NFL Week 4 · regular season
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16 games
Pre-kickoff forecasts, each frozen at its kickoff. Scores derive from the median total and margin, so they always add up.
| Kickoff (ET) | Matchup | Model winner | Projected score | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 PM ET | PIT 54.4% | PIT 20 — 19 CLE | 39 (22–56) | View game → | |
| Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET | IND 48.7% | IND 25 — 26 WSH | 51 (34–68) | View game → | |
| Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET | NYG 57.4% | ARI 23 — 26 NYG | 49 (32–66) | View game → | |
| Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET | HOU 64.3% | DAL 23 — 28 HOU | 51 (33–68) | View game → | |
| Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET | GB 49.1% | GB 23 — 24 TB | 47 (29–63) | View game → | |
| Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET | JAX 50.1% | JAX 25 — 24 CIN | 49 (31–66) | View game → | |
| Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET | PHI 48.9% | LAR 22 — 25 PHI | 47 (30–64) | View game → | |
| Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET | BUF 63.4% | NE 20 — 27 BUF | 47 (30–64) | View game → | |
| Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET | CHI 76.8% | NYJ 20 — 28 CHI | 48 (31–64) | View game → | |
| Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET | BAL 80.7% | TEN 17 — 28 BAL | 45 (29–62) | View game → | |
| Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET | MIN 79.2% | MIA 15 — 24 MIN | 39 (22–55) | View game → | |
| Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET | SF 54.7% | DEN 22 — 24 SF | 46 (29–63) | View game → | |
| Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET | KC 58.3% | KC 21 — 19 LV | 40 (23–57) | View game → | |
| Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET | SEA 80.9% | LAC 16 — 24 SEA | 40 (24–58) | View game → | |
| Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET | DET 59.1% | DET 27 — 24 CAR | 51 (34–68) | View game → | |
| Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET | NO 51.1% | ATL 22 — 22 NO | 44 (27–61) | View game → |
Full week
Weekly top boards
One ranking owner; a top-N table is a maximum, not a quota; a statistic that has not cleared its publication standard says so instead of ranking.
Top 5 · Anytime touchdown
- 1
Bijan RobinsonMatchupATL vs NOStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketDraftKingsYes -200Captured Mon 6:20 PM ETModelGameTimePicks58.2%Game → - 2
Chris OlaveMatchupNO vs ATLStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketDraftKingsYes +120Captured Mon 6:20 PM ETModelGameTimePicks40.6%Game → - 3
Juwan JohnsonMatchupNO vs ATLStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketDraftKingsYes +215Captured Mon 6:20 PM ETModelGameTimePicks31.3%Game → - 4
Alvin KamaraMatchupNO vs ATLStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketDraftKingsYes +165Captured Mon 6:20 PM ETModelGameTimePicks30.9%Game → - 5
Drake LondonMatchupATL vs NOStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketDraftKingsYes +110Captured Mon 6:20 PM ETModelGameTimePicks29.6%Game →
Sportsbook availability varies by state.
Top 10 · Receptions
- 1
Drake LondonMatchupATL vs NOStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketDraftKings6.5O +114 · U -146Captured Mon 6:20 PM ETModelGameTimePicks5 recRange2–10Game → - 2
Chris OlaveMatchupNO vs ATLStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketDraftKings6.5O -141 · U +110Captured Mon 6:20 PM ETModelGameTimePicks5 recRange2–9Game → - 3
Bijan RobinsonMatchupATL vs NOStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketDraftKings4.5O +101 · U -128Captured Mon 6:20 PM ETModelGameTimePicks4 recRange1–8Game → - 4
Devaughn VeleMatchupNO vs ATLStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketDraftKings3.5O -162 · U +126Captured Mon 6:20 PM ETModelGameTimePicks3 recRange1–6Game → - 5
Juwan JohnsonMatchupNO vs ATLStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketDraftKings4.5O +124 · U -158Captured Mon 6:20 PM ETModelGameTimePicks3 recRange1–6Game → - 6
Jahan DotsonMatchupATL vs NOStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketDraftKings1.5O -139 · U +109Captured Mon 6:20 PM ETModelGameTimePicks2 recRange0–5Game → - 7
Kyle Pitts Sr.MatchupATL vs NOStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketDraftKings2.5O -162 · U +126Captured Mon 6:20 PM ETModelGameTimePicks2 recRange0–5Game → - 8
Alvin KamaraMatchupNO vs ATLStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketDraftKings2.5O -167 · U +131Captured Mon 6:20 PM ETModelGameTimePicks2 recRange0–4Game → - 9
Austin HooperMatchupATL vs NOStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketDraftKings0.5O -207 · U +160Captured Mon 6:20 PM ETModelGameTimePicks2 recRange0–4Game → - 10
Olamide ZaccheausMatchupATL vs NOStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketDraftKings1.5O +133 · U -171Captured Mon 6:20 PM ETModelGameTimePicks1 recRange0–3Game →
Sportsbook availability varies by state.
Top 10 · Rushing yards
- 1
Bijan RobinsonMatchupATL vs NOStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketDraftKings87.5O -113 · U -111Captured Mon 6:20 PM ETModelGameTimePicks79 ydsRange25–182Game → - 2
Alvin KamaraMatchupNO vs ATLStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketDraftKings35.5O -112 · U -112Captured Mon 6:20 PM ETModelGameTimePicks26 ydsRange5–80Game → - 3
Brian RobinsonMatchupATL vs NOStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketDraftKings29.5O -112 · U -112Captured Mon 6:20 PM ETModelGameTimePicks26 ydsRange4–83Game → - 4
Kendre MillerMatchupNO vs ATLStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketDraftKings26.5O -116 · U -108Captured Mon 6:20 PM ETModelGameTimePicks17 ydsRange2–63Game → - 5
Tyler ShoughMatchupNO vs ATLStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketDraftKings17.5O -109 · U -115Captured Mon 6:20 PM ETModelGameTimePicks11 ydsRange0–53Game → - 6
Spencer RattlerMatchupNO vs ATLStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot offeredModelGameTimePicks7 ydsRange0–43Game → - 7
Michael Penix Jr.MatchupATL vs NOStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketDraftKings3.5O -122 · U -103Captured Mon 6:20 PM ETModelGameTimePicks1 ydsRange0–22Game →
Sportsbook availability varies by state.
Top 10 · Receiving yards
- 1
Drake LondonMatchupATL vs NOStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketDraftKings80.5O -114 · U -110Captured Mon 6:20 PM ETModelGameTimePicks72 ydsRange23–144Game → - 2
Chris OlaveMatchupNO vs ATLStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketDraftKings84.5O -113 · U -111Captured Mon 6:20 PM ETModelGameTimePicks65 ydsRange21–129Game → - 3
Bijan RobinsonMatchupATL vs NOStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketDraftKings36.5O -112 · U -112Captured Mon 6:20 PM ETModelGameTimePicks40 ydsRange10–88Game → - 4
Juwan JohnsonMatchupNO vs ATLStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketDraftKings45.5O -114 · U -110Captured Mon 6:20 PM ETModelGameTimePicks30 ydsRange3–76Game → - 5
Devaughn VeleMatchupNO vs ATLStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketDraftKings44.5O -111 · U -113Captured Mon 6:20 PM ETModelGameTimePicks30 ydsRange4–76Game → - 6
Jahan DotsonMatchupATL vs NOStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketDraftKings19.5O -109 · U -116Captured Mon 6:20 PM ETModelGameTimePicks20 ydsRange0–58Game → - 7
Kyle Pitts Sr.MatchupATL vs NOStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketDraftKings31.5O -110 · U -114Captured Mon 6:20 PM ETModelGameTimePicks19 ydsRange0–56Game → - 8
Austin HooperMatchupATL vs NOStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketDraftKings6.5O -105 · U -119Captured Mon 6:20 PM ETModelGameTimePicks15 ydsRange0–48Game → - 9
Alvin KamaraMatchupNO vs ATLStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketDraftKings15.5O -109 · U -115Captured Mon 6:20 PM ETModelGameTimePicks13 ydsRange0–43Game → - 10
Kevin Austin Jr.MatchupNO vs ATLStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot offeredModelGameTimePicks9 ydsRange0–41Game →
Sportsbook availability varies by state.
Top 10 · Passing yards
Estimate · calibration standard not yet met · The chance of going over a line is not yet well calibrated for this family — read the range, not a precise over/under chance.
- 1
Tyler ShoughMatchupNO vs ATLStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketDraftKings259.5O -111 · U -113Captured Mon 6:20 PM ETModelGameTimePicks238 ydsestimateRange138–379Game → - 2
Michael Penix Jr.MatchupATL vs NOStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketDraftKings225.5O -113 · U -111Captured Mon 6:20 PM ETModelGameTimePicks218 ydsestimateRange116–367Game →
Sportsbook availability varies by state.
Board stamp · frozen full-week edition
