%MediumWin
Jonny DelucaHitsOver 0.50.952+6.7%HighWin
Jonathan ArandaHitsOver 0.50.861+2.2%LowWin
Brice TurangHitsOver 0.51.171+13.3%HighWin
Jake BauersHitsOver 0.50.841+4.1%MediumWin
Cooper PrattHitsOver 0.50.941+9.2%HighWin
Sal FrelickHitsUnder 0.50.562+0.5%LowLoss
Christian YelichHitsOver 0.50.741+1.0%LowWin
Garrett MitchellHitsOver 0.50.721+0.1%LowWin
Victor Mesa Jr.HitsOver 0.50.871+7.1%HighWin
David HamiltonHitsOver 0.50.710+4.8%MediumLoss
Richie PalaciosHitsOver 0.50.740+9.2%HighLoss
Taylor WallsHitsOver 0.50.700+7.8%HighLoss
Jackson ChourioHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.623+14.9%HighWin
Yandy DiazHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.061+9.9%HighLoss
Junior CamineroHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.153+13.4%HighWin
Chandler SimpsonHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.043+15.8%HighWin
William ContrerasHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.123+12.9%HighWin
Jake BauersHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.962+12.1%HighWin
Brice TurangHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.542+23.1%LowWin
Liam HicksHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.704+9.1%HighWin
Jonathan ArandaHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.651+8.7%HighLoss
Jonny DelucaHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.892+14.4%HighWin
Sal FrelickHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.064-1.0%LowWin
Cooper PrattHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.713+9.4%HighWin
Christian YelichHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.791+10.3%HighWin
Garrett MitchellHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.502+4.1%MediumWin
Victor Mesa Jr.Hits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.801+11.5%HighWin
David HamiltonHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.241+8.6%HighWin
Taylor WallsHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.600+19.6%HighLoss
Richie PalaciosHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.840+22.1%LowLoss
Jackson ChourioTotal BasesOver 1.51.852+13.7%HighWin
Yandy DiazTotal BasesOver 1.51.290+4.6%MediumLoss
Chandler SimpsonTotal BasesOver 1.51.441+9.3%HighLoss
Drew RasmussenStrikeoutsOver 5.55.914-2.9%LowLoss
Logan HendersonStrikeoutsOver 4.55.874+18.0%HighLoss
all settled dates
each record stands alone · pushes and voids are never losses · educational use only · not betting advice