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146–129 on 275 decisive picks · 53.1%2026-07-31
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MLB model board · 2026-07-31

15 MLB games · 235 model-vs-market reads

Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.

Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.

SCHEDULEliveMODEL LEANSavailableUPDATEDJul 31, 11:52 AM ETeducational analytics only
Gap ≥ 5 pp
77
model vs market · context
Gap 2.5–5 pp
34
model vs market · context
Small gap
107
2 anomalies shown separately
Sample too small
15
no projection emitted
Strikeouts9 gap ≥ 5 pp·19 totalHits43 gap ≥ 5 pp·171 totalHits + Runs + RBIs25 gap ≥ 5 pp·45 total
Highest model probabilities · 8 shown
Market context · no model anomalies
Nick Kurtz
Nick KurtzATH vs DET
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsUnder 1.5+16.1%
proj 0.51-243 · draftkings
Freddie Freeman
Freddie FreemanLAD vs BOS
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+16.5%
proj 1.42-217 · draftkings
Lane Thomas
Lane ThomasKC vs COL
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsUnder 1.5+14.5%
proj 0.65-229 · draftkings
Carter Jensen
Carter JensenKC vs COL
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsUnder 1.5+16%
proj 0.67-208 · draftkings
Nick Gonzales
Nick GonzalesPIT vs CIN
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+13.3%
proj 1.4-218 · draftkings
CJ Abrams
CJ AbramsWSH vs ATL
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+13.6%
proj 1.34-211 · draftkings
Alex Bregman
Alex BregmanCHC vs NYY
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+13.1%
proj 1.24-197 · draftkings
Nico Hoerner
Nico HoernerCHC vs NYY
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+7.5%
proj 1.26-252 · draftkings
Filters · 235 of 235 leans
Market
Gap size
Team
Sort
Density
Wrigley Field20 leansFinal · graded

NYY@CHC

New York Yankees at Chicago Cubs

first pitch
2:20 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Will Warren
probable · awayWill Warren
NYY
Shota Imanaga
probable · homeShota Imanaga
CHC
Strikeouts
Will Warren
Will Warren
NYYvsCHCPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER4.5
Projection3.65
Edge+15.4%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.9 K across 21 starts
+113 · draftkings
Shota Imanaga
Shota Imanaga
CHCvsNYYPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER5.5
Projection4.8
Edge+12.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.4 K across 21 starts
+107 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Alex Bregman
Alex Bregman
CHCvsNYYBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.24
Edge+13.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 106 games
-197 · draftkings
Nico Hoerner
Nico Hoerner
CHCvsNYYBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.26
Edge+7.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 107 games
-252 · draftkings
Amed Rosario
Amed Rosario
NYYvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.46
Edge+7.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 63 games
+125 · draftkings
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
NYYvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge+6.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 102 games
-146 · draftkings
Michael Conforto
Michael Conforto
CHCvsNYYBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.47
Edge+4.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.53 across 73 games
+115 · draftkings
Michael Busch
Michael Busch
CHCvsNYYBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 108 games
-218 · draftkings
Seiya Suzuki
Seiya Suzuki
CHCvsNYYBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 93 games
-213 · draftkings
Anthony Volpe
Anthony Volpe
NYYvsCHCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 53 games
-179 · draftkings
Ben Rice
Ben Rice
NYYvsCHCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 104 games
+167 · draftkings
Paul Goldschmidt
Paul Goldschmidt
NYYvsCHCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 80 games
+169 · draftkings
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
CHCvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 104 games
-178 · draftkings
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Pete Crow-Armstrong
CHCvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.14
Edge+2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 109 games
-256 · draftkings
Trent Grisham
Trent Grisham
NYYvsCHCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.57
Edge+2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 88 games
+124 · draftkings
Dansby Swanson
Dansby Swanson
CHCvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 103 games
-187 · draftkings
Jasson Domínguez
Jasson Domínguez
NYYvsCHCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 48 games
-221 · draftkings
Carson Kelly
Carson Kelly
CHCvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.72
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 78 games
-156 · draftkings
Jose Caballero
NYY @ CHCBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ali Sanchez
NYY @ CHCBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Great American Ball Park30 leansFinal · graded

PIT@CIN

Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds

first pitch
6:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Paul Skenes
probable · awayPaul Skenes
PIT
Hunter Greene
probable · homeHunter Greene
CIN
Strikeouts
Hunter Greene
Hunter Greene
CINvsPITPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER7.5
Projection7.3
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 7.2 K across 4 starts
+122 · fanduel
Hunter Greene
Hunter Greene
CINvsPITPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER6.5
Projection7.3
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 7.2 K across 4 starts
-159 · draftkings
Paul Skenes
Paul Skenes
PITvsCINPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER7.5
Projection7.81
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.8 K across 22 starts
-126 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Nick Gonzales
Nick Gonzales
PITvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.32
Edge+17.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 104 games
+102 · draftkings
Dane Myers
Dane Myers
CINvsPITBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge+14.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 66 games
-120 · draftkings
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
PITvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.32
Edge+13.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.35 across 101 games
-103 · draftkings
Nick Gonzales
Nick Gonzales
PITvsCINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.4
Edge+13.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 104 games
-218 · draftkings
Henry Davis
Henry Davis
PITvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.54
Edge+13%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.37 across 62 games
-134 · draftkings
Tyler Stephenson
Tyler Stephenson
CINvsPITBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+12.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 81 games
-135 · draftkings
Nathaniel Lowe
Nathaniel Lowe
CINvsPITBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+9.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 78 games
-150 · draftkings
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
PITvsCINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge+8.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 101 games
-183 · draftkings
Elly De La Cruz
Elly De La Cruz
CINvsPITBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+8.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 89 games
-177 · draftkings
Esmerlyn Valdez
Esmerlyn Valdez
PITvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.87
Edge+8.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.44 across 41 games
+111 · draftkings
Ryan O'Hearn
Ryan O'Hearn
PITvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2
Edge+8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.31 across 95 games
+105 · draftkings
Marcell Ozuna
Marcell Ozuna
PITvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.39
Edge+6.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 68 games
-167 · draftkings
Henry Davis
Henry Davis
PITvsCINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge+5.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.52 across 62 games
-109 · draftkings
Jake Mangum
Jake Mangum
PITvsCINBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.18
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 80 games
-271 · draftkings
Jacob Gonzalez
Jacob Gonzalez
PITvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.32
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 42 games
-155 · draftkings
Noelvi Marte
Noelvi Marte
CINvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.55
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 48 games
-104 · draftkings
JJ Bleday
JJ Bleday
CINvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.61
Edge−2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 80 games
+112 · draftkings
Jacob Gonzalez
Jacob Gonzalez
PITvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.58
Edge−1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 42 games
-124 · draftkings
Marcell Ozuna
Marcell Ozuna
PITvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 68 games
-130 · draftkings
Bryan Reynolds
Bryan Reynolds
PITvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.65
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.20 across 110 games
-107 · draftkings
Sal Stewart
Sal Stewart
CINvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 108 games
-211 · draftkings
Ryan O'Hearn
Ryan O'Hearn
PITvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge+1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 95 games
-183 · draftkings
Jake Mangum
Jake Mangum
PITvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.74
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 80 games
-122 · draftkings
Bryan Reynolds
Bryan Reynolds
PITvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 110 games
+151 · draftkings
Esmerlyn Valdez
Esmerlyn Valdez
PITvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 41 games
-155 · draftkings
Matt McLain
Matt McLain
CINvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.43
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 80 games
+115 · draftkings
Eugenio Suarez
PIT @ CINBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Oriole Park at Camden Yards0 leans

PHI@BAL

Philadelphia Phillies at Baltimore Orioles

first pitch
7:05 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
probable · awayTBD
PHI
Brandon Young
probable · homeBrandon Young
BAL
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
Rogers Centre20 leansFinal · graded

STL@TOR

St. Louis Cardinals at Toronto Blue Jays

first pitch
7:07 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Kyle Leahy
probable · awayKyle Leahy
STL
Dylan Cease
probable · homeDylan Cease
TOR
Strikeouts
Kyle Leahy
Kyle Leahy
STLvsTORPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection4.73
Edge+10%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.4 K across 20 starts
+127 · draftkings
Dylan Cease
Dylan CeaseModel anomaly
TORvsSTLPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER7.5
Projection9.46
Edge+25.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 10.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 8.8 K across 19 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-133 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson
STLvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.19
Edge+10.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 108 games
-197 · draftkings
Masyn Winn
Masyn Winn
STLvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+9.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 100 games
-139 · draftkings
Daulton Varsho
Daulton Varsho
TORvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.04
Edge+8.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 90 games
-181 · draftkings
George Springer
George Springer
TORvsSTLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.11
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 78 games
-255 · draftkings
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
STLvsTORBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 107 games
-173 · draftkings
Ernie Clement
Ernie Clement
TORvsSTLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.17
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 106 games
-271 · draftkings
JJ Wetherholt
JJ Wetherholt
STLvsTORBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 103 games
-162 · draftkings
Lars Nootbaar
Lars Nootbaar
STLvsTORBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 45 games
-129 · draftkings
Kazuma Okamoto
Kazuma Okamoto
TORvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 105 games
-206 · draftkings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TORvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge−2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 103 games
+203 · draftkings
Jimmy Crooks
Jimmy Crooks
STLvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.41
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.41 across 34 games
+112 · draftkings
Nathan Lukes
Nathan Lukes
TORvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 72 games
-248 · draftkings
Blaze Jordan
Blaze Jordan
STLvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 35 games
-139 · draftkings
Nathan Church
Nathan Church
STLvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.55
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 85 games
-112 · draftkings
Alejandro Kirk
Alejandro Kirk
TORvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 36 games
-207 · draftkings
Yohendrick Pinango
STL @ TORBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ivan Herrera
STL @ TORBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Andres Gimenez
STL @ TORBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Progressive Field0 leans

AZ@CLE

Arizona Diamondbacks at Cleveland Guardians

first pitch
7:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Mitch Bratt
probable · awayMitch Bratt
AZ
Tanner Bibee
probable · homeTanner Bibee
CLE
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
Tropicana Field20 leansFinal · graded

CWS@TB

Chicago White Sox at Tampa Bay Rays

first pitch
7:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Erick Fedde
probable · awayErick Fedde
CWS
Nick Martinez
probable · homeNick Martinez
TB
Strikeouts
Nick Martinez
Nick MartinezModel anomaly
TBvsCWSPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER4.5
Projection2.61
Edge+27.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.4 K across 20 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-152 · draftkings
Erick Fedde
Erick Fedde
CWSvsTBPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER3.5
Projection3.47
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.2 K across 21 starts
-104 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Chase Meidroth
Chase Meidroth
CWSvsTBBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+8.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 105 games
-175 · draftkings
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka Murakami
CWSvsTBBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+7.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 73 games
-173 · draftkings
Chandler Simpson
Chandler Simpson
TBvsCWSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.25
Edge+5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 98 games
-277 · draftkings
Braden Montgomery
Braden Montgomery
CWSvsTBBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+3.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 42 games
-176 · draftkings
Hunter Feduccia
Hunter Feduccia
TBvsCWSBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.63
Edge+3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.56 across 57 games
-112 · draftkings
Taylor Walls
Taylor Walls
TBvsCWSBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 81 games
-129 · draftkings
Richie Palacios
Richie Palacios
TBvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.54
Edge−3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 76 games
-124 · draftkings
Colson Montgomery
Colson Montgomery
CWSvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 102 games
-170 · draftkings
Drew Romo
Drew Romo
CWSvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.41
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.41 across 41 games
+106 · draftkings
Cedric Mullins
Cedric Mullins
TBvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 91 games
-179 · draftkings
Junior Caminero
Junior Caminero
TBvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.08
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 108 games
-269 · draftkings
Victor Mesa Jr.
Victor Mesa Jr.
TBvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge+1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 38 games
-177 · draftkings
Sam Antonacci
Sam Antonacci
CWSvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 87 games
-204 · draftkings
Miguel Vargas
Miguel Vargas
CWSvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 107 games
-221 · draftkings
Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan Aranda
TBvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 106 games
-258 · draftkings
Tristan Peters
Tristan Peters
CWSvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.55
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 100 games
+112 · draftkings
Andrew Benintendi
Andrew Benintendi
CWSvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.72
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 96 games
-153 · draftkings
Yandy Diaz
CWS @ TBBatterHits
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Citi Field0 leans

MIA@NYM

Miami Marlins at New York Mets

first pitch
7:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Janson Junk
probable · awayJanson Junk
MIA
Freddy Peralta
probable · homeFreddy Peralta
NYM
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
Truist Park20 leansFinal · graded

WSH@ATL

Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves

first pitch
7:15 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Foster Griffin
probable · awayFoster Griffin
WSH
Bryce Elder
probable · homeBryce Elder
ATL
Strikeouts
Bryce Elder
Bryce Elder
ATLvsWSHPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection4.96
Edge+12.9%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.9 K across 20 starts
+121 · draftkings
Foster Griffin
Foster Griffin
WSHvsATLPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
UNDER4.5
Projection4.8
Edge−2.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.4 K across 21 starts
+111 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
CJ Abrams
CJ Abrams
WSHvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.34
Edge+13.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 106 games
-211 · draftkings
Jacob Young
Jacob Young
WSHvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+12.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 88 games
-134 · draftkings
Joey Bart
Joey Bart
ATLvsWSHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge+3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 38 games
-110 · draftkings
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
ATLvsWSHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.14
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 86 games
-266 · draftkings
Michael Harris II
Michael Harris II
ATLvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 103 games
-241 · draftkings
Ozzie Albies
Ozzie Albies
ATLvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge−3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 109 games
-266 · draftkings
Jorbit Vivas
Jorbit Vivas
WSHvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.51
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 77 games
+110 · draftkings
Dylan Crews
Dylan Crews
WSHvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge+1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 57 games
-207 · draftkings
James Wood
James Wood
WSHvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 110 games
-220 · draftkings
Austin Riley
Austin Riley
ATLvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 108 games
+133 · draftkings
Keibert Ruiz
Keibert Ruiz
WSHvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 69 games
+149 · draftkings
Daylen Lile
Daylen Lile
WSHvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 108 games
-211 · draftkings
Eli White
Eli White
ATLvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.51
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.53 across 59 games
+104 · draftkings
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
ATLvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 109 games
-216 · draftkings
Luis Garcia Jr.
WSH @ ATLBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Mauricio Dubon
WSH @ ATLBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ronald Acuna Jr.
WSH @ ATLBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Nasim Nunez
WSH @ ATLBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Daikin Park0 leans

TEX@HOU

Texas Rangers at Houston Astros

first pitch
8:15 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Nathan Eovaldi
probable · awayNathan Eovaldi
TEX
Hunter Brown
probable · homeHunter Brown
HOU
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
Coors Field20 leansFinal · graded

KC@COL

Kansas City Royals at Colorado Rockies

first pitch
8:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Michael Wacha
probable · awayMichael Wacha
KC
Tomoyuki Sugano
probable · homeTomoyuki Sugano
COL
Strikeouts
Tomoyuki Sugano
Tomoyuki Sugano
COLvsKCPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
UNDER3.5
Projection3.23
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.1 K across 18 starts
-119 · draftkings
Michael Wacha
Michael Wacha
KCvsCOLPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER4.5
Projection4.61
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.0 K across 21 starts
-108 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
KCvsCOLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.67
Edge+16%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 101 games
-208 · draftkings
Lane Thomas
Lane Thomas
KCvsCOLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.65
Edge+14.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 92 games
-229 · draftkings
Jac Caglianone
Jac Caglianone
KCvsCOLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.8
Edge+11.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 101 games
-197 · draftkings
Salvador Perez
Salvador Perez
KCvsCOLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.81
Edge+10.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 102 games
-210 · draftkings
Ezequiel Tovar
Ezequiel Tovar
COLvsKCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.54
Edge+8.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 98 games
+151 · draftkings
Michael Massey
Michael Massey
KCvsCOLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.86
Edge+7.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 87 games
-231 · draftkings
Troy Johnston
Troy Johnston
COLvsKCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge+5.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 96 games
+167 · draftkings
Cole Carrigg
Cole Carrigg
COLvsKCBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.15
Edge+3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 40 games
-265 · draftkings
Kyle Karros
Kyle Karros
COLvsKCBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge+2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 99 games
+200 · draftkings
TJ Rumfield
TJ Rumfield
COLvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.02
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 106 games
-266 · draftkings
Isaac Collins
Isaac Collins
KCvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 97 games
+192 · draftkings
Josh Rojas
Josh Rojas
KCvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 23 games
+159 · draftkings
Nick Loftin
Nick Loftin
KCvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.93
Edge+2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 72 games
-248 · draftkings
Jake McCarthy
Jake McCarthy
COLvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.08
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 90 games
-200 · draftkings
Mickey Moniak
Mickey Moniak
COLvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.98
Edge+0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 71 games
-234 · draftkings
Tyler Tolbert
Tyler Tolbert
KCvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 30 games
+116 · draftkings
Hunter Goodman
Hunter Goodman
COLvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 100 games
+196 · draftkings
Willi Castro
Willi Castro
COLvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 92 games
-199 · draftkings
Angel Stadium20 leansFinal · graded

MIL@LAA

Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Angels

first pitch
9:38 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Shane Drohan
probable · awayShane Drohan
MIL
Ryan Johnson
probable · homeRyan Johnson
LAA
Strikeouts
Ryan Johnson
Ryan Johnson
LAAvsMILPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER4.5
Projection3.22
Edge+12%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.1 K across 11 starts
-144 · draftkings
Shane Drohan
Shane Drohan
MILvsLAAPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
UNDER5.5
Projection5.61
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.9 K across 21 starts
+107 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Nolan Schanuel
Nolan Schanuel
LAAvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+10.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 88 games
-193 · draftkings
Vaughn Grissom
Vaughn Grissom
LAAvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.11
Edge+8.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 67 games
-192 · draftkings
Cooper Pratt
Cooper Pratt
MILvsLAABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+8.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 34 games
-183 · draftkings
Denzer Guzman
Denzer Guzman
LAAvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 35 games
-140 · draftkings
Jose Siri
Jose Siri
LAAvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge+5.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 45 games
-105 · draftkings
Jo Adell
Jo Adell
LAAvsMILBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+4.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 108 games
-178 · draftkings
Mike Trout
Mike Trout
LAAvsMILBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 90 games
-186 · draftkings
Jake Bauers
Jake Bauers
MILvsLAABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge+4.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 98 games
-170 · draftkings
David Hamilton
David Hamilton
MILvsLAABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 73 games
-122 · draftkings
Travis d'Arnaud
Travis d'Arnaud
LAAvsMILBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.57
Edge+3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 13 games
+100 · draftkings
Brice Turang
Brice Turang
MILvsLAABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.18
Edge+3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 102 games
+196 · draftkings
Garrett Mitchell
Garrett Mitchell
MILvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 96 games
-170 · draftkings
Jorge Soler
Jorge Soler
LAAvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 84 games
-157 · draftkings
Christian Yelich
Christian Yelich
MILvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 72 games
-231 · draftkings
Jackson Chourio
Jackson Chourio
MILvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.07
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 74 games
-233 · draftkings
Andrew Vaughn
Andrew Vaughn
MILvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 65 games
+162 · draftkings
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
LAAvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 106 games
-187 · draftkings
William Contreras
William Contreras
MILvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.93
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 100 games
-243 · draftkings
Sutter Health Park10 leansFinal · graded

DET@ATH

Detroit Tigers at Athletics

first pitch
9:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
probable · awayTBD
DET
Jeffrey Springs
probable · homeJeffrey Springs
ATH
Strikeouts
Casey Mize
Casey Mize
DETvsATHPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection4.77
Edge+7.9%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.3 K across 16 starts
+111 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Nick Kurtz
Nick Kurtz
ATHvsDETBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.51
Edge+16.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 98 games
-243 · draftkings
Jacob Wilson
Jacob Wilson
ATHvsDETBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.96
Edge+7.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 69 games
-199 · draftkings
Tyler Soderstrom
Tyler Soderstrom
ATHvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 97 games
+180 · draftkings
Lawrence Butler
Lawrence Butler
ATHvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 96 games
-182 · draftkings
Jonah Heim
Jonah Heim
ATHvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 62 games
-191 · draftkings
Carlos Cortes
Carlos Cortes
ATHvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.57
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 81 games
+124 · draftkings
Tommy White
Tommy White
ATHvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.23
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 12 games
-240 · draftkings
Donovan Walton
Donovan Walton
ATHvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.63
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 38 games
-132 · draftkings
Henry Bolte
Henry Bolte
ATHvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.6
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 64 games
+117 · draftkings
Petco Park37 leansFinal · graded

SF@SD

San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres

first pitch
9:45 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Carson Whisenhunt
probable · awayCarson Whisenhunt
SF
Bradgley Rodriguez
probable · homeBradgley Rodriguez
SD
Strikeouts
Carson Whisenhunt
Carson Whisenhunt
SFvsSDPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER3.5
Projection4.33
Edge+5.4%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.3 K across 3 starts
-152 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Manny Machado
Manny Machado
SDvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.56
Edge+13.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 106 games
-127 · draftkings
Rafael Devers
Rafael Devers
SFvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.31
Edge+13.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 109 games
-104 · draftkings
Luis Arraez
Luis Arraez
SFvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.42
Edge+13%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 103 games
-129 · draftkings
Jackson Merrill
Jackson Merrill
SDvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.23
Edge+11.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 105 games
-109 · draftkings
Willy Adames
Willy Adames
SFvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.88
Edge+10%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 104 games
+111 · draftkings
Rafael Devers
Rafael Devers
SFvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+9.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 109 games
-169 · draftkings
Ty France
Ty France
SDvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.28
Edge+9.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 78 games
-118 · draftkings
Luis Arraez
Luis Arraez
SFvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.36
Edge+8.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.31 across 103 games
+181 · draftkings
Jung Hoo Lee
Jung Hoo Lee
SFvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.09
Edge+8.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.07 across 99 games
-112 · draftkings
Manny Machado
Manny Machado
SDvsSFBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.15
Edge+8.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 106 games
-227 · draftkings
Luis Rengifo
Luis Rengifo
SDvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.97
Edge+8.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 68 games
-115 · draftkings
Jackson Merrill
Jackson Merrill
SDvsSFBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.16
Edge+8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 105 games
-201 · draftkings
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SDvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.29
Edge+7.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.07 across 108 games
-141 · draftkings
Ty France
Ty France
SDvsSFBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+7.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 78 games
-212 · draftkings
Christian Koss
Christian Koss
SFvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.45
Edge+6.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.40 across 15 games
+116 · draftkings
Drew Gilbert
Drew Gilbert
SFvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.2
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 82 games
-174 · draftkings
Jase Bowen
Jase Bowen
SDvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 24 games
-142 · draftkings
Luis Rengifo
Luis Rengifo
SDvsSFBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 68 games
-222 · draftkings
Christian Koss
Christian Koss
SFvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.87
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 15 games
-177 · draftkings
Bryce Eldridge
Bryce Eldridge
SFvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 67 games
+128 · draftkings
Freddy Fermin
Freddy Fermin
SDvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 54 games
-150 · draftkings
Bryce Eldridge
Bryce Eldridge
SFvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.55
Edge+2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 67 games
+105 · draftkings
Willy Adames
Willy Adames
SFvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge+2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 104 games
-168 · draftkings
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SDvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.16
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 108 games
-259 · draftkings
Xander Bogaerts
Xander Bogaerts
SDvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.43
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 103 games
+102 · draftkings
Heliot Ramos
Heliot Ramos
SFvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.91
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 71 games
-130 · draftkings
Heliot Ramos
Heliot Ramos
SFvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 71 games
-256 · draftkings
Jase Bowen
Jase Bowen
SDvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.37
Edge+0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.33 across 24 games
-123 · draftkings
Drew Cavanaugh
Drew Cavanaugh
SFvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge+0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 20 games
-163 · draftkings
Jung Hoo Lee
Jung Hoo Lee
SFvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.07
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 99 games
-238 · draftkings
Xander Bogaerts
Xander Bogaerts
SDvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 103 games
+144 · draftkings
Drew Cavanaugh
Drew Cavanaugh
SFvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.6
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 20 games
-118 · draftkings
Luis Campusano
Luis Campusano
SDvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 35 games
-146 · draftkings
Drew Gilbert
Drew Gilbert
SFvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 82 games
-135 · draftkings
Freddy Fermin
Freddy Fermin
SDvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.59
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.48 across 54 games
-117 · draftkings
Luis Campusano
Luis Campusano
SDvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.29
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 35 games
+121 · draftkings
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium38 leansFinal · graded

BOS@LAD

Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Dodgers

first pitch
10:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Ranger Suarez
probable · awayRanger Suarez
BOS
Edgardo Henriquez
probable · homeEdgardo Henriquez
LAD
Strikeouts
Ranger Suarez
Ranger Suarez
BOSvsLADPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection6.06
Edge+18.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.7 K across 18 starts
-127 · draftkings
Ranger Suarez
Ranger Suarez
BOSvsLADPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER5.5
Projection6.06
Edge+17.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.7 K across 18 starts
+138 · fanduel
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Freddie Freeman
Freddie Freeman
LADvsBOSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.42
Edge+16.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 106 games
-217 · draftkings
Ceddanne Rafaela
Ceddanne Rafaela
BOSvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.45
Edge+15.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.11 across 102 games
-115 · draftkings
Andruw Monasterio
Andruw Monasterio
BOSvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.91
Edge+15.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 65 games
+128 · draftkings
Andruw Monasterio
Andruw Monasterio
BOSvsLADBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.03
Edge+14.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 65 games
-145 · draftkings
Dalton Rushing
Dalton Rushing
LADvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2
Edge+13.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 71 games
+125 · draftkings
Freddie Freeman
Freddie Freeman
LADvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.23
Edge+12.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 106 games
-114 · draftkings
Jarren Duran
Jarren Duran
BOSvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.77
Edge+9.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 101 games
+118 · draftkings
Mookie Betts
Mookie Betts
LADvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.05
Edge+8.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 72 games
-103 · draftkings
Ceddanne Rafaela
Ceddanne Rafaela
BOSvsLADBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.15
Edge+8.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 102 games
-225 · draftkings
Andy Pages
Andy Pages
LADvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.25
Edge+8.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.31 across 107 games
-118 · draftkings
Willson Contreras
Willson Contreras
BOSvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.06
Edge+7.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 100 games
-113 · draftkings
Shohei Ohtani
Shohei Ohtani
LADvsBOSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.16
Edge+6.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 99 games
-229 · draftkings
Shohei Ohtani
Shohei Ohtani
LADvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.33
Edge+6.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.45 across 99 games
-141 · draftkings
Caleb Durbin
Caleb Durbin
BOSvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.82
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 99 games
-106 · draftkings
Tommy Edman
Tommy Edman
LADvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.04
Edge+5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 33 games
-116 · draftkings
Dalton Rushing
Dalton Rushing
LADvsBOSBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 71 games
-141 · draftkings
Jarren Duran
Jarren Duran
BOSvsLADBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 101 games
-153 · draftkings
Willson Contreras
Willson Contreras
BOSvsLADBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+4.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 100 games
-198 · draftkings
Kyle Tucker
Kyle Tucker
LADvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.6
Edge+3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 102 games
+106 · draftkings
Andy Pages
Andy Pages
LADvsBOSBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.07
Edge+3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 107 games
-233 · draftkings
Anthony Seigler
Anthony Seigler
BOSvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.58
Edge+2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 32 games
+104 · draftkings
Tommy Edman
Tommy Edman
LADvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.98
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 33 games
-234 · draftkings
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer Abreu
BOSvsLADBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 106 games
+153 · draftkings
Anthony Seigler
Anthony Seigler
BOSvsLADBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 32 games
-177 · draftkings
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer Abreu
BOSvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.58
Edge−2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 106 games
-116 · draftkings
Mookie Betts
Mookie Betts
LADvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 72 games
-197 · draftkings
Masataka Yoshida
Masataka Yoshida
BOSvsLADBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 74 games
+148 · draftkings
Masataka Yoshida
Masataka Yoshida
BOSvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.2
Edge+1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 74 games
-129 · draftkings
Caleb Durbin
Caleb Durbin
BOSvsLADBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 99 games
-220 · draftkings
Miguel Rojas
Miguel Rojas
LADvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 66 games
+124 · draftkings
Miguel Rojas
Miguel Rojas
LADvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.08
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 66 games
-163 · draftkings
Kyle Tucker
Kyle Tucker
LADvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 102 games
+134 · draftkings
Teoscar Hernandez
BOS @ LADBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Carlos Narvaez
BOS @ LADBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Teoscar Hernandez
BOS @ LADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Carlos Narvaez
BOS @ LADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
T-Mobile Park0 leans

MIN@SEA

Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners

first pitch
10:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Zebby Matthews
probable · awayZebby Matthews
MIN
Bryce Miller
probable · homeBryce Miller
SEA
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
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