49.7%

188–190 on 378 decisive

Combined audit across the sports that had settled rows on 2026-08-24. Pushes excluded. Pending games never count as losses.

At a glance

Hit

188

model agreed and the line cleared

Miss

190

model agreed but the line did not clear

Push

final stat tied the line — excluded from hit rate

Pending

no games still pending on this date

MLB

49.7%

188–190 on 378

Full MLB audit →

Biggest hits

MLBRobbie RayUnder 5.5 Strikeouts+30.3pp edgeactual 5
MLBBryce HarperOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+21.5pp edgeactual 2
MLBJeffrey SpringsUnder 3.5 Strikeouts+21.0pp edgeactual 3
MLBMickey GasperOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+18.1pp edgeactual 3
MLBCade CavalliOver 6.5 Strikeouts+17.9pp edgeactual 7

Biggest misses

MLBBraxton AshcraftOver 4.5 Strikeouts+18.8pp edgeactual 2
MLBByron BuxtonUnder 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+15.3pp edgeactual 7
MLBKumar RockerUnder 4.5 Strikeouts+9.9pp edgeactual 8
MLBDaylen LileUnder 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+4.4pp edgeactual 10
MLBFramber ValdezOver 4.5 Strikeouts+2.2pp edgeactual 0

MLB settled games · projection vs actual

BOS @ MIA

20–1737 dec54.1%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Sandy Alcantara	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	4.20	6	+6.7%	High	Loss
Ranger Suarez	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	3.78	4	+16.5%	High	Win
Nick Sogard	Hits	Over 0.5	1.16	1	+6.1%	High	Win
Otto Lopez	Hits	Under 0.5	0.96	2	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Ceddanne Rafaela	Hits	Over 0.5	1.28	1	+10.6%	High	Win
Willson Contreras	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	0	+3.3%	Medium	Loss
Javier Sanoja	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	0	-0.6%	Low	Loss
Wilyer Abreu	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	1	+3.7%	Medium	Win
Adley Rutschman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.69	0	+2.3%	Low	Win
Xavier Edwards	Hits	Over 0.5	1.08	1	+8.1%	High	Win
Agustín Ramírez	Hits	Under 0.5	0.74	0	-1.9%	Low	Win
Caleb Durbin	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	1	+6.7%	High	Win
Jarren Duran	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	2	+2.9%	Medium	Win
Andruw Monasterio	Hits	Over 0.5	0.69	—	-3.0%	Low	Void
Esteury Ruiz	Hits	Under 0.5	0.47	0	+2.9%	Medium	Win
Mickey Gasper	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	2	+3.8%	Medium	Win
Griffin Conine	Hits	Over 0.5	0.68	0	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Brian Navarreto	Hits	Under 0.5	0.34	—	-2.7%	Low	Void
Nick Sogard	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.34	2	+16.1%	High	Win
Ceddanne Rafaela	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.27	1	+11.2%	High	Loss
Willson Contreras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.40	0	+12.6%	High	Loss
Wilyer Abreu	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.20	2	+10.0%	High	Win
Otto Lopez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.94	4	+5.9%	High	Win
Adley Rutschman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.57	0	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Javier Sanoja	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.89	0	+8.9%	High	Loss
Xavier Edwards	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.85	2	+9.9%	High	Win
Agustín Ramírez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.73	0	+7.8%	High	Loss
Jarren Duran	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.74	3	+8.3%	High	Win
Caleb Durbin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.31	1	+18.9%	High	Loss
Andruw Monasterio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.48	—	+4.3%	Medium	Void
Mickey Gasper	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.84	3	+18.1%	High	Win
Esteury Ruiz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.80	0	-1.9%	Low	Win
Griffin Conine	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.57	0	+7.7%	High	Loss
Brian Navarreto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.81	—	+9.1%	High	Void
Wilyer Abreu	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.84	2	+11.0%	High	Win
Nick Sogard	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.91	1	+15.2%	High	Loss
Willson Contreras	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.08	0	+18.0%	High	Loss
Otto Lopez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.24	3	+2.0%	Low	Win
Adley Rutschman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.20	0	+2.9%	Medium	Loss
Ceddanne Rafaela	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.83	1	+16.2%	High	Loss
Javier Sanoja	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.58	0	+13.3%	High	Loss

TB @ DET

16–1834 dec47.1%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Framber Valdez	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.38	0	+2.2%	Low	Loss
Drew Rasmussen	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.52	5	+2.7%	Medium	Win
Chandler Simpson	Hits	Over 1.5	1.30	2	+5.8%	High	Win
Junior Caminero	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	1	+0.5%	Low	Win
Kevin McGonigle	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	1	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Dillon Dingler	Hits	Under 0.5	0.63	1	+6.5%	High	Loss
Gleyber Torres	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	—	+5.2%	High	Void
Jonathan Aranda	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	1	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Ryan Vilade	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	1	-2.6%	Low	Loss
Nick Fortes	Hits	Under 0.5	0.55	0	+2.8%	Medium	Win
Colt Keith	Hits	Over 0.5	0.73	0	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Jorge Mateo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.44	1	+6.7%	High	Loss
Max Clark	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	0	+5.1%	High	Loss
Taylor Walls	Hits	Over 0.5	0.69	0	+0.7%	Low	Loss
Zach McKinstry	Hits	Over 0.5	0.64	0	-1.4%	Low	Loss
Spencer Torkelson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.53	1	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Brett Callahan	Hits	Over 0.5	0.71	0	+4.2%	Medium	Loss
Junior Caminero	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.15	2	+3.6%	Medium	Win
Chandler Simpson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.82	3	+1.5%	Low	Win
Kevin McGonigle	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.25	2	+13.0%	High	Win
Jonathan Aranda	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.76	4	+3.6%	Medium	Win
Dillon Dingler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.40	1	-2.6%	Low	Loss
Ryan Vilade	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.53	2	+0.6%	Low	Win
Gleyber Torres	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.98	—	+10.6%	High	Void
Jorge Mateo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.13	2	-3.5%	Low	Loss
Nick Fortes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.98	0	-0.1%	Low	Win
Colt Keith	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.30	0	+0.9%	Low	Loss
Max Clark	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.65	0	+10.6%	High	Loss
Taylor Walls	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.38	0	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Spencer Torkelson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.13	1	-0.3%	Low	Win
Zach McKinstry	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.19	0	+6.2%	High	Loss
Brett Callahan	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.71	1	+15.7%	High	Win
Junior Caminero	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.62	1	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Chandler Simpson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.45	2	+5.0%	Medium	Win
Dillon Dingler	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.12	1	+0.5%	Low	Loss
Kevin McGonigle	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.73	2	+12.7%	High	Win

COL @ WSH

16–2137 dec43.2%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Ryan Feltner	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	2.80	6	+17.3%	High	Loss
Cade Cavalli	Strikeouts	Over 6.5	8.02	7	+17.9%	High	Win
Daylen Lile	Hits	Under 1.5	0.87	3	+5.4%	High	Loss
Jake McCarthy	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	1	-1.8%	Low	Win
Keibert Ruiz	Hits	Over 0.5	1.11	2	+6.3%	High	Win
Dylan Crews	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	0	+1.3%	Low	Win
Abimelec Ortiz	Hits	Under 0.5	0.57	1	+9.0%	High	Loss
TJ Rumfield	Hits	Under 0.5	0.81	1	-0.9%	Low	Loss
Mickey Moniak	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	1	-2.5%	Low	Loss
Jacob Young	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	2	+1.3%	Low	Win
Andrés Chaparro	Hits	Under 0.5	0.61	—	+1.4%	Low	Void
Cole Carrigg	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	—	+3.3%	Medium	Void
Willi Castro	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	1	+8.7%	High	Win
Jorbit Vivas	Hits	Under 0.5	0.55	3	+1.8%	Low	Loss
Brett Sullivan	Hits	Over 0.5	0.64	0	-1.3%	Low	Loss
Ezequiel Tovar	Hits	Over 0.5	0.59	2	-1.1%	Low	Win
Connor Norby	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	1	+7.8%	High	Win
Zac Veen	Hits	Over 0.5	0.56	0	-1.5%	Low	Loss
Daylen Lile	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.67	10	+4.4%	Medium	Loss
Dylan Crews	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.40	2	+2.0%	Low	Loss
Abimelec Ortiz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.45	4	-0.8%	Low	Loss
Keibert Ruiz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.11	3	+7.9%	High	Win
Jake McCarthy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.89	1	+5.2%	High	Loss
TJ Rumfield	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.51	1	-1.0%	Low	Loss
Jacob Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.42	4	-1.0%	Low	Win
Mickey Moniak	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.87	2	+7.4%	High	Win
Andrés Chaparro	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.62	—	+4.0%	Medium	Void
Jorbit Vivas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.11	6	+0.3%	Low	Loss
Cole Carrigg	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.67	—	+7.4%	High	Void
Willi Castro	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.14	3	+17.8%	High	Win
Brett Sullivan	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.68	0	+11.6%	High	Loss
Connor Norby	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.46	2	+16.2%	High	Win
Zac Veen	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.67	0	+17.0%	High	Loss
Ezequiel Tovar	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.08	4	+3.7%	Medium	Win
Daylen Lile	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.22	7	+0.5%	Low	Loss
Dylan Crews	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.18	0	-2.7%	Low	Win
Abimelec Ortiz	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.35	1	+3.2%	Medium	Loss
Jake McCarthy	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.36	1	+3.7%	Medium	Loss
Keibert Ruiz	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.58	2	+9.2%	High	Win
Mickey Moniak	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.57	1	+8.9%	High	Loss
TJ Rumfield	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.13	1	+0.4%	Low	Loss

TEX @ CWS

29–1140 dec72.5%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Kumar Rocker	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	4.06	8	+9.9%	High	Loss
Brandon Nimmo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.70	0	+5.2%	High	Win
Corey Seager	Hits	Over 0.5	1.16	3	+8.1%	High	Win
Wyatt Langford	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	2	-0.6%	Low	Win
Miguel Vargas	Hits	Over 0.5	1.15	1	+10.1%	High	Win
Sam Antonacci	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	0	+3.6%	Medium	Win
Braden Montgomery	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	1	+1.0%	Low	Win
Chase Meidroth	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	0	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Ezequiel Duran	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	2	+4.2%	Medium	Win
Munetaka Murakami	Hits	Under 0.5	0.65	1	-1.6%	Low	Loss
Andrew Benintendi	Hits	Over 0.5	0.77	0	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Jake Burger	Hits	Over 0.5	0.72	2	-0.8%	Low	Win
Joc Pederson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.33	0	+11.8%	High	Win
Colson Montgomery	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	0	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Tristan Peters	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	1	+10.6%	High	Win
Cody Freeman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.63	2	+0.1%	Low	Win
Evan Carter	Hits	Over 0.5	0.68	1	+4.7%	Medium	Win
Danny Jansen	Hits	Under 0.5	0.34	—	+2.9%	Medium	Void
Drew Romo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.47	1	-2.1%	Low	Win
Corey Seager	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.11	7	+7.9%	High	Win
Brandon Nimmo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.30	0	+1.0%	Low	Win
Miguel Vargas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.54	1	+14.1%	High	Loss
Sam Antonacci	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.38	0	-1.7%	Low	Win
Munetaka Murakami	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.86	1	+3.7%	Medium	Loss
Wyatt Langford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.84	6	+4.9%	Medium	Win
Braden Montgomery	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.98	2	+9.6%	High	Win
Joc Pederson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.73	1	+8.1%	High	Win
Ezequiel Duran	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.68	5	+5.3%	High	Win
Andrew Benintendi	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.82	0	+9.4%	High	Loss
Colson Montgomery	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.63	0	+5.4%	High	Loss
Chase Meidroth	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.49	0	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Jake Burger	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.63	5	+6.9%	High	Win
Tristan Peters	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.83	4	+11.2%	High	Win
Cody Freeman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.92	3	+2.9%	Medium	Win
Evan Carter	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.16	3	+6.4%	High	Win
Danny Jansen	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.81	—	-0.5%	Low	Void
Drew Romo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.28	1	+12.7%	High	Win
Corey Seager	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.96	5	+13.3%	High	Win
Wyatt Langford	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.58	5	+6.6%	High	Win
Brandon Nimmo	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.05	0	-2.9%	Low	Win
Miguel Vargas	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.42	1	+21.9%	Low	Loss
Sam Antonacci	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.92	0	-2.1%	Low	Win

CLE @ LAA

9–2029 dec31.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Parker Messick	Strikeouts	Over 6.5	7.14	4	+0.1%	Low	Loss
George Klassen	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.64	3	+9.0%	High	Loss
Chase DeLauter	Hits	Over 0.5	1.24	—	+5.4%	High	Void
Steven Kwan	Hits	Under 0.5	0.86	2	-0.4%	Low	Loss
Zach Neto	Hits	Over 0.5	1.22	1	+10.4%	High	Win
Angel Genao	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	1	+1.2%	Low	Win
Jo Adell	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	1	+4.8%	Medium	Win
Brayan Rocchio	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	0	-3.1%	Low	Loss
Nathaniel Lowe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	0	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Mike Trout	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	1	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Vaughn Grissom	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	0	+0.3%	Low	Loss
Travis Bazzana	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	—	+1.0%	Low	Void
Patrick Bailey	Hits	Under 0.5	0.59	—	-3.2%	Low	Void
Denzer Guzman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	0	+7.2%	High	Loss
Jose Siri	Hits	Over 0.5	0.60	0	-1.3%	Low	Loss
Travis d'Arnaud	Hits	Under 0.5	0.35	0	+3.5%	Medium	Win
Christian Moore	Hits	Over 0.5	0.62	0	+2.6%	Medium	Loss
Chase DeLauter	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.25	—	+5.5%	High	Void
Steven Kwan	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.87	3	+2.0%	Low	Win
Jo Adell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.53	2	+13.9%	High	Win
Zach Neto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.59	2	+16.5%	High	Win
Nathaniel Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.78	1	+4.5%	Medium	Loss
Brayan Rocchio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.49	1	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Angel Genao	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.62	2	+2.7%	Medium	Win
Mike Trout	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	1	+6.4%	High	Loss
Travis Bazzana	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.55	—	+3.4%	Medium	Void
Patrick Bailey	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.36	—	+2.7%	Medium	Void
Vaughn Grissom	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.77	1	+11.6%	High	Loss
Denzer Guzman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.71	0	+13.8%	High	Loss
Jose Siri	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.27	0	+7.5%	High	Loss
Christian Moore	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.75	0	-0.9%	Low	Loss
Travis d'Arnaud	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.74	0	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Chase DeLauter	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.95	—	+12.8%	High	Void
Zach Neto	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.22	1	+17.8%	High	Loss
Jo Adell	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.98	1	+15.9%	High	Loss
Steven Kwan	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.02	2	+1.5%	Low	Loss

CHC @ AZ

18–2846 dec39.1%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Hits	Under 1.5	1.03	0	-1.6%	Low	Win
Nico Hoerner	Hits	Over 1.5	1.07	0	-1.5%	Low	Loss
Gabriel Moreno	Hits	Over 0.5	1.20	0	+6.8%	High	Loss
Michael Busch	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	0	-2.6%	Low	Loss
Seiya Suzuki	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	1	-1.7%	Low	Win
Alex Bregman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	1	-0.4%	Low	Win
Corbin Carroll	Hits	Over 0.5	1.17	0	+7.1%	High	Loss
Lars Nootbaar	Hits	Under 0.5	0.61	0	+7.1%	High	Win
Ildemaro Vargas	Hits	Under 0.5	0.80	1	-2.0%	Low	Loss
Ian Happ	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	2	-2.2%	Low	Loss
Geraldo Perdomo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	1	+4.8%	Medium	Win
Nolan Arenado	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	0	+4.5%	Medium	Loss
Jose Fernandez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	1	+1.0%	Low	Win
Tim Tawa	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	1	+7.5%	High	Win
Carson Kelly	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	1	+4.6%	Medium	Win
Michael Conforto	Hits	Under 0.5	0.45	3	+7.9%	High	Loss
Ryan Waldschmidt	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	0	+6.6%	High	Loss
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.56	0	+3.6%	Medium	Loss
Michael Busch	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.79	1	-2.2%	Low	Loss
Seiya Suzuki	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.22	2	+5.7%	High	Win
Nico Hoerner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	1	-3.1%	Low	Loss
Alex Bregman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.22	2	+5.9%	High	Win
Corbin Carroll	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.22	0	+8.1%	High	Loss
Lars Nootbaar	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.28	0	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Ian Happ	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.77	4	+0.9%	Low	Win
Gabriel Moreno	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.68	0	+20.4%	Low	Loss
Geraldo Perdomo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	1	+5.2%	High	Loss
Ildemaro Vargas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.02	1	+10.3%	High	Loss
Michael Conforto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.23	7	-1.6%	Low	Loss
Nolan Arenado	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.44	0	+17.9%	High	Loss
Carson Kelly	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.81	3	+7.5%	High	Win
Jose Fernandez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.32	1	-1.0%	Low	Loss
Tim Tawa	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.97	1	+12.5%	High	Loss
Ryan Waldschmidt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.41	0	+9.4%	High	Loss
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.56	0	+11.4%	High	Loss
Corbin Carroll	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.27	0	+15.6%	High	Loss
Seiya Suzuki	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.81	2	+8.7%	High	Win
Michael Busch	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.60	0	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
Alex Bregman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.83	1	+11.1%	High	Loss
Lars Nootbaar	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.01	0	+1.7%	Low	Win
Nico Hoerner	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.32	0	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Gabriel Moreno	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.04	0	+20.6%	Low	Loss
Ian Happ	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.47	3	+6.8%	High	Win
Kevin Gausman	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	5.41	6	+3.4%	Medium	Win
Merrill Kelly	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	3.11	4	+15.0%	High	Loss
Kevin Gausman	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.41	6	+6.3%	High	Win

PIT @ SD

17–2037 dec45.9%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Hits	Over 1.5	1.32	0	+9.8%	High	Loss
Nick Gonzales	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	2	+0.4%	Low	Win
Jackson Merrill	Hits	Under 0.5	0.77	0	-1.9%	Low	Win
Ty France	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	1	+3.3%	Medium	Win
Jake Mangum	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	0	+1.8%	Low	Loss
Manny Machado	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	0	+1.2%	Low	Loss
Bryan Reynolds	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	1	+5.8%	High	Win
Jake Cronenworth	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	2	+7.9%	High	Win
Luis Rengifo	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	0	+11.4%	High	Loss
Esmerlyn Valdez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	1	+7.0%	High	Win
Brandon Lowe	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	0	+16.9%	High	Loss
Xander Bogaerts	Hits	Over 0.5	0.68	0	-0.3%	Low	Loss
Oneil Cruz	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	0	+12.3%	High	Loss
Gavin Sheets	Hits	Under 0.5	0.51	0	-2.6%	Low	Win
Jared Triolo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.66	2	+4.2%	Medium	Win
Freddy Fermin	Hits	Over 0.5	0.74	2	+8.3%	High	Win
Henry Davis	Hits	Under 0.5	0.45	—	-2.8%	Low	Void
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.92	0	+19.5%	High	Loss
Nick Gonzales	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.82	3	+3.6%	Medium	Win
Jackson Merrill	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.74	0	+4.4%	Medium	Loss
Ty France	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.79	1	+6.3%	High	Loss
Esmerlyn Valdez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.03	3	+10.4%	High	Win
Manny Machado	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.69	0	+5.6%	High	Loss
Bryan Reynolds	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	2	+12.7%	High	Win
Oneil Cruz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.54	0	+21.1%	Low	Loss
Jake Cronenworth	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.86	3	+13.6%	High	Win
Brandon Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.35	0	+20.3%	Low	Loss
Jake Mangum	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.65	0	+8.8%	High	Loss
Luis Rengifo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	0	+19.2%	High	Loss
Xander Bogaerts	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.57	0	+10.5%	High	Loss
Gavin Sheets	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.10	0	+3.4%	Medium	Loss
Jared Triolo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.35	3	+10.0%	High	Win
Freddy Fermin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.20	3	+10.1%	High	Win
Henry Davis	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.99	—	+3.0%	Medium	Void
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.48	0	+24.3%	Low	Loss
Jackson Merrill	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.46	0	+6.2%	High	Loss
Nick Gonzales	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.30	2	+2.3%	Low	Win
Robbie Ray	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	3.94	5	+30.3%	Low	Win
Braxton Ashcraft	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	6.35	2	+18.8%	High	Loss

MIN @ ATH

32–1648 dec66.7%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Zebby Matthews	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.34	7	-0.8%	Low	Win
Jeffrey Springs	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	2.29	3	+21.0%	Low	Win
Byron Buxton	Hits	Under 1.5	0.70	3	+15.8%	High	Loss
Jeff McNeil	Hits	Under 1.5	1.07	3	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Luke Keaschall	Hits	Over 1.5	1.16	2	-3.0%	Low	Win
Henry Bolte	Hits	Over 1.5	1.16	3	-1.4%	Low	Win
Royce Lewis	Hits	Under 1.5	0.73	1	+12.0%	High	Win
Ryan Jeffers	Hits	Under 1.5	0.98	1	+3.3%	Medium	Win
Josh Bell	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	1	-2.8%	Low	Win
Tommy White	Hits	Under 0.5	1.05	0	-2.1%	Low	Win
Brooks Lee	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	1	-0.8%	Low	Win
Kody Clemens	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	2	+1.7%	Low	Win
Carlos Cortes	Hits	Under 0.5	0.81	0	-3.0%	Low	Win
Jonah Heim	Hits	Under 0.5	0.40	1	+15.2%	High	Loss
Zack Gelof	Hits	Under 0.5	0.67	2	+2.1%	Low	Loss
Lawrence Butler	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	2	+3.5%	Medium	Win
Kaelen Culpepper	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	4	+11.1%	High	Win
Donovan Walton	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	0	+7.6%	High	Loss
Byron Buxton	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.54	7	+15.3%	High	Loss
Royce Lewis	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.45	1	+16.1%	High	Win
Ryan Jeffers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.20	1	-2.5%	Low	Loss
Luke Keaschall	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.96	4	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Henry Bolte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.06	6	+1.1%	Low	Win
Josh Bell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.13	5	+1.2%	Low	Win
Jeff McNeil	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.96	6	-0.6%	Low	Win
Kody Clemens	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.18	4	+3.9%	Medium	Win
Brooks Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.08	2	+5.0%	Medium	Win
Carlos Cortes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.52	0	-1.9%	Low	Win
Tommy White	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.78	1	+1.5%	Low	Loss
Lawrence Butler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	4	+3.8%	Medium	Win
Zack Gelof	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.73	4	+2.1%	Low	Win
Jonah Heim	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.90	2	+6.9%	High	Loss
Kaelen Culpepper	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.61	6	+2.2%	Low	Win
Donovan Walton	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.66	0	+9.5%	High	Loss
Byron Buxton	Total Bases	Under 2.5	1.27	4	+10.1%	High	Loss
Royce Lewis	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.19	1	+4.8%	Medium	Win
Ryan Jeffers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.58	1	-1.2%	Low	Loss
Luke Keaschall	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.80	4	+7.8%	High	Win
Henry Bolte	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.58	3	+1.9%	Low	Win
Jeff McNeil	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.67	4	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Josh Bell	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.53	2	+1.1%	Low	Win
Kody Clemens	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.72	2	+7.6%	High	Win
Brooks Lee	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.81	1	+10.5%	High	Loss
Tommy White	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.54	0	+6.4%	High	Loss
Carlos Cortes	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.16	0	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Zack Gelof	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.19	3	+0.4%	Low	Win
Lawrence Butler	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.49	3	+8.1%	High	Win
Jonah Heim	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.74	1	+2.3%	Low	Win

PHI @ SEA

16–2238 dec42.1%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Logan Gilbert	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	6.13	5	+2.6%	Medium	Loss
Zack Wheeler	Strikeouts	Under 7.5	6.39	4	+8.2%	High	Win
Luis Arraez	Hits	Over 0.5	1.45	1	+12.2%	High	Win
Trea Turner	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	0	-0.8%	Low	Loss
Alec Bohm	Hits	Over 0.5	1.41	0	+19.2%	High	Loss
Josh Naylor	Hits	Over 0.5	1.17	3	+15.2%	High	Win
Cole Young	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	1	-2.6%	Low	Loss
Bryce Harper	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	2	+11.3%	High	Win
Dominic Canzone	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	1	+8.8%	High	Win
Kyle Schwarber	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	0	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Randy Arozarena	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	0	+12.6%	High	Loss
Bryson Stott	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	1	+2.2%	Low	Win
J.T. Realmuto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.73	1	+3.6%	Medium	Win
Brandon Marsh	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	0	+11.9%	High	Loss
Justin Crawford	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	0	+11.2%	High	Loss
Taylor Ward	Hits	Over 0.5	0.68	0	+5.9%	High	Loss
Cal Raleigh	Hits	Over 0.5	0.48	3	-2.4%	Low	Win
Brock Rodden	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	0	+21.4%	Low	Loss
Weston Wilson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.50	0	+5.6%	High	Loss
Luis Arraez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.57	1	+21.5%	Low	Loss
Kyle Schwarber	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.27	1	+12.3%	High	Loss
Trea Turner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.84	0	+7.9%	High	Loss
Alec Bohm	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	3.01	1	+30.4%	Low	Loss
Bryce Harper	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.42	2	+21.5%	Low	Win
Josh Naylor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.91	3	+13.9%	High	Win
Cole Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.60	3	+8.0%	High	Win
Dominic Canzone	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.83	2	+12.7%	High	Win
Randy Arozarena	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.34	1	+21.3%	Low	Loss
Bryson Stott	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.81	1	+14.2%	High	Loss
Brandon Marsh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.79	0	+12.5%	High	Loss
J.T. Realmuto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.61	3	+11.2%	High	Win
Cal Raleigh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.17	10	+6.6%	High	Win
Taylor Ward	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.34	1	+10.9%	High	Win
Justin Crawford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.36	0	+14.4%	High	Loss
Brock Rodden	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.86	0	+35.0%	Low	Loss
Weston Wilson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.97	0	+13.6%	High	Loss
Luis Arraez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.99	1	+21.6%	Low	Loss
Zack Wheeler	Strikeouts	Under 6.5	6.39	4	+6.7%	High	Win

CIN @ SF

15–1732 dec46.9%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Sal Stewart	Hits	Over 1.5	1.15	1	-1.8%	Low	Loss
Elly De La Cruz	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	1	-1.9%	Low	Win
Dane Myers	Hits	Under 0.5	0.78	0	+1.5%	Low	Win
Jung Hoo Lee	Hits	Under 0.5	0.90	1	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Tyler Stephenson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.64	2	+5.9%	High	Loss
Matt McLain	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	0	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Osleivis Basabe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.69	0	-3.3%	Low	Loss
Rafael Devers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	2	+3.0%	Medium	Win
JJ Bleday	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	0	+5.1%	High	Loss
Ke'Bryan Hayes	Hits	Under 0.5	0.53	—	+1.4%	Low	Void
Drew Gilbert	Hits	Over 0.5	0.67	2	-0.6%	Low	Win
Christian Koss	Hits	Over 0.5	0.74	2	+4.4%	Medium	Win
Turner Hill	Hits	Over 0.5	0.50	1	-3.3%	Low	Win
Drew Cavanaugh	Hits	Over 0.5	0.54	1	-1.2%	Low	Win
Buddy Kennedy	Hits	Under 0.5	0.33	—	+3.2%	Medium	Void
Sal Stewart	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.51	1	+6.3%	High	Loss
Elly De La Cruz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.07	1	+3.1%	Medium	Loss
Tyler Stephenson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.42	2	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Dane Myers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.39	0	+1.2%	Low	Win
Jung Hoo Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.39	2	-3.2%	Low	Loss
Matt McLain	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.88	0	+10.4%	High	Loss
Rafael Devers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.99	7	+12.9%	High	Win
Osleivis Basabe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.05	0	-0.9%	Low	Win
JJ Bleday	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.73	0	+9.1%	High	Loss
Ke'Bryan Hayes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.99	—	+1.8%	Low	Void
Drew Gilbert	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.60	4	+10.4%	High	Win
Christian Koss	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.08	3	+5.8%	High	Win
Drew Cavanaugh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.84	1	+2.0%	Low	Win
Turner Hill	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.00	2	+7.0%	High	Win
Buddy Kennedy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.60	—	-1.9%	Low	Void
Sal Stewart	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.75	1	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Elly De La Cruz	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.69	1	+7.9%	High	Loss
Dane Myers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.27	0	-2.0%	Low	Loss
Tyler Stephenson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.10	2	-3.1%	Low	Win
Jung Hoo Lee	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.21	1	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Chase Burns	Strikeouts	Over 6.5	7.01	5	+6.0%	High	Loss

all settled dates