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Educational analyticsNot betting advice · research use only.
GameTime Picks
Results · one day

Thursday, September 17

Game by game

Every forecast graded for this day against the official result, by sport and game. Each sport keeps its own record — they are never added into one percentage. Pushes and voids are never losses.

MLB · 8–10 game calls

Full MLB record →

Model Performance:Winner →Total runs →Run line →

Not in this record, but still graded below: 9 calls paused on the site or not shown before the game.

NFL · 1–0 game winners

Full NFL record →

Model Performance:Winner →

  • DET @ BUF

    Final · DET 31 – 41 BUF

    Official Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · official final score

    CallPickOutcome
    WinnerBUF (home)Win
    Player ranges · 26 of 31 finals landed inside the printed range

    A coverage record, not wins and losses: a range is “inside” when the player's final landed within it as printed.

    PlayerStatRangeFinalInside?
    Jahmyr Gibbs · DETReceptions1–76Inside
    Jahmyr Gibbs · DETReceiving yards9–7261Inside
    Jahmyr Gibbs · DETRushing yards26–18552Inside
    James Cook · BUFReceptions0–51Inside
    James Cook · BUFReceiving yards0–534Inside
    James Cook · BUFRushing yards18–150135Inside
    Amon-Ra St. Brown · DETReceptions3–149Inside
    Amon-Ra St. Brown · DETReceiving yards35–140142Outside
    DJ Moore · BUFReceptions2–110Outside
    DJ Moore · BUFReceiving yards27–1330Outside
    Josh Allen · BUFRushing yards3–7669Inside
    Josh Allen · BUFPassing yards131–396248Inside
    Jameson Williams · DETReceptions1–82Inside
    Jameson Williams · DETReceiving yards17–10533Inside
    Khalil Shakir · BUFReceptions1–103Inside
    Khalil Shakir · BUFReceiving yards18–10138Inside
    Sam LaPorta · DETReceptions1–96Inside
    Sam LaPorta · DETReceiving yards15–9452Inside
    Dalton Kincaid · BUFReceptions1–87Inside
    Dalton Kincaid · BUFReceiving yards14–10595Inside
    Justin Jackson · DETRushing yards0–35—Not graded
    Josh Palmer · BUFReceptions0–41Inside
    Josh Palmer · BUFReceiving yards0–4943Inside
    Dawson Knox · BUFReceptions0–42Inside
    Dawson Knox · BUFReceiving yards0–475Inside
    Keon Coleman · BUFReceptions0–46Outside
    Keon Coleman · BUFReceiving yards0–4263Outside
    Ray Davis · BUFRushing yards0–270Inside
    Brock Wright · DETReceptions0–30Inside
    Brock Wright · DETReceiving yards0–340Inside
    Jared Goff · DETRushing yards0–177Inside
    Jared Goff · DETPassing yards128–368327Inside

Daily Top 5 · frozen before kickoff

Each board is published once, before the day's first kickoff, from public model families only — never chosen after the results, never revised. A board shows fewer than five when fewer players qualify.

No qualifying board was frozen for Thursday, September 17.

  • MLB: no qualifying board — Player props are market context only — no MLB prop model has passed its bar, so none can make a board.
  • Premier League: no qualifying board — No player-prop model — Premier League forecasts are match results only.
  • UFC: no qualifying board — No fight-prop model — UFC forecasts are fight winners only.

Product cards settled this day

Every Bank Builder and Moonshot lane, each leg with its official score and grade — the receipts the product records are built from. Source: MLB Stats API official box score (feed/live), joined by gamePk. Paper-only.

  • Bank Builder · lane A

    Lost
    LegOfficialGrade
    Tampa Bay Rays to win · Athletics @ Tampa Bay Rays1-10Won
    Detroit Tigers +1.5 · Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox1-3Lost
  • Bank Builder · lane B

    Lost
    LegOfficialGrade
    New York Mets to win · Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets3-0Lost
    Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 · Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates4-7Won
  • Moonshot · lane A

    Lost
    LegOfficialGrade
    Philadelphia Phillies to win · Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets3-0Won
    Over 8 · Boston Red Sox @ Texas Rangers7Lost
  • Moonshot · lane B

    Lost
    LegOfficialGrade
    San Diego Padres to win · San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies9-2Won
    Kansas City Royals +1.5 · Kansas City Royals @ Houston Astros2-6Lost

Suggested Parlays published this day

The MLB cards as published (one per risk level), each graded from the lab’s settled receipt — the same cards the published record counts. A card not yet settled is pending, never a loss. Paper-only.

  • Medium Risk · +131

    Lost
    LegPriceGrade
    A.J. Ewing · NYM · Hits Over 0.5-192Lost
    Riley Greene · DET · Hits Over 0.5-193Won
  • High Risk · +406

    Lost
    LegPriceGrade
    Victor Mesa Jr. · TB · Hits Over 0.5-197Void
    Dustin Harris · SD · Hits Under 1.5-222Lost
    Joey Ortiz · MIL · Hits Over 0.5-210Won
    Maikel Garcia · KC · Hits Over 0.5-176Lost
  • Longshot · +1263

    Lost
    LegPriceGrade
    Nate Eaton · BOS · Hits Under 0.5-109Won
    Manny Machado · SD · Hits Under 1.5-187Won
    Xander Bogaerts · SD · Hits Under 1.5-204Lost
    Michael Massey · KC · Hits Over 0.5-163Lost
    Walker Jenkins · MIN · Hits Under 0.5-108Lost
  • Low Risk

    No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.

Model research · player-prop leans, not public picks

Projection vs actual for every settled prop lean, graded for transparency and model development.

MLB
44.9%
149–183 on 332
Biggest hits
  • MLBTommy PhamUnder 0.5 Hits+28.8pp edgeactual 0
  • MLBMax ClarkOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+18.0pp edgeactual 2
  • MLBJahmai JonesUnder 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+18.0pp edgeactual 0
  • MLBTommy PhamUnder 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+15.3pp edgeactual 0
  • MLBJeffrey SpringsOver 3.5 Strikeouts+15.2pp edgeactual 4
Biggest misses
  • MLBErick FeddeUnder 3.5 Strikeouts+13.7pp edgeactual 6
  • MLBXander BogaertsUnder 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+7.4pp edgeactual 6
  • MLBXander BogaertsUnder 1.5 Total Bases+6.9pp edgeactual 9
  • MLBBrady SingerOver 3.5 Strikeouts+5.8pp edgeactual 0
  • MLBFramber ValdezUnder 4.5 Strikeouts+2.7pp edgeactual 8
MLB settled games · projection vs actual
MIL @ PIT
17–1633 dec12 void51.5%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Kyle HarrisonStrikeoutsUnder 4.53.802+10.3%HighWin
Jackson ChourioHitsOver 1.51.350+5.3%HighLoss
Konnor GriffinHitsOver 0.50.961-2.4%LowWin
Brice TurangHitsOver 0.51.161+4.5%MediumWin
William ContrerasHitsOver 0.51.03—-0.1%LowVoid
Nick GonzalesHitsOver 0.51.030+0.8%LowLoss
Luis LaraHitsUnder 0.50.830-2.7%LowWin
Bryan ReynoldsHitsOver 0.50.941+0.8%LowWin
Joey OrtizHitsOver 0.51.121+8.0%HighWin
Oneil CruzHitsOver 0.51.131+6.8%HighWin
Jake MangumHitsOver 0.50.89—-0.8%LowVoid
Jake BauersHitsOver 0.50.84—-1.2%LowVoid
Christian YelichHitsOver 0.50.80—-2.9%LowVoid
Cooper PrattHitsOver 0.50.941+3.5%MediumWin
Ryan O'HearnHitsOver 0.50.85—-1.2%LowVoid
Andrew VaughnHitsOver 0.50.940+6.6%HighLoss
Jared TrioloHitsOver 0.50.511-2.6%LowWin
Henry DavisHitsUnder 0.50.341-1.4%LowLoss
Jackson ChourioHits + Runs + RBIsOver 2.53.060+13.3%HighLoss
Brice TurangHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.931+15.8%HighLoss
William ContrerasHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.82—+14.2%HighVoid
Konnor GriffinHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.754-0.4%LowWin
Jake BauersHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.32—+10.1%HighVoid
Luis LaraHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.860+4.1%MediumLoss
Christian YelichHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.01—+6.9%HighVoid
Bryan ReynoldsHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.051+8.1%HighLoss
Joey OrtizHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.073+10.3%HighWin
Oneil CruzHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.274+11.0%HighWin
Nick GonzalesHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.640+1.2%LowLoss
Cooper PrattHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.091+10.7%HighLoss
Andrew VaughnHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.660+5.1%HighLoss
Jake MangumHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.49—+1.5%LowVoid
Ryan O'HearnHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.78—+6.0%HighVoid
Jared TrioloHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.50.952+1.5%LowWin
Henry DavisHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.50.975+5.6%HighWin
Jackson ChourioTotal BasesOver 1.52.210+10.0%HighLoss
Konnor GriffinTotal BasesOver 1.51.402+1.2%LowWin
Brice TurangTotal BasesOver 1.52.001+15.6%HighLoss
William ContrerasTotal BasesOver 1.52.01—+16.8%HighVoid
Jake BauersTotal BasesOver 1.51.72—+11.1%HighVoid
Bryan ReynoldsTotal BasesOver 1.51.642+9.6%HighWin
Oneil CruzTotal BasesOver 1.51.881+15.1%HighLoss
Luis LaraTotal BasesUnder 1.51.030-1.2%LowWin
Nick GonzalesTotal BasesOver 1.51.340+5.1%HighLoss
Wilber DotelStrikeoutsUnder 1.51.402+4.4%MediumLoss
LAD @ CIN
16–2036 dec8 void44.4%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Brady SingerStrikeoutsOver 3.54.320+5.8%HighLoss
Freddie FreemanHitsUnder 1.50.852+2.5%LowLoss
Mookie BettsHitsOver 1.51.09—+0.9%LowVoid
Tommy EdmanHitsUnder 0.50.590+10.9%HighWin
Sal StewartHitsOver 0.51.072+4.9%MediumWin
Josue De PaulaHitsUnder 0.50.331+20.5%LowLoss
Elly De La CruzHitsOver 0.51.310+11.2%HighLoss
Tyler StephensonHitsUnder 0.50.751+0.6%LowLoss
Dane MyersHitsOver 0.50.960+2.1%LowLoss
Will SmithHitsUnder 0.50.74—-1.6%LowVoid
Kyle TuckerHitsOver 0.50.804-2.8%LowWin
Max MuncyHitsOver 0.50.912+2.9%MediumWin
Juan BritoHitsOver 0.51.090+10.6%HighLoss
JJ BledayHitsUnder 0.50.57—-0.0%LowVoid
Matt McLainHitsUnder 0.50.560+0.2%LowWin
Alex FreelandHitsOver 0.50.660-0.2%LowLoss
Freddie FreemanHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 1.51.635+1.1%LowLoss
Mookie BettsHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.49—+6.5%HighVoid
Josue De PaulaHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 1.51.172+7.5%HighLoss
Max MuncyHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.694-3.0%LowWin
Elly De La CruzHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.53.000+19.7%HighLoss
Tommy EdmanHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 1.51.450-0.1%LowWin
Kyle TuckerHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.129+6.3%HighWin
Will SmithHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.69—-1.6%LowVoid
Sal StewartHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.945+4.5%MediumWin
Dane MyersHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.920+7.8%HighLoss
Tyler StephensonHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 1.51.281+1.1%LowWin
JJ BledayHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.18—-2.0%LowVoid
Alex FreelandHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.251-1.4%LowLoss
Juan BritoHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.271+19.4%HighLoss
Matt McLainHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.460+4.7%MediumLoss
Freddie FreemanTotal BasesUnder 1.51.292-3.2%LowLoss
Elly De La CruzTotal BasesOver 1.52.930+28.0%LowLoss
Max MuncyTotal BasesOver 1.51.463+0.9%LowWin
Mookie BettsTotal BasesOver 1.51.94—+10.6%HighVoid
Josue De PaulaTotal BasesUnder 1.51.001-2.4%LowWin
Sal StewartTotal BasesOver 1.51.455+4.1%MediumWin
Tommy EdmanTotal BasesUnder 1.50.860+1.9%LowWin
Tyler StephensonTotal BasesOver 1.51.121-2.9%LowLoss
Will SmithTotal BasesOver 1.51.26—-0.1%LowVoid
Kyle TuckerTotal BasesOver 1.51.669+10.6%HighWin
Dane MyersTotal BasesOver 1.51.360+3.3%MediumLoss
Justin WrobleskiStrikeoutsUnder 5.54.103+8.9%HighWin
Brady SingerStrikeoutsOver 4.54.320+0.1%LowLoss
ATH @ TB
14–1125 dec12 void56.0%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Chandler SimpsonHitsOver 1.51.202+1.0%LowWin
Junior CamineroHitsUnder 1.51.030-1.8%LowWin
Victor Mesa Jr.HitsOver 0.51.10—+8.9%HighVoid
Ryan ViladeHitsUnder 0.50.590+4.5%MediumWin
Shea LangeliersHitsOver 0.51.13—+12.8%HighVoid
Jeff McNeilHitsOver 0.51.000+7.0%HighLoss
Henry BolteHitsOver 0.50.981+7.1%HighWin
Nick FortesHitsOver 0.50.69—-0.3%LowVoid
Zack GelofHitsOver 0.50.701+0.3%LowWin
Lawrence ButlerHitsOver 0.50.712+0.9%LowWin
Jorge MateoHitsUnder 0.50.48—+2.4%LowVoid
Jonah HeimHitsOver 0.50.710+4.8%MediumLoss
Carlos CortesHitsOver 0.50.66—+4.6%MediumVoid
Donovan WaltonHitsOver 0.50.720+7.4%HighLoss
Alika WilliamsHitsOver 0.50.700+6.9%HighLoss
Junior CamineroHits + Runs + RBIsOver 2.52.311+0.7%LowLoss
Chandler SimpsonHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.096+4.9%MediumWin
Victor Mesa Jr.Hits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.38—+14.5%HighVoid
Ryan ViladeHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 1.51.131+3.9%MediumWin
Shea LangeliersHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.20—+16.3%HighVoid
Nick FortesHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.49—+3.3%MediumVoid
Jorge MateoHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.15—-3.4%LowVoid
Jeff McNeilHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.830+13.5%HighLoss
Henry BolteHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.031+18.7%HighLoss
Lawrence ButlerHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.724+11.6%HighWin
Zack GelofHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.831+11.9%HighWin
Jonah HeimHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.240+7.5%HighLoss
Donovan WaltonHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.460+16.2%HighLoss
Carlos CortesHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.11—+8.3%HighVoid
Alika WilliamsHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.230+13.2%HighLoss
Junior CamineroTotal BasesOver 1.52.220+13.4%HighLoss
Chandler SimpsonTotal BasesOver 1.51.402+2.2%LowWin
Shea LangeliersTotal BasesOver 1.51.88—+14.5%HighVoid
Victor Mesa Jr.Total BasesOver 1.52.19—+23.1%LowVoid
Drew RasmussenStrikeoutsUnder 6.55.693+0.6%LowWin
Jeffrey SpringsStrikeoutsOver 3.54.134+15.2%HighWin
Drew RasmussenStrikeoutsUnder 5.55.693+2.0%LowWin
SD @ COL
22–2951 dec2 void43.1%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Fernando Tatis Jr.HitsUnder 1.51.311-0.6%LowWin
Jackson MerrillHitsOver 1.51.501+7.5%HighLoss
Ty FranceHitsUnder 1.51.153+0.1%LowLoss
Manny MachadoHitsUnder 1.50.860+11.2%HighWin
Xander BogaertsHitsUnder 1.50.833+11.4%HighLoss
Jake McCarthyHitsOver 1.51.311+2.9%MediumLoss
Dustin HarrisHitsUnder 1.50.863+8.5%HighLoss
Luis CampusanoHitsUnder 0.50.860+0.7%LowWin
Kyle KarrosHitsUnder 0.50.811+1.3%LowLoss
TJ RumfieldHitsOver 0.51.331+9.2%HighWin
Jake CronenworthHitsUnder 0.50.832-1.7%LowLoss
Cole CarriggHitsOver 0.50.991-0.6%LowWin
Mickey MoniakHitsUnder 0.50.682+5.4%HighLoss
Freddy FerminHitsUnder 0.50.590+6.6%HighWin
Adael AmadorHitsOver 0.50.920+1.6%LowLoss
Connor NorbyHitsOver 0.50.971+3.7%MediumWin
Ezequiel TovarHitsOver 0.50.75—+0.2%LowVoid
Brett SullivanHitsUnder 0.50.632-2.2%LowLoss
Fernando Tatis Jr.Hits + Runs + RBIsOver 2.52.772-1.9%LowLoss
Manny MachadoHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 2.52.211+0.9%LowWin
Ty FranceHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 2.52.204+0.1%LowLoss
Jackson MerrillHits + Runs + RBIsOver 2.53.054+8.9%HighWin
Xander BogaertsHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 2.51.726+7.4%HighLoss
Dustin HarrisHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.877-2.8%LowWin
Jake McCarthyHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.592+7.8%HighWin
Kyle KarrosHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 1.51.572+0.6%LowLoss
Luis CampusanoHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 1.51.600-0.0%LowWin
TJ RumfieldHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.281+8.8%HighLoss
Jake CronenworthHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 1.51.524-0.8%LowLoss
Mickey MoniakHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 1.51.542-1.4%LowLoss
Cole CarriggHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.052+4.8%MediumWin
Freddy FerminHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 1.51.220+4.8%MediumWin
Connor NorbyHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.862+5.3%HighWin
Adael AmadorHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.300+15.3%HighLoss
Brett SullivanHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.312-0.8%LowWin
Ezequiel TovarHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.49—+3.5%MediumVoid
Fernando Tatis Jr.Total BasesOver 2.52.362+0.9%LowLoss
Ty FranceTotal BasesOver 1.51.914+0.1%LowWin
Manny MachadoTotal BasesOver 1.51.720-2.9%LowLoss
Jackson MerrillTotal BasesOver 1.52.563+12.4%HighWin
Xander BogaertsTotal BasesUnder 1.51.109+6.9%HighLoss
Jake McCarthyTotal BasesOver 1.52.073+11.6%HighWin
Dustin HarrisTotal BasesUnder 1.51.253+0.9%LowLoss
Luis CampusanoTotal BasesOver 1.51.480+0.6%LowLoss
Mickey MoniakTotal BasesOver 1.51.412+0.7%LowWin
Kyle KarrosTotal BasesOver 1.51.531+5.5%HighLoss
Cole CarriggTotal BasesOver 1.51.911+13.1%HighLoss
Jake CronenworthTotal BasesUnder 1.51.114-0.4%LowLoss
TJ RumfieldTotal BasesOver 1.52.001+17.4%HighLoss
Connor NorbyTotal BasesOver 1.51.601+9.1%HighLoss
Freddy FerminTotal BasesUnder 1.50.900+1.8%LowWin
Michael KingStrikeoutsOver 4.54.606+5.0%HighWin
Tanner GordonStrikeoutsOver 3.53.863+4.6%MediumLoss
KC @ HOU
12–2133 dec4 void36.4%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Seth LugoStrikeoutsUnder 4.53.725+6.3%HighLoss
Yordan AlvarezHitsUnder 1.50.902+0.5%LowLoss
Jose AltuveHitsOver 0.50.971-2.4%LowWin
Bobby Witt Jr.HitsOver 0.50.940-1.2%LowLoss
Isaac ParedesHitsOver 0.50.921+0.5%LowWin
Daulton VarshoHitsUnder 0.50.761-1.9%LowLoss
Jac CaglianoneHitsUnder 0.50.750-0.5%LowWin
Christian WalkerHitsUnder 0.50.61—+2.6%MediumVoid
Maikel GarciaHitsOver 0.51.060+10.0%HighLoss
Salvador PerezHitsOver 0.50.990+8.0%HighLoss
Cam SmithHitsOver 0.50.760-1.4%LowLoss
Vinnie PasquantinoHitsOver 0.50.79—+0.1%LowVoid
Carter JensenHitsOver 0.50.862+3.9%MediumWin
Michael MasseyHitsOver 0.51.060+11.6%HighLoss
Kyle IsbelHitsUnder 0.50.490-0.0%LowWin
Isaac CollinsHitsUnder 0.50.490-1.4%LowWin
Yordan AlvarezHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 2.52.014-0.4%LowLoss
Jose AltuveHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 1.51.561-2.5%LowWin
Bobby Witt Jr.Hits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.860+1.9%LowLoss
Isaac ParedesHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.131+10.4%HighLoss
Carter JensenHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.094+10.9%HighWin
Daulton VarshoHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 1.51.303-0.8%LowLoss
Jac CaglianoneHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.600+0.4%LowLoss
Christian WalkerHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.36—-2.7%LowVoid
Vinnie PasquantinoHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.69—+5.0%MediumVoid
Cam SmithHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.620+3.5%MediumLoss
Salvador PerezHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.810+8.3%HighLoss
Maikel GarciaHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.960+13.3%HighLoss
Michael MasseyHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.600+5.9%HighLoss
Isaac CollinsHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.070+1.1%LowLoss
Kyle IsbelHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 0.50.880-3.2%LowWin
Yordan AlvarezTotal BasesOver 1.51.815+0.9%LowWin
Bobby Witt Jr.Total BasesOver 1.51.510+1.9%LowLoss
Jac CaglianoneTotal BasesOver 1.51.270+2.0%LowLoss
Jose AltuveTotal BasesOver 1.51.512+6.9%HighWin
Daulton VarshoTotal BasesOver 1.51.204+1.1%LowWin
Isaac ParedesTotal BasesOver 1.51.731+13.8%HighLoss
PHI @ NYM
11–2940 dec4 void27.5%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Aaron NolaStrikeoutsUnder 5.54.684+8.4%HighWin
Nolan McLeanStrikeoutsOver 5.55.795+5.0%HighLoss
Bo BichetteHitsUnder 1.51.071-2.7%LowWin
Luis ArraezHitsOver 0.51.120+0.8%LowLoss
Trea TurnerHitsOver 0.50.990+1.6%LowLoss
Juan SotoHitsOver 0.51.040+6.6%HighLoss
Bryce HarperHitsOver 0.50.883-1.6%LowWin
Francisco LindorHitsOver 0.50.960+3.0%MediumLoss
A.J. EwingHitsOver 0.51.270+13.6%HighLoss
Carson BengeHitsOver 0.50.921+2.5%MediumWin
Alec BohmHitsOver 0.50.971+5.8%HighWin
Jared YoungHitsOver 0.50.910+5.6%HighLoss
Brandon MarshHitsUnder 0.50.611+1.2%LowLoss
Bryson StottHitsUnder 0.50.682-2.6%LowLoss
Kyle SchwarberHitsOver 0.50.850+3.0%MediumLoss
Marcus SemienHitsOver 0.50.89—+6.1%HighVoid
Justin CrawfordHitsOver 0.50.741-0.3%LowWin
J.T. RealmutoHitsOver 0.50.67—-1.6%LowVoid
Francisco AlvarezHitsOver 0.50.730+4.5%MediumLoss
Brett BatyHitsOver 0.50.800+10.5%HighLoss
Bo BichetteHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.011+1.0%LowLoss
Juan SotoHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.270+9.1%HighLoss
Francisco LindorHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.310+10.1%HighLoss
Luis ArraezHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.921+5.5%HighLoss
Trea TurnerHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.111+10.8%HighLoss
Kyle SchwarberHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.330+12.7%HighLoss
Bryce HarperHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.854+6.5%HighWin
Carson BengeHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.941+9.3%HighLoss
A.J. EwingHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.430+19.6%HighLoss
Jared YoungHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.940+12.2%HighLoss
Alec BohmHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.801+8.7%HighLoss
Bryson StottHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.473+3.0%MediumWin
Marcus SemienHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.76—+10.1%HighVoid
Brandon MarshHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.152-2.2%LowWin
Justin CrawfordHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.352+1.1%LowWin
Francisco AlvarezHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.460+5.1%HighLoss
J.T. RealmutoHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.51—+7.5%HighVoid
Brett BatyHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.830+18.7%HighLoss
Bo BichetteTotal BasesOver 1.51.481+1.5%LowLoss
Juan SotoTotal BasesOver 1.51.880+11.7%HighLoss
Francisco LindorTotal BasesOver 1.52.020+14.8%HighLoss
Luis ArraezTotal BasesOver 1.51.550+8.3%HighLoss
Bryce HarperTotal BasesOver 1.51.583+10.1%HighWin
Trea TurnerTotal BasesOver 1.51.740+15.2%HighLoss
DET @ CWS
21–1738 dec4 void55.3%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Framber ValdezStrikeoutsUnder 4.53.718+2.7%MediumLoss
Erick FeddeStrikeoutsUnder 3.52.606+13.7%HighLoss
Miguel VargasHitsUnder 0.50.910-2.0%LowWin
Chase MeidrothHitsOver 0.50.951-2.5%LowWin
Randal GrichukHitsOver 0.50.980+1.5%LowLoss
Tommy PhamHitsUnder 0.50.110+28.8%LowWin
Dillon DinglerHitsUnder 0.50.761+0.5%LowLoss
Gleyber TorresHitsOver 0.51.041+5.6%HighWin
Kevin McGonigleHitsOver 0.51.082+8.8%HighWin
Riley GreeneHitsOver 0.51.321+14.7%HighWin
Colt KeithHitsUnder 0.50.660+0.7%LowWin
Max ClarkHitsOver 0.51.041+7.6%HighWin
Brenton DoyleHitsUnder 0.50.612+0.8%LowLoss
Colson MontgomeryHitsUnder 0.50.43—+5.4%HighVoid
John PeckHitsOver 0.50.721+1.7%LowWin
Tristan PetersHitsOver 0.50.70—+0.2%LowVoid
Spencer TorkelsonHitsOver 0.50.781+4.8%MediumWin
Zach McKinstryHitsUnder 0.50.510-0.2%LowWin
Jake RogersHitsUnder 0.50.370+6.1%HighWin
Miguel VargasHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.970+0.4%LowLoss
Chase MeidrothHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.982+3.6%MediumWin
Randal GrichukHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.731+1.2%LowLoss
Riley GreeneHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.831+20.0%HighLoss
Kevin McGonigleHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.272+13.1%HighWin
Tommy PhamHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 1.50.670+15.3%HighWin
Dillon DinglerHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.731+2.6%MediumLoss
Gleyber TorresHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.112+12.0%HighWin
Colt KeithHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.370-2.2%LowLoss
Brenton DoyleHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 1.51.202-1.0%LowLoss
Max ClarkHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.322+18.0%HighWin
Colson MontgomeryHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.16—-2.5%LowVoid
Spencer TorkelsonHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.881+14.1%HighLoss
Jake RogersHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 1.50.910+1.2%LowWin
Tristan PetersHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.51—+4.6%MediumVoid
John PeckHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.441+7.3%HighWin
Zach McKinstryHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.100+4.2%MediumLoss
Miguel VargasTotal BasesOver 1.51.480+0.4%LowLoss
Randal GrichukTotal BasesOver 1.51.800+12.3%HighLoss
Riley GreeneTotal BasesOver 1.52.231+20.1%LowLoss
Dillon DinglerTotal BasesOver 1.51.362+4.8%MediumWin
Chase MeidrothTotal BasesOver 1.51.591+10.8%HighLoss
Tommy PhamTotal BasesUnder 1.50.440+13.3%HighWin
BOS @ TEX
16–2440 dec2 void40.0%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Sonny GrayStrikeoutsUnder 5.55.456-1.8%LowLoss
Roman AnthonyHitsUnder 0.50.810+1.2%LowWin
Wilyer AbreuHitsUnder 0.50.831-0.3%LowLoss
Josh JungHitsOver 0.51.231+8.8%HighWin
Adley RutschmanHitsUnder 0.50.781-0.5%LowLoss
Caleb DurbinHitsUnder 0.50.770-1.4%LowWin
Willson ContrerasHitsUnder 0.50.781-1.9%LowLoss
Corey SeagerHitsOver 0.51.041+6.0%HighWin
Ezequiel DuranHitsOver 0.50.880+0.2%LowLoss
Jahmai JonesHitsUnder 0.50.380+13.1%HighWin
Trevor StoryHitsOver 0.51.082+11.1%HighWin
Brandon NimmoHitsOver 0.50.950+4.3%MediumLoss
Nick SogardHitsOver 0.50.930+6.3%HighLoss
Wyatt LangfordHitsUnder 0.50.710-2.6%LowWin
Jake BurgerHitsOver 0.50.770+1.1%LowLoss
Joc PedersonHitsOver 0.50.62—-1.3%LowVoid
Nate EatonHitsUnder 0.50.210+11.2%HighWin
Evan CarterHitsOver 0.50.520-2.3%LowLoss
Roman AnthonyHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 1.51.431+1.6%LowWin
Wilyer AbreuHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.652-3.3%LowWin
Willson ContrerasHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.671-1.3%LowLoss
Adley RutschmanHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.971+5.4%HighLoss
Caleb DurbinHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.650+2.3%LowLoss
Jahmai JonesHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 1.50.710+18.0%HighWin
Corey SeagerHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.391+17.4%HighLoss
Josh JungHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.083+13.9%HighWin
Trevor StoryHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.796+7.8%HighWin
Ezequiel DuranHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.860+9.4%HighLoss
Brandon NimmoHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.660+5.8%HighLoss
Nick SogardHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.710+7.9%HighLoss
Wyatt LangfordHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.651+6.0%HighLoss
Jake BurgerHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.991+13.9%HighLoss
Joc PedersonHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.37—+3.4%MediumVoid
Nate EatonHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 0.50.641+0.8%LowLoss
Evan CarterHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.151+8.1%HighWin
Wilyer AbreuTotal BasesOver 1.51.481+2.2%LowLoss
Willson ContrerasTotal BasesOver 1.51.461+4.1%MediumLoss
Roman AnthonyTotal BasesOver 1.51.210-1.2%LowLoss
Corey SeagerTotal BasesOver 1.52.071+19.4%HighLoss
Adley RutschmanTotal BasesOver 1.51.662+11.8%HighWin
Josh JungTotal BasesOver 1.51.714+14.8%HighWin
Caleb DurbinTotal BasesOver 1.51.190+2.9%MediumLoss
MIN @ LAA
20–1636 dec4 void55.6%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Taj BradleyStrikeoutsOver 6.56.809+2.5%LowWin
Luke KeaschallHitsOver 0.51.031+1.0%LowWin
Brooks LeeHitsOver 0.50.872-2.3%LowWin
Ryan JeffersHitsUnder 0.50.700+0.2%LowWin
Kody ClemensHitsOver 0.50.901+2.0%LowWin
Vaughn GrissomHitsUnder 0.50.680+0.8%LowWin
Mike TroutHitsOver 0.50.841+0.3%LowWin
Wade MecklerHitsOver 0.50.852+0.7%LowWin
Zach NetoHitsOver 0.51.080+8.2%HighLoss
Josh BellHitsOver 0.50.821-0.1%LowWin
Royce LewisHitsUnder 0.50.620+0.9%LowWin
Denzer GuzmanHitsOver 0.50.911+8.5%HighWin
Emmanuel RodriguezHitsOver 0.51.000+14.2%HighLoss
Christian MooreHitsOver 0.50.59—-0.7%LowVoid
Walker JenkinsHitsUnder 0.50.193+12.3%HighLoss
Josh LoweHitsOver 0.50.551-1.4%LowWin
Ryan KreidlerHitsUnder 0.50.44—-0.9%LowVoid
Tyler HeinemanHitsUnder 0.50.430-3.4%LowWin
Luke KeaschallHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.801+1.5%LowLoss
Brooks LeeHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.624-0.6%LowWin
Kody ClemensHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.951+7.3%HighLoss
Mike TroutHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.643+1.7%LowWin
Ryan JeffersHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.650+1.3%LowLoss
Zach NetoHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.361+14.9%HighLoss
Josh BellHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.781+6.6%HighLoss
Vaughn GrissomHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.620+3.7%MediumLoss
Royce LewisHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 1.51.260-3.1%LowWin
Wade MecklerHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.694+7.4%HighWin
Emmanuel RodriguezHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.52.000+21.9%LowLoss
Denzer GuzmanHits + Runs + RBIsOver 1.51.762+13.0%HighWin
Walker JenkinsHits + Runs + RBIsUnder 0.50.717+1.1%LowLoss
Christian MooreHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.00—+3.4%MediumVoid
Ryan KreidlerHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.50.86—-2.3%LowVoid
Josh LoweHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.51.091+6.2%HighWin
Tyler HeinemanHits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.50.720+0.9%LowLoss
Luke KeaschallTotal BasesOver 1.51.271-1.7%LowLoss
Brooks LeeTotal BasesOver 1.51.412+4.7%MediumWin
Mike TroutTotal BasesOver 1.51.521+7.7%HighLoss
Kody ClemensTotal BasesOver 1.51.771+13.1%HighLoss
Ryan JeffersTotal BasesOver 1.51.320+5.1%HighLoss
all settled dates
each record stands alone · pushes and voids are never losses · educational use only · not betting advice