EducationalNot betting advice · research use only.
GameTime Picks
Settled projections · Sunday, May 17

67.2%

41–20 on 61 decisive

Combined audit across the sports that had settled rows on 2026-05-17. Pushes excluded. Pending games never count as losses.

At a glance
Hit
41
model agreed and the line cleared
Miss
20
model agreed but the line did not clear
Push
0
final stat tied the line — excluded from hit rate
Pending
0
no games still pending on this date
NBA
67.2%
4120 on 61
Biggest hits
  • NBACade CunninghamUnder 26.5 PTS+41.2pp edgeactual 13
  • NBADuncan RobinsonOver 7.5 PTS+39.8pp edgeactual 13
  • NBADaniss JenkinsOver 3.5 AST+34.6pp edgeactual 5
Biggest misses
  • NBAJalen DurenOver 11.5 PTSactual 7
  • NBAJames HardenOver 18.5 PTSactual 9
  • NBASam MerrillOver 5.5 PTSactual 23
NBA · per-player results · 14 players
Ausar Thompson
Ausar Thompson
DETDET @ CLE
12
on 3
PTSLine8.5Proj.9.5Actual5.0Miss
REBLine7.5Proj.5.1Actual7.0Hit
ASTLine3.5Proj.4.3Actual0.0Miss
Cade Cunningham
Cade Cunningham
DETDET @ CLE
21
on 3
PTSLine26.5Proj.15.0Actual13.0Hit
REBLine5.5Proj.4.7Actual4.0Hit
ASTLine8.5Proj.10.3Actual5.0Miss
Daniss Jenkins
Daniss Jenkins
DETDET @ CLE
21
on 3
PTSLine11.5Proj.15.2Actual17.0Hit
REBLine3.5Proj.3.8Actual3.0Miss
ASTLine3.5Proj.7.0Actual5.0Hit
Dean Wade
Dean Wade
CLECLE @ DET
30
on 3
PTSLine3.5Proj.4.3Actual5.0Hit
REBLine3.5Proj.4.0Actual6.0Hit
ASTLine0.5Proj.1.4Actual1.0Hit
Donovan Mitchell
Donovan Mitchell
CLECLE @ DET
30
on 3
PTSLine26.5Proj.25.6Actual26.0Hit
REBLine4.5Proj.4.8Actual6.0Hit
ASTLine3.5Proj.4.7Actual8.0Hit
Jalen Duren
Jalen Duren
DETDET @ CLE
21
on 3
PTSLine11.5Proj.21.8Actual7.0Miss
REBLine8.5Proj.10.2Actual9.0Hit
ASTLine1.5Proj.3.6Actual3.0Hit
Jarrett Allen
Jarrett Allen
CLECLE @ DET
12
on 3
PTSLine11.5Proj.17.9Actual23.0Hit
REBLine7.5Proj.9.1Actual7.0Miss
ASTLine1.5Proj.1.1Actual1.0Miss
Tobias Harris
Tobias Harris
DETDET @ CLE
30
on 3
PTSLine17.5Proj.12.9Actual5.0Hit
REBLine6.5Proj.4.5Actual5.0Hit
ASTLine1.5Proj.3.0Actual2.0Hit
Evan Mobley
Evan Mobley
CLECLE @ DET
20
on 2
PTSLine15.5Proj.17.5Actual21.0Hit
REBLine8.5Proj.9.6Actual12.0Hit
ASTNo line on this market
James Harden
James Harden
CLECLE @ DET
02
on 2
PTSLine18.5Proj.21.1Actual9.0Miss
REBLine4.5Proj.3.4Actual5.0Miss
ASTNo line on this market
Caris LeVert
Caris LeVert
DETDET @ CLE
10
on 1
PTSLine6.5Proj.7.2Actual11.0Hit
REBNo line on this market
ASTNo line on this market
Duncan Robinson
Duncan Robinson
DETDET @ CLE
10
on 1
PTSLine7.5Proj.14.8Actual13.0Hit
REBNo line on this market
ASTNo line on this market
Max Strus
Max Strus
CLECLE @ DET
01
on 1
PTSNo line on this market
REBLine4.5Proj.5.1Actual3.0Miss
ASTNo line on this market
Sam Merrill
Sam Merrill
CLECLE @ DET
10
on 1
PTSLine5.5Proj.11.9Actual23.0Hit
REBNo line on this market
ASTNo line on this market

One card per player. The per-game breakdown below carries every bookmaker row (DraftKings + FanDuel) for full audit detail; this view de-duplicates by player+market to make scanning easier.

NBA settled games · projection vs actual
DET @ CLEEastern Conference Semifinals · Game 7
412061 dec67.2%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Cade CunninghamASTOver 8.510.265+15.8%HighLoss-124 · draftkings
Daniss JenkinsASTOver 3.57.045+34.6%LowWin-130 · draftkings
Donovan MitchellASTOver 3.54.698+20.7%HighWin-121 · draftkings
Ausar ThompsonASTOver 3.54.260+18.0%HighLoss+117 · draftkings
Jalen DurenASTOver 1.53.583+22.6%HighWin-150 · draftkings
Tobias HarrisASTOver 1.53.002+16.4%HighWin-150 · draftkings
Jarrett AllenASTOver 1.51.081+5.5%HighLoss+147 · draftkings
Dean WadeASTOver 0.51.391+11.2%HighWin-129 · draftkings
Cade CunninghamPTSUnder 26.515.0413+41.2%LowWin-109 · draftkings
Donovan MitchellPTSUnder 26.525.6326+3.3%MediumWin-121 · draftkings
James HardenPTSOver 18.521.069+15.1%HighLoss-102 · draftkings
Tobias HarrisPTSUnder 17.512.945+21.7%HighWin-110 · draftkings
Evan MobleyPTSOver 15.517.5321+12.2%HighWin-107 · draftkings
Jarrett AllenPTSOver 11.517.8923+33.8%LowWin-127 · draftkings
Daniss JenkinsPTSOver 11.515.2317+20.7%HighWin-104 · draftkings
Jalen DurenPTSOver 11.521.817+41.9%LowLoss-101 · draftkings
Ausar ThompsonPTSOver 8.59.535+4.0%MediumLoss-126 · draftkings
Duncan RobinsonPTSOver 7.514.7913+39.8%LowWin-124 · draftkings
Caris LeVertPTSOver 6.57.1611+3.4%MediumWin-116 · draftkings
Sam MerrillPTSOver 5.511.9023+33.5%LowWin-140 · draftkings
Dean WadePTSOver 3.54.355+8.3%HighWin+124 · draftkings
Jalen DurenREBOver 8.510.159+18.1%HighWin-116 · draftkings
Evan MobleyREBOver 8.59.5712+13.2%HighWin+103 · draftkings
Jarrett AllenREBOver 7.59.057+19.1%HighLoss-120 · draftkings
Ausar ThompsonREBUnder 7.55.137+20.0%HighWin-135 · draftkings
Tobias HarrisREBUnder 6.54.555+19.1%HighWin-115 · draftkings
Cade CunninghamREBUnder 5.54.684+6.5%HighWin-146 · draftkings
James HardenREBUnder 4.53.395+14.4%HighLoss-102 · draftkings
Donovan MitchellREBOver 4.54.796+11.7%HighWin-108 · draftkings
Max StrusREBOver 4.55.063+12.5%HighLoss+104 · draftkings
Dean WadeREBOver 3.53.976+13.0%HighWin+115 · draftkings
Daniss JenkinsREBOver 3.53.843+8.0%HighLoss+126 · draftkings
Donovan MitchellASTOver 3.54.698+20.7%HighWin-104 · fanduel
Cade CunninghamASTOver 8.510.265+15.8%HighLoss-114 · fanduel
Jalen DurenASTOver 1.53.583+22.6%HighWin-158 · fanduel
Ausar ThompsonASTOver 3.54.260+18.0%HighLoss+116 · fanduel
Daniss JenkinsASTOver 3.57.045+34.6%LowWin-132 · fanduel
Cade CunninghamPTSUnder 26.515.0413+41.2%LowWin-112 · fanduel
James HardenPTSOver 18.521.069+15.1%HighLoss-122 · fanduel
Donovan MitchellPTSUnder 25.525.6326+3.3%MediumLoss+102 · fanduel
Daniss JenkinsPTSOver 11.515.2317+20.7%HighWin-114 · fanduel
Jarrett AllenPTSOver 11.517.8923+33.8%LowWin-125 · fanduel
Dean WadePTSOver 2.54.355+8.3%HighWin-136 · fanduel
Jalen DurenPTSOver 11.521.817+41.9%LowLoss-136 · fanduel
Sam MerrillPTSOver 6.511.9023+33.5%LowWin-106 · fanduel
Evan MobleyPTSOver 15.517.5321+12.2%HighWin-104 · fanduel
Tobias HarrisPTSUnder 16.512.945+21.7%HighWin-112 · fanduel
Duncan RobinsonPTSOver 7.514.7913+39.8%LowWin-110 · fanduel
Caris LeVertPTSOver 6.57.1611+3.4%MediumWin-120 · fanduel
Ausar ThompsonPTSOver 8.59.535+4.0%MediumLoss-130 · fanduel
James HardenREBUnder 4.53.395+14.4%HighLoss-114 · fanduel
Donovan MitchellREBOver 4.54.796+11.7%HighWin+122 · fanduel
Tobias HarrisREBUnder 6.54.555+19.1%HighWin-144 · fanduel
Jarrett AllenREBOver 7.59.057+19.1%HighLoss-118 · fanduel
Daniss JenkinsREBOver 2.53.843+8.0%HighWin-174 · fanduel
Cade CunninghamREBUnder 5.54.684+6.5%HighWin-138 · fanduel
Dean WadeREBOver 3.53.976+13.0%HighWin+116 · fanduel
Jalen DurenREBOver 8.510.159+18.1%HighWin-130 · fanduel
Evan MobleyREBOver 8.59.5712+13.2%HighWin+104 · fanduel
Max StrusREBOver 4.55.063+12.5%HighLoss+108 · fanduel
Ausar ThompsonREBUnder 6.55.137+20.0%HighLoss-104 · fanduel
2026-05-16all settled dates2026-05-18
hit rate excludes pushes · settled decisive rows only · educational use only · not betting advice