NFL · Rushing yards
487 forecasts published · 346 measured · 0 not final · 141 void or not measurable. Models: not recorded by this forecast's record.
18.7average miss (n 346)
11.5median miss
27.5root-mean-square miss
-10.1bias (+ = we projected high)
84.4%inside our 80% range (n 346) — about 80% is the target, higher is not better
80–65pick record: the side of the sportsbook line our projection pointed to
Latest forecasts
The 60 most recent of 487. Download all 487 as CSV.
| Game | Forecast for | What we said | Market | What happened | Scored |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 DET @ CAR | Bryce Young · CAR | 1.4 (range 0–25.4) published 2026-10-04 23:51Z | line 12.5 | Actual 3 | missed by 1.6 · inside range |
| 2026-10-05 DET @ CAR | Chuba Hubbard · CAR | 49.1 (range 12.6–127.0) published 2026-10-04 23:51Z | line 66.5 | Actual 122 | missed by 72.9 · inside range |
| 2026-10-05 DET @ CAR | AJ Dillon · CAR | 9.6 (range 0.4–48.1) published 2026-10-04 23:51Z | line 12.5 | Actual 2 | missed by 7.6 · inside range |
| 2026-10-05 DET @ CAR | Justin Jackson · DET | 3.9 (range 0.0–34.0) published 2026-10-04 23:51Z | — | Not measurable — no official line | — |
| 2026-10-05 DET @ CAR | Jared Goff · DET | 2.9 (range 0.0–27.1) published 2026-10-04 23:51Z | line 0.5 | Not measurable — no official line | — |
| 2026-10-05 DET @ CAR | Sione Vaki · DET | 2.6 (range 0–29.7) published 2026-10-04 23:51Z | line 11.5 | Not measurable — no official line | — |
| 2026-10-05 DET @ CAR | Jahmyr Gibbs · DET | 75.0 (range 23.8–173.4) published 2026-10-04 23:51Z | line 98.5 | Actual 46 | missed by 29.0 · inside range |
| 2026-10-04 LAC @ SEA | Keaton Mitchell · LAC | 13.3 (range 1.2–53.9) published 2026-10-04 19:24Z | line 18.5 | Actual 39 | missed by 25.7 · inside range |
| 2026-10-04 KC @ LV | Ashton Jeanty · LV | 51.2 (range 16.1–119.0) published 2026-10-04 19:24Z | line 58.5 | Actual 58 | missed by 6.8 · inside range |
| 2026-10-04 LAC @ SEA | Omarion Hampton · LAC | 39.8 (range 11.0–99.3) published 2026-10-04 19:24Z | line 46.5 | Actual 45 | missed by 5.2 · inside range |
| 2026-10-04 DEN @ SF | Deebo Samuel Sr. · SF | 0.6 (range 0–20.5) published 2026-10-04 19:24Z | — | Actual 44 | missed by 43.4 · outside range |
| 2026-10-04 LAC @ SEA | Emanuel Wilson · SEA | 31.2 (range 6.5–89.4) published 2026-10-04 19:24Z | line 49.5 | Actual 81 | missed by 49.8 · inside range |
| 2026-10-04 KC @ LV | Mike Washington Jr. · LV | 10.2 (range 0.4–53.2) published 2026-10-04 19:24Z | line 16.5 | Actual 18 | missed by 7.8 · inside range |
| 2026-10-04 KC @ LV | Emmett Johnson · KC | 10.5 (range 0.6–49.6) published 2026-10-04 19:24Z | line 15.5 | Not measurable — no official line | — |
| 2026-10-04 LAC @ SEA | Justin Herbert · LAC | 9.2 (range 0.5–43.9) published 2026-10-04 19:24Z | line 20.5 | Actual 40 | missed by 30.8 · inside range |
| 2026-10-04 LAC @ SEA | Kimani Vidal · LAC | 3.3 (range 0.0–26.8) published 2026-10-04 19:24Z | — | Actual 25 | missed by 21.7 · inside range |
| 2026-10-04 KC @ LV | Chris Collier · LV | 5.5 (range 0.1–36.3) published 2026-10-04 19:24Z | — | Not measurable — no official line | — |
| 2026-10-04 KC @ LV | Kirk Cousins · LV | 3.6 (range 0.0–23.8) published 2026-10-04 19:24Z | line 0.5 | Not measurable — no official line | — |
| 2026-10-04 LAC @ SEA | George Holani · SEA | 9.7 (range 0.5–47.3) published 2026-10-04 19:24Z | line 32.5 | Actual 18 | missed by 8.3 · inside range |
| 2026-10-04 KC @ LV | Kenneth Walker III · KC | 83.5 (range 26.9–191.5) published 2026-10-04 19:24Z | line 86.5 | Actual 177 | missed by 93.5 · inside range |
| 2026-10-04 LAC @ SEA | Velus Jones Jr. · SEA | 5.1 (range 0.0–37.7) published 2026-10-04 19:24Z | — | Not measurable — no official line | — |
| 2026-10-04 DEN @ SF | Bo Nix · DEN | 9.5 (range 0.6–42.8) published 2026-10-04 19:24Z | line 16.5 | Actual 10 | missed by 0.5 · inside range |
| 2026-10-04 LAC @ SEA | Trey Lance · LAC | 11.8 (range 1.0–49.0) published 2026-10-04 19:24Z | — | Not measurable — no official line | — |
| 2026-10-04 KC @ LV | Patrick Mahomes · KC | 4.7 (range 0.0–38.5) published 2026-10-04 19:24Z | line 15.5 | Actual 0 | missed by 4.7 · outside range |
| 2026-10-04 DEN @ SF | Christian McCaffrey · SF | 44.1 (range 11.2–115.0) published 2026-10-04 19:24Z | line 66.5 | Actual 52 | missed by 7.9 · inside range |
| 2026-10-04 DEN @ SF | Kaelon Black · SF | 21.0 (range 3.0–72.1) published 2026-10-04 19:24Z | line 21.5 | Actual 13 | missed by 8.0 · inside range |
| 2026-10-04 DEN @ SF | Mac Jones · SF | 2.0 (range 0–23.3) published 2026-10-04 19:24Z | — | Not measurable — no official line | — |
| 2026-10-04 DEN @ SF | Jarrett Stidham · DEN | 2.6 (range 0–28.5) published 2026-10-04 19:24Z | — | Not measurable — no official line | — |
| 2026-10-04 DEN @ SF | RJ Harvey · DEN | 14.1 (range 1.4–55.9) published 2026-10-04 19:24Z | line 15.5 | Actual 25 | missed by 10.9 · inside range |
| 2026-10-04 DEN @ SF | Brock Purdy · SF | 8.0 (range 0.1–50.7) published 2026-10-04 19:24Z | line 17.5 | Actual 29 | missed by 21.0 · inside range |
| 2026-10-04 DEN @ SF | J.K. Dobbins · DEN | 43.3 (range 11.1–112.4) published 2026-10-04 19:24Z | line 59.5 | Actual 40 | missed by 3.3 · inside range |
| 2026-10-04 MIA @ MIN | Carson Wentz · MIN | 3.4 (range 0.0–24.7) published 2026-10-04 19:24Z | — | Not measurable — no official line | — |
| 2026-10-04 MIA @ MIN | Kyler Murray · MIN | 1.5 (range 0–23.3) published 2026-10-04 19:24Z | line 21.5 | Actual 16 | missed by 14.5 · inside range |
| 2026-10-04 MIA @ MIN | Ollie Gordon II · MIA | 12.4 (range 1.2–49.4) published 2026-10-04 19:24Z | line 25.5 | Actual 100 | missed by 87.6 · outside range |
| 2026-10-04 MIA @ MIN | Demond Claiborne · MIN | 1.0 (range 0–17.7) published 2026-10-04 19:24Z | — | Actual 12 | missed by 11.0 · inside range |
| 2026-10-04 MIA @ MIN | Jordan Mason · MIN | 27.5 (range 5.6–79.9) published 2026-10-04 19:24Z | — | Not measurable — no official line | — |
| 2026-10-04 MIA @ MIN | Malik Willis · MIA | 19.2 (range 1.9–75.4) published 2026-10-04 19:24Z | line 30.5 | Actual 11 | missed by 8.2 · inside range |
| 2026-10-04 MIA @ MIN | Jaylen Wright · MIA | 6.2 (range 0.1–40.2) published 2026-10-04 19:24Z | line 28.5 | Actual 7 | missed by 0.8 · inside range |
| 2026-10-04 MIA @ MIN | Aaron Jones Sr. · MIN | 43.7 (range 12.8–106.0) published 2026-10-04 19:24Z | line 66.5 | Actual 94 | missed by 50.3 · inside range |
| 2026-10-04 ARI @ NYG | Jacoby Brissett · ARI | 2.7 (range 0.0–18.8) published 2026-10-04 15:02Z | line 8.5 | Actual 18 | missed by 15.3 · inside range |
| 2026-10-04 ARI @ NYG | Jameis Winston · NYG | 1.5 (range 0–22.1) published 2026-10-04 15:02Z | line 6.5 | Not measurable — no official line | — |
| 2026-10-04 ARI @ NYG | Cam Skattebo · NYG | 39.4 (range 10.8–98.7) published 2026-10-04 15:02Z | line 62.5 | Actual 58 | missed by 18.6 · inside range |
| 2026-10-04 TEN @ BAL | Cam Ward · TEN | 5.4 (range 0.0–37.7) published 2026-10-04 15:02Z | line 9.5 | Actual 27 | missed by 21.6 · inside range |
| 2026-10-04 NE @ BUF | Corey Kiner · NE | 8.2 (range 0.4–39.7) published 2026-10-04 15:02Z | — | Not measurable — no official line | — |
| 2026-10-04 ARI @ NYG | Bam Knight · ARI | 4.9 (range 0.2–26.4) published 2026-10-04 15:02Z | — | Not measurable — no official line | — |
| 2026-10-04 NYJ @ CHI | Brittain Brown · CHI | 1.2 (range 0–24.6) published 2026-10-04 15:02Z | — | Not measurable — no official line | — |
| 2026-10-04 GB @ TB | Kenny Gainwell · TB | 7.4 (range 0.2–42.0) published 2026-10-04 15:02Z | line 14.5 | Actual 5 | missed by 2.4 · inside range |
| 2026-10-04 GB @ TB | Sean Tucker · TB | 3.2 (range 0.0–30.8) published 2026-10-04 15:02Z | — | Actual 10 | missed by 6.8 · inside range |
| 2026-10-04 NE @ BUF | Ty Johnson · BUF | 1.6 (range 0–25.3) published 2026-10-04 15:02Z | line 4.5 | Actual 3 | missed by 1.4 · inside range |
| 2026-10-04 JAX @ CIN | Samaje Perine · CIN | 9.5 (range 0.4–47.6) published 2026-10-04 15:02Z | line 13.5 | Actual 7 | missed by 2.5 · inside range |
| 2026-10-04 GB @ TB | Bucky Irving · TB | 53.7 (range 14.9–133.5) published 2026-10-04 15:02Z | line 55.5 | Actual 61 | missed by 7.3 · inside range |
| 2026-10-04 JAX @ CIN | Chase Brown · CIN | 60.2 (range 17.7–145.5) published 2026-10-04 15:02Z | line 61.5 | Actual 10 | missed by 50.2 · outside range |
| 2026-10-04 NYJ @ CHI | Braelon Allen · NYJ | 13.0 (range 1.1–54.4) published 2026-10-04 15:02Z | line 57.5 | Actual 59 | missed by 46.0 · outside range |
| 2026-10-04 GB @ TB | Josh Jacobs · GB | 28.4 (range 6.9–75.8) published 2026-10-04 15:02Z | — | Not measurable — no official line | — |
| 2026-10-04 NYJ @ CHI | Case Keenum · CHI | 5.5 (range 0.1–36.4) published 2026-10-04 15:02Z | — | Not measurable — no official line | — |
| 2026-10-04 JAX @ CIN | Chris Rodriguez Jr. · JAX | 17.6 (range 2.0–65.7) published 2026-10-04 15:02Z | line 17.5 | Actual 35 | missed by 17.4 · inside range |
| 2026-10-04 LAR @ PHI | Saquon Barkley · PHI | 51.5 (range 13.9–130.0) published 2026-10-04 15:02Z | line 69.5 | Actual 8 | missed by 43.5 · outside range |
| 2026-10-04 JAX @ CIN | Trevor Lawrence · JAX | 5.9 (range 0.1–40.5) published 2026-10-04 15:02Z | line 14.5 | Actual 0 | missed by 5.9 · outside range |
| 2026-10-04 TEN @ BAL | Justice Hill · BAL | 5.2 (range 0.0–36.7) published 2026-10-04 15:02Z | line 16.5 | Actual 3 | missed by 2.2 · inside range |
| 2026-10-04 JAX @ CIN | Ameer Abdullah · JAX | 5.3 (range 0.0–38.3) published 2026-10-04 15:02Z | — | Not measurable — no official line | — |
Market numbers are the sportsbook’s, shown for context. They are not part of any score on this page.