Settled projections · Friday, July 31
53.1%
146–129 on 275 decisiveCombined audit across the sports that had settled rows on 2026-07-31. Pushes excluded. Pending games never count as losses.
At a glance
Hit
146
model agreed and the line cleared
Miss
129
model agreed but the line did not clear
Push
0
final stat tied the line — excluded from hit rate
Pending
0
no games still pending on this date
Biggest hits
- MLBCJ AbramsOver 1.5 Total Bases+27.7pp edgeactual 4
- MLBNick MartinezUnder 4.5 Strikeouts+27.1pp edgeactual 2
- MLBCeddanne RafaelaOver 1.5 Total Bases+21.3pp edgeactual 6
- MLBNick GonzalesOver 1.5 Total Bases+18.4pp edgeactual 2
- MLBManny MachadoOver 1.5 Total Bases+18.0pp edgeactual 2
Biggest misses
- MLBRanger SuarezOver 4.5 Strikeouts+18.1pp edgeactual 2
- MLBRanger SuarezOver 5.5 Strikeouts+17.1pp edgeactual 2
- MLBPete Crow-ArmstrongOver 1.5 Total Bases+15.7pp edgeactual 0
- MLBWill WarrenUnder 4.5 Strikeouts+15.4pp edgeactual 7
- MLBCarter JensenUnder 1.5 Total Bases+5.0pp edgeactual 4
MLB settled games · projection vs actual
NYY @ CHC5–1722 dec22.7%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Warren | Strikeouts | Under 4.5 | 3.65 | 7 | +15.4% | High | Loss |
| Shota Imanaga | Strikeouts | Under 5.5 | 4.80 | 6 | +12.5% | High | Loss |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.14 | 0 | +2.2% | Low | Loss |
| Nico Hoerner | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.26 | 0 | +7.5% | High | Loss |
| Paul Goldschmidt | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.85 | 0 | -2.5% | Low | Win |
| Ben Rice | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.85 | 1 | -2.6% | Low | Loss |
| Jasson Domínguez | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.95 | 0 | +1.3% | Low | Loss |
| Michael Busch | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.01 | 0 | +4.0% | Medium | Loss |
| Seiya Suzuki | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.01 | — | +2.8% | Medium | Void |
| Alex Bregman | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.24 | 1 | +13.1% | High | Win |
| Dansby Swanson | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.87 | 0 | +1.7% | Low | Loss |
| Anthony Volpe | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.74 | 0 | -3.0% | Low | Loss |
| Ian Happ | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.86 | 1 | +2.4% | Low | Win |
| Amed Rosario | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.46 | 1 | +7.4% | High | Loss |
| Trent Grisham | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.57 | 0 | +2.2% | Low | Win |
| Carson Kelly | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.72 | — | -0.7% | Low | Void |
| Michael Conforto | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.47 | 0 | +4.9% | Medium | Win |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.85 | — | +6.6% | High | Void |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.52 | 0 | +15.7% | High | Loss |
| Ben Rice | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.82 | 1 | +7.5% | High | Loss |
| Paul Goldschmidt | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.38 | 0 | +1.4% | Low | Loss |
| Seiya Suzuki | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.95 | — | +13.8% | High | Void |
| Michael Busch | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.49 | 0 | +4.5% | Medium | Loss |
| Jasson Domínguez | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.50 | 0 | +5.0% | Medium | Loss |
| Nico Hoerner | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.60 | 0 | +11.2% | High | Loss |
| Alex Bregman | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.10 | 1 | +22.5% | Low | Loss |
PIT @ CIN22–1032 dec68.8%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Skenes | Strikeouts | Over 7.5 | 7.81 | 7 | -0.7% | Low | Loss |
| Hunter Greene | Strikeouts | Over 7.5 | 7.30 | 4 | +2.5% | Low | Loss |
| Jake Mangum | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.18 | 2 | +2.8% | Medium | Win |
| Nick Gonzales | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.40 | 2 | +13.3% | High | Win |
| Sal Stewart | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.93 | 2 | +1.1% | Low | Win |
| Bryan Reynolds | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.74 | 2 | -0.7% | Low | Loss |
| Brandon Lowe | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.05 | 3 | +8.7% | High | Win |
| Ryan O'Hearn | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.91 | 1 | +0.9% | Low | Win |
| Elly De La Cruz | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.06 | 1 | +8.5% | High | Win |
| Esmerlyn Valdez | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.76 | 0 | +0.7% | Low | Loss |
| Nathaniel Lowe | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.93 | 2 | +9.3% | High | Win |
| JJ Bleday | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.61 | 1 | -2.3% | Low | Loss |
| Tyler Stephenson | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.95 | 1 | +12.7% | High | Win |
| Marcell Ozuna | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.67 | — | +1.4% | Low | Void |
| Noelvi Marte | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.55 | 3 | -3.3% | Low | Loss |
| Jacob Gonzalez | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.58 | 0 | -1.6% | Low | Loss |
| Dane Myers | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.92 | 1 | +14.4% | High | Win |
| Henry Davis | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.66 | 1 | +5.3% | High | Win |
| Matt McLain | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.43 | 1 | +0.2% | Low | Win |
| Jake Mangum | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.74 | 5 | +0.8% | Low | Win |
| Bryan Reynolds | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.65 | 3 | +1.3% | Low | Win |
| Brandon Lowe | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.32 | 5 | +13.6% | High | Win |
| Nick Gonzales | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.32 | 5 | +17.4% | High | Win |
| Ryan O'Hearn | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.00 | 1 | +8.0% | High | Loss |
| Esmerlyn Valdez | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.87 | 2 | +8.4% | High | Win |
| Marcell Ozuna | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.39 | — | +6.5% | High | Void |
| Jacob Gonzalez | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.32 | 0 | +2.8% | Medium | Loss |
| Henry Davis | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.54 | 3 | +13.0% | High | Win |
| Brandon Lowe | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.97 | 4 | +15.0% | High | Win |
| Bryan Reynolds | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.33 | 2 | +2.6% | Medium | Win |
| Jake Mangum | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.34 | 5 | +1.6% | Low | Win |
| Sal Stewart | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.64 | 5 | +10.2% | High | Win |
| Nick Gonzales | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.78 | 2 | +18.4% | High | Win |
| Hunter Greene | Strikeouts | Over 6.5 | 7.30 | 4 | -1.5% | Low | Loss |
STL @ TOR9–1221 dec42.9%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Leahy | Strikeouts | Over 4.5 | 4.73 | 3 | +10.0% | High | Loss |
| Dylan Cease | Strikeouts | Over 7.5 | 9.46 | 7 | +25.2% | Low | Loss |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.99 | 1 | -2.3% | Low | Loss |
| Ernie Clement | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.17 | 0 | +3.1% | Medium | Loss |
| George Springer | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.11 | 1 | +4.5% | Medium | Win |
| Nathan Lukes | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.97 | 0 | -1.1% | Low | Loss |
| Alejandro Kirk | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.89 | — | +0.3% | Low | Void |
| Kazuma Okamoto | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.82 | 1 | -2.6% | Low | Win |
| Alec Burleson | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.19 | 1 | +10.8% | High | Win |
| Daulton Varsho | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.04 | 0 | +8.2% | High | Loss |
| Jordan Walker | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.89 | 1 | +3.6% | Medium | Win |
| JJ Wetherholt | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.85 | 0 | +2.8% | Medium | Loss |
| Blaze Jordan | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.69 | — | +0.6% | Low | Void |
| Masyn Winn | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.89 | 1 | +9.5% | High | Win |
| Lars Nootbaar | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.69 | 0 | +2.5% | Medium | Loss |
| Nathan Church | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.55 | 2 | -0.5% | Low | Win |
| Jimmy Crooks | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.41 | 0 | -1.4% | Low | Loss |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.26 | 2 | -3.3% | Low | Win |
| George Springer | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.83 | 1 | +12.5% | High | Loss |
| Kazuma Okamoto | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.63 | 2 | +7.0% | High | Win |
| Ernie Clement | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.62 | 0 | +9.5% | High | Loss |
| Alec Burleson | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.68 | 2 | +11.5% | High | Win |
| Nathan Lukes | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.30 | 0 | +1.6% | Low | Loss |
| Alejandro Kirk | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.22 | — | +1.7% | Low | Void |
CWS @ TB17–926 dec65.4%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erick Fedde | Strikeouts | Over 3.5 | 3.47 | 6 | -1.7% | Low | Win |
| Nick Martinez | Strikeouts | Under 4.5 | 2.61 | 2 | +27.1% | Low | Win |
| Chandler Simpson | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.25 | 1 | +5.0% | High | Win |
| Junior Caminero | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.08 | 1 | +2.4% | Low | Win |
| Jonathan Aranda | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.02 | 0 | -0.9% | Low | Loss |
| Miguel Vargas | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.89 | 1 | -1.2% | Low | Win |
| Sam Antonacci | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.94 | 1 | +1.3% | Low | Win |
| Cedric Mullins | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.75 | 1 | -2.6% | Low | Win |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.84 | 0 | +1.6% | Low | Loss |
| Braden Montgomery | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.89 | 0 | +3.9% | Medium | Loss |
| Chase Meidroth | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.00 | 0 | +8.5% | High | Loss |
| Munetaka Murakami | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.97 | 2 | +7.6% | High | Win |
| Colson Montgomery | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.71 | 1 | -3.2% | Low | Win |
| Andrew Benintendi | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.72 | 2 | -0.3% | Low | Win |
| Tristan Peters | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.55 | 0 | +0.6% | Low | Win |
| Taylor Walls | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.69 | 0 | +2.5% | Medium | Loss |
| Richie Palacios | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.54 | 0 | -3.5% | Low | Loss |
| Hunter Feduccia | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.63 | 1 | +3.3% | Medium | Win |
| Drew Romo | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.41 | 1 | -2.8% | Low | Win |
| Junior Caminero | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.88 | 4 | +7.2% | High | Win |
| Jonathan Aranda | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.36 | 0 | -0.1% | Low | Loss |
| Miguel Vargas | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.68 | 4 | +6.9% | High | Win |
| Munetaka Murakami | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.11 | 5 | +16.0% | High | Win |
| Colson Montgomery | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.29 | 4 | +2.2% | Low | Win |
| Chandler Simpson | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.47 | 1 | +7.2% | High | Loss |
| Sam Antonacci | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.44 | 1 | +8.5% | High | Loss |
WSH @ ATL13–922 dec59.1%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Elder | Strikeouts | Over 4.5 | 4.96 | 3 | +12.9% | High | Loss |
| Foster Griffin | Strikeouts | Under 4.5 | 4.80 | 3 | -2.1% | Low | Win |
| Drake Baldwin | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.14 | 0 | +2.5% | Medium | Loss |
| Ozzie Albies | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.96 | 2 | -3.1% | Low | Win |
| Michael Harris II | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.95 | 2 | -3.3% | Low | Win |
| James Wood | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.02 | 1 | +1.5% | Low | Win |
| Matt Olson | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.91 | 2 | +0.2% | Low | Win |
| CJ Abrams | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.34 | 1 | +13.6% | High | Win |
| Daylen Lile | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.93 | 1 | +0.5% | Low | Win |
| Dylan Crews | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.92 | 2 | +1.5% | Low | Win |
| Keibert Ruiz | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.73 | — | -0.8% | Low | Void |
| Austin Riley | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.68 | 1 | -0.9% | Low | Loss |
| Jorbit Vivas | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.51 | 1 | +1.9% | Low | Loss |
| Eli White | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.51 | — | +0.5% | Low | Void |
| Jacob Young | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.95 | 0 | +12.9% | High | Loss |
| Joey Bart | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.62 | 0 | +3.1% | Medium | Loss |
| James Wood | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.00 | 1 | +11.9% | High | Loss |
| Ozzie Albies | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.75 | 2 | +9.0% | High | Win |
| Drake Baldwin | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.88 | 0 | +11.3% | High | Loss |
| Matt Olson | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.76 | 6 | +9.6% | High | Win |
| CJ Abrams | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.84 | 4 | +27.7% | Low | Win |
| Michael Harris II | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.63 | 5 | +8.2% | High | Win |
| Daylen Lile | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.81 | 1 | +12.8% | High | Loss |
| Dylan Crews | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.78 | 2 | +15.9% | High | Win |
KC @ COL22–1032 dec68.8%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomoyuki Sugano | Strikeouts | Under 3.5 | 3.23 | 2 | +2.4% | Low | Win |
| Michael Wacha | Strikeouts | Over 4.5 | 4.61 | 7 | +0.7% | Low | Win |
| Jac Caglianone | Hits | Under 1.5 | 0.80 | 0 | +11.6% | High | Win |
| Jake McCarthy | Hits | Under 1.5 | 1.08 | 0 | +1.7% | Low | Win |
| Carter Jensen | Hits | Under 1.5 | 0.67 | 1 | +16.0% | High | Win |
| Salvador Perez | Hits | Under 1.5 | 0.81 | 2 | +10.9% | High | Loss |
| Lane Thomas | Hits | Under 1.5 | 0.65 | 1 | +14.5% | High | Win |
| Michael Massey | Hits | Under 1.5 | 0.86 | 0 | +7.6% | High | Win |
| Mickey Moniak | Hits | Under 1.5 | 0.98 | 1 | +0.9% | Low | Win |
| Nick Loftin | Hits | Under 1.5 | 0.93 | 0 | +2.2% | Low | Win |
| TJ Rumfield | Hits | Under 1.5 | 1.02 | 1 | -3.0% | Low | Win |
| Kyle Karros | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.80 | 2 | +2.9% | Medium | Loss |
| Hunter Goodman | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.93 | 0 | -0.7% | Low | Win |
| Cole Carrigg | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.15 | — | +3.4% | Medium | Void |
| Isaac Collins | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.79 | 1 | +2.4% | Low | Loss |
| Troy Johnston | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.65 | 0 | +5.5% | High | Win |
| Josh Rojas | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.80 | 0 | -2.4% | Low | Win |
| Ezequiel Tovar | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.54 | 0 | +8.3% | High | Win |
| Willi Castro | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.86 | — | -0.7% | Low | Void |
| Tyler Tolbert | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.65 | — | -0.8% | Low | Void |
| Jac Caglianone | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 1.56 | 0 | -0.9% | Low | Win |
| Carter Jensen | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 1.24 | 4 | +5.0% | Medium | Loss |
| Mickey Moniak | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.81 | 2 | +0.3% | Low | Win |
| Salvador Perez | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.72 | 2 | +0.6% | Low | Win |
| Hunter Goodman | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.12 | 0 | +5.5% | High | Loss |
| Jake McCarthy | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.69 | 0 | +0.5% | Low | Loss |
| Lane Thomas | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 1.05 | 1 | +6.6% | High | Win |
| Michael Massey | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 1.41 | 0 | -2.8% | Low | Win |
| TJ Rumfield | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.58 | 1 | +2.7% | Medium | Loss |
| Cole Carrigg | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.82 | — | +8.4% | High | Void |
| Isaac Collins | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 1.18 | 3 | +0.7% | Low | Loss |
| Kyle Karros | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 1.26 | 2 | -2.0% | Low | Loss |
| Nick Loftin | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.42 | 0 | -0.3% | Low | Loss |
| Troy Johnston | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 0.88 | 0 | +4.8% | Medium | Win |
| Josh Rojas | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 1.03 | 0 | +2.4% | Low | Win |
| Ezequiel Tovar | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 0.81 | 0 | +2.6% | Medium | Win |
| Willi Castro | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.67 | — | +12.4% | High | Void |
MIL @ LAA13–1225 dec52.0%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Drohan | Strikeouts | Under 5.5 | 5.61 | 7 | -0.3% | Low | Loss |
| Ryan Johnson | Strikeouts | Under 4.5 | 3.22 | 3 | +12.0% | High | Win |
| Jackson Chourio | Hits | Under 1.5 | 1.07 | 1 | -2.2% | Low | Win |
| William Contreras | Hits | Under 1.5 | 0.93 | 1 | +0.3% | Low | Win |
| Brice Turang | Hits | Over 1.5 | 1.18 | 1 | +3.0% | Medium | Loss |
| Christian Yelich | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.92 | 1 | -2.5% | Low | Win |
| Andrew Vaughn | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.82 | — | -1.5% | Low | Void |
| Nolan Schanuel | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.12 | 1 | +10.8% | High | Win |
| Vaughn Grissom | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.11 | 1 | +8.7% | High | Win |
| Zach Neto | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.86 | 1 | +1.3% | Low | Win |
| Mike Trout | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.94 | 0 | +4.7% | Medium | Loss |
| Cooper Pratt | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.06 | 1 | +8.2% | High | Win |
| Jo Adell | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.97 | 0 | +4.8% | Medium | Loss |
| Garrett Mitchell | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.73 | 2 | -3.3% | Low | Win |
| Jake Bauers | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.90 | 2 | +4.4% | Medium | Win |
| Jorge Soler | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.68 | 0 | -2.7% | Low | Loss |
| Denzer Guzman | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.81 | 1 | +5.9% | High | Win |
| David Hamilton | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.71 | 0 | +4.0% | Medium | Loss |
| Jose Siri | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.65 | 0 | +5.8% | High | Loss |
| Travis d'Arnaud | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.57 | 0 | +3.3% | Medium | Loss |
| Jackson Chourio | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.57 | 1 | +0.6% | Low | Loss |
| William Contreras | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.51 | 2 | +2.1% | Low | Win |
| Brice Turang | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.80 | 4 | +8.3% | High | Win |
| Andrew Vaughn | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.40 | — | +3.9% | Medium | Void |
| Christian Yelich | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.66 | 1 | +10.8% | High | Loss |
| Mike Trout | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.43 | 0 | +5.4% | High | Loss |
| Zach Neto | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.40 | 1 | +5.9% | High | Loss |
DET @ ATH5–712 dec41.7%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Wilson | Hits | Under 1.5 | 0.96 | 1 | +7.2% | High | Win |
| Nick Kurtz | Hits | Under 1.5 | 0.51 | 0 | +16.1% | High | Win |
| Tyler Soderstrom | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.89 | 0 | -3.2% | Low | Win |
| Tommy White | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.23 | 0 | -1.4% | Low | Loss |
| Jonah Heim | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.90 | 1 | +2.5% | Low | Win |
| Lawrence Butler | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.75 | 0 | -3.0% | Low | Loss |
| Carlos Cortes | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.57 | — | +2.1% | Low | Void |
| Henry Bolte | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.60 | 1 | -0.8% | Low | Loss |
| Donovan Walton | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.63 | 0 | -0.9% | Low | Loss |
| Nick Kurtz | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 1.07 | 0 | +6.9% | High | Win |
| Jacob Wilson | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.61 | 1 | +0.5% | Low | Loss |
| Tyler Soderstrom | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.49 | 0 | +2.6% | Medium | Loss |
| Tommy White | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.37 | 0 | +1.9% | Low | Loss |
SF @ SD18–2745 dec40.0%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Whisenhunt | Strikeouts | Over 3.5 | 4.33 | 3 | +5.4% | High | Loss |
| Luis Arraez | Hits | Over 1.5 | 1.36 | 1 | +8.9% | High | Loss |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.16 | 1 | +2.0% | Low | Win |
| Heliot Ramos | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.97 | 0 | -0.9% | Low | Loss |
| Jung Hoo Lee | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.07 | 0 | -0.8% | Low | Loss |
| Manny Machado | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.15 | 1 | +8.4% | High | Win |
| Luis Rengifo | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.99 | 1 | +2.8% | Medium | Win |
| Ty France | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.12 | 2 | +7.3% | High | Win |
| Jackson Merrill | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.16 | 0 | +8.0% | High | Loss |
| Xander Bogaerts | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.68 | 1 | +0.6% | Low | Loss |
| Bryce Eldridge | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.70 | 0 | -2.9% | Low | Win |
| Rafael Devers | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.02 | 0 | +9.4% | High | Loss |
| Willy Adames | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.84 | 0 | +2.2% | Low | Loss |
| Christian Koss | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.45 | 1 | +6.0% | High | Loss |
| Luis Campusano | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.69 | 3 | -0.5% | Low | Win |
| Drew Gilbert | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.67 | 0 | +0.5% | Low | Loss |
| Drew Cavanaugh | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.60 | 0 | +0.6% | Low | Loss |
| Freddy Fermin | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.59 | 1 | +0.3% | Low | Win |
| Jase Bowen | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.37 | 2 | +0.9% | Low | Loss |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.29 | 3 | +7.8% | High | Win |
| Heliot Ramos | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.91 | 0 | +1.1% | Low | Loss |
| Luis Arraez | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.42 | 1 | +13.0% | High | Loss |
| Manny Machado | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.56 | 2 | +13.9% | High | Win |
| Ty France | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.28 | 5 | +9.1% | High | Win |
| Luis Rengifo | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.97 | 4 | +8.1% | High | Win |
| Jung Hoo Lee | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.09 | 0 | +8.7% | High | Loss |
| Jackson Merrill | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.23 | 1 | +11.7% | High | Loss |
| Rafael Devers | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.31 | 0 | +13.6% | High | Loss |
| Xander Bogaerts | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.43 | 1 | -1.2% | Low | Loss |
| Bryce Eldridge | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.55 | 0 | +2.3% | Low | Loss |
| Willy Adames | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.88 | 0 | +10.0% | High | Loss |
| Luis Campusano | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.29 | 4 | -0.3% | Low | Win |
| Christian Koss | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Under 1.5 | 0.87 | 1 | +2.6% | Medium | Win |
| Drew Gilbert | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 1.20 | 0 | +4.7% | Medium | Loss |
| Drew Cavanaugh | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 0.90 | 0 | +0.9% | Low | Loss |
| Freddy Fermin | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 0.94 | 1 | +2.4% | Low | Win |
| Jase Bowen | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 0.5 | 0.97 | 4 | +4.0% | Medium | Win |
| Heliot Ramos | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.45 | 0 | +1.6% | Low | Loss |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.74 | 2 | +8.5% | High | Win |
| Manny Machado | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.26 | 2 | +18.0% | High | Win |
| Luis Arraez | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.69 | 1 | +9.6% | High | Loss |
| Ty France | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.93 | 2 | +14.5% | High | Win |
| Jackson Merrill | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.02 | 0 | +19.2% | High | Loss |
| Jung Hoo Lee | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.72 | 0 | +13.6% | High | Loss |
| Luis Rengifo | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.51 | 1 | +9.2% | High | Loss |
BOS @ LAD22–1638 dec57.9%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ranger Suarez | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 | 6.06 | 2 | +17.1% | High | Loss |
| Tommy Edman | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.98 | — | -2.8% | Low | Void |
| Andy Pages | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.07 | 1 | +3.0% | Medium | Win |
| Shohei Ohtani | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.16 | 2 | +6.5% | High | Win |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.15 | 3 | +8.6% | High | Win |
| Caleb Durbin | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.91 | 2 | -0.6% | Low | Win |
| Freddie Freeman | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.42 | 3 | +16.5% | High | Win |
| Wilyer Abreu | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.68 | 1 | +2.5% | Low | Loss |
| Masataka Yoshida | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.68 | 2 | +1.3% | Low | Loss |
| Willson Contreras | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.00 | 0 | +4.2% | Medium | Loss |
| Mookie Betts | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.96 | 1 | +1.4% | Low | Win |
| Kyle Tucker | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.67 | 1 | -0.2% | Low | Loss |
| Anthony Seigler | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.89 | 0 | +2.4% | Low | Loss |
| Miguel Rojas | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.62 | 0 | -0.3% | Low | Win |
| Jarren Duran | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.83 | 2 | +4.5% | Medium | Win |
| Andruw Monasterio | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.03 | 1 | +14.2% | High | Win |
| Dalton Rushing | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.84 | — | +4.7% | Medium | Void |
| Shohei Ohtani | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.33 | 6 | +6.4% | High | Win |
| Andy Pages | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.25 | 1 | +8.4% | High | Loss |
| Tommy Edman | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.04 | — | +5.0% | Medium | Void |
| Wilyer Abreu | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.58 | 2 | -2.1% | Low | Win |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.45 | 7 | +15.9% | High | Win |
| Freddie Freeman | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.23 | 4 | +12.6% | High | Win |
| Willson Contreras | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.06 | 0 | +7.6% | High | Loss |
| Caleb Durbin | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.82 | 4 | +5.2% | High | Win |
| Masataka Yoshida | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Under 1.5 | 1.20 | 4 | +1.1% | Low | Loss |
| Mookie Betts | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.05 | 1 | +8.9% | High | Loss |
| Anthony Seigler | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.58 | 0 | +2.7% | Medium | Loss |
| Kyle Tucker | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.60 | 2 | +3.5% | Medium | Win |
| Jarren Duran | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.77 | 4 | +9.8% | High | Win |
| Miguel Rojas | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Under 1.5 | 1.08 | 0 | +0.2% | Low | Win |
| Dalton Rushing | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 2.00 | — | +13.6% | High | Void |
| Andruw Monasterio | Hits + Runs + RBIs | Over 1.5 | 1.91 | 3 | +15.2% | High | Win |
| Shohei Ohtani | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.03 | 6 | +9.4% | High | Win |
| Andy Pages | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.70 | 1 | +9.4% | High | Loss |
| Tommy Edman | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.52 | — | +6.6% | High | Void |
| Freddie Freeman | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.97 | 3 | +17.0% | High | Win |
| Wilyer Abreu | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.28 | 1 | +2.1% | Low | Loss |
| Willson Contreras | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.71 | 0 | +11.0% | High | Loss |
| Mookie Betts | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.66 | 1 | +11.4% | High | Loss |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.03 | 6 | +21.3% | Low | Win |
| Caleb Durbin | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.37 | 3 | +7.3% | High | Win |
| Ranger Suarez | Strikeouts | Over 4.5 | 6.06 | 2 | +18.1% | High | Loss |
