Today· Sep 17Pregame slateSettled· Sep 16

Overview MLB· live NFL· week report NBA· archive Parlays· pending snapshots

Settled projections · Monday, September 14

52.0%

197–182 on 379 decisive

Combined audit across the sports that had settled rows on 2026-09-14. Pushes excluded. Pending games never count as losses.

At a glance

Hit

197

model agreed and the line cleared

Miss

182

model agreed but the line did not clear

Push

final stat tied the line — excluded from hit rate

Pending

no games still pending on this date

MLB

52.0%

197–182 on 379

Full MLB audit →

Biggest hits

MLBKade AndersonUnder 5.5 Strikeouts+34.6pp edgeactual 5
MLBElly De La CruzOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+30.1pp edgeactual 3
MLBRiley GreeneOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+28.4pp edgeactual 3
MLBAdael AmadorOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+25.1pp edgeactual 2
MLBMax ClarkOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+21.8pp edgeactual 4

Biggest misses

MLBJake CronenworthUnder 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+19.9pp edgeactual 4
MLBLars NootbaarUnder 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+6.9pp edgeactual 7
MLBCorbin CarrollUnder 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-3.4pp edgeactual 6
MLBPete Crow-ArmstrongUnder 1.5 Hits-3.0pp edgeactual 4
MLBCasey MizeOver 4.5 Strikeouts+1.7pp edgeactual 0

MLB settled games · projection vs actual

CWS @ CLE

18–1735 dec51.4%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Gavin Williams	Strikeouts	Over 7.5	8.49	7	+5.7%	High	Loss
Chase DeLauter	Hits	Over 0.5	1.19	0	+6.3%	High	Loss
Steven Kwan	Hits	Over 0.5	1.15	1	+6.6%	High	Win
Jo Adell	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	1	-1.1%	Low	Win
Sam Antonacci	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	1	+7.3%	High	Win
Miguel Vargas	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	2	+4.9%	Medium	Win
Chase Meidroth	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	1	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Angel Genao	Hits	Over 0.5	0.71	—	-1.6%	Low	Void
Travis Bazzana	Hits	Over 0.5	1.05	1	+13.2%	High	Win
Brayan Rocchio	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	1	+8.9%	High	Win
Nathaniel Lowe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	0	+3.8%	Medium	Loss
Tristan Peters	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	0	+9.3%	High	Loss
Kyle Teel	Hits	Over 0.5	0.55	1	-3.0%	Low	Win
Braden Montgomery	Hits	Over 0.5	0.58	0	-0.8%	Low	Loss
Andrew Benintendi	Hits	Over 0.5	0.56	3	-0.9%	Low	Win
Patrick Bailey	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	1	+11.0%	High	Win
Munetaka Murakami	Hits	Over 0.5	0.57	0	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Colson Montgomery	Hits	Over 0.5	0.54	0	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
Chase DeLauter	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.07	0	+8.3%	High	Loss
Steven Kwan	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.03	1	+9.8%	High	Loss
Jo Adell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.87	2	+6.0%	High	Win
Miguel Vargas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	6	+9.1%	High	Win
Sam Antonacci	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.88	1	+13.5%	High	Loss
Travis Bazzana	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.52	1	+24.8%	Low	Loss
Nathaniel Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.72	0	+11.7%	High	Loss
Chase Meidroth	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.61	3	+11.6%	High	Win
Brayan Rocchio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	2.21	1	+19.6%	High	Win
Kyle Teel	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.44	4	+6.2%	High	Win
Tristan Peters	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.56	1	+9.4%	High	Win
Braden Montgomery	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.31	0	+7.4%	High	Loss
Munetaka Murakami	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.63	0	+9.6%	High	Loss
Andrew Benintendi	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.24	5	+6.5%	High	Win
Colson Montgomery	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.52	1	+16.4%	High	Win
Chase DeLauter	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.95	0	+18.1%	High	Loss
Jo Adell	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.41	1	+6.8%	High	Loss
Steven Kwan	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.62	1	+15.3%	High	Loss

LAD @ CIN

13–1730 dec43.3%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Nick Lodolo	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.81	4	+10.3%	High	Loss
Tarik Skubal	Strikeouts	Under 7.5	6.51	9	+15.0%	High	Loss
Mookie Betts	Hits	Over 1.5	1.14	0	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Tommy Edman	Hits	Under 1.5	0.80	0	+2.8%	Medium	Win
Freddie Freeman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.80	—	+0.2%	Low	Void
Will Smith	Hits	Under 0.5	0.63	0	+6.0%	High	Win
Kyle Tucker	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	1	+0.3%	Low	Loss
Elly De La Cruz	Hits	Over 0.5	1.46	1	+20.1%	Low	Win
Sal Stewart	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	0	+10.8%	High	Loss
Miguel Rojas	Hits	Under 0.5	0.55	0	+0.9%	Low	Win
Dane Myers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	1	+10.6%	High	Win
Tyler Stephenson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	0	+2.9%	Medium	Loss
JJ Bleday	Hits	Over 0.5	0.73	0	+7.0%	High	Loss
Juan Brito	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	1	+12.9%	High	Win
Ke'Bryan Hayes	Hits	Over 0.5	0.47	0	-3.1%	Low	Loss
Tommy Edman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.92	0	-2.9%	Low	Loss
Mookie Betts	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.80	0	+11.8%	High	Loss
Will Smith	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.54	0	-2.1%	Low	Win
Freddie Freeman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.79	—	+1.0%	Low	Void
Kyle Tucker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	4	+6.4%	High	Win
Elly De La Cruz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	3.08	3	+30.1%	Low	Win
Sal Stewart	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.90	0	+10.4%	High	Loss
Miguel Rojas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.82	0	+9.1%	High	Win
Dane Myers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.92	1	+19.3%	High	Loss
Tyler Stephenson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.49	0	+7.8%	High	Loss
JJ Bleday	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.59	0	+11.7%	High	Loss
Juan Brito	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	2.16	1	+20.1%	Low	Win
Ke'Bryan Hayes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.77	0	+3.2%	Medium	Loss
Mookie Betts	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.20	0	+13.3%	High	Loss
Tommy Edman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.28	0	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Will Smith	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.11	0	-0.8%	Low	Win
Kyle Tucker	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.60	4	+10.6%	High	Win
Freddie Freeman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.29	—	+3.9%	Medium	Void

DET @ TOR

23–1336 dec63.9%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Troy Melton	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	4.19	3	+2.0%	Low	Loss
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	0	+2.0%	Low	Loss
George Springer	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	1	-2.3%	Low	Win
Kevin McGonigle	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	2	+2.2%	Low	Win
Brett Bateman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.36	1	+10.1%	High	Win
Alejandro Kirk	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	2	+7.2%	High	Win
Nathan Lukes	Hits	Over 0.5	1.11	1	+8.2%	High	Win
Ernie Clement	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	1	-0.2%	Low	Win
Dillon Dingler	Hits	Under 0.5	0.76	1	-2.5%	Low	Loss
Hao-Yu Lee	Hits	Under 0.5	0.67	0	-0.3%	Low	Win
Riley Greene	Hits	Over 0.5	1.37	2	+17.9%	High	Win
Max Clark	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	1	+11.7%	High	Win
Colt Keith	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	—	-2.7%	Low	Void
Kazuma Okamoto	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	1	+14.5%	High	Win
Zach McKinstry	Hits	Under 0.5	0.52	0	+0.8%	Low	Win
Josh Smith	Hits	Over 0.5	0.62	0	-2.0%	Low	Loss
John Peck	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	—	+8.8%	High	Void
Brett Callahan	Hits	Under 0.5	0.48	1	-3.2%	Low	Loss
George Springer	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.94	3	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.07	0	+6.3%	High	Loss
Kevin McGonigle	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.27	3	+11.9%	High	Win
Brett Bateman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.41	2	+18.2%	High	Win
Alejandro Kirk	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.22	4	+13.6%	High	Win
Nathan Lukes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.97	1	+10.7%	High	Loss
Riley Greene	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	3.13	3	+28.4%	Low	Win
Dillon Dingler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.68	3	+4.9%	Medium	Win
Ernie Clement	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.62	1	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
Hao-Yu Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.81	0	+10.6%	High	Loss
Kazuma Okamoto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.15	5	+16.8%	High	Win
Max Clark	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.31	4	+21.8%	Low	Win
Colt Keith	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.32	—	+2.2%	Low	Void
Zach McKinstry	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.05	1	+1.2%	Low	Win
Josh Smith	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.43	0	+9.2%	High	Loss
John Peck	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.70	—	+13.8%	High	Void
Brett Callahan	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.82	2	+0.4%	Low	Win
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.54	0	+5.4%	High	Loss
George Springer	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.54	1	+6.1%	High	Loss
Kevin McGonigle	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.97	2	+17.6%	High	Win
Brett Bateman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.92	1	+20.3%	Low	Loss
Alejandro Kirk	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.85	2	+18.7%	High	Win

BAL @ NYM

17–2441 dec41.5%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Jonah Tong	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	3.78	6	+21.4%	Low	Loss
Brandon Young	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	4.40	6	+11.9%	High	Win
Bo Bichette	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	0	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Francisco Lindor	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	0	+4.2%	Medium	Loss
Pete Alonso	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	0	+4.4%	Medium	Loss
Carson Benge	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	2	+1.9%	Low	Win
Juan Soto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	1	+6.5%	High	Win
A.J. Ewing	Hits	Over 0.5	1.11	1	+10.7%	High	Win
Gunnar Henderson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	1	+0.2%	Low	Win
Dylan Beavers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	0	+2.6%	Medium	Loss
Marcus Semien	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	1	+1.1%	Low	Win
Jackson Holliday	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	2	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Samuel Basallo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.56	0	+0.9%	Low	Win
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	1	+4.6%	Medium	Win
Jared Young	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	0	+7.1%	High	Loss
Coby Mayo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	1	+6.1%	High	Win
Francisco Alvarez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.73	1	+3.8%	Medium	Win
Heston Kjerstad	Hits	Under 0.5	0.29	2	+6.0%	High	Loss
Brett Baty	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	0	+11.2%	High	Loss
Colton Cowser	Hits	Over 0.5	0.42	2	-3.3%	Low	Win
Francisco Lindor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.58	0	+14.1%	High	Loss
Bo Bichette	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.26	0	+10.4%	High	Loss
Juan Soto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.33	1	+13.5%	High	Loss
Pete Alonso	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.23	0	+12.1%	High	Loss
Carson Benge	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.89	2	+9.5%	High	Win
Gunnar Henderson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.47	3	+1.3%	Low	Win
A.J. Ewing	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.36	3	+19.5%	High	Win
Dylan Beavers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.73	0	+8.5%	High	Loss
Samuel Basallo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.24	0	-1.0%	Low	Loss
Jared Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.05	0	+17.6%	High	Loss
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	1	+10.6%	High	Loss
Coby Mayo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.87	1	+13.1%	High	Loss
Marcus Semien	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	1	+9.8%	High	Loss
Jackson Holliday	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.39	3	+3.8%	Medium	Win
Francisco Alvarez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.52	1	+10.4%	High	Win
Brett Baty	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.84	0	+19.3%	High	Loss
Heston Kjerstad	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.57	3	-0.6%	Low	Loss
Colton Cowser	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.94	2	+4.8%	Medium	Win
Pete Alonso	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.88	0	+13.0%	High	Loss
Bo Bichette	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.68	0	+10.1%	High	Loss
Francisco Lindor	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.18	0	+20.1%	Low	Loss

ATL @ CHC

20–1939 dec51.3%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
David Peterson	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.38	7	+0.4%	Low	Win
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Hits	Under 1.5	0.98	4	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Ozzie Albies	Hits	Under 0.5	0.67	0	+8.3%	High	Win
Nico Hoerner	Hits	Over 0.5	1.18	2	+3.6%	Medium	Win
Drake Baldwin	Hits	Over 0.5	1.15	2	+3.9%	Medium	Win
Michael Harris II	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	2	-1.4%	Low	Win
Alex Bregman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	0	+2.8%	Medium	Loss
Matt Olson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.83	0	-3.1%	Low	Win
Seiya Suzuki	Hits	Under 0.5	0.81	1	-1.3%	Low	Loss
Austin Riley	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	1	-2.6%	Low	Loss
Michael Busch	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	0	+4.2%	Medium	Loss
Carson Kelly	Hits	Over 0.5	0.73	1	-0.3%	Low	Win
Ian Happ	Hits	Under 0.5	0.64	1	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Michael Conforto	Hits	Under 0.5	0.57	1	-0.0%	Low	Loss
Sean Murphy	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	0	+3.1%	Medium	Loss
Ha-Seong Kim	Hits	Over 0.5	0.53	0	-2.9%	Low	Loss
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.48	9	+4.6%	Medium	Win
Drake Baldwin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.25	2	+8.3%	High	Win
Ozzie Albies	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.47	0	-0.6%	Low	Win
Alex Bregman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.05	0	+4.1%	Medium	Loss
Nico Hoerner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	5	+5.6%	High	Win
Michael Harris II	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.89	3	+2.5%	Medium	Win
Seiya Suzuki	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.81	1	+1.0%	Low	Loss
Matt Olson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.79	0	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Michael Busch	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.20	1	+14.1%	High	Loss
Austin Riley	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.68	1	+3.4%	Medium	Loss
Ian Happ	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.51	2	+0.9%	Low	Win
Carson Kelly	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.64	4	+4.7%	Medium	Win
Michael Conforto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.23	2	-2.9%	Low	Win
Sean Murphy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	2	+8.7%	High	Win
Ha-Seong Kim	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.09	0	+6.7%	High	Loss
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.03	8	+5.5%	High	Win
Ozzie Albies	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.22	0	-2.9%	Low	Loss
Drake Baldwin	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.79	2	+10.9%	High	Win
Matt Olson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.63	0	+7.4%	High	Loss
Seiya Suzuki	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.40	1	+2.7%	Medium	Loss
Alex Bregman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.79	0	+10.7%	High	Loss
Michael Harris II	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.53	2	+6.5%	High	Win
Nico Hoerner	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.41	2	+5.7%	High	Win

NYY @ MIN

19–2140 dec47.5%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Will Warren	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.94	6	+4.5%	Medium	Win
Dean Kremer	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	4.23	5	+9.7%	High	Loss
Luke Keaschall	Hits	Under 0.5	0.87	0	+0.2%	Low	Win
Ben Rice	Hits	Over 0.5	1.19	2	+6.3%	High	Win
Cody Bellinger	Hits	Over 0.5	1.15	1	+7.4%	High	Win
Brooks Lee	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	1	+1.2%	Low	Win
Aaron Judge	Hits	Under 0.5	0.79	1	-1.2%	Low	Loss
Josh Bell	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	2	+1.7%	Low	Win
Ryan Jeffers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	0	+2.4%	Low	Loss
Kody Clemens	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	0	+6.3%	High	Loss
George Lombard Jr.	Hits	Under 0.5	0.57	1	+2.7%	Medium	Loss
Spencer Jones	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	0	+12.0%	High	Loss
Royce Lewis	Hits	Over 0.5	0.72	—	-0.3%	Low	Void
Anthony Volpe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.68	0	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Ryan McMahon	Hits	Over 0.5	0.60	1	-2.9%	Low	Win
Walker Jenkins	Hits	Under 0.5	0.25	0	+11.6%	High	Win
Austin Wells	Hits	Under 0.5	0.40	1	+2.3%	Low	Loss
Ryan Kreidler	Hits	Under 0.5	0.39	1	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Ben Rice	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.54	5	+7.6%	High	Win
Aaron Judge	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.88	5	-0.4%	Low	Win
Luke Keaschall	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.64	0	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Cody Bellinger	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.66	2	+15.7%	High	Win
Brooks Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.78	1	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Kody Clemens	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.16	1	+11.9%	High	Loss
Josh Bell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.87	5	+6.7%	High	Win
Ryan Jeffers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.37	0	+15.4%	High	Loss
Spencer Jones	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.98	0	+11.6%	High	Loss
George Lombard Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.32	2	-0.5%	Low	Win
Royce Lewis	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.36	—	+2.4%	Low	Void
Anthony Volpe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.67	1	+9.5%	High	Loss
Ryan McMahon	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.15	1	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Walker Jenkins	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.00	0	-0.9%	Low	Loss
Austin Wells	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.08	3	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Ryan Kreidler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.86	1	-0.4%	Low	Win
Aaron Judge	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.31	4	-3.0%	Low	Win
Ben Rice	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.14	2	+12.6%	High	Win
Cody Bellinger	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.06	1	+16.0%	High	Loss
Luke Keaschall	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.11	0	-0.0%	Low	Win
Kody Clemens	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.78	0	+11.6%	High	Loss
Ryan Jeffers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.09	0	+21.1%	Low	Loss
Josh Bell	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.57	5	+10.7%	High	Win
Brooks Lee	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.57	1	+11.0%	High	Loss

SF @ STL

15–1833 dec45.5%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Quinn Mathews	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.85	8	-2.2%	Low	Win
Landen Roupp	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.88	4	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Alec Burleson	Hits	Over 1.5	1.04	2	-3.0%	Low	Win
Jordan Walker	Hits	Under 0.5	0.84	1	-1.3%	Low	Loss
Jonah Cox	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	1	+0.1%	Low	Win
Jung Hoo Lee	Hits	Under 0.5	0.82	1	-2.3%	Low	Loss
Bryan Torres	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	—	+0.8%	Low	Void
Bryce Eldridge	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	1	+11.6%	High	Win
Osleivis Basabe	Hits	Under 0.5	0.57	—	+2.5%	Low	Void
Shay Whitcomb	Hits	Over 0.5	0.73	1	-1.9%	Low	Win
Thomas Saggese	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	2	+7.8%	High	Win
Masyn Winn	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	0	+3.3%	Medium	Loss
Nathan Church	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	0	+13.5%	High	Loss
Christian Koss	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	0	+9.3%	High	Loss
Turner Hill	Hits	Under 0.5	0.55	1	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Andrew Knizner	Hits	Under 0.5	0.42	0	+3.8%	Medium	Win
Nolan Gorman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.60	0	-1.8%	Low	Loss
Brett Harris	Hits	Under 0.5	0.00	0	+21.2%	Low	Win
Alec Burleson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.33	3	+5.7%	High	Win
Jordan Walker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.70	1	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Jonah Cox	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.70	2	+3.2%	Medium	Win
Bryan Torres	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.41	—	-1.5%	Low	Void
Jung Hoo Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.55	1	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Bryce Eldridge	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.23	1	+18.2%	High	Loss
Shay Whitcomb	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.23	1	-3.4%	Low	Win
Osleivis Basabe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.30	—	-1.3%	Low	Void
Thomas Saggese	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.75	3	+9.5%	High	Win
Masyn Winn	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	0	+11.7%	High	Loss
Nathan Church	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.83	0	+12.4%	High	Loss
Nolan Gorman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.42	0	+4.2%	Medium	Loss
Turner Hill	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.36	1	+3.9%	Medium	Loss
Christian Koss	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.91	0	+15.9%	High	Loss
Brett Harris	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.17	0	+17.0%	High	Win
Andrew Knizner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.89	0	-2.3%	Low	Loss
Alec Burleson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.69	2	+5.3%	High	Win
Jordan Walker	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.35	1	+2.4%	Low	Loss
Jonah Cox	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.10	1	-1.1%	Low	Loss

SD @ COL

26–2349 dec53.1%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Tomoyuki Sugano	Strikeouts	Over 2.5	3.84	2	+15.1%	High	Loss
Casey Mize	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	4.29	0	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Hits	Under 1.5	1.32	1	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Manny Machado	Hits	Under 1.5	0.81	1	+15.4%	High	Win
Jackson Merrill	Hits	Under 1.5	1.08	3	+3.2%	Medium	Loss
Xander Bogaerts	Hits	Under 1.5	0.93	1	+8.0%	High	Win
Luis Campusano	Hits	Under 1.5	0.86	0	+7.7%	High	Win
Jake Cronenworth	Hits	Under 1.5	0.56	2	+16.4%	High	Loss
Jake McCarthy	Hits	Over 1.5	1.26	2	+4.6%	Medium	Win
Hunter Goodman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.65	2	+8.6%	High	Loss
Samad Taylor	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	—	-3.1%	Low	Void
Dustin Harris	Hits	Under 0.5	0.78	1	+1.5%	Low	Loss
Freddy Fermin	Hits	Under 0.5	0.59	1	+8.6%	High	Loss
TJ Rumfield	Hits	Over 0.5	1.27	2	+9.9%	High	Win
Cole Carrigg	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	2	+2.2%	Low	Win
Mickey Moniak	Hits	Under 0.5	0.73	0	+0.9%	Low	Win
Kyle Karros	Hits	Under 0.5	0.71	2	-1.4%	Low	Loss
Adael Amador	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	1	+12.9%	High	Win
Ezequiel Tovar	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	1	-1.0%	Low	Win
Zac Veen	Hits	Under 0.5	0.48	—	-1.2%	Low	Void
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	2.57	4	+2.1%	Low	Loss
Manny Machado	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	2.16	3	+3.1%	Medium	Loss
Jackson Merrill	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.48	5	-2.7%	Low	Win
Xander Bogaerts	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.72	3	+8.8%	High	Loss
Luis Campusano	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.64	0	+8.3%	High	Win
Jake Cronenworth	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.11	4	+19.9%	High	Loss
Jake McCarthy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.48	5	+7.9%	High	Win
Dustin Harris	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.62	3	-1.6%	Low	Loss
Hunter Goodman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.93	3	-1.4%	Low	Win
Samad Taylor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.58	—	-1.5%	Low	Void
Freddy Fermin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.21	2	+7.1%	High	Loss
Cole Carrigg	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.89	4	+2.4%	Low	Win
TJ Rumfield	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.37	4	+13.5%	High	Win
Mickey Moniak	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.55	0	-2.9%	Low	Loss
Kyle Karros	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.40	2	-1.5%	Low	Win
Adael Amador	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.63	2	+25.1%	Low	Win
Ezequiel Tovar	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.34	3	+0.4%	Low	Win
Zac Veen	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.18	—	+9.3%	High	Void
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Total Bases	Under 2.5	2.05	4	+2.0%	Low	Loss
Manny Machado	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.67	4	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Jackson Merrill	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.16	3	+2.8%	Medium	Win
Xander Bogaerts	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.20	1	+4.4%	Medium	Win
Luis Campusano	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.46	0	-3.2%	Low	Loss
Hunter Goodman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.53	5	-0.3%	Low	Win
Jake McCarthy	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.02	5	+11.1%	High	Win
Jake Cronenworth	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.85	2	+12.5%	High	Loss
Mickey Moniak	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.36	0	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Dustin Harris	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.98	2	+6.8%	High	Loss
Cole Carrigg	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.69	5	+9.1%	High	Win
Samad Taylor	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.19	—	-1.9%	Low	Void
TJ Rumfield	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.10	2	+20.8%	Low	Win
Freddy Fermin	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.90	1	+2.1%	Low	Win
Casey Mize	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.29	0	+1.7%	Low	Loss
Tomoyuki Sugano	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	3.84	2	+14.9%	High	Loss

SEA @ LAA

25–1237 dec67.6%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Kade Anderson	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	3.82	5	+34.6%	Low	Win
Reid Detmers	Strikeouts	Under 6.5	6.45	8	-0.9%	Low	Loss
Zach Neto	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	2	+0.5%	Low	Win
Josh Naylor	Hits	Over 0.5	1.18	0	+6.4%	High	Loss
Vaughn Grissom	Hits	Under 0.5	0.78	1	+0.5%	Low	Loss
Mike Trout	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	1	+3.5%	Medium	Win
Randy Arozarena	Hits	Over 0.5	1.11	2	+6.0%	High	Win
Dominic Canzone	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	1	+6.6%	High	Win
Cole Young	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	0	+6.3%	High	Loss
J.P. Crawford	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	2	+1.0%	Low	Win
Denzer Guzman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.74	1	-2.1%	Low	Win
Christian Moore	Hits	Under 0.5	0.63	0	-0.1%	Low	Win
Jose Siri	Hits	Under 0.5	0.47	3	+7.0%	High	Loss
Cal Raleigh	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	1	+2.4%	Low	Win
Oswald Peraza	Hits	Under 0.5	0.59	—	+0.3%	Low	Void
Taylor Ward	Hits	Under 0.5	0.55	0	-0.1%	Low	Win
Tyler Heineman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.44	—	-0.9%	Low	Void
Weston Wilson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.73	1	+10.7%	High	Win
Kyren Paris	Hits	Under 0.5	0.00	0	+13.2%	High	Win
Zach Neto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.21	5	+6.7%	High	Win
Mike Trout	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.85	2	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Randy Arozarena	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.68	3	+16.8%	High	Win
Josh Naylor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.96	0	+7.6%	High	Loss
Cal Raleigh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.03	5	+10.4%	High	Win
Vaughn Grissom	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.67	2	+2.3%	Low	Win
Dominic Canzone	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.86	2	+7.7%	High	Win
Cole Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.17	0	+15.9%	High	Loss
J.P. Crawford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.63	4	+5.4%	High	Win
Christian Moore	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.06	0	+3.1%	Medium	Win
Jose Siri	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.00	7	+0.8%	Low	Loss
Denzer Guzman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.53	3	+5.3%	High	Win
Oswald Peraza	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.06	—	-1.8%	Low	Void
Taylor Ward	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.13	0	-3.2%	Low	Loss
Tyler Heineman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.73	—	-2.1%	Low	Void
Weston Wilson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.48	1	+15.9%	High	Win
Kyren Paris	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.00	0	+13.6%	High	Win
Zach Neto	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.93	4	+11.6%	High	Win
Mike Trout	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.68	1	+10.4%	High	Loss
Randy Arozarena	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.04	3	+16.9%	High	Win
Josh Naylor	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.46	0	+8.2%	High	Loss
Vaughn Grissom	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.39	1	+7.9%	High	Loss

MIA @ AZ

21–1839 dec53.8%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Sandy Alcantara	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	3.18	6	+3.3%	Medium	Loss
Otto Lopez	Hits	Over 1.5	1.32	0	+8.8%	High	Loss
Gabriel Moreno	Hits	Over 0.5	1.15	1	+4.5%	Medium	Win
Ketel Marte	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	1	+0.2%	Low	Win
Corbin Carroll	Hits	Under 0.5	0.74	2	+2.5%	Medium	Loss
Lars Nootbaar	Hits	Under 0.5	0.72	3	+2.3%	Low	Loss
Javier Sanoja	Hits	Over 0.5	1.13	2	+5.6%	High	Win
Geraldo Perdomo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	0	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Xavier Edwards	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	2	+0.9%	Low	Win
Kyle Stowers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	1	-3.0%	Low	Win
Nolan Arenado	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	1	+3.4%	Medium	Win
Tim Tawa	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	0	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Jakob Marsee	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	3	+10.1%	High	Win
Griffin Conine	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	1	+8.3%	High	Win
Ryan Waldschmidt	Hits	Over 0.5	0.66	—	-1.0%	Low	Void
Jordan Lawlar	Hits	Over 0.5	0.68	2	+3.1%	Medium	Win
Graham Pauley	Hits	Over 0.5	0.74	—	+8.7%	High	Void
Joe Mack	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	1	+8.3%	High	Win
Ketel Marte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.15	1	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
Gabriel Moreno	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.27	1	+10.9%	High	Loss
Corbin Carroll	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.62	6	-3.4%	Low	Loss
Lars Nootbaar	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.18	7	+6.9%	High	Loss
Otto Lopez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.50	0	+15.7%	High	Loss
Geraldo Perdomo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.55	0	-3.1%	Low	Loss
Kyle Stowers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.69	3	+0.7%	Low	Win
Xavier Edwards	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.58	3	+0.6%	Low	Win
Javier Sanoja	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.31	7	+15.5%	High	Win
Nolan Arenado	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.08	1	+12.7%	High	Loss
Griffin Conine	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	2	+13.0%	High	Win
Jakob Marsee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.92	6	+13.9%	High	Win
Tim Tawa	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.72	1	+8.9%	High	Loss
Ryan Waldschmidt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.15	—	+1.7%	Low	Void
Jordan Lawlar	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.29	6	+4.9%	Medium	Win
Joe Mack	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.69	3	+15.3%	High	Win
Graham Pauley	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	2.11	—	+22.2%	Low	Void
Corbin Carroll	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.42	5	+0.4%	Low	Win
Ketel Marte	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.68	2	+7.5%	High	Win
Otto Lopez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.74	0	+10.1%	High	Loss
Kyle Stowers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.65	2	+8.1%	High	Win
Gabriel Moreno	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.85	1	+15.4%	High	Loss
Lars Nootbaar	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.98	6	+0.9%	Low	Loss
Geraldo Perdomo	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.15	0	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Javier Sanoja	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.83	7	+19.1%	High	Win

all settled dates