Sam Darnold

Current roster: Seattle Seahawks · 9 recorded seasons (2018 to 2026)

Current GameTime forecast · model output, not history

Published pregame ranges

CHI @ SEA · Mon, Nov 2, 8:15 PM ET · Model status: published families, and estimates labelled as such

Passing yardsEstimate · calibration standard not yet met: 205 (range 110–344)
Anytime touchdown: 4.8% chance to score, if he plays

Forecast record · what we said, and what happened

10 published forecasts, newest first — the latest 8 shown, the rest below. Each was frozen before the game and checked against the official result.

Game	Forecast	We said	What happened
Oct 25, 2026 KC @ SEA	Anytime touchdown	5.0% chance	Did not happen
Oct 25, 2026 KC @ SEA	Passing yards	194.6 (range 103.8–327.8)	Actual 257 · missed by 62.4
Oct 15, 2026 SEA @ DEN	Anytime touchdown	4.6% chance	Did not happen
Oct 15, 2026 SEA @ DEN	Passing yards	190.4 (range 99.1–325.9)	Actual 278 · missed by 87.6
Oct 11, 2026 SF @ SEA	Anytime touchdown	5.0% chance	Did not happen
Oct 11, 2026 SF @ SEA	Passing yards	184.7 (range 95.3–318.1)	Actual 195 · missed by 10.3
Oct 4, 2026 LAC @ SEA	Passing yards	172.0 (range 88.0–298.0)	Actual 168 · missed by 4.0
Sep 27, 2026 SEA @ WSH	Passing yards	129.1 (range 60.6–236.7)	Actual 379 · missed by 249.9

Show 2 older forecasts

Game	Forecast	We said	What happened
Sep 9, 2026 NE @ SEA	Rushing yards	2 (range 0–21)	Actual 0 · missed by 2
Sep 9, 2026 NE @ SEA	Passing yards	181 (range 64–305)	Actual 13 · missed by 168

How each forecast type has done overall: Anytime touchdown · Passing yards · Rushing yards

Totals over the games GameTime recorded that season, not a complete season line.

Recorded games

Completions

110

over 6 recorded games

Pass attempts

177

over 6 recorded games

Passing yards

1290

over 6 recorded games

Factual lines only, newest first. Team and opponent are the ones for that game.

Stat	Last 3 · avg (n)	Last 5 · avg (n)	Last 10 · avg (n)
Completions	21.7 (n=3)	21.8 (n=5)	18.6 (n=10)
Pass attempts	36 (n=3)	35 (n=5)	29.4 (n=10)
Passing yards	243.3 (n=3)	255.4 (n=5)	216 (n=10)
Passing TDs	0.7 (n=3)	1.6 (n=5)	1.3 (n=10)
Interceptions thrown	1.7 (n=3)	1.6 (n=5)	0.8 (n=10)

Recorded 257, 278, 195 passing yards in the last 3 available games.

Averages use only games where the stat was recorded; n is that number of games. A window with fewer games than its size says so.

Chart

Each bar is one recorded game; games where this stat was not recorded are left out, not drawn as zero.

Season6 recorded games · 110 completions · 177 pass attempts · 1290 passing yards

Sam Darnold game log, 2026, newest first. A dash means the stat was not recorded for that game.
Date	Team	Opponent	Team result	CMP	ATT	YDS	TD	INT	Game page
Oct 25, 2026	SEA	vs KC	W 20–3	20	28	257	1	1	Game →
Oct 15, 2026	SEA	@ DEN	L 14–17	27	51	278	0	2	Game →
Oct 11, 2026	SEA	vs SF	L 29–32	18	29	195	1	2	Game →
Oct 4, 2026	SEA	vs LAC	W 30–23	13	22	168	2	1	Game →
Sep 27, 2026	SEA	@ WSH	L 31–33	31	45	379	4	2	Game →
Sep 9, 2026	SEA	vs NE	W 13–10	1	2	13	0	0	Game →