NFL · Player research
Justin Herbert
Current roster: Los Angeles Chargers · 7 recorded seasons (2020 to 2026)
Current GameTime forecast · model output, not history
Published pregame ranges
LAC @ LAR · Sun, Nov 1, 4:05 PM ET · Model status: published families, and estimates labelled as such
- Passing yardsEstimate · calibration standard not yet met
- 195 (range 105–326)
- Rushing yardsEstimate · calibration standard not yet met
- 14 (range 0–48)
- Anytime touchdown
- 11.1% chance to score, if he plays
Forecast record · what we said, and what happened
Our forecasts for Justin Herbert
17 published forecasts, newest first — the latest 8 shown, the rest below. Each was frozen before the game and checked against the official result.
| Game | Forecast | We said | What happened |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 11.8% chance | Did not happen |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Passing yards | 196.7 (range 105.2–330.7) | Actual 204 · missed by 7.3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rushing yards | 13.7 (range 0–48.0) | Actual 26 · missed by 12.3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 12.2% chance | Did not happen |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Passing yards | 207.4 (range 112.1–345.8) | Actual 121 · missed by 86.4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rushing yards | 11.9 (range 0–42.8) | Actual 54 · missed by 42.1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 11.2% chance | Did not happen |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Passing yards | 213.7 (range 115.8–355.8) | Actual 189 · missed by 24.7 |
Show 9 older forecasts
| Game | Forecast | We said | What happened |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Rushing yards | 9.2 (range 0.5–43.9) | Actual 40 · missed by 30.8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Passing yards | 215.6 (range 116.8–359.0) | Actual 226 · missed by 10.4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rushing yards | 13.3 (range 0.9–59.9) | Actual 17 · missed by 3.7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Passing yards | 219.5 (range 120.4–362.4) | Actual 192 · missed by 27.5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 16.4% chance | Did not happen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Rushing yards | 19.7 (range 2.0–76.0) | Actual 2 · missed by 17.7 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Rushing yards | 21 (range 2–59) | Actual 29 · missed by 8 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 15.7% chance | Did not happen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Passing yards | 162 (range 53–281) | Actual 209 · missed by 47 |
How each forecast type has done overall: Anytime touchdown · Passing yards · Rushing yards
2026 recorded snapshot
Totals over the games GameTime recorded that season, not a complete season line.
Recent form and game log
Factual lines only, newest first. Team and opponent are the ones for that game.
Last 3 / 5 / 10 recorded games
| Stat | Last 3 · avg (n) | Last 5 · avg (n) | Last 10 · avg (n) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Completions | 18.3 (n=3) | 18 (n=5) | 18.9 (n=10) |
| Pass attempts | 30.7 (n=3) | 30.6 (n=5) | 30.1 (n=10) |
| Passing yards | 171.3 (n=3) | 186.4 (n=5) | 204.6 (n=10) |
| Passing TDs | 0.7 (n=3) | 0.8 (n=5) | 0.9 (n=10) |
| Interceptions thrown | 1.3 (n=3) | 1.4 (n=5) | 1 (n=10) |
Recorded 204, 121, 189 passing yards in the last 3 available games.
Averages use only games where the stat was recorded; n is that number of games. A window with fewer games than its size says so.
Passing yards, game by game
Game log
6 recorded games · 107 completions · 180 pass attempts · 1141 passing yards| Date | Team | Opponent | Team result | CMP | ATT | YDS | TD | INT | Game page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | LAC | @ KC | L 6–22 | 22 | 37 | 204 | 0 | 1 | Game → |
| Oct 11, 2026 | LAC | vs DEN | L 17–23 | 14 | 24 | 121 | 1 | 1 | Game → |
| Oct 4, 2026 | LAC | @ SEA | L 23–30 | 19 | 31 | 189 | 1 | 2 | Game → |
| Sep 27, 2026 | LAC | @ BUF | L 16–24 | 20 | 34 | 226 | 1 | 1 | Game → |
| Sep 20, 2026 | LAC | vs LV | L 14–26 | 15 | 27 | 192 | 1 | 2 | Game → |
| Sep 13, 2026 | LAC | vs ARI | L 14–26 | 17 | 27 | 209 | 1 | 1 | Game → |
