EducationalNot betting advice · research use only.
GameTime Picks
Settled projections · Friday, May 15

55.2%

80–65 on 145 decisive

Combined audit across the sports that had settled rows on 2026-05-15. Pushes excluded. Pending games never count as losses.

At a glance
Hit
80
model agreed and the line cleared
Miss
65
model agreed but the line did not clear
Push
0
final stat tied the line — excluded from hit rate
Pending
0
no games still pending on this date
NBA
55.2%
8065 on 145
Biggest hits
  • NBAJalen DurenOver 10.5 PTS+43.6pp edgeactual 15
  • NBACade CunninghamUnder 27.5 PTS+37.6pp edgeactual 21
  • NBALuke KornetOver 2.5 REB+37.2pp edgeactual 6
  • NBACade CunninghamUnder 26.5 PTS+36.3pp edgeactual 21
Biggest misses
  • NBAJulius RandleOver 16.5 PTSactual 3
  • NBAKeldon JohnsonOver 8.5 PTSactual 0
  • NBARudy GobertOver 6.5 PTSactual 0
NBA · per-player results · 31 players
Ausar Thompson
Ausar Thompson
DETDET @ CLE
21
on 3
PTSLine8.5Proj.9.4Actual10.0Hit
REBLine6.5Proj.5.0Actual9.0Miss
ASTLine3.5Proj.4.1Actual4.0Hit
Ayo Dosunmu
Ayo Dosunmu
MINMIN @ SAS
12
on 3
PTSLine13.5Proj.17.9Actual10.0Miss
REBLine3.5Proj.5.8Actual1.0Miss
ASTLine3.5Proj.4.0Actual9.0Hit
Cade Cunningham
Cade Cunningham
DETDET @ CLE
21
on 3
PTSLine27.5Proj.17.0Actual21.0Hit
REBLine5.5Proj.4.0Actual2.0Hit
ASTLine8.5Proj.9.4Actual8.0Miss
Daniss Jenkins
Daniss Jenkins
DETDET @ CLE
21
on 3
PTSLine9.5Proj.12.5Actual15.0Hit
REBLine2.5Proj.3.8Actual3.0Hit
ASTLine3.5Proj.6.6Actual3.0Miss
Dean Wade
Dean Wade
CLECLE @ DET
03
on 3
PTSLine3.5Proj.5.9Actual3.0Miss
REBLine3.5Proj.4.2Actual3.0Miss
ASTLine0.5Proj.1.2Actual0.0Miss
Devin Vassell
Devin Vassell
SASSAS @ MIN
21
on 3
PTSLine12.5Proj.13.0Actual11.0Miss
REBLine4.5Proj.4.9Actual5.0Hit
ASTLine2.5Proj.2.5Actual4.0Hit
Donovan Mitchell
Donovan Mitchell
CLECLE @ DET
03
on 3
PTSLine26.5Proj.27.2Actual18.0Miss
REBLine4.5Proj.4.7Actual4.0Miss
ASTLine3.5Proj.5.0Actual3.0Miss
Duncan Robinson
Duncan Robinson
DETDET @ CLE
12
on 3
PTSLine11.5Proj.13.6Actual14.0Hit
REBLine2.5Proj.2.5Actual2.0Miss
ASTLine2.5Proj.2.2Actual2.0Miss
Dylan Harper
Dylan Harper
SASSAS @ MIN
12
on 3
PTSLine10.5Proj.13.8Actual15.0Hit
REBLine3.5Proj.3.4Actual5.0Miss
ASTLine3.5Proj.4.0Actual2.0Miss
Evan Mobley
Evan Mobley
CLECLE @ DET
21
on 3
PTSLine14.5Proj.17.1Actual18.0Hit
REBLine8.5Proj.9.8Actual6.0Miss
ASTLine3.5Proj.3.6Actual2.0Hit
Jalen Duren
Jalen Duren
DETDET @ CLE
21
on 3
PTSLine10.5Proj.19.7Actual15.0Hit
REBLine8.5Proj.10.0Actual11.0Hit
ASTLine1.5Proj.3.5Actual0.0Miss
James Harden
James Harden
CLECLE @ DET
12
on 3
PTSLine19.5Proj.21.1Actual23.0Hit
REBLine4.5Proj.3.8Actual7.0Miss
ASTLine6.5Proj.6.8Actual4.0Miss
Jarrett Allen
Jarrett Allen
CLECLE @ DET
30
on 3
PTSLine12.5Proj.16.6Actual13.0Hit
REBLine6.5Proj.8.4Actual8.0Hit
ASTLine1.5Proj.0.7Actual1.0Hit
Julian Champagnie
Julian Champagnie
SASSAS @ MIN
21
on 3
PTSLine8.5Proj.10.9Actual18.0Hit
REBLine5.5Proj.5.8Actual5.0Miss
ASTLine1.5Proj.1.8Actual2.0Hit
Julius Randle
Julius Randle
MINMIN @ SAS
03
on 3
PTSLine16.5Proj.22.0Actual3.0Miss
REBLine6.5Proj.5.5Actual7.0Miss
ASTLine3.5Proj.4.5Actual1.0Miss
Naz Reid
Naz Reid
MINMIN @ SAS
21
on 3
PTSLine13.5Proj.12.0Actual18.0Miss
REBLine7.5Proj.5.9Actual7.0Hit
ASTLine2.5Proj.1.7Actual1.0Hit
Terrence Shannon Jr.
Terrence Shannon Jr.
MINMIN @ SAS
30
on 3
PTSLine6.5Proj.11.2Actual21.0Hit
REBLine2.5Proj.1.6Actual2.0Hit
ASTLine1.5Proj.1.9Actual1.0Hit
Tobias Harris
Tobias Harris
DETDET @ CLE
30
on 3
PTSLine17.5Proj.13.9Actual6.0Hit
REBLine6.5Proj.4.5Actual5.0Hit
ASTLine1.5Proj.2.4Actual3.0Hit
Victor Wembanyama
Victor Wembanyama
SASSAS @ MIN
03
on 3
PTSLine26.5Proj.29.8Actual19.0Miss
REBLine13.5Proj.13.9Actual6.0Miss
ASTLine3.5Proj.4.0Actual2.0Miss
Anthony Edwards
Anthony Edwards
MINMIN @ SAS
20
on 2
PTSNo line on this market
REBLine5.5Proj.4.0Actual2.0Hit
ASTLine4.5Proj.3.4Actual2.0Hit
Caris LeVert
Caris LeVert
DETDET @ CLE
20
on 2
PTSLine6.5Proj.7.6Actual8.0Hit
REBNo line on this market
ASTLine1.5Proj.2.5Actual3.0Hit
De'Aaron Fox
De'Aaron Fox
SASSAS @ MIN
11
on 2
PTSLine16.5Proj.16.5Actual21.0Miss
REBLine3.5Proj.3.6Actual4.0Hit
ASTNo line on this market
Dennis Schroder
Dennis Schroder
11
on 2
PTSLine6.5Proj.8.1Actual0.0Miss
REBNo line on this market
ASTLine2.5Proj.4.5Actual3.0Hit
Jaden McDaniels
Jaden McDaniels
MINMIN @ SAS
20
on 2
PTSNo line on this market
REBLine5.5Proj.4.1Actual1.0Hit
ASTLine2.5Proj.2.2Actual3.0Hit
Keldon Johnson
Keldon Johnson
SASSAS @ MIN
02
on 2
PTSLine8.5Proj.15.1Actual0.0Miss
REBLine3.5Proj.5.0Actual0.0Miss
ASTNo line on this market
Luke Kornet
Luke Kornet
SASSAS @ MIN
20
on 2
PTSLine2.5Proj.5.3Actual6.0Hit
REBLine2.5Proj.5.5Actual6.0Hit
ASTNo line on this market
Max Strus
Max Strus
CLECLE @ DET
11
on 2
PTSLine8.5Proj.11.4Actual6.0Miss
REBLine4.5Proj.5.1Actual8.0Hit
ASTNo line on this market
Rudy Gobert
Rudy Gobert
MINMIN @ SAS
02
on 2
PTSLine6.5Proj.11.4Actual0.0Miss
REBLine8.5Proj.12.3Actual3.0Miss
ASTNo line on this market
Stephon Castle
Stephon Castle
SASSAS @ MIN
11
on 2
PTSNo line on this market
REBLine5.5Proj.6.5Actual11.0Hit
ASTLine6.5Proj.9.2Actual6.0Miss
Mike Conley
Mike Conley
MINMIN @ SAS
10
on 1
PTSLine2.5Proj.5.6Actual6.0Hit
REBNo line on this market
ASTNo line on this market
Sam Merrill
Sam Merrill
CLECLE @ DET
10
on 1
PTSLine5.5Proj.11.3Actual10.0Hit
REBNo line on this market
ASTNo line on this market

One card per player. The per-game breakdown below carries every bookmaker row (DraftKings + FanDuel) for full audit detail; this view de-duplicates by player+market to make scanning easier.

NBA settled games · projection vs actual
DET @ CLEEastern Conference Semifinals · Game 6
452873 dec61.6%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Daniss JenkinsASTOver 2.56.643+34.2%LowWin-158 · fanduel
Tobias HarrisASTOver 1.52.443+6.3%HighWin-166 · fanduel
Jarrett AllenASTUnder 1.50.671+4.3%MediumWin-168 · fanduel
Donovan MitchellASTOver 3.54.993+25.6%LowLoss+100 · fanduel
Jalen DurenASTOver 1.53.520+26.2%LowLoss-130 · fanduel
Evan MobleyASTUnder 3.53.632+5.8%HighWin+122 · fanduel
Cade CunninghamASTOver 8.59.408+8.2%HighLoss-114 · fanduel
Duncan RobinsonASTOver 2.52.182+7.3%HighLoss+148 · fanduel
Ausar ThompsonASTOver 3.54.114+18.1%HighWin+128 · fanduel
Dennis SchroderASTOver 2.54.553+22.2%HighWin-158 · fanduel
Jarrett AllenPTSOver 12.516.6213+28.2%LowWin-102 · fanduel
Daniss JenkinsPTSOver 9.512.5315+20.3%HighWin+100 · fanduel
Jalen DurenPTSOver 10.519.6815+43.6%LowWin-114 · fanduel
Tobias HarrisPTSUnder 17.513.866+24.8%HighWin+100 · fanduel
Donovan MitchellPTSOver 26.527.2318+4.6%MediumLoss-106 · fanduel
Evan MobleyPTSOver 14.517.0518+12.2%HighWin-114 · fanduel
Cade CunninghamPTSUnder 26.516.9721+36.3%LowWin-114 · fanduel
Caris LeVertPTSOver 7.57.568+3.6%MediumWin+100 · fanduel
Sam MerrillPTSOver 5.511.3010+30.5%LowWin-130 · fanduel
James HardenPTSOver 19.521.1523+12.2%HighWin-108 · fanduel
Max StrusPTSOver 8.511.446+9.2%HighLoss-136 · fanduel
Ausar ThompsonPTSOver 8.59.4310+2.9%MediumWin-132 · fanduel
Dennis SchroderPTSOver 6.58.100+13.7%HighLoss+100 · fanduel
Duncan RobinsonPTSOver 11.513.6414+17.2%HighWin+100 · fanduel
Dean WadeREBOver 3.54.243+13.9%HighLoss+104 · fanduel
Daniss JenkinsREBOver 2.53.843+22.7%HighWin+110 · fanduel
Jarrett AllenREBOver 6.58.418+17.1%HighWin-154 · fanduel
Tobias HarrisREBUnder 6.54.555+25.6%LowWin-108 · fanduel
Jalen DurenREBOver 8.59.9611+17.3%HighWin-122 · fanduel
Evan MobleyREBOver 8.59.806+18.0%HighLoss+118 · fanduel
James HardenREBUnder 4.53.847+10.6%HighLoss-106 · fanduel
Cade CunninghamREBUnder 5.54.052+13.1%HighWin-146 · fanduel
Max StrusREBOver 4.55.118+15.2%HighWin+118 · fanduel
Duncan RobinsonREBOver 2.52.532+3.2%MediumLoss-102 · fanduel
Ausar ThompsonREBUnder 6.55.039+22.0%HighLoss+100 · fanduel
Cade CunninghamASTOver 8.59.408+8.1%HighLoss-115 · draftkings
James HardenASTOver 6.56.784+5.1%HighLoss-105 · draftkings
Evan MobleyASTUnder 4.53.632+5.2%HighWin-166 · draftkings
Donovan MitchellASTOver 3.54.993+22.7%HighLoss-113 · draftkings
Daniss JenkinsASTOver 3.56.643+43.6%LowLoss+127 · draftkings
Ausar ThompsonASTOver 3.54.114+18.4%HighWin+130 · draftkings
Dennis SchroderASTOver 2.54.553+27.0%LowWin-127 · draftkings
Duncan RobinsonASTOver 2.52.182+6.2%HighLoss+142 · draftkings
Tobias HarrisASTOver 1.52.443+5.3%HighWin-173 · draftkings
Caris LeVertASTOver 1.52.533+7.4%HighWin-167 · draftkings
Jalen DurenASTOver 1.53.520+27.5%LowLoss-122 · draftkings
Jarrett AllenASTUnder 1.50.671+4.6%MediumWin-165 · draftkings
Dean WadeASTOver 0.51.220+8.1%HighLoss-132 · draftkings
Cade CunninghamPTSUnder 27.516.9721+37.6%LowWin-118 · draftkings
Donovan MitchellPTSOver 26.527.2318+2.7%MediumLoss-113 · draftkings
James HardenPTSOver 19.521.1523+10.4%HighWin-115 · draftkings
Tobias HarrisPTSUnder 17.513.866+23.7%HighWin-103 · draftkings
Evan MobleyPTSOver 15.517.0518+10.6%HighWin+101 · draftkings
Jarrett AllenPTSOver 12.516.6213+25.4%LowWin-113 · draftkings
Duncan RobinsonPTSOver 11.513.6414+16.9%HighWin+101 · draftkings
Jalen DurenPTSOver 10.519.6815+41.0%LowWin-126 · draftkings
Max StrusPTSOver 8.511.446+9.0%HighLoss-134 · draftkings
Daniss JenkinsPTSOver 8.512.5315+20.3%HighWin-122 · draftkings
Caris LeVertPTSOver 6.57.568+6.0%HighWin-118 · draftkings
Dennis SchroderPTSOver 6.58.100+9.7%HighLoss-117 · draftkings
Sam MerrillPTSOver 5.511.3010+28.4%LowWin-140 · draftkings
Dean WadePTSOver 3.55.923+23.4%HighLoss+123 · draftkings
Jalen DurenREBOver 8.59.9611+17.6%HighWin-120 · draftkings
Evan MobleyREBOver 8.59.806+15.8%HighLoss+108 · draftkings
Jarrett AllenREBOver 7.58.418+14.7%HighWin-102 · draftkings
Ausar ThompsonREBUnder 6.55.039+24.5%HighLoss+111 · draftkings
Tobias HarrisREBUnder 6.54.555+21.7%HighWin-128 · draftkings
Cade CunninghamREBUnder 5.54.052+14.0%HighWin-140 · draftkings
James HardenREBUnder 4.53.847+7.1%HighLoss-123 · draftkings
Donovan MitchellREBOver 4.54.694+4.4%MediumLoss-106 · draftkings
Max StrusREBOver 4.55.118+10.3%HighWin-104 · draftkings
Dean WadeREBOver 3.54.243+16.1%HighLoss+115 · draftkings
Daniss JenkinsREBOver 2.53.843+19.5%HighWin-104 · draftkings
SAS @ MINWestern Conference Semifinals · Game 6
353772 dec48.6%
PlayerMarketLean / LineProjActualEdgeConfOutcome
Devin VassellASTOver 2.52.524+7.0%HighWin+116 · fanduel
Naz ReidASTUnder 2.51.691+3.3%MediumWin-174 · fanduel
Stephon CastleASTOver 6.59.206+36.0%LowLoss-114 · fanduel
Dylan HarperASTOver 3.54.002+16.2%HighLoss+124 · fanduel
Ayo DosunmuASTOver 3.54.059+3.1%MediumWin-136 · fanduel
Anthony EdwardsASTUnder 4.53.392+7.1%HighWin-180 · fanduel
Victor WembanyamaASTOver 3.53.962+17.5%HighLoss+134 · fanduel
Julius RandleASTOver 3.54.521+10.7%HighLoss-144 · fanduel
Jaden McDanielsASTOver 2.52.213+4.7%MediumWin+130 · fanduel
Luke KornetPTSOver 2.55.256+21.5%HighWin+102 · fanduel
Terrence Shannon Jr.PTSOver 6.511.1721+17.0%HighWin-108 · fanduel
Victor WembanyamaPTSOver 27.529.8219+13.3%HighLoss+100 · fanduel
Rudy GobertPTSOver 6.511.440+31.4%LowLoss-106 · fanduel
Devin VassellPTSOver 12.512.9811+5.1%HighLoss-106 · fanduel
Ayo DosunmuPTSOver 13.517.9010+27.9%LowLoss-110 · fanduel
Naz ReidPTSUnder 12.512.0018+6.1%HighLoss-102 · fanduel
Dylan HarperPTSOver 10.513.8215+18.6%HighWin-128 · fanduel
Keldon JohnsonPTSOver 8.515.090+34.5%LowLoss-125 · fanduel
Mike ConleyPTSOver 2.55.596+17.8%HighWin-125 · fanduel
Julian ChampagniePTSOver 8.510.9118+12.8%HighWin-130 · fanduel
De'Aaron FoxPTSUnder 16.516.5221+2.7%MediumLoss-102 · fanduel
Julius RandlePTSOver 16.522.043+33.6%LowLoss-108 · fanduel
Devin VassellREBOver 4.54.915+15.5%HighWin+134 · fanduel
Luke KornetREBOver 2.55.536+37.2%LowWin-102 · fanduel
Keldon JohnsonREBOver 3.55.040+23.8%HighLoss+104 · fanduel
De'Aaron FoxREBOver 3.53.654+5.2%HighWin+100 · fanduel
Stephon CastleREBOver 5.56.5311+21.9%HighWin+128 · fanduel
Dylan HarperREBUnder 3.53.415+8.4%HighLoss+118 · fanduel
Ayo DosunmuREBOver 3.55.821+18.8%HighLoss-136 · fanduel
Anthony EdwardsREBUnder 5.53.972+26.2%LowWin+116 · fanduel
Rudy GobertREBOver 8.512.283+39.6%LowLoss-114 · fanduel
Julian ChampagnieREBOver 5.55.795+8.0%HighLoss+104 · fanduel
Julius RandleREBUnder 6.55.547+6.7%HighLoss-148 · fanduel
Jaden McDanielsREBUnder 5.54.081+15.4%HighWin-130 · fanduel
Victor WembanyamaREBOver 13.513.916+6.0%HighLoss-106 · fanduel
Stephon CastleASTOver 6.59.206+34.5%LowLoss-122 · draftkings
Anthony EdwardsASTUnder 4.53.392+8.8%HighWin-165 · draftkings
Julius RandleASTOver 3.54.521+9.3%HighLoss-152 · draftkings
Ayo DosunmuASTOver 3.54.059+2.8%MediumWin-137 · draftkings
Dylan HarperASTOver 3.54.002+15.9%HighLoss+123 · draftkings
Victor WembanyamaASTOver 3.53.962+16.6%HighLoss+130 · draftkings
Devin VassellASTOver 2.52.524+6.9%HighWin+116 · draftkings
Naz ReidASTUnder 2.51.691+3.5%MediumWin-171 · draftkings
Terrence Shannon Jr.ASTUnder 1.51.861+3.3%MediumWin+129 · draftkings
Julian ChampagnieASTOver 1.51.812+17.1%HighWin+147 · draftkings
Victor WembanyamaPTSOver 26.529.8219+15.7%HighLoss-106 · draftkings
Julius RandlePTSOver 16.522.043+33.5%LowLoss-107 · draftkings
Ayo DosunmuPTSOver 13.517.9010+27.3%LowLoss-111 · draftkings
Naz ReidPTSUnder 13.512.0018+7.0%HighLoss-127 · draftkings
Devin VassellPTSOver 12.512.9811+5.4%HighLoss-103 · draftkings
Dylan HarperPTSOver 10.513.8215+19.3%HighWin-121 · draftkings
Keldon JohnsonPTSOver 8.515.090+33.3%LowLoss-129 · draftkings
Julian ChampagniePTSOver 8.510.9118+12.8%HighWin-127 · draftkings
Terrence Shannon Jr.PTSOver 6.511.1721+14.5%HighWin-118 · draftkings
Rudy GobertPTSOver 6.511.440+31.4%LowLoss-104 · draftkings
Mike ConleyPTSOver 2.55.596+14.6%HighWin-141 · draftkings
Luke KornetPTSOver 2.55.256+20.6%HighWin+100 · draftkings
Victor WembanyamaREBOver 13.513.916+4.6%MediumLoss-112 · draftkings
Rudy GobertREBOver 8.512.283+36.7%LowLoss-130 · draftkings
Naz ReidREBUnder 7.55.947+16.4%HighWin-133 · draftkings
Julius RandleREBUnder 6.55.547+8.4%HighLoss-137 · draftkings
Anthony EdwardsREBUnder 5.53.972+25.6%LowWin+113 · draftkings
Jaden McDanielsREBUnder 5.54.081+15.8%HighWin-127 · draftkings
Julian ChampagnieREBOver 5.55.795+8.8%HighLoss+108 · draftkings
Stephon CastleREBOver 5.56.5311+19.9%HighWin+118 · draftkings
Devin VassellREBOver 4.54.915+12.9%HighWin+120 · draftkings
Dylan HarperREBUnder 3.53.415+8.1%HighLoss+117 · draftkings
Ayo DosunmuREBOver 3.55.821+16.4%HighLoss-150 · draftkings
Keldon JohnsonREBOver 3.55.040+21.3%HighLoss-107 · draftkings
De'Aaron FoxREBOver 3.53.654+5.4%HighWin+101 · draftkings
Luke KornetREBOver 2.55.536+34.6%LowWin-114 · draftkings
Terrence Shannon Jr.REBUnder 2.51.572+3.4%MediumWin-168 · draftkings
all settled dates2026-05-16
hit rate excludes pushes · settled decisive rows only · educational use only · not betting advice