44.0%

162–206 on 368 decisive

Combined audit across the sports that had settled rows on 2026-07-30. Pushes excluded. Pending games never count as losses.

At a glance

Hit

162

model agreed and the line cleared

Miss

206

model agreed but the line did not clear

Push

final stat tied the line — excluded from hit rate

Pending

no games still pending on this date

MLB

44.0%

162–206 on 368

Full MLB audit →

Biggest hits

MLBWyatt LangfordOver 1.5 Total Bases+21.9pp edgeactual 2
MLBShane McClanahanUnder 5.5 Strikeouts+18.9pp edgeactual 3
MLBPete Crow-ArmstrongOver 1.5 Total Bases+17.0pp edgeactual 4
MLBFrancisco AlvarezOver 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+16.8pp edgeactual 1
MLBJung Hoo LeeOver 1.5 Total Bases+16.0pp edgeactual 2

Biggest misses

MLBCJ AbramsOver 1.5 Total Bases+30.1pp edgeactual 0
MLBJake IrvinOver 3.5 Strikeouts+29.9pp edgeactual 1
MLBCJ AbramsOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+21.7pp edgeactual 0
MLBManny MachadoOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+14.2pp edgeactual 0
MLBWilyer AbreuUnder 1.5 Total Bases+6.5pp edgeactual 4

MLB settled games · projection vs actual

TEX @ TB

15–2035 dec42.9%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Shane McClanahan	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	4.10	3	+18.9%	High	Win
Junior Caminero	Hits	Over 1.5	1.14	0	-0.4%	Low	Loss
Jonathan Aranda	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	1	-3.2%	Low	Win
Ezequiel Duran	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	0	+4.4%	Medium	Loss
Wyatt Langford	Hits	Over 0.5	1.16	1	+7.8%	High	Win
Ben Williamson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.78	1	-1.5%	Low	Loss
Brandon Nimmo	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	0	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
Victor Mesa Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	1	+0.5%	Low	Win
Cedric Mullins	Hits	Under 0.5	0.70	1	-1.5%	Low	Loss
Jake Burger	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	0	+6.1%	High	Loss
Nicky Lopez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	0	+6.5%	High	Loss
Taylor Walls	Hits	Over 0.5	0.69	0	-1.0%	Low	Loss
Justin Foscue	Hits	Under 0.5	0.51	0	-0.9%	Low	Win
Alejandro Osuna	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	1	+4.1%	Medium	Win
Hunter Feduccia	Hits	Over 0.5	0.58	1	+1.4%	Low	Win
Austin Wynns	Hits	Under 0.5	0.31	0	+2.5%	Medium	Win
Junior Caminero	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.09	0	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Jonathan Aranda	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.73	1	-2.8%	Low	Loss
Wyatt Langford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.38	2	+15.2%	High	Win
Cedric Mullins	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.54	3	+0.3%	Low	Win
Ben Williamson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.39	1	-2.5%	Low	Loss
Victor Mesa Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.90	1	+9.7%	High	Loss
Brandon Nimmo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.87	0	+9.0%	High	Loss
Ezequiel Duran	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.27	1	+16.8%	High	Loss
Jake Burger	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.08	0	+13.4%	High	Loss
Taylor Walls	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.16	0	-1.5%	Low	Win
Nicky Lopez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.60	0	+12.9%	High	Loss
Justin Foscue	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.82	0	-1.7%	Low	Win
Alejandro Osuna	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.44	2	+10.8%	High	Win
Hunter Feduccia	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.06	2	+7.7%	High	Win
Austin Wynns	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.59	0	-2.2%	Low	Loss
Junior Caminero	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.94	0	+8.3%	High	Loss
Jonathan Aranda	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.31	1	+0.4%	Low	Loss
Wyatt Langford	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.28	2	+21.9%	Low	Win
Brandon Nimmo	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.73	0	+13.6%	High	Loss

KC @ MIN

19–2847 dec40.4%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Noah Cameron	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.55	7	+10.0%	High	Win
Bailey Ober	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	4.37	3	+2.7%	Medium	Loss
Royce Lewis	Hits	Under 0.5	0.74	1	+4.6%	Medium	Loss
Jac Caglianone	Hits	Under 0.5	0.74	2	+4.5%	Medium	Loss
Josh Bell	Hits	Under 0.5	0.85	0	-0.9%	Low	Win
Ryan Jeffers	Hits	Over 0.5	1.05	1	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Kody Clemens	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	1	+0.5%	Low	Win
Austin Martin	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	0	+8.6%	High	Win
Carter Jensen	Hits	Under 0.5	0.72	0	+2.5%	Low	Win
Luke Keaschall	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	0	-3.4%	Low	Loss
Salvador Perez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	0	-2.0%	Low	Loss
Brooks Lee	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	0	-1.6%	Low	Loss
Michael Massey	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	0	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Nick Loftin	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	0	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Isaac Collins	Hits	Over 0.5	0.73	2	-1.9%	Low	Win
Ryan Kreidler	Hits	Over 0.5	0.69	0	-0.8%	Low	Loss
Josh Rojas	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	0	+5.7%	High	Loss
Tyler Tolbert	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	2	+0.0%	Low	Win
Alex Jackson	Hits	Over 0.5	1.08	0	+19.3%	High	Loss
Royce Lewis	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.64	2	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Josh Bell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.69	0	-2.3%	Low	Win
Ryan Jeffers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.33	2	+5.5%	High	Win
Jac Caglianone	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.42	5	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Kody Clemens	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.93	6	+1.1%	Low	Win
Austin Martin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.18	0	+7.7%	High	Win
Carter Jensen	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.41	1	+0.7%	Low	Win
Salvador Perez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.88	0	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Brooks Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.88	0	+5.2%	High	Loss
Luke Keaschall	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.48	0	-2.9%	Low	Loss
Michael Massey	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.64	0	+3.1%	Medium	Loss
Nick Loftin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.85	0	+9.2%	High	Loss
Isaac Collins	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.46	2	+2.0%	Low	Win
Ryan Kreidler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.28	0	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Josh Rojas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.34	0	+0.8%	Low	Loss
Tyler Tolbert	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.66	2	+3.3%	Medium	Win
Alex Jackson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.98	0	+17.8%	High	Loss
Jac Caglianone	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.34	5	-2.4%	Low	Loss
Royce Lewis	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.24	1	-0.1%	Low	Win
Carter Jensen	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.35	0	-1.5%	Low	Loss
Kody Clemens	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.05	4	+13.0%	High	Win
Josh Bell	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.25	0	-2.5%	Low	Loss
Ryan Jeffers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.85	1	+10.4%	High	Loss
Salvador Perez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.77	0	+11.0%	High	Loss
Michael Massey	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.42	0	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Austin Martin	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.82	0	+8.0%	High	Win
Luke Keaschall	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.97	0	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Brooks Lee	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.49	0	+9.3%	High	Loss

NYY @ CWS

10–3141 dec24.4%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Ryan Weathers	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	6.04	4	-1.5%	Low	Loss
Sean Burke	Strikeouts	Under 7.5	7.19	10	-0.4%	Low	Loss
Chase Meidroth	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	0	+3.1%	Medium	Loss
Miguel Vargas	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	0	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Ben Rice	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	0	+0.3%	Low	Loss
Paul Goldschmidt	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	0	+3.1%	Medium	Loss
Jasson Domínguez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	1	+4.7%	Medium	Win
Trent Grisham	Hits	Under 0.5	0.47	2	+8.6%	High	Loss
Randal Grichuk	Hits	Under 0.5	0.48	2	+7.3%	High	Loss
Anthony Volpe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.73	0	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Braden Montgomery	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	0	+11.4%	High	Loss
Colson Montgomery	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	0	+4.1%	Medium	Loss
Edgar Quero	Hits	Under 0.5	0.57	1	-1.4%	Low	Loss
Everson Pereira	Hits	Under 0.5	0.50	0	+1.7%	Low	Win
Spencer Jones	Hits	Under 0.5	0.59	1	-2.8%	Low	Loss
Munetaka Murakami	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	1	+10.6%	High	Win
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	1	+9.4%	High	Win
Ryan McMahon	Hits	Over 0.5	0.55	0	+0.9%	Low	Loss
Austin Wells	Hits	Over 0.5	0.48	1	+1.4%	Low	Win
Chase Meidroth	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.20	1	+12.7%	High	Loss
Miguel Vargas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.08	0	+7.1%	High	Loss
Ben Rice	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.15	0	+9.3%	High	Loss
Trent Grisham	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.10	3	+0.4%	Low	Loss
Paul Goldschmidt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.82	0	+7.3%	High	Loss
Randal Grichuk	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.02	2	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Jasson Domínguez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.82	1	+10.5%	High	Loss
Colson Montgomery	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.96	0	+13.3%	High	Loss
Munetaka Murakami	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.56	1	+21.0%	Low	Loss
Anthony Volpe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.45	1	+5.4%	High	Loss
Braden Montgomery	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.96	0	+17.2%	High	Loss
Edgar Quero	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.87	1	-2.2%	Low	Loss
Spencer Jones	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.16	1	+2.1%	Low	Win
Everson Pereira	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.85	0	-2.8%	Low	Win
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	2.03	1	+15.6%	High	Win
Ryan McMahon	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.95	0	+3.7%	Medium	Loss
Austin Wells	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.97	1	+10.7%	High	Win
Miguel Vargas	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.69	0	+7.1%	High	Loss
Ben Rice	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.88	0	+12.0%	High	Loss
Paul Goldschmidt	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.54	0	+9.5%	High	Loss
Chase Meidroth	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.74	0	+16.9%	High	Loss
Ryan Weathers	Strikeouts	Under 6.5	6.04	4	-1.8%	Low	Win

CHC @ STL

5–611 dec45.5%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Andre Pallante	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.25	3	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Javier Assad	Strikeouts	Over 2.5	2.76	6	+0.9%	Low	Win
Dansby Swanson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	0	+7.4%	High	Loss
Dansby Swanson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.10	1	+11.9%	High	Loss
Jordan Walker	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.46	1	-0.6%	Low	Loss
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.41	4	+17.0%	High	Win
Alec Burleson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.69	1	+7.2%	High	Loss
Michael Busch	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.54	2	+6.3%	High	Win
JJ Wetherholt	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.16	5	-0.9%	Low	Win
Seiya Suzuki	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.06	0	+18.2%	High	Loss
Nico Hoerner	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.64	3	+11.9%	High	Win

PIT @ CIN

24–1236 dec66.7%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Rhett Lowder	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	2.91	5	+29.7%	Low	Loss
Jake Mangum	Hits	Under 1.5	1.13	1	-0.1%	Low	Win
Nick Gonzales	Hits	Over 1.5	1.40	2	+9.0%	High	Win
Bryan Reynolds	Hits	Under 1.5	0.74	0	+9.3%	High	Win
Brandon Lowe	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	1	+2.1%	Low	Win
Sal Stewart	Hits	Under 0.5	0.93	1	-2.7%	Low	Loss
Ryan O'Hearn	Hits	Under 0.5	0.91	0	-1.3%	Low	Win
Elly De La Cruz	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	3	-0.7%	Low	Win
Esmerlyn Valdez	Hits	Under 0.5	0.76	1	-0.9%	Low	Loss
JJ Bleday	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	0	+1.6%	Low	Win
Noelvi Marte	Hits	Under 0.5	0.56	0	+6.0%	High	Win
Tyler Stephenson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	1	+4.5%	Medium	Win
Dane Myers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	2	+2.7%	Medium	Win
Jacob Gonzalez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.69	0	-2.9%	Low	Loss
Marcell Ozuna	Hits	Over 0.5	0.67	—	-1.9%	Low	Void
Ke'Bryan Hayes	Hits	Under 0.5	0.43	—	+3.8%	Medium	Void
Jake Mangum	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.69	1	+5.5%	High	Win
Bryan Reynolds	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.66	0	+1.2%	Low	Win
Brandon Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.32	3	+4.4%	Medium	Win
Nick Gonzales	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.36	3	+8.0%	High	Win
Sal Stewart	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.41	2	+7.9%	High	Win
Ryan O'Hearn	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	0	-0.3%	Low	Loss
Elly De La Cruz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.00	6	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Esmerlyn Valdez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.04	1	+3.6%	Medium	Loss
JJ Bleday	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.50	0	-2.6%	Low	Loss
Tyler Stephenson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.73	1	+5.7%	High	Loss
Noelvi Marte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.98	0	+6.4%	High	Win
Jacob Gonzalez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.53	1	+3.1%	Medium	Loss
Dane Myers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.28	2	-2.5%	Low	Win
Marcell Ozuna	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.39	—	+1.5%	Low	Void
Ke'Bryan Hayes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.83	—	+6.1%	High	Void
Jake Mangum	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.30	1	+0.2%	Low	Win
Brandon Lowe	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.86	4	+6.1%	High	Win
Bryan Reynolds	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.33	0	-3.0%	Low	Win
Ryan O'Hearn	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.51	0	+3.4%	Medium	Loss
Sal Stewart	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.80	1	+9.1%	High	Loss
Nick Gonzales	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.83	3	+12.5%	High	Win
Elly De La Cruz	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.68	6	+9.0%	High	Win
JJ Bleday	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.39	0	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Esmerlyn Valdez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.91	2	+13.4%	High	Win

MIA @ NYM

17–1835 dec48.6%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Nolan McLean	Strikeouts	Over 6.5	7.44	6	+17.1%	High	Loss
Otto Lopez	Hits	Over 0.5	1.21	0	+5.4%	High	Loss
Bo Bichette	Hits	Over 0.5	1.16	2	+5.5%	High	Win
Xavier Edwards	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	1	+4.9%	Medium	Win
Francisco Lindor	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	1	+9.2%	High	Win
Javier Sanoja	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	0	-1.3%	Low	Loss
A.J. Ewing	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	0	+9.5%	High	Loss
Carson Benge	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	1	+6.2%	High	Win
Liam Hicks	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	2	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Kyle Stowers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	1	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Griffin Conine	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	0	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
Jorge Polanco	Hits	Under 0.5	0.37	0	+5.8%	High	Win
Francisco Alvarez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	0	+14.0%	High	Loss
Jakob Marsee	Hits	Over 0.5	0.58	1	+0.1%	Low	Win
Jared Young	Hits	Over 0.5	0.76	—	+8.3%	High	Void
Tyrone Taylor	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	0	+7.9%	High	Loss
Joe Mack	Hits	Over 0.5	0.71	0	+7.4%	High	Loss
Brett Baty	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	0	+16.4%	High	Loss
Otto Lopez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.20	0	+11.3%	High	Loss
Bo Bichette	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.95	3	+6.2%	High	Win
Francisco Lindor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.27	3	+14.8%	High	Win
Xavier Edwards	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.50	1	+2.8%	Medium	Loss
A.J. Ewing	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.82	0	+10.3%	High	Loss
Kyle Stowers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.74	3	+8.4%	High	Win
Liam Hicks	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.63	2	+6.8%	High	Win
Carson Benge	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.71	2	+9.1%	High	Win
Javier Sanoja	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.40	0	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
Jorge Polanco	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 0.5	0.64	0	+1.5%	Low	Win
Griffin Conine	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.65	0	+8.2%	High	Loss
Francisco Alvarez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.77	1	+16.8%	High	Win
Jakob Marsee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.21	3	+7.1%	High	Win
Jared Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.34	—	+12.7%	High	Void
Tyrone Taylor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.93	0	+17.2%	High	Loss
Joe Mack	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.68	0	+15.6%	High	Loss
Brett Baty	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.68	0	+21.7%	Low	Loss
Bo Bichette	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.43	3	+5.1%	High	Win
Otto Lopez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.68	0	+12.7%	High	Loss

WSH @ ATL

11–2233 dec33.3%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Grant Holmes	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	4.07	4	-0.4%	Low	Win
Jake Irvin	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	5.49	1	+29.9%	Low	Loss
Michael Harris II	Hits	Under 1.5	1.01	0	+0.8%	Low	Win
Drake Baldwin	Hits	Over 1.5	1.15	0	+0.0%	Low	Loss
Keibert Ruiz	Hits	Under 0.5	0.79	0	+2.2%	Low	Win
CJ Abrams	Hits	Over 0.5	1.45	0	+13.6%	High	Loss
Matt Olson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	0	-1.6%	Low	Loss
James Wood	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	0	+0.4%	Low	Loss
Ozzie Albies	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	1	+1.8%	Low	Win
Daylen Lile	Hits	Under 0.5	0.82	2	-2.8%	Low	Loss
Dylan Crews	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	0	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Austin Riley	Hits	Under 0.5	0.68	—	-0.2%	Low	Void
Jacob Young	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	—	+8.6%	High	Void
Jorbit Vivas	Hits	Under 0.5	0.51	0	+1.4%	Low	Win
Mike Yastrzemski	Hits	Under 0.5	0.50	1	+0.3%	Low	Loss
Michael Harris II	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.97	0	+0.5%	Low	Win
Drake Baldwin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.17	1	-2.0%	Low	Loss
James Wood	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.45	1	+5.8%	High	Loss
Matt Olson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.21	0	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
CJ Abrams	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	3.41	0	+21.7%	Low	Loss
Keibert Ruiz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.75	0	-1.5%	Low	Loss
Ozzie Albies	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.25	3	+8.1%	High	Win
Dylan Crews	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.25	0	+15.3%	High	Loss
Daylen Lile	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.72	6	+2.9%	Medium	Win
Austin Riley	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.26	—	-0.8%	Low	Void
Mike Yastrzemski	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.19	4	-2.4%	Low	Win
Jacob Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.04	—	+19.5%	High	Void
Jorbit Vivas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.98	0	-0.8%	Low	Win
Michael Harris II	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.84	0	+2.6%	Medium	Loss
Drake Baldwin	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.89	0	+6.4%	High	Loss
Matt Olson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.77	0	+5.2%	High	Loss
James Wood	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.01	0	+10.7%	High	Loss
CJ Abrams	Total Bases	Over 1.5	3.15	0	+30.1%	Low	Loss
Ozzie Albies	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.96	1	+13.8%	High	Loss
Keibert Ruiz	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.39	0	+2.4%	Low	Loss
Daylen Lile	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.38	8	+4.5%	Medium	Win
Dylan Crews	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.89	0	+17.4%	High	Loss

BOS @ ATH

20–2848 dec41.7%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Sonny Gray	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	4.22	5	+8.8%	High	Loss
Ceddanne Rafaela	Hits	Under 1.5	1.15	2	-1.6%	Low	Loss
Jacob Wilson	Hits	Under 1.5	0.95	2	+6.5%	High	Loss
Wilyer Abreu	Hits	Under 1.5	0.63	1	+13.8%	High	Win
Caleb Durbin	Hits	Under 1.5	0.96	0	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Willson Contreras	Hits	Under 1.5	0.95	2	+0.8%	Low	Loss
Masataka Yoshida	Hits	Under 1.5	0.63	1	+12.8%	High	Win
Tommy White	Hits	Over 0.5	1.29	0	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Anthony Seigler	Hits	Under 0.5	0.84	1	+1.8%	Low	Loss
Andruw Monasterio	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	1	+3.2%	Medium	Win
Tyler Soderstrom	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	0	+0.1%	Low	Loss
Jonah Heim	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	2	-2.4%	Low	Win
Jarren Duran	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	0	-2.9%	Low	Loss
Carlos Cortes	Hits	Under 0.5	0.57	0	+7.5%	High	Win
Jeff McNeil	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	1	+5.4%	High	Win
Connor Wong	Hits	Under 0.5	0.62	0	+2.4%	Low	Win
Donovan Walton	Hits	Under 0.5	0.58	1	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Henry Bolte	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	—	+0.1%	Low	Void
Lawrence Butler	Hits	Under 0.5	0.64	2	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Wilyer Abreu	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.48	3	+13.0%	High	Loss
Willson Contreras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	2.11	4	-1.6%	Low	Loss
Ceddanne Rafaela	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.39	4	+2.0%	Low	Win
Jacob Wilson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.76	3	-0.8%	Low	Loss
Caleb Durbin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.92	1	-2.7%	Low	Loss
Masataka Yoshida	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.20	1	+11.6%	High	Win
Anthony Seigler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.52	2	+3.5%	Medium	Loss
Andruw Monasterio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.85	3	+0.8%	Low	Win
Jarren Duran	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.78	0	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Tyler Soderstrom	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.81	0	+0.7%	Low	Loss
Tommy White	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.86	0	+2.1%	Low	Loss
Carlos Cortes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.18	2	+1.7%	Low	Loss
Jonah Heim	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.70	3	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Connor Wong	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.17	0	+2.1%	Low	Win
Jeff McNeil	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.01	1	+11.1%	High	Loss
Donovan Walton	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.36	2	-0.7%	Low	Win
Lawrence Butler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.37	5	+0.6%	Low	Win
Henry Bolte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.05	—	+1.5%	Low	Void
Wilyer Abreu	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.07	4	+6.5%	High	Loss
Willson Contreras	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.64	5	-0.5%	Low	Win
Ceddanne Rafaela	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.97	3	+8.7%	High	Win
Jacob Wilson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.55	3	+2.3%	Low	Win
Caleb Durbin	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.42	0	-0.4%	Low	Loss
Masataka Yoshida	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.80	1	+8.0%	High	Win
Anthony Seigler	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.43	1	+1.8%	Low	Loss
Andruw Monasterio	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.76	1	+10.1%	High	Loss
Tyler Soderstrom	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.54	0	+5.3%	High	Loss
Jarren Duran	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.21	0	-1.1%	Low	Loss
Tommy White	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.43	0	+4.1%	Medium	Loss
Jonah Heim	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.54	3	+9.1%	High	Win
Carlos Cortes	Total Bases	Over 1.5	0.99	0	-3.1%	Low	Loss

SF @ SD

21–2546 dec45.7%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Robbie Ray	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.91	6	+7.8%	High	Win
JP Sears	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	3.38	2	-0.1%	Low	Win
Luis Arraez	Hits	Over 1.5	1.41	0	+5.3%	High	Loss
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	1.21	1	+4.1%	Medium	Win
Heliot Ramos	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	1	-0.1%	Low	Win
Manny Machado	Hits	Over 0.5	1.15	0	+7.5%	High	Loss
Jung Hoo Lee	Hits	Over 0.5	1.17	1	+3.6%	Medium	Win
Luis Rengifo	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	2	+5.0%	Medium	Win
Xander Bogaerts	Hits	Under 0.5	0.63	1	+5.2%	High	Loss
Jackson Merrill	Hits	Over 0.5	1.31	1	+11.9%	High	Win
Ty France	Hits	Over 0.5	1.22	0	+13.0%	High	Loss
Bryce Eldridge	Hits	Under 0.5	0.64	2	+1.5%	Low	Loss
Rafael Devers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	3	+4.0%	Medium	Win
Daniel Susac	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	1	+0.9%	Low	Loss
Willy Adames	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	1	+2.3%	Low	Win
Christian Koss	Hits	Under 0.5	0.38	1	+8.4%	High	Loss
Luis Campusano	Hits	Over 0.5	0.68	1	+0.1%	Low	Win
Jake Cronenworth	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	0	+12.6%	High	Loss
Grant McCray	Hits	Under 0.5	0.29	1	+5.2%	High	Loss
Jase Bowen	Hits	Over 0.5	0.37	0	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Luis Arraez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.48	0	+10.9%	High	Loss
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.69	1	+15.1%	High	Loss
Manny Machado	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.67	0	+14.2%	High	Loss
Heliot Ramos	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.91	2	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Luis Rengifo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.17	2	+12.7%	High	Win
Xander Bogaerts	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.33	2	+0.0%	Low	Loss
Ty France	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.69	1	+17.7%	High	Loss
Jackson Merrill	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.69	1	+20.0%	Low	Loss
Jung Hoo Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.29	1	+15.0%	High	Loss
Bryce Eldridge	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.60	2	+2.1%	Low	Win
Rafael Devers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.05	5	+11.3%	High	Win
Willy Adames	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.83	2	+10.6%	High	Win
Daniel Susac	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.41	5	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Christian Koss	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.81	1	+3.6%	Medium	Win
Luis Campusano	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.34	1	+3.3%	Medium	Loss
Jake Cronenworth	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.70	0	+14.6%	High	Loss
Grant McCray	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.00	1	+6.7%	High	Win
Jase Bowen	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.99	0	+9.3%	High	Loss
Luis Arraez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.75	0	+7.3%	High	Loss
Manny Machado	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.26	0	+16.9%	High	Loss
Heliot Ramos	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.45	1	+2.5%	Low	Loss
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.94	1	+14.2%	High	Loss
Luis Rengifo	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.50	3	+8.8%	High	Win
Xander Bogaerts	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.90	1	+0.5%	Low	Win
Jackson Merrill	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.47	1	+29.0%	Low	Loss
Jung Hoo Lee	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.77	2	+16.0%	High	Win

SEA @ LAD

20–1636 dec55.6%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Roki Sasaki	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	5.83	7	+5.2%	High	Win
Bryan Woo	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	5.68	8	+8.0%	High	Win
Shohei Ohtani	Hits	Over 0.5	1.16	—	+2.7%	Medium	Void
Freddie Freeman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.42	1	+14.4%	High	Win
Andy Pages	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	2	+3.6%	Medium	Win
Randy Arozarena	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	3	+3.0%	Medium	Win
Tommy Edman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	0	+4.6%	Medium	Loss
Mookie Betts	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	2	-2.9%	Low	Win
Josh Naylor	Hits	Over 0.5	1.21	2	+13.5%	High	Win
Cole Young	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	2	+9.3%	High	Win
Dominic Canzone	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	0	+5.3%	High	Loss
Max Muncy	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	0	-0.2%	Low	Loss
Kyle Tucker	Hits	Over 0.5	0.73	0	-3.3%	Low	Loss
J.P. Crawford	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	—	+4.8%	Medium	Void
Cal Raleigh	Hits	Under 0.5	0.55	0	-2.4%	Low	Win
Colt Emerson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.67	0	+1.6%	Low	Loss
Dalton Rushing	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	1	+5.0%	High	Win
Luke Raley	Hits	Under 0.5	0.52	0	-1.9%	Low	Win
Shohei Ohtani	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.33	—	-0.7%	Low	Void
Freddie Freeman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.34	1	+13.2%	High	Loss
Andy Pages	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.20	3	+8.9%	High	Win
Randy Arozarena	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.97	5	+5.7%	High	Win
Max Muncy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.08	0	+7.3%	High	Loss
Tommy Edman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.36	1	+12.3%	High	Loss
Mookie Betts	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.84	4	+5.5%	High	Win
Josh Naylor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.00	2	+10.6%	High	Win
Cole Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.87	3	+8.8%	High	Win
Dominic Canzone	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.09	0	+12.4%	High	Loss
Kyle Tucker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.61	1	+3.9%	Medium	Loss
Cal Raleigh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.40	1	+2.6%	Medium	Loss
Dalton Rushing	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.73	5	+9.1%	High	Win
J.P. Crawford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.52	—	+6.8%	High	Void
Colt Emerson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.36	0	+7.8%	High	Loss
Luke Raley	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.19	0	+2.1%	Low	Loss
Shohei Ohtani	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.03	—	+6.7%	High	Void
Freddie Freeman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.97	1	+15.0%	High	Loss
Max Muncy	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.94	0	+13.3%	High	Loss
Andy Pages	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.70	2	+10.9%	High	Win
Mookie Betts	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.50	3	+8.3%	High	Win
Randy Arozarena	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.62	4	+11.1%	High	Win
Tommy Edman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.65	0	+13.5%	High	Loss

all settled dates