Overview MLB· live NBA· archive Parlays· pending snapshots

Settled projections · Wednesday, August 12

48.5%

287–305 on 592 decisive

Combined audit across the sports that had settled rows on 2026-08-12. Pushes excluded. Pending games never count as losses.

At a glance

Hit

287

model agreed and the line cleared

Miss

305

model agreed but the line did not clear

Push

final stat tied the line — excluded from hit rate

Pending

no games still pending on this date

MLB

48.5%

287–305 on 592

Full MLB audit →

Biggest hits

MLBJackson MerrillOver 1.5 Total Bases+24.7pp edgeactual 2
MLBJackson MerrillOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+23.6pp edgeactual 2
MLBWilyer AbreuOver 1.5 Total Bases+21.6pp edgeactual 2
MLBAlec BurlesonOver 1.5 Total Bases+21.1pp edgeactual 3
MLBWilyer AbreuOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+21.0pp edgeactual 2

Biggest misses

MLBLuis CastilloUnder 5.5 Strikeouts+33.0pp edgeactual 10
MLBDrew RasmussenOver 5.5 Strikeouts+30.2pp edgeactual 3
MLBCal QuantrillUnder 3.5 Strikeouts+10.5pp edgeactual 6
MLBCorbin CarrollUnder 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+3.5pp edgeactual 5
MLBVictor CaratiniUnder 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+2.9pp edgeactual 4

MLB settled games · projection vs actual

BAL @ MIN

21–2344 dec47.7%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Gunnar Henderson	Hits	Under 1.5	0.69	0	+6.7%	High	Win
Royce Lewis	Hits	Over 0.5	1.29	2	+11.3%	High	Win
Pete Alonso	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	2	+1.9%	Low	Win
Josh Bell	Hits	Over 0.5	1.11	3	+5.9%	High	Win
Luke Keaschall	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	0	+3.8%	Medium	Loss
Kody Clemens	Hits	Under 0.5	0.63	1	+6.3%	High	Loss
Brooks Lee	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	2	+2.1%	Low	Win
Jackson Holliday	Hits	Under 0.5	0.65	0	+2.9%	Medium	Win
Tyler O'Neill	Hits	Under 0.5	0.64	1	+2.8%	Medium	Loss
Trevor Larnach	Hits	Under 0.5	0.63	1	+3.2%	Medium	Loss
Leody Taveras	Hits	Under 0.5	0.71	1	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Victor Caratini	Hits	Under 0.5	0.45	2	+7.1%	High	Loss
Dylan Beavers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.66	1	-2.5%	Low	Win
Alan Roden	Hits	Under 0.5	0.38	3	+5.4%	High	Loss
Coby Mayo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	0	+11.0%	High	Loss
Ryan Kreidler	Hits	Over 0.5	0.63	0	-0.4%	Low	Loss
Colton Cowser	Hits	Over 0.5	0.61	0	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Gunnar Henderson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.64	1	-1.3%	Low	Win
Pete Alonso	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.30	3	+7.3%	High	Win
Royce Lewis	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.49	4	+15.6%	High	Win
Kody Clemens	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.40	3	+0.3%	Low	Loss
Josh Bell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.47	5	+14.1%	High	Win
Luke Keaschall	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.89	1	+6.8%	High	Loss
Tyler O'Neill	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.38	2	-0.3%	Low	Loss
Brooks Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.91	3	+6.4%	High	Win
Trevor Larnach	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.33	3	-2.5%	Low	Loss
Jackson Holliday	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.26	1	-1.7%	Low	Win
Leody Taveras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.54	3	+1.5%	Low	Win
Dylan Beavers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.14	5	-0.9%	Low	Loss
Victor Caratini	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.90	4	+2.9%	Medium	Loss
Alan Roden	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.82	5	-2.0%	Low	Win
Coby Mayo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.91	0	+14.9%	High	Loss
Ryan Kreidler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.09	0	+0.3%	Low	Loss
Colton Cowser	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.21	0	+5.7%	High	Loss
Gunnar Henderson	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.24	0	-2.6%	Low	Win
Pete Alonso	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.95	2	+10.6%	High	Win
Royce Lewis	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.13	4	+17.9%	High	Win
Josh Bell	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.93	3	+13.8%	High	Win
Kody Clemens	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.21	1	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Tyler O'Neill	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.35	1	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Luke Keaschall	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.60	0	+10.6%	High	Loss
Brooks Lee	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.75	2	+15.0%	High	Win
Zebby Matthews	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	4.94	4	+1.2%	Low	Win
Shane Baz	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.10	2	+2.6%	Medium	Loss

PHI @ STL

24–1842 dec57.1%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Luis Arraez	Hits	Under 1.5	1.03	1	+0.7%	Low	Win
Trea Turner	Hits	Under 1.5	1.06	0	-3.0%	Low	Win
Bryce Harper	Hits	Under 0.5	0.80	1	+3.7%	Medium	Loss
Brandon Marsh	Hits	Under 0.5	0.91	0	-2.8%	Low	Win
J.T. Realmuto	Hits	Under 0.5	0.73	0	+2.8%	Medium	Win
Alec Bohm	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	2	-0.0%	Low	Win
Bryson Stott	Hits	Over 0.5	1.11	1	+8.0%	High	Win
Alec Burleson	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	2	+6.2%	High	Win
Kyle Schwarber	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	0	+0.8%	Low	Loss
JJ Wetherholt	Hits	Under 0.5	0.73	1	-1.3%	Low	Loss
Jordan Walker	Hits	Over 0.5	1.20	1	+13.9%	High	Win
Justin Crawford	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	1	+4.0%	Medium	Win
Masyn Winn	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	0	+6.7%	High	Loss
Nathan Church	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	1	+14.0%	High	Win
Bryan Torres	Hits	Over 0.5	0.52	—	-1.9%	Low	Void
Jimmy Crooks	Hits	Over 0.5	0.48	0	+0.0%	Low	Loss
Luis Arraez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.94	2	-1.2%	Low	Win
Trea Turner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.06	0	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Bryce Harper	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.99	2	+0.9%	Low	Win
Kyle Schwarber	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.06	0	+2.7%	Medium	Loss
J.T. Realmuto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.60	0	-2.9%	Low	Loss
Brandon Marsh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.85	0	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Bryson Stott	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.06	1	+8.9%	High	Loss
Alec Bohm	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.72	2	+2.7%	Medium	Win
Alec Burleson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.55	6	+17.6%	High	Win
JJ Wetherholt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.76	3	+6.0%	High	Win
Jordan Walker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.32	3	+16.5%	High	Win
Justin Crawford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.86	1	+11.3%	High	Loss
Masyn Winn	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.76	0	+14.1%	High	Loss
Nathan Church	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.98	3	+14.4%	High	Win
Bryan Torres	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.02	—	+5.6%	High	Void
Jimmy Crooks	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.01	0	+12.3%	High	Loss
Luis Arraez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.52	2	+2.2%	Low	Win
Trea Turner	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.62	0	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Bryce Harper	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.73	2	+7.0%	High	Win
Kyle Schwarber	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.84	0	+9.9%	High	Loss
J.T. Realmuto	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.15	0	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Brandon Marsh	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.31	0	+3.1%	Medium	Loss
Alec Burleson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.16	3	+21.1%	Low	Win
Alec Bohm	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.22	2	+2.4%	Low	Win
Bryson Stott	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.58	1	+11.1%	High	Loss
Zack Wheeler	Strikeouts	Under 6.5	5.88	5	-2.0%	Low	Win
Kyle Leahy	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	5.69	6	+19.5%	High	Win
Zack Wheeler	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	5.88	5	-2.0%	Low	Win

TB @ ATH

17–1734 dec50.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Drew Rasmussen	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	7.61	3	+30.2%	Low	Loss
Jack Perkins	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.41	2	+4.7%	Medium	Loss
Junior Caminero	Hits	Under 1.5	0.98	2	+7.9%	High	Loss
Chandler Simpson	Hits	Over 1.5	1.54	—	+14.6%	High	Void
Jonathan Aranda	Hits	Over 1.5	1.18	1	+0.4%	Low	Loss
Jacob Wilson	Hits	Under 1.5	1.04	—	-2.1%	Low	Void
Liam Hicks	Hits	Under 0.5	0.89	3	-0.3%	Low	Loss
Victor Mesa Jr.	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	0	+0.8%	Low	Win
Jeff McNeil	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	—	-0.7%	Low	Void
Cedric Mullins	Hits	Under 0.5	0.70	2	-0.3%	Low	Loss
Tyler Soderstrom	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	1	+5.1%	High	Win
Henry Bolte	Hits	Over 0.5	1.08	0	+10.9%	High	Loss
Zack Gelof	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	2	+6.8%	High	Win
Carlos Cortes	Hits	Under 0.5	0.46	1	+8.2%	High	Loss
Lawrence Butler	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	1	-3.1%	Low	Win
Jonah Heim	Hits	Under 0.5	0.63	—	-1.5%	Low	Void
Taylor Walls	Hits	Over 0.5	0.69	1	-0.7%	Low	Win
Richie Palacios	Hits	Over 0.5	0.69	1	+0.0%	Low	Win
Donovan Walton	Hits	Over 0.5	0.59	1	+3.7%	Medium	Win
Junior Caminero	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	2.51	5	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Jonathan Aranda	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.44	2	+2.0%	Low	Loss
Chandler Simpson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.32	—	+9.3%	High	Void
Liam Hicks	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.96	7	+0.1%	Low	Win
Victor Mesa Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.54	0	-1.2%	Low	Win
Cedric Mullins	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.56	4	-2.6%	Low	Win
Jacob Wilson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	—	+8.8%	High	Void
Jeff McNeil	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.52	—	+0.2%	Low	Void
Tyler Soderstrom	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.12	1	+12.9%	High	Loss
Taylor Walls	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.84	1	+10.9%	High	Loss
Lawrence Butler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.55	3	+4.5%	Medium	Win
Richie Palacios	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.53	3	+4.6%	Medium	Win
Carlos Cortes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.06	3	-0.9%	Low	Loss
Henry Bolte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.96	0	+15.4%	High	Loss
Zack Gelof	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.06	5	+16.0%	High	Win
Jonah Heim	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.32	—	+1.7%	Low	Void
Donovan Walton	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.24	2	+12.5%	High	Win
Junior Caminero	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.25	2	+4.0%	Medium	Win
Jonathan Aranda	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.66	1	+2.6%	Medium	Loss
Victor Mesa Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.69	0	+8.1%	High	Loss
Chandler Simpson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.70	—	+10.4%	High	Void
Liam Hicks	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.40	7	+2.7%	Medium	Win
Jacob Wilson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.54	—	+7.2%	High	Void
Cedric Mullins	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.21	3	-1.0%	Low	Win
Jeff McNeil	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.01	—	-3.1%	Low	Void
Jack Perkins	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	4.41	2	+3.0%	Medium	Loss

COL @ AZ

17–2845 dec37.8%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Gabriel Moreno	Hits	Under 1.5	1.09	2	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Jake McCarthy	Hits	Over 1.5	1.46	0	+11.4%	High	Loss
Ketel Marte	Hits	Under 1.5	0.85	2	+4.2%	Medium	Loss
Corbin Carroll	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	2	+5.7%	High	Loss
TJ Rumfield	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	1	+1.1%	Low	Win
Geraldo Perdomo	Hits	Over 0.5	1.14	2	+4.8%	Medium	Win
Cole Carrigg	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	1	+2.8%	Medium	Win
Nolan Arenado	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	0	+0.8%	Low	Loss
Tim Tawa	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	0	+3.3%	Medium	Loss
Mickey Moniak	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	1	-3.3%	Low	Win
Hunter Goodman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	0	+0.7%	Low	Loss
Lars Nootbaar	Hits	Under 0.5	0.61	0	+2.5%	Low	Win
Willi Castro	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	2	+8.5%	High	Win
Max Kepler	Hits	Under 0.5	0.67	2	-1.5%	Low	Loss
Ryan Waldschmidt	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	0	+7.2%	High	Loss
Ezequiel Tovar	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	1	+2.5%	Medium	Win
Jordan Beck	Hits	Over 0.5	0.69	—	+2.3%	Low	Void
Corbin Carroll	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.80	5	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Gabriel Moreno	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.14	3	+1.8%	Low	Win
Ketel Marte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.86	4	-2.5%	Low	Loss
Geraldo Perdomo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.96	3	-0.1%	Low	Win
Jake McCarthy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	3.02	0	+15.3%	High	Loss
Nolan Arenado	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.12	0	+7.6%	High	Loss
TJ Rumfield	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.99	1	+5.6%	High	Loss
Cole Carrigg	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.11	1	+6.2%	High	Loss
Tim Tawa	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.96	0	+5.2%	High	Loss
Lars Nootbaar	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.24	0	+3.6%	Medium	Win
Hunter Goodman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.20	1	+8.3%	High	Loss
Mickey Moniak	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.88	2	+4.5%	Medium	Win
Max Kepler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.24	2	-1.5%	Low	Loss
Willi Castro	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.97	5	+11.9%	High	Win
Ryan Waldschmidt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.68	0	+7.1%	High	Loss
Ezequiel Tovar	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.61	1	+7.3%	High	Loss
Jordan Beck	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.09	—	+5.4%	High	Void
Corbin Carroll	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.53	7	-2.3%	Low	Win
Jake McCarthy	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.50	0	+19.3%	High	Loss
Ketel Marte	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.65	2	+4.5%	Medium	Win
Gabriel Moreno	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.65	3	+5.9%	High	Win
TJ Rumfield	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.46	1	+4.5%	Medium	Loss
Mickey Moniak	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.75	1	+9.6%	High	Loss
Geraldo Perdomo	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.77	2	+12.8%	High	Win
Cole Carrigg	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.66	1	+10.4%	High	Loss
Hunter Goodman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.02	0	+15.1%	High	Loss
Nolan Arenado	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.95	0	+18.2%	High	Loss
Tim Tawa	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.53	0	+9.7%	High	Loss
Merrill Kelly	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	4.46	2	+2.0%	Low	Win
Ryan Feltner	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	3.21	2	+0.5%	Low	Loss

HOU @ SF

8–2331 dec25.8%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Yordan Alvarez	Hits	Over 1.5	1.13	1	-0.3%	Low	Loss
Jung Hoo Lee	Hits	Over 1.5	1.11	0	+2.6%	Medium	Loss
Isaac Paredes	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	0	-1.4%	Low	Loss
Cam Smith	Hits	Over 0.5	1.24	0	+10.5%	High	Loss
Christian Walker	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	—	-2.3%	Low	Void
Daulton Varsho	Hits	Under 0.5	0.67	0	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Bryce Eldridge	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	0	+1.3%	Low	Loss
Willy Adames	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	1	-0.2%	Low	Win
Osleivis Basabe	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	0	+10.4%	High	Loss
Rafael Devers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	0	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Nick Allen	Hits	Under 0.5	0.59	1	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Victor Bericoto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	1	+10.4%	High	Win
Drew Gilbert	Hits	Over 0.5	0.67	0	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Christian Koss	Hits	Under 0.5	0.47	2	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Yordan Alvarez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.39	1	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Jung Hoo Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.13	0	+5.9%	High	Loss
Isaac Paredes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.54	1	-2.8%	Low	Win
Christian Walker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.87	—	+2.5%	Medium	Void
Cam Smith	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.62	0	+18.8%	High	Loss
Daulton Varsho	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.21	0	+3.2%	Medium	Win
Bryce Eldridge	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.58	0	+1.0%	Low	Loss
Rafael Devers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.79	0	+7.6%	High	Loss
Willy Adames	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.49	2	+2.2%	Low	Win
Osleivis Basabe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.20	0	+17.4%	High	Loss
Nick Allen	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.19	2	-3.2%	Low	Win
Drew Gilbert	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.52	0	+11.4%	High	Loss
Victor Bericoto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.75	2	+11.5%	High	Win
Christian Koss	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.64	2	-2.9%	Low	Loss
Yordan Alvarez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.93	1	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Jung Hoo Lee	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.94	0	+13.2%	High	Loss
Isaac Paredes	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.37	0	+3.1%	Medium	Loss
Christian Walker	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.48	—	+5.9%	High	Void
Cam Smith	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.19	0	+21.9%	Low	Loss
Daulton Varsho	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.05	0	-2.7%	Low	Loss

MIL @ SD

22–2244 dec50.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Hits	Under 1.5	1.00	0	-3.2%	Low	Win
Jackson Chourio	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	0	+2.5%	Medium	Loss
William Contreras	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	0	+1.7%	Low	Win
Jackson Merrill	Hits	Over 0.5	1.23	1	+9.4%	High	Win
Ty France	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	2	+2.7%	Medium	Win
Andrew Vaughn	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	0	-3.3%	Low	Loss
Manny Machado	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	0	-0.9%	Low	Loss
Jake Cronenworth	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	1	-0.2%	Low	Win
Luis Lara	Hits	Under 0.5	0.65	0	-1.3%	Low	Win
Jake Bauers	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	1	+9.8%	High	Win
Freddy Fermin	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	0	+6.6%	High	Loss
Brandon Lockridge	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	0	+7.7%	High	Loss
Joey Ortiz	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	1	+6.8%	High	Win
Luis Rengifo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	1	+9.6%	High	Win
Xander Bogaerts	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	1	+5.3%	High	Win
Gavin Sheets	Hits	Under 0.5	0.47	0	-0.8%	Low	Win
David Hamilton	Hits	Over 0.5	0.65	0	+6.1%	High	Loss
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.31	1	+8.9%	High	Loss
Jackson Chourio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.29	0	+6.5%	High	Loss
William Contreras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.57	0	-3.1%	Low	Loss
Andrew Vaughn	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.61	0	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Ty France	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.96	2	+6.6%	High	Win
Jackson Merrill	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.86	2	+23.6%	Low	Win
Manny Machado	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.85	0	+7.0%	High	Loss
Jake Bauers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.34	1	+15.9%	High	Loss
Jake Cronenworth	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.46	3	+0.9%	Low	Win
Luis Lara	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.27	0	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Joey Ortiz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.64	2	+9.4%	High	Win
Freddy Fermin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.57	0	+8.4%	High	Loss
Brandon Lockridge	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	0	+13.0%	High	Loss
Luis Rengifo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.70	1	+11.6%	High	Win
Xander Bogaerts	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.36	3	+7.7%	High	Win
Gavin Sheets	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.06	0	+0.8%	Low	Loss
David Hamilton	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.20	0	+8.8%	High	Loss
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.02	0	+15.1%	High	Loss
Jackson Chourio	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.13	0	+15.3%	High	Loss
William Contreras	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.18	0	-0.8%	Low	Loss
Jackson Merrill	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.32	2	+24.7%	Low	Win
Manny Machado	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.28	0	+4.6%	Medium	Loss
Ty France	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.63	2	+11.4%	High	Win
Andrew Vaughn	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.25	0	+3.4%	Medium	Loss
Robbie Ray	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	4.52	4	+8.0%	High	Win
Dustin May	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.20	6	+4.9%	Medium	Win
Robbie Ray	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	4.52	4	+2.4%	Low	Win

CLE @ DET

19–1635 dec54.3%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Dillon Dingler	Hits	Over 1.5	1.16	0	+3.6%	Medium	Loss
Chase DeLauter	Hits	Over 0.5	1.13	2	+1.6%	Low	Win
Steven Kwan	Hits	Over 0.5	1.42	1	+13.9%	High	Win
Kevin McGonigle	Hits	Over 0.5	1.20	0	+9.4%	High	Loss
Gleyber Torres	Hits	Under 0.5	0.88	2	-3.1%	Low	Loss
Jo Adell	Hits	Under 0.5	0.64	1	+6.4%	High	Loss
Eduardo Valencia	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	—	+3.2%	Medium	Void
Spencer Torkelson	Hits	Over 0.5	1.19	1	+13.3%	High	Win
Hao-Yu Lee	Hits	Under 0.5	0.67	1	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Max Clark	Hits	Over 0.5	1.20	1	+17.3%	High	Win
Travis Bazzana	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	—	+6.3%	High	Void
Angel Genao	Hits	Over 0.5	1.17	1	+9.2%	High	Win
Austin Hedges	Hits	Over 0.5	0.64	1	-0.2%	Low	Win
Rhys Hoskins	Hits	Under 0.5	0.50	0	-1.0%	Low	Win
Ben Malgeri	Hits	Over 0.5	0.55	0	-2.4%	Low	Loss
Dillon Dingler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.87	1	+12.5%	High	Loss
Chase DeLauter	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.39	3	+12.2%	High	Win
Gleyber Torres	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.28	4	+9.9%	High	Win
Eduardo Valencia	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.79	—	+12.6%	High	Void
Jo Adell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.43	4	-2.4%	Low	Loss
Steven Kwan	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.35	2	+18.4%	High	Win
Kevin McGonigle	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.85	1	+23.3%	Low	Loss
Spencer Torkelson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.27	3	+14.5%	High	Win
Hao-Yu Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.50	2	+0.7%	Low	Win
Max Clark	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.50	1	+24.5%	Low	Loss
Travis Bazzana	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.57	—	+8.0%	High	Void
Angel Genao	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.17	3	+19.8%	High	Win
Rhys Hoskins	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.29	0	+6.2%	High	Loss
Austin Hedges	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.28	2	+7.3%	High	Win
Ben Malgeri	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.23	0	+9.4%	High	Loss
Dillon Dingler	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.29	0	+12.8%	High	Loss
Chase DeLauter	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.78	3	+11.7%	High	Win
Jo Adell	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.20	4	+0.8%	Low	Win
Gleyber Torres	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.41	5	+5.1%	High	Win
Kevin McGonigle	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.98	0	+19.5%	High	Loss
Spencer Torkelson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.63	2	+10.6%	High	Win
Eduardo Valencia	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.28	—	+19.5%	High	Void
Steven Kwan	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.73	1	+17.7%	High	Loss
Foster Griffin	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	4.40	3	+6.8%	High	Win
Framber Valdez	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.77	3	+3.4%	Medium	Loss

PIT @ MIA

23–1841 dec56.1%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Carmen Mlodzinski	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	2.43	1	+16.9%	High	Win
Janson Junk	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.76	2	+6.9%	High	Win
Jake Mangum	Hits	Under 1.5	1.03	0	-1.7%	Low	Win
Xavier Edwards	Hits	Under 1.5	0.93	1	+2.4%	Low	Win
Otto Lopez	Hits	Over 1.5	1.14	0	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Nick Gonzales	Hits	Under 0.5	0.88	2	+1.8%	Low	Loss
Brandon Lowe	Hits	Under 0.5	0.85	1	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Spencer Horwitz	Hits	Under 0.5	0.64	0	+4.7%	Medium	Win
Javier Sanoja	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	1	+3.6%	Medium	Win
Bryan Reynolds	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	0	+2.2%	Low	Loss
Ronny Simon	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	2	+6.0%	High	Win
Jakob Marsee	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	1	-1.5%	Low	Win
Griffin Conine	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	2	+3.2%	Medium	Win
Jacob Gonzalez	Hits	Under 0.5	0.63	0	-1.9%	Low	Win
Esmerlyn Valdez	Hits	Under 0.5	0.49	1	+4.4%	Medium	Loss
Esteury Ruiz	Hits	Over 0.5	0.68	—	-0.8%	Low	Void
Joe Mack	Hits	Over 0.5	0.65	1	+0.5%	Low	Win
Henry Davis	Hits	Over 0.5	0.57	0	-2.7%	Low	Loss
Owen Caissie	Hits	Over 0.5	0.57	0	-2.3%	Low	Loss
Xavier Edwards	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.79	3	-1.4%	Low	Win
Otto Lopez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.18	0	+6.7%	High	Loss
Jake Mangum	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.92	0	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Brandon Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.90	1	+2.1%	Low	Loss
Nick Gonzales	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.63	4	-1.8%	Low	Win
Spencer Horwitz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.34	0	-0.8%	Low	Win
Jakob Marsee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.63	2	+2.7%	Medium	Win
Javier Sanoja	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.92	2	+7.8%	High	Win
Bryan Reynolds	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.88	0	+7.5%	High	Loss
Griffin Conine	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.81	6	+7.0%	High	Win
Ronny Simon	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.83	2	+8.4%	High	Win
Esmerlyn Valdez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.34	2	-0.3%	Low	Win
Jacob Gonzalez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.28	0	+2.2%	Low	Loss
Esteury Ruiz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.40	—	+4.0%	Medium	Void
Joe Mack	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.51	2	+7.5%	High	Win
Owen Caissie	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.62	0	+10.8%	High	Loss
Henry Davis	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.24	0	+4.2%	Medium	Loss
Brandon Lowe	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.60	1	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Xavier Edwards	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.22	1	-2.3%	Low	Win
Jake Mangum	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.48	0	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Otto Lopez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.54	0	+6.4%	High	Loss
Nick Gonzales	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.15	3	-1.5%	Low	Win
Spencer Horwitz	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.96	0	-2.2%	Low	Win
Bryan Reynolds	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.36	0	+6.0%	High	Loss

CHC @ WSH

21–2344 dec47.7%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Nico Hoerner	Hits	Over 1.5	1.17	1	-0.2%	Low	Loss
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Hits	Over 1.5	1.14	1	-0.8%	Low	Loss
Seiya Suzuki	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	2	-1.7%	Low	Win
Alex Bregman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	3	+2.0%	Low	Win
Michael Busch	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	1	+2.2%	Low	Win
Dylan Crews	Hits	Under 0.5	0.82	0	+0.7%	Low	Win
Carson Kelly	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	0	+4.6%	Medium	Loss
Brady House	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	1	-2.8%	Low	Win
CJ Abrams	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	0	+5.5%	High	Loss
Daylen Lile	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	2	-2.3%	Low	Win
Dansby Swanson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.72	2	-0.8%	Low	Loss
Ian Happ	Hits	Under 0.5	0.70	1	+0.1%	Low	Loss
Jacob Young	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	2	+2.7%	Medium	Win
Andrés Chaparro	Hits	Under 0.5	0.54	0	+3.9%	Medium	Win
Harry Ford	Hits	Under 0.5	0.56	2	+2.3%	Low	Loss
Tyrone Taylor	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	0	+2.8%	Medium	Loss
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.94	3	+9.5%	High	Win
Seiya Suzuki	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.36	6	+4.7%	Medium	Win
Nico Hoerner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.22	1	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Michael Busch	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.00	1	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Alex Bregman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.41	13	+9.2%	High	Win
Dylan Crews	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.65	0	-3.3%	Low	Loss
Carson Kelly	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.13	0	+7.8%	High	Loss
Ian Happ	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.63	2	-1.9%	Low	Win
CJ Abrams	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.50	0	+14.1%	High	Loss
Dansby Swanson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.77	7	+1.5%	Low	Win
Brady House	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.62	2	+0.7%	Low	Win
Daylen Lile	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.87	5	+8.4%	High	Win
Andrés Chaparro	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.69	0	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Harry Ford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.36	5	+0.3%	Low	Win
Jacob Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	2	+11.3%	High	Win
Tyrone Taylor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.83	0	+13.2%	High	Loss
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.28	2	+9.3%	High	Win
Seiya Suzuki	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.86	2	+7.1%	High	Win
Michael Busch	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.59	1	+4.6%	Medium	Loss
Dylan Crews	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.37	0	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Alex Bregman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.77	12	+9.6%	High	Win
Nico Hoerner	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.83	1	+11.6%	High	Loss
CJ Abrams	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.94	0	+14.4%	High	Loss
Ian Happ	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.42	1	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
Brady House	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.33	1	+3.7%	Medium	Loss
Carson Kelly	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.42	0	+5.8%	High	Loss
Dansby Swanson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.28	6	+4.3%	Medium	Win
David Peterson	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	4.29	6	-2.6%	Low	Loss

SEA @ NYY

25–1540 dec62.5%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Ben Rice	Hits	Under 0.5	0.62	2	+6.4%	High	Loss
Cole Young	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	1	+4.0%	Medium	Win
Dominic Canzone	Hits	Under 0.5	0.72	2	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Josh Naylor	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	1	+4.2%	Medium	Win
Heliot Ramos	Hits	Under 0.5	0.74	0	-0.6%	Low	Win
Trent Grisham	Hits	Under 0.5	0.78	3	-2.8%	Low	Loss
Randy Arozarena	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	1	+1.0%	Low	Win
Taylor Ward	Hits	Under 0.5	0.69	1	+0.3%	Low	Loss
Brendan Donovan	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	1	-0.4%	Low	Win
George Lombard Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	2	+10.6%	High	Win
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	Hits	Under 0.5	0.63	1	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Cal Raleigh	Hits	Under 0.5	0.49	1	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Colt Emerson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.61	0	-3.4%	Low	Loss
Ryan McMahon	Hits	Over 0.5	0.65	2	+0.9%	Low	Win
Spencer Jones	Hits	Over 0.5	0.53	2	-3.3%	Low	Win
Austin Wells	Hits	Over 0.5	0.65	1	+4.6%	Medium	Win
Ben Rice	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.47	6	-1.4%	Low	Loss
Trent Grisham	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.70	10	+0.2%	Low	Win
Dominic Canzone	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.30	4	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Cole Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.77	2	+5.4%	High	Win
Heliot Ramos	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.23	0	-1.9%	Low	Win
Randy Arozarena	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.91	5	+7.4%	High	Win
Taylor Ward	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.15	1	+1.4%	Low	Win
Josh Naylor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.75	2	+5.4%	High	Win
Cal Raleigh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.29	1	-3.3%	Low	Loss
Brendan Donovan	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.17	1	-1.9%	Low	Win
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.30	3	-1.1%	Low	Win
George Lombard Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.00	4	+17.4%	High	Win
Colt Emerson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.16	0	+2.3%	Low	Loss
Ryan McMahon	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.37	3	+8.1%	High	Win
Spencer Jones	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.29	5	+6.9%	High	Win
Austin Wells	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.14	2	+10.8%	High	Win
Ben Rice	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.30	3	-1.3%	Low	Win
Trent Grisham	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.59	10	+7.1%	High	Win
Dominic Canzone	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.12	5	-0.8%	Low	Win
Heliot Ramos	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.14	0	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Cole Young	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.49	1	+8.8%	High	Loss
Josh Naylor	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.67	1	+13.7%	High	Loss
Bryce Miller	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	4.01	5	+15.9%	High	Win
Will Warren	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.35	3	+5.2%	High	Loss

BOS @ TOR

23–1235 dec65.7%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Ceddanne Rafaela	Hits	Over 0.5	1.22	1	+8.6%	High	Win
Masataka Yoshida	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	0	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	2	-0.2%	Low	Win
Ernie Clement	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	1	-3.2%	Low	Win
Alejandro Kirk	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	1	+7.0%	High	Win
Wilyer Abreu	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	1	+7.4%	High	Win
George Springer	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	0	+4.1%	Medium	Loss
Caleb Durbin	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	2	+3.5%	Medium	Win
Willson Contreras	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	1	+1.7%	Low	Win
Nick Sogard	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	1	+6.4%	High	Win
Brett Bateman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.20	1	+17.8%	High	Win
Myles Straw	Hits	Over 0.5	0.65	2	-3.3%	Low	Win
Jarren Duran	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	1	+5.9%	High	Win
Andruw Monasterio	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	1	+10.7%	High	Win
Charles McAdoo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.50	2	+2.4%	Low	Loss
Nathan Lukes	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	—	+8.1%	High	Void
Ceddanne Rafaela	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.67	1	+18.6%	High	Loss
Masataka Yoshida	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.96	0	+9.4%	High	Loss
Wilyer Abreu	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.69	2	+21.0%	Low	Win
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.76	3	+5.0%	Medium	Win
Willson Contreras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.83	4	+7.0%	High	Win
George Springer	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.70	1	+5.9%	High	Loss
Alejandro Kirk	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.81	1	+9.3%	High	Loss
Ernie Clement	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.57	4	+3.5%	Medium	Win
Nick Sogard	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.51	1	+4.2%	Medium	Loss
Caleb Durbin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.16	4	+18.6%	High	Win
Jarren Duran	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.84	2	+12.8%	High	Win
Brett Bateman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.20	1	+28.2%	Low	Loss
Andruw Monasterio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.04	2	+18.8%	High	Win
Charles McAdoo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.30	2	+2.2%	Low	Win
Myles Straw	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.27	4	+2.0%	Low	Win
Nathan Lukes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.45	—	+9.9%	High	Void
Ceddanne Rafaela	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.23	1	+24.0%	Low	Loss
Wilyer Abreu	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.23	2	+21.6%	Low	Win
Masataka Yoshida	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.55	0	+10.1%	High	Loss
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.37	2	+5.8%	High	Win
Ranger Suarez	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.45	2	+1.8%	Low	Loss

NYM @ ATL

17–2138 dec44.7%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Bo Bichette	Hits	Over 1.5	1.17	1	+1.5%	Low	Loss
Drake Baldwin	Hits	Under 1.5	0.98	3	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Michael Harris II	Hits	Over 0.5	1.11	0	+0.7%	Low	Loss
Matt Olson	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	0	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Ozzie Albies	Hits	Under 0.5	0.80	0	+1.8%	Low	Win
Luis Robert Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	1	-2.8%	Low	Win
Carson Benge	Hits	Over 0.5	1.27	2	+12.0%	High	Win
Francisco Lindor	Hits	Over 0.5	1.08	0	+7.8%	High	Loss
A.J. Ewing	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	1	-0.1%	Low	Win
Francisco Alvarez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.76	0	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Austin Riley	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	3	+5.1%	High	Win
Lane Thomas	Hits	Under 0.5	0.59	1	+0.5%	Low	Loss
Marcus Semien	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	0	+0.9%	Low	Loss
Jorge Polanco	Hits	Under 0.5	0.40	—	+6.4%	High	Void
Jared Young	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	1	+11.6%	High	Win
Sean Murphy	Hits	Under 0.5	0.43	1	+0.9%	Low	Loss
Matt Olson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.63	0	+12.3%	High	Loss
Drake Baldwin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	4	+0.6%	Low	Win
Michael Harris II	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.06	0	+3.3%	Medium	Loss
Bo Bichette	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.26	3	+7.5%	High	Win
Ozzie Albies	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.61	0	-3.4%	Low	Win
Luis Robert Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.66	3	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Francisco Lindor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.25	0	+13.3%	High	Loss
Carson Benge	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.40	2	+17.9%	High	Win
A.J. Ewing	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.52	1	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Austin Riley	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.94	6	+11.0%	High	Win
Lane Thomas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.14	3	-1.6%	Low	Loss
Francisco Alvarez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.46	0	+2.5%	Low	Loss
Marcus Semien	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.78	0	+10.8%	High	Loss
Jared Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.90	1	+18.3%	High	Win
Jorge Polanco	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.78	—	-2.5%	Low	Void
Sean Murphy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.57	1	+2.0%	Low	Loss
Matt Olson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.62	0	+20.1%	Low	Loss
Bo Bichette	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.70	4	+7.5%	High	Win
Drake Baldwin	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.38	3	+0.8%	Low	Win
Ozzie Albies	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.49	0	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Michael Harris II	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.79	0	+10.9%	High	Loss
Francisco Lindor	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.86	0	+13.9%	High	Loss
Tyler Mahle	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	6.17	7	+20.5%	Low	Win
Tyler Mahle	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	6.17	7	+20.9%	Low	Win

CIN @ CWS

16–2238 dec42.1%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Miguel Vargas	Hits	Under 0.5	0.79	—	+2.5%	Medium	Void
Sam Antonacci	Hits	Under 0.5	0.77	3	+3.4%	Medium	Loss
Elly De La Cruz	Hits	Under 0.5	0.89	0	-2.3%	Low	Win
Sal Stewart	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	2	+1.0%	Low	Win
Chase Meidroth	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	2	+0.8%	Low	Win
Braden Montgomery	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	1	+3.9%	Medium	Loss
Colson Montgomery	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	1	-3.4%	Low	Win
Tyler Stephenson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	0	+3.3%	Medium	Loss
JJ Bleday	Hits	Under 0.5	0.69	0	-1.6%	Low	Win
Munetaka Murakami	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	0	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Dane Myers	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	0	-0.9%	Low	Win
Andrew Benintendi	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	0	-0.2%	Low	Loss
Tristan Peters	Hits	Under 0.5	0.53	1	+2.1%	Low	Loss
Matt McLain	Hits	Over 0.5	0.68	0	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Ke'Bryan Hayes	Hits	Under 0.5	0.31	—	+8.8%	High	Void
Drew Romo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.35	2	+4.6%	Medium	Loss
Miguel Vargas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	—	+0.2%	Low	Void
Elly De La Cruz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.21	0	+6.7%	High	Loss
Sam Antonacci	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.51	3	-1.0%	Low	Loss
Munetaka Murakami	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.02	0	+4.2%	Medium	Loss
Sal Stewart	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.37	2	+10.7%	High	Win
Colson Montgomery	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.90	3	+4.1%	Medium	Win
Braden Montgomery	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.61	1	-0.0%	Low	Loss
Chase Meidroth	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.10	5	+10.6%	High	Win
JJ Bleday	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.56	0	+0.4%	Low	Loss
Tyler Stephenson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.91	0	+10.6%	High	Loss
Andrew Benintendi	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.67	0	+5.2%	High	Loss
Tristan Peters	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.26	2	+0.0%	Low	Win
Dane Myers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.17	0	-2.0%	Low	Win
Matt McLain	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.56	0	+9.0%	High	Loss
Ke'Bryan Hayes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.61	—	+1.6%	Low	Void
Drew Romo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.75	5	-3.1%	Low	Win
Miguel Vargas	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.73	—	+5.1%	High	Void
Elly De La Cruz	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.73	0	+7.9%	High	Loss
Colson Montgomery	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.53	1	+5.8%	High	Loss
JJ Bleday	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.46	0	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Munetaka Murakami	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.02	0	+15.2%	High	Loss
Sal Stewart	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.85	2	+12.8%	High	Win
Sam Antonacci	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.10	4	-3.2%	Low	Win
Braden Montgomery	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.07	1	-3.1%	Low	Loss
Chase Meidroth	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.59	5	+13.5%	High	Win
Luis Castillo	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	3.78	10	+33.0%	Low	Loss
Rhett Lowder	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.84	4	+1.4%	Low	Win

KC @ LAD

20–2141 dec48.8%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Andy Pages	Hits	Over 0.5	1.08	1	+0.8%	Low	Win
Bobby Witt Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	1.05	2	+0.9%	Low	Win
Freddie Freeman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.13	1	+3.3%	Medium	Win
Shohei Ohtani	Hits	Over 0.5	1.11	2	+2.3%	Low	Win
Mookie Betts	Hits	Under 0.5	0.91	2	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Tommy Edman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.78	0	+2.0%	Low	Win
Jac Caglianone	Hits	Over 0.5	1.33	1	+14.7%	High	Win
Kyle Tucker	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	0	-0.4%	Low	Loss
Salvador Perez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	1	+3.2%	Medium	Win
Nick Loftin	Hits	Under 0.5	0.67	0	-2.8%	Low	Win
Max Muncy	Hits	Over 0.5	0.77	0	+0.3%	Low	Loss
Michael Massey	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	0	+6.3%	High	Loss
Starling Marte	Hits	Under 0.5	0.53	1	-0.4%	Low	Loss
Tyler Tolbert	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	0	+1.8%	Low	Loss
Hunter Feduccia	Hits	Over 0.5	0.64	1	+2.0%	Low	Win
Carter Jensen	Hits	Over 0.5	0.60	0	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Kyle Isbel	Hits	Over 0.5	0.54	—	-0.1%	Low	Void
Shohei Ohtani	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.33	5	+3.3%	Medium	Win
Freddie Freeman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.87	1	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Andy Pages	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.03	1	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Bobby Witt Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.15	2	+6.5%	High	Win
Mookie Betts	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.71	4	-3.5%	Low	Loss
Tommy Edman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.58	0	-3.1%	Low	Win
Kyle Tucker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.96	0	+4.4%	Medium	Loss
Jac Caglianone	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.76	2	+20.6%	Low	Win
Max Muncy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.81	0	+5.3%	High	Loss
Salvador Perez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.68	2	+6.1%	High	Win
Nick Loftin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.23	0	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Hunter Feduccia	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.12	3	+6.0%	High	Win
Starling Marte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.15	1	+5.1%	High	Win
Tyler Tolbert	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.44	1	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Michael Massey	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.57	0	+10.8%	High	Loss
Carter Jensen	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.53	0	+11.4%	High	Loss
Kyle Isbel	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.10	—	+6.7%	High	Void
Bobby Witt Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.47	3	-3.3%	Low	Win
Shohei Ohtani	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.94	5	+8.8%	High	Win
Andy Pages	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.69	1	+5.0%	Medium	Loss
Freddie Freeman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.44	1	+2.1%	Low	Loss
Jac Caglianone	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.52	1	+23.2%	Low	Loss
Mookie Betts	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.49	5	+5.4%	High	Win
Tommy Edman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.15	0	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Kyle Tucker	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.53	0	+9.2%	High	Loss
Eric Lauer	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.26	6	+10.6%	High	Loss

TEX @ LAA

14–2640 dec35.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
George Klassen	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.00	5	+30.4%	Low	Loss
Cal Quantrill	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	2.82	6	+10.5%	High	Loss
Brandon Nimmo	Hits	Over 0.5	1.33	0	+8.2%	High	Loss
Nolan Schanuel	Hits	Under 0.5	0.86	0	-2.8%	Low	Win
Vaughn Grissom	Hits	Under 0.5	0.79	0	-0.5%	Low	Win
Corey Seager	Hits	Under 0.5	0.81	3	-2.4%	Low	Loss
Wade Meckler	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	1	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Wyatt Langford	Hits	Under 0.5	0.65	0	+4.0%	Medium	Win
Zach Neto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	0	-2.9%	Low	Loss
Ezequiel Duran	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	0	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Joc Pederson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	1	+1.3%	Low	Loss
Mike Trout	Hits	Under 0.5	0.72	3	-1.5%	Low	Loss
Jake Burger	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	0	-0.6%	Low	Loss
Denzer Guzman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.67	1	-2.4%	Low	Loss
Evan Carter	Hits	Under 0.5	0.32	1	+11.9%	High	Loss
Nicky Lopez	Hits	Under 0.5	0.58	0	-1.8%	Low	Win
Josh Lowe	Hits	Under 0.5	0.49	0	-1.0%	Low	Win
Tyler Heineman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.43	—	+0.9%	Low	Void
Brandon Nimmo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.46	0	+10.7%	High	Loss
Corey Seager	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.72	5	-2.1%	Low	Win
Wyatt Langford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.52	0	-2.1%	Low	Win
Joc Pederson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.50	2	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Nolan Schanuel	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.76	0	+2.8%	Medium	Loss
Mike Trout	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.62	5	-0.5%	Low	Win
Zach Neto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.74	1	+2.2%	Low	Loss
Vaughn Grissom	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.43	1	-3.5%	Low	Win
Wade Meckler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.78	1	+4.1%	Medium	Loss
Ezequiel Duran	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.17	0	+11.5%	High	Loss
Jake Burger	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.59	0	+2.3%	Low	Loss
Evan Carter	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.86	2	+5.7%	High	Loss
Denzer Guzman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.22	3	-2.2%	Low	Win
Nicky Lopez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.07	0	-1.7%	Low	Win
Josh Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.83	0	-2.5%	Low	Loss
Tyler Heineman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.76	—	-2.4%	Low	Void
Brandon Nimmo	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.16	0	+15.5%	High	Loss
Corey Seager	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.34	7	+0.0%	Low	Win
Mike Trout	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.40	3	+3.5%	Medium	Win
Wyatt Langford	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.27	0	+1.0%	Low	Loss
Joc Pederson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.49	1	+5.7%	High	Loss
Zach Neto	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.43	0	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Nolan Schanuel	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.32	0	+2.6%	Medium	Loss
Vaughn Grissom	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.13	0	-0.2%	Low	Loss

all settled dates