10 MLB games · 380 model-vs-market reads
Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.
Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.
Great American Ball Park38 leansFinal · graded
LAD@CIN

Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds
first pitch6:40 PM ET
LAD@CIN
Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 7.1 K across 23 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.2 K across 18 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 22 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 121 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 149 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.30 across 149 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 121 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 140 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.37 across 130 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 22 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 130 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.45 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.07 across 142 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 140 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 142 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Progressive Field35 leansFinal · graded
CWS@CLE

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians
first pitch6:40 PM ET
CWS@CLE
Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 9.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 7.9 K across 29 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 143 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 141 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 128 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 143 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 95 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 139 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 139 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 139 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.11 across 147 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 143 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 124 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 128 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 139 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 132 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 124 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 28 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 147 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 141 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 147 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 143 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 112 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 28 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 32 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 147 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 132 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 80 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Rogers Centre38 leansFinal · graded
DET@TOR

Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays
first pitch7:07 PM ET
DET@TOR
Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.8 K across 18 starts
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.32 across 31 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 128 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 143 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 143 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 10 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 144 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 39 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.32 across 31 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 10 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 135 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 136 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 146 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 4.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.16 across 128 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 39 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 20 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 136 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 136 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 144 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 136 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 135 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.21 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 20 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 146 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Citi Field38 leansFinal · graded
BAL@NYM

Baltimore Orioles at New York Mets
first pitch7:10 PM ET
BAL@NYM
Baltimore Orioles at New York Mets
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.5 K across 25 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.5 K across 4 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.16 across 98 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 150 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 48 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 147 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 128 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 142 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 92 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 98 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.29
- SeasonSeason average 0.29 across 7 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 123 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 48 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 150 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 92 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 123 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 142 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 147 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 128 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 147 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.57
- SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 7 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 147 games
Wrigley Field38 leansFinal · graded
ATL@CHC

Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs
first pitch7:40 PM ET
ATL@CHC
Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.0 K across 29 starts
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 148 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 24 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.30 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 150 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 147 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.46 across 150 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 148 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.20 across 147 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 147 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 148 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 24 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 147 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 144 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 150 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 143 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 150 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.37 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.25 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 148 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 150 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 144 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 132 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.32 across 132 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 143 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 150 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 102 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Target Field38 leansFinal · graded
NYY@MIN

New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins
first pitch7:40 PM ET
NYY@MIN
New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.9 K across 14 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.9 K across 29 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 122 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.31 across 13 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 142 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 122 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 142 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 142 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 141 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 31 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 140 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.50 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 142 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 141 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 13 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 31 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.16 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 140 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
Busch Stadium38 leansFinal · graded
SF@STL

San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals
first pitch7:45 PM ET
SF@STL
San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.0 K across 28 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.7 K across 6 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.17
- SeasonSeason average 0.17 across 6 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 120 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 120 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 124 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 40 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 40 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.36 across 149 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 24 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.44 across 18 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 124 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 40 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 137 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.00 across 6 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 33 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 149 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 36 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 137 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 18 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.45 across 33 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 146 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.31 across 36 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.40 across 146 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 24 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 40 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Coors Field40 leansFinal · graded
SD@COL

San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies
first pitch8:40 PM ET
SD@COL
San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.2 K across 26 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.2 K across 26 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.7 K across 23 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.7 K across 23 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 95 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 95 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 145 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 144 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 15 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 144 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 26 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 142 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 128 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 142 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 145 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 145 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 147 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.67 across 15 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 36 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 145 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 77 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 77 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.24 across 147 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 30 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 30 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 36 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.16 across 128 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.46 across 26 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 132 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.38 across 132 games
Angel Stadium38 leansFinal · graded
SEA@LAA

Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels
first pitch9:38 PM ET
SEA@LAA
Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.0 K across 4 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.6 K across 29 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.25 across 142 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 148 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.00 across 6 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.00 across 6 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.56 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 134 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 140 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.11 across 144 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 134 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 140 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 148 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 142 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 26 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 137 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.48 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 144 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 26 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 137 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Chase Field39 leansFinal · graded
MIA@AZ

Miami Marlins at Arizona Diamondbacks
first pitch9:40 PM ET
MIA@AZ
Miami Marlins at Arizona Diamondbacks
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.6 K across 31 starts
- Sampletoo small to project (1 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (1 games of log data)
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.31 across 146 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 124 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 94 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 141 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 140 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.24 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 141 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.23 across 146 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 48 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 94 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 124 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.11 across 129 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 33 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 140 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 33 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 144 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 48 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 144 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 145 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 145 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 77 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 77 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 136 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 136 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 129 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Open the MLB Power Board →
HR markets are high-variance and rated on a separate power-profile scale (barrel + park + matchup), not the standard High / Medium / Low tiers used here.
