Patrick Mahomes

Current roster: Kansas City Chiefs · 10 recorded seasons (2017 to 2026)

Current GameTime forecast · model output, not history

Published pregame ranges

KC @ DEN · Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET · Model status: published families, and estimates labelled as such

Passing yardsEstimate · calibration standard not yet met: 228 (range 125–376)
Rushing yardsEstimate · calibration standard not yet met: 7 (range 0–33)
Anytime touchdown: 12.2% chance to score, if he plays

Forecast record · what we said, and what happened

17 published forecasts, newest first — the latest 8 shown, the rest below. Each was frozen before the game and checked against the official result.

Game	Forecast	We said	What happened
Oct 25, 2026 KC @ SEA	Anytime touchdown	13.4% chance	Did not happen
Oct 25, 2026 KC @ SEA	Passing yards	239.8 (range 132.0–394.9)	Actual 165 · missed by 74.8
Oct 25, 2026 KC @ SEA	Rushing yards	5.8 (range 0–30.2)	Actual 14 · missed by 8.2
Oct 18, 2026 LAC @ KC	Passing yards	235.1 (range 129.0–387.9)	Actual 272 · missed by 36.9
Oct 18, 2026 LAC @ KC	Rushing yards	5.1 (range 0–30.2)	Actual 16 · missed by 10.9
Oct 18, 2026 LAC @ KC	Anytime touchdown	10.9% chance	Did not happen
Oct 4, 2026 KC @ LV	Passing yards	238.6 (range 132.5–390.7)	Actual 225 · missed by 13.6
Oct 4, 2026 KC @ LV	Anytime touchdown	10.9% chance	Did not happen

Show 9 older forecasts

Game	Forecast	We said	What happened
Oct 4, 2026 KC @ LV	Rushing yards	4.7 (range 0.0–38.5)	Actual 0 · missed by 4.7
Sep 27, 2026 KC @ MIA	Passing yards	231.7 (range 128.9–378.9)	Actual 246 · missed by 14.3
Sep 27, 2026 KC @ MIA	Rushing yards	7.7 (range 0.1–47.7)	Actual 1 · missed by 6.7
Sep 20, 2026 IND @ KC	Anytime touchdown	18.5% chance	Did not happen
Sep 20, 2026 IND @ KC	Passing yards	212.0 (range 115.0–352.8)	Actual 382 · missed by 170.0
Sep 20, 2026 IND @ KC	Rushing yards	11.0 (range 0.5–54.9)	Actual 17 · missed by 6.0
Sep 14, 2026 DEN @ KC	Rushing yards	9 (range 0–39)	Actual 23 · missed by 14
Sep 14, 2026 DEN @ KC	Anytime touchdown	27.0% chance	Happened
Sep 14, 2026 DEN @ KC	Passing yards	167 (range 55–286)	Actual 184 · missed by 17

How each forecast type has done overall: Anytime touchdown · Passing yards · Rushing yards

Totals over the games GameTime recorded that season, not a complete season line.

Recorded games

Completions

124

over 6 recorded games

Pass attempts

191

over 6 recorded games

Passing yards

1474

over 6 recorded games

Factual lines only, newest first. Team and opponent are the ones for that game.

Stat	Last 3 · avg (n)	Last 5 · avg (n)	Last 10 · avg (n)
Completions	19 (n=3)	21.8 (n=5)	20.6 (n=10)
Pass attempts	31 (n=3)	32.8 (n=5)	33.2 (n=10)
Passing yards	220.7 (n=3)	258 (n=5)	243.6 (n=10)
Passing TDs	0.7 (n=3)	1.4 (n=5)	1.3 (n=10)
Interceptions thrown	0.7 (n=3)	0.6 (n=5)	0.9 (n=10)

Recorded 165, 272, 225 passing yards in the last 3 available games.

Averages use only games where the stat was recorded; n is that number of games. A window with fewer games than its size says so.

Chart

Each bar is one recorded game; games where this stat was not recorded are left out, not drawn as zero.

Season6 recorded games · 124 completions · 191 pass attempts · 1474 passing yards

Patrick Mahomes game log, 2026, newest first. A dash means the stat was not recorded for that game.
Date	Team	Opponent	Team result	CMP	ATT	YDS	TD	INT	Game page
Oct 25, 2026	KC	@ SEA	L 3–20	19	33	165	0	1	Game →
Oct 18, 2026	KC	vs LAC	W 22–6	23	30	272	0	1	Game →
Oct 4, 2026	KC	@ LV	W 30–27	15	30	225	2	0	Game →
Sep 27, 2026	KC	@ MIA	W 24–10	20	24	246	2	1	Game →
Sep 20, 2026	KC	vs IND	W 33–30	32	47	382	3	0	Game →
Sep 14, 2026	KC	vs DEN	W 31–10	15	27	184	2	1	Game →