Current GameTime forecast · model output, not history
Published pregame ranges
KC @ DEN · Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET · Model status: published families, and estimates labelled as such
- Passing yardsEstimate · calibration standard not yet met
- 187 (range 101–311)
- Rushing yardsEstimate · calibration standard not yet met
- 13 (range 0–42)
- Anytime touchdown
- 20.0% chance to score, if he plays
Forecast record · what we said, and what happened
Our forecasts for Bo Nix
21 published forecasts, newest first — the latest 8 shown, the rest below. Each was frozen before the game and checked against the official result.
| Game | Forecast | We said | What happened |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Rushing yards | 8.2 (range 0–29.9) | Actual 73 · missed by 64.8 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Passing yards | 182.5 (range 99.6–302.4) | Actual 222 · missed by 39.5 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 14.0% chance | Happened |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 13.2% chance | Did not happen |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Passing yards | 192.7 (range 105.9–317.7) | Actual 107 · missed by 85.7 |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Rushing yards | 7.9 (range 0–32.0) | Actual 2 · missed by 5.9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 13.9% chance | Did not happen |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rushing yards | 8.5 (range 0–31.7) | Actual 10 · missed by 1.5 |
Show 13 older forecasts
| Game | Forecast | We said | What happened |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Passing yards | 202.5 (range 112.2–331.9) | Actual 123 · missed by 79.5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Passing yards | 206.5 (range 113.5–340.5) | Actual 214 · missed by 7.5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Rushing yards | 9.5 (range 0.6–42.8) | Actual 10 · missed by 0.5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 17.6% chance | Did not happen |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Passing yards | 214.3 (range 118.8–351.3) | Actual 186 · missed by 28.3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 15.2% chance | Happened |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rushing yards | 12.0 (range 0.9–50.8) | Actual 7 · missed by 5.0 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 16.6% chance | Did not happen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Passing yards | 197.6 (range 109.2–324.5) | Actual 288 · missed by 90.4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Rushing yards | 14.4 (range 1.3–58.1) | Actual 6 · missed by 8.4 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 19.3% chance | Did not happen |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Passing yards | 161 (range 56–270) | Actual 131 · missed by 30 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Rushing yards | 16 (range 1–46) | Actual 2 · missed by 14 |
How each forecast type has done overall: Rushing yards · Passing yards · Anytime touchdown
2026 recorded snapshot
Totals over the games GameTime recorded that season, not a complete season line.
Recent form and game log
Factual lines only, newest first. Team and opponent are the ones for that game.
Last 3 / 5 / 10 recorded games
| Stat | Last 3 · avg (n) | Last 5 · avg (n) | Last 10 · avg (n) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing attempts | 5 (n=3) | 4.2 (n=5) | 5.8 (n=10) |
| Rushing yards | 28.3 (n=3) | 20.4 (n=5) | 23 (n=10) |
| Rushing TDs | 0.3 (n=3) | 0.4 (n=5) | 0.3 (n=10) |
Recorded 73, 2, 10 rushing yards in the last 3 available games.
Averages use only games where the stat was recorded; n is that number of games. A window with fewer games than its size says so.
Rushing yards, game by game
Game log
7 recorded games · 29 rushing attempts · 110 rushing yards · 2 rushing tds| Date | Team | Opponent | Team result | ATT | YDS | TD | Game page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | DEN | @ ARI | W 30–16 | 7 | 73 | 1 | Game → |
| Oct 15, 2026 | DEN | vs SEA | W 17–14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | Game → |
| Oct 11, 2026 | DEN | @ LAC | W 23–17 | 4 | 10 | 0 | Game → |
| Oct 4, 2026 | DEN | @ SF | L 14–24 | 2 | 10 | 0 | Game → |
| Sep 27, 2026 | DEN | vs LAR | W 30–26 | 4 | 7 | 1 | Game → |
| Sep 20, 2026 | DEN | vs JAX | W 20–13 | 5 | 6 | 0 | Game → |
| Sep 14, 2026 | DEN | @ KC | L 10–31 | 3 | 2 | 0 | Game → |
