Settled projections · Saturday, May 16
52.9%
144–128 on 272 decisiveCombined audit across the sports that had settled rows on 2026-05-16. Pushes excluded. Pending games never count as losses.
At a glance
Hit
144
model agreed and the line cleared
Miss
128
model agreed but the line did not clear
Push
0
final stat tied the line — excluded from hit rate
Pending
0
no games still pending on this date
Biggest hits
- MLBDavis MartinOver 5.5 Strikeouts+41.5pp edgeactual 7
- MLBDavis MartinOver 4.5 Strikeouts+31.7pp edgeactual 7
- MLBJoey CantilloUnder 4.5 Strikeouts+25.4pp edgeactual 4
- MLBKyle SchwarberOver 1.5 Total Bases+24.1pp edgeactual 2
- MLBDrake BaldwinOver 1.5 Total Bases+21.2pp edgeactual 5
Biggest misses
- MLBBryce ElderOver 5.5 Strikeouts+23.0pp edgeactual 3
- MLBTyler O'NeillUnder 1.5 Total Bases+18.6pp edgeactual 4
- MLBKyle LeahyOver 3.5 Strikeouts+18.5pp edgeactual 2
- MLBPayton TolleOver 4.5 Strikeouts+10.8pp edgeactual 3
- MLBJameson TaillonOver 5.5 Strikeouts-2.3pp edgeactual 2
MLB settled games · projection vs actual
TOR @ DET5–510 dec50.0%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Mize | Strikeouts | Over 4.5 | 5.74 | 4 | +28.1% | Low | Loss |
| George Springer | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.67 | 0 | +7.9% | High | Win |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.72 | 0 | +6.7% | High | Win |
| Ernie Clement | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.13 | 0 | +4.3% | Medium | Loss |
| Kazuma Okamoto | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.89 | 0 | -1.4% | Low | Loss |
| Daulton Varsho | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.89 | 2 | +5.7% | High | Win |
| George Springer | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 0.93 | 0 | +8.1% | High | Win |
| Kazuma Okamoto | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.60 | 0 | +5.7% | High | Loss |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 0.87 | 0 | +4.9% | Medium | Win |
| Ernie Clement | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.50 | 0 | +9.8% | High | Loss |
KC @ STL10–1626 dec38.5%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Leahy | Strikeouts | Over 3.5 | 4.92 | 2 | +18.5% | High | Loss |
| Noah Cameron | Strikeouts | Over 4.5 | 4.81 | 4 | +12.4% | High | Loss |
| Maikel Garcia | Hits | Under 1.5 | 1.07 | 1 | -1.8% | Low | Win |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Hits | Over 1.5 | 1.41 | 1 | +8.8% | High | Loss |
| Salvador Perez | Hits | Under 1.5 | 0.75 | 0 | +8.9% | High | Win |
| Alec Burleson | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.10 | 1 | -0.3% | Low | Win |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.77 | 1 | +3.0% | Medium | Loss |
| Masyn Winn | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.89 | 0 | -2.9% | Low | Win |
| Jordan Walker | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.19 | 1 | +6.9% | High | Win |
| Jac Caglianone | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.63 | 2 | +5.0% | High | Loss |
| Nathan Church | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.81 | 2 | -3.0% | Low | Loss |
| Isaac Collins | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.66 | 1 | +2.7% | Medium | Loss |
| Carter Jensen | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.79 | 0 | -3.3% | Low | Loss |
| Michael Massey | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.60 | 1 | +1.3% | Low | Loss |
| Kyle Isbel | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.75 | 1 | -1.1% | Low | Win |
| Thomas Saggese | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.29 | 1 | +11.4% | High | Loss |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.55 | 1 | +20.8% | High | Loss |
| Salvador Perez | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 1.16 | 0 | +0.6% | Low | Win |
| Maikel Garcia | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.49 | 2 | +1.2% | Low | Win |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 1.19 | 1 | -1.8% | Low | Win |
| Alec Burleson | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.68 | 1 | +6.9% | High | Loss |
| Masyn Winn | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.28 | 0 | -1.7% | Low | Loss |
| Jordan Walker | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.41 | 1 | +22.1% | High | Loss |
| Carter Jensen | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.23 | 0 | +1.7% | Low | Loss |
| Jac Caglianone | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 0.98 | 5 | -1.4% | Low | Loss |
| Nathan Church | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.17 | 3 | +2.7% | Medium | Win |
AZ @ COL9–918 dec50.0%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | Strikeouts | Under 5.5 | 4.61 | 6 | +10.8% | High | Loss |
| Tomoyuki Sugano | Strikeouts | Under 2.5 | 2.27 | 1 | +6.9% | High | Win |
| Ketel Marte | Hits | Under 1.5 | 0.76 | 2 | +21.9% | High | Loss |
| Corbin Carroll | Hits | Under 1.5 | 0.93 | 1 | +10.0% | High | Win |
| Nolan Arenado | Hits | Under 1.5 | 0.86 | 0 | +12.1% | High | Win |
| Ildemaro Vargas | Hits | Over 1.5 | 1.24 | 0 | -1.9% | Low | Loss |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | Hits | Under 1.5 | 0.72 | 2 | +16.0% | High | Loss |
| Geraldo Perdomo | Hits | Under 1.5 | 0.62 | 1 | +16.2% | High | Win |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.86 | 1 | -0.8% | Low | Loss |
| Adrian Del Castillo | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.58 | 0 | +10.4% | High | Win |
| Ketel Marte | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 1.36 | 3 | +7.9% | High | Loss |
| Corbin Carroll | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 1.63 | 2 | +1.2% | Low | Loss |
| Nolan Arenado | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 1.52 | 0 | -2.1% | Low | Win |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 0.90 | 3 | +17.5% | High | Loss |
| Ildemaro Vargas | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.95 | 0 | +6.4% | High | Loss |
| Geraldo Perdomo | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 0.95 | 1 | +6.5% | High | Win |
| Adrian Del Castillo | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 1.03 | 0 | +2.9% | Medium | Win |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 1.14 | 1 | +2.2% | Low | Win |
BAL @ WSH12–1628 dec42.9%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bassitt | Strikeouts | Over 4.5 | 4.40 | 4 | +2.9% | Medium | Loss |
| Cade Cavalli | Strikeouts | Under 4.5 | 5.13 | 8 | -2.4% | Low | Loss |
| Gunnar Henderson | Hits | Under 1.5 | 0.83 | 0 | +9.2% | High | Win |
| Adley Rutschman | Hits | Under 1.5 | 0.97 | 0 | +0.2% | Low | Win |
| Daylen Lile | Hits | Over 1.5 | 1.25 | 1 | +5.3% | High | Loss |
| CJ Abrams | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.07 | 3 | +0.2% | Low | Win |
| Pete Alonso | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.80 | 2 | +2.0% | Low | Loss |
| Samuel Basallo | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.14 | 1 | +3.0% | Medium | Win |
| James Wood | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.89 | 1 | -2.9% | Low | Win |
| Taylor Ward | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.72 | 2 | +3.9% | Medium | Loss |
| Jeremiah Jackson | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.68 | 1 | +2.5% | Medium | Loss |
| Brady House | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.76 | 2 | -1.7% | Low | Loss |
| Keibert Ruiz | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.73 | 3 | -0.8% | Low | Loss |
| Tyler O'Neill | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.32 | 1 | +17.2% | High | Loss |
| Jacob Young | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.69 | 2 | -0.5% | Low | Loss |
| Coby Mayo | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.64 | 1 | +0.2% | Low | Loss |
| Gunnar Henderson | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 1.35 | 0 | -3.3% | Low | Win |
| James Wood | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.92 | 2 | +8.8% | High | Win |
| CJ Abrams | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.94 | 5 | +8.9% | High | Win |
| Pete Alonso | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.58 | 3 | +3.1% | Medium | Win |
| Adley Rutschman | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.88 | 0 | +8.3% | High | Loss |
| Daylen Lile | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.42 | 1 | +20.2% | High | Loss |
| Samuel Basallo | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.78 | 4 | +8.4% | High | Win |
| Tyler O'Neill | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 0.45 | 4 | +18.6% | High | Loss |
| Brady House | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.46 | 6 | +6.8% | High | Win |
| Taylor Ward | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 0.96 | 2 | -1.9% | Low | Loss |
| Jeremiah Jackson | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.03 | 1 | +1.4% | Low | Loss |
| Cade Cavalli | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 | 5.13 | 8 | +0.7% | Low | Win |
PHI @ PIT17–1128 dec60.7%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bubba Chandler | Strikeouts | Under 4.5 | 4.30 | 2 | +2.4% | Low | Win |
| Trea Turner | Hits | Under 1.5 | 0.93 | 2 | +3.4% | Medium | Loss |
| Bryce Harper | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.22 | 1 | +4.8% | Medium | Win |
| J.T. Realmuto | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.75 | 0 | +1.4% | Low | Win |
| Alec Bohm | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.90 | 2 | -0.8% | Low | Win |
| Brandon Marsh | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.41 | 1 | +14.4% | High | Win |
| Bryson Stott | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.88 | 0 | -1.4% | Low | Loss |
| Kyle Schwarber | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.09 | 1 | +5.5% | High | Win |
| Bryan Reynolds | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.84 | 2 | -3.2% | Low | Win |
| Konnor Griffin | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.92 | 2 | -0.0% | Low | Win |
| Oneil Cruz | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.11 | 0 | +5.9% | High | Loss |
| Ryan O'Hearn | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.98 | 0 | +2.8% | Medium | Loss |
| Marcell Ozuna | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.71 | 0 | -1.1% | Low | Win |
| Nick Gonzales | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.01 | 2 | +3.0% | Medium | Win |
| Justin Crawford | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.89 | 0 | +2.1% | Low | Loss |
| Jared Triolo | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.84 | 0 | +3.9% | Medium | Loss |
| Brandon Lowe | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.99 | 0 | +9.1% | High | Loss |
| Henry Davis | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.44 | 0 | +2.3% | Low | Win |
| Trea Turner | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 1.19 | 3 | +2.2% | Low | Loss |
| Kyle Schwarber | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 3.26 | 2 | +24.1% | High | Win |
| Bryce Harper | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.34 | 4 | +16.2% | High | Win |
| J.T. Realmuto | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 0.99 | 0 | +2.6% | Medium | Win |
| Brandon Marsh | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.83 | 1 | +14.4% | High | Loss |
| Bryson Stott | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.48 | 0 | +6.7% | High | Loss |
| Oneil Cruz | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.86 | 0 | +15.1% | High | Loss |
| Alec Bohm | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.41 | 3 | +6.8% | High | Win |
| Bryan Reynolds | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.08 | 3 | -0.0% | Low | Win |
| Konnor Griffin | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.42 | 3 | +8.0% | High | Win |
MIA @ TB7–613 dec53.8%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinez | Strikeouts | Under 4.5 | 3.76 | 4 | +7.5% | High | Win |
| Sandy Alcantara | Strikeouts | Under 4.5 | 4.15 | 6 | -2.9% | Low | Loss |
| Xavier Edwards | Hits | Under 1.5 | 1.03 | 1 | -2.4% | Low | Win |
| Otto Lopez | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.32 | 2 | +10.9% | High | Win |
| Liam Hicks | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.91 | 2 | -3.4% | Low | Loss |
| Kyle Stowers | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.62 | 1 | +4.0% | Medium | Loss |
| Jakob Marsee | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.70 | 3 | -0.4% | Low | Loss |
| Connor Norby | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.68 | 1 | -0.8% | Low | Loss |
| Joe Mack | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.60 | 1 | -2.9% | Low | Win |
| Owen Caissie | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.49 | 0 | -1.4% | Low | Win |
| Xavier Edwards | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.77 | 1 | +14.5% | High | Loss |
| Liam Hicks | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.57 | 2 | +10.5% | High | Win |
| Otto Lopez | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.93 | 3 | +19.2% | High | Win |
CIN @ CLE12–618 dec66.7%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Cantillo | Strikeouts | Under 4.5 | 3.33 | 4 | +25.4% | Low | Win |
| Steven Kwan | Hits | Under 1.5 | 0.59 | 1 | +14.7% | High | Win |
| Chase DeLauter | Hits | Over 1.5 | 1.01 | 0 | -0.7% | Low | Loss |
| Sal Stewart | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.86 | 0 | -3.2% | Low | Win |
| Travis Bazzana | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.85 | 1 | -0.2% | Low | Win |
| Kyle Manzardo | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.71 | 2 | -1.6% | Low | Loss |
| Daniel Schneemann | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.73 | 0 | -2.7% | Low | Win |
| Elly De La Cruz | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.35 | 1 | +18.1% | High | Win |
| Brayan Rocchio | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.89 | 2 | +1.6% | Low | Win |
| Tyler Stephenson | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.64 | 0 | +0.2% | Low | Win |
| Nathaniel Lowe | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.62 | 0 | +0.9% | Low | Win |
| Spencer Steer | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.07 | 1 | +11.5% | High | Win |
| Will Benson | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.39 | 0 | +10.1% | High | Win |
| Matt McLain | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.96 | 0 | +10.9% | High | Loss |
| Chase DeLauter | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.63 | 0 | +3.3% | Medium | Loss |
| Steven Kwan | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 0.75 | 1 | +12.6% | High | Win |
| Sal Stewart | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.53 | 0 | +7.3% | High | Loss |
| Kyle Manzardo | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 1.06 | 2 | +0.6% | Low | Loss |
CHC @ CWS16–1026 dec61.5%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Martin | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 | 7.69 | 7 | +41.5% | Low | Win |
| Jameson Taillon | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 | 5.00 | 2 | -2.3% | Low | Loss |
| Nico Hoerner | Hits | Under 1.5 | 0.83 | 1 | +7.5% | High | Win |
| Sam Antonacci | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.94 | 2 | +0.5% | Low | Win |
| Michael Busch | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.92 | 1 | -0.0% | Low | Win |
| Alex Bregman | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.05 | 2 | +6.4% | High | Win |
| Miguel Vargas | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.04 | 1 | +6.6% | High | Win |
| Chase Meidroth | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.06 | 0 | +8.5% | High | Loss |
| Ian Happ | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.84 | 0 | +0.2% | Low | Loss |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.83 | 1 | +0.7% | Low | Win |
| Colson Montgomery | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.93 | 1 | +5.6% | High | Win |
| Andrew Benintendi | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.74 | 2 | -3.2% | Low | Win |
| Seiya Suzuki | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.85 | 0 | +0.3% | Low | Loss |
| Munetaka Murakami | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.80 | 2 | +3.3% | Medium | Win |
| Tristan Peters | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.64 | 0 | -1.3% | Low | Loss |
| Drew Romo | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.64 | 0 | -0.2% | Low | Loss |
| Jarred Kelenic | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.75 | 0 | +5.7% | High | Loss |
| Nico Hoerner | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 1.21 | 1 | -2.8% | Low | Win |
| Colson Montgomery | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.04 | 4 | +16.2% | High | Win |
| Michael Busch | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.40 | 1 | +3.1% | Medium | Loss |
| Alex Bregman | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.47 | 3 | +5.8% | High | Win |
| Ian Happ | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.58 | 0 | +8.2% | High | Loss |
| Miguel Vargas | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.18 | 4 | +19.9% | High | Win |
| Sam Antonacci | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.32 | 2 | +2.9% | Medium | Win |
| Davis Martin | Strikeouts | Over 4.5 | 7.69 | 7 | +31.7% | Low | Win |
| Jameson Taillon | Strikeouts | Over 4.5 | 5.00 | 2 | +0.9% | Low | Loss |
TEX @ HOU9–817 dec52.9%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom | Strikeouts | Over 7.5 | 7.24 | 4 | -1.4% | Low | Loss |
| Brandon Nimmo | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.89 | 0 | -3.4% | Low | Loss |
| Yordan Alvarez | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.04 | 1 | +4.6% | Medium | Win |
| Josh Jung | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.20 | 0 | +9.1% | High | Loss |
| Jose Altuve | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.93 | 1 | -0.3% | Low | Win |
| Ezequiel Duran | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.93 | 1 | +5.2% | High | Win |
| Jake Burger | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.83 | 1 | +0.7% | Low | Win |
| Christian Walker | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.68 | 1 | -1.4% | Low | Loss |
| Evan Carter | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.56 | 0 | +0.2% | Low | Win |
| Isaac Paredes | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.86 | 0 | +6.0% | High | Loss |
| Joc Pederson | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.51 | 1 | +1.0% | Low | Loss |
| Braden Shewmake | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.23 | 0 | +24.0% | High | Loss |
| Alejandro Osuna | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.56 | 1 | -3.3% | Low | Win |
| Brice Matthews | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.66 | 0 | +2.2% | Low | Loss |
| Zach Cole | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.70 | 1 | +8.1% | High | Win |
| Yordan Alvarez | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.01 | 4 | +11.7% | High | Win |
| Jose Altuve | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.26 | 4 | +3.3% | Medium | Win |
MIL @ MIN12–1123 dec52.2%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Prielipp | Strikeouts | Over 4.5 | 5.11 | 8 | +6.3% | High | Win |
| Logan Henderson | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 | 5.33 | 7 | +2.3% | Low | Win |
| Jackson Chourio | Hits | Over 1.5 | 1.33 | 2 | +9.0% | High | Win |
| Brice Turang | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.15 | 1 | +5.2% | High | Win |
| Andrew Vaughn | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.89 | 1 | -1.8% | Low | Win |
| Austin Martin | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.15 | 0 | +7.5% | High | Loss |
| William Contreras | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.90 | 1 | -3.2% | Low | Win |
| Luis Rengifo | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.86 | 0 | -1.8% | Low | Loss |
| Brooks Lee | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.03 | 0 | +5.8% | High | Loss |
| Josh Bell | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.73 | 1 | -2.3% | Low | Loss |
| Sal Frelick | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.82 | 0 | +0.3% | Low | Loss |
| Ryan Jeffers | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.87 | 1 | +2.3% | Low | Win |
| Kody Clemens | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.81 | 2 | +3.6% | Medium | Win |
| Joey Ortiz | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.54 | 0 | +0.9% | Low | Win |
| Royce Lewis | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.43 | 1 | +5.7% | High | Loss |
| James Outman | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.56 | 1 | +2.3% | Low | Win |
| Jackson Chourio | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.78 | 6 | +4.7% | Medium | Win |
| Andrew Vaughn | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.44 | 1 | +3.2% | Medium | Loss |
| William Contreras | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.16 | 1 | -3.4% | Low | Loss |
| Brice Turang | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.94 | 1 | +16.3% | High | Loss |
| Brooks Lee | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.48 | 0 | +7.3% | High | Loss |
| Austin Martin | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.44 | 0 | +6.1% | High | Loss |
| Luis Rengifo | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 0.97 | 0 | +3.4% | Medium | Win |
BOS @ ATL9–1221 dec42.9%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Elder | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 | 6.68 | 3 | +23.0% | High | Loss |
| Payton Tolle | Strikeouts | Over 4.5 | 5.97 | 3 | +10.8% | High | Loss |
| Ozzie Albies | Hits | Under 1.5 | 0.74 | 0 | +6.0% | High | Win |
| Michael Harris II | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.02 | 0 | -1.1% | Low | Loss |
| Drake Baldwin | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.05 | 2 | +4.6% | Medium | Win |
| Jarren Duran | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.65 | 1 | +3.2% | Medium | Loss |
| Masataka Yoshida | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.69 | 0 | +0.7% | Low | Win |
| Matt Olson | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.01 | 0 | +6.7% | High | Loss |
| Wilyer Abreu | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.17 | 2 | +9.5% | High | Win |
| Austin Riley | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.91 | 0 | +3.5% | Medium | Loss |
| Willson Contreras | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.73 | 2 | -2.7% | Low | Loss |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.14 | 1 | +15.4% | High | Win |
| Marcelo Mayer | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.71 | 0 | +0.9% | Low | Loss |
| Caleb Durbin | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.53 | 0 | -0.7% | Low | Win |
| Ozzie Albies | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.25 | 0 | -3.3% | Low | Loss |
| Jarren Duran | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 1.08 | 2 | -2.4% | Low | Loss |
| Michael Harris II | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.57 | 0 | +7.5% | High | Loss |
| Wilyer Abreu | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.77 | 3 | +11.5% | High | Win |
| Matt Olson | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.09 | 0 | +19.7% | High | Loss |
| Drake Baldwin | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.17 | 5 | +21.2% | High | Win |
| Willson Contreras | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.32 | 5 | +3.6% | Medium | Win |
NYY @ NYM14–721 dec66.7%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | Hits | Under 1.5 | 0.63 | 0 | +13.0% | High | Win |
| Cody Bellinger | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.94 | 0 | -2.6% | Low | Loss |
| Aaron Judge | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.93 | 2 | -1.4% | Low | Win |
| Ben Rice | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.09 | 0 | +5.2% | High | Loss |
| Mark Vientos | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.80 | 1 | -2.1% | Low | Loss |
| Paul Goldschmidt | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.95 | 2 | +1.9% | Low | Win |
| Carson Benge | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.04 | 3 | +8.0% | High | Win |
| Trent Grisham | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.53 | 1 | +6.4% | High | Loss |
| Amed Rosario | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.80 | 1 | -0.6% | Low | Win |
| Marcus Semien | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.91 | 0 | +3.8% | Medium | Loss |
| Juan Soto | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.85 | 2 | +3.3% | Medium | Win |
| Brett Baty | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.80 | 1 | +3.5% | Medium | Win |
| Luis Torrens | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.53 | 0 | +0.5% | Low | Win |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.79 | 2 | +9.7% | High | Win |
| Austin Wells | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.46 | 1 | -2.9% | Low | Win |
| Aaron Judge | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.94 | 3 | +9.4% | High | Win |
| Bo Bichette | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 0.76 | 0 | +12.8% | High | Win |
| Cody Bellinger | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.55 | 0 | +5.4% | High | Loss |
| Ben Rice | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.38 | 0 | +21.1% | High | Loss |
| Mark Vientos | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.47 | 2 | +5.9% | High | Win |
| Paul Goldschmidt | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.95 | 2 | +16.4% | High | Win |
LAD @ LAA11–1122 dec50.0%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Wrobleski | Strikeouts | Under 5.5 | 3.80 | 5 | +15.1% | High | Win |
| Freddie Freeman | Hits | Under 1.5 | 0.97 | 0 | +1.1% | Low | Win |
| Vaughn Grissom | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.63 | 1 | +10.1% | High | Loss |
| Shohei Ohtani | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.81 | 2 | +1.7% | Low | Loss |
| Jo Adell | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.91 | 1 | -3.2% | Low | Loss |
| Mookie Betts | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.54 | 2 | +12.4% | High | Loss |
| Nolan Schanuel | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.10 | 0 | +8.0% | High | Loss |
| Will Smith | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.83 | 1 | -3.2% | Low | Win |
| Oswald Peraza | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.80 | 0 | -2.9% | Low | Win |
| Andy Pages | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.06 | 1 | +6.5% | High | Win |
| Zach Neto | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.94 | 1 | +5.2% | High | Win |
| Mike Trout | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.78 | 0 | -0.6% | Low | Loss |
| Jorge Soler | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.64 | 2 | -2.8% | Low | Loss |
| Max Muncy | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.76 | 1 | +0.2% | Low | Win |
| Hyeseong Kim | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.75 | 0 | +3.2% | Medium | Loss |
| Shohei Ohtani | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.42 | 5 | +0.1% | Low | Win |
| Jo Adell | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.62 | 2 | +5.3% | High | Win |
| Freddie Freeman | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.57 | 0 | +5.9% | High | Loss |
| Vaughn Grissom | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 1.12 | 1 | -1.5% | Low | Win |
| Mookie Betts | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.31 | 5 | +2.1% | Low | Win |
| Will Smith | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.28 | 1 | +2.7% | Medium | Loss |
| Oswald Peraza | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.38 | 0 | +7.2% | High | Loss |
SF @ ATH1–01 dec100.0%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Severino | Strikeouts | Over 4.5 | 5.10 | 7 | +1.1% | Low | Win |
