EducationalNot betting advice · research use only.
GameTime Picks
Settled projections · Monday, May 18

54.0%

257–219 on 476 decisive

Combined audit across the sports that had settled rows on 2026-05-18. Pushes excluded. Pending games never count as losses.

At a glance
Hit
257
model agreed and the line cleared
Miss
219
model agreed but the line did not clear
Push
0
final stat tied the line — excluded from hit rate
Pending
0
no games still pending on this date
NBA
65.1%
10858 on 166
MLB
48.1%
149161 on 310
Biggest hits
  • MLBJake IrvinUnder 6.5 Strikeouts+38.1pp edgeactual 6
  • NBAStephon CastleOver 7.5 AST+37.2pp edgeactual 11
  • NBAJaylin WilliamsOver 2.5 REB+36.7pp edgeactual 3
  • MLBLuis TorrensUnder 2.5 Total Bases+36.4pp edgeactual 2
  • MLBDrew MillasUnder 1.5 Hits+34.4pp edgeactual 1
Biggest misses
  • MLBPaul GoldschmidtUnder 4.5 Total Bases+34.8pp edgeactual 6
  • MLBJac CaglianoneUnder 2.5 Total Bases+24.2pp edgeactual 4
  • MLBTaylor WallsUnder 2.5 Total Bases+20.7pp edgeactual 4
  • MLBGeorge SpringerUnder 1.5 Total Bases+19.9pp edgeactual 5
  • MLBRobbie RayOver 4.5 Strikeouts+14.8pp edgeactual 1
NBA · per-player results · 16 players
Ajay Mitchell
Ajay Mitchell
OKCOKC @ SA
21
on 3
PTSLine12.5Proj.10.2Actual4.0Hit
REBLine3.5Proj.2.6Actual4.0Miss
ASTLine3.5Proj.3.6Actual5.0Hit
Alex Caruso
Alex Caruso
OKCOKC @ SA
12
on 3
PTSLine7.5Proj.5.5Actual31.0Miss
REBLine3.5Proj.2.6Actual2.0Hit
ASTLine1.5Proj.1.8Actual1.0Miss
Cason Wallace
Cason Wallace
OKCOKC @ SA
21
on 3
PTSLine5.5Proj.9.3Actual8.0Hit
REBLine2.5Proj.2.9Actual6.0Hit
ASTLine1.5Proj.1.6Actual0.0Miss
Chet Holmgren
Chet Holmgren
OKCOKC @ SA
21
on 3
PTSLine15.5Proj.16.3Actual8.0Miss
REBLine9.5Proj.8.2Actual8.0Hit
ASTLine1.5Proj.1.3Actual0.0Hit
Devin Vassell
Devin Vassell
30
on 3
PTSLine13.5Proj.12.2Actual13.0Hit
REBLine4.5Proj.4.8Actual6.0Hit
ASTLine2.5Proj.2.4Actual2.0Hit
Dylan Harper
Dylan Harper
21
on 3
PTSLine12.5Proj.13.8Actual24.0Hit
REBLine4.5Proj.3.9Actual11.0Miss
ASTLine3.5Proj.3.7Actual6.0Hit
Isaiah Hartenstein
Isaiah Hartenstein
OKCOKC @ SA
21
on 3
PTSLine7.5Proj.6.1Actual2.0Hit
REBLine8.5Proj.9.5Actual2.0Miss
ASTLine1.5Proj.2.7Actual2.0Hit
Jalen Williams
Jalen Williams
OKCOKC @ SA
21
on 3
PTSLine15.5Proj.16.7Actual26.0Hit
REBLine3.5Proj.4.1Actual7.0Hit
ASTLine4.5Proj.5.6Actual3.0Miss
Jaylin Williams
Jaylin Williams
OKCOKC @ SA
12
on 3
PTSLine3.5Proj.5.4Actual0.0Miss
REBLine2.5Proj.6.1Actual3.0Hit
ASTLine0.5Proj.2.0Actual0.0Miss
Julian Champagnie
Julian Champagnie
21
on 3
PTSLine9.5Proj.9.9Actual11.0Hit
REBLine5.5Proj.6.1Actual9.0Hit
ASTLine1.5Proj.1.9Actual1.0Miss
Luguentz Dort
Luguentz Dort
OKCOKC @ SA
12
on 3
PTSLine5.5Proj.8.0Actual5.0Miss
REBLine2.5Proj.2.2Actual3.0Miss
ASTLine0.5Proj.1.2Actual1.0Hit
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
OKCOKC @ SA
21
on 3
PTSLine30.5Proj.29.0Actual24.0Hit
REBLine4.5Proj.3.7Actual3.0Hit
ASTLine6.5Proj.6.3Actual12.0Miss
Stephon Castle
Stephon Castle
30
on 3
PTSLine17.5Proj.16.5Actual17.0Hit
REBLine4.5Proj.7.6Actual6.0Hit
ASTLine7.5Proj.9.7Actual11.0Hit
Victor Wembanyama
Victor Wembanyama
21
on 3
PTSLine24.5Proj.31.1Actual41.0Hit
REBLine12.5Proj.12.8Actual24.0Hit
ASTLine3.5Proj.3.8Actual3.0Miss
Keldon Johnson
Keldon Johnson
11
on 2
PTSLine10.5Proj.16.1Actual13.0Hit
REBLine3.5Proj.5.6Actual0.0Miss
ASTNo line on this market
Luke Kornet
Luke Kornet
02
on 2
PTSLine3.5Proj.6.3Actual0.0Miss
REBLine3.5Proj.5.4Actual3.0Miss
ASTNo line on this market

One card per player. The per-game breakdown below carries every bookmaker row (DraftKings + FanDuel) for full audit detail; this view de-duplicates by player+market to make scanning easier.

NBA settled games · projection vs actual
Settled NBA gameWestern Conference Finals · Game 1
10858166 dec65.1%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Stephon CastleASTOver 7.59.7211+32.5%HighWin-109 · draftkings
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderASTUnder 6.56.2712+0.2%LowLoss-133 · draftkings
Jalen WilliamsASTOver 4.55.563+21.3%HighLoss+108 · draftkings
Dylan HarperASTOver 3.53.706+0.1%LowWin-132 · draftkings
Ajay MitchellASTOver 3.53.575+8.3%HighWin+119 · draftkings
Victor WembanyamaASTOver 3.53.793+13.3%HighLoss+127 · draftkings
Devin VassellASTUnder 2.52.372+3.0%MediumWin-110 · draftkings
Isaiah HartensteinASTOver 1.52.682+3.6%MediumWin-197 · draftkings
Alex CarusoASTOver 1.51.791+1.8%LowLoss-152 · draftkings
Cason WallaceASTOver 1.51.590+0.3%LowLoss-123 · draftkings
Chet HolmgrenASTUnder 1.51.340+2.3%LowWin-141 · draftkings
Julian ChampagnieASTOver 1.51.911+12.8%HighLoss+114 · draftkings
Jaylin WilliamsASTOver 0.51.990+10.1%HighLoss-198 · draftkings
Luguentz DortASTOver 0.51.191+0.7%LowWin-179 · draftkings
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderPTSUnder 30.529.0124+8.5%HighWin-106 · draftkings
Victor WembanyamaPTSOver 24.531.1441+28.9%HighWin-103 · draftkings
Stephon CastlePTSUnder 17.516.5417+7.8%HighWin-106 · draftkings
Chet HolmgrenPTSOver 15.516.298+3.5%MediumLoss-121 · draftkings
Jalen WilliamsPTSOver 15.516.6726+7.4%HighWin-112 · draftkings
Devin VassellPTSUnder 13.512.1813+7.2%HighWin-120 · draftkings
Dylan HarperPTSOver 13.513.8224+4.3%MediumWin-103 · draftkings
Ajay MitchellPTSUnder 12.510.214+12.5%HighWin-124 · draftkings
Keldon JohnsonPTSOver 10.516.1413+33.7%insufficient_dataWin-115 · draftkings
Julian ChampagniePTSOver 9.59.9111+1.5%LowWin-119 · draftkings
Alex CarusoPTSUnder 7.55.4631+14.8%HighLoss-106 · draftkings
Isaiah HartensteinPTSUnder 7.56.132+10.1%HighWin-108 · draftkings
Luguentz DortPTSOver 5.57.985+12.0%HighLoss-134 · draftkings
Cason WallacePTSOver 5.59.308+24.7%HighWin-108 · draftkings
Jaylin WilliamsPTSOver 3.55.440+15.7%HighLoss+101 · draftkings
Victor WembanyamaREBOver 12.512.7824+2.7%MediumWin-115 · draftkings
Chet HolmgrenREBUnder 8.58.158+4.5%MediumWin-113 · draftkings
Isaiah HartensteinREBOver 8.59.542+12.1%HighLoss+102 · draftkings
Julian ChampagnieREBOver 5.56.099+14.0%HighWin+114 · draftkings
Stephon CastleREBOver 4.57.586+31.2%HighWin-128 · draftkings
Dylan HarperREBUnder 4.53.8611+8.8%HighLoss-113 · draftkings
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderREBUnder 4.53.683+3.9%MediumWin-155 · draftkings
Keldon JohnsonREBOver 3.55.590+18.7%HighLoss-156 · draftkings
Jalen WilliamsREBOver 3.54.137+1.7%LowWin-153 · draftkings
Devin VassellREBOver 3.54.766+11.2%HighWin-143 · draftkings
Ajay MitchellREBUnder 3.52.624+6.4%HighLoss-143 · draftkings
Alex CarusoREBUnder 3.52.652+1.1%LowWin-178 · draftkings
Luguentz DortREBUnder 2.52.173+6.0%HighLoss-107 · draftkings
Jaylin WilliamsREBOver 2.56.113+36.7%HighWin-105 · draftkings
Cason WallaceREBOver 2.52.886+11.3%HighWin+114 · draftkings
Ajay MitchellASTOver 3.53.575+7.8%HighWin+118 · fanduel
Victor WembanyamaASTOver 2.53.793+9.3%HighWin-178 · fanduel
Cason WallaceASTOver 1.51.590+1.4%LowLoss-113 · fanduel
Chet HolmgrenASTUnder 1.51.340+2.5%MediumWin-140 · fanduel
Devin VassellASTUnder 2.52.372+2.1%LowWin-113 · fanduel
Alex CarusoASTOver 1.51.791+0.8%LowLoss-142 · fanduel
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderASTUnder 6.56.2712+0.7%LowLoss-128 · fanduel
Dylan HarperASTOver 3.53.706+4.2%MediumWin-108 · fanduel
Stephon CastleASTOver 7.59.7211+37.2%HighWin+114 · fanduel
Isaiah HartensteinASTOver 1.52.682+5.2%HighWin-180 · fanduel
Jalen WilliamsASTOver 4.55.563+22.3%HighLoss+114 · fanduel
Devin VassellPTSUnder 13.512.1813+11.1%HighWin-102 · fanduel
Chet HolmgrenPTSOver 15.516.298+3.2%MediumLoss-122 · fanduel
Victor WembanyamaPTSOver 24.531.1441+26.8%HighWin-113 · fanduel
Ajay MitchellPTSUnder 11.510.214+8.9%HighWin-111 · fanduel
Cason WallacePTSOver 5.59.308+25.1%HighWin-106 · fanduel
Keldon JohnsonPTSOver 10.516.1413+33.7%HighWin-108 · fanduel
Luke KornetPTSOver 3.56.340+21.1%HighLoss+100 · fanduel
Stephon CastlePTSUnder 17.516.5417+9.2%HighWin+100 · fanduel
Luguentz DortPTSOver 5.57.985+11.7%HighLoss-136 · fanduel
Dylan HarperPTSOver 12.513.8224+8.7%HighWin-113 · fanduel
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderPTSUnder 30.529.0124+7.5%HighWin-111 · fanduel
Jalen WilliamsPTSOver 15.516.6726+8.7%HighWin-106 · fanduel
Alex CarusoPTSUnder 7.55.4631+13.8%HighLoss-111 · fanduel
Isaiah HartensteinPTSUnder 7.56.132+9.4%HighWin-111 · fanduel
Julian ChampagniePTSOver 9.59.9111+0.3%LowWin-125 · fanduel
Luguentz DortREBUnder 2.52.173+6.8%HighLoss-102 · fanduel
Stephon CastleREBOver 4.57.586+27.4%HighWin-148 · fanduel
Devin VassellREBOver 4.54.766+11.4%HighWin+124 · fanduel
Julian ChampagnieREBOver 5.56.099+15.7%HighWin+124 · fanduel
Chet HolmgrenREBUnder 9.58.158+10.4%HighWin-142 · fanduel
Cason WallaceREBOver 2.52.886+10.4%HighWin+112 · fanduel
Luke KornetREBOver 3.55.443+28.4%HighLoss+106 · fanduel
Ajay MitchellREBUnder 3.52.624+4.8%MediumLoss-150 · fanduel
Dylan HarperREBUnder 4.53.8611+1.3%LowLoss-154 · fanduel
Isaiah HartensteinREBOver 8.59.542+11.3%HighLoss+100 · fanduel
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderREBUnder 4.53.683+1.8%LowWin-166 · fanduel
Victor WembanyamaREBOver 12.512.7824+3.2%MediumWin-111 · fanduel
Jalen WilliamsREBOver 3.54.137+0.6%LowWin-166 · fanduel
Stephon CastleASTOver 7.59.7211+32.5%HighWin-109 · draftkings
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderASTUnder 6.56.2712+0.2%LowLoss-133 · draftkings
Jalen WilliamsASTOver 4.55.563+21.3%HighLoss+108 · draftkings
Dylan HarperASTOver 3.53.706+0.1%LowWin-132 · draftkings
Ajay MitchellASTOver 3.53.575+8.3%HighWin+119 · draftkings
Victor WembanyamaASTOver 3.53.793+13.3%HighLoss+127 · draftkings
Devin VassellASTUnder 2.52.372+3.0%MediumWin-110 · draftkings
Isaiah HartensteinASTOver 1.52.682+3.6%MediumWin-197 · draftkings
Alex CarusoASTOver 1.51.791+1.8%LowLoss-152 · draftkings
Cason WallaceASTOver 1.51.590+0.3%LowLoss-123 · draftkings
Chet HolmgrenASTUnder 1.51.340+2.3%LowWin-141 · draftkings
Julian ChampagnieASTOver 1.51.911+12.8%HighLoss+114 · draftkings
Jaylin WilliamsASTOver 0.51.990+10.1%HighLoss-198 · draftkings
Luguentz DortASTOver 0.51.191+0.7%LowWin-179 · draftkings
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderPTSUnder 30.529.0124+8.5%HighWin-106 · draftkings
Victor WembanyamaPTSOver 24.531.1441+28.9%HighWin-103 · draftkings
Stephon CastlePTSUnder 17.516.5417+7.8%HighWin-106 · draftkings
Chet HolmgrenPTSOver 15.516.298+3.5%MediumLoss-121 · draftkings
Jalen WilliamsPTSOver 15.516.6726+7.4%HighWin-112 · draftkings
Devin VassellPTSUnder 13.512.1813+7.2%HighWin-120 · draftkings
Dylan HarperPTSOver 13.513.8224+4.3%MediumWin-103 · draftkings
Ajay MitchellPTSUnder 12.510.214+12.5%HighWin-124 · draftkings
Keldon JohnsonPTSOver 10.516.1413+32.2%HighWin-115 · draftkings
Julian ChampagniePTSOver 9.59.9111+1.5%LowWin-119 · draftkings
Alex CarusoPTSUnder 7.55.4631+14.8%HighLoss-106 · draftkings
Isaiah HartensteinPTSUnder 7.56.132+10.1%HighWin-108 · draftkings
Luguentz DortPTSOver 5.57.985+12.0%HighLoss-134 · draftkings
Cason WallacePTSOver 5.59.308+24.7%HighWin-108 · draftkings
Jaylin WilliamsPTSOver 3.55.440+15.7%HighLoss+101 · draftkings
Victor WembanyamaREBOver 12.512.7824+2.7%MediumWin-115 · draftkings
Chet HolmgrenREBUnder 8.58.158+4.5%MediumWin-113 · draftkings
Isaiah HartensteinREBOver 8.59.542+12.1%HighLoss+102 · draftkings
Julian ChampagnieREBOver 5.56.099+14.0%HighWin+114 · draftkings
Stephon CastleREBOver 4.57.586+31.2%HighWin-128 · draftkings
Dylan HarperREBUnder 4.53.8611+8.8%HighLoss-113 · draftkings
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderREBUnder 4.53.683+3.9%MediumWin-155 · draftkings
Keldon JohnsonREBOver 3.55.590+18.7%HighLoss-156 · draftkings
Jalen WilliamsREBOver 3.54.137+1.7%LowWin-153 · draftkings
Devin VassellREBOver 3.54.766+11.2%HighWin-143 · draftkings
Ajay MitchellREBUnder 3.52.624+6.4%HighLoss-143 · draftkings
Alex CarusoREBUnder 3.52.652+1.1%LowWin-178 · draftkings
Luguentz DortREBUnder 2.52.173+6.0%HighLoss-107 · draftkings
Jaylin WilliamsREBOver 2.56.113+36.7%HighWin-105 · draftkings
Cason WallaceREBOver 2.52.886+11.3%HighWin+114 · draftkings
Ajay MitchellASTOver 3.53.575+7.8%HighWin+118 · fanduel
Victor WembanyamaASTOver 2.53.793+9.3%HighWin-178 · fanduel
Cason WallaceASTOver 1.51.590+1.4%LowLoss-113 · fanduel
Chet HolmgrenASTUnder 1.51.340+2.5%MediumWin-140 · fanduel
Devin VassellASTUnder 2.52.372+2.1%LowWin-113 · fanduel
Alex CarusoASTOver 1.51.791+0.8%LowLoss-142 · fanduel
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderASTUnder 6.56.2712+0.7%LowLoss-128 · fanduel
Dylan HarperASTOver 3.53.706+4.2%MediumWin-108 · fanduel
Stephon CastleASTOver 7.59.7211+37.2%HighWin+114 · fanduel
Isaiah HartensteinASTOver 1.52.682+5.2%HighWin-180 · fanduel
Jalen WilliamsASTOver 4.55.563+22.3%HighLoss+114 · fanduel
Devin VassellPTSUnder 13.512.1813+11.1%HighWin-102 · fanduel
Chet HolmgrenPTSOver 15.516.298+3.2%MediumLoss-122 · fanduel
Victor WembanyamaPTSOver 24.531.1441+26.8%HighWin-113 · fanduel
Ajay MitchellPTSUnder 11.510.214+8.9%HighWin-111 · fanduel
Cason WallacePTSOver 5.59.308+25.1%HighWin-106 · fanduel
Keldon JohnsonPTSOver 10.516.1413+33.7%HighWin-108 · fanduel
Luke KornetPTSOver 3.56.340+21.1%HighLoss+100 · fanduel
Stephon CastlePTSUnder 17.516.5417+9.2%HighWin+100 · fanduel
Luguentz DortPTSOver 5.57.985+11.7%HighLoss-136 · fanduel
Dylan HarperPTSOver 12.513.8224+8.7%HighWin-113 · fanduel
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderPTSUnder 30.529.0124+7.5%HighWin-111 · fanduel
Jalen WilliamsPTSOver 15.516.6726+8.7%HighWin-106 · fanduel
Alex CarusoPTSUnder 7.55.4631+13.8%HighLoss-111 · fanduel
Isaiah HartensteinPTSUnder 7.56.132+9.4%HighWin-111 · fanduel
Julian ChampagniePTSOver 9.59.9111+0.3%LowWin-125 · fanduel
Luguentz DortREBUnder 2.52.173+6.8%HighLoss-102 · fanduel
Stephon CastleREBOver 4.57.586+27.4%HighWin-148 · fanduel
Devin VassellREBOver 4.54.766+11.4%HighWin+124 · fanduel
Julian ChampagnieREBOver 5.56.099+15.7%HighWin+124 · fanduel
Chet HolmgrenREBUnder 9.58.158+10.4%HighWin-142 · fanduel
Cason WallaceREBOver 2.52.886+10.4%HighWin+112 · fanduel
Luke KornetREBOver 3.55.443+28.4%HighLoss+106 · fanduel
Ajay MitchellREBUnder 3.52.624+4.8%MediumLoss-150 · fanduel
Dylan HarperREBUnder 4.53.8611+1.3%LowLoss-154 · fanduel
Isaiah HartensteinREBOver 8.59.542+11.3%HighLoss+100 · fanduel
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderREBUnder 4.53.683+1.8%LowWin-166 · fanduel
Victor WembanyamaREBOver 12.512.7824+3.2%MediumWin-111 · fanduel
Jalen WilliamsREBOver 3.54.137+0.6%LowWin-166 · fanduel
MLB settled games · projection vs actual
ATL @ MIA
5510 dec50.0%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Drake BaldwinHitsUnder 1.51.091+13.0%HighWin
Michael Harris IIHitsOver 0.50.990+8.8%HighLoss
Matt OlsonHitsOver 0.50.821+8.2%HighWin
Austin RileyHitsOver 0.50.910+13.8%HighLoss
Dominic SmithHitsOver 0.50.820+8.8%HighLoss
Ha-Seong KimHitsUnder 0.50.170+6.4%HighWin
Ozzie AlbiesHitsOver 0.50.671+10.7%HighWin
Mike YastrzemskiHitsOver 0.50.680+18.4%HighLoss
Drake BaldwinTotal BasesOver 1.52.211+13.6%HighLoss
Max MeyerStrikeoutsOver 5.55.686+9.9%HighWin
BAL @ TB
121123 dec52.2%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Junior CamineroHitsUnder 1.51.042+16.0%HighLoss
Chandler SimpsonHitsUnder 1.51.081+10.7%HighWin
Taylor WardHitsUnder 1.50.821+10.5%HighWin
Adley RutschmanHitsUnder 1.50.902+10.7%HighLoss
Pete AlonsoHitsUnder 1.50.763+17.2%HighLoss
Taylor WallsHitsUnder 1.50.742+13.5%HighLoss
Coby MayoHitsUnder 1.50.751+8.5%HighWin
Gunnar HendersonHitsOver 0.50.950+24.7%LowLoss
Blaze AlexanderHitsOver 0.50.841+22.5%LowWin
Weston WilsonHitsOver 0.50.522+8.4%HighWin
Nick FortesHitsOver 0.50.870+25.2%LowLoss
Ryan ViladeHitsOver 0.50.573+11.3%HighWin
Jeremiah JacksonHitsOver 0.50.792+24.1%LowWin
Tyler O'NeillHitsOver 0.50.430+12.2%HighLoss
Carson WilliamsHitsOver 0.50.430+12.8%HighLoss
Chandler SimpsonTotal BasesUnder 2.51.442+23.1%LowWin
Taylor WardTotal BasesUnder 2.51.112+18.1%HighWin
Taylor WallsTotal BasesUnder 2.51.174+20.7%LowLoss
Junior CamineroTotal BasesOver 1.51.975+8.0%HighWin
Adley RutschmanTotal BasesOver 1.51.795+12.8%HighWin
Pete AlonsoTotal BasesOver 1.51.324+3.1%MediumWin
Coby MayoTotal BasesOver 1.51.351+12.0%HighLoss
Shane McClanahanStrikeoutsUnder 5.55.006+16.8%HighLoss
CIN @ PHI
131023 dec56.5%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Trea TurnerHitsUnder 1.50.991+16.8%HighWin
Sal StewartHitsUnder 1.50.912+18.1%HighLoss
Nathaniel LoweHitsUnder 1.50.681+20.6%LowWin
Tyler StephensonHitsUnder 1.50.481+22.1%LowWin
J.T. RealmutoHitsOver 0.50.680+2.7%MediumLoss
Justin CrawfordHitsOver 0.50.711+5.7%HighWin
Elly De La CruzHitsOver 0.51.440+32.8%LowLoss
Alec BohmHitsOver 0.51.022+23.0%LowWin
Bryce HarperHitsOver 0.51.010+20.7%LowLoss
Otto KempHitsUnder 0.50.200+5.1%HighWin
Spencer SteerHitsOver 0.51.071+28.4%LowWin
JJ BledayHitsOver 0.51.000+28.4%LowLoss
Bryson StottHitsOver 0.50.831+24.3%LowWin
Edmundo SosaHitsOver 0.50.630+16.9%HighLoss
Ke'Bryan HayesHitsOver 0.50.590+22.0%LowLoss
Matt McLainHitsOver 0.50.841+32.8%LowWin
TJ FriedlHitsOver 0.50.470+16.3%HighLoss
Trea TurnerTotal BasesUnder 2.51.312+25.6%LowWin
Sal StewartTotal BasesOver 1.51.405-1.9%LowWin
Nathaniel LoweTotal BasesOver 1.51.091-1.6%LowLoss
Tyler StephensonTotal BasesUnder 1.50.801+4.8%MediumWin
Andrew PainterStrikeoutsUnder 2.53.033+0.5%LowLoss
Nick LodoloStrikeoutsOver 2.53.003+1.7%LowWin
CLE @ DET
91120 dec45.0%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Kevin McGonigleHitsUnder 1.50.991+27.2%LowWin
Riley GreeneHitsUnder 1.51.322+12.6%HighLoss
Travis BazzanaHitsUnder 1.51.072+14.8%HighLoss
Matt VierlingHitsOver 0.50.751-3.0%LowWin
Brayan RocchioHitsOver 0.51.121+9.8%HighWin
Zach McKinstryHitsUnder 0.50.540+5.6%HighWin
Dillon DinglerHitsOver 0.50.890+3.9%MediumLoss
Chase DeLauterHitsOver 0.50.850+5.0%HighLoss
Colt KeithHitsOver 0.50.641-2.1%LowWin
Steven KwanHitsOver 0.50.620+1.1%LowLoss
Spencer TorkelsonHitsOver 0.50.570+0.9%LowLoss
Zack ShortHitsUnder 0.50.000+17.6%HighWin
Rhys HoskinsHitsUnder 0.50.291+3.2%MediumLoss
David FryHitsOver 0.50.460+2.7%MediumLoss
Austin HedgesHitsOver 0.50.680+18.4%HighLoss
Riley GreeneTotal BasesUnder 2.51.853+21.3%LowLoss
Kevin McGonigleTotal BasesUnder 1.51.281+11.2%HighWin
Travis BazzanaTotal BasesUnder 1.51.382-0.3%LowLoss
Framber ValdezStrikeoutsUnder 5.54.183+7.2%HighWin
Slade CecconiStrikeoutsOver 3.53.544+2.0%LowWin
NYM @ WSH
12921 dec57.1%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Carson BengeHitsUnder 1.51.123+14.7%HighLoss
Drew MillasHitsUnder 1.50.551+34.4%LowWin
Tyrone TaylorHitsUnder 1.50.442+37.0%LowLoss
Juan SotoHitsUnder 1.50.972+18.8%HighLoss
Luis TorrensHitsUnder 1.50.631+29.1%LowWin
Brady HouseHitsUnder 1.50.781+23.6%LowWin
Marcus SemienHitsOver 0.50.801+1.9%LowWin
Bo BichetteHitsUnder 0.50.563+0.7%LowLoss
Brett BatyHitsOver 0.50.802+4.1%MediumWin
A.J. EwingHitsOver 0.50.712+2.3%LowWin
James WoodHitsOver 0.50.853+11.1%HighWin
Mark VientosHitsOver 0.50.910+17.3%HighLoss
Daylen LileHitsOver 0.51.230+30.9%LowLoss
Jorbit VivasHitsUnder 0.50.381-1.8%LowLoss
CJ AbramsHitsOver 0.51.132+27.5%LowWin
Luis TorrensTotal BasesUnder 2.50.962+36.4%LowWin
Carson BengeTotal BasesUnder 1.51.394+0.8%LowLoss
Drew MillasTotal BasesUnder 1.50.871+16.4%HighWin
Juan SotoTotal BasesOver 1.51.642+0.8%LowWin
Brady HouseTotal BasesOver 1.51.511+0.2%LowLoss
Jake IrvinStrikeoutsUnder 6.54.276+38.1%LowWin
TOR @ NYY
101323 dec43.5%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
George SpringerHitsUnder 1.50.662+35.1%LowLoss
Paul GoldschmidtHitsUnder 1.51.012+17.9%HighLoss
Anthony VolpeHitsUnder 1.50.602+31.0%LowLoss
Ben RiceHitsUnder 1.50.921+16.8%HighWin
Aaron JudgeHitsOver 0.50.871-1.1%LowWin
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.HitsUnder 0.50.761-2.8%LowLoss
Cody BellingerHitsOver 0.50.672-3.0%LowWin
Kazuma OkamotoHitsOver 0.50.721+2.8%MediumWin
Amed RosarioHitsOver 0.50.720+3.7%MediumLoss
Ernie ClementHitsOver 0.50.991+11.9%HighWin
Jazz Chisholm Jr.HitsOver 0.50.902+11.6%HighWin
Lenyn SosaHitsUnder 0.50.401+1.2%LowLoss
Daulton VarshoHitsOver 0.51.001+19.8%HighWin
J.C. EscarraHitsOver 0.50.600+4.7%MediumLoss
Max SchuemannHitsOver 0.50.501+1.2%LowWin
Myles StrawHitsOver 0.50.490+4.1%MediumLoss
Brandon ValenzuelaHitsOver 0.50.661+12.7%HighWin
Paul GoldschmidtTotal BasesUnder 4.52.176+34.8%LowLoss
Ben RiceTotal BasesUnder 2.52.062+0.7%LowWin
George SpringerTotal BasesUnder 1.50.905+19.9%HighLoss
Anthony VolpeTotal BasesUnder 1.50.803+18.0%HighLoss
Aaron JudgeTotal BasesOver 1.51.701+7.3%HighLoss
Patrick CorbinStrikeoutsUnder 2.51.843+15.2%HighLoss
BOS @ KC
71320 dec35.0%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Andruw MonasterioHitsUnder 1.50.852+23.9%LowLoss
Jac CaglianoneHitsUnder 1.50.802+27.1%LowLoss
Bobby Witt Jr.HitsOver 0.51.131+7.8%HighWin
Maikel GarciaHitsOver 0.50.961+4.6%MediumWin
Wilyer AbreuHitsOver 0.51.050+6.7%HighLoss
Vinnie PasquantinoHitsOver 0.50.770+0.6%LowLoss
Marcelo MayerHitsUnder 0.50.481+5.5%HighLoss
Masataka YoshidaHitsUnder 0.50.521+3.6%MediumLoss
Salvador PerezHitsOver 0.50.740+0.5%LowLoss
Willson ContrerasHitsOver 0.50.681-1.8%LowWin
Connor WongHitsOver 0.50.591-1.3%LowWin
Jarren DuranHitsOver 0.50.660+5.1%HighLoss
Isaac CollinsHitsOver 0.50.610+3.9%MediumLoss
Carter JensenHitsOver 0.50.770+12.5%HighLoss
Mickey GasperHitsOver 0.51.002+22.6%LowWin
Michael MasseyHitsOver 0.50.661+13.2%HighWin
Jac CaglianoneTotal BasesUnder 2.51.394+24.2%LowLoss
Andruw MonasterioTotal BasesUnder 1.51.272+2.6%MediumLoss
Bobby Witt Jr.Total BasesOver 1.52.051+19.9%HighLoss
Seth LugoStrikeoutsUnder 5.54.415+15.0%HighWin
MIL @ CHC
131427 dec48.1%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Shota ImanagaStrikeoutsOver 5.55.822-1.6%LowLoss
Brandon SproatStrikeoutsUnder 4.53.825+2.6%MediumLoss
Alex BregmanHitsOver 1.51.170+0.6%LowLoss
Andrew VaughnHitsUnder 1.50.812+7.3%HighLoss
Christian YelichHitsUnder 0.50.852+2.2%LowLoss
Ian HappHitsUnder 0.50.670+6.5%HighWin
Nico HoernerHitsUnder 0.50.820-0.6%LowWin
Seiya SuzukiHitsUnder 0.50.782+2.4%LowLoss
Pete Crow-ArmstrongHitsUnder 0.50.730+2.3%LowWin
Carson KellyHitsOver 0.51.002+5.1%HighWin
Luis RengifoHitsUnder 0.50.741-0.3%LowLoss
Dansby SwansonHitsUnder 0.50.571+5.9%HighLoss
Jackson ChourioHitsOver 0.51.072+5.4%HighWin
Jake BauersHitsOver 0.51.102+13.0%HighWin
Sal FrelickHitsOver 0.50.881+4.6%MediumWin
William ContrerasHitsOver 0.51.002+7.2%HighWin
Joey OrtizHitsUnder 0.50.591+1.5%LowLoss
Michael ConfortoHitsOver 0.50.850+4.1%MediumLoss
Brice TurangHitsOver 0.50.920+7.4%HighLoss
Alex BregmanTotal BasesOver 1.51.590+2.2%LowLoss
Ian HappTotal BasesUnder 1.51.240-1.5%LowWin
Seiya SuzukiTotal BasesOver 1.51.412+1.7%LowWin
Andrew VaughnTotal BasesOver 1.51.293-1.1%LowWin
Pete Crow-ArmstrongTotal BasesOver 1.51.180-2.5%LowLoss
Christian YelichTotal BasesOver 1.51.496+7.2%HighWin
Carson KellyTotal BasesOver 1.51.282+2.8%MediumWin
Nico HoernerTotal BasesOver 1.51.130+3.0%MediumLoss
HOU @ MIN
101121 dec47.6%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Tatsuya ImaiStrikeoutsOver 4.54.005+0.4%LowWin
Isaac ParedesHitsUnder 1.50.851+34.0%LowWin
Austin MartinHitsOver 0.51.020+2.0%LowLoss
Josh BellHitsUnder 0.50.743+0.4%LowLoss
Luke KeaschallHitsOver 0.50.821-1.8%LowWin
Ryan JeffersHitsOver 0.50.991+4.3%MediumWin
Trevor LarnachHitsOver 0.50.841-0.9%LowWin
Yordan AlvarezHitsOver 0.50.961+2.3%LowWin
Braden ShewmakeHitsOver 0.51.130+11.8%HighLoss
Brooks LeeHitsOver 0.50.851+0.2%LowWin
Cam SmithHitsUnder 0.50.431+11.5%HighLoss
Brice MatthewsHitsUnder 0.50.661-0.9%LowLoss
Kody ClemensHitsOver 0.50.950+7.5%HighLoss
Christian WalkerHitsUnder 0.50.612+1.4%LowLoss
Tristan GrayHitsOver 0.50.711+3.2%MediumWin
Zach DezenzoHitsOver 0.50.570-2.3%LowLoss
James OutmanHitsOver 0.50.611+6.4%HighWin
Isaac ParedesTotal BasesUnder 1.51.271+11.9%HighWin
Josh BellTotal BasesUnder 1.51.089-3.0%LowLoss
Yordan AlvarezTotal BasesOver 1.51.931+15.8%HighLoss
Austin MartinTotal BasesOver 1.51.310+3.2%MediumLoss
TEX @ COL
151126 dec57.7%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
MacKenzie GoreStrikeoutsUnder 5.54.672+20.5%LowWin
Jose QuintanaStrikeoutsUnder 3.52.314+15.8%HighLoss
Josh JungHitsUnder 1.51.021+4.7%MediumWin
Brandon NimmoHitsUnder 1.50.870+8.9%HighWin
Jake BurgerHitsUnder 1.50.941+3.1%MediumWin
Ezequiel DuranHitsUnder 0.50.833+0.7%LowLoss
Andrew McCutchenHitsUnder 0.50.471+12.9%HighLoss
Willi CastroHitsUnder 0.50.762-0.5%LowLoss
Jake McCarthyHitsOver 0.50.961+2.5%MediumWin
Hunter GoodmanHitsOver 0.51.090+5.8%HighLoss
Justin FoscueHitsUnder 0.50.443+12.8%HighLoss
TJ RumfieldHitsOver 0.51.101+6.6%HighWin
Brenton DoyleHitsUnder 0.50.501+9.3%HighLoss
Ezequiel TovarHitsOver 0.50.761-2.9%LowWin
Danny JansenHitsUnder 0.50.490+8.1%HighWin
Kyle KarrosHitsOver 0.50.790+0.1%LowLoss
Sam HaggertyHitsUnder 0.50.280+10.2%HighWin
Josh JungTotal BasesOver 1.51.552-2.9%LowWin
Brandon NimmoTotal BasesUnder 1.51.300+0.1%LowWin
Jake BurgerTotal BasesOver 1.51.631+2.6%MediumLoss
Hunter GoodmanTotal BasesOver 1.51.930+11.4%HighLoss
Ezequiel DuranTotal BasesOver 1.51.513+6.0%HighWin
Andrew McCutchenTotal BasesUnder 1.50.551+14.5%HighWin
Willi CastroTotal BasesOver 1.51.124-3.0%LowWin
Brenton DoyleTotal BasesUnder 1.50.641+11.5%HighWin
Jake McCarthyTotal BasesOver 1.51.621+14.3%HighLoss
ATH @ LAA
91524 dec37.5%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Shea LangeliersHitsOver 1.51.451+12.8%HighLoss
Nolan SchanuelHitsOver 0.51.000+1.2%LowLoss
Carlos CortesHitsOver 0.50.951-2.1%LowWin
Zach NetoHitsOver 0.50.891-1.9%LowWin
Brent RookerHitsOver 0.50.870-2.3%LowLoss
Tyler SoderstromHitsUnder 0.50.620+6.2%HighWin
Jo AdellHitsOver 0.50.900-1.0%LowLoss
Mike TroutHitsUnder 0.50.720+1.2%LowWin
Jeff McNeilHitsUnder 0.50.681+1.9%LowLoss
Darell HernaizHitsOver 0.50.820+0.1%LowLoss
Nick KurtzHitsOver 0.51.031+10.7%HighWin
Jorge SolerHitsOver 0.50.700-3.3%LowLoss
Logan O'HoppeHitsUnder 0.50.550+2.8%MediumWin
Josh LoweHitsUnder 0.50.570+1.1%LowWin
Zack GelofHitsOver 0.50.851+5.2%HighWin
Adam FrazierHitsUnder 0.50.531-0.9%LowLoss
Shea LangeliersTotal BasesOver 1.52.661+17.0%HighLoss
Brent RookerTotal BasesOver 1.51.700+7.4%HighLoss
Mike TroutTotal BasesOver 1.51.260+0.8%LowLoss
Tyler SoderstromTotal BasesOver 1.51.280+1.4%LowLoss
Zach NetoTotal BasesOver 1.51.534+6.6%HighWin
Carlos CortesTotal BasesOver 1.51.411+4.8%MediumLoss
Jo AdellTotal BasesOver 1.51.660+10.8%HighLoss
Nolan SchanuelTotal BasesOver 1.51.320+3.5%MediumLoss
SF @ AZ
122032 dec37.5%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Zac GallenStrikeoutsUnder 4.53.655+10.1%HighLoss
Robbie RayStrikeoutsOver 4.55.021+14.8%HighLoss
Luis ArraezHitsOver 1.51.400+6.2%HighLoss
Jung Hoo LeeHitsUnder 1.51.101-3.1%LowWin
Ketel MarteHitsUnder 1.50.882+6.7%HighLoss
Casey SchmittHitsOver 1.51.051-1.2%LowLoss
Ildemaro VargasHitsOver 1.51.222+4.4%MediumWin
Corbin CarrollHitsOver 0.51.092+2.2%LowWin
Gabriel MorenoHitsUnder 0.50.872-0.9%LowLoss
Geraldo PerdomoHitsUnder 0.50.741+2.2%LowLoss
Willy AdamesHitsOver 0.51.281+9.2%HighWin
Rafael DeversHitsOver 0.51.120+8.7%HighLoss
Nolan ArenadoHitsOver 0.50.851-2.1%LowWin
Bryce EldridgeHitsUnder 0.50.252+22.2%LowLoss
Jose FernandezHitsUnder 0.50.711+0.7%LowLoss
Matt ChapmanHitsOver 0.50.770-1.2%LowLoss
Harrison BaderHitsUnder 0.50.622-0.7%LowLoss
Tim TawaHitsUnder 0.50.371+10.4%HighLoss
Eric HaaseHitsOver 0.50.860+5.9%HighLoss
Ryan WaldschmidtHitsOver 0.50.783+5.1%HighWin
Ketel MarteTotal BasesOver 1.51.532-2.2%LowWin
Casey SchmittTotal BasesOver 1.51.941+7.2%HighLoss
Luis ArraezTotal BasesOver 1.52.010+11.5%HighLoss
Jung Hoo LeeTotal BasesOver 1.51.571+2.6%MediumLoss
Ildemaro VargasTotal BasesOver 1.51.862+9.5%HighWin
Corbin CarrollTotal BasesOver 1.52.204+16.0%HighWin
Rafael DeversTotal BasesOver 1.51.880+15.2%HighLoss
Nolan ArenadoTotal BasesOver 1.51.494+5.7%HighWin
Bryce EldridgeTotal BasesUnder 1.50.622+11.8%HighLoss
Willy AdamesTotal BasesOver 1.51.684+10.3%HighWin
Gabriel MorenoTotal BasesOver 1.51.175-2.1%LowWin
Geraldo PerdomoTotal BasesOver 1.51.071-2.1%LowLoss
LAD @ SD
121022 dec54.5%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Yoshinobu YamamotoStrikeoutsUnder 6.56.378+2.4%LowLoss
Michael KingStrikeoutsOver 5.55.439+2.8%MediumWin
Shohei OhtaniHitsOver 0.51.102+4.5%MediumWin
Miguel AndujarHitsOver 0.50.982+2.5%MediumWin
Freddie FreemanHitsUnder 0.50.800-2.0%LowWin
Fernando Tatis Jr.HitsUnder 0.50.781-2.4%LowLoss
Mookie BettsHitsUnder 0.50.701+0.9%LowLoss
Manny MachadoHitsUnder 0.50.530+7.1%HighWin
Xander BogaertsHitsOver 0.50.821-1.3%LowWin
Gavin SheetsHitsOver 0.50.950+6.3%HighLoss
Will SmithHitsOver 0.50.890+3.1%MediumLoss
Kyle TuckerHitsOver 0.50.980+8.7%HighLoss
Jackson MerrillHitsUnder 0.50.610-0.2%LowWin
Andy PagesHitsOver 0.50.851+3.8%MediumWin
Nick CastellanosHitsOver 0.50.760+2.8%MediumLoss
Max MuncyHitsOver 0.50.800+3.0%MediumLoss
Hyeseong KimHitsOver 0.50.761+7.9%HighWin
Shohei OhtaniTotal BasesOver 1.51.882+9.3%HighWin
Freddie FreemanTotal BasesOver 1.51.330+1.8%LowLoss
Fernando Tatis Jr.Total BasesUnder 1.50.861+7.3%HighWin
Mookie BettsTotal BasesOver 1.51.701+12.5%HighLoss
Miguel AndujarTotal BasesOver 1.51.675+14.4%HighWin
CWS @ SEA
10818 dec55.6%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Noah SchultzStrikeoutsUnder 4.53.426+22.7%LowLoss
Bryan WooStrikeoutsUnder 6.56.028-2.4%LowLoss
Josh NaylorHitsOver 0.51.093+7.4%HighWin
Randy ArozarenaHitsOver 0.51.342+15.8%HighWin
J.P. CrawfordHitsOver 0.50.820-0.5%LowLoss
Munetaka MurakamiHitsOver 0.50.762-2.3%LowWin
Sam AntonacciHitsOver 0.50.962+7.8%HighWin
Miguel VargasHitsOver 0.51.040+12.8%HighLoss
Andrew BenintendiHitsOver 0.50.980+9.1%HighLoss
Colson MontgomeryHitsOver 0.50.980+11.6%HighLoss
Cole YoungHitsOver 0.50.690+0.4%LowLoss
Tristan PetersHitsOver 0.50.641-1.4%LowWin
Jarred KelenicHitsOver 0.50.570-2.8%LowLoss
Drew RomoHitsOver 0.50.521-3.2%LowWin
Rob RefsnyderHitsUnder 0.50.220+8.4%HighWin
Connor JoeHitsUnder 0.50.410-0.3%LowWin
Munetaka MurakamiTotal BasesOver 1.51.842+12.8%HighWin
Randy ArozarenaTotal BasesOver 1.51.854+16.2%HighWin
2026-05-17all settled dates2026-05-19
hit rate excludes pushes · settled decisive rows only · educational use only · not betting advice