Friday, July 10
Game by game
Every forecast graded for this day against the official result, by sport and game. Each sport keeps its own record — they are never added into one percentage. Pushes and voids are never losses.
MLB · 0–0 game calls
Full MLB record →Model Performance:Winner →Total runs →Run line →
PHI v DET
Final score not on fileNo public game call graded for this game.
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 12–14 · 2 void →MIL v PIT
Final score not on fileNo public game call graded for this game.
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 0–0 · 27 void →NYY v WSH
Final score not on fileNo public game call graded for this game.
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 9–8 →BAL v KC
Final score not on fileNo public game call graded for this game.
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 2–0 →CHC v CIN
Final score not on fileNo public game call graded for this game.
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 10–2 →CLE v MIA
Final score not on fileNo public game call graded for this game.
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 9–7 · 2 void →SEA v TB
Final score not on fileNo public game call graded for this game.
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 17–8 · 1 void →NYM v BOS
Final score not on fileNo public game call graded for this game.
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 16–7 · 2 void →CWS v ATH
Final score not on fileNo public game call graded for this game.
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 11–6 · 2 void →ATL v STL
Final score not on fileNo public game call graded for this game.
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 4–11 · 1 void →TOR v SD
Final score not on fileNo public game call graded for this game.
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 7–11 · 1 void →AZ v LAD
Final score not on fileNo public game call graded for this game.
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 8–5 · 4 void →SF v COL
Final score not on fileNo public game call graded for this game.
Player-prop leans · model research, market context · 16–12 →
Daily Top 5 · frozen before kickoff
Each board is published once, before the day's first kickoff, from public model families only — never chosen after the results, never revised. A board shows fewer than five when fewer players qualify.
No qualifying board was frozen for Friday, July 10.
- MLB: no qualifying board — Player props are market context only — no MLB prop model has passed its bar, so none can make a board.
- Premier League: no qualifying board — No player-prop model — Premier League forecasts are match results only.
- UFC: no qualifying board — No fight-prop model — UFC forecasts are fight winners only.
Model research · player-prop leans, not public picks
Projection vs actual for every settled prop lean, graded for transparency and model development.
Biggest hits
- MLBShane BieberUnder 4.5 Strikeouts+27.6pp edgeactual 4
- MLBSean BurkeOver 5.5 Strikeouts+20.9pp edgeactual 9
- MLBRiley GreeneOver 1.5 Total Bases+20.0pp edgeactual 2
- MLBJake McCarthyOver 1.5 Total Bases+19.4pp edgeactual 3
- MLBBrandon YoungOver 4.5 Strikeouts+18.7pp edgeactual 5
Biggest misses
- MLBSonny GrayOver 5.5 Strikeouts+16.4pp edgeactual 3
- MLBHeliot RamosOver 1.5 Total Bases+13.7pp edgeactual 0
- MLBTanner GordonOver 3.5 Strikeouts+9.8pp edgeactual 1
- MLBSandy AlcantaraUnder 5.5 Strikeouts+9.1pp edgeactual 8
- MLBParker MessickOver 5.5 Strikeouts+8.7pp edgeactual 1
MLB settled games · projection vs actual
PHI @ DET12–1426 dec2 void46.2%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nola | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 | 5.47 | 8 | -1.2% | Low | Win |
| Jack Flaherty | Strikeouts | Under 5.5 | 5.19 | 6 | +4.8% | Medium | Loss |
| Kevin McGonigle | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.14 | 1 | +5.5% | High | Win |
| Trea Turner | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.14 | 0 | +4.5% | Medium | Loss |
| Riley Greene | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.13 | 1 | +5.8% | High | Win |
| Brandon Marsh | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.07 | 1 | +2.6% | Medium | Win |
| Bryce Harper | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.71 | 0 | +4.0% | Medium | Win |
| Alec Bohm | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.75 | 0 | +0.4% | Low | Win |
| Colt Keith | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.72 | 1 | -0.2% | Low | Loss |
| Zach McKinstry | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.87 | 0 | +0.3% | Low | Loss |
| Bryson Stott | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.03 | 0 | +7.5% | High | Loss |
| Spencer Torkelson | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.81 | 1 | -0.4% | Low | Win |
| Matt Vierling | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.62 | 0 | +1.6% | Low | Win |
| Kyle Schwarber | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.93 | 0 | +2.6% | Medium | Loss |
| J.T. Realmuto | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.64 | — | -0.8% | Low | Void |
| Justin Crawford | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.06 | — | +11.8% | High | Void |
| Kerry Carpenter | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.67 | 0 | -2.6% | Low | Win |
| Gabriel Rincones Jr. | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.72 | 0 | +2.0% | Low | Loss |
| Jake Rogers | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.49 | 1 | -2.4% | Low | Loss |
| James Outman | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.39 | 1 | +0.8% | Low | Loss |
| Trea Turner | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.95 | 0 | +14.6% | High | Loss |
| Kevin McGonigle | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.54 | 4 | +5.0% | Medium | Win |
| Riley Greene | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.25 | 2 | +20.0% | Low | Win |
| Bryce Harper | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.39 | 0 | +2.8% | Medium | Loss |
| Brandon Marsh | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.94 | 1 | +14.2% | High | Loss |
| Kyle Schwarber | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.82 | 0 | +10.9% | High | Loss |
| Spencer Torkelson | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.60 | 4 | +8.7% | High | Win |
| Alec Bohm | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.47 | 0 | +9.2% | High | Loss |
MIL @ PIT0–00 dec27 void—
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Contreras | Hits | Under 1.5 | 0.85 | — | +0.8% | Low | Void |
| Jake Mangum | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.21 | — | +2.4% | Low | Void |
| Jackson Chourio | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.05 | — | -1.1% | Low | Void |
| Nick Gonzales | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.32 | — | +7.3% | High | Void |
| Christian Yelich | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.72 | — | +3.6% | Medium | Void |
| Brandon Lowe | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.98 | — | +3.1% | Medium | Void |
| Bryan Reynolds | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.01 | — | +4.1% | Medium | Void |
| Ryan O'Hearn | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.14 | — | +6.0% | High | Void |
| Brice Turang | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.28 | — | +13.0% | High | Void |
| Sal Frelick | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.68 | — | +0.1% | Low | Void |
| Esmerlyn Valdez | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.13 | — | +10.9% | High | Void |
| Jake Bauers | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.91 | — | +5.0% | High | Void |
| Garrett Mitchell | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.18 | — | +16.0% | High | Void |
| Jared Triolo | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.82 | — | +4.7% | Medium | Void |
| Joey Ortiz | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.77 | — | +3.6% | Medium | Void |
| Cooper Pratt | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.84 | — | +7.7% | High | Void |
| Tyler Callihan | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.77 | — | +5.8% | High | Void |
| Henry Davis | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.53 | — | -0.3% | Low | Void |
| Brandon Lowe | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.67 | — | +6.5% | High | Void |
| Jackson Chourio | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.77 | — | +8.6% | High | Void |
| William Contreras | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 1.07 | — | -3.4% | Low | Void |
| Bryan Reynolds | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.92 | — | +14.9% | High | Void |
| Jake Mangum | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.63 | — | +10.5% | High | Void |
| Christian Yelich | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.25 | — | +1.9% | Low | Void |
| Ryan O'Hearn | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.02 | — | +16.9% | High | Void |
| Brice Turang | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.11 | — | +21.2% | Low | Void |
| Nick Gonzales | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.73 | — | +16.2% | High | Void |
NYY @ WSH9–817 dec52.9%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Weathers | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 | 5.50 | 6 | +3.9% | Medium | Win |
| Ben Rice | Hits | Under 1.5 | 1.06 | 1 | -2.0% | Low | Win |
| Paul Goldschmidt | Hits | Under 1.5 | 0.45 | 2 | +16.1% | High | Loss |
| Cody Bellinger | Hits | Under 1.5 | 0.71 | 2 | +9.7% | High | Loss |
| Jasson Domínguez | Hits | Under 1.5 | 0.94 | 2 | +2.6% | Medium | Loss |
| Daylen Lile | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.99 | 0 | -0.7% | Low | Loss |
| Curtis Mead | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.04 | 1 | +3.4% | Medium | Win |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.64 | 1 | +6.6% | High | Loss |
| James Wood | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.16 | 3 | +5.6% | High | Win |
| Dylan Crews | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.83 | 0 | -2.8% | Low | Win |
| Trent Grisham | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.90 | 1 | -1.5% | Low | Win |
| CJ Abrams | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.96 | 1 | +5.4% | High | Win |
| Jacob Young | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.63 | 1 | +1.0% | Low | Loss |
| Keibert Ruiz | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.86 | 1 | +2.4% | Low | Win |
| Ryan McMahon | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.66 | 0 | -3.3% | Low | Win |
| Austin Wells | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.32 | 1 | +10.5% | High | Loss |
| Andrés Chaparro | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.30 | 1 | +11.0% | High | Loss |
KC @ BAL2–02 dec100.0%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Young | Strikeouts | Over 4.5 | 5.29 | 5 | +18.7% | High | Win |
| Luinder Avila | Strikeouts | Under 4.5 | 3.81 | 3 | +7.7% | High | Win |
CHC @ CIN10–212 dec83.3%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shota Imanaga | Strikeouts | Under 5.5 | 5.43 | 5 | -1.6% | Low | Win |
| Elly De La Cruz | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.08 | 2 | +1.8% | Low | Win |
| Sal Stewart | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.98 | 2 | -0.3% | Low | Win |
| Spencer Steer | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.77 | 3 | +0.4% | Low | Loss |
| Noelvi Marte | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.67 | 0 | +3.2% | Medium | Win |
| JJ Bleday | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.83 | 1 | +1.7% | Low | Win |
| Tyler Stephenson | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.97 | 2 | +7.9% | High | Win |
| Edwin Arroyo | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.79 | 2 | +6.0% | High | Win |
| Elly De La Cruz | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.90 | 7 | +10.3% | High | Win |
| Sal Stewart | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.16 | 2 | +14.8% | High | Win |
| Spencer Steer | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.29 | 3 | -1.7% | Low | Win |
| Noelvi Marte | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.34 | 0 | +4.5% | Medium | Loss |
CLE @ MIA9–716 dec2 void56.3%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Messick | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 | 6.03 | 1 | +8.7% | High | Loss |
| Sandy Alcantara | Strikeouts | Under 5.5 | 4.93 | 8 | +9.1% | High | Loss |
| Otto Lopez | Hits | Over 1.5 | 1.59 | 0 | +16.5% | High | Loss |
| Xavier Edwards | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.15 | 1 | +6.4% | High | Win |
| Brayan Rocchio | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.96 | 1 | -2.1% | Low | Win |
| Chase DeLauter | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.27 | 2 | +10.7% | High | Win |
| Liam Hicks | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.26 | 0 | +10.6% | High | Loss |
| Javier Sanoja | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.09 | 0 | +4.8% | Medium | Loss |
| Travis Bazzana | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.81 | 0 | -2.3% | Low | Win |
| Kyle Stowers | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.11 | 0 | +6.7% | High | Loss |
| Steven Kwan | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.77 | 1 | -1.7% | Low | Win |
| Kyle Manzardo | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.48 | 0 | +7.5% | High | Win |
| Kahlil Watson | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.60 | 0 | +1.3% | Low | Win |
| Daniel Schneemann | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.68 | 0 | -2.2% | Low | Loss |
| Gabriel Arias | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.63 | — | -3.3% | Low | Void |
| Patrick Bailey | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.52 | — | -0.9% | Low | Void |
| Jakob Marsee | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.70 | 1 | +2.4% | Low | Win |
| Esteury Ruiz | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.46 | 0 | +0.2% | Low | Win |
SEA @ TB17–825 dec1 void68.0%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Castillo | Strikeouts | Under 4.5 | 4.24 | 4 | +2.5% | Medium | Win |
| Nick Martinez | Strikeouts | Under 4.5 | 3.63 | 1 | +9.7% | High | Win |
| Chandler Simpson | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.18 | 3 | +4.2% | Medium | Win |
| Randy Arozarena | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.02 | 1 | -2.5% | Low | Win |
| Junior Caminero | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.88 | 2 | -2.5% | Low | Loss |
| Josh Naylor | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.94 | 1 | -0.5% | Low | Win |
| Dominic Canzone | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.81 | 0 | -2.0% | Low | Win |
| Jonathan Aranda | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.07 | 3 | +5.1% | High | Win |
| J.P. Crawford | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.68 | 2 | +2.1% | Low | Loss |
| Cedric Mullins | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.70 | 1 | -2.6% | Low | Loss |
| Victor Robles | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.62 | 0 | +0.9% | Low | Win |
| Cole Young | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.90 | 1 | +5.8% | High | Win |
| Cal Raleigh | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.66 | 0 | -2.5% | Low | Win |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.64 | 3 | -2.8% | Low | Win |
| Taylor Walls | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.70 | 0 | +0.6% | Low | Loss |
| Luke Raley | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.70 | 0 | +1.8% | Low | Loss |
| Colt Emerson | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.68 | — | +2.0% | Low | Void |
| Richie Palacios | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.71 | 1 | +5.4% | High | Win |
| Hunter Feduccia | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.52 | 1 | +2.9% | Medium | Win |
| Junior Caminero | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.14 | 6 | +13.5% | High | Win |
| Dominic Canzone | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.68 | 0 | +7.7% | High | Loss |
| Randy Arozarena | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.73 | 1 | +9.6% | High | Loss |
| Jonathan Aranda | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.42 | 4 | +3.0% | Medium | Win |
| Chandler Simpson | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.60 | 3 | +9.6% | High | Win |
| J.P. Crawford | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.02 | 3 | -1.9% | Low | Win |
| Josh Naylor | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.20 | 1 | +2.0% | Low | Loss |
BOS @ NYM16–723 dec2 void69.6%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan McLean | Strikeouts | Over 6.5 | 6.80 | 7 | +1.9% | Low | Win |
| Sonny Gray | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 | 7.26 | 3 | +16.4% | High | Loss |
| Bo Bichette | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.07 | — | +3.0% | Medium | Void |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.15 | 1 | +7.2% | High | Win |
| Masataka Yoshida | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.88 | 2 | -1.6% | Low | Win |
| Romy Gonzalez | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.12 | 0 | +8.2% | High | Loss |
| Juan Soto | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.98 | 1 | +3.2% | Medium | Win |
| Wilyer Abreu | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.85 | 3 | -1.7% | Low | Win |
| A.J. Ewing | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.97 | 2 | +3.4% | Medium | Win |
| Carson Benge | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.21 | 1 | +12.2% | High | Win |
| Francisco Lindor | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.82 | 1 | +1.0% | Low | Win |
| Caleb Durbin | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.73 | 1 | -0.7% | Low | Win |
| Jarren Duran | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.64 | 0 | -2.0% | Low | Win |
| Jared Young | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.73 | 2 | +0.5% | Low | Win |
| Francisco Alvarez | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.87 | 0 | +8.0% | High | Loss |
| Tsung-Che Cheng | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.86 | 2 | +7.7% | High | Win |
| Anthony Seigler | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.85 | 2 | +8.2% | High | Win |
| Jorge Polanco | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.78 | 0 | +5.3% | High | Loss |
| Brett Baty | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.85 | 3 | +8.5% | High | Win |
| Juan Soto | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.13 | 1 | +16.9% | High | Loss |
| Wilyer Abreu | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.31 | 7 | +2.3% | Low | Win |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.75 | 1 | +14.4% | High | Loss |
| Bo Bichette | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.36 | — | +6.8% | High | Void |
| Romy Gonzalez | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.88 | 0 | +19.3% | High | Loss |
| Masataka Yoshida | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.22 | 4 | +2.3% | Low | Win |
ATH @ CWS11–617 dec2 void64.7%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Burke | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 | 7.23 | 9 | +20.9% | Low | Win |
| Jacob Wilson | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.95 | 2 | -1.9% | Low | Win |
| Shea Langeliers | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.99 | 0 | -1.0% | Low | Loss |
| Chase Meidroth | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.79 | 2 | +1.1% | Low | Loss |
| Miguel Vargas | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.68 | 3 | +5.1% | High | Loss |
| Sam Antonacci | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.01 | 1 | +1.7% | Low | Win |
| Nick Kurtz | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.73 | — | +0.0% | Low | Void |
| Tyler Soderstrom | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.88 | 1 | +0.3% | Low | Win |
| Andrew Benintendi | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.88 | 2 | +2.9% | Medium | Win |
| Braden Montgomery | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.75 | 1 | -2.2% | Low | Win |
| Kyle Teel | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.62 | 0 | +0.1% | Low | Win |
| Colson Montgomery | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.86 | 1 | +4.7% | Medium | Win |
| Tristan Peters | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.97 | 4 | +10.6% | High | Win |
| Lawrence Butler | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.59 | 1 | -2.7% | Low | Win |
| Carlos Cortes | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.71 | 0 | +4.2% | Medium | Loss |
| Henry Bolte | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.76 | 0 | +6.9% | High | Loss |
| Shea Langeliers | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.59 | 0 | +1.1% | Low | Loss |
| Nick Kurtz | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.30 | — | +0.8% | Low | Void |
| Jacob Wilson | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.35 | 2 | +2.2% | Low | Win |
ATL @ STL4–1115 dec1 void26.7%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 | 6.82 | 5 | +13.0% | High | Loss |
| Kyle Leahy | Strikeouts | Over 3.5 | 4.50 | 2 | +8.7% | High | Loss |
| Michael Harris II | Hits | Over 1.5 | 1.37 | 0 | +6.3% | High | Loss |
| Drake Baldwin | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.00 | 0 | -0.5% | Low | Loss |
| Matt Olson | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.98 | 0 | +0.2% | Low | Loss |
| Ozzie Albies | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.08 | 0 | +2.8% | Medium | Loss |
| Alec Burleson | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.03 | 0 | +3.3% | Medium | Loss |
| JJ Wetherholt | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.08 | 0 | +3.8% | Medium | Loss |
| Austin Riley | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.72 | 1 | +1.1% | Low | Loss |
| Jordan Walker | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.17 | 1 | +9.4% | High | Win |
| Dominic Smith | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.66 | 0 | +2.5% | Medium | Win |
| Masyn Winn | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.96 | 0 | +5.9% | High | Loss |
| Mike Yastrzemski | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.71 | 1 | -0.1% | Low | Win |
| Nathan Church | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.64 | — | -2.5% | Low | Void |
| Blaze Jordan | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.68 | 1 | -0.8% | Low | Win |
| Chris Sale | Strikeouts | Over 6.5 | 6.82 | 5 | +9.0% | High | Loss |
TOR @ SD7–1118 dec1 void38.9%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ernie Clement | Hits | Under 1.5 | 1.02 | 2 | -2.2% | Low | Loss |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | Hits | Over 1.5 | 1.15 | 1 | +1.6% | Low | Loss |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.78 | 1 | +4.4% | Medium | Loss |
| Xander Bogaerts | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.74 | 1 | +3.2% | Medium | Loss |
| Jackson Merrill | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.93 | 1 | -1.3% | Low | Win |
| George Springer | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.88 | 1 | +1.4% | Low | Win |
| Miguel Andujar | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.88 | 0 | +0.8% | Low | Loss |
| Kazuma Okamoto | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.79 | 1 | -2.3% | Low | Win |
| Manny Machado | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.75 | 2 | -2.9% | Low | Win |
| Daulton Varsho | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.69 | 0 | -0.8% | Low | Win |
| Alejandro Kirk | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.63 | 1 | +1.2% | Low | Loss |
| Nathan Lukes | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.92 | 0 | +4.9% | Medium | Loss |
| Jake Cronenworth | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.79 | 0 | +2.3% | Low | Loss |
| Gavin Sheets | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.71 | 0 | -0.9% | Low | Loss |
| Luis Campusano | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.72 | 1 | +1.7% | Low | Win |
| Myles Straw | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.34 | 2 | +5.8% | High | Loss |
| Sung-Mun Song | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.57 | — | +3.3% | Medium | Void |
| Shane Bieber | Strikeouts | Under 4.5 | 3.00 | 4 | +27.6% | Low | Win |
| JP Sears | Strikeouts | Over 3.5 | 4.67 | 3 | +23.9% | Low | Loss |
AZ @ LAD8–513 dec4 void61.5%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | Strikeouts | Under 4.5 | 3.50 | 5 | +11.3% | High | Loss |
| Freddie Freeman | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.26 | 0 | +8.6% | High | Loss |
| Shohei Ohtani | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.05 | 1 | +0.9% | Low | Win |
| Andy Pages | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.91 | 3 | -3.1% | Low | Loss |
| Mookie Betts | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.02 | 1 | -0.2% | Low | Win |
| Kyle Tucker | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.00 | 1 | +1.0% | Low | Win |
| Ketel Marte | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.08 | 1 | +5.3% | High | Win |
| Geraldo Perdomo | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.93 | 1 | +1.8% | Low | Win |
| Gabriel Moreno | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.15 | 2 | +13.5% | High | Win |
| Corbin Carroll | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.68 | 0 | -1.8% | Low | Win |
| Max Muncy | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.89 | — | +2.8% | Medium | Void |
| Dalton Rushing | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.00 | 0 | +7.2% | High | Loss |
| Max Kepler | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.57 | — | +0.8% | Low | Void |
| Miguel Rojas | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.72 | 2 | +1.9% | Low | Win |
| Tommy Troy | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.68 | — | +3.4% | Medium | Void |
| Nolan Arenado | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.92 | 0 | +14.4% | High | Loss |
| James McCann | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.56 | — | +4.3% | Medium | Void |
COL @ SF16–1228 dec57.1%
| Player | Market | Lean / Line | Proj | Actual | Edge | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robbie Ray | Strikeouts | Under 5.5 | 4.35 | 4 | +13.2% | High | Win |
| Tanner Gordon | Strikeouts | Over 3.5 | 4.27 | 1 | +9.8% | High | Loss |
| Heliot Ramos | Hits | Under 1.5 | 1.18 | 0 | -2.4% | Low | Win |
| Jung Hoo Lee | Hits | Under 1.5 | 0.93 | 1 | +1.3% | Low | Win |
| Luis Arraez | Hits | Over 1.5 | 1.35 | 3 | +6.4% | High | Win |
| Casey Schmitt | Hits | Under 1.5 | 0.96 | 2 | -1.8% | Low | Loss |
| Willi Castro | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.77 | 0 | +1.4% | Low | Win |
| Rafael Devers | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.02 | 3 | +4.3% | Medium | Win |
| Jake McCarthy | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.03 | 2 | +3.6% | Medium | Win |
| Willy Adames | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.90 | 0 | -1.1% | Low | Loss |
| Kyle Karros | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.89 | 3 | +1.6% | Low | Win |
| Hunter Goodman | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.97 | 1 | +2.1% | Low | Win |
| TJ Rumfield | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.08 | 2 | +8.2% | High | Win |
| Tyler Freeman | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.86 | 0 | +1.1% | Low | Loss |
| Cole Carrigg | Hits | Over 0.5 | 1.10 | 0 | +10.6% | High | Loss |
| Bryce Eldridge | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.98 | 0 | +6.1% | High | Loss |
| Drew Cavanaugh | Hits | Under 0.5 | 0.60 | 1 | -2.8% | Low | Loss |
| Ezequiel Tovar | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.61 | 1 | -2.8% | Low | Win |
| Troy Johnston | Hits | Over 0.5 | 0.79 | 0 | +7.9% | High | Loss |
| Heliot Ramos | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.42 | 0 | +13.7% | High | Loss |
| Casey Schmitt | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.79 | 2 | +3.4% | Medium | Win |
| Jung Hoo Lee | Total Bases | Under 1.5 | 1.28 | 1 | -0.9% | Low | Win |
| Rafael Devers | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.11 | 6 | +14.4% | High | Win |
| Luis Arraez | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 2.06 | 3 | +15.6% | High | Win |
| Willy Adames | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.54 | 0 | +4.3% | Medium | Loss |
| Hunter Goodman | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.92 | 1 | +10.4% | High | Loss |
| Willi Castro | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.14 | 0 | -2.0% | Low | Loss |
| Jake McCarthy | Total Bases | Over 1.5 | 1.99 | 3 | +19.4% | High | Win |