9 MLB games · 342 model-vs-market reads
Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.
Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.
Comerica Park38 leansFinal · graded
CLE@DET

Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers
first pitch1:10 PM ET
CLE@DET
Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.9 K across 23 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.4 K across 25 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 11 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.79 across 14 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.36 across 11 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 63 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.29
- SeasonSeason average 2.29 across 7 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.32 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.09 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 14 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 63 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 116 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.14
- SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 7 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 119 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
loanDepot park38 leansFinal · graded
PIT@MIA

Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins
first pitch1:10 PM ET
PIT@MIA
Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 2.4 K across 29 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.3 K across 23 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 95 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.56 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.33 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 95 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 92 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 37 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 92 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 122 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 122 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.29 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 37 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.28 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.26 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 116 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Yankee Stadium38 leansFinal · graded
SEA@NYY

Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees
first pitch1:35 PM ET
SEA@NYY
Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.3 K across 23 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.4 K across 14 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.26 across 93 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 93 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.27 across 45 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.31 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 121 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 121 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.29
- SeasonSeason average 2.29 across 7 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.14
- SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 7 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.47 across 40 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 40 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 45 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.38 across 87 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Rate Field38 leansFinal · graded
CIN@CWS

Cincinnati Reds at Chicago White Sox
first pitch2:10 PM ET
CIN@CWS
Cincinnati Reds at Chicago White Sox
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.7 K across 23 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.1 K across 24 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 89 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.29 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.43 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.30 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.24 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.21 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 89 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.24 across 78 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Rogers Centre38 leansFinal · graded
BOS@TOR

Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays
first pitch3:07 PM ET
BOS@TOR
Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.0 K across 9 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 9.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.5 K across 19 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 6 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 77 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 93 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 24 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.17
- SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 6 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 24 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 77 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 89 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.52 across 93 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 11 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 89 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.36 across 11 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 84 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Nationals Park38 leansFinal · graded
CHC@WSH

Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals
first pitch4:05 PM ET
CHC@WSH
Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.6 K across 25 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.5 K across 24 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.36 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.39 across 121 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 120 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.48 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 10 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 120 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 10 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 120 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 121 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 120 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.53 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 85 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Field of Dreams38 leansFinal · graded
PHI@MIN

Philadelphia Phillies at Minnesota Twins
first pitch7:30 PM ET
PHI@MIN
Philadelphia Phillies at Minnesota Twins
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.4 K across 24 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.4 K across 23 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.07 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 23 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 121 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.09 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 88 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 87 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 87 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 88 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 121 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.26 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 23 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 105 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (4 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (4 games of log data)
Angel Stadium38 leansFinal · graded
TEX@LAA

Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels
first pitch10:07 PM ET
TEX@LAA
Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.5 K across 22 starts
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.24 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.28 across 92 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.47 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 92 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 61 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium38 leansFinal · graded
MIL@LAD

Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers
first pitch10:10 PM ET
MIL@LAD
Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.3 K across 20 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.0 K across 23 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.29 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.36 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.49 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.34 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.24 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 44 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 25 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 44 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 25 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Open the MLB Power Board →
HR markets are high-variance and rated on a separate power-profile scale (barrel + park + matchup), not the standard High / Medium / Low tiers used here.
