Tuesday, October 13
Game by game
Every forecast graded for this day against the official result, by sport and game. Each sport keeps its own record — they are never added into one percentage. Pushes and voids are never losses.
MLB · 0–2 game calls
Full MLB record →Model Performance:Winner →Total runs →Run line →
Not in this record, but still graded below: 1 call paused on the site or not shown before the game.
CLE @ TB
Final · CLE 1 – 3 TBOfficial Forecast (pregame) →Verified final · MLB official linescore
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 19–17 · 4 void →Call Pick Outcome Winner CLE (away) Loss Total runspaused on the site · not a public pick OVER 7 Loss Run line (posted line) CLE +1.5 Loss
Daily Top 5 · frozen before kickoff
Each board is published once, before the day's first kickoff, from public model families only — never chosen after the results, never revised. A board shows fewer than five when fewer players qualify.
No qualifying board was frozen for Tuesday, October 13.
- MLB: no qualifying board — Player props are market context only — no MLB prop model has passed its bar, so none can make a board.
- Premier League: no qualifying board — No player-prop model — Premier League forecasts are match results only.
- UFC: no qualifying board — No fight-prop model — UFC forecasts are fight winners only.
Product cards settled this day
Every Bank Builder and Moonshot lane, each leg with its official score and grade — the receipts the product records are built from. Source: MLB Stats API official box score (feed/live), joined by gamePk. Paper-only.
Bank Builder · lane A
No card placedNo card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.
Bank Builder · lane B
No card placedNo card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.
Moonshot · lane A
No card placedNo card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.
Moonshot · lane B
No card placedNo card was placed for this lane on this day — it was awaiting its next qualified card, so nothing settled.
Suggested Parlays published this day
The MLB cards as published (one per risk level), each graded from the lab’s settled receipt — the same cards the published record counts. A card not yet settled is pending, never a loss. Paper-only.
Low Risk
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.
Medium Risk
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.
High Risk
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.
Longshot
No card was published — no priced card in this tier on today's slate.
Model research · player-prop leans, not public picks
Projection vs actual for every settled prop lean, graded for transparency and model development.
- MLBFreddy PeraltaOver 3.5 Strikeouts+19.3pp edgeactual 6
- MLBTaylor WallsOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+16.8pp edgeactual 1
- MLBJonny DelucaOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+15.0pp edgeactual 2
- MLBPetey HalpinOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+13.1pp edgeactual 1
- MLBChase DeLauterOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+11.4pp edgeactual 2
- MLBBrayan RocchioOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+23.2pp edgeactual 0
- MLBJo AdellOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+12.9pp edgeactual 0
- MLBJunior CamineroOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+8.9pp edgeactual 1
- MLBJonathan ArandaOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+5.8pp edgeactual 0
- MLBParker MessickOver 4.5 Strikeouts+5.7pp edgeactual 3
CLE @ TB19–1736 dec4 void52.8%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Messick | Strikeouts | Over 4.5 | 5.46 | 3 | +5.7% | High | Loss |
| Freddy Peralta | Strikeouts | Over 3.5 | 4.76 | 6 | +19.3% | High | Win |
| Yandy Diaz | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.93 | 0 | -1.1% | Low | Win |
| Junior Caminero | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.97 | 1 | +1.4% | Low | Win |
| Steven Kwan | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.11 | 2 | +7.0% | High | Win |
| Jose Ramirez | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.05 | 1 | +8.0% | High | Win |
| Chase DeLauter | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.98 | 1 | +2.7% | Medium | Win |
| Jonathan Aranda | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.86 | 0 | +0.4% | Low | Loss |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.87 | 0 | +0.5% | Low | Loss |
| Ben Williamson | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.56 | 0 | +2.7% | Medium | Win |
| Jonny Deluca | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.95 | 2 | +9.1% | High | Win |
| Nathaniel Lowe | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.74 | 0 | +1.1% | Low | Loss |
| Jo Adell | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.96 | 0 | +9.4% | High | Loss |
| Travis Bazzana | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.74 | 1 | +2.8% | Medium | Win |
| Brayan Rocchio | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.04 | 0 | +17.1% | High | Loss |
| Ryan Vilade | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.52 | — | -2.8% | Low | Void |
| Taylor Walls | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.70 | 1 | +5.2% | High | Win |
| Patrick Bailey | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.61 | 0 | +1.4% | Low | Loss |
| Petey Halpin | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.70 | 1 | +5.8% | High | Win |
| Nick Fortes | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.63 | — | +3.7% | Medium | Void |
| Yandy Diaz | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.06 | 0 | +5.6% | High | Loss |
| Junior Caminero | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.15 | 1 | +8.9% | High | Loss |
| Jose Ramirez | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.15 | 1 | +14.5% | High | Loss |
| Steven Kwan | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.83 | 2 | +9.8% | High | Win |
| Chase DeLauter | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.97 | 2 | +11.4% | High | Win |
| Jonathan Aranda | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.65 | 0 | +5.8% | High | Loss |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.80 | 1 | +8.5% | High | Loss |
| Jo Adell | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.92 | 0 | +12.9% | High | Loss |
| Ben Williamson | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.10 | 1 | -3.0% | Low | Loss |
| Jonny Deluca | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.89 | 2 | +15.0% | High | Win |
| Nathaniel Lowe | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.45 | 0 | +5.7% | High | Loss |
| Travis Bazzana | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.45 | 1 | +5.2% | High | Win |
| Ryan Vilade | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.25 | — | +4.9% | Medium | Void |
| Brayan Rocchio | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 2.30 | 0 | +23.2% | Low | Loss |
| Taylor Walls | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.60 | 1 | +16.8% | High | Win |
| Patrick Bailey | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.33 | 1 | +11.3% | High | Win |
| Petey Halpin | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.42 | 1 | +13.1% | High | Win |
| Nick Fortes | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.32 | — | +12.0% | High | Void |
| Junior Caminero | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.70 | 2 | +9.1% | High | Win |
| Yandy Diaz | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.29 | 0 | +0.9% | Low | Loss |