Donovan Mitchell
CLECLE @ NY
1–2
on 3
PTSLine26.5Proj.25.6Actual29.0Miss
REBLine4.5Proj.4.8Actual5.0Hit
ASTLine3.5Proj.4.7Actual3.0Miss
Settled projections · Tuesday, May 19
33.8%
50–98 on 148 decisiveCombined audit across the sports that had settled rows on 2026-05-19. Pushes excluded. Pending games never count as losses.
At a glance
Hit
50
model agreed and the line cleared
Miss
98
model agreed but the line did not clear
Push
0
final stat tied the line — excluded from hit rate
Pending
0
no games still pending on this date
Biggest hits
- NBASam MerrillOver 6.5 PTS+32.1pp edgeactual 12
- NBAJosh HartUnder 8.5 REB+28.9pp edgeactual 7
Biggest misses
- NBAJalen BrunsonUnder 27.5 PTSactual 38
- NBAMiles McBrideOver 7.5 PTSactual 0
NBA · per-player results · 14 players
Evan Mobley
CLECLE @ NY
3–0
on 3
PTSLine14.5Proj.17.5Actual15.0Hit
REBLine8.5Proj.9.6Actual14.0Hit
ASTLine3.5Proj.3.4Actual3.0Hit
Jalen Brunson
—
0–3
on 3
PTSLine27.5Proj.24.4Actual38.0Miss
REBLine3.5Proj.2.3Actual5.0Miss
ASTLine6.5Proj.7.9Actual6.0Miss
James Harden
CLECLE @ NY
1–2
on 3
PTSLine18.5Proj.21.1Actual15.0Miss
REBLine4.5Proj.3.4Actual4.0Hit
ASTLine6.5Proj.6.7Actual3.0Miss
Jarrett Allen
CLECLE @ NY
0–3
on 3
PTSLine12.5Proj.17.9Actual10.0Miss
REBLine7.5Proj.9.1Actual7.0Miss
ASTLine1.5Proj.1.1Actual3.0Miss
Josh Hart
—
2–1
on 3
PTSLine12.5Proj.11.6Actual13.0Miss
REBLine8.5Proj.6.2Actual7.0Hit
ASTLine4.5Proj.3.6Actual4.0Hit
Karl-Anthony Towns
—
1–2
on 3
PTSLine18.5Proj.20.3Actual13.0Miss
REBLine10.5Proj.11.7Actual13.0Hit
ASTLine4.5Proj.4.1Actual5.0Miss
Max Strus
CLECLE @ NY
0–3
on 3
PTSLine9.5Proj.9.5Actual8.0Miss
REBLine4.5Proj.5.1Actual2.0Miss
ASTLine1.5Proj.1.9Actual1.0Miss
Mikal Bridges
—
0–3
on 3
PTSLine13.5Proj.11.1Actual18.0Miss
REBLine3.5Proj.1.7Actual5.0Miss
ASTLine2.5Proj.2.8Actual1.0Miss
Miles McBride
—
1–2
on 3
PTSLine7.5Proj.9.4Actual0.0Miss
REBLine1.5Proj.2.1Actual2.0Hit
ASTLine1.5Proj.2.2Actual1.0Miss
OG Anunoby
—
1–2
on 3
PTSLine15.5Proj.17.2Actual13.0Miss
REBLine5.5Proj.5.7Actual5.0Miss
ASTLine1.5Proj.2.1Actual2.0Hit
Dean Wade
CLECLE @ NY
2–0
on 2
PTSLine3.5Proj.4.3Actual10.0Hit
REBLine3.5Proj.4.0Actual5.0Hit
ASTNo line on this market
Mitchell Robinson
—
0–2
on 2
PTSLine4.5Proj.8.3Actual4.0Miss
REBLine7.5Proj.8.5Actual6.0Miss
ASTNo line on this market
Sam Merrill
CLECLE @ NY
1–0
on 1
PTSLine6.5Proj.11.9Actual12.0Hit
REBNo line on this market
ASTNo line on this market
One card per player. The per-game breakdown below carries every bookmaker row (DraftKings + FanDuel) for full audit detail; this view de-duplicates by player+market to make scanning easier.
NBA settled games · projection vs actual
CLE @ NYEastern Conference Finals · Game 150–98148 dec33.8%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden | AST | Over 6.5 | 6.66 | 3 | +2.1% | Low | Loss-113 · draftkings |
| Jalen Brunson | AST | Over 6.5 | 7.91 | 6 | +22.0% | High | Loss+114 · draftkings |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | AST | Under 4.5 | 4.10 | 5 | +8.5% | High | Loss-101 · draftkings |
| Josh Hart | AST | Under 4.5 | 3.59 | 4 | +15.1% | High | Win-110 · draftkings |
| Donovan Mitchell | AST | Over 3.5 | 4.69 | 3 | +11.5% | High | Loss-154 · draftkings |
| Evan Mobley | AST | Under 3.5 | 3.37 | 3 | +4.3% | Medium | Win-104 · draftkings |
| Mikal Bridges | AST | Over 2.5 | 2.83 | 1 | +4.0% | Medium | Loss-121 · draftkings |
| Max Strus | AST | Over 1.5 | 1.94 | 1 | +1.4% | Low | Loss-165 · draftkings |
| Miles McBride | AST | Over 1.5 | 2.21 | 1 | +6.3% | High | Loss-141 · draftkings |
| OG Anunoby | AST | Over 1.5 | 2.08 | 2 | +18.1% | High | Win+129 · draftkings |
| Jarrett Allen | AST | Under 1.5 | 1.08 | 3 | +6.5% | High | Loss-205 · draftkings |
| Jalen Brunson | PTS | Under 27.5 | 24.40 | 38 | +16.6% | High | Loss-120 · draftkings |
| Donovan Mitchell | PTS | Under 26.5 | 25.63 | 29 | +3.0% | Medium | Loss-114 · draftkings |
| James Harden | PTS | Over 18.5 | 21.06 | 15 | +15.3% | High | Loss-119 · draftkings |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | PTS | Over 18.5 | 20.32 | 13 | +14.0% | High | Loss-103 · draftkings |
| Evan Mobley | PTS | Over 15.5 | 17.53 | 15 | +7.8% | High | Loss-123 · draftkings |
| OG Anunoby | PTS | Over 15.5 | 17.16 | 13 | +6.9% | High | Loss-117 · draftkings |
| Mikal Bridges | PTS | Under 13.5 | 11.05 | 18 | +13.4% | High | Loss-125 · draftkings |
| Josh Hart | PTS | Under 12.5 | 11.63 | 13 | +6.2% | High | Loss-107 · draftkings |
| Jarrett Allen | PTS | Over 12.5 | 17.89 | 10 | +34.0% | High | Loss-102 · draftkings |
| Max Strus | PTS | Over 8.5 | 9.54 | 8 | +1.1% | Low | Loss-131 · draftkings |
| Miles McBride | PTS | Over 7.5 | 9.38 | 0 | +12.0% | High | Loss-114 · draftkings |
| Sam Merrill | PTS | Over 6.5 | 11.90 | 12 | +32.1% | High | Win-110 · draftkings |
| Mitchell Robinson | PTS | Over 4.5 | 8.31 | 4 | +22.4% | High | Loss-119 · draftkings |
| Dean Wade | PTS | Over 3.5 | 4.35 | 10 | +6.4% | High | Win-109 · draftkings |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | REB | Over 10.5 | 11.66 | 13 | +6.4% | High | Win-141 · draftkings |
| Josh Hart | REB | Under 8.5 | 6.16 | 7 | +27.1% | High | Win-121 · draftkings |
| Evan Mobley | REB | Over 7.5 | 9.57 | 14 | +11.3% | High | Win-146 · draftkings |
| Jarrett Allen | REB | Over 7.5 | 9.05 | 7 | +21.2% | High | Loss-108 · draftkings |
| Mitchell Robinson | REB | Over 7.5 | 8.46 | 6 | +14.1% | High | Loss-107 · draftkings |
| OG Anunoby | REB | Over 5.5 | 5.69 | 5 | +1.4% | Low | Loss-119 · draftkings |
| James Harden | REB | Under 4.5 | 3.39 | 4 | +14.4% | High | Win-115 · draftkings |
| Max Strus | REB | Over 4.5 | 5.06 | 2 | +11.0% | High | Loss+102 · draftkings |
| Donovan Mitchell | REB | Over 4.5 | 4.79 | 5 | +7.9% | High | Win+104 · draftkings |
| Dean Wade | REB | Over 3.5 | 3.97 | 5 | +9.7% | High | Win+101 · draftkings |
| Mikal Bridges | REB | Under 3.5 | 1.71 | 5 | +14.5% | High | Loss-162 · draftkings |
| Jalen Brunson | REB | Under 3.5 | 2.28 | 5 | +6.0% | High | Loss-176 · draftkings |
| Miles McBride | REB | Over 1.5 | 2.09 | 2 | +12.4% | High | Win+106 · draftkings |
| Jarrett Allen | AST | Under 1.5 | 1.08 | 3 | +5.7% | High | Loss-200 · fanduel |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | AST | Under 4.5 | 4.10 | 5 | +3.2% | Medium | Loss-128 · fanduel |
| Donovan Mitchell | AST | Over 3.5 | 4.69 | 3 | +11.9% | High | Loss-152 · fanduel |
| James Harden | AST | Over 6.5 | 6.66 | 3 | +0.6% | Low | Loss-128 · fanduel |
| Josh Hart | AST | Under 4.5 | 3.59 | 4 | +16.9% | High | Win-102 · fanduel |
| Jalen Brunson | AST | Over 6.5 | 7.91 | 6 | +21.3% | High | Loss+110 · fanduel |
| OG Anunoby | AST | Over 1.5 | 2.08 | 2 | +15.8% | High | Win+116 · fanduel |
| Max Strus | AST | Over 1.5 | 1.94 | 1 | +2.8% | Medium | Loss-178 · fanduel |
| Evan Mobley | AST | Under 3.5 | 3.37 | 3 | +4.5% | Medium | Win-104 · fanduel |
| Mikal Bridges | AST | Over 2.5 | 2.83 | 1 | +3.8% | Medium | Loss-122 · fanduel |
| Jarrett Allen | PTS | Over 12.5 | 17.89 | 10 | +31.6% | High | Loss-114 · fanduel |
| Miles McBride | PTS | Over 7.5 | 9.38 | 0 | +15.5% | High | Loss+100 · fanduel |
| Dean Wade | PTS | Over 3.5 | 4.35 | 10 | +7.0% | High | Win-108 · fanduel |
| Sam Merrill | PTS | Over 6.5 | 11.90 | 12 | +29.7% | High | Win-125 · fanduel |
| Max Strus | PTS | Over 9.5 | 9.54 | 8 | +1.6% | Low | Loss-108 · fanduel |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | PTS | Over 18.5 | 20.32 | 13 | +14.8% | High | Loss-102 · fanduel |
| Mikal Bridges | PTS | Under 13.5 | 11.05 | 18 | +12.6% | High | Loss-132 · fanduel |
| Evan Mobley | PTS | Over 14.5 | 17.53 | 15 | +11.2% | High | Win-132 · fanduel |
| OG Anunoby | PTS | Over 15.5 | 17.16 | 13 | +6.8% | High | Loss-120 · fanduel |
| Jalen Brunson | PTS | Under 27.5 | 24.40 | 38 | +16.2% | High | Loss-125 · fanduel |
| Josh Hart | PTS | Under 12.5 | 11.63 | 13 | +1.7% | Low | Loss-132 · fanduel |
| Donovan Mitchell | PTS | Under 26.5 | 25.63 | 29 | +4.2% | Medium | Loss-110 · fanduel |
| James Harden | PTS | Over 19.5 | 21.06 | 15 | +12.2% | High | Loss-106 · fanduel |
| Mitchell Robinson | PTS | Over 4.5 | 8.31 | 4 | +23.7% | High | Loss-114 · fanduel |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | REB | Over 11.5 | 11.66 | 13 | +5.4% | High | Win+102 · fanduel |
| Miles McBride | REB | Over 1.5 | 2.09 | 2 | +11.1% | High | Win+100 · fanduel |
| Jarrett Allen | REB | Over 7.5 | 9.05 | 7 | +19.1% | High | Loss-118 · fanduel |
| Dean Wade | REB | Over 3.5 | 3.97 | 5 | +8.7% | High | Win-104 · fanduel |
| Mikal Bridges | REB | Under 3.5 | 1.71 | 5 | +12.4% | High | Loss-180 · fanduel |
| James Harden | REB | Under 4.5 | 3.39 | 4 | +16.3% | High | Win-106 · fanduel |
| Max Strus | REB | Over 4.5 | 5.06 | 2 | +8.4% | High | Loss-110 · fanduel |
| Evan Mobley | REB | Over 8.5 | 9.57 | 14 | +16.1% | High | Win+118 · fanduel |
| Josh Hart | REB | Under 8.5 | 6.16 | 7 | +28.9% | High | Win-112 · fanduel |
| OG Anunoby | REB | Over 5.5 | 5.69 | 5 | +2.3% | Low | Loss-114 · fanduel |
| Jalen Brunson | REB | Under 3.5 | 2.28 | 5 | +9.1% | High | Loss-154 · fanduel |
| Donovan Mitchell | REB | Over 4.5 | 4.79 | 5 | +7.1% | High | Win+100 · fanduel |
| James Harden | AST | Over 6.5 | 6.66 | 3 | +2.1% | Low | Loss-113 · draftkings |
| Jalen Brunson | AST | Over 6.5 | 7.91 | 6 | +22.0% | High | Loss+114 · draftkings |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | AST | Under 4.5 | 4.10 | 5 | +8.5% | High | Loss-101 · draftkings |
| Josh Hart | AST | Under 4.5 | 3.59 | 4 | +15.1% | High | Win-110 · draftkings |
| Donovan Mitchell | AST | Over 3.5 | 4.69 | 3 | +11.5% | High | Loss-154 · draftkings |
| Evan Mobley | AST | Under 3.5 | 3.37 | 3 | +4.3% | Medium | Win-104 · draftkings |
| Mikal Bridges | AST | Over 2.5 | 2.83 | 1 | +4.0% | Medium | Loss-121 · draftkings |
| Max Strus | AST | Over 1.5 | 1.94 | 1 | +1.4% | Low | Loss-165 · draftkings |
| Miles McBride | AST | Over 1.5 | 2.21 | 1 | +6.3% | High | Loss-141 · draftkings |
| OG Anunoby | AST | Over 1.5 | 2.08 | 2 | +18.1% | High | Win+129 · draftkings |
| Jarrett Allen | AST | Under 1.5 | 1.08 | 3 | +6.5% | High | Loss-205 · draftkings |
| Jalen Brunson | PTS | Under 27.5 | 24.40 | 38 | +16.6% | High | Loss-120 · draftkings |
| Donovan Mitchell | PTS | Under 26.5 | 25.63 | 29 | +3.0% | Medium | Loss-114 · draftkings |
| James Harden | PTS | Over 18.5 | 21.06 | 15 | +15.3% | High | Loss-119 · draftkings |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | PTS | Over 18.5 | 20.32 | 13 | +14.0% | High | Loss-103 · draftkings |
| Evan Mobley | PTS | Over 15.5 | 17.53 | 15 | +7.8% | High | Loss-123 · draftkings |
| OG Anunoby | PTS | Over 15.5 | 17.16 | 13 | +6.9% | High | Loss-117 · draftkings |
| Mikal Bridges | PTS | Under 13.5 | 11.05 | 18 | +13.4% | High | Loss-125 · draftkings |
| Josh Hart | PTS | Under 12.5 | 11.63 | 13 | +6.2% | High | Loss-107 · draftkings |
| Jarrett Allen | PTS | Over 12.5 | 17.89 | 10 | +34.0% | High | Loss-102 · draftkings |
| Max Strus | PTS | Over 8.5 | 9.54 | 8 | +1.1% | Low | Loss-131 · draftkings |
| Miles McBride | PTS | Over 7.5 | 9.38 | 0 | +12.0% | High | Loss-114 · draftkings |
| Sam Merrill | PTS | Over 6.5 | 11.90 | 12 | +32.1% | High | Win-110 · draftkings |
| Mitchell Robinson | PTS | Over 4.5 | 8.31 | 4 | +22.4% | High | Loss-119 · draftkings |
| Dean Wade | PTS | Over 3.5 | 4.35 | 10 | +6.4% | High | Win-109 · draftkings |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | REB | Over 10.5 | 11.66 | 13 | +6.4% | High | Win-141 · draftkings |
| Josh Hart | REB | Under 8.5 | 6.16 | 7 | +27.1% | High | Win-121 · draftkings |
| Evan Mobley | REB | Over 7.5 | 9.57 | 14 | +11.3% | High | Win-146 · draftkings |
| Jarrett Allen | REB | Over 7.5 | 9.05 | 7 | +21.2% | High | Loss-108 · draftkings |
| Mitchell Robinson | REB | Over 7.5 | 8.46 | 6 | +14.1% | High | Loss-107 · draftkings |
| OG Anunoby | REB | Over 5.5 | 5.69 | 5 | +1.4% | Low | Loss-119 · draftkings |
| James Harden | REB | Under 4.5 | 3.39 | 4 | +14.4% | High | Win-115 · draftkings |
| Max Strus | REB | Over 4.5 | 5.06 | 2 | +11.0% | High | Loss+102 · draftkings |
| Donovan Mitchell | REB | Over 4.5 | 4.79 | 5 | +7.9% | High | Win+104 · draftkings |
| Dean Wade | REB | Over 3.5 | 3.97 | 5 | +9.7% | High | Win+101 · draftkings |
| Mikal Bridges | REB | Under 3.5 | 1.71 | 5 | +14.5% | High | Loss-162 · draftkings |
| Jalen Brunson | REB | Under 3.5 | 2.28 | 5 | +6.0% | High | Loss-176 · draftkings |
| Miles McBride | REB | Over 1.5 | 2.09 | 2 | +12.4% | High | Win+106 · draftkings |
| Jarrett Allen | AST | Under 1.5 | 1.08 | 3 | +5.7% | High | Loss-200 · fanduel |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | AST | Under 4.5 | 4.10 | 5 | +3.2% | Medium | Loss-128 · fanduel |
| Donovan Mitchell | AST | Over 3.5 | 4.69 | 3 | +11.9% | High | Loss-152 · fanduel |
| James Harden | AST | Over 6.5 | 6.66 | 3 | +0.6% | Low | Loss-128 · fanduel |
| Josh Hart | AST | Under 4.5 | 3.59 | 4 | +16.9% | High | Win-102 · fanduel |
| Jalen Brunson | AST | Over 6.5 | 7.91 | 6 | +21.3% | High | Loss+110 · fanduel |
| OG Anunoby | AST | Over 1.5 | 2.08 | 2 | +15.8% | High | Win+116 · fanduel |
| Max Strus | AST | Over 1.5 | 1.94 | 1 | +2.8% | Medium | Loss-178 · fanduel |
| Evan Mobley | AST | Under 3.5 | 3.37 | 3 | +4.5% | Medium | Win-104 · fanduel |
| Mikal Bridges | AST | Over 2.5 | 2.83 | 1 | +3.8% | Medium | Loss-122 · fanduel |
| Jarrett Allen | PTS | Over 12.5 | 17.89 | 10 | +31.6% | High | Loss-114 · fanduel |
| Miles McBride | PTS | Over 7.5 | 9.38 | 0 | +15.5% | High | Loss+100 · fanduel |
| Dean Wade | PTS | Over 3.5 | 4.35 | 10 | +7.0% | High | Win-108 · fanduel |
| Sam Merrill | PTS | Over 6.5 | 11.90 | 12 | +29.7% | High | Win-125 · fanduel |
| Max Strus | PTS | Over 9.5 | 9.54 | 8 | +1.6% | Low | Loss-108 · fanduel |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | PTS | Over 18.5 | 20.32 | 13 | +14.8% | High | Loss-102 · fanduel |
| Mikal Bridges | PTS | Under 13.5 | 11.05 | 18 | +12.6% | High | Loss-132 · fanduel |
| Evan Mobley | PTS | Over 14.5 | 17.53 | 15 | +11.2% | High | Win-132 · fanduel |
| OG Anunoby | PTS | Over 15.5 | 17.16 | 13 | +6.8% | High | Loss-120 · fanduel |
| Jalen Brunson | PTS | Under 27.5 | 24.40 | 38 | +16.2% | High | Loss-125 · fanduel |
| Josh Hart | PTS | Under 12.5 | 11.63 | 13 | +1.7% | Low | Loss-132 · fanduel |
| Donovan Mitchell | PTS | Under 26.5 | 25.63 | 29 | +4.2% | Medium | Loss-110 · fanduel |
| James Harden | PTS | Over 19.5 | 21.06 | 15 | +12.2% | High | Loss-106 · fanduel |
| Mitchell Robinson | PTS | Over 4.5 | 8.31 | 4 | +23.7% | High | Loss-114 · fanduel |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | REB | Over 11.5 | 11.66 | 13 | +5.4% | High | Win+102 · fanduel |
| Miles McBride | REB | Over 1.5 | 2.09 | 2 | +11.1% | High | Win+100 · fanduel |
| Jarrett Allen | REB | Over 7.5 | 9.05 | 7 | +19.1% | High | Loss-118 · fanduel |
| Dean Wade | REB | Over 3.5 | 3.97 | 5 | +8.7% | High | Win-104 · fanduel |
| Mikal Bridges | REB | Under 3.5 | 1.71 | 5 | +12.4% | High | Loss-180 · fanduel |
| James Harden | REB | Under 4.5 | 3.39 | 4 | +16.3% | High | Win-106 · fanduel |
| Max Strus | REB | Over 4.5 | 5.06 | 2 | +8.4% | High | Loss-110 · fanduel |
| Evan Mobley | REB | Over 8.5 | 9.57 | 14 | +16.1% | High | Win+118 · fanduel |
| Josh Hart | REB | Under 8.5 | 6.16 | 7 | +28.9% | High | Win-112 · fanduel |
| OG Anunoby | REB | Over 5.5 | 5.69 | 5 | +2.3% | Low | Loss-114 · fanduel |
| Jalen Brunson | REB | Under 3.5 | 2.28 | 5 | +9.1% | High | Loss-154 · fanduel |
| Donovan Mitchell | REB | Over 4.5 | 4.79 | 5 | +7.1% | High | Win+100 · fanduel |