50.5%

164–161 on 325 decisive

Combined audit across the sports that had settled rows on 2026-07-06. Pushes excluded. Pending games never count as losses.

At a glance

Hit

164

model agreed and the line cleared

Miss

161

model agreed but the line did not clear

Push

final stat tied the line — excluded from hit rate

Pending

no games still pending on this date

MLB

50.5%

164–161 on 325

Full MLB audit →

Biggest hits

MLBCam SchlittlerOver 6.5 Strikeouts+29.3pp edgeactual 8
MLBJake McCarthyOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+29.0pp edgeactual 3
MLBWalker BuehlerOver 3.5 Strikeouts+24.8pp edgeactual 4
MLBCole CarriggOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+21.8pp edgeactual 8
MLBKetel MarteOver 1.5 Total Bases+20.0pp edgeactual 3

Biggest misses

MLBJunior CamineroOver 1.5 Total Bases+31.0pp edgeactual 0
MLBBrandon PfaadtUnder 3.5 Strikeouts+24.9pp edgeactual 6
MLBJunior CamineroOver 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+23.5pp edgeactual 0
MLBKyle FreelandOver 4.5 Strikeouts+22.9pp edgeactual 2
MLBGriffin JaxUnder 5.5 Strikeouts+18.5pp edgeactual 10

MLB settled games · projection vs actual

PHI @ KC

22–2143 dec51.2%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Noah Cameron	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	4.13	7	+12.1%	High	Loss
Alec Bohm	Hits	Under 1.5	0.76	1	+12.1%	High	Win
Bobby Witt Jr.	Hits	Under 1.5	1.07	2	+0.2%	Low	Loss
Trea Turner	Hits	Under 1.5	1.14	3	-3.1%	Low	Loss
Bryce Harper	Hits	Over 1.5	1.08	0	+0.1%	Low	Loss
Brandon Marsh	Hits	Over 0.5	1.08	0	-0.7%	Low	Loss
J.T. Realmuto	Hits	Under 0.5	0.64	1	+8.4%	High	Loss
Kyle Schwarber	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	0	-2.9%	Low	Loss
Bryson Stott	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	2	+4.1%	Medium	Win
Lane Thomas	Hits	Under 0.5	0.61	2	+2.1%	Low	Loss
Salvador Perez	Hits	Under 0.5	0.70	3	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Edmundo Sosa	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	0	-0.8%	Low	Win
Nick Loftin	Hits	Under 0.5	0.57	3	+2.9%	Medium	Loss
Josh Rojas	Hits	Under 0.5	0.40	0	+8.4%	High	Win
Jac Caglianone	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	2	+3.1%	Medium	Win
Derek Hill	Hits	Over 0.5	0.65	1	-1.5%	Low	Win
Starling Marte	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	2	+7.7%	High	Win
Tyler Tolbert	Hits	Over 0.5	0.55	5	-3.4%	Low	Win
Kyle Schwarber	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 2.5	1.97	0	-2.1%	Low	Win
Trea Turner	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.61	4	+7.1%	High	Win
Alec Bohm	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.81	2	-1.6%	Low	Loss
Bryce Harper	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.57	0	+8.8%	High	Loss
Bobby Witt Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.30	4	+8.7%	High	Win
Brandon Marsh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.34	0	+8.0%	High	Loss
J.T. Realmuto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.65	1	-3.4%	Low	Loss
Bryson Stott	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.74	2	+2.2%	Low	Win
Edmundo Sosa	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.59	0	+1.8%	Low	Loss
Lane Thomas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.23	4	-2.4%	Low	Win
Salvador Perez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.32	5	+0.6%	Low	Win
Nick Loftin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.35	7	+2.9%	Medium	Win
Derek Hill	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.41	1	+3.3%	Medium	Loss
Jac Caglianone	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.62	5	+10.1%	High	Win
Josh Rojas	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.00	0	+1.5%	Low	Loss
Starling Marte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.44	5	+14.1%	High	Win
Tyler Tolbert	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.04	10	+7.5%	High	Win
Bobby Witt Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.91	2	+6.0%	High	Win
Alec Bohm	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.48	2	-2.4%	Low	Win
Kyle Schwarber	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.71	0	+1.8%	Low	Loss
Trea Turner	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.94	4	+9.5%	High	Win
Bryce Harper	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.08	0	+10.8%	High	Loss
Brandon Marsh	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.10	0	+14.7%	High	Loss
J.T. Realmuto	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.17	1	-2.7%	Low	Loss
Bryson Stott	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.35	2	+6.2%	High	Win

NYY @ TB

11–2132 dec34.4%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Griffin Jax	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	4.25	10	+18.5%	High	Loss
Cam Schlittler	Strikeouts	Over 6.5	8.03	8	+29.3%	Low	Win
Junior Caminero	Hits	Over 0.5	1.25	0	+9.4%	High	Loss
Chandler Simpson	Hits	Over 0.5	1.18	1	+6.2%	High	Win
Ben Rice	Hits	Under 0.5	0.69	1	+4.4%	Medium	Loss
Jasson Domínguez	Hits	Under 0.5	0.76	0	-2.0%	Low	Win
Jonathan Aranda	Hits	Over 0.5	1.12	0	+8.9%	High	Loss
Cody Bellinger	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	0	+0.5%	Low	Win
Trent Grisham	Hits	Over 0.5	1.15	0	+12.0%	High	Loss
Anthony Volpe	Hits	Under 0.5	0.60	—	-0.5%	Low	Void
Cedric Mullins	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	0	+8.2%	High	Loss
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	0.64	0	-1.3%	Low	Loss
Victor Mesa Jr.	Hits	Under 0.5	0.50	—	-0.5%	Low	Void
Taylor Walls	Hits	Over 0.5	0.81	0	+8.1%	High	Loss
Richie Palacios	Hits	Over 0.5	0.69	2	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Ryan McMahon	Hits	Over 0.5	0.50	0	-3.0%	Low	Loss
Austin Wells	Hits	Under 0.5	0.33	0	-1.3%	Low	Win
Hunter Feduccia	Hits	Over 0.5	0.47	—	+1.9%	Low	Void
Junior Caminero	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	3.40	0	+23.5%	Low	Loss
Ben Rice	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.62	3	-2.3%	Low	Win
Chandler Simpson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.70	2	+4.0%	Medium	Win
Jonathan Aranda	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.32	0	+16.3%	High	Loss
Trent Grisham	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.60	0	+19.5%	High	Loss
Cody Bellinger	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.26	0	-3.2%	Low	Loss
Jasson Domínguez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.35	1	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Cedric Mullins	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.07	0	+17.3%	High	Loss
Anthony Volpe	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.09	—	-2.6%	Low	Void
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.19	1	+1.6%	Low	Win
Taylor Walls	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.72	0	+19.1%	High	Loss
Victor Mesa Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.28	—	+6.7%	High	Void
Richie Palacios	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.43	3	+12.2%	High	Win
Ryan McMahon	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.08	0	+4.6%	Medium	Loss
Hunter Feduccia	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.89	—	+9.3%	High	Void
Austin Wells	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.64	0	+1.3%	Low	Loss
Junior Caminero	Total Bases	Over 1.5	3.26	0	+31.0%	Low	Loss
Ben Rice	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.54	4	+3.4%	Medium	Win
Jonathan Aranda	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.68	0	+12.4%	High	Loss
Chandler Simpson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.48	1	+9.5%	High	Loss

HOU @ WSH

18–1937 dec48.6%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Miles Mikolas	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	2.28	3	+18.2%	High	Win
Mike Burrows	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	3.19	3	+13.4%	High	Win
Yordan Alvarez	Hits	Under 1.5	1.08	1	+2.2%	Low	Win
Jose Altuve	Hits	Under 1.5	0.80	1	+6.7%	High	Win
Daylen Lile	Hits	Over 1.5	1.10	0	-0.5%	Low	Loss
Christian Walker	Hits	Under 0.5	0.94	2	-2.0%	Low	Loss
Yainer Diaz	Hits	Under 0.5	0.86	2	-0.9%	Low	Loss
CJ Abrams	Hits	Under 0.5	0.75	3	+3.7%	Medium	Loss
Cam Smith	Hits	Under 0.5	0.78	2	+2.0%	Low	Loss
James Wood	Hits	Over 0.5	1.06	1	+0.8%	Low	Win
Isaac Paredes	Hits	Over 0.5	1.01	0	+2.3%	Low	Loss
Dylan Crews	Hits	Over 0.5	1.00	0	+2.2%	Low	Loss
Curtis Mead	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	3	-0.1%	Low	Win
Keibert Ruiz	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	—	+4.1%	Medium	Void
LaMonte Wade Jr.	Hits	Under 0.5	0.67	0	+1.0%	Low	Win
Nick Allen	Hits	Under 0.5	0.54	—	-0.7%	Low	Void
Taylor Trammell	Hits	Under 0.5	0.59	—	-2.8%	Low	Void
Yordan Alvarez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.59	1	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Jose Altuve	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.56	5	+3.8%	Medium	Loss
James Wood	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.55	8	+6.2%	High	Win
Christian Walker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.97	3	-0.6%	Low	Win
Daylen Lile	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.21	0	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
CJ Abrams	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.71	8	-2.5%	Low	Loss
Isaac Paredes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.10	1	+6.5%	High	Loss
Curtis Mead	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.79	8	+0.4%	Low	Win
Cam Smith	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.62	4	-1.9%	Low	Win
Yainer Diaz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.73	6	+1.2%	Low	Win
Dylan Crews	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.86	1	+5.0%	Medium	Loss
Keibert Ruiz	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.99	—	+8.1%	High	Void
LaMonte Wade Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.67	1	+3.1%	Medium	Loss
Taylor Trammell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.25	—	+0.0%	Low	Void
Nick Allen	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.96	—	-3.0%	Low	Void
Yordan Alvarez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.25	1	+2.0%	Low	Loss
Daylen Lile	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.91	0	+7.3%	High	Loss
James Wood	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.27	4	+14.6%	High	Win
Jose Altuve	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.24	4	-1.9%	Low	Loss
Christian Walker	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.78	3	+5.9%	High	Win
CJ Abrams	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.38	6	-1.7%	Low	Win
Isaac Paredes	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.66	0	+8.1%	High	Loss
Cam Smith	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.55	2	+6.1%	High	Win
Curtis Mead	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.74	7	+10.1%	High	Win
Yainer Diaz	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.46	5	+4.2%	Medium	Win
Dylan Crews	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.49	0	+5.9%	High	Loss

NYM @ ATL

26–1541 dec63.4%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Freddy Peralta	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	4.32	6	+6.0%	High	Loss
Bo Bichette	Hits	Over 1.5	1.07	2	-1.5%	Low	Win
Michael Harris II	Hits	Over 1.5	1.05	3	-0.3%	Low	Win
Drake Baldwin	Hits	Under 0.5	0.74	2	+4.2%	Medium	Loss
Ozzie Albies	Hits	Under 0.5	0.92	2	-2.8%	Low	Loss
Juan Soto	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	1	+4.1%	Medium	Win
Matt Olson	Hits	Over 0.5	1.13	2	+8.0%	High	Win
A.J. Ewing	Hits	Over 0.5	0.89	0	-0.9%	Low	Loss
Francisco Lindor	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	0	+2.0%	Low	Loss
Carson Benge	Hits	Over 0.5	1.04	2	+4.9%	Medium	Win
Francisco Alvarez	Hits	Under 0.5	0.71	2	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Dominic Smith	Hits	Under 0.5	0.66	1	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Austin Riley	Hits	Under 0.5	0.68	0	-3.1%	Low	Win
Mike Yastrzemski	Hits	Under 0.5	0.50	1	+1.0%	Low	Loss
Luis Torrens	Hits	Over 0.5	0.61	1	-2.7%	Low	Win
Brett Baty	Hits	Over 0.5	0.69	1	+1.8%	Low	Win
Jared Young	Hits	Over 0.5	0.56	1	-2.5%	Low	Win
Drake Baldwin	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.94	2	-0.6%	Low	Win
Michael Harris II	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.32	5	+5.6%	High	Win
Juan Soto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.07	5	+2.8%	Medium	Win
Ozzie Albies	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.17	3	+5.0%	Medium	Win
Bo Bichette	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.05	3	+3.3%	Medium	Win
Francisco Lindor	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.04	0	+6.7%	High	Loss
Matt Olson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.17	7	+7.6%	High	Win
A.J. Ewing	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.79	0	+3.4%	Medium	Loss
Carson Benge	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	5	+5.2%	High	Win
Dominic Smith	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.44	2	-0.3%	Low	Win
Austin Riley	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.62	0	+3.8%	Medium	Loss
Francisco Alvarez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.27	3	-3.1%	Low	Loss
Mike Yastrzemski	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.08	2	-1.2%	Low	Loss
Luis Torrens	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.18	3	+4.0%	Medium	Win
Brett Baty	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.28	1	+5.9%	High	Win
Jared Young	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.20	2	+6.6%	High	Win
Michael Harris II	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.73	4	+5.2%	High	Win
Juan Soto	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.80	4	+7.2%	High	Win
Matt Olson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.13	8	+15.8%	High	Win
Drake Baldwin	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.28	2	-1.2%	Low	Win
Bo Bichette	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.42	2	+2.0%	Low	Win
Francisco Lindor	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.64	0	+8.6%	High	Loss
Ozzie Albies	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.71	4	+10.2%	High	Win
A.J. Ewing	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.43	0	+6.5%	High	Loss

MIL @ STL

16–2440 dec40.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Dustin May	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.39	7	+2.0%	Low	Win
Shane Drohan	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	4.31	2	+0.6%	Low	Loss
Jackson Chourio	Hits	Over 1.5	1.23	0	+0.6%	Low	Loss
William Contreras	Hits	Over 1.5	1.12	0	-0.4%	Low	Loss
Brice Turang	Hits	Over 0.5	1.22	1	+6.1%	High	Win
Jordan Walker	Hits	Over 0.5	1.11	0	+2.8%	Medium	Loss
Christian Yelich	Hits	Under 0.5	0.72	0	+5.6%	High	Win
Alec Burleson	Hits	Over 0.5	0.95	0	-0.8%	Low	Loss
JJ Wetherholt	Hits	Over 0.5	1.14	0	+4.8%	Medium	Loss
Jake Bauers	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	1	-0.6%	Low	Win
Sal Frelick	Hits	Over 0.5	0.83	1	-1.0%	Low	Win
Masyn Winn	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	2	+6.3%	High	Win
Blaze Jordan	Hits	Over 0.5	0.72	0	-3.2%	Low	Loss
Garrett Mitchell	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	2	+9.1%	High	Win
Cooper Pratt	Hits	Under 0.5	0.44	1	+7.2%	High	Loss
Nathan Church	Hits	Over 0.5	0.72	1	+3.4%	Medium	Win
David Hamilton	Hits	Over 0.5	0.60	2	-1.3%	Low	Win
Jackson Chourio	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.51	0	+4.7%	Medium	Loss
William Contreras	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.16	0	+1.0%	Low	Loss
Jordan Walker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.68	0	+10.8%	High	Loss
Christian Yelich	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.74	1	-3.4%	Low	Loss
Brice Turang	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.30	3	+8.9%	High	Win
Alec Burleson	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.08	0	+5.9%	High	Loss
JJ Wetherholt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.04	1	+5.5%	High	Loss
Jake Bauers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.12	1	+7.8%	High	Loss
Garrett Mitchell	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.18	3	+14.5%	High	Win
Sal Frelick	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.47	2	+0.4%	Low	Win
Masyn Winn	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.04	3	+15.2%	High	Win
Blaze Jordan	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.75	0	+8.3%	High	Loss
Cooper Pratt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.80	1	+10.2%	High	Win
David Hamilton	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.96	4	-2.2%	Low	Win
Nathan Church	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.81	1	+12.9%	High	Win
Jackson Chourio	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.28	0	+12.1%	High	Loss
Jordan Walker	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.97	0	+11.2%	High	Loss
William Contreras	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.66	0	+7.1%	High	Loss
Brice Turang	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.94	1	+15.2%	High	Loss
Christian Yelich	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.20	0	-0.1%	Low	Loss
Alec Burleson	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.47	0	+6.7%	High	Loss
JJ Wetherholt	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.63	0	+10.7%	High	Loss
Jake Bauers	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.60	1	+10.7%	High	Loss

AZ @ SD

23–2043 dec53.5%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Brandon Pfaadt	Strikeouts	Under 3.5	2.16	6	+24.9%	Low	Loss
Walker Buehler	Strikeouts	Over 3.5	5.31	4	+24.8%	Low	Win
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Hits	Over 1.5	1.21	0	+3.6%	Medium	Loss
Ketel Marte	Hits	Over 0.5	1.14	1	+2.5%	Low	Win
Gabriel Moreno	Hits	Over 0.5	0.98	2	+1.2%	Low	Win
Jake Cronenworth	Hits	Under 0.5	0.61	2	+6.1%	High	Loss
Geraldo Perdomo	Hits	Over 0.5	1.02	2	+4.4%	Medium	Win
Corbin Carroll	Hits	Under 0.5	0.79	1	-1.8%	Low	Loss
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	Hits	Over 0.5	0.85	1	-0.7%	Low	Win
Manny Machado	Hits	Under 0.5	0.74	1	-1.3%	Low	Loss
Ty France	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	1	+0.3%	Low	Win
Jackson Merrill	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	2	-0.8%	Low	Win
Gavin Sheets	Hits	Over 0.5	0.87	1	+1.4%	Low	Win
Xander Bogaerts	Hits	Over 0.5	0.80	—	-0.8%	Low	Void
Nolan Arenado	Hits	Over 0.5	0.86	1	+5.3%	High	Win
Max Kepler	Hits	Under 0.5	0.29	2	+10.7%	High	Loss
Luis Campusano	Hits	Over 0.5	0.75	0	+4.3%	Medium	Loss
Tommy Troy	Hits	Over 0.5	0.66	1	+0.6%	Low	Win
Sung-Mun Song	Hits	Over 0.5	0.70	0	+3.8%	Medium	Loss
Pavin Smith	Hits	Under 0.5	0.47	0	-1.9%	Low	Win
Ketel Marte	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.54	2	+8.8%	High	Win
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.23	0	+9.6%	High	Loss
Corbin Carroll	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.65	2	-1.1%	Low	Win
Gabriel Moreno	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.90	3	+5.2%	High	Win
Geraldo Perdomo	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.83	5	+5.3%	High	Win
Jake Cronenworth	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.09	2	+6.9%	High	Loss
Manny Machado	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.04	1	+8.4%	High	Loss
Jackson Merrill	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.64	2	+1.7%	Low	Win
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.61	3	+1.8%	Low	Win
Ty France	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.82	1	+4.9%	Medium	Loss
Gavin Sheets	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.75	1	+4.5%	Medium	Loss
Xander Bogaerts	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.56	—	+3.8%	Medium	Void
Nolan Arenado	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.81	3	+10.3%	High	Win
Max Kepler	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	0.43	7	+17.3%	High	Loss
Tommy Troy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.41	1	+6.6%	High	Win
Sung-Mun Song	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.55	0	+11.1%	High	Loss
Luis Campusano	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.70	0	+12.7%	High	Loss
Pavin Smith	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.84	0	-0.4%	Low	Loss
Ketel Marte	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.36	3	+20.0%	High	Win
Fernando Tatis Jr.	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.91	0	+13.4%	High	Loss
Corbin Carroll	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.39	2	+3.7%	Medium	Win
Manny Machado	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.90	1	+16.1%	High	Loss
Jackson Merrill	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.44	2	+7.6%	High	Win
Gabriel Moreno	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.22	2	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Jake Cronenworth	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.87	2	+3.3%	Medium	Loss

TOR @ SF

21–2142 dec50.0%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Kevin Gausman	Strikeouts	Under 5.5	5.07	8	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Landen Roupp	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.74	5	+17.6%	High	Win
Luis Arraez	Hits	Over 1.5	1.35	1	+6.3%	High	Loss
Ernie Clement	Hits	Over 0.5	1.11	1	+1.4%	Low	Win
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Hits	Under 0.5	0.79	0	+4.1%	Medium	Win
Jung Hoo Lee	Hits	Under 0.5	0.95	1	-0.7%	Low	Loss
Nathan Lukes	Hits	Under 0.5	0.86	1	-1.0%	Low	Loss
Heliot Ramos	Hits	Over 0.5	0.90	3	-2.5%	Low	Win
Alejandro Kirk	Hits	Under 0.5	0.63	0	+6.9%	High	Win
Casey Schmitt	Hits	Over 0.5	0.92	0	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Daulton Varsho	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	0	-3.1%	Low	Loss
Kazuma Okamoto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.78	1	-3.1%	Low	Win
Rafael Devers	Hits	Over 0.5	1.08	0	+10.3%	High	Loss
Sean Keys	Hits	Over 0.5	0.67	0	-1.4%	Low	Loss
Willy Adames	Hits	Over 0.5	0.96	0	+10.4%	High	Loss
Bryce Eldridge	Hits	Over 0.5	0.88	1	+7.7%	High	Win
Victor Bericoto	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	2	+14.6%	High	Win
Drew Cavanaugh	Hits	Over 0.5	0.57	—	-0.4%	Low	Void
Luis Arraez	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.21	1	+7.0%	High	Loss
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.51	0	-1.4%	Low	Win
Ernie Clement	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.69	1	-0.3%	Low	Loss
Alejandro Kirk	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.27	0	+2.2%	Low	Win
Nathan Lukes	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Under 1.5	1.43	1	-1.6%	Low	Win
Heliot Ramos	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.76	11	+2.6%	Medium	Win
Jung Hoo Lee	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.98	2	+6.6%	High	Win
Daulton Varsho	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.52	0	-2.1%	Low	Loss
Casey Schmitt	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.84	0	+4.2%	Medium	Loss
Kazuma Okamoto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.80	3	+4.2%	Medium	Win
Rafael Devers	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.38	2	+16.2%	High	Win
Sean Keys	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.67	0	+8.7%	High	Loss
Willy Adames	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.87	1	+13.1%	High	Loss
Bryce Eldridge	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.69	2	+11.0%	High	Win
Victor Bericoto	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.69	6	+16.6%	High	Win
Drew Cavanaugh	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.86	—	+2.4%	Low	Void
Luis Arraez	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.02	1	+13.6%	High	Loss
Heliot Ramos	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.69	11	+10.7%	High	Win
Ernie Clement	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.47	1	+6.0%	High	Loss
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.04	0	-1.2%	Low	Win
Casey Schmitt	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.55	0	+7.8%	High	Loss
Nathan Lukes	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.20	1	-0.8%	Low	Loss
Jung Hoo Lee	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.35	1	+4.4%	Medium	Loss
Daulton Varsho	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.43	0	+7.2%	High	Loss
Kazuma Okamoto	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.48	4	+8.4%	High	Win
Alejandro Kirk	Total Bases	Under 1.5	0.97	0	-0.9%	Low	Win

COL @ LAD

27–2047 dec57.4%

Player	Market	Lean / Line	Proj	Actual	Edge	Conf	Outcome
Kyle Freeland	Strikeouts	Over 4.5	5.40	2	+22.9%	Low	Loss
Eric Lauer	Strikeouts	Under 4.5	2.88	3	+19.5%	High	Win
Andy Pages	Hits	Under 1.5	1.02	0	+0.8%	Low	Win
Shohei Ohtani	Hits	Over 1.5	1.10	3	-2.8%	Low	Win
Freddie Freeman	Hits	Over 1.5	1.25	1	+3.2%	Medium	Loss
Mookie Betts	Hits	Over 1.5	1.18	0	+1.9%	Low	Loss
Tommy Edman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.07	0	-2.3%	Low	Loss
Tyler Freeman	Hits	Over 0.5	0.91	2	-0.7%	Low	Win
Kyle Tucker	Hits	Over 0.5	0.99	3	+1.4%	Low	Win
Hunter Goodman	Hits	Over 0.5	1.13	0	+5.5%	High	Loss
Willi Castro	Hits	Over 0.5	0.93	1	+0.2%	Low	Win
Cole Carrigg	Hits	Over 0.5	1.03	3	+6.9%	High	Win
TJ Rumfield	Hits	Over 0.5	1.28	0	+14.0%	High	Loss
Max Muncy	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	2	+1.9%	Low	Win
Kyle Karros	Hits	Over 0.5	0.94	1	+5.1%	High	Win
Dalton Rushing	Hits	Over 0.5	0.84	3	+0.1%	Low	Win
Jake McCarthy	Hits	Over 0.5	1.29	1	+17.2%	High	Win
Ezequiel Tovar	Hits	Over 0.5	0.67	1	+2.8%	Medium	Win
Braxton Fulford	Hits	Under 0.5	0.32	0	+1.1%	Low	Win
Shohei Ohtani	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.33	8	-2.0%	Low	Win
Andy Pages	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.26	1	-0.6%	Low	Loss
Freddie Freeman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 2.5	2.42	1	+3.0%	Medium	Loss
Mookie Betts	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.55	0	+6.5%	High	Loss
Kyle Tucker	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.21	4	+7.4%	High	Win
Hunter Goodman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.93	0	+15.3%	High	Loss
Tommy Edman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.32	0	+6.6%	High	Loss
Max Muncy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.09	4	+4.9%	Medium	Win
Willi Castro	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.82	2	+4.3%	Medium	Win
Dalton Rushing	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.06	6	+7.7%	High	Win
Cole Carrigg	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.88	8	+21.8%	Low	Win
Tyler Freeman	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	1.63	2	+3.6%	Medium	Win
TJ Rumfield	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.34	0	+19.2%	High	Loss
Kyle Karros	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	2.23	2	+17.4%	High	Win
Jake McCarthy	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 1.5	3.12	3	+29.0%	Low	Win
Ezequiel Tovar	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	1.52	5	+12.3%	High	Win
Braxton Fulford	Hits + Runs + RBIs	Over 0.5	0.93	0	+5.5%	High	Loss
Shohei Ohtani	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.69	6	-0.2%	Low	Win
Andy Pages	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.71	0	+1.1%	Low	Loss
Freddie Freeman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.09	1	+11.9%	High	Loss
Mookie Betts	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.22	0	+13.5%	High	Loss
Hunter Goodman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	2.70	0	+18.3%	High	Loss
Kyle Tucker	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.44	3	+3.9%	Medium	Win
Tommy Edman	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.68	0	+9.5%	High	Loss
Max Muncy	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.69	2	+9.9%	High	Win
Willi Castro	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.29	1	+2.5%	Medium	Loss
Cole Carrigg	Total Bases	Over 1.5	1.93	5	+17.4%	High	Win
Tyler Freeman	Total Bases	Under 1.5	1.10	2	-3.4%	Low	Loss

all settled dates