42.6%

139–187 on 326 decisive

Combined audit across the sports that had settled rows on 2026-08-13. Pushes excluded. Pending games never count as losses.

At a glance

Hit

139

model agreed and the line cleared

Miss

187

model agreed but the line did not clear

Push

final stat tied the line — excluded from hit rate

Pending

no games still pending on this date

MLB

42.6%

139–187 on 326

Full MLB audit →

Biggest hits

MLBKevin McGonigleOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+23.6pp edgeactual 2
MLBAndrew AbbottUnder 4.5 Strikeouts+23.3pp edgeactual 3
MLBJake BauersOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+18.9pp edgeactual 2
MLBEduardo ValenciaOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+18.6pp edgeactual 3
MLBWilyer AbreuOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+18.4pp edgeactual 3

Biggest misses

MLBPayton TolleOver 5.5 Strikeouts+26.3pp edgeactual 4
MLBAlex BregmanOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+19.2pp edgeactual 0
MLBRoki SasakiOver 5.5 Strikeouts+6.8pp edgeactual 2
MLBTaj BradleyOver 5.5 Strikeouts+6.2pp edgeactual 3
MLBBraxton AshcraftUnder 5.5 Strikeouts-2.9pp edgeactual 10

MLB settled games · projection vs actual

CLE @ DET

16–2440 dec40.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Parker Messick	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	6.33	6	+15.1%	High	Win
Keider Montero	Strikeouts	Under 2.5	3.01	0	-1.7%	Low	Win
Chase DeLauter	Hits	Over 1.5	1.23	2	+5.1%	High	Win
Steven Kwan	Hits	Over 1.5	1.32	0	+8.2%	High	Loss
Nathaniel Lowe	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	0	+3.1%	Medium	Loss
Dillon Dingler	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	0	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Kevin McGonigle	Hits	Over 0.5	1.15	1	+10.3%	High	Win
Jo Adell	Hits	Under 0.5	0.70	0	+1.3%	Low	Win
Angel Genao	Hits	Over 0.5	1.14	0	+2.2%	Low	Loss
Gleyber Torres	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	0	+4.1%	Medium	Loss
Travis Bazzana	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	0	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Eduardo Valencia	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	1	+8.3%	High	Win
Brayan Rocchio	Hits	Under 0.5	0.69	1	-3.4%	Low	Loss
Spencer Torkelson	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	2	+14.1%	High	Win
Hao-Yu Lee	Hits	Under 0.5	0.62	0	-1.5%	Low	Win
Max Clark	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	0	+18.9%	High	Loss
Austin Hedges	Hits	Over 0.5	0.69	0	+5.8%	High	Loss
Ben Malgeri	Hits	Over 0.5	0.54	1	+2.9%	Medium	Win
Chase DeLauter	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.54	2	+11.0%	High	Win
Steven Kwan	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.20	0	+11.6%	High	Loss
Nathaniel Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.06	0	+6.3%	High	Loss
Dillon Dingler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.56	1	+14.2%	High	Loss
Jo Adell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.64	0	+0.9%	Low	Loss
Angel Genao	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.29	0	+14.5%	High	Loss
Gleyber Torres	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.50	0	+18.0%	High	Loss
Travis Bazzana	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.57	0	+1.7%	Low	Loss
Kevin McGonigle	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.64	2	+23.6%	Low	Win
Eduardo Valencia	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.79	3	+18.6%	High	Win
Spencer Torkelson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.12	3	+15.9%	High	Win
Brayan Rocchio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.14	1	-2.7%	Low	Win
Hao-Yu Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.35	0	+1.2%	Low	Loss
Max Clark	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	2.18	0	+18.4%	High	Loss
Austin Hedges	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.29	0	+10.6%	High	Loss
Ben Malgeri	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.20	1	+14.0%	High	Win
Chase DeLauter	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.94	2	+11.3%	High	Win
Dillon Dingler	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.03	0	+13.4%	High	Loss
Nathaniel Lowe	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.69	0	+9.0%	High	Loss
Steven Kwan	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.63	0	+9.1%	High	Loss
Angel Genao	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.71	0	+13.1%	High	Loss
Jo Adell	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.41	0	+6.8%	High	Loss

PIT @ MIA

11–3041 dec26.8%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Braxton Ashcraft	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	5.59	10	-2.9%	Low	Loss
Tyler Phillips	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	3.29	6	+9.6%	High	Loss
Nick Gonzales	Hits	Under 1.5	0.98	2	-0.3%	Low	Loss
Otto Lopez	Hits	Over 1.5	1.13	0	+0.4%	Low	Loss
Xavier Edwards	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	0	-3.3%	Low	Loss
Spencer Horwitz	Hits	Under 0.5	0.58	2	+11.8%	High	Loss
Brandon Lowe	Hits	Under 0.5	0.85	1	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Jake Mangum	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	3	-3.2%	Low	Win
Bryan Reynolds	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	0	-2.0%	Low	Loss
Javier Sanoja	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	0	+5.6%	High	Loss
Jakob Marsee	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	1	+0.9%	Low	Win
Agustín Ramírez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.77	0	-0.8%	Low	Loss
Jacob Gonzalez	Hits	Under 0.5	0.62	1	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Esmerlyn Valdez	Hits	Under 0.5	0.54	2	+2.9%	Medium	Loss
Jared Triolo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.62	3	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Griffin Conine	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	1	+8.7%	High	Win
Esteury Ruiz	Hits	Over 0.5	0.68	0	+6.9%	High	Loss
Owen Caissie	Hits	Over 0.5	0.52	1	+0.4%	Low	Win
Nick Gonzales	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.79	3	-2.7%	Low	Win
Spencer Horwitz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.28	2	+6.6%	High	Loss
Otto Lopez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.17	0	+6.7%	High	Loss
Brandon Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.84	1	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Xavier Edwards	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.90	0	+4.2%	Medium	Loss
Bryan Reynolds	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.77	0	+2.0%	Low	Loss
Jake Mangum	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.76	7	+5.3%	High	Win
Jakob Marsee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.68	1	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Esmerlyn Valdez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.34	4	-1.5%	Low	Win
Javier Sanoja	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.97	0	+11.7%	High	Loss
Agustín Ramírez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.49	0	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Griffin Conine	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.05	1	+14.3%	High	Loss
Jared Triolo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.00	9	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Jacob Gonzalez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.27	5	+1.2%	Low	Win
Esteury Ruiz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.40	0	+14.3%	High	Loss
Owen Caissie	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.41	3	+13.1%	High	Win
Brandon Lowe	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.60	1	+4.1%	Medium	Loss
Nick Gonzales	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.31	2	-1.4%	Low	Win
Otto Lopez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.53	0	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Spencer Horwitz	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.90	2	+3.8%	Medium	Loss
Xavier Edwards	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.22	0	-1.8%	Low	Loss
Bryan Reynolds	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.30	0	+2.8%	Medium	Loss
Jake Mangum	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.37	6	+8.9%	High	Win

CIN @ CWS

17–2037 dec45.9%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Davis Martin	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.58	3	+13.4%	High	Win
Andrew Abbott	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.51	3	+23.3%	Low	Win
Chase Meidroth	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	2	-0.3%	Low	Win
Sal Stewart	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	2	-0.7%	Low	Win
Elly De La Cruz	Hits	Under 0.5	0.83	1	+0.5%	Low	Loss
Miguel Vargas	Hits	Under 0.5	0.79	0	-0.9%	Low	Win
JJ Bleday	Hits	Under 0.5	0.64	0	+1.8%	Low	Win
Randal Grichuk	Hits	Under 0.5	0.69	2	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Edgar Quero	Hits	Under 0.5	0.69	3	-0.9%	Low	Loss
Braden Montgomery	Hits	Under 0.5	0.71	0	-2.3%	Low	Win
Tyler Stephenson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	2	+0.2%	Low	Win
Dane Myers	Hits	Under 0.5	0.61	1	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Brenton Doyle	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	1	-0.3%	Low	Win
Munetaka Murakami	Hits	Over 0.5	0.77	0	+0.5%	Low	Loss
Colson Montgomery	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	0	-0.3%	Low	Loss
Matt McLain	Hits	Over 0.5	0.62	0	-0.9%	Low	Loss
Ke'Bryan Hayes	Hits	Under 0.5	0.31	1	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Chase Meidroth	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.27	5	+9.7%	High	Win
Sal Stewart	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.07	8	+3.4%	Medium	Win
Elly De La Cruz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.09	2	+5.1%	High	Win
Miguel Vargas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	0	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Munetaka Murakami	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	0	+2.5%	Low	Loss
Randal Grichuk	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.22	5	+0.1%	Low	Loss
Braden Montgomery	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.65	2	+3.5%	Medium	Win
JJ Bleday	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.35	0	-2.6%	Low	Loss
Edgar Quero	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.08	6	+1.7%	Low	Loss
Colson Montgomery	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.85	0	+8.8%	High	Loss
Brenton Doyle	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.55	1	+3.9%	Medium	Loss
Tyler Stephenson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.70	7	+7.0%	High	Win
Dane Myers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.07	1	+1.6%	Low	Win
Matt McLain	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.45	0	+7.4%	High	Loss
Ke'Bryan Hayes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.61	2	-2.3%	Low	Loss
Sal Stewart	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.70	5	+6.6%	High	Win
Miguel Vargas	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.73	0	+7.5%	High	Loss
Elly De La Cruz	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.57	1	+5.5%	High	Loss
Chase Meidroth	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.76	4	+13.6%	High	Win
JJ Bleday	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.25	0	+1.8%	Low	Loss

SEA @ NYY

9–2231 dec29.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Logan Gilbert	Strikeouts	Under 6.5	5.77	7	+19.4%	High	Loss
Max Fried	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	5.71	4	-2.7%	Low	Win
Heliot Ramos	Hits	Under 0.5	0.68	0	+4.0%	Medium	Win
Randy Arozarena	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	1	+1.8%	Low	Win
Ben Rice	Hits	Under 0.5	0.68	0	+1.8%	Low	Win
Cole Young	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	0	+6.0%	High	Loss
Taylor Ward	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	—	-1.6%	Low	Void
Trent Grisham	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	1	+3.6%	Medium	Win
Dominic Canzone	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	0	-1.3%	Low	Loss
Josh Naylor	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	1	+8.6%	High	Win
Cal Raleigh	Hits	Under 0.5	0.54	0	+0.9%	Low	Win
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	0.63	0	-2.6%	Low	Loss
George Lombard Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	1.14	0	+20.5%	Low	Loss
Spencer Jones	Hits	Over 0.5	0.60	0	+0.8%	Low	Loss
Ryan McMahon	Hits	Over 0.5	0.76	0	+9.4%	High	Loss
Colt Emerson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.61	—	+3.5%	Medium	Void
Weston Wilson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.39	1	-2.3%	Low	Loss
Ben Rice	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.73	0	+1.3%	Low	Loss
Heliot Ramos	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.11	0	+2.5%	Low	Win
Trent Grisham	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.24	1	+11.7%	High	Loss
Randy Arozarena	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.13	1	+11.0%	High	Loss
Taylor Ward	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.19	—	-0.4%	Low	Void
Dominic Canzone	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.41	0	-0.3%	Low	Loss
Cole Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.72	0	+6.8%	High	Loss
Cal Raleigh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.29	0	+0.1%	Low	Loss
Josh Naylor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.75	1	+10.5%	High	Loss
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.40	0	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
George Lombard Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	2.29	0	+23.7%	Low	Loss
Spencer Jones	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.43	0	+8.7%	High	Loss
Ryan McMahon	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.53	0	+14.2%	High	Loss
Colt Emerson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.15	—	+7.7%	High	Void
Weston Wilson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.70	3	+0.8%	Low	Win
Ben Rice	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.41	0	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Trent Grisham	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.13	1	+19.0%	High	Loss
Heliot Ramos	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.08	0	-1.4%	Low	Loss

BOS @ TOR

17–2037 dec45.9%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Payton Tolle	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	8.07	4	+26.3%	Low	Loss
Max Scherzer	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.73	4	+5.4%	High	Win
Masataka Yoshida	Hits	Under 1.5	0.95	2	+3.6%	Medium	Loss
Ceddanne Rafaela	Hits	Over 0.5	1.17	2	+7.7%	High	Win
Adley Rutschman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.81	—	-0.8%	Low	Void
Willson Contreras	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	1	-3.4%	Low	Win
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	1	+2.2%	Low	Win
Brett Bateman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.17	—	+11.6%	High	Void
Caleb Durbin	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	3	+3.6%	Medium	Win
Wilyer Abreu	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	1	+5.9%	High	Win
Jarren Duran	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	0	-0.9%	Low	Loss
George Springer	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	0	+1.7%	Low	Loss
Alejandro Kirk	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	—	+8.6%	High	Void
Andruw Monasterio	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	1	+7.5%	High	Win
Ernie Clement	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	0	+4.6%	Medium	Loss
Charles McAdoo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.62	0	-2.8%	Low	Win
Nick Sogard	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	0	+11.9%	High	Loss
Myles Straw	Hits	Over 0.5	0.76	0	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Kazuma Okamoto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	0	+8.0%	High	Loss
Masataka Yoshida	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.90	4	-0.3%	Low	Win
Ceddanne Rafaela	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.41	4	+12.8%	High	Win
Willson Contreras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.99	2	+4.2%	Medium	Win
Adley Rutschman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.51	—	-3.2%	Low	Void
Wilyer Abreu	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.69	3	+18.4%	High	Win
Jarren Duran	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.89	0	+5.9%	High	Loss
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.86	1	+6.4%	High	Loss
Caleb Durbin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.37	9	+16.9%	High	Win
George Springer	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.64	0	+4.4%	Medium	Loss
Andruw Monasterio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.04	1	+14.8%	High	Loss
Brett Bateman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.00	—	+19.2%	High	Void
Alejandro Kirk	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	—	+9.7%	High	Void
Nick Sogard	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.55	1	+7.9%	High	Loss
Charles McAdoo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.23	0	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Ernie Clement	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.78	0	+14.0%	High	Loss
Kazuma Okamoto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.80	0	+11.3%	High	Loss
Myles Straw	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.48	0	+12.5%	High	Loss
Masataka Yoshida	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.49	2	+0.7%	Low	Win
Wilyer Abreu	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.28	1	+18.6%	High	Loss
Adley Rutschman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.18	—	-1.7%	Low	Void
Willson Contreras	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.57	2	+6.3%	High	Win
Jarren Duran	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.74	0	+11.7%	High	Loss
Ceddanne Rafaela	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.88	2	+15.0%	High	Win
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.42	1	+5.4%	High	Loss
Caleb Durbin	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.48	6	+10.2%	High	Win

CHC @ WSH

14–2337 dec37.8%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Kevin Gausman	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.02	7	-1.2%	Low	Win
Cade Cavalli	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	5.10	10	-2.8%	Low	Win
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Hits	Over 1.5	1.14	0	-1.4%	Low	Loss
Nico Hoerner	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	—	+1.4%	Low	Void
Alex Bregman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.21	0	+6.8%	High	Loss
Michael Busch	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	1	+3.5%	Medium	Win
Seiya Suzuki	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	0	+5.3%	High	Loss
CJ Abrams	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	1	+2.0%	Low	Win
Daylen Lile	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	2	+0.5%	Low	Win
Dansby Swanson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	0	-1.4%	Low	Loss
Ian Happ	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	0	-3.1%	Low	Win
Keibert Ruiz	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	0	+8.0%	High	Loss
Dylan Crews	Hits	Under 0.5	0.71	2	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Abimelec Ortiz	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	2	+2.9%	Medium	Win
Michael Conforto	Hits	Under 0.5	0.57	0	-0.2%	Low	Win
Jorbit Vivas	Hits	Under 0.5	0.61	1	-2.5%	Low	Loss
Jacob Young	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	—	+12.4%	High	Void
Miguel Amaya	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	0	+9.6%	High	Loss
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.89	0	+10.7%	High	Loss
Seiya Suzuki	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.63	0	+13.5%	High	Loss
Michael Busch	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.95	1	+2.7%	Medium	Loss
Alex Bregman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	3.01	0	+19.2%	High	Loss
CJ Abrams	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.34	2	+8.9%	High	Win
Nico Hoerner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.07	—	+5.8%	High	Void
Ian Happ	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.73	0	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Daylen Lile	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.14	4	+10.1%	High	Win
Dansby Swanson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.14	0	+8.5%	High	Loss
Dylan Crews	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.54	4	+2.2%	Low	Win
Abimelec Ortiz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.60	7	+5.8%	High	Win
Keibert Ruiz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.96	0	+12.2%	High	Loss
Michael Conforto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.19	0	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Jorbit Vivas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.01	3	-0.1%	Low	Win
Jacob Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.90	—	+16.4%	High	Void
Miguel Amaya	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.86	0	+14.9%	High	Loss
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.23	0	+9.3%	High	Loss
CJ Abrams	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.88	1	+9.3%	High	Loss
Seiya Suzuki	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.96	0	+12.8%	High	Loss
Michael Busch	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.59	1	+5.7%	High	Loss
Daylen Lile	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.60	2	+7.0%	High	Win
Alex Bregman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.37	0	+22.3%	Low	Loss
Nico Hoerner	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.63	—	+10.5%	High	Void
Ian Happ	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.47	0	+7.5%	High	Loss

PHI @ MIN

24–1539 dec61.5%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Luis Arraez	Hits	Over 1.5	1.03	3	-1.4%	Low	Win
Trea Turner	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	1	-1.9%	Low	Win
Bryce Harper	Hits	Under 0.5	0.80	1	-1.8%	Low	Loss
Ryan Jeffers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	2	+0.1%	Low	Win
Bryson Stott	Hits	Over 0.5	1.16	1	+12.7%	High	Win
Alec Bohm	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	1	+6.3%	High	Win
Kody Clemens	Hits	Under 0.5	0.68	0	-0.4%	Low	Win
Josh Bell	Hits	Over 0.5	1.22	0	+14.9%	High	Loss
Brooks Lee	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	0	+8.1%	High	Loss
J.T. Realmuto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.72	0	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Brandon Marsh	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	2	+2.1%	Low	Win
Kyle Schwarber	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	2	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Royce Lewis	Hits	Over 0.5	1.35	0	+22.2%	Low	Loss
Trevor Larnach	Hits	Under 0.5	0.68	2	-3.4%	Low	Loss
Justin Crawford	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	1	+11.4%	High	Win
Alan Roden	Hits	Over 0.5	0.58	—	+0.9%	Low	Void
Luis Arraez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.99	3	+4.9%	Medium	Win
Trea Turner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.95	2	+3.9%	Medium	Win
Kyle Schwarber	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.00	7	+5.0%	High	Win
Bryce Harper	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.94	3	+5.5%	High	Win
Josh Bell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.63	0	+19.8%	High	Loss
Bryson Stott	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	2	+9.8%	High	Win
Kody Clemens	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.56	0	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Ryan Jeffers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.04	2	+9.0%	High	Win
Alec Bohm	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.72	2	+6.6%	High	Win
J.T. Realmuto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.55	0	+3.3%	Medium	Loss
Trevor Larnach	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.49	2	+2.0%	Low	Win
Brandon Marsh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.75	6	+8.0%	High	Win
Brooks Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.87	0	+11.2%	High	Loss
Royce Lewis	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.65	0	+29.9%	Low	Loss
Justin Crawford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.76	1	+17.8%	High	Win
Alan Roden	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.16	—	+9.8%	High	Void
Trea Turner	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.47	2	+3.3%	Medium	Win
Kyle Schwarber	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.83	8	+9.6%	High	Win
Luis Arraez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.57	3	+6.0%	High	Win
Bryce Harper	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.63	1	+7.7%	High	Loss
Kody Clemens	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.26	0	+0.7%	Low	Loss
Josh Bell	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.04	0	+17.8%	High	Loss
Ryan Jeffers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.35	2	+4.1%	Medium	Win
Taj Bradley	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	6.38	3	+6.2%	High	Loss
Aaron Nola	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	5.54	9	+6.3%	High	Win

TEX @ LAA

15–1328 dec53.6%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Jacob deGrom	Strikeouts	Under 6.5	5.88	3	+13.6%	High	Win
Wyatt Langford	Hits	Under 0.5	0.59	1	+9.9%	High	Loss
Brandon Nimmo	Hits	Over 0.5	1.23	0	+9.8%	High	Loss
Corey Seager	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	0	+0.1%	Low	Loss
Nolan Schanuel	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	1	-0.5%	Low	Win
Ezequiel Duran	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	0	+5.4%	High	Loss
Jake Burger	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	—	-0.9%	Low	Void
Joc Pederson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	0	-1.1%	Low	Win
Wade Meckler	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	1	+12.9%	High	Win
Vaughn Grissom	Hits	Over 0.5	0.74	1	+0.4%	Low	Win
Evan Carter	Hits	Under 0.5	0.37	1	+7.5%	High	Loss
Nicky Lopez	Hits	Under 0.5	0.57	1	-3.5%	Low	Loss
Zach Neto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	—	+6.6%	High	Void
Mike Trout	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	3	+6.6%	High	Win
Oswald Peraza	Hits	Under 0.5	0.51	—	-1.4%	Low	Void
Tyler Heineman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.43	—	-2.3%	Low	Void
Josh Lowe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.49	2	+1.7%	Low	Win
Wyatt Langford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.36	1	+2.7%	Medium	Win
Corey Seager	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.84	0	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Brandon Nimmo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.35	0	+14.5%	High	Loss
Joc Pederson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.45	0	-2.3%	Low	Loss
Ezequiel Duran	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.11	0	+12.3%	High	Loss
Jake Burger	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.58	—	+2.3%	Low	Void
Nolan Schanuel	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.75	2	+9.1%	High	Win
Evan Carter	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.92	1	+2.7%	Medium	Win
Mike Trout	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.73	5	+11.6%	High	Win
Wade Meckler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.82	1	+13.6%	High	Loss
Vaughn Grissom	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.37	2	+4.8%	Medium	Win
Nicky Lopez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.06	1	+1.7%	Low	Win
Zach Neto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.79	—	+12.6%	High	Void
Oswald Peraza	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.84	—	-3.0%	Low	Void
Tyler Heineman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.76	—	+0.9%	Low	Void
Josh Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.82	4	+6.3%	High	Win
Wyatt Langford	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.06	1	-2.1%	Low	Win
Corey Seager	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.59	0	+9.0%	High	Loss
Brandon Nimmo	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.05	0	+19.6%	High	Loss

MIL @ LAD

16–2036 dec44.4%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Shohei Ohtani	Hits	Over 0.5	1.16	1	+5.4%	High	Win
Andy Pages	Hits	Over 0.5	1.08	0	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Jackson Chourio	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	1	+0.4%	Low	Win
Tommy Edman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.77	0	+1.0%	Low	Win
Freddie Freeman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	0	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Mookie Betts	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	0	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Brice Turang	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	—	+4.9%	Medium	Void
William Contreras	Hits	Under 0.5	0.70	0	+0.9%	Low	Win
Kyle Tucker	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	0	+2.3%	Low	Loss
Andrew Vaughn	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	2	+1.5%	Low	Win
Garrett Mitchell	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	1	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Christian Yelich	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	1	+1.0%	Low	Win
Miguel Rojas	Hits	Over 0.5	0.63	0	-2.6%	Low	Loss
Jake Bauers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	1	+14.2%	High	Win
Luis Lara	Hits	Over 0.5	0.59	—	-1.1%	Low	Void
Hunter Feduccia	Hits	Over 0.5	0.64	—	+6.5%	High	Void
David Hamilton	Hits	Over 0.5	0.64	1	+7.6%	High	Win
Shohei Ohtani	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.54	1	+9.6%	High	Loss
Andy Pages	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.02	0	+3.9%	Medium	Loss
Jackson Chourio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.17	3	+8.3%	High	Win
Tommy Edman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.55	1	-2.6%	Low	Loss
Mookie Betts	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.93	0	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
Brice Turang	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.18	—	+11.3%	High	Void
Freddie Freeman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	1	+3.2%	Medium	Loss
William Contreras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.51	0	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Kyle Tucker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.95	0	+10.5%	High	Loss
Andrew Vaughn	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.60	3	+7.3%	High	Win
Garrett Mitchell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.21	2	-0.7%	Low	Win
Jake Bauers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.23	2	+18.9%	High	Win
Christian Yelich	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.64	1	+9.0%	High	Loss
Miguel Rojas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.08	1	+3.6%	Medium	Win
Luis Lara	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.14	—	-0.1%	Low	Void
Hunter Feduccia	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.18	—	+15.7%	High	Void
David Hamilton	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.20	3	+11.5%	High	Win
Shohei Ohtani	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.15	2	+13.4%	High	Win
Jackson Chourio	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.02	1	+13.7%	High	Loss
Andy Pages	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.68	0	+7.5%	High	Loss
Tommy Edman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.13	0	-1.4%	Low	Loss
Brice Turang	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.53	—	+8.3%	High	Void
Freddie Freeman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.34	0	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Mookie Betts	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.76	0	+13.0%	High	Loss
Roki Sasaki	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	6.24	2	+6.8%	High	Loss
Shane Drohan	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.94	5	+6.4%	High	Win

all settled dates