10 MLB games · 344 model-vs-market reads
Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.
Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.
Tropicana Field37 leansFinal · graded
TEX@TB

Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays
first pitch12:10 PM ET
TEX@TB
Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.6 K across 19 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.25 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 37 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.32 across 19 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 19 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.24 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 90 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 37 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 90 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.29 across 107 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Target Field36 leansFinal · graded
KC@MIN

Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins
first pitch1:40 PM ET
KC@MIN
Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.0 K across 20 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.0 K across 15 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.36 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 22 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.36 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 29 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 93 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 22 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 93 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 29 games
Rate Field39 leansFinal · graded
NYY@CWS

New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox
first pitch2:10 PM ET
NYY@CWS
New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.1 K across 20 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.1 K across 20 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.2 K across 21 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.41 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.56 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.21 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.32 across 72 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 33 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.30 across 23 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 33 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.25 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 23 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.46 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 103 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Busch Stadium6 leansFinal · graded
CHC@STL

Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals
first pitch2:15 PM ET
CHC@STL
Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.2 K across 20 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 2.5 K across 17 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 102 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Great American Ball Park37 leansFinal · graded
PIT@CIN

Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds
first pitch7:10 PM ET
PIT@CIN
Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.6 K across 18 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.22 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.22 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.26 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.45 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.34 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.46 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.48 across 40 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.30 across 88 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 40 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 94 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.22 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 40 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 88 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.25 across 40 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.33 across 94 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 79 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Citi Field38 leansFinal · graded
MIA@NYM

Miami Marlins at New York Mets
first pitch7:10 PM ET
MIA@NYM
Miami Marlins at New York Mets
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.8 K across 21 starts
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.37 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 98 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.37 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.41 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 26 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.31 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 98 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 26 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 103 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Truist Park38 leansFinal · graded
WSH@ATL

Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves
first pitch7:15 PM ET
WSH@ATL
Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.3 K across 11 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.2 K across 20 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 88 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 88 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.20 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.61 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.31 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 4.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.52 across 105 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.27 across 92 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.45 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.24 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 92 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 85 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Sutter Health Park37 leansFinal · graded
BOS@ATH

Boston Red Sox at Athletics
first pitch9:40 PM ET
BOS@ATH
Boston Red Sox at Athletics
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.9 K across 19 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 95 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 95 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 31 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 98 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 95 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 98 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 48 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.44 across 48 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.27 across 11 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 11 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.09 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 37 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 31 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.36 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.21 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 37 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.23 across 95 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 100 games
Petco Park38 leansFinal · graded
SF@SD

San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres
first pitch9:40 PM ET
SF@SD
San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.8 K across 21 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.8 K across 6 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 77 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 98 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 77 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.25 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 23 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.36 across 14 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 7 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.32 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.29
- SeasonSeason average 0.29 across 7 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 39 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 14 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 98 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 34 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 104 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.35 across 23 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 39 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 34 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 102 games
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium38 leansFinal · graded
SEA@LAD

Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Dodgers
first pitch10:10 PM ET
SEA@LAD
Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Dodgers
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.7 K across 20 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.2 K across 18 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 94 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.22 across 32 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.30 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 98 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 94 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 32 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.38 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.45 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 98 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Open the MLB Power Board →
HR markets are high-variance and rated on a separate power-profile scale (barrel + park + matchup), not the standard High / Medium / Low tiers used here.
