Wednesday, October 14
Game by game
Every forecast graded for this day against the official result, by sport and game. Each sport keeps its own record — they are never added into one percentage. Pushes and voids are never losses.
MLB · 1–1 game calls
Full MLB record →Model Performance:Winner →Total runs →Run line →
Not in this record, but still graded below: 1 call paused on the site or not shown before the game.
MIL @ LAD
Final · MIL 6 – 2 LADOfficial Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 20–21 →Call Pick Outcome Winner LAD (home) Loss Total runspaused on the site · not a public pick OVER 7.5 Win Run line (posted line) MIL +1.5 Win
Daily Top 5 · frozen before kickoff
Each board is published once, before the day's first kickoff, from public model families only — never chosen after the results, never revised. A board shows fewer than five when fewer players qualify.
No qualifying board was frozen for Wednesday, October 14.
- MLB: no qualifying board — Player props are market context only — no MLB prop model has passed its bar, so none can make a board.
- Premier League: no qualifying board — No player-prop model — Premier League forecasts are match results only.
- UFC: no qualifying board — No fight-prop model — UFC forecasts are fight winners only.
Product cards settled this day
Every Bank Builder and Moonshot lane, each leg with its official score and grade — the receipts the product records are built from. Source: MLB Stats API official box score (feed/live), joined by gamePk. Paper-only.
Bank Builder · lane A
No card placedNo card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.
Bank Builder · lane B
No card placedNo card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.
Moonshot · lane A
No card placedNo card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.
Moonshot · lane B
No card placedNo card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.
Suggested Parlays published this day
The MLB cards as published (one per risk level), each graded from the lab’s settled receipt — the same cards the published record counts. A card not yet settled is pending, never a loss. Paper-only.
Low Risk
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.
Medium Risk
No card was published — every candidate on today's slate uses a market-context family (Hits) — the model behind it was demoted and is not a published GameTime projection, so no card is offered.
High Risk
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.
Longshot
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.
Model research · player-prop leans, not public picks
Projection vs actual for every settled prop lean, graded for transparency and model development.
- MLBBrice TurangOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+25.1pp edgeactual 2
- MLBJoey OrtizOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+20.2pp edgeactual 2
- MLBJoey OrtizOver 0.5 Hits+18.2pp edgeactual 1
- MLBJackson ChourioOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+16.3pp edgeactual 3
- MLBBrice TurangOver 0.5 Hits+15.5pp edgeactual 1
- MLBRobert GasserOver 3.5 Strikeouts+32.8pp edgeactual 3
- MLBAndy PagesOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+13.7pp edgeactual 0
- MLBMookie BettsOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+11.3pp edgeactual 1
- MLBBlake SnellUnder 5.5 Strikeouts+10.9pp edgeactual 9
- MLBLuis LaraOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+9.0pp edgeactual 0
MIL @ LAD20–2141 dec48.8%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Gasser | Strikeouts | Over 3.5 | 5.14 | 3 | +32.8% | Low | Loss |
| Blake Snell | Strikeouts | Under 6.5 | 4.95 | 9 | +8.6% | High | Loss |
| Mookie Betts | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.25 | 1 | +4.7% | Medium | Win |
| Jackson Chourio | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.15 | 1 | +4.3% | Medium | Win |
| Teoscar Hernandez | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.07 | 0 | +5.6% | High | Loss |
| Freddie Freeman | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.95 | 0 | +0.2% | Low | Loss |
| Will Smith | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.07 | 1 | +8.9% | High | Win |
| Andy Pages | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.08 | 0 | +7.5% | High | Loss |
| Shohei Ohtani | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.88 | 1 | +0.5% | Low | Win |
| William Contreras | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.97 | 1 | +4.8% | Medium | Win |
| Kyle Tucker | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.01 | 1 | +8.0% | High | Win |
| Brice Turang | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.17 | 1 | +15.5% | High | Win |
| Andrew Vaughn | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.72 | 0 | +1.1% | Low | Loss |
| Cooper Pratt | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.94 | 3 | +12.7% | High | Win |
| Garrett Mitchell | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.72 | 1 | +2.5% | Medium | Win |
| Luis Lara | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.71 | 0 | +3.4% | Medium | Loss |
| Jake Bauers | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.84 | 1 | +10.0% | High | Win |
| Joey Ortiz | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.02 | 1 | +18.2% | High | Win |
| Enrique Hernandez | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.68 | 0 | +5.1% | High | Loss |
| Mookie Betts | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.57 | 1 | +11.3% | High | Loss |
| Teoscar Hernandez | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.99 | 1 | +6.3% | High | Loss |
| Jackson Chourio | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.62 | 3 | +16.3% | High | Win |
| Shohei Ohtani | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.71 | 1 | +2.3% | Low | Loss |
| Will Smith | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.09 | 3 | +11.4% | High | Win |
| Freddie Freeman | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.72 | 0 | +3.8% | Medium | Loss |
| Andy Pages | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.33 | 0 | +13.7% | High | Loss |
| Kyle Tucker | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.08 | 2 | +14.3% | High | Win |
| William Contreras | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.12 | 1 | +14.2% | High | Loss |
| Brice Turang | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.54 | 2 | +25.1% | Low | Win |
| Andrew Vaughn | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.19 | 0 | +1.3% | Low | Loss |
| Jake Bauers | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.96 | 4 | +10.4% | High | Win |
| Garrett Mitchell | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.50 | 3 | +4.4% | Medium | Win |
| Luis Lara | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.51 | 0 | +9.0% | High | Loss |
| Cooper Pratt | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.71 | 4 | +12.2% | High | Win |
| Joey Ortiz | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.97 | 2 | +20.2% | Low | Win |
| Enrique Hernandez | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.51 | 0 | +12.8% | High | Loss |
| Mookie Betts | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.33 | 1 | +18.1% | High | Loss |
| Teoscar Hernandez | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.55 | 0 | +7.5% | High | Loss |
| Jackson Chourio | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.85 | 4 | +14.4% | High | Win |
| Freddie Freeman | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.21 | 0 | +1.7% | Low | Loss |
| Blake Snell | Strikeouts | Under 5.5 | 4.95 | 9 | +10.9% | High | Loss |