Overview MLB· live NBA· archive Parlays· pending snapshots

Settled projections · Thursday, July 9

53.9%

172–147 on 319 decisive

Combined audit across the sports that had settled rows on 2026-07-09. Pushes excluded. Pending games never count as losses.

At a glance

Hit

172

model agreed and the line cleared

Miss

147

model agreed but the line did not clear

Push

final stat tied the line — excluded from hit rate

Pending

no games still pending on this date

MLB

53.9%

172–147 on 319

Full MLB audit →

Biggest hits

MLBOtto LopezOver 1.5 Total Bases+34.8pp edgeactual 3
MLBMichael WachaOver 4.5 Strikeouts+19.1pp edgeactual 5
MLBJo AdellOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+18.6pp edgeactual 2
MLBZach NetoOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+18.6pp edgeactual 2
MLBJordan WalkerOver 1.5 Total Bases+18.1pp edgeactual 4

Biggest misses

MLBBryce MillerOver 6.5 Strikeouts+27.4pp edgeactual 3
MLBBryce MillerOver 5.5 Strikeouts+22.7pp edgeactual 3
MLBKody ClemensOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+22.3pp edgeactual 0
MLBRyan O'HearnOver 1.5 Total Bases+21.1pp edgeactual 0
MLBFramber ValdezUnder 5.5 Strikeouts+15.9pp edgeactual 9

MLB settled games · projection vs actual

ATL @ PIT

12–1527 dec44.4%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Bryce Elder	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.40	3	+1.5%	Low	Loss
Mitch Keller	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	3.50	3	+5.0%	Medium	Win
Jake Mangum	Hits	Under 1.5	1.09	4	+1.5%	Low	Loss
Michael Harris II	Hits	Over 1.5	1.32	1	+4.1%	Medium	Loss
Matt Olson	Hits	Under 1.5	1.08	1	-2.2%	Low	Win
Ozzie Albies	Hits	Under 1.5	1.03	1	-1.6%	Low	Win
Nick Gonzales	Hits	Over 1.5	1.38	0	+12.2%	High	Loss
Brandon Lowe	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	0	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Ryan O'Hearn	Hits	Over 0.5	1.30	0	+6.5%	High	Loss
Drake Baldwin	Hits	Under 0.5	0.89	2	-2.8%	Low	Loss
Bryan Reynolds	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	1	-1.7%	Low	Win
Dominic Smith	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	1	+5.7%	High	Loss
Esmerlyn Valdez	Hits	Over 0.5	1.23	1	+10.5%	High	Win
Austin Riley	Hits	Under 0.5	0.73	0	-3.4%	Low	Win
Jared Triolo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	0	+2.6%	Medium	Loss
Mike Yastrzemski	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	1	-2.9%	Low	Loss
Tyler Callihan	Hits	Over 0.5	0.71	1	-0.6%	Low	Win
Henry Davis	Hits	Under 0.5	0.53	—	+0.1%	Low	Void
Matt Olson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.40	4	+12.7%	High	Win
Michael Harris II	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.15	1	+8.9%	High	Loss
Jake Mangum	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.28	8	+1.4%	Low	Loss
Brandon Lowe	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.88	0	+7.8%	High	Loss
Ozzie Albies	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.91	2	+9.6%	High	Win
Drake Baldwin	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.42	2	+0.7%	Low	Win
Bryan Reynolds	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.70	4	+7.7%	High	Win
Ryan O'Hearn	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.49	0	+21.1%	Low	Loss
Dominic Smith	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.88	1	+3.5%	Medium	Win
Nick Gonzales	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.79	0	+14.7%	High	Loss

NYY @ TB

6–39 dec66.7%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Ben Rice	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	2	+1.3%	Low	Win
Trent Grisham	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	2	+2.9%	Medium	Win
Cody Bellinger	Hits	Under 0.5	0.65	2	+0.1%	Low	Loss
Jasson Domínguez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	2	+1.6%	Low	Win
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	0.64	0	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Anthony Volpe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.64	—	-0.5%	Low	Void
Ryan McMahon	Hits	Over 0.5	0.55	2	+0.9%	Low	Win
Austin Wells	Hits	Under 0.5	0.27	1	+0.7%	Low	Loss
Ben Rice	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.11	8	+16.2%	High	Win
Drew Rasmussen	Strikeouts	Under 6.5	4.74	2	+13.0%	High	Win

KC @ NYM

16–1026 dec61.5%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Sean Manaea	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.81	6	+21.0%	Low	Loss
Michael Wacha	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.76	5	+19.1%	High	Win
Bobby Witt Jr.	Hits	Over 1.5	1.12	1	-2.7%	Low	Loss
Bo Bichette	Hits	Over 1.5	1.12	0	+1.0%	Low	Loss
Juan Soto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	1	-1.5%	Low	Win
Carter Jensen	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	0	+0.6%	Low	Loss
A.J. Ewing	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	1	+1.2%	Low	Win
Salvador Perez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	0	+0.8%	Low	Loss
Francisco Lindor	Hits	Under 0.5	0.82	—	-2.7%	Low	Void
Jac Caglianone	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	1	-3.1%	Low	Win
Carson Benge	Hits	Over 0.5	1.16	2	+8.3%	High	Win
Francisco Alvarez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	1	-0.2%	Low	Win
Jorge Polanco	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	—	-0.3%	Low	Void
Lane Thomas	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	1	+7.1%	High	Win
Starling Marte	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	1	+3.1%	Medium	Win
Nick Loftin	Hits	Over 0.5	0.77	2	+0.3%	Low	Win
Michael Massey	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	—	+3.5%	Medium	Void
Brett Baty	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	1	+4.0%	Medium	Win
Jared Young	Hits	Over 0.5	0.62	2	-2.0%	Low	Win
Tyler Tolbert	Hits	Over 0.5	1.20	1	+11.9%	High	Win
Bobby Witt Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.80	4	+4.4%	Medium	Win
Juan Soto	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.96	4	+7.5%	High	Win
Bo Bichette	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.42	0	+1.5%	Low	Loss
Francisco Lindor	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.49	—	+4.1%	Medium	Void
Salvador Perez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.59	0	+6.3%	High	Loss
Carter Jensen	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.72	0	+10.7%	High	Loss
Jac Caglianone	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.40	2	+4.9%	Medium	Win
Francisco Alvarez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.35	1	+3.9%	Medium	Loss
A.J. Ewing	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.96	1	+17.3%	High	Loss
Carson Benge	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.83	2	+16.5%	High	Win

CHC @ BAL

19–1332 dec59.4%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
David Peterson	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.53	2	+8.3%	High	Win
Trevor Rogers	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.94	4	+8.2%	High	Loss
Adley Rutschman	Hits	Under 1.5	0.93	0	+0.7%	Low	Win
Taylor Ward	Hits	Under 1.5	0.83	1	+3.1%	Medium	Win
Gunnar Henderson	Hits	Under 1.5	0.86	0	+1.1%	Low	Win
Pete Alonso	Hits	Under 0.5	0.92	0	-2.3%	Low	Win
Alex Bregman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.87	0	-0.4%	Low	Win
Nico Hoerner	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	1	-0.8%	Low	Win
Carson Kelly	Hits	Under 0.5	0.85	0	-1.7%	Low	Win
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Hits	Over 0.5	1.20	1	+6.6%	High	Win
Seiya Suzuki	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	3	+2.9%	Medium	Win
Leody Taveras	Hits	Under 0.5	0.53	0	+9.8%	High	Win
Michael Busch	Hits	Under 0.5	0.77	1	-2.8%	Low	Loss
Samuel Basallo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.76	0	-3.2%	Low	Win
Dansby Swanson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	1	+5.2%	High	Win
Blaze Alexander	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	0	+4.5%	Medium	Loss
Coby Mayo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.61	0	+3.2%	Medium	Win
Ian Happ	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	2	-0.8%	Low	Loss
Tyler O'Neill	Hits	Under 0.5	0.51	1	+3.9%	Medium	Loss
Taylor Ward	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.06	1	+3.9%	Medium	Win
Adley Rutschman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.44	0	+0.1%	Low	Loss
Pete Alonso	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.73	0	+6.5%	High	Loss
Pete Crow-Armstrong	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.32	2	+17.1%	High	Win
Alex Bregman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.38	0	-0.2%	Low	Loss
Seiya Suzuki	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.94	7	+12.8%	High	Win
Gunnar Henderson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.33	0	+1.2%	Low	Loss
Carson Kelly	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.35	0	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Nico Hoerner	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.22	2	-2.0%	Low	Win
Coby Mayo	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.32	0	+3.3%	Medium	Loss
Michael Busch	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.40	1	+5.5%	High	Loss
Dansby Swanson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.12	1	+19.0%	High	Loss
Leody Taveras	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.87	0	+2.0%	Low	Win

CLE @ MIN

19–2039 dec48.7%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Bailey Ober	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	3.01	5	+13.3%	High	Loss
Gavin Williams	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	6.74	11	+10.1%	High	Win
Chase DeLauter	Hits	Over 1.5	1.32	1	+8.3%	High	Loss
Travis Bazzana	Hits	Under 0.5	0.86	1	+0.1%	Low	Loss
Brayan Rocchio	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	1	-1.1%	Low	Win
Brooks Lee	Hits	Over 0.5	1.18	0	+8.2%	High	Loss
Kody Clemens	Hits	Over 0.5	1.17	0	+10.6%	High	Loss
Kahlil Watson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.72	0	+0.3%	Low	Win
Josh Bell	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	0	+6.6%	High	Loss
Kyle Manzardo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.49	0	+9.0%	High	Win
Steven Kwan	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	0	-0.4%	Low	Loss
Trevor Larnach	Hits	Over 0.5	1.05	0	+7.0%	High	Loss
Victor Caratini	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	—	+2.1%	Low	Void
Royce Lewis	Hits	Over 0.5	0.73	2	-1.3%	Low	Win
Luke Keaschall	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	0	+8.2%	High	Loss
Daniel Schneemann	Hits	Under 0.5	0.63	1	-1.5%	Low	Loss
Patrick Bailey	Hits	Under 0.5	0.46	1	+4.5%	Medium	Loss
Ryan Kreidler	Hits	Over 0.5	0.64	—	-0.5%	Low	Void
Tristan Gray	Hits	Over 0.5	0.58	1	-1.8%	Low	Win
Chase DeLauter	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.49	3	+10.0%	High	Win
Travis Bazzana	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.66	1	-1.9%	Low	Win
Brayan Rocchio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.98	3	+7.0%	High	Win
Kahlil Watson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.21	0	+3.6%	Medium	Win
Kody Clemens	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.89	0	+22.3%	Low	Loss
Brooks Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.12	0	+9.8%	High	Loss
Kyle Manzardo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.10	0	+5.1%	High	Win
Josh Bell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.40	0	+16.8%	High	Loss
Trevor Larnach	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.11	0	+12.2%	High	Loss
Steven Kwan	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.37	1	-2.4%	Low	Loss
Daniel Schneemann	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.20	1	-2.9%	Low	Win
Royce Lewis	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.61	5	+6.6%	High	Win
Victor Caratini	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.59	—	+5.9%	High	Void
Luke Keaschall	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.96	0	+16.1%	High	Loss
Patrick Bailey	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.89	4	+6.4%	High	Loss
Ryan Kreidler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.44	—	+5.6%	High	Void
Tristan Gray	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.12	2	+2.5%	Low	Win
Chase DeLauter	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.95	4	+9.7%	High	Win
Travis Bazzana	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.25	2	-3.3%	Low	Win
Kahlil Watson	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.93	0	+5.2%	High	Win
Kody Clemens	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.43	0	+22.6%	Low	Loss
Kyle Manzardo	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.87	0	+2.8%	Medium	Win
Brayan Rocchio	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.47	2	+5.9%	High	Win
Brooks Lee	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.62	0	+9.8%	High	Loss

BOS @ CWS

13–1225 dec52.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Anthony Kay	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.88	4	+2.8%	Medium	Win
Ceddanne Rafaela	Hits	Over 0.5	1.25	0	+6.9%	High	Loss
Miguel Vargas	Hits	Under 0.5	0.79	0	+1.6%	Low	Win
Romy Gonzalez	Hits	Over 0.5	1.14	1	+7.5%	High	Win
Caleb Durbin	Hits	Under 0.5	0.73	1	+1.3%	Low	Loss
Chase Meidroth	Hits	Under 0.5	0.74	1	+0.7%	Low	Loss
Colson Montgomery	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	2	-1.8%	Low	Win
Randal Grichuk	Hits	Under 0.5	0.54	0	+9.5%	High	Win
Wilyer Abreu	Hits	Under 0.5	0.80	1	-2.6%	Low	Loss
Sam Antonacci	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	0	+7.0%	High	Loss
Anthony Seigler	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	0	+5.2%	High	Loss
Braden Montgomery	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	1	+0.8%	Low	Win
Andruw Monasterio	Hits	Under 0.5	0.62	0	-0.5%	Low	Win
Jarren Duran	Hits	Over 0.5	0.69	0	-3.1%	Low	Loss
Connor Wong	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	1	+8.5%	High	Win
Drew Romo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.32	0	+8.1%	High	Win
Junior Perez	Hits	Under 0.5	0.48	0	-0.8%	Low	Win
Miguel Vargas	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.73	0	+5.5%	High	Loss
Ceddanne Rafaela	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.86	0	+10.4%	High	Loss
Randal Grichuk	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.12	0	-2.3%	Low	Win
Colson Montgomery	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.90	2	+12.8%	High	Win
Romy Gonzalez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.00	1	+17.2%	High	Loss
Wilyer Abreu	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.26	1	+4.2%	Medium	Loss
Caleb Durbin	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.35	4	+6.8%	High	Win
Chase Meidroth	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.15	1	+0.6%	Low	Loss

ATH @ DET

9–1625 dec36.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Framber Valdez	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	3.97	9	+15.9%	High	Loss
Shea Langeliers	Hits	Under 1.5	0.99	1	+1.3%	Low	Win
Dillon Dingler	Hits	Under 0.5	0.94	—	-1.4%	Low	Void
Zack Gelof	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	0	+1.0%	Low	Loss
Jacob Wilson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	2	-1.9%	Low	Win
Jonah Heim	Hits	Under 0.5	0.83	1	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Tyler Soderstrom	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	0	-0.6%	Low	Loss
Kevin McGonigle	Hits	Over 0.5	1.14	1	+8.5%	High	Win
Nick Kurtz	Hits	Under 0.5	0.79	0	-2.4%	Low	Win
Riley Greene	Hits	Over 0.5	1.13	0	+8.9%	High	Loss
Spencer Torkelson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	0	+1.3%	Low	Loss
Zach McKinstry	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	1	+4.4%	Medium	Win
Henry Bolte	Hits	Over 0.5	0.77	0	-0.8%	Low	Loss
Kerry Carpenter	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	0	-0.3%	Low	Loss
Colt Keith	Hits	Over 0.5	0.72	—	-2.8%	Low	Void
Colby Thomas	Hits	Under 0.5	0.56	0	-1.8%	Low	Win
Hao-Yu Lee	Hits	Over 0.5	0.69	1	+1.9%	Low	Win
James Outman	Hits	Under 0.5	0.45	0	-3.4%	Low	Win
Shea Langeliers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.60	1	+1.8%	Low	Loss
Dillon Dingler	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.61	—	+2.8%	Medium	Void
Zack Gelof	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.77	0	+11.3%	High	Loss
Nick Kurtz	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.36	0	+4.0%	Medium	Loss
Spencer Torkelson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.71	0	+11.5%	High	Loss
Kevin McGonigle	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.54	1	+8.3%	High	Loss
Riley Greene	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.26	0	+24.1%	Low	Loss
Tyler Soderstrom	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.58	0	+9.6%	High	Loss
Jonah Heim	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.72	1	+13.0%	High	Loss
Jacob Wilson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.30	2	+4.7%	Medium	Win

SEA @ MIA

14–1226 dec53.8%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Bryce Miller	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	7.87	3	+22.7%	Low	Loss
Janson Junk	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	3.59	5	-2.7%	Low	Loss
Randy Arozarena	Hits	Over 1.5	1.07	1	-1.5%	Low	Loss
Josh Naylor	Hits	Under 0.5	0.94	1	-3.0%	Low	Loss
J.P. Crawford	Hits	Under 0.5	0.68	0	+5.4%	High	Win
Otto Lopez	Hits	Over 0.5	1.64	1	+17.6%	High	Win
Dominic Canzone	Hits	Under 0.5	0.71	2	+3.1%	Medium	Loss
Xavier Edwards	Hits	Over 0.5	1.15	1	+7.7%	High	Win
Liam Hicks	Hits	Over 0.5	1.26	1	+10.1%	High	Win
Cole Young	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	0	+5.4%	High	Loss
Cal Raleigh	Hits	Under 0.5	0.67	0	-0.3%	Low	Win
Victor Robles	Hits	Under 0.5	0.63	0	+0.3%	Low	Win
Kyle Stowers	Hits	Over 0.5	1.16	1	+12.5%	High	Win
Javier Sanoja	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	—	+10.5%	High	Void
Colt Emerson	Hits	Under 0.5	0.63	1	-1.7%	Low	Loss
Luke Raley	Hits	Under 0.5	0.59	2	-0.3%	Low	Loss
Jakob Marsee	Hits	Over 0.5	0.64	2	-1.4%	Low	Win
Griffin Conine	Hits	Over 0.5	0.67	3	+1.1%	Low	Win
Joe Mack	Hits	Over 0.5	0.67	—	+5.8%	High	Void
Randy Arozarena	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.77	4	+8.5%	High	Win
Dominic Canzone	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.41	5	+3.8%	Medium	Win
Josh Naylor	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.20	1	-1.3%	Low	Loss
J.P. Crawford	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.03	0	-2.4%	Low	Win
Cal Raleigh	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.20	0	+0.1%	Low	Loss
Otto Lopez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.89	3	+34.8%	Low	Win
Liam Hicks	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.61	2	+11.9%	High	Win
Xavier Edwards	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.54	1	+11.1%	High	Loss
Bryce Miller	Strikeouts	Over 6.5	7.87	3	+27.4%	Low	Loss

PHI @ CIN

15–1328 dec53.6%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Brady Singer	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.36	5	+4.1%	Medium	Win
Trea Turner	Hits	Under 1.5	1.15	0	-1.7%	Low	Win
Alec Bohm	Hits	Under 1.5	0.86	0	+7.5%	High	Win
Bryce Harper	Hits	Under 1.5	0.72	0	+6.1%	High	Win
Brandon Marsh	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	2	-2.3%	Low	Win
Kyle Schwarber	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	1	-2.5%	Low	Win
J.T. Realmuto	Hits	Under 0.5	0.69	0	+4.5%	Medium	Win
Bryson Stott	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	1	+3.4%	Medium	Win
Sal Stewart	Hits	Over 0.5	1.09	0	+6.0%	High	Loss
Elly De La Cruz	Hits	Over 0.5	1.14	0	+8.6%	High	Loss
Spencer Steer	Hits	Over 0.5	0.82	0	-2.6%	Low	Loss
Noelvi Marte	Hits	Under 0.5	0.73	0	-2.9%	Low	Win
Justin Crawford	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	1	+9.7%	High	Win
Tyler Stephenson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	1	+8.2%	High	Win
Edwin Arroyo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	0	+4.4%	Medium	Loss
Gabriel Rincones Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	0.73	0	+1.5%	Low	Loss
JJ Bleday	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	1	+7.0%	High	Win
Matt McLain	Hits	Under 0.5	0.37	—	+5.6%	High	Void
Kyle Schwarber	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.03	1	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Bryce Harper	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.40	0	-3.0%	Low	Win
Trea Turner	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.96	0	+9.5%	High	Loss
Brandon Marsh	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.89	2	+9.7%	High	Win
Alec Bohm	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.63	0	+5.1%	High	Loss
Bryson Stott	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.38	2	+1.1%	Low	Win
Sal Stewart	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.32	0	+21.9%	Low	Loss
J.T. Realmuto	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.33	0	+2.8%	Medium	Loss
Elly De La Cruz	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.97	0	+18.4%	High	Loss
Spencer Steer	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.34	0	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
Brady Singer	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	5.36	5	+3.3%	Medium	Loss

MIL @ STL

17–724 dec70.8%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Andre Pallante	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	3.32	2	+10.1%	High	Win
Logan Henderson	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	6.18	4	+28.1%	Low	Loss
Jackson Chourio	Hits	Under 1.5	1.04	2	+3.1%	Medium	Loss
William Contreras	Hits	Under 1.5	0.85	0	+2.0%	Low	Win
Brice Turang	Hits	Over 1.5	1.22	2	+3.6%	Medium	Win
Christian Yelich	Hits	Under 0.5	0.72	—	+7.6%	High	Void
Alec Burleson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	1	+0.4%	Low	Win
Sal Frelick	Hits	Under 0.5	0.67	2	+4.6%	Medium	Loss
Jordan Walker	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	1	+5.7%	High	Win
JJ Wetherholt	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	2	+5.7%	High	Win
Jake Bauers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	2	+2.4%	Low	Win
Garrett Mitchell	Hits	Over 0.5	1.23	1	+12.4%	High	Win
Masyn Winn	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	0	+7.9%	High	Loss
Cooper Pratt	Hits	Over 0.5	0.71	2	-3.3%	Low	Win
Lars Nootbaar	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	1	+0.8%	Low	Win
Joey Ortiz	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	0	+5.9%	High	Loss
Nathan Church	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	0	+1.2%	Low	Loss
Bryan Torres	Hits	Under 0.5	0.39	0	+1.7%	Low	Win
Jackson Chourio	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.86	3	+1.7%	Low	Win
Brice Turang	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.04	5	+14.0%	High	Win
William Contreras	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.08	0	-1.3%	Low	Win
Alec Burleson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.71	2	+9.1%	High	Win
Jordan Walker	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.18	4	+18.1%	High	Win
Christian Yelich	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.25	—	+0.6%	Low	Void
JJ Wetherholt	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.56	3	+9.6%	High	Win
Sal Frelick	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.96	2	-0.0%	Low	Loss

LAA @ TEX

25–1338 dec65.8%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Reid Detmers	Strikeouts	Under 6.5	6.04	6	-0.2%	Low	Win
Nathan Eovaldi	Strikeouts	Over 6.5	7.86	10	+14.3%	High	Win
Nolan Schanuel	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	4	-2.7%	Low	Win
Josh Jung	Hits	Over 0.5	1.08	1	+4.9%	Medium	Win
Brandon Nimmo	Hits	Under 0.5	0.74	2	+0.8%	Low	Loss
Mike Trout	Hits	Over 0.5	0.97	0	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Jake Burger	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	1	-2.8%	Low	Loss
Zach Neto	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	1	+8.7%	High	Win
Denzer Guzman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	0	+14.0%	High	Loss
Justin Foscue	Hits	Under 0.5	0.68	2	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Jo Adell	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	1	+8.0%	High	Win
Ezequiel Duran	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	1	+11.2%	High	Win
Jorge Soler	Hits	Over 0.5	0.74	1	+2.1%	Low	Win
Nicky Lopez	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	0	+11.7%	High	Loss
Alejandro Osuna	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	1	+7.5%	High	Win
Logan O'Hoppe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.62	0	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Kyle Higashioka	Hits	Over 0.5	0.60	1	-0.7%	Low	Win
Oswald Peraza	Hits	Under 0.5	0.49	—	-2.4%	Low	Void
Josh Lowe	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	0	+9.9%	High	Loss
Josh Jung	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.93	2	+7.7%	High	Win
Brandon Nimmo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.52	5	-0.8%	Low	Win
Mike Trout	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.40	2	+17.0%	High	Win
Jake Burger	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.73	2	+4.4%	Medium	Win
Justin Foscue	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.61	5	+3.1%	Medium	Win
Nolan Schanuel	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.56	7	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Zach Neto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.27	2	+18.6%	High	Win
Denzer Guzman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.78	1	+12.1%	High	Loss
Ezequiel Duran	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.92	4	+14.4%	High	Win
Jo Adell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.15	2	+18.6%	High	Win
Nicky Lopez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.76	0	+16.1%	High	Loss
Jorge Soler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.60	2	+10.3%	High	Win
Alejandro Osuna	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.73	2	+16.2%	High	Win
Kyle Higashioka	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.21	1	+5.3%	High	Win
Logan O'Hoppe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.17	0	+5.8%	High	Loss
Oswald Peraza	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.05	—	+3.6%	Medium	Void
Josh Lowe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.82	0	+22.7%	Low	Loss
Mike Trout	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.11	0	+18.3%	High	Loss
Brandon Nimmo	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.33	5	+4.9%	Medium	Win
Josh Jung	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.77	2	+14.9%	High	Win
Nolan Schanuel	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.16	6	+0.1%	Low	Win

AZ @ SD

7–1320 dec35.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Merrill Kelly	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	3.61	6	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Griffin Canning	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	3.53	5	+3.8%	Medium	Loss
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Hits	Over 1.5	1.15	1	-1.4%	Low	Loss
Ketel Marte	Hits	Over 1.5	1.13	0	+0.3%	Low	Loss
Jackson Merrill	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	0	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Xander Bogaerts	Hits	Under 0.5	0.85	0	-3.0%	Low	Win
Corbin Carroll	Hits	Under 0.5	0.63	1	+6.6%	High	Loss
Geraldo Perdomo	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	2	+1.9%	Low	Win
Gabriel Moreno	Hits	Over 0.5	1.10	1	+6.8%	High	Win
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	1	-2.9%	Low	Win
Manny Machado	Hits	Under 0.5	0.74	2	-1.8%	Low	Loss
Jake Cronenworth	Hits	Over 0.5	0.79	0	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Gavin Sheets	Hits	Under 0.5	0.71	0	-2.3%	Low	Win
Ty France	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	—	+1.6%	Low	Void
Nolan Arenado	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	1	+7.4%	High	Win
Max Kepler	Hits	Under 0.5	0.50	1	+3.7%	Medium	Loss
Tommy Troy	Hits	Over 0.5	0.67	1	-0.1%	Low	Win
Luis Campusano	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	0	+7.5%	High	Loss
Sung-Mun Song	Hits	Over 0.5	0.63	0	-0.3%	Low	Loss
Pavin Smith	Hits	Under 0.5	0.35	—	+3.1%	Medium	Void
Griffin Canning	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.53	5	+9.5%	High	Loss
Merrill Kelly	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	3.61	6	+8.3%	High	Loss

all settled dates