Skip to main content
Educational analyticsNot betting advice · research use only.
GameTime Picks
Today · Nov 1 · 17 eventsGames under wayLatest results· Oct 31
Settled · graded against final box scores
172–147 on 319 decisive picks · 53.9%2026-07-09
View audit →
Slate · pick a date
Mon, Oct 26SettledTue, Oct 27SettledWed, Oct 28SettledTodayUpcomingTomorrowUpcomingTue, Nov 3UpcomingWed, Nov 4UpcomingThu, Nov 5UpcomingFri, Nov 6UpcomingSat, Nov 7Upcoming
MLB model board · 2026-07-09

13 MLB games · 268 model-vs-market reads

Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.

Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.

SCHEDULEliveMODEL LEANSavailableUPDATEDJul 9, 2:52 AM ETeducational analytics only
Gap ≥ 5 pp
94
model vs market · context
Gap 2.5–5 pp
35
model vs market · context
Small gap
120
6 anomalies shown separately
Sample too small
13
no projection emitted
Strikeouts11 gap ≥ 5 pp·25 totalHits60 gap ≥ 5 pp·207 totalHits + Runs + RBIs23 gap ≥ 5 pp·36 total
Highest model probabilities · 8 shown
Market context · no model anomalies
Otto Lopez
Otto LopezMIA vs SEA
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+17.6%
proj 1.64-238 · draftkings
Nicky Lopez
Nicky LopezTEX vs LAA
Gap ≥ 5 pp
Hits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.5+16.1%
proj 1.76-182 · draftkings
Ceddanne Rafaela
Ceddanne RafaelaBOS vs CWS
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+6.9%
proj 1.25-272 · draftkings
Alejandro Osuna
Alejandro OsunaTEX vs LAA
Gap ≥ 5 pp
Hits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.5+16.2%
proj 1.73-168 · draftkings
Liam Hicks
Liam HicksMIA vs SEA
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+10.1%
proj 1.26-217 · draftkings
Kody Clemens
Kody ClemensMIN vs CLE
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+10.6%
proj 1.17-211 · draftkings
Ryan O'Hearn
Ryan O'HearnPIT vs ATL
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+6.5%
proj 1.3-252 · draftkings
Garrett Mitchell
Garrett MitchellMIL vs STL
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+12.4%
proj 1.23-192 · draftkings
Filters · 268 of 268 leans
Market
Gap size
Team
Sort
Density
PNC Park20 leansFinal · graded

ATL@PIT

Atlanta Braves at Pittsburgh Pirates

first pitch
12:35 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Bryce Elder
probable · awayBryce Elder
ATL
Mitch Keller
probable · homeMitch Keller
PIT
Strikeouts
Mitch Keller
Mitch Keller
PITvsATLPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER3.5
Projection3.5
Edge+5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.1 K across 18 starts
+122 · draftkings
Bryce Elder
Bryce Elder
ATLvsPITPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER4.5
Projection4.4
Edge+1.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.9 K across 17 starts
+114 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Nick Gonzales
Nick Gonzales
PITvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.38
Edge+12.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 87 games
+201 · draftkings
Esmerlyn Valdez
Esmerlyn Valdez
PITvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.23
Edge+10.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 24 games
-200 · draftkings
Ryan O'Hearn
Ryan O'Hearn
PITvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.3
Edge+6.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 78 games
-252 · draftkings
Dominic Smith
Dominic Smith
ATLvsPITBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge+5.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 75 games
+170 · draftkings
Michael Harris II
Michael Harris II
ATLvsPITBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.32
Edge+4.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 85 games
+156 · draftkings
Jared Triolo
Jared Triolo
PITvsATLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 55 games
-167 · draftkings
Austin Riley
Austin Riley
ATLvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge−3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 91 games
+132 · draftkings
Mike Yastrzemski
Mike Yastrzemski
ATLvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge−2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 82 games
+120 · draftkings
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
ATLvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 68 games
+185 · draftkings
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
ATLvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.08
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 91 games
-247 · draftkings
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
PITvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.04
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 86 games
-255 · draftkings
Bryan Reynolds
Bryan Reynolds
PITvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 93 games
-250 · draftkings
Ozzie Albies
Ozzie Albies
ATLvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.03
Edge−1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 91 games
-246 · draftkings
Jake Mangum
Jake Mangum
PITvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.09
Edge+1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 66 games
-186 · draftkings
Tyler Callihan
Tyler Callihan
PITvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 25 games
-152 · draftkings
Henry Davis
Henry Davis
PITvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.53
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.46 across 52 games
+106 · draftkings
Mauricio Dubon
ATL @ PITBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
James Jarvis
ATL @ PITBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Citi Field20 leansFinal · graded

KC@NYM

Kansas City Royals at New York Mets

first pitch
1:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Michael Wacha
probable · awayMichael Wacha
KC
Sean Manaea
probable · homeSean Manaea
NYM
Strikeouts
Michael Wacha
Michael Wacha
KCvsNYMPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection5.76
Edge+19.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.1 K across 18 starts
-132 · draftkings
Sean Manaea
Sean ManaeaModel anomaly
NYMvsKCPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER4.5
Projection3.81
Edge+21%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.6 K across 19 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+119 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Tyler Tolbert
Tyler Tolbert
KCvsNYMBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.2
Edge+11.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 21 games
-129 · draftkings
Carson Benge
Carson Benge
NYMvsKCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.16
Edge+8.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 89 games
-198 · draftkings
Lane Thomas
Lane Thomas
KCvsNYMBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+7.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 75 games
-165 · draftkings
Brett Baty
Brett Baty
NYMvsKCBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 87 games
-146 · draftkings
Michael Massey
Michael Massey
KCvsNYMBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge+3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 71 games
-152 · draftkings
Starling Marte
Starling Marte
KCvsNYMBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge+3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 40 games
-157 · draftkings
Jac Caglianone
Jac Caglianone
KCvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge−3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 86 games
-212 · draftkings
Francisco Lindor
Francisco Lindor
NYMvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 36 games
+163 · draftkings
Bobby Witt Jr.
Bobby Witt Jr.
KCvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.12
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 87 games
+181 · draftkings
Jared Young
Jared Young
NYMvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge−2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 47 games
-136 · draftkings
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
NYMvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.98
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 74 games
-269 · draftkings
A.J. Ewing
A.J. Ewing
NYMvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 53 games
-223 · draftkings
Bo Bichette
Bo Bichette
NYMvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.12
Edge+1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 93 games
+199 · draftkings
Salvador Perez
Salvador Perez
KCvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 85 games
-222 · draftkings
Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
KCvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.98
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 84 games
-242 · draftkings
Jorge Polanco
Jorge Polanco
NYMvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 16 games
-172 · draftkings
Nick Loftin
Nick Loftin
KCvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 56 games
-156 · draftkings
Francisco Alvarez
Francisco Alvarez
NYMvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 60 games
-185 · draftkings
Tropicana Field10 leansFinal · graded

NYY@TB

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays

first pitch
1:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
probable · awayTBD
NYY
Drew Rasmussen
probable · homeDrew Rasmussen
TB
Strikeouts
Drew Rasmussen
Drew Rasmussen
TBvsNYYPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER6.5
Projection4.74
Edge+13%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.7 K across 17 starts
-157 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Trent Grisham
Trent Grisham
NYYvsTBBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 71 games
-177 · draftkings
Jasson Domínguez
Jasson Domínguez
NYYvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 31 games
-171 · draftkings
Ben Rice
Ben Rice
NYYvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 87 games
-209 · draftkings
Ryan McMahon
Ryan McMahon
NYYvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.55
Edge+0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 68 games
-106 · draftkings
Austin Wells
Austin Wells
NYYvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.27
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.44 across 62 games
-150 · draftkings
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
NYYvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.64
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 87 games
-133 · draftkings
Anthony Volpe
Anthony Volpe
NYYvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.64
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 41 games
-131 · draftkings
Cody Bellinger
Cody Bellinger
NYYvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 90 games
+132 · draftkings
Jose Caballero
NYY @ TBBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Oriole Park at Camden Yards20 leansFinal · graded

CHC@BAL

Chicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles

first pitch
1:35 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
David Peterson
probable · awayDavid Peterson
CHC
Trevor Rogers
probable · homeTrevor Rogers
BAL
Strikeouts
David Peterson
David Peterson
CHCvsBALPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER4.5
Projection3.53
Edge+8.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.8 K across 18 starts
-150 · draftkings
Trevor Rogers
Trevor Rogers
BALvsCHCPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection4.94
Edge+8.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.1 K across 16 starts
-111 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Leody Taveras
Leody Taveras
BALvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.53
Edge+9.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 76 games
+158 · draftkings
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Pete Crow-Armstrong
CHCvsBALBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.2
Edge+6.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 92 games
-232 · draftkings
Dansby Swanson
Dansby Swanson
CHCvsBALBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 87 games
-189 · draftkings
Blaze Alexander
Blaze Alexander
BALvsCHCBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 69 games
-187 · draftkings
Tyler O'Neill
Tyler O'Neill
BALvsCHCBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.51
Edge+3.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.53 across 53 games
+119 · draftkings
Coby Mayo
Coby Mayo
BALvsCHCBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.61
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 68 games
+140 · draftkings
Taylor Ward
Taylor Ward
BALvsCHCBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.83
Edge+3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 92 games
-257 · draftkings
Seiya Suzuki
Seiya Suzuki
CHCvsBALBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.04
Edge+2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 76 games
-223 · draftkings
Samuel Basallo
Samuel Basallo
BALvsCHCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 79 games
+143 · draftkings
Michael Busch
Michael Busch
CHCvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 91 games
+148 · draftkings
Pete Alonso
Pete Alonso
BALvsCHCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge−2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 93 games
+200 · draftkings
Carson Kelly
Carson Kelly
CHCvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 64 games
+180 · draftkings
Gunnar Henderson
Gunnar Henderson
BALvsCHCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.86
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 92 games
-276 · draftkings
Nico Hoerner
Nico Hoerner
CHCvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.98
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 90 games
-259 · draftkings
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
CHCvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 87 games
+131 · draftkings
Adley Rutschman
Adley Rutschman
BALvsCHCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.93
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 62 games
-251 · draftkings
Alex Bregman
Alex Bregman
CHCvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 90 games
+198 · draftkings
Kevin Alcantara
CHC @ BALBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Target Field38 leansFinal · graded

CLE@MIN

Cleveland Guardians at Minnesota Twins

first pitch
1:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Gavin Williams
probable · awayGavin Williams
CLE
Bailey Ober
probable · homeBailey Ober
MIN
Strikeouts
Bailey Ober
Bailey Ober
MINvsCLEPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER3.5
Projection3.01
Edge+13.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.8 K across 12 starts
+127 · draftkings
Gavin Williams
Gavin Williams
CLEvsMINPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER5.5
Projection6.74
Edge+10.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.8 K across 18 starts
-156 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Josh Bell
Josh Bell
MINvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.4
Edge+16.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 90 games
-103 · draftkings
Luke Keaschall
Luke Keaschall
MINvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.96
Edge+16.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 87 games
+119 · draftkings
Cooper Ingle
Cooper Ingle
CLEvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.71
Edge+14.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.71
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 7 games
-148 · draftkings
Cooper Ingle
Cooper Ingle
CLEvsMINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.29
Edge+14.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.29
  • SeasonSeason average 0.29 across 7 games
+121 · draftkings
Trevor Larnach
Trevor Larnach
MINvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.11
Edge+12.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 76 games
+103 · draftkings
Kody Clemens
Kody Clemens
MINvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.17
Edge+10.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 78 games
-211 · draftkings
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
CLEvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.49
Edge+10%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 76 games
-144 · draftkings
Brooks Lee
Brooks Lee
MINvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.12
Edge+9.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 87 games
-110 · draftkings
Kyle Manzardo
Kyle Manzardo
CLEvsMINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.49
Edge+9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 83 games
+141 · draftkings
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
CLEvsMINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.32
Edge+8.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 76 games
+191 · draftkings
Luke Keaschall
Luke Keaschall
MINvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge+8.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 87 games
-160 · draftkings
Brooks Lee
Brooks Lee
MINvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.18
Edge+8.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 87 games
-223 · draftkings
Trevor Larnach
Trevor Larnach
MINvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge+7.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 76 games
-178 · draftkings
Brayan Rocchio
Brayan Rocchio
CLEvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.98
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 90 games
-117 · draftkings
Josh Bell
Josh Bell
MINvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+6.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 90 games
-194 · draftkings
Royce Lewis
Royce Lewis
MINvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.61
Edge+6.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 59 games
+116 · draftkings
Patrick Bailey
Patrick Bailey
CLEvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.89
Edge+6.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 57 games
-161 · draftkings
Victor Caratini
Victor Caratini
MINvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.59
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 68 games
+117 · draftkings
Ryan Kreidler
Ryan Kreidler
MINvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.44
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 46 games
-171 · draftkings
Kyle Manzardo
Kyle Manzardo
CLEvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.1
Edge+5.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 83 games
-121 · draftkings
Patrick Bailey
Patrick Bailey
CLEvsMINBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.46
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.53 across 57 games
+111 · draftkings
Kahlil Watson
Kahlil Watson
CLEvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.21
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 19 games
-117 · draftkings
Kody Clemens
Kody ClemensModel anomaly
MINvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.89
Edge+22.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 78 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-111 · draftkings
Daniel Schneemann
Daniel Schneemann
CLEvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.2
Edge−2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 74 games
-152 · draftkings
Tristan Gray
Tristan Gray
MINvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.44 across 55 games
-152 · draftkings
Steven Kwan
Steven Kwan
CLEvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.37
Edge−2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 84 games
+106 · draftkings
Victor Caratini
Victor Caratini
MINvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 68 games
-170 · draftkings
Travis Bazzana
Travis Bazzana
CLEvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.66
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 61 games
+105 · draftkings
Tristan Gray
Tristan Gray
MINvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.58
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 55 games
-125 · draftkings
Daniel Schneemann
Daniel Schneemann
CLEvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.63
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 74 games
+120 · draftkings
Royce Lewis
Royce Lewis
MINvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 59 games
-163 · draftkings
Brayan Rocchio
Brayan Rocchio
CLEvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 90 games
-230 · draftkings
Ryan Kreidler
Ryan Kreidler
MINvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.64
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 46 games
-133 · draftkings
Steven Kwan
Steven Kwan
CLEvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 84 games
-186 · draftkings
Kahlil Watson
Kahlil Watson
CLEvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.72
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 19 games
+153 · draftkings
Travis Bazzana
Travis Bazzana
CLEvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 61 games
+183 · draftkings
Rate Field19 leansFinal · graded

BOS@CWS

Boston Red Sox at Chicago White Sox

first pitch
2:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Patrick Sandoval
probable · awayPatrick Sandoval
BOS
Anthony Kay
probable · homeAnthony Kay
CWS
Strikeouts
Anthony Kay
Anthony Kay
CWSvsBOSPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER4.5
Projection3.88
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.7 K across 18 starts
-141 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Randal Grichuk
Randal Grichuk
CWSvsBOSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.54
Edge+9.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 56 games
+159 · draftkings
Connor Wong
Connor Wong
BOSvsCWSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge+8.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 36 games
-140 · draftkings
Drew Romo
Drew Romo
CWSvsBOSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.32
Edge+8.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.44 across 32 games
-101 · draftkings
Romy Gonzalez
Romy Gonzalez
BOSvsCWSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.14
Edge+7.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.14
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 7 games
-233 · draftkings
Sam Antonacci
Sam Antonacci
CWSvsBOSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 71 games
-191 · draftkings
Ceddanne Rafaela
Ceddanne Rafaela
BOSvsCWSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.25
Edge+6.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 84 games
-272 · draftkings
Anthony Seigler
Anthony Seigler
BOSvsCWSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 18 games
-176 · draftkings
Jarren Duran
Jarren Duran
BOSvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge−3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 83 games
-163 · draftkings
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer Abreu
BOSvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 88 games
+154 · draftkings
Willson Contreras
Willson Contreras
BOSvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 87 games
-238 · draftkings
Colson Montgomery
Colson Montgomery
CWSvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 87 games
-214 · draftkings
Miguel Vargas
Miguel Vargas
CWSvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge+1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 90 games
+185 · draftkings
Caleb Durbin
Caleb Durbin
BOSvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 81 games
+163 · draftkings
Braden Montgomery
Braden Montgomery
CWSvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 25 games
-170 · draftkings
Junior Perez
Junior Perez
CWSvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.48
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.45 across 11 games
-107 · draftkings
Chase Meidroth
Chase Meidroth
CWSvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 89 games
+162 · draftkings
Andruw Monasterio
Andruw Monasterio
BOSvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 52 games
+123 · draftkings
Luisangel Acuna
BOS @ CWSBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Comerica Park19 leansFinal · graded

ATH@DET

Athletics at Detroit Tigers

first pitch
6:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Jack Perkins
probable · awayJack Perkins
ATH
Framber Valdez
probable · homeFramber Valdez
DET
Strikeouts
Framber Valdez
Framber Valdez
DETvsATHPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER5.5
Projection3.97
Edge+15.9%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.3 K across 18 starts
-148 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Riley Greene
Riley Greene
DETvsATHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.13
Edge+8.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 91 games
-200 · draftkings
Kevin McGonigle
Kevin McGonigle
DETvsATHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.14
Edge+8.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 89 games
-222 · draftkings
Zach McKinstry
Zach McKinstry
DETvsATHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge+4.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 65 games
-182 · draftkings
James Outman
James Outman
DETvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.45
Edge−3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.39 across 46 games
-126 · draftkings
Colt Keith
Colt Keith
DETvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.72
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 83 games
-170 · draftkings
Nick Kurtz
Nick Kurtz
ATHvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 91 games
+153 · draftkings
Jonah Heim
Jonah Heim
ATHvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge−2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 47 games
+170 · draftkings
Hao-Yu Lee
Hao-Yu Lee
DETvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 51 games
-132 · draftkings
Jacob Wilson
Jacob Wilson
ATHvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 52 games
-229 · draftkings
Colby Thomas
Colby Thomas
ATHvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.56
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.53 across 38 games
+104 · draftkings
Dillon Dingler
Dillon Dingler
DETvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 85 games
+182 · draftkings
Shea Langeliers
Shea Langeliers
ATHvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.99
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 82 games
-237 · draftkings
Spencer Torkelson
Spencer Torkelson
DETvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 91 games
-187 · draftkings
Zack Gelof
Zack Gelof
ATHvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 62 games
-247 · draftkings
Henry Bolte
Henry Bolte
ATHvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 49 games
-172 · draftkings
Tyler Soderstrom
Tyler Soderstrom
ATHvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 81 games
-228 · draftkings
Kerry Carpenter
Kerry Carpenter
DETvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 69 games
-172 · draftkings
Josh Kuroda-Grauer
ATH @ DETBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
loanDepot park21 leansFinal · graded

SEA@MIA

Seattle Mariners at Miami Marlins

first pitch
6:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Bryce Miller
probable · awayBryce Miller
SEA
Janson Junk
probable · homeJanson Junk
MIA
Strikeouts
Bryce Miller
Bryce MillerModel anomaly
SEAvsMIAPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER6.5
Projection7.87
Edge+27.4%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.9 K across 9 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+121 · draftkings
Bryce Miller
Bryce MillerModel anomaly
SEAvsMIAPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER5.5
Projection7.87
Edge+22.7%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.9 K across 9 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-166 · fanduel
Janson Junk
Janson Junk
MIAvsSEAPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
UNDER3.5
Projection3.59
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.9 K across 11 starts
-102 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Otto Lopez
Otto Lopez
MIAvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.64
Edge+17.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.38 across 91 games
-238 · draftkings
Kyle Stowers
Kyle Stowers
MIAvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.16
Edge+12.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 68 games
-162 · draftkings
Javier Sanoja
Javier Sanoja
MIAvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.09
Edge+10.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 68 games
-159 · draftkings
Liam Hicks
Liam Hicks
MIAvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.26
Edge+10.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 81 games
-217 · draftkings
Xavier Edwards
Xavier Edwards
MIAvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.15
Edge+7.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 92 games
-226 · draftkings
Joe Mack
Joe Mack
MIAvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge+5.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 49 games
-109 · draftkings
Cole Young
Cole Young
SEAvsMIABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge+5.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 93 games
-187 · draftkings
J.P. Crawford
J.P. Crawford
SEAvsMIABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge+5.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 75 games
+176 · draftkings
Dominic Canzone
Dominic Canzone
SEAvsMIABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge+3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 80 games
+169 · draftkings
Josh Naylor
Josh Naylor
SEAvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 86 games
+195 · draftkings
Colt Emerson
Colt Emerson
SEAvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.63
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 43 games
+118 · draftkings
Randy Arozarena
Randy Arozarena
SEAvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.07
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 85 games
+191 · draftkings
Jakob Marsee
Jakob Marsee
MIAvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.64
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 89 games
-138 · draftkings
Griffin Conine
Griffin Conine
MIAvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 25 games
-128 · draftkings
Cal Raleigh
Cal Raleigh
SEAvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 61 games
+136 · draftkings
Luke Raley
Luke Raley
SEAvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.59
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 77 games
+116 · draftkings
Victor Robles
Victor Robles
SEAvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.63
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 30 games
+129 · draftkings
Heriberto Hernandez
SEA @ MIABatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Great American Ball Park21 leansFinal · graded

PHI@CIN

Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds

first pitch
7:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Jesús Luzardo
probable · awayJesús Luzardo
PHI
Brady Singer
probable · homeBrady Singer
CIN
Strikeouts
Brady Singer
Brady Singer
CINvsPHIPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection5.36
Edge+4.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.2 K across 17 starts
-170 · fanduel
Brady Singer
Brady Singer
CINvsPHIPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER5.5
Projection5.36
Edge+3.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.2 K across 17 starts
+128 · draftkings
Jesus Luzardo
PHI @ CINPitcherStrikeouts
Sample too small
Line7.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Justin Crawford
Justin Crawford
PHIvsCINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+9.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 85 games
-182 · draftkings
Elly De La Cruz
Elly De La Cruz
CINvsPHIBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.14
Edge+8.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 72 games
-211 · draftkings
Tyler Stephenson
Tyler Stephenson
CINvsPHIBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+8.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 67 games
-169 · draftkings
Alec Bohm
Alec Bohm
PHIvsCINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.86
Edge+7.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 88 games
-233 · draftkings
JJ Bleday
JJ Bleday
CINvsPHIBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 63 games
-139 · draftkings
Bryce Harper
Bryce Harper
PHIvsCINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.72
Edge+6.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 92 games
-253 · draftkings
Sal Stewart
Sal Stewart
CINvsPHIBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.09
Edge+6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 91 games
-216 · draftkings
Matt McLain
Matt McLain
CINvsPHIBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.37
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 79 games
-102 · draftkings
J.T. Realmuto
J.T. Realmuto
PHIvsCINBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 64 games
+173 · draftkings
Edwin Arroyo
Edwin Arroyo
CINvsPHIBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge+4.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 26 games
-157 · draftkings
Bryson Stott
Bryson Stott
PHIvsCINBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.03
Edge+3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 87 games
-233 · draftkings
Noelvi Marte
Noelvi Marte
CINvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge−2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 36 games
+137 · draftkings
Spencer Steer
Spencer Steer
CINvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 86 games
-206 · draftkings
Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber
PHIvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.98
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 89 games
-244 · draftkings
Brandon Marsh
Brandon Marsh
PHIvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge−2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 87 games
-264 · draftkings
Trea Turner
Trea Turner
PHIvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.15
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 90 games
-199 · draftkings
Gabriel Rincones Jr.
Gabriel Rincones Jr.
PHIvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge+1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 18 games
-145 · draftkings
Eugenio Suarez
PHI @ CINBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Busch Stadium20 leansFinal · graded

MIL@STL

Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals

first pitch
7:45 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Logan Henderson
probable · awayLogan Henderson
MIL
Andre Pallante
probable · homeAndre Pallante
STL
Strikeouts
Andre Pallante
Andre Pallante
STLvsMILPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER3.5
Projection3.32
Edge+10.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.1 K across 17 starts
+128 · draftkings
Logan Henderson
Logan HendersonModel anomaly
MILvsSTLPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER4.5
Projection6.18
Edge+28.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.0 K across 5 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-120 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Garrett Mitchell
Garrett Mitchell
MILvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.23
Edge+12.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 81 games
-192 · draftkings
Masyn Winn
Masyn Winn
STLvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+7.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 82 games
-183 · draftkings
Christian Yelich
Christian Yelich
MILvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.72
Edge+7.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 59 games
+195 · draftkings
Joey Ortiz
Joey Ortiz
MILvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 69 games
-159 · draftkings
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
STLvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+5.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 89 games
-223 · draftkings
JJ Wetherholt
JJ Wetherholt
STLvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.07
Edge+5.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 85 games
-204 · draftkings
Sal Frelick
Sal Frelick
MILvsSTLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge+4.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 84 games
+167 · draftkings
Brice Turang
Brice Turang
MILvsSTLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.22
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 87 games
+189 · draftkings
Jackson Chourio
Jackson Chourio
MILvsSTLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.04
Edge+3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 58 games
-187 · draftkings
Cooper Pratt
Cooper Pratt
MILvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 21 games
-171 · draftkings
Jake Bauers
Jake Bauers
MILvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 83 games
-201 · draftkings
William Contreras
William Contreras
MILvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.85
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 86 games
-247 · draftkings
Bryan Torres
Bryan Torres
STLvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.39
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 21 games
-115 · draftkings
Nathan Church
Nathan Church
STLvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge+1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 70 games
-138 · draftkings
Lars Nootbaar
Lars Nootbaar
STLvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 28 games
-170 · draftkings
Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson
STLvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.98
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 90 games
-237 · draftkings
Ivan Herrera
MIL @ STLBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jose Fermin
MIL @ STLBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Globe Life Field38 leansFinal · graded

LAA@TEX

Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers

first pitch
8:05 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Reid Detmers
probable · awayReid Detmers
LAA
Nathan Eovaldi
probable · homeNathan Eovaldi
TEX
Strikeouts
Nathan Eovaldi
Nathan Eovaldi
TEXvsLAAPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER6.5
Projection7.86
Edge+14.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 9.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.5 K across 17 starts
-160 · draftkings
Reid Detmers
Reid Detmers
LAAvsTEXPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
UNDER6.5
Projection6.04
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.5 K across 18 starts
-132 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Jo Adell
Jo Adell
LAAvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.15
Edge+18.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 92 games
+134 · draftkings
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
LAAvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.27
Edge+18.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 90 games
+115 · draftkings
Mike Trout
Mike Trout
LAAvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.4
Edge+17%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.09 across 75 games
-102 · draftkings
Alejandro Osuna
Alejandro Osuna
TEXvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.73
Edge+16.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.36 across 58 games
-168 · draftkings
Nicky Lopez
Nicky Lopez
TEXvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.76
Edge+16.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 38 games
-182 · draftkings
Ezequiel Duran
Ezequiel Duran
TEXvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.92
Edge+14.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 81 games
+127 · draftkings
Denzer Guzman
Denzer Guzman
LAAvsTEXBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+14%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 24 games
-168 · draftkings
Denzer Guzman
Denzer Guzman
LAAvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.78
Edge+12.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 24 games
+127 · draftkings
Nicky Lopez
Nicky Lopez
TEXvsLAABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+11.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 38 games
-141 · draftkings
Ezequiel Duran
Ezequiel Duran
TEXvsLAABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+11.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 81 games
-150 · draftkings
Jorge Soler
Jorge Soler
LAAvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.6
Edge+10.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 70 games
-176 · draftkings
Josh Lowe
Josh Lowe
LAAvsTEXBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge+9.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 53 games
-113 · draftkings
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
LAAvsTEXBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+8.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 90 games
-177 · draftkings
Jo Adell
Jo Adell
LAAvsTEXBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge+8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 92 games
-156 · draftkings
Josh Jung
Josh Jung
TEXvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.93
Edge+7.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 83 games
-107 · draftkings
Alejandro Osuna
Alejandro Osuna
TEXvsLAABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge+7.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 58 games
-129 · draftkings
Logan O'Hoppe
Logan O'Hoppe
LAAvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.17
Edge+5.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.44 across 61 games
-153 · draftkings
Kyle Higashioka
Kyle Higashioka
TEXvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.21
Edge+5.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 47 games
-159 · draftkings
Josh Jung
Josh Jung
TEXvsLAABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.08
Edge+4.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 83 games
-215 · draftkings
Mike Trout
Mike Trout
LAAvsTEXBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+4.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 75 games
-196 · draftkings
Jake Burger
Jake Burger
TEXvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.73
Edge+4.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 88 games
+100 · draftkings
Oswald Peraza
Oswald Peraza
LAAvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 78 games
-146 · draftkings
Justin Foscue
Justin Foscue
TEXvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.61
Edge+3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 41 games
+104 · draftkings
Nolan Schanuel
Nolan Schanuel
LAAvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.56
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 72 games
+105 · draftkings
Josh Lowe
Josh LoweModel anomaly
LAAvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.82
Edge+22.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 53 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-131 · draftkings
Jake Burger
Jake Burger
TEXvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 88 games
+138 · draftkings
Nolan Schanuel
Nolan Schanuel
LAAvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 72 games
-238 · draftkings
Oswald Peraza
Oswald Peraza
LAAvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.49
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 78 games
-112 · draftkings
Justin Foscue
Justin Foscue
TEXvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge−2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 41 games
+125 · draftkings
Jorge Soler
Jorge Soler
LAAvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 70 games
-144 · draftkings
Brandon Nimmo
Brandon Nimmo
TEXvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.52
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 86 games
-105 · draftkings
Brandon Nimmo
Brandon Nimmo
TEXvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 86 games
+156 · draftkings
Kyle Higashioka
Kyle Higashioka
TEXvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.6
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 47 games
-124 · draftkings
Logan O'Hoppe
Logan O'Hoppe
LAAvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 61 games
-128 · draftkings
Cameron Cauley
LAA @ TEXBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Cameron Cauley
LAA @ TEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Petco Park22 leansFinal · graded

AZ@SD

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres

first pitch
9:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Merrill Kelly
probable · awayMerrill Kelly
AZ
Griffin Canning
probable · homeGriffin Canning
SD
Strikeouts
Griffin Canning
Griffin Canning
SDvsAZPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER4.5
Projection3.53
Edge+9.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.2 K across 12 starts
-166 · draftkings
Merrill Kelly
Merrill Kelly
AZvsSDPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER4.5
Projection3.61
Edge+8.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.5 K across 15 starts
-169 · draftkings
Griffin Canning
Griffin Canning
SDvsAZPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER3.5
Projection3.53
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.2 K across 12 starts
+120 · fanduel
Merrill Kelly
Merrill Kelly
AZvsSDPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER3.5
Projection3.61
Edge+3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.5 K across 15 starts
+126 · fanduel
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Luis Campusano
Luis Campusano
SDvsAZBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+7.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 23 games
-136 · draftkings
Nolan Arenado
Nolan Arenado
AZvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge+7.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 86 games
-160 · draftkings
Gabriel Moreno
Gabriel Moreno
AZvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.1
Edge+6.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 65 games
-210 · draftkings
Corbin Carroll
Corbin Carroll
AZvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.63
Edge+6.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 89 games
+164 · draftkings
Max Kepler
Max Kepler
AZvsSDBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.5
Edge+3.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.50 across 10 games
+116 · draftkings
Pavin Smith
Pavin Smith
AZvsSDBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.35
Edge+3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.39 across 28 games
-117 · draftkings
Xander Bogaerts
Xander Bogaerts
SDvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 87 games
+170 · draftkings
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
AZvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge−2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 43 games
-204 · draftkings
Gavin Sheets
Gavin Sheets
SDvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge−2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 85 games
+135 · draftkings
Jake Cronenworth
Jake Cronenworth
SDvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 41 games
-188 · draftkings
Geraldo Perdomo
Geraldo Perdomo
AZvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.98
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 88 games
-217 · draftkings
Manny Machado
Manny Machado
SDvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 89 games
+146 · draftkings
Ty France
Ty France
SDvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge+1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 62 games
-173 · draftkings
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SDvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.15
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 91 games
+171 · draftkings
Ketel Marte
Ketel Marte
AZvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.13
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 88 games
+192 · draftkings
Sung-Mun Song
Sung-Mun Song
SDvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.63
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 30 games
-129 · draftkings
Jackson Merrill
Jackson Merrill
SDvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.98
Edge−0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 88 games
-233 · draftkings
Tommy Troy
Tommy Troy
AZvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge−0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 35 games
-138 · draftkings
Oracle Park0 leans

COL@SF

Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants

first pitch
9:45 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Ryan Feltner
probable · awayRyan Feltner
COL
probable · homeTBD
SF
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
Open MLB model audit · partial →
Home runs live on the Power Board

Open the MLB Power Board →

HR markets are high-variance and rated on a separate power-profile scale (barrel + park + matchup), not the standard High / Medium / Low tiers used here.

← back to MLB overview