9 MLB games · 342 model-vs-market reads
Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.
Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.
PNC Park38 leansFinal · graded
MIL@PIT

Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates
first pitch12:35 PM ET
MIL@PIT
Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.6 K across 24 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 1.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 1.9 K across 19 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.36 across 141 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.24 across 139 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.53 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.43 across 88 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 63 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 136 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.11 across 152 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 88 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.26 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.25 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.21 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 141 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 50 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 63 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 50 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.30 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.48 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 136 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.07 across 139 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 139 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 152 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 139 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Great American Ball Park39 leansFinal · graded
LAD@CIN

Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds
first pitch12:40 PM ET
LAD@CIN
Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.6 K across 24 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.3 K across 29 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.3 K across 29 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.39 across 133 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 25 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 133 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 25 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.17
- SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 6 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 143 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 152 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 121 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.29 across 152 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.33
- SeasonSeason average 0.33 across 6 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 143 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 144 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 124 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.21 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 144 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 120 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 120 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 121 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 124 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Tropicana Field39 leansFinal · graded
ATH@TB

Athletics at Tampa Bay Rays
first pitch1:10 PM ET
ATH@TB
Athletics at Tampa Bay Rays
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.9 K across 27 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.7 K across 28 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.7 K across 28 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.20 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 134 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.26 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 139 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.32 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 134 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 140 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.45 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 95 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.29 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.56 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.37 across 19 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 151 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 140 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 139 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 19 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.32 across 151 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 95 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 97 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Coors Field38 leansFinal · graded
SD@COL

San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies
first pitch3:10 PM ET
SD@COL
San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.9 K across 30 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.7 K across 22 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.50 across 18 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 145 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 148 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 146 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 4.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.09 across 148 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 146 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 33 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.29 across 133 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 148 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 145 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 95 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 95 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 134 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 133 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 33 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.25 across 150 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 98 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 18 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 148 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.45 across 98 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 150 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 134 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 66 games
Daikin Park37 leansFinal · graded
KC@HOU

Kansas City Royals at Houston Astros
first pitch7:15 PM ET
KC@HOU
Kansas City Royals at Houston Astros
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.2 K across 30 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 140 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 40 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 145 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 142 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 142 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 140 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 141 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 146 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 40 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.27 across 89 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 146 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 125 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 125 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 133 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 135 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 141 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 133 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 135 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 135 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 148 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 145 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 135 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.42 across 148 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 89 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Citi Field38 leansFinal · graded
PHI@NYM

Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets
first pitch7:15 PM ET
PHI@NYM
Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.5 K across 30 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.3 K across 29 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.45 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.16 across 146 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 147 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 94 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 145 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 143 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.11 across 151 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 143 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 144 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 94 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 145 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 146 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 145 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 150 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 145 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 143 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 151 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 147 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 143 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 135 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 150 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.25 across 144 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 135 games
Rate Field38 leansFinal · graded
DET@CWS

Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox
first pitch7:40 PM ET
DET@CWS
Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 2.9 K across 31 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.2 K across 29 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 42 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.67
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 9 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 149 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 147 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 147 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 42 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 12 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.43 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 144 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 149 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 142 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 146 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 138 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.11
- SeasonSeason average 0.11 across 9 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 146 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 144 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 137 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 150 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 12 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.37 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 137 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 138 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 150 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 142 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Globe Life Field37 leansFinal · graded
BOS@TEX

Boston Red Sox at Texas Rangers
first pitch8:05 PM ET
BOS@TEX
Boston Red Sox at Texas Rangers
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.2 K across 27 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 145 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.35 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.31 across 16 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 141 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 146 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 146 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.45 across 136 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 148 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 142 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 142 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 136 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 145 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 16 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 148 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 141 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Angel Stadium38 leansFinal · graded
MIN@LAA

Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels
first pitch9:38 PM ET
MIN@LAA
Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.5 K across 29 starts
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 147 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 5 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.29 across 14 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 147 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 134 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 145 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 29 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 5 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.47 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 144 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 134 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 133 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 143 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.09 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 14 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 143 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 29 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 144 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 133 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 145 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Open the MLB Power Board →
HR markets are high-variance and rated on a separate power-profile scale (barrel + park + matchup), not the standard High / Medium / Low tiers used here.
