10 MLB games · 378 model-vs-market reads
Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.
Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.
Comerica Park38 leansFinal · graded
TB@DET

Tampa Bay Rays at Detroit Tigers
first pitch6:40 PM ET
TB@DET
Tampa Bay Rays at Detroit Tigers
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.8 K across 24 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.4 K across 25 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.71
- SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 7 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.07 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 120 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.27 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.71
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 7 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.31 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.36 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 120 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 129 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 120 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 120 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 129 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.45 across 86 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
loanDepot park38 leansFinal · graded
BOS@MIA

Boston Red Sox at Miami Marlins
first pitch6:40 PM ET
BOS@MIA
Boston Red Sox at Miami Marlins
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.1 K across 22 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.8 K across 27 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 121 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 40 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 34 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.24 across 123 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 123 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.09 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 129 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 122 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 129 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 63 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 121 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 34 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.28 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 40 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 122 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 63 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 105 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Nationals Park38 leansFinal · graded
COL@WSH

Colorado Rockies at Washington Nationals
first pitch6:45 PM ET
COL@WSH
Colorado Rockies at Washington Nationals
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 9.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.0 K across 27 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.4 K across 19 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.67
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 9 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.21 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 20 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.36 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 94 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.56
- SeasonSeason average 0.56 across 9 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.53 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 20 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 94 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Rate Field37 leansFinal · graded
TEX@CWS

Texas Rangers at Chicago White Sox
first pitch7:40 PM ET
TEX@CWS
Texas Rangers at Chicago White Sox
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.5 K across 24 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 128 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 120 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 120 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 128 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 124 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 123 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 120 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 125 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.56 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 120 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 95 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 123 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 125 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.49 across 43 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 15 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.44 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 95 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 125 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 125 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 124 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 43 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 15 games
Angel Stadium38 leansFinal · graded
CLE@LAA

Cleveland Guardians at Los Angeles Angels
first pitch9:38 PM ET
CLE@LAA
Cleveland Guardians at Los Angeles Angels
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.2 K across 5 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.1 K across 25 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.07 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 128 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.09 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 128 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.41 across 22 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 16 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.21 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.62
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 8 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 125 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 120 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 16 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 22 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.75
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 8 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 125 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 120 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 87 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
Chase Field39 leansFinal · graded
CHC@AZ

Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks
first pitch9:40 PM ET
CHC@AZ
Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.6 K across 23 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.5 K across 26 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.5 K across 26 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 122 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 63 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.51 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 92 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 63 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 128 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.34 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 92 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 122 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.41 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.26 across 102 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 128 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 129 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 129 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 128 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 128 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Petco Park38 leansFinal · graded
PIT@SD

Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres
first pitch9:40 PM ET
PIT@SD
Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.4 K across 25 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.7 K across 25 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 129 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 89 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 122 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 132 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 89 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 124 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.07 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.31 across 88 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 129 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 132 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 128 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 88 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 123 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.29 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.49 across 68 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.30 across 122 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.50 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 128 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 123 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 124 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Sutter Health Park36 leansFinal · graded
MIN@ATH

Minnesota Twins at Athletics
first pitch9:40 PM ET
MIN@ATH
Minnesota Twins at Athletics
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 1.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.9 K across 23 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.8 K across 17 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 13 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 123 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 122 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 122 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 13 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.07 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 32 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 32 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 123 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 114 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
T-Mobile Park39 leansFinal · graded
PHI@SEA

Philadelphia Phillies at Seattle Mariners
first pitch9:40 PM ET
PHI@SEA
Philadelphia Phillies at Seattle Mariners
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.9 K across 21 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.9 K across 21 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.3 K across 25 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 124 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 122 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 125 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 122 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 123 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 124 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 125 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.29 across 123 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 124 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 123 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 123 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.50 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 125 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.86
- SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 7 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 4.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 124 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.24 across 123 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 130 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.86
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 7 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 123 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 125 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 126 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Oracle Park37 leansFinal · graded
CIN@SF

Cincinnati Reds at San Francisco Giants
first pitch9:45 PM ET
CIN@SF
Cincinnati Reds at San Francisco Giants
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.6 K across 24 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.29 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 6 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.31 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 35 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 35 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.25 across 20 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 22 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.50 across 6 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 33 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 112 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.50 across 20 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 63 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.46 across 63 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 33 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 22 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 103 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Open the MLB Power Board →
HR markets are high-variance and rated on a separate power-profile scale (barrel + park + matchup), not the standard High / Medium / Low tiers used here.
